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OpenAI Linked Stocks Fall on Report It Missed Targets | Bloomberg Tech

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OpenAI Linked Stocks Fall on Report It Missed Targets | Bloomberg Tech

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1352 segments

0:02

Bloomberg Audio Studios, podcasts,

0:05

radio, news.

0:11

Bloomberg Tech is live from coast to

0:13

coast with Caroline Hyde in New York and

0:17

Ed Lelo in San Francisco.

0:21

>> This is Bloomberg Tech. Coming up,

0:23

OpenAI link stock slump after the Wall

0:25

Street Journal reported that the company

0:27

failed to meet its own sales and user

0:30

targets.

0:30

>> Plus, a jury has been selected for the

0:32

trial between some Alman and Elon Musk,

0:34

who claims OpenAI abandoned its founding

0:37

mission. Arguments begin today.

0:39

>> And late night host Jimmy Kimmel has

0:41

defended comments he made that prompted

0:43

President Trump to call for him to be

0:45

fired. We head to Hollywood for the

0:47

latest.

0:48

>> First, we head to these markets, Ed, and

0:49

they are under pressure. Yes,

0:51

geopolitical tensions still loom large

0:53

and we think a lot about Iran and the

0:55

straight of four moves, but we also

0:56

think about what's currently happening

0:58

in the sell-off related to techn by one

1:00

and a quarter percent on the NASDAQ 100

1:02

worst day in a month. Why? You're going

1:04

to get to those details. It's all open

1:05

AI related. Yep. Look at this board.

1:08

These are the Soft Bank USlisted shares

1:10

that have tens of billions of dollars of

1:12

exposure to Open AI. Coreweave, clear

1:15

neocloud exposure to Open AI. Oracle the

1:19

primary infrastructure partner for open

1:21

AAI. The journal reporting that OpenAI

1:24

missed its own metrics financial ones

1:25

for 2025 and contemporaneously Caro the

1:29

user number is not where they want it to

1:31

be. It's not. And this is all reporting

1:34

from the Wall Street Journal. We want to

1:35

dig into that with Bloomberg Tech editor

1:37

Seth Figman. What is the biggest anxiety

1:41

for investors? Is it that they're not

1:42

yet at a billion users and had been

1:44

hoped by investors thus far? Is it more

1:46

the revenues that aren't hitting

1:48

internal targets? What is it about this

1:50

reporting?

1:50

>> You know, I'd say probably more the

1:52

revenue side of things. Ultimately, this

1:54

company is still growing pretty fast,

1:55

but if they fall short of their own

1:57

expectations, even by a modest amount,

1:59

it might affect the wider AI ecosystem.

2:02

As a reminder, as we've reported, OpenAI

2:04

has increasingly set itself up at the

2:05

center of this complex web of

2:07

investments from chip suppliers uh and

2:10

cloud providers. And if it has to reduce

2:12

in any form its commitment to

2:14

infrastructure spending, it could have

2:15

ripple effects for the wider AI

2:17

landscape.

2:18

>> I'm just going to go through what the

2:19

journal reported. Chat GPT missed its

2:21

annual revenue target in 25. It missed

2:24

its internal fullear revenue goal and

2:26

then for 26 monthly revenue targets are

2:29

behind. And the big one probably is the

2:31

billion figure for chat GPT users. again

2:35

all Wall Street Journal reporting and I

2:37

note that in that story there is a

2:39

pretty strong statement from both Sarah

2:41

Fry the CFO and CEO Sam Alman what what

2:45

what what's the logic here of why we see

2:46

all these stocks react it's just their

2:48

partners or what?

2:49

>> Yeah, I think that they're partners and

2:51

ultimately if OpenAI has to rethink the

2:54

hundreds of billions of dollars that it

2:55

plans to spend in the next 5 to 10 years

2:57

on data centers and chips that could

2:59

have ripple effects for a lot of these

3:00

partners. Now I will say Ed, you alluded

3:02

to some push back here. We're also

3:04

hearing directly from OpenAI in a

3:06

statement that they're saying their

3:07

business is firing on all cylinders

3:09

quote end quote right now with strong

3:11

growth in their nent advertising efforts

3:14

on the consumer side as well as with

3:16

their enterprise product. Now they're

3:17

not spelling out their financial

3:18

details. Neither is the Wall Street

3:20

Journal.

3:21

>> All of this though puts the question of

3:23

the IPO in the balance as well and just

3:26

the rush to be able to raise more funds

3:28

publicly. Does that matter in this

3:30

context particularly if we are seeing

3:32

that there it questions whether they're

3:34

going to be able to finance that going

3:36

forward for more compute.

3:37

>> I think it certainly matters in probably

3:38

a couple different ways. One, if their

3:40

business is not where they want it to

3:41

be, that's going to add pressure for

3:42

them to maybe delay a little bit longer

3:44

before going public. But two, if the

3:46

question here is why are they not where

3:48

they want to be, it seems likely that

3:50

it's because of the pressure they're

3:50

facing from Google and Anthropic, the

3:52

lagger of which also wants to go public

3:54

as soon as this year. So, if it's facing

3:56

off against a possibly ascendant rival,

3:59

that's going to make it even that much

4:00

harder to pitch Wall Street.

4:02

>> So, for part of the OpenAI story and in

4:05

the Wall Street Journal's reporting and

4:06

others reporting is this concern that

4:08

Sarah Frier has. Revenues aren't growing

4:11

at the same pace that justifies all the

4:13

spending. And when you're going to IPO,

4:15

that's a bit worrying if you're going to

4:16

put that in front of investors. What do

4:18

we know in that standpoint? Yeah, I mean

4:20

look what this company has publicly said

4:22

is I think last year they were around $1

4:23

13 billion in revenue as of February

4:25

after they announced the mammoth funding

4:27

round. Uh they said that they were

4:29

generating $2 billion in revenue a

4:31

month. So you can do the math there.

4:33

It's still a fast growing company but in

4:35

order to justify $600 billion in infra

4:37

spending which is what they've said you

4:39

need to be growing a bit faster than

4:40

that. And Sam Alman has previously

4:42

sounded quite bullish on the prospects

4:44

to grow this business quite fast up to

4:45

you know hundred billion dollars in

4:46

revenue in the coming years. If that's

4:48

going to happen at a slower pace, they

4:50

might need to rethink some of their data

4:51

center buildout plans.

4:53

>> Bloomberg, Seth Figerman, thank you.

4:54

Bloomberg Intelligence out with the

4:56

react senior tech analyst Anaragana

4:58

writing that if open AI sales were to

5:01

miss as reported by the Wall Street

5:02

Journal, it could have an impact across

5:04

the entire AI infrastructure ecosystem.

5:08

Anar joins us now. What's so interesting

5:10

about this like the market's response is

5:12

oh, we actually now do need evidence of

5:14

demand, right? we know about the

5:16

infrastructure spend that data we've got

5:18

what we don't have is what's coming out

5:20

the other side how are you computing

5:22

that

5:23

>> so when we look at the entire uh cloud

5:25

infrastructure demand I mean that still

5:27

remains very solid whether that's

5:29

transferred from openai to anthropic

5:31

that is the big story that we are

5:32

discussing here is whether this promise

5:34

that openai has made to Oracle to Amazon

5:38

to Microsoft to core you know how good

5:40

is that promise over the long term and I

5:42

think that's the contention point but

5:44

frankly if If you were to put that

5:46

aside, the demand for cloud

5:48

infrastructure remains extremely strong

5:49

right now and partially driven by

5:52

anthropic and all the the coding tools

5:53

that we have seen over the last 6

5:55

months.

5:56

>> What's so interesting is coreweave have

5:58

come out with a statement from a

5:59

spokesperson saying all we see is more

6:02

demand than there is supply when it

6:04

comes to compute right now. That exactly

6:06

leans into where you see Anorak. So if

6:08

there was one player pulling back,

6:10

there's immediately enough demand to

6:12

fill that supply.

6:14

See for somebody like Corvid absolutely

6:15

they can backfill it with because they

6:17

have agreements with Meta they have

6:19

agreements with Microsoft. So I mean

6:21

given their scale it's not a big deal

6:23

and I would say the same thing for both

6:25

Amazon and Microsoft because they have

6:27

enough backlog coming from other places.

6:29

The the thing is over here Oracle is the

6:31

one where OpenAI has the largest

6:34

commitment which was $300 billion plus.

6:36

Now the this is where you would see that

6:38

how will that number shape up in the

6:41

coming years. You know, I would argue

6:42

that even if things were really fine

6:44

with OpenAI and there were no changes,

6:47

um there could be some transfer of that

6:49

demand from Oracle to potentially

6:51

Amazon's web services because when

6:54

OpenAI and Oracle signed that deal,

6:56

Amazon was not in the picture. Amazon

6:58

recently got included in the in the pie

7:01

and they s and you know, OpenAI made a

7:03

100 billion plus commitment with them.

7:05

So, you know, if if they're going to cut

7:07

back somewhere, I think the the my gut

7:09

instinct is it's going to come more from

7:10

Oracle than anybody else.

7:12

>> And we see the share price reaction in

7:13

Oracle today, of course, along with

7:14

everyone else. Anorog, can I just go

7:16

back to one area that has been reported

7:19

is that OpenAI had turned to its own

7:21

investors saying the reason we can stay

7:23

ahead and perhaps fend off competition

7:26

like an anthropic is we've got more

7:28

compute. Is that a winning formula for

7:31

these LLMs right now?

7:33

So that is the traditional mindset that

7:35

the more compute that you have the

7:37

better your model is going to be. Um so

7:39

far that trick has been working in a

7:41

sense that mod that concept of u uh you

7:44

know you could say scaling laws have

7:46

been working. Um I just don't know how

7:48

that shapes up in the next iteration of

7:50

model and how big of a clusters do you

7:52

need to train them

7:54

>> and Ragana out with the react out with

7:56

the Bloomberg intelligence. We so

7:57

appreciate it. Let's get broader market

7:59

perspective now. Tiffany Wade's here

8:00

with us. Columbia Thread Needle

8:02

Investment Senior Portfolio Manager.

8:04

It's interesting how much the market

8:05

reacts to this particular reporting. Is

8:09

there reason to have anxiety that

8:11

companies are good for the compute

8:13

demand right now? I think we're going to

8:15

see that the compute demand continues to

8:17

persist. There's so much demand and it's

8:19

not just from anthropic and open AI.

8:21

It's really across the economy that

8:22

we're seeing demand for more processing

8:24

power. So I expect the spending is going

8:27

to continue. But I get why we're seeing

8:29

some of the stock reactions on a news

8:31

report like this uh es especially across

8:34

the tech and the semis where these

8:35

stocks have been up you know almost 40%

8:37

over the last month. So it kind of makes

8:39

sense that we're seeing them take a

8:40

breather on a big bit of a negative news

8:42

report. Um but I don't think that we're

8:45

going to see that the story for

8:46

infrastructure uh you know spaying

8:48

demand has cracked. Tiffany, I'm right

8:50

in saying that um Alphabet, parent of

8:53

Google, is one of your your top

8:54

holdings, one of your top names, right?

8:56

>> Yes.

8:58

>> What we've looked at is obviously the

9:00

chaos in the moment. There's a big move

9:01

in in the session, but this is a longer

9:03

term chart and it shows that Alphabet

9:07

exposed stocks have massively

9:09

outperformed OpenAI exposed stocks. We

9:12

can get into the different definition of

9:14

but each, but what does that chart tell

9:16

you about your own thesis and conviction

9:18

on Google? Yeah, I think we're seeing

9:20

the divergence here in the charts really

9:22

happen according to the competitiveness

9:24

of the models that have been released by

9:26

both companies, right? So, Google for a

9:28

while was being perceived as a bit of a

9:29

loser uh because their models were maybe

9:32

not as good as what we were seeing come

9:33

out of OpenAI uh and Anthropic and that

9:36

changed last year uh when they released

9:38

some of their newer Gemini models and

9:39

then they were seen as more of a winner.

9:41

Um, and I think that caused some of that

9:42

divergence uh and the performance

9:44

between those those baskets of stocks

9:46

that are linked to Google and that are

9:48

linked uh to open AI. And certainly this

9:50

continues to sort of push that narrative

9:52

around how competitive are Open AI

9:54

models versus uh the competitors.

9:58

>> Let's bring it back to today's top

9:59

story. Stocks that have an association

10:02

with OpenAI are selling off pretty hard

10:04

on the basis that the journal reported

10:07

it missed prior year financial targets

10:09

internal and it's still not where it

10:11

wants to be on chat GBT users. It seems

10:14

like now we do need some more evidence

10:16

of demand on a longerterm basis. We're

10:19

not just focused on the the capex input.

10:21

Is that where your your head's at,

10:23

Tiffany?

10:24

>> I think that's right. Uh I don't think

10:25

the demand overall is slowing. We're

10:27

seeing amazing numbers coming out of

10:28

Anthropic. they've taken up their

10:30

revenue targets significantly over the

10:32

course of the year. There could be a

10:33

couple things that are causing uh OpenAI

10:36

to grow a little bit slower and and part

10:38

of it could be that they're losing a bit

10:40

of market share to Anthropic. Uh

10:42

Anthropic with their uh cloud code

10:44

product has been a massive hit so far

10:46

this year. OpenAI was a couple months

10:47

behind in releasing their codeex

10:49

product. uh their exclusivity agreement

10:51

with Microsoft may also have been a bit

10:53

of a headwind to uh enterprise adoption

10:56

but yesterday that uh agreement was

10:58

renegotiated. So we might see some more

11:00

opportunity for open AI on some of the

11:01

other cloud providers as more models

11:03

become available elsewhere. So I think

11:05

we might see some of those proof points

11:07

around the growth uh given just you know

11:10

having the ability to uh sell this

11:12

codeex product across more platforms and

11:15

also the ability to sell their models

11:16

across a wider array of models across

11:18

AWS and then also across the Google

11:20

cloud platform

11:21

>> and that proof point comes in earnings.

11:24

I mean we're all just holding our breath

11:26

for this week to really see how much

11:27

capital expenditure continues to come

11:29

from these mega players. Yeah. Well, I

11:31

don't think we'll know the answer for

11:32

OpenAI specifically this week, but we'll

11:34

certainly see if the demand continues to

11:36

hold up. I think we'll be watching very

11:38

closely to see the revenue growth and

11:40

potentially continued sort of

11:42

acceleration in revenue growth for the

11:43

cloud services providers and then also

11:45

what they have to say about capex plans.

11:47

It's likely that we'll continue to hear

11:49

the companies say that they're capacity

11:50

constrained, which may lead to increased

11:53

capex expenditures for the year.

11:55

>> Tiffany, let's put the academic side of

11:57

this to one side. AI is developing. AI

12:00

is potentially good for the world. This

12:02

is Bloomberg. We do business. So what's

12:05

the metric by which we set the world

12:07

order of who is leading in the field?

12:09

Open AI, Anthropic, Alphabet, Meta, XAI.

12:14

How do you establish a rank?

12:16

>> I think some of the things we're looking

12:18

for is certainly user growth when we're

12:19

thinking about the model providers. So

12:21

at the moment it seems like Anthropic is

12:23

leading. Also their you focus on

12:26

enterprise demand has clearly been a

12:28

benefit for them versus open AI shifting

12:30

demand towards enterprise or their focus

12:33

towards uh enterprise later on. And then

12:35

for the cloud providers, we're really

12:37

looking for that acceleration uh in the

12:40

revenue for the cloud businesses as an

12:42

indicator that demand continues to grow

12:44

and that they're starting to generate

12:45

some good returns off of the spending

12:47

that they are uh committed to.

12:50

From your perspective, the hardware you

12:52

are you open this up by saying no wonder

12:54

we perhaps get a pullback because the

12:56

market has run so high, but is it for

12:58

2026 hardware wins, infrastructure wins,

13:01

software is still at play and still an

13:03

anxietyridden space right now? I think

13:05

we're going to see that continue to be

13:07

the playbook for the year. I wouldn't be

13:08

surprised if we took a little bit of a

13:10

breather on some of the semiconductor

13:11

stocks. I mentioned they're up almost

13:13

40% over the last month, so potentially

13:15

quite crowded here going into the rest

13:17

of earnings. But I think that that

13:19

narrative probably continues for the

13:21

rest of the year where we're seeing very

13:22

good demand, very good backlog for all

13:24

of the hardware companies and these

13:26

questions continue to linger about sort

13:28

of the business model for for software

13:29

and SAS companies.

13:31

>> Tiffany Wade of Columbia Fred Needle. Uh

13:34

it's been a robust, timely, and very

13:36

useful conversation. Thank you very

13:38

much. Now, coming up, President Trump is

13:40

once again criticizing late night host

13:42

Jimmy Kimmel and calling for him to be

13:44

fired. We're going to have the details

13:46

of that next. In the meantime, President

13:48

Trump is speaking in Washington where

13:50

he's welcoming King Charles III at the

13:52

White House. Let's listen in.

13:54

>> Where the two great leaders met was

13:57

called the Prince of Wales, the very

13:59

title that his majesty the king held

14:02

longer than any other individual in

14:04

British history, and he held it with

14:07

great pride and respect.

14:10

It said that when Prime Minister

14:13

Churchill first met this future king

14:16

many decades ago, he was so impressed.

14:20

He made the statement, "He is so young

14:23

to think so much and so well."

14:27

And the bust of your great prime

14:32

minister rests proudly again in the Oval

14:37

Office. We're very proud to bring it

14:39

back. We brought it back.

14:43

Throughout his majesty's life, the world

14:46

has witnessed that same thoughtfulness

14:48

which first struck Britain's greatest

14:51

prime minister. His majesty's intellect,

14:54

passion and devotion

14:56

have been long really a long a blessing

14:59

blessing to the British people

15:04

but not only to his own country but to

15:06

the cherished bond between the United

15:09

States and the United Kingdom. And I am

15:13

very certain that it will continue that

15:17

way long into the future.

15:20

In a few hours, his majesty will stand

15:22

in the heart of the United States

15:26

capital as the very first British king

15:29

ever to address

15:31

a joint session

15:34

of the United States Congress. So, he's

15:37

going to be addressing

15:40

Congress and I'm going to be watching.

15:43

I was thinking of going, but they said,

15:44

"I don't know. That might be a step too

15:47

far. I would love to go.

15:50

It's not supposed to be protocol, but I

15:52

would love to be with you.

15:54

But there the direct descendant of King

15:58

George III will speak to the direct

16:01

successor of the very body that gathered

16:04

in Independence Hall in July 4th, 1776.

16:10

If John Adams and George Washington or

16:12

the King's fifth greatgrandfather

16:15

could see that site, they might be

16:17

absolutely shocked, but probably only

16:21

for a moment. Surely they would be

16:24

delighted that the wounds of war healed

16:28

into the most cherished friendship.

16:30

Think of that very, very

16:34

long ago difficult war. And yet those

16:38

wounds did indeed heal into the most

16:40

cherished of friendships. Most

16:42

cherished.

16:44

They would be moved beyond words to know

16:46

that the soldiers who once called each

16:49

other red coats and Yankees became the

16:53

Tomies and the GIS who together saved

16:55

the free world as brothers in arms and

16:58

brothers in eternity. And nobody fought

17:00

better together than us.

17:04

if they could see us today.

17:12

I agree that hateful and violent

17:14

rhetoric is something we should reject.

17:16

I do. And I think a great place to start

17:19

to dial that back would be to have a

17:21

conversation with your husband about it

17:22

because um

17:25

by the WAY

17:28

I also should point out Donald Trump is

17:31

allowed to say whatever he wants to say

17:33

as are you and as am I as are all of us

17:36

because under the first amendment we

17:38

have as Americans a right to free

17:40

speech.

17:42

Jimmy Kimmel there defending a joke he

17:44

made last week that prompted President

17:46

Donald Trump to call for ABC to fire the

17:49

late night host. Let's get the details

17:51

on this latest fight between Kimmel and

17:54

the president with Lucas Shaw who leads

17:56

our screen time team out of LA and

17:58

Hollywood.

18:00

Where do we start, Lucas? I mean uh

18:02

there is a chronology to what happened

18:04

over the last seven days, but the the

18:07

net result is that the president has

18:09

called for Jimmy Kimmel to be fired.

18:11

Yeah, I mean we um we've it feels a

18:14

little bit like deja vu which which uh

18:15

Kimmel talked about on television last

18:17

night. It was it was you know six months

18:20

ago give or take I think it maybe seven

18:22

where um you know the the the

18:27

chairman of the FCC Brendan Carr

18:28

President Trump were calling for Kimmel

18:31

to be fired by by Disney and ABC or

18:33

calling on stations to come after

18:35

Kimmel. Um, but that's one of the big

18:37

differences this time versus last time

18:38

is, you know, Disney reacted very

18:40

swiftly in part because some of the

18:42

biggest local station owners, which

18:44

carry the kind of ABC on their on their

18:46

local networks, were asking for Kimmel

18:48

to be fired or asking for him to be off

18:50

the air because of comments he'd made at

18:52

the time regarding Charlie Kirk, right?

18:54

>> Um, you know, this time they they aren't

18:56

doing that. They've been pretty silent.

18:58

Lucas, in October, um, after that first

19:02

dispute, uh, you had an extended

19:04

conversation with Kimmel on stage in Los

19:06

Angeles at our screen time event. For

19:08

the Bloomberg Tech audience around the

19:10

world that may not understand this,

19:11

right? They don't necessarily know Jimmy

19:13

Kimmel. They may, they don't understand

19:15

why the president is so engaged over

19:17

what Jimmy Kimmel has to say, just give

19:18

us the basics of of his show, its reach,

19:22

why this is happening. Look, Jimmy

19:24

Kimmel uh hosts one of the three of main

19:27

late night talk shows on American

19:29

Broadcast TV. You've got the show on CBS

19:31

by Steven Colbear, which is about to go

19:32

away. You've got the show on NBC hosted

19:34

by Jimmy Fallon and then Kimmel on ABC.

19:37

You know, he is not known or at least

19:39

for most of his career was not known as

19:40

a political comedian, but over the last

19:42

several years has gotten far more

19:43

outspoken on politics and has been a

19:45

really frequent thorn in the side of

19:47

President Trump. Trump does not like to

19:49

get made fun of and is is someone who

19:51

still cares about late night television.

19:53

And so they've had sort of public

19:56

jousting again and again. And I think

19:58

this time, you know, Disney didn't take

20:00

Kimmel off the air. Kimmel was not, you

20:02

know, he he is finding a way to

20:04

consistently tweak the president while

20:07

also trying to, you know, not cross the

20:10

line as he has done in the past.

20:12

>> Kimmel did say he was sorry for what

20:14

Trump, the first lady, and everyone at

20:16

the dinner. This is a White House

20:18

correspondence dinner went through but

20:20

question whether really the joke was in

20:22

any way relationship to then what

20:23

occurred over the weekend. That is the

20:25

context here. Lucas, how do we see

20:27

therefore maybe any Brennan car comments

20:31

coming further? Do you anticipate are

20:32

you bracing yourself for any further

20:34

reaction?

20:35

>> Look, you made a crucial point which is

20:38

that Jimmy Kimmel made a joke that we

20:40

can debate whether or not it was in good

20:42

taste or not, but it was made prior to

20:44

the incident at the White House

20:45

correspondents dinner over the weekend.

20:46

So, it's not like he was making light of

20:48

that situation because the the comments

20:51

were were edgy. They have been

20:52

weaponized by the Trump administration

20:54

once again to show that Kimmel is kind

20:56

of a is a is a bad guy. Is it possible

20:59

that FCC and and that the FCC and

21:01

Brendan Carr come after Kimmel or more

21:03

specifically come after Disney and those

21:05

ABC station licenses? Kind of anything

21:07

is possible. Brendan Carr has behaved in

21:09

a manner that is unlike any FCC chair

21:12

before. Um but I don't we don't know yet

21:14

what they're planning to do.

21:16

Lukash as always across it. We

21:19

appreciate you. China is moving from

21:22

regulation to intervention in an

21:24

unprecedented geopolitical power play.

21:26

Xi Jinping is attempting to block a meta

21:28

deal that has already closed. Newberg's

21:30

Peter Elstrom has more on Beijing's move

21:32

to exert extrterritorial influence over

21:36

Silicon Valley. Is that how it's being

21:38

seen? Peter, I'm really interested in we

21:40

understand how Meta and Manis yesterday

21:42

we covered why that deal might be being

21:44

getting pushed back from China, but how

21:46

does it affect other companies that have

21:49

been born in China and moved elsewhere?

21:52

>> Well, China for a long time has been

21:55

able to exercise these regulatory powers

21:58

that are far beyond what you would see

22:00

in other countries. We know of course

22:02

about their crackdown on Jackman,

22:03

Alibaba, and the Ant Group, for example.

22:06

Probably the closest thing to what we're

22:08

seeing right now with uh with Manis is

22:10

when DD the ride hailing company,

22:12

they're listed on the New York Stock

22:14

Exchange and then actually had to

22:15

reverse course and pull its listing. And

22:17

so what they're trying to do here is

22:19

quite similar in a lot of ways. They're

22:21

trying to go to Meta even though it's

22:22

already closed this deal and get them to

22:24

undo the acquisition of Manis. It's not

22:27

clear how that would happen. As we

22:28

talked about yesterday, the money has

22:30

already been distributed to the

22:31

shareholders of Manis. It's not clear

22:33

whether they can get those checks back

22:34

and actually return them. And it's also

22:36

not clear how they're going to undo some

22:38

of the technology sharing that we've

22:40

already seen. Uh Manis has already

22:43

shared a bunch of their technology with

22:44

Meta at this point. So it's not clear

22:46

that you can actually undo this and what

22:48

it would mean to actually undo it at

22:49

this stage of the process.

22:51

>> There is a case study mirror mind.

22:54

Peter, correct me if if I haven't uh

22:56

said that right, but this is a business

22:58

that has a US component and a Chinese

23:01

component. And we've reported that the

23:03

founder has looked at the mana situation

23:05

and said, "Okay, I'm taking action in

23:09

light of the the latest policy position

23:11

from China." That's that's right. Yeah.

23:14

And this is a sign of how Chinese

23:16

entrepreneurs are entrepreneurs with

23:18

their roots in China are now being very

23:20

careful about this geopolitical divide

23:22

between China and the United States in

23:24

particular. So in this case, you said it

23:26

exactly right. It's Mural Mind. This is

23:28

a founder Chen who was famous for

23:30

starting a games company called Shanda.

23:32

He's decided that he needs to quarantine

23:34

the Chinese business and the US business

23:36

from each other. They've set up um uh

23:39

strict uh uh restrictions between those

23:42

operations to make sure that they don't

23:43

share data, they don't share code

23:45

between the two operations. They can run

23:47

them uh separately at this point. And I

23:49

think that's a sign more broadly for

23:51

these Chinese entrepreneurs who are

23:52

starting up a bunch of very very

23:54

interesting uh companies within uh the

23:57

country at this point. Some of them in

23:58

the past have looked to move to

23:59

Singapore to perhaps distance

24:01

themselves. That's actually what Manis

24:02

tried to do. But it's not clear that

24:04

that's going to work unless you go to go

24:07

to Singapore separately, start up your

24:09

company separately there and then don't

24:10

leave anything behind in China.

24:12

>> So it's a tricky situation overall for

24:14

these entrepreneurs. Bloomberg's Peter

24:16

Elstrom who's the executive editor

24:18

leading our coverage of of Asia Tech.

24:21

Thank you very much.

24:27

>> Welcome back to Bloomberg Tech. We check

24:28

in on these markets which are under

24:29

pressure. NASDAQ 100 having the worst

24:32

day in a month at the moment as big tech

24:34

pulls back and we'll get into the

24:36

reasoning around that. Number one key

24:37

stock that's on the downside. Of course,

24:39

European born but US traded Spotify off

24:42

by 12% having its worst day since 2023.

24:45

This after earnings come in lackluster

24:47

according to Bloomberg Intelligence

24:49

second quarter gross margin forecast

24:51

implies a very modest expansion from the

24:54

fiscal first quarter. And they say it's

24:55

going to fuel concerns that AI music is

24:58

taking market share. Let's talk more

25:00

about AI because that is what's seeing

25:01

tech under pressure today. Not the

25:03

geopolitical overhang, but what's

25:05

happening with OpenAI reporting from the

25:07

Wall Street Journal that it's missing

25:08

internal targets for growth on user base

25:11

for growth on revenues and it tugs down

25:13

the ecosystem that surrounds OpenAI.

25:15

Oracle its infrastructure player down by

25:17

4%. ARM holdings with its relationship

25:19

with SoftBank up by more than 8%. Gven

25:22

Nova, even the electricity

25:23

infrastructure that's meant to be going

25:24

into future compute, it's down by 5%.

25:27

Ed, this is a broad reaction. Okay,

25:30

Bloomberg's equities reporter Carmen

25:32

Reini is with us. I mean, how broad,

25:34

right? You know, we've looked very

25:36

closely at Oracle and its exposure to

25:38

Open AI, the Neocloud's Core Weave, an

25:40

obvious example. Car touched on power.

25:43

Does it go beyond that in the market

25:45

this morning?

25:46

>> Yeah, I mean, I think we're seeing kind

25:48

of any stock that's really linked to

25:50

Open AI under pressure this morning. And

25:52

really, the reason behind that is that

25:54

there's concerns that they're not

25:55

meeting these targets. are they going to

25:56

be able to meet the sort of myriad of

25:59

commitments that they've made with other

26:00

companies through all the the deals that

26:02

they have? It's really bringing back

26:04

those fears around circular financing

26:06

that we saw kind of at the beginning of

26:07

the year and investors have maybe

26:09

started to overlook a little bit um as

26:11

maybe they've shifted to you know

26:12

looking at capex and return on

26:13

investment for some of this AI spending.

26:16

So we're seeing really broadbased

26:18

pressure here. Um, it's also important

26:21

to note, I think that Open AI linked

26:23

stocks have underperformed those linked

26:25

to Alphabet. So, that's the other thing

26:27

here. There's just more competition in

26:28

the space overall that's putting

26:31

pressure on OpenAI. Um, and investors

26:33

are really taking note of that. Car,

26:35

it's interesting that OpenAI have come

26:36

back forcefully in own statements to

26:38

Bloomberg saying they're firing on all

26:40

cylinders. What's interesting is our

26:42

cylinders going to be firing in earnings

26:44

coming up later this week that just show

26:45

where the capital expenditure is there

26:47

whether more broadly the compute story

26:49

is there even if it's being reshuffled

26:51

around some of the LLMs.

26:53

>> Yeah, definitely. I think investors were

26:55

already looking at these reports coming

26:57

up especially all the hyperscalers on

26:59

Wednesday with a high level of scrutiny

27:01

and I think this raises the bar right

27:03

we're looking at capex we want to see I

27:05

think that spending is still happening

27:07

but any pullback would be an issue and

27:10

then on the flip side the return on

27:12

investment like what these companies are

27:13

seeing from all this spending is just

27:15

going to be paramount

27:18

>> what next carbon I mean uh it's weird

27:21

but for the first 32 minutes and 30

27:24

seconds of the show, we haven't

27:26

mentioned that there are trillions and

27:28

trillions of dollars of market cap

27:29

reporting earnings imminently and that

27:31

could turn the entire tech market on its

27:33

head.

27:34

>> Exactly. I mean, we have a huge slate of

27:36

reports that are coming up later this

27:37

week. I mean, Wednesday again, we get

27:39

the four biggest hyperscalers. We get

27:41

Apple on Thursday. Qualcomm's in the mix

27:43

as well. So there's so much money, you

27:46

know, in the market coming from AI

27:49

that's tied to AI and we're going to get

27:50

results from these companies this week

27:53

and investors have been reacting very

27:55

strongly sort of pricing in either the

27:57

very best case scenario or the very

27:58

worst case scenario I think as we can

28:00

see today with how the market these tech

28:02

stocks are moving. So these these

28:05

reports coming up are going to be so

28:07

important and they're going to swing you

28:09

know the entire market. So, we're really

28:12

just waiting to see what what happens. I

28:14

think it's an 82nd spread on Wednesday

28:16

that we get four of the biggest

28:17

companies, you know, on in the AI story

28:19

reporting. So, it's going to be it's

28:21

going to be a really fun day.

28:22

>> Brace brace Ricky. Thank you very much

28:25

indeed. Look, let's turn to other OpenAI

28:28

news right now making headlines today. A

28:30

jury has been selected for the trial

28:32

between the AI firm and Elon Musk who

28:34

claims that the company OpenAI abandoned

28:37

its founding mission as a nonprofit.

28:39

Arguments begin today, but regardless of

28:42

the outcome, Bloomberg opinion reporter

28:43

Dave Lee says it's a win for Musk. Dave,

28:46

you're with us now. And in many ways, is

28:48

it the distraction

28:50

>> that ends up winning for XAI and Elon

28:53

Musk here?

28:53

>> Right. I think if you're Elon Musk,

28:54

you're looking at open AI and thinking

28:56

there's a competitor that reduces uh

28:59

Musk's own chances of capturing more of

29:01

the AI market. We know SpaceX is looking

29:04

to go public very, very soon. Um, and

29:06

XAI, the AI company, is part of that.

29:09

Um, and what this case is doing at the

29:11

very very least is is is putting a a

29:14

cloud over OpenAI's own efforts to go

29:16

public themselves. You know, as this is

29:18

overhanging them, there's a chance if it

29:20

really goes against OpenAI that they'll

29:22

have to unwind their for-profit business

29:24

and go back to the nonprofit structure

29:26

that they originally set up in, which

29:28

Elon Musk says he's seeking to create.

29:31

OpenAI, of course, say, you know, Elon

29:33

Musk is being disingenuous. he wants to

29:35

be rich from AI as well. He was behind a

29:37

for-profit restructuring for Open AI and

29:40

that this is just a ploy to slow them

29:42

down. Well, it's a ploy that is already

29:44

working uh and could get more effective

29:47

uh depending on how uh the court ends up

29:49

ends up seeing it.

29:51

>> Okay. The title of your column is Open

29:54

AI is shedding baggage. Now, it needs a

29:57

jury's help. Dave Lee, what baggage?

30:00

Just be a bit more specific.

30:02

>> Where do you begin? I mean, look, we've

30:04

seen today this issue of of having user

30:06

and and revenue growth issues, but one

30:09

of the things that's been uh affecting

30:11

Open AI recently is this idea that it's

30:13

doing too many things and that it's and

30:16

it's some of this deal making has tied

30:18

it in knots. So, for example, on Monday

30:20

uh we saw that Open AAI had renegotiated

30:22

an already renegotiated deal with

30:24

Microsoft over compute over access to

30:27

frontier models. That's a good bit of

30:29

baggage to get out of the way because it

30:30

it brings some clarity to their deal

30:32

with Microsoft which has kind of gone

30:34

sour over the last uh couple of years.

30:36

Uh other baggage includes what the

30:38

company was calling Side Quest. So we

30:40

saw it close down Sora, the video app

30:42

that was kind of popular but was really

30:44

expensive to run. Didn't really seem to

30:46

have much in the way of um generating uh

30:49

enough revenue to make it worth it for

30:51

OpenAI. These are all little things that

30:54

Sam Orman, I think, in his sheer

30:56

enthusiasm to try and do everything and

30:58

now as the company prepares for an IPO,

31:00

seen as uh distractions, seen as strains

31:03

on the balance sheet, you know, this is

31:05

a company that's going to show that even

31:06

though uh it's going to be losing money

31:08

for quite some time up until at least

31:10

2030 is the projection. They've got to

31:13

be shown to be reigning in some of those

31:14

costs to at least be heading in the

31:16

right direction. The biggest bit of

31:18

baggage or one of the largest bits of

31:20

baggage I should say is this trial

31:22

though which is why as I said they need

31:23

they need a jury's help with some of

31:25

this.

31:26

>> Well they've got the jury they have

31:27

opening statements. In fact Sam Alman

31:29

and Greg Brutman were at the court

31:31

yesterday which was a surprise to some.

31:34

We are expecting a lot of other previous

31:36

and current OpenAI executives to take

31:38

the stand. Right.

31:39

>> Yeah. I mean what open AAI has been a

31:41

soap opera in Silicon Valley. You had

31:43

Sam Alman forced out briefly back after

31:45

a weekend. You've had staff leaving

31:47

starting their own companies. Anthropic

31:49

of course is one of those. Mera Morati

31:51

has started her own company. She was uh

31:53

formerly open AI. Having some of this

31:56

laid out on the stand is going to be

31:58

wonderful for people like us. I feel

32:00

it's going to be very uncomfortable for

32:02

some of those really sort of at the

32:03

center of this. There's a lot of egos

32:05

here. There's a lot of um you know uh

32:08

bad blood I think between some of these

32:10

former colleagues. Um but that's what

32:12

happens you know when you're at the

32:13

center of what for the last couple of

32:15

years I think we can say is one of the

32:16

most exciting and talked about companies

32:18

in the world. So uh plenty to enjoy and

32:20

we've got a couple of weeks a few weeks

32:22

of it to uh to enjoy starting today.

32:25

>> That was that is Bloomberg opinion

32:28

columnist Dave Lee. We haven't worn him

32:29

out just yet. Now coming up on the show

32:32

space startup True Anomaly raises a a

32:34

new funding round, a big one as it aims

32:36

to speed up production of its orbital

32:38

defense tech. We're going to talk to the

32:40

CEO next. This is Bloomberg Tech.

32:50

True anomaly. It's close to $650 million

32:53

series D funding round, valuing the

32:54

company at 2.2 billion. Now, the space

32:56

startup is among a dozen companies

32:58

recently named to work on interceptors

33:00

for the Golden Dome Missile Defense

33:02

Shield as well. True Anomaly CEO Evan

33:04

Rogers joins us. It's been a busy few

33:06

days.

33:06

>> It's been very busy. Let's focus on the

33:08

funding round first. Where do you deploy

33:10

that capital? What really injects the

33:12

growth for the business?

33:13

>> We we're really stepping up alongside

33:15

Guardians in the Space Force. The the

33:17

Space Force budget in FY27 is expected

33:19

to be 72 billion. That tells you a lot

33:21

about the kinds of capabilities the

33:23

United States Space Force needs to build

33:25

to counter China and Russia. We are

33:27

investing in the staff and the products

33:29

uh and the infrastructure that's

33:30

necessary to come alongside Guardians to

33:32

build combat capability for space

33:34

warfare.

33:34

>> Let's talk about your products. what

33:36

makes you unique, distinct, and additive

33:38

to the others because it's ferocious out

33:40

there in the world of defense tech. It's

33:41

a really hot space.

33:42

>> So, I served 10 years in the Air Force

33:44

and then transitioned into the United

33:45

States Space Force. And what I saw from

33:47

the defense industrial base is a focus

33:49

on dual use technologies. And there's

33:51

good reason for that. But because space

33:53

is now a war fighting domain, it's very

33:54

clear that the operational concepts for

33:56

space warfare necessitate dedicated

33:59

space war fighting systems. They have a

34:00

completely different performance

34:01

envelope than commercial capabilities.

34:03

They're quite literally going to get

34:04

shot at. And so our focus is on clean

34:07

sheet design to deploy operational

34:09

concepts into the domain. So Jackal, for

34:11

example, uh our first product is a clean

34:13

sheet space-to-space engagement

34:15

platform. It's not designed to do

34:16

anything else other than protection and

34:18

surveillance of the domain.

34:20

Evan, we're very excited about this

34:22

domain, right? Space is a warfighting

34:24

domain, the technology you're doing, but

34:26

I'm going to try and bring it back down

34:28

to earth a little bit for the Bloomberg

34:30

tech audience. So Jackal, you mentioned

34:32

it's a highly maneuverable vehicle. It

34:34

moves around other satellites in orbit.

34:38

Explain the basics of that. Right. Our

34:39

audience are tuning in and going, "Okay,

34:41

so space is a war fighting domain. You

34:43

make vehicles that are in space and it

34:45

moves around other satellites. Take it

34:48

from there." That's right. Our our

34:49

adversaries deploy into orbits that we

34:51

don't necessarily have capabilities in.

34:54

For example, geocynchronous orbit, which

34:55

is 22,000 mi from the surface of the

34:58

Earth, is a long way for a groundbased

35:00

telescope to be able to really

35:01

characterize what our adversaries are

35:03

doing. So, we need systems that have the

35:05

maneuverability, the fuel, the

35:07

acceleration to be able to chase those

35:08

targets down and take pictures of them.

35:10

The first the foundation of combat

35:14

capability is intelligence. And so, the

35:15

first order of business is to really

35:17

understand what our adversaries are up

35:18

to in space. And Jackal is purpose-built

35:21

to go after highly maneuverable targets.

35:24

>> Evan, who who's the counterpart to true

35:26

anomaly? Does China have a company or a

35:29

competence in the same domain um that

35:31

you think about?

35:32

>> China doesn't have necessarily a company

35:34

that's focused on space war fighting,

35:36

but their entire military-industrial

35:38

complex is blended with their commercial

35:41

uh their commercial uh manufacturing

35:42

infrastructure. So everything that China

35:44

does really for civil or for or for

35:47

commercial has military applications and

35:49

we're starting to see that particularly

35:51

in their intelligence platforms. China

35:53

over the last several years has deployed

35:54

about 1,300 spacecraft into low Earth

35:57

orbit. About 500 of those are

35:59

intelligence platforms. Those

36:01

intelligence platforms are designed to

36:03

track terrestrial forces. So maritime

36:05

forces, aviation systems, and and ground

36:08

capabilities. So there's really it's

36:10

very difficult for the United States to

36:11

maneuver globally without China seeing

36:14

where we're going.

36:16

>> Let's talk about the United States a bit

36:18

because you build exclusively from I

36:20

understand for the United States

36:21

government. Will that expand? Will there

36:24

be others that you want to serve here?

36:26

>> Right now we focus on the United States

36:27

because that's where that's where the

36:29

problem is and also where there are

36:31

substantial budgets focused on space

36:32

superiority. But we're starting to see

36:34

our allies build the rhetoric and build

36:37

the policy to support space war

36:38

fighting. The UK, France, Japan in

36:41

particular, really leaning forward into

36:42

space war fighting. They have their own

36:44

dependencies on space capabilities. Um,

36:47

but the budgets need to follow. We're we

36:49

are happy to partner with our allies,

36:50

but but the budgets are really not

36:52

following and there's a focus on

36:53

nationalized capabilities. The budgets

36:56

have been there, but some would still

36:58

say perhaps the spending on smaller

37:01

companies by the by the Pentagon still

37:05

somehow needs to be shown a little bit

37:07

more. Are you really confident that the

37:09

spending will be there for you? Are you

37:11

I mean already you've been announced on

37:12

Friday to be part of Golden Dome.

37:14

>> There there is a shift in the way that

37:15

the defense department or rather the

37:17

department of war is acquiring systems

37:19

and it really biases and creates an

37:21

opening towards new companies like True

37:23

Anomaly. They're focused on firm fixed

37:25

price contracts, capital partnerships,

37:28

long-term contracts that allow for a

37:30

rational ROI. And that's an opening for

37:31

True Anomaly to step into that gap and

37:34

deliver capabilities. And we're truly

37:35

unique in the marketplace. I mean, spa

37:37

space war fighting is the one of the

37:39

most rapidly growing areas of investment

37:42

for for the Department of War. 40

37:44

billion this year in in spending, 72

37:47

billion this year, 20 billion of which

37:49

is in space control. is the highest

37:50

growth market and we're stepping in.

37:53

>> Evan Rogers, CEO of True Anomaly, $650

37:56

million series D, $2.2 billion

37:59

valuation. Thank you very much. All

38:01

right, Carrick, some news headlines.

38:02

>> Yeah, it's time for talking tech, Ed.

38:04

First up, Hong Kong is betting on Light.

38:06

Shares of Light Intelligence skyrocketed

38:09

384% in their trading debut today,

38:11

giving the company a market value of

38:13

over $10 billion with heavy backing from

38:15

Alibaba and TESC. The firm is aiming to

38:18

revolutionize AI inference by using

38:20

light instead of electricity to process

38:21

data. Plus, Eli Liy is turning to

38:24

artificial intelligence to design the

38:25

next generation of medicine. The farmer

38:27

giant has inked a deal worth up to 2 and

38:30

2.25

38:31

billion with AI startup Proffluent to

38:34

find new ways to edit DNA. But the deal

38:36

is part of Lily's growing investment in

38:37

AI and the company has struck at least

38:40

15 AI related deals in the last 5 years

38:42

according to Bloomberg Intelligence. And

38:44

manifest OS is the quote AI native law

38:47

firm just closed a $60 million series A

38:49

at a $750 million valuation. The

38:52

platform aims to help small firm lawyers

38:54

automate the grunt work and shift

38:56

towards outcomebased pricing. Look,

38:57

their mission is to make legal services,

38:59

immigration, tax, for example,

39:00

accessible to all through AI. Investors

39:03

include Menllo Ventures, Kleiner

39:04

Perkins, and First Round Capital.

39:08

>> Shell is entering what CEO Sawan calls

39:11

an inflection point. The company agreed

39:13

to buy Canadian oil and gas producer Ark

39:16

Resources for 13.6 billion, its biggest

39:19

deal in more than a decade as it seeks

39:21

to sustain output in the long term.

39:24

Joining us now from London is Shell CEO

39:27

Wild Sawan. The obvious question is why

39:29

Canada and why now? But the way that a

39:31

lot of people are looking at this while

39:33

is is the geopolitical bet on on safe

39:36

safe energy supply. How much were you

39:38

thinking about that?

39:41

Um I'd start off by saying actually this

39:43

is just an important point on the

39:45

journey that we have been on a journey

39:47

that started over three years ago where

39:48

we said we want to methodically

39:51

transform the company and that's what

39:52

we've been doing and so the inflection

39:54

point came that as we continue to

39:56

deliver performance discipline

39:58

simplification in Shell we felt that it

40:01

was time to look at more and more

40:02

capital reallocation and we felt that we

40:04

had earned the right to be able to grow

40:06

and so the announcement yesterday for

40:08

ARC was uh essentially just a step in

40:12

that in that journey that we have been

40:13

on. Uh we had been looking at ARC for

40:16

over two years and so that of course

40:18

predated the Middle East crisis. Um I've

40:21

particularly been attracted to multiple

40:23

elements of of ARC. I mean first and

40:26

foremost this is a liquid rich play

40:28

highquality resource uh low cost long

40:32

duration in a terrific basin like the

40:34

Montiney basin with low carbon intensity

40:36

molecules. And so we like that piece of

40:39

it. We like the synergies, the the

40:41

adjacency to our own assets and the

40:43

integration into LNG Canada, our LNG uh

40:46

uh project in Canada there. And then

40:48

thirdly, we really like the people. We

40:50

like the culture that they had developed

40:52

over 30 years. And so this this well

40:54

predated the crisis, but of course

40:57

always helpful to be able to have a

40:58

diverse sources source of supply to meet

41:01

the growing energy demands around the

41:03

world. So a growing demand does that

41:05

mean you have a growing production a

41:07

growing supply into the 2030s with this

41:10

additive deal while

41:12

>> absolutely so uh we had in the past

41:14

guided to a 1% uh uh keer growth between

41:18

now and 2030 for our oil and gas

41:20

production on the back of this deal we

41:22

have guided to a 4% peranom kager so a

41:26

significant uh uh growth uptake between

41:29

2025 and 2030 but importantly as well it

41:32

gives a long duration growth platform.

41:36

It allows us to add 150,000 barrels per

41:39

day of liquids out in 2035. And the

41:43

inventory we're talking about is well

41:45

above 15 years of inventory into up to

41:48

25 years in certain areas. And so this

41:50

is just an exciting growth platform that

41:53

is underpinned in my mind with the

41:55

liquids opportunity, but also with

41:57

significant optionality for the gas

42:00

through our existing plant and possibly

42:02

through a second phase of that

42:04

development that we have in LG Canada.

42:07

>> We will talk more about this deal, but

42:09

it's been about 10 years since I last

42:12

attended an OPEC meeting, and this is a

42:14

massive story, the UAE leaving OPEC.

42:18

What's your reaction to that? But I

42:20

think more importantly, what do you

42:21

think it will do to global oil markets?

42:25

>> Yeah, difficult to call. I mean, very,

42:27

very early days. And of course, I'll

42:28

leave it to the UAE leaders and to OPEC

42:30

to opine on it. What I would say is, you

42:33

know, OPEC is roughly a third of the

42:36

overall liquids production of the world.

42:38

Um, and and undoubtedly demand for

42:41

liquids continues to grow and and I mean

42:43

by that oil, condensate, and so on and

42:45

so forth. Um the the most important

42:49

influence of OPEC has typically been in

42:52

who has the spare capacity and how do

42:55

they choose to deploy that spare

42:57

capacity. And so that will be I think

42:59

the calculus that will have to be made

43:01

in the coming in the coming weeks,

43:03

months and and years. For a company like

43:05

ours, of course, our focus has been on

43:08

indeed diversifying production. we have

43:10

production in OPEC countries and nonopc

43:12

countries, but also importantly

43:15

continuing to make sure that we look at

43:17

new horizons to be able to grow our

43:19

production. And that of course we do

43:21

through both expiration and M&A deals

43:24

like what we've done for example here in

43:26

in Canada. And so I think at the end of

43:28

the day uh what will be important will

43:31

be supply demand balances. We know that

43:33

those are going to be tight for at least

43:36

the coming months if not at least the

43:38

next year plus given the closure on the

43:40

in the straits. The question will be

43:42

longer term how does all that pan out

43:44

and I think that's too soon to call at

43:45

the moment.

43:47

>> What was the environment that you closed

43:49

this deal in? How tight are global

43:51

energy markets right now? We're thinking

43:53

a lot on this program Bloomberg Tech

43:55

about energy security but Asia and

43:57

Europe it's hard to gauge the severity

43:59

of how real a supply crunch is.

44:04

the markets are tight. Um I I won't I

44:07

won't uh play it down at all. You know,

44:10

we're talking about 900 million barrels

44:13

that have not been produced in the last

44:15

couple of months and that's been

44:16

replaced by essentially stock draw down.

44:20

We're now sort of starting to reach some

44:21

some relatively low levels. We're

44:23

talking about demand curtailment in

44:25

certain areas. We're talking about fuel

44:27

switching. So this is this is profound.

44:30

Um and not just for oil by the way uh it

44:32

also plays in of course for LG. 20% of

44:35

the global LNG production comes from uh

44:38

from the Middle East. And all this is

44:40

happening with the backdrop of sustained

44:43

growth in energy demand of which to your

44:46

point Ed some of it is being of course

44:48

contributed to by the growth in AI and

44:50

technology demands.

44:51

>> Exactly.

44:52

>> And so it is it is indeed a tight

44:54

situation. Um and this is why it's

44:56

incumbent upon uh us the energy sector

44:59

to continue to invest in all forms of

45:02

energy to make sure that we are able to

45:04

provide that energy uh to support

45:07

multiple countries as they're looking to

45:09

both uh grow in in their own uh in their

45:13

own consumption of energy but also those

45:15

that are looking to underpin their their

45:17

AI and technology journeys ahead.

45:19

>> So while should investors expect more

45:21

M&A coming from you?

45:23

Look, this, you know, we've always

45:25

talked about the bar for M&A being a

45:28

high bar, and I absolutely hold on to

45:30

that. Um, this this deal crossed that

45:33

high threshold that we had. We didn't

45:36

need to do this deal, by the way, for

45:37

avoidance of that. We were very

45:38

comfortable being able to meet our uh

45:41

commitments out to 2030 and potentially

45:44

to continue to methodically add

45:47

resources to our overall funnel. This

45:50

deal worked out perfectly because of the

45:52

arbitrage in where share prices were. We

45:55

we got uh uh the bumps because of our

45:57

outperformance recently and of course

45:59

some of the the tailwinds from the

46:01

Middle East. ARC didn't have the same

46:03

simply because of the the nature of

46:05

their portfolio. So so this worked

46:08

because of that. Uh the timing was was

46:10

excellent and and I think we got a good

46:12

deal for both sides. Uh but but that

46:14

high bar is is going to be held high

46:17

again and we will only deploy capital to

46:19

M&A if we really find excellent deals

46:22

like this

46:23

>> and that was in that methodical context.

46:25

What isn't methodical is geopolitics and

46:27

what's happening in the straight of

46:28

Hormuz. Have you managed to get any of

46:30

your ships through the straight? How

46:32

what is your exposure right now while

46:34

>> No, we continue to have multiple ships

46:36

there. Uh actually I have a a call

46:39

scheduled tomorrow with one of the uh

46:41

crews on the ships just to check in on

46:43

them. Uh it's a tough time. It's a tough

46:45

time for our people. Our number one

46:47

priority is the safety of our people. Um

46:50

and and we await uh the the appropriate

46:53

signals to be able to move those ships

46:55

out. Um, you know, as as I said, we're

46:58

trying to focus on on keeping morale

47:00

high. Uh, and and many uh here in in

47:03

headquarters and well beyond across the

47:05

Shell family are looking at everything

47:07

they can do to be able to meet our

47:09

customer demands, which which of course,

47:11

you know, are those demand levels

47:13

continue to be high, but we're we're

47:15

running at roughly 15 to 20% less

47:18

molecules than we were just 2 months

47:19

ago. And so, you know, I I I I just

47:22

continue to be incredibly proud of what

47:24

everyone in the company has been doing

47:26

to be able to to contribute.

47:28

>> Well, Sawan, Shell, CEO, really grateful

47:31

for your time here on Bloom Tech. Thank

47:33

you very much, Gary. Yeah, that does it

47:35

for this edition of Bloomberg Tech.

47:37

Really folding in there what is a need

47:39

for electricity, a need for energy

47:42

because the key story is one of compute.

47:44

Now today's story is all about open AI

47:46

and questioning from the Wall Street

47:47

Journal whether they're living up to

47:49

their own growth aims and targets.

47:52

>> Yeah, the Journal reported that they

47:53

missed their own internal metrics. And

47:55

it was interesting you pointed out

47:56

earlier some of their electricity stocks

47:58

literally fell as well. That's part of

48:00

the calculus. A lot to recap from this

48:02

show. You know where to do it on the

48:04

podcast, online, Apple, Spotify, iHeart,

48:06

on all the Bloomberg platforms as well.

48:10

2 days into a massive week. Stay with

48:12

us. This is Bloomberg Tech.

Interactive Summary

The video discusses recent news and market reactions concerning OpenAI, Elon Musk's lawsuit against the company, and broader trends in the AI and energy sectors. OpenAI is facing scrutiny over missed user and revenue targets, leading to a slump in related stocks. The lawsuit filed by Elon Musk, alleging OpenAI abandoned its nonprofit mission, is seen as a strategic move to disrupt OpenAI's operations and potential IPO. In the energy sector, Shell is acquiring Canadian oil producer ARC Resources to bolster long-term output, amidst tight global energy markets and geopolitical tensions. The segment also touches on China's increasing geopolitical influence over Silicon Valley and the burgeoning space defense industry with True Anomaly's new funding.

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