For a couple of months, there was

actually a brief brief period of general

stability and calm in the Middle East.

In October of 2025, Israel and Hamas

agreed to another ceasefire in and

around Gaza that was brokered by America

around the 2-year anniversary of the

start of their war, which by extension

also led to the Houthis and Yemen

announcing a pause on their own attacks

against Israel and international

maritime shipping in the Red Sea and

Gulf of Aiden theaters as well. The

Houthi's announcement had also come on

the heels of a separate Obani brokered

ceasefire that they had agreed with the

United States back in May that followed

nearly two months of relentless American

air strikes against them in which the

Houthies had also agreed to stop their

attacks against American and British

linked maritime shipping around them as

well. So by October, it seemed that the

Houthies had entered in a ceasefires

with both the Israelis and the

Americans. While a separate three and a

half year long ceasefire that had begun

back in 2022 between all of the various

factions within Yemen's own internal

civil war was also still holding steady

between the Houthies and the country's

internationally recognized government or

IRG. No major fighting between Yemen's

various internal factions had taken

place in years. While the front lines

had remained remarkably stable the

entire time and with the Houthis winding

down their separate external fights

against the Israelis and Americans, it

appeared to a lot of people that Yemen

was finally going to settle down again,

most of all to the United States, who

has been eager to refocus its attention

away from the Middle East to more

pressing concerns like Venezuela and the

Western Pacific. But unfortunately for

everyone, the modern Middle East never

remains peaceful or undramatic for very

long. In the end, it took fewer than 2

months after the October Houthi Israel

ceasefire for the situation in Yemen to

begin catastrophically unraveling again.

On the 2nd of December, the Southern

Transitional Council or the STC, [music]

a separatist faction in Yemen that

ultimately seeks the independence of the

former state of South Yemen, but which

had been working together with the

internationally recognized government or

the IRG, suddenly broke ranks with the

IRG and launched a surprise offensive

against them into the Hadramat

Governorette. Geographically the largest

governor or province within Yemen that

tanks up roughly onethird of the

country's land which had previously been

split between STC control along the

coast and IRG control across the

interior. Co-named by the STC as

operation promising future, the surprise

offensive against the internationally

recognized government rapidly developed

into a decisive victory for them. Within

only a week, they managed to completely

overrun the entire Hajramat governor.

And then going even further, they

overran the neighboring Almahra governor

as well on the border with Oman,

representing hundreds of thousands of

square kilm worth of captured territory.

And even more importantly, by seizing

control of all of these territories, the

STC suddenly seized control over about

80% of Yemen's proven oil and gas

reserves as well, which were seen as

critical for achieving the STC's

ultimate goal of secession and a

functioning independent state. With

their rapid military advances, the STC

was able to capture virtually all of the

territory that used to make up the

former independent state of South Yemen,

[music] which was uniquely the Arab

world's only communist state that

historically used to exist between 1967

and 1990 before unified with North

Yemen. [music]

And with their capture of all of the oil

and gas fields, the STC put themselves

in the position to credibly declare

their full secession and independence

from Yemen as well. [music] And what's

even more incredible, the STC managed to

accomplish all of this without any

extensive fighting. STC troops

effectively managed to just march

through the two governorates with little

resistance from local IRG affiliated

tribes and [music] troops. The STC

reported that just a mere 16 of their

own fighters were killed during the

week-long offensive, [music] while the

IRG reported that only 32 of their own

personnel were killed. a stunning figure

for how enormous the gains made by the

STC are and how categorically this

shifted the balance of power within

Yemen. The STC likely launched their

surprise offensive into Hadramat and al-

Mahra when they did for multiple

reasons. There had been talk of the

Saudis and the Houthis renewing their

peace negotiations again after years and

years of delays and following the Houthi

ceasefires with Israel and the United

States. Still under unrelenting US

financial sanctions, the Houthies were

known to be demanding a large share of

Yemen's oil wealth in a future

negotiated settlement as a means of

economic relief. [music] And so the

STC's seizure of all of those oil fields

in Hondramat could have been a way to

preempt those negotiations by securing

the oil fields for themselves for their

own long-term secession project. During

a visit to Washington just two weeks

before the offensive, Saudi Arabia's

crown prince and de facto ruler Muhammad

bin Salman is also known to have

directly asked President Trump to

intervene in the other conflict in Sudan

with expanded sanctions against the

rapid support forces. The UAE backed

militia in Sudan that the US accuses of

committing genocide in Darur and which

is fighting against the Saudibbacked

side in that country's separate civil

war. The UAE likely interpreted that

Saudi request as a direct threat against

their own interest in Sudan, which might

have encouraged the UAE to give the STC

in Yemen the green light for their

offensive into Hadramat to pull Saudi

and American attention elsewhere off of

Sudan. And more immediately in late

November, Saudi backed tribal forces in

the Hajrammouth region began blocking

oil production, which sparked energy

shortages across the region and

particularly in SDC controlled areas,

which the STC themselves had to have

interpreted as a direct threat to their

long-term stability. By launching the

surprise offensive, the STC and the UAE

likely gambled on resolving all of these

issues and to secure the allimportant

oil fields to safeguard their long-term

prospects at secession [music] and

independence. Yemen itself has been a

proxy war of competing outside powers

for more than a decade now. The UAE

supports the STC in their bid for

secession. Saudi Arabia supports the

internationally recognized government

and Yemen's territorial integrity while

Iran supports the Houthis and their

separate vision for Yemen's territorial

integrity. All three sides theoretically

oppose each other in Yemen. But for

several years, the UEEbacked STC and the

Saudibbacked IRG had at least attempted

to cooperate together against the

Iranbacked Houthies, whom they mutually

came to view as the bigger threat. Over

the years, after the Saudis launched a

devastating full-scale intervention in

Yemen against the Houthis that began in

2015, the Houthis have fired hundreds of

retaliatory missiles and drones at Saudi

Arabia's cities all throughout the

conflict. While they've also managed to

strike the UAE from time to time as

well, including a missile strike in Abu

Dhabi in 2022 that killed three people.

Both the UAE and Saudi Arabia want a

pacified Yemen that's free of Iranian

influence that no longer shoots back at

them. But Yemen is also just further

away from the UAE than it is from Saudi

Arabia. Saudi Arabia prefers a united

and calm Yemen like it was prior to

2014. While the UAE sees Yeban as just a

component in their greater overall

strategy to build a ring of influence

across the Red Sea in the Horn of Africa

to connect to their other allies in the

region like the RSAP in Sudan, the LCSC

regime in Egypt, Eratraa, and the

breakaway state of Somali land. The

Saudis, meanwhile, have backed factions

in Yemen's internationally recognized

government like Isla, an offshoot of the

Muslim Brotherhood, whose ideology of

political Islam horrifies the UAE, and

why the UAE steadily came to back the

more secular STC in their secession

project in South Yemen instead. So

despite their shared animosity toward

the Houthies in Yemen, the rival royal

families in power in Saudi Arabia and

the UAE also came to back different

sides of the country with their own

irreconcilable objectives. By 2022, the

Saudis decided to remove the

internationally recognized government's

incompetent president and replaced him

with an eight-man presidential

leadership council to govern the country

instead. The leader of the council was a

Saudibbacked politician who favored

national unity in Yemen. While his chief

deputy was the head of the STC who

wanted to partition Yebid between south

and north instead. They were never going

to work together for very long. But they

also entered into a ceasefire with the

Houthis the same year in 2022 that was

initially only supposed to last for 6

months, but has continually held ever

since. for now. Since December, when the

front lines in Yemen suddenly shifted

the most dramatically they had in years

between the STC and the internationally

recognized government, the immediate

questions on everyone's minds were, what

would the STC do with their conquests?

[music] And how would the

internationally recognized government

and the Saudis end up responding? Taking

the boldest option, the STC was

conceivably capable of pursuing their

ultimate objective of just unilaterally

declaring their secession from Yemen and

recreate the former state as South Yemen

again, which they had already proposed

calling South Arabia this time around

instead. In theory, doing this without

any outside foreign support would be a

very dangerous and risky move. The world

isn't kind to rebellious territories of

UN recognized countries unilaterally

breaking away without the consent of

their parent country. Other places that

have done the same like Savaliand,

Obcazia, and Kosovo have faced decades

of imposed isolation and non-recognition

by large swaths of the international

community. But the STC [music] had plans

to be different. Their leaders suggested

that after they declared their

independence, they would be willing to

immediately exceed to the Abraham

Accords and recognized the state of

Israel. Their hope was that this

software would have given them the

negotiating leverage they needed over

the Trump administration to extend US

recognition towards their own

independence, especially because there's

already a major precedent for Trump

overlooking international law and

territorial integrity before in exchange

for recognition of Israel. Back in 2020,

during Trump's first term in office, he

agreed to extend US recognition of

Morocco's sovereignty over Western

Sahara in exchange for Morocco's

recognition of Israel, making the US the

[music] first country to ever formally

recognize Morocco's occupation of the

territory. Trump is well known to want

to continue extending the Abraham

Accords in the Muslim world during his

second term to score more diplomatic

victories that he can sell at home. And

so the STC's assumption that he would

probably be willing to extend American

recognition of their independence in

[music] exchange for them becoming the

next ones to join wasn't really that

unrealistic. And by extension, joining

the Abraham Accords would have easily

secured Israel's recognition of their

independence as well. The STC also

likely believe that their ability to

position themselves as a regional bull

work against the Houthies and their

control of nearly all of Yemen's oil and

gas reserves would help seal the deal

with the Americans and Israelis as well.

Joining the Abraham Accords and

extending their recognition towards

Israel would also further position the

SDC with their primary backer, the UAE,

who themselves joined the Abraham

Accords and recognized Israel in 2020 as

well. Late in December of 2025, Israel

also notably became the first UN

recognized country to extend their

formal recognition towards Somaliand's

independence immediately across the Gulf

of Aiden from southern Yemen. Somaliand

unilaterally declared their independence

from Somalia more than 30 years ago back

in 1991. And though they've maintained

their independence from the rest of

Somalia in a de facto sense ever [music]

since, nobody ever took the formal step

of actually recognizing it until Israel

did just a few weeks ago. Somali land is

also closely aligned to the UAE. Since

2017, the Emiratis have invested $442

million in developing and operating the

port of Barbara in Somali land,

transforming it into a strategic

competitor with the nearby port of

Djibouti for trade moving through the

Red Sea in the Suez Canal. Somaliand

allowed the UAE to construct a military

base at Barbbera as well. And merely

days after Israel's recognition of

Somali land, the UAE quietly announced

that they would begin accepting Somali

land passports for travel. In essence,

recognizing Somali land sovereignty in

everything but name. If the STC was

actually successful at declaring their

secession from Yemen, then the UAE could

have conceivably followed Israel by

recognizing both South Yemen's and

Somali lands independence as well. Doing

so would have established closely UAE

aligned states on either side of the

south entrance to the Red Sea with the

closely UAE aligned rapid support forces

nearby in Sudan which might still

ultimately win the civil war there and

grant the UAE another closely aligned

state along the central Red Sea

coastline along with LCC's Egypt and

Israel further to the north that are

both already closely aligned with the

UAE as well. to the UAE. All of these

pieces on the board, from South Yemen to

Somali land to the RSF in Sudan to

Elsis's Egypt and Israel, are all part

of a vast long-term plan to dominate the

Red Sea and its lucrative trade volume

in order to secure a wealthy future

after the end of oil. A future that

Saudi Arabia is also concerned about

that is pushing both countries to

increasingly compete against each other

for alternative industries like tourism

and AI technology. But of Saudi Arabia,

the UAE's Red Sea strategy cannot appear

as anything else other than an Emirani

attempt to encircle them. For years, the

Saudis have been attempting to do

everything they can to make the Houthies

accept a power sharing deal in a unified

Yemen that would restrict their role in

the government. Part of how they plan to

do that was by offering the Houthies a

share in the unified country's oil and

gas resources that mostly exist in the

south. So with the prospect of the south

seceding and taking basically all of the

oil and gas with them, the Saudis were

facing their worstc case scenario in

Yemen, without the oil and gas reserves,

the internationally recognized

government that they support would

almost certainly be too weak to impose

any kind of a deal on sharing power with

the Houthis in the north. And

realistically, the Houthies would

probably just eliminate them and

politically dominate the remaining North

Yemen rump state. Saudi Arabia would

become trapped with a radical

Iranianbacked Houthi Shiite theocracy

directly on their southern border that

would be left chronically impoverished

without any access to southern Yemen's

oil and gas reserves, which is about as

big of a nightmare scenario for the

Saudis as imaginable. Shortly after

their offensive, the SDC announced that

they intended to hold a referendum on

independence from the rest of Yemen

within the next 2 years by 2028. While

the Saudis were consistently and

strongly reiterating that all of this

was completely unacceptable to them.

Within days of the STC territorial

takeovers, tens of thousands of Saudibed

troops loyal to the internationally

recognized government began mobilizing

on the new front lines while threatening

a major counteroffensive. Saudi Arabia

demanded that the STC withdraw from all

of the territories in Yemen they seized

and gave them a week-long ultimatum to

do so or else. [music]

The STC consistently refused to

withdraw. The week-long Saudi ultimatum

passed by and the or else phase began

happening. At the end of December, the

Saudi Air Force launched air strikes on

the STC controlled port city of Macala,

bombing what it alleged were weapons

shipments arriving to the STC from the

UAE, which the UAE denied. The very next

day, the internationally recognized

government demanded that all UAE troops

needed to leave Yemeni territory within

24 hours and declared a state of

emergency. And then on the 2nd of

January of 2026, the internationally

recognized government declared that it

was launching a so-called peaceful

operation to regain control of the key

military sites that the STC had seized

in the Hadramat province. Within minutes

of the announcement, however, the Saudi

Air Force already began launching air

strikes across southern Yemen against

STC military targets with confirmed

casualties. While a military

spokesperson for the STC said afterward

that they were now in a decisive and

existential war against the Saudi back

forces in Yemen. Over the 3rd and fourth

of January, troops loyal to the

internationally recognized government

with Saudi aerial support managed to

rapidly and successfully counterattack

across all of the Hajramat and Al-Makra

provinces. Not only reversing all of the

territorial gains that have been made by

the STC, but also overrunning the coast

of the Hadramat province and capturing

the strategic port city of Macala that

the STC had controlled for years before

they launched their offensive. On the

4th of January, after these decisive

takeovers, the internationally

recognized government's information

minister reported to the New York Times

that their next objective could be the

STC's capital city obeyed and demanded

that the STC's forces in the area

immediately surrender as the government

reasserts its authority. By the 9th of

January, it had become obvious that the

STC was essentially a paper tiger, and

their offensive to seize control over

the eastern oil fields had all been a

colossal miscalculation. With Saudib

troops breaking into the STC's capital

of Aiden, the SEC's leader reportedly

fled the country for exile in the UAE.

And hours later, the STC's remaining

leadership under immense Saudi pressure

announced that it was completely

dissolving altogether. With the

Saudibacked government troops

overrunning all of the rest of the

former STC held territory, all within

the span of just a single month, the STC

blitzed across Yemen in a nearly

bloodless campaign. And it seemed like

it was inevitable that they were going

to secede and recreate South Yemen

again. and then they just immediately

collapsed and fell apart about as

quickly under the weight of this massive

Saudibbacked counteroffensive.

Hundreds of fighters on both sides have

reportedly been killed since the

internationally recognized government's

counteroffensive began. While all of

this has been greatly exacerbating the

rising tensions between the UAE and

Saudi Arabia, which will constrain both

of their abilities to actually contain

their mutual foe in Yemen, whom they had

previously been cooperating against, the

Houthis, who are now being presented

with a golden opportunity immediately

after they reached their ceasefires with

Israel and the United States to refocus

their attention back inward to expand

their own control in Yemen during the

chaos. The Houthies have in fact never

before been in a better geopolitical

position than they are currently. After

2 years of war with Israel, all of

Iran's other proxies in the Middle East

have been either crippled or outright

destroyed. Hamas is in tatters in the

ruins of Gaza. Most of Hezbollah's

leadership has been killed and its

fighting capacity severely degraded,

while the Assad regime in Syria has been

completely demolished and removed from

the board altogether. The Houthis are

the lone Iranian proxy in the region

that not only remains intact, but if

anything is stronger than ever before.

Their fight against Israel in solidarity

with Gaza and their constant war footing

has proven to be highly popular within

Yemen and very effective at recruitment.

In 2022, on the eve of the war with

Israel, the Houthies had an estimated

220,000 fighters within their ranks. And

by 2024, just a couple of years later,

they had managed to grow that number

dramatically to around 350,000 fighters,

which is one of the largest armies

controlled by any power in the world,

nearly the same size as the standing

army of Turkey, and their numbers have

probably only grown since then. While

the STC and the internationally

recognized government have controlled

most of Yemen's geographic land and oil

reserves, the Houthies have maintained

their control over the most densely

populated parts of the country,

including the capital city SA. Roughly

34s of Yemen's population live within

Houthy controlled territories, giving

them dramatically more manpower to work

with than their internal rivals in the

internationally recognized government

and STC have to work with. Their

external struggle against Israel in the

west have been immensely popular within

Yemen itself. While their military

capabilities have been increasing

dramatically since the war began as

well. At the start of the war with

Israel, the Houthis were not generally

capable of striking Israeli territory

directly. But by May of 2025, Houthi

ballistic missiles were capable of

accurately hitting the country's primary

airport at Bengurian near Tel Aviv. And

in September of 2025, a Houthi drone was

even capable of breaking through

Israel's vaunted air defenses and

impacted Ramon airport near Israel's

southern city of AOT, injuring 22 people

in the process. Long supported and armed

by the Iranians with ballistic missiles,

anti-ship cruise missiles, drones,

intelligence, and training, the Houthis

have also greatly expanded their sources

of arms and intelligence to other

anti-Western forces from around the

world since the Gaza war began as well.

Several of the missiles fired by the

Houthies at Israel over the past two

plus years have been found to have

Korean Hongul script written on their

components, suggesting that the North

Koreans have been supplying them with

missiles and other weapons. Russian-made

P800 on anti-hship missiles have been

reported to be in the Houthi's arsenal

now as well. While the Wall Street

Journal has even alleged that the

Russian GRU is actively present in

Houthie controlled territory in Yemen

and were providing them with the

geospatial intelligence they require to

target Western ships in the Red Sea,

while Russian oil has been supplied to

the Houthies through their controlled

porta.

China has also been allegedly supplying

the Houthies with copious amounts of

dualuse components that they've been

utilizing for military purposes. While

they're also known to have established

joint smuggling operations, training,

and weapons procurement with the

al-Shabaab militant group in Somalia as

well. The Houthies are a very different

organization than they were even just a

few years ago. And after 2 years worth

of defiant military experience fighting

against the most powerful militaries in

the world, the Americans and the

Israelis, they are far more formidable

than they've ever been before, too. With

the rest of Iran's axis of resistance

left in tatters, the Houthies now like

to claim that they are the vanguard that

now leads the Arab world in the

resistance against the American and

Israeli regional order in the Middle

East. They routinely label other major

Arab powers like the UAE, Saudi Arabia,

and Egypt all as American puppets who

have long ago betrayed the Palestinian

cause, which by extension also includes

their proxybacked governments in Yemen,

like the internationally recognized

government and the STC, whom the

Houthies have been able to effectively

label as the puppets of the puppets. The

STC's apparent strategy of trying to

declare their independence and then

recognizing Israel in return for US

recognition of their independence might

have made great external sense beyond

Yemen. But it was also a move that was

incredibly risky within Yemen because

Israel is wildly unpopular domestically

with the Yemeni people, especially

within the Houthi control territory. The

Houthis make their ultimate ambitions no

secret. They want to unify Yemen's

internationally recognized borders under

their own control and crush their

internal rivals, acquire all of their

resources, and then use them for further

rounds of fighting with Iran's backing

against America and Israel and their

allies, the Saudis and the Amiradis, in

order to push Western influence out of

the region for good. These goals, of

course, have led the Houthies into

direct conflict with virtually everyone

around them before. And while they've

taken some pretty heavy blows, they've

never been able to be fully defeated

from the outside. After attacking nearly

200 ships in the Red Sea in the Gulf of

Aiden after Israel launched its invasion

of Gaza, including the hijacking of one

ship and the sinking of two others, the

Trump administration in the US initiated

Operation Ruff Rider in early 2025. a

series of massive air and naval strikes

against Houthi radar systems, air

defenses, and missile and drone storage

and launch sites that they were using to

carry out their attacks with. About a

month into the operation, the British

Royal Air Force joined the Americans in

the aerial campaign as well. Over 52

days, the US carried out approximately

339 air strikes and hit more than a

thousand targets in Houthie controlled

territory, dropping more than a billion

dollars worth of ordinance in the

process. While the British carried out

around another 80 additional air strikes

of their own as well. And on top of the

military attacks, the US began

reapplying substantial economic pressure

on the Houthis as well by redesating

them as a foreign terrorist organization

near the beginning of 2025, suffocating

their access to the global banking

system and hampering their ability to

pay their fighters and public service

employees. The US, UK, and the Houthis

eventually entered into a ceasefire in

May of 2025. But the fight between the

Houthis and the Israelis continued on

for many more months afterward, and the

Israeli air strikes and attacks on the

Houthis were probably more devastating

than the American and British ones were.

Israeli warplanes virtually destroyed

most of the primary port that the

Houthis control at Huda. They were able

to kill the Houthi's appointed prime

minister with another strike in August

of 2025. And in October, just before

they agreed to their renewed ceasefire,

they managed to successfully assassinate

the Houthi's chief of staff as well.

Nonetheless, none of these actions have

substantially degraded the Houthi's

capability to wage war. Unlike Hamas and

Hezbollah, all of their primary

leadership and command structures

continue to remain alive and intact.

With the US and Israeli ceasefires in

place, the Houthis have been freed up

from two years of external war to shift

their focus back towards the internal

civil war within Yemen again. just at

about the same time as their rivals

being in a fight amongst themselves.

While the renewed US sanctions placed on

them have effectively removed

Washington's ability to credibly

threaten them with anything any further

as has been proven by the last 2 years

of the Americans and Israelis attempting

to bomb the Houthies into submission and

the many years of the Saudis and

Emiranis trying to bomb them into

submission before that. Aerial strikes

against the Houthies alone will never be

enough to stop them or to contain their

ambitions. The only thing that might be

able to stop them, a ground invasion and

an occupation, is completely unpalatable

for anyone to consider. The territory

the Houthies control in northern Yemen

is extremely mountainous and rugged like

Afghanistan. While the large population

of some 24 million people there are

deeply anti-western and would be all but

guaranteed to put up a fanatical

resistance to such an operation. A

ground invasion to topple the Houthies

from power would probably require

hundreds of thousands of troops in order

to be successful. Neither Washington nor

Tel Aviv have any appetite or bandwidth

to conduct the massive and costly

operation here it would take to truly

remove the Houthis from the board. And

the Houthis know it. While they also

know that if the internationally

recognized government and the STC begin

fighting amongst themselves in Yemen,

they are the ones who likely stand the

most to gain from it. It is conceivable

that the Houthies could press their

advantage and push into the rest of the

MIB province that they currently split

almost 50/50 with the internationally

recognized [music] government, which

notably has most of the rest of the

other 20% of Yemen's oil and gas fields

that the Houthis would feel more

incentivized to seize if they know

they're going to lose out on the bigger

oil fields in the Hadramat province. at

the same time. Or alternatively, they

can also choose to advance south along

the Red Sea coastline into the Thai

province where they currently contest

the regional capital with the

internationally recognized government.

The coastline in the province around the

city of Mocha is currently controlled by

forces that were aligned with the STC.

But both STC and internationally

recognized government forces have

reportedly moved away from this theater

to support the new campaign in the east

which might [music] expose this area to

renewed attacks from the Houthis. And to

give you a sense of just how far down

the list of priorities that Yemen has

fallen on the Trump administration's

agenda, [music]

there is currently not a US envoy

assigned to the country at all. While

there is one assigned to Greenland for

some reason, showing that the Trump

administration is more focused on

Greenland than it is on everything

that's about to go down in Yemen in the

heart of one of the most critical trade

arteries on the planet. Without the US

refocusing at least some attention to

Yemen, Saudi Arabia and the UAE, both

ostensibly US allies, will seemingly

continue on along their collision course

that will enable the Houthis and their

Iranian backers to take advantage of the

vacuum. While the [music] STC itself has

now been dissolved and all of its former

territory has been overrun by the Saudi

back forces in the country, that doesn't

mean that the cause for South Yemen's

independence has been completely lost.

The STC's leader is still alive and well

in exile in the UAE. While the cause for

separatism in the south of the country

also didn't come from nowhere. It's

already been reported that thousands of

people have taken to the streets in

Aiden and other southern cities to

protest in support of the separatist

cause against the Saudibbacked

government. While Saudi air power can

likely continue suppressing any major

attempt by the SEC to regain their

power, the Saudibbacked forces on the

ground that now occupy the south cities

like Aiden, which were under de facto

separatist control for nearly a decade

before now, will probably have their

work cut out for them and might even

face a long-term insurgency that could

prove difficult to ultimately contain.

But only time will tell. Hanging in the

balance, the UAE stands to lose their

keystone secession project in South

Yemen that they need in order to connect

to their other backed projects in

Somalia and Sudan for control of the Red

Sea. And with the Houthies still

powerful and waiting in place to see

what ends up happening and a potential

insurgency across the south from the now

occupied separatists, the Saudis still

stand at a risk of witnessing the

eventual partition of Yemen that could

leave behind either one or two hostile

states toward it directly on their

southern border. That'll fment

instability for decades to come. The

stage has been set for the next phase of

the long and complicated civil war in

Yemen.

Now, Yemen and the broader Middle East

is also known for a lot of things

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And as always, thank you so much for

watching.