NVIDIA Just Lost $80 Billion and Called It a Win (Wall Street Believed Them)
334 segments
Jensen Hong just spent two weeks doing
something no chip CEO should have to do,
a global media tour to convince you that
his primary customer deal is not falling
apart. And the startling part, it
worked. As many of you have pointed out
in the comments, Nvidia actually jumped
up 8% on Friday. But here is the
question that nobody is asking in the
tech sponsored media. If everything is
fine, why did he have to go on seven
shows to tell you that it's fine? We got
Jensen's daybook here. So, let's walk
through his schedule since January 21st
because it reads more like an
international concert tour than a CEO's
calendar. This is a crisis PR playbook.
January 21, Jensen makes a stop at
Davos. He's accompanied by Larry Frink.
And Frink literally tells pension funds
to start investing in Nvidia on stage
like publicly. Then he takes a quiet
quiet trip to Shanghai. Doesn't want
anyone to know that he's in bed with
China. It's his first visit of 2026 to
China probably of many more to come. And
he is discussing H200 export guidance
with them. So he can be like, "Whoa,
whoa, whoa, hold up, hold up. I got the
US government under control. Don't
worry, China. we're going to keep
hooking you up with the best AI hardware
as long as you can pay more for it than
Americans. Then he hops on the PJ to get
back to the US and on the way he phones
up to the pilot and he's just like,
"Hey, we got to put it down in Taiwan.
Let's make a little stop in Taiwan. I
got to get uh dinner with my buddy." So
he meets up with Morris Chang where he
calls the ASIC rivalry quote illogical.
He also calls the reports of the open AI
rift which has not broken yet. There's
just some rumors floating around. He
tries to get ahead of these and he calls
them quote complete nonsense. The next
day in a rare feat of good reporting
from the Wall Street Journal, they
report that the hundred billion dollar
deal between Nvidia and OpenAI is quote
on ice, i.e. dead in the water. Then
good information comes out that Jensen
has actually been privately criticizing
OpenAI's business strategy, his lost
faith, and Nvidia drops 1.1%. Then
February 3rd, all of his PR people are
like, "Oh, oh, ah, we got to get ahead
of this. we got to get ahead of this.
Let's get him on a media tour. Let's
ramp this up. Let's ramp this up. Let's
get him on more shows. Let's go ahead
and push that narrative. So, he goes on
Mad Money with Bozo Jim Kramer. And he
does a couple things. First, he just
downplays everything going on. He's
like, "Jimmy boy, do not worry about
that. We got everything under control.
Do not even worry about the Open AI
deal. Like, everything is fine at home.
Don't ask too many hard questions.
Actually, can we talk about this other
thing?" and he pivots to talking about
this totally irrelevant partnership just
to sort of shift the attention over away
from the open AI stuff so he doesn't get
too many hard questions about that. Then
it gets worse. They keep trotting them
out in front of more audiences to just
be like everything's okay, everything's
okay. So he goes on CNBC halftime report
with Brad Girtzner of Altimter Capital
and he claims the ROI for AI spending is
proven which factually false. We've
debunked that multiple times on this
channel. It is not proven. There may be
a good return on investment on it, but
there are no numbers on that. That has
not been quantified. And he claims,
quote, if they could have twice as much
compute, the revenues would go up four
times as much. Again, where are you
getting the figures? We'll do another
video on this about the core concern
about the fact that we don't have any
way to quantify the ROI on AI spending.
Like I said, may maybe that's true.
Maybe that's true. But source, trust me,
bro. but he sells it. He's got a good PR
team. He's able to push this narrative
down everybody's throats that's watching
this show and the share price goes up by
8%. Then Feb 7, that's just yesterday,
the Cisco AI Summit. He tells
enterprises to stop calculating ROI and
quote, "Let a thousand flowers bloom."
So obviously in a very Chinese period of
his life, he's like speaking in these
bizarre riddles. In the other video, we
covered it. The other quote that came
out of that was something like, "Why use
a screwdriver when you can build a new
screwdriver?" Like, it's way past my
poor little pea brain. I don't get what
he's saying, but it sounds profound. It
sounds like he's a genius. It sounds
like he has all of this stuff together,
which is exactly what he's trying to
sell you, which is exactly what he's
trying to sell the people on Wall Street
because he thinks you're stupid. The
original deal was hundred billion. The
actual deal ended up being about 20
billion. And then Wall Street cheered
about that. Think about that for a
minute. To rehash our timeline,
September 2025, Nvidia announces a
hundred billion dollar partnership deal
with Open AI. Late 2025, Jensen starts
to privately tell his associates like
the Inc. wasn't dry on that. We were
like, we were kind of joking. Like, we
weren't 100% serious. Like, 100 billion.
Like, no, no, no, no, no, no, no. We
were like half serious on that. And he's
pretty loudly in his private circles
worrying about the competition from
Google and Anthropic specifically. And
then on January 31st, people call him on
his BS and they say, "We've been hearing
these rumors that you're losing faith in
OpenAI." And he says, "No, not even
that. Not even that." But just to
clarify, we we didn't really mean 100
billion. Just just so you're clear, we
didn't mean 100 billion. Then Feb 6,
this is Friday. This is intentionally
released on Friday. Uh so if it goes
bad, you got the weekend to chill out
and kind of forget about it. There's a
couple of media cycles. You got the
Super Bowl today to get you to forget
about it. So you can watch your sports
ball and you'll totally forget about
things that went bad on Friday by the
time the market opens on Monday. But
luckily it actually went well. So they
finalized the opening ideal at 20
billion. It's framed as quote the
largest startup investment to date. I
want you to pay very close attention to
the phrasing there. It's phrased as the
largest startup investment to date.
That's a direct quote. The reason it's
framed that way is that way they're
saying relativistically this is a good
thing. They don't want you to think in
relative to what they originally said
they were going to do, which is a
hundred billion. That framing looks bad
because that's an 80% decrease. That's
$80 billion less than they initially
committed to. But instead, they think
you're dumb. So they can just rephrase
it and say, "This is actually the
biggest startup funding deal in
history." That sounds good. 80 billion
less than we initially said we were
going to do. That sounds bad. And idiots
on Wall Street bought this. The stock
surges 8%. It worked and he give the
devil his due. I mean, this is a magic
trick. Jensen truly has an extraordinary
PR team behind him and I hope 10 to 20
years from now that story will be told.
I I would be very interested to know who
his spin people are. Have they worked on
political campaigns before? As
horrifying as this is, this is we are
watching an art form. We're watching
almost just mass hypnosis coming out of
this guy's mouth. It is it is
incredible. It is a masterclass on PR.
But we got to zoom out that chart,
right? An 8% rally sounds huge. And you
know, it's gotten a lot of you in the
comments are like, "Hey, I I remember
one of you on my comment on the video
said this aged like milk. Nvidia is
back." And that 8% increase sounds good.
I can get why you think that, but it's
just not true. The 8% increase, all it
does is it wipes out their past week of
losses. They are still down from their
$212 share price high. A Friday
bounceback on a deal that went south
does not mean that Nvidia is back. It
means that the PR tour worked in the
short term. Do not let that big green
candle distract you from the math and
distract you from zooming out on that
chart and seeing where Nvidia is headed.
We've been talking about the circular
funding since all the way since last
fall on this channel when people were
calling me nuts in the comments. We were
getting like a 100red views per video.
But now obviously all that stuff is
coming true. It's becoming mainstream
knowledge. And not only that, it's
accelerating. So just to recap that,
Nvidia makes $10 billion investment in
Anthropic last year. Now it's a $20
billion investment in OpenAI. The
investment is not money. Everyone thinks
that it's money. And they intentionally
want you to think it's money. They don't
want you to look into this. What they
basically do is they say, "Here is a $20
billion check. The only contingency I'm
giving you that check with is that you
must use that $20 billion to buy chips
from us." Imagine if for your birthday,
somebody comes to your birthday, they
bring you like a really nice bottle of
wine, like a $400, $500 bottle of wine.
I have no idea if that's expensive for
wine. I don't drink wine, but they bring
you like a $400 or $500 bottle of wine.
Let's say that's a nice bottle of wine.
And they hand it to you and they say,
"Happy birthday, man. Congratulations."
They say, "I'm giving this to you with
one contingency. You can open it. You
can hold it, but when it's time to pour
it, I get to drink the whole bottle of
wine." That's exactly what Nvidia is
doing. Like I said, press is finally
starting to catch up on this. David Ives
from Wed Bush explicitly flags quote
circular financing concerns in his
February 2nd note. But then you have the
brainwashing coming from Nvidia's PR
enterprise on the halftime report when
Jensen says quote is making great money.
OpenAI is making great money. End quote.
Yeah, these companies revenue comes from
buying Nvidia chips. This is a circular
funding scheme. And again, they want you
to think that you are too dumb to
understand this. Even when I say
circular financing, it might sound
complex, but just think about that
bottle of wine example. It's very
simple. But nobody on the mainstream
media, on the tech sponsored media is
going to break it down for you that way
because they want you to think that it's
this advanced financing concept that you
are just too dumb to understand. But
it's quite simple. It's basically giving
somebody something with a contingency
that they have to give it back to you,
which is not an investment. That is not
an investment. It is a Ponzi scheme in a
swanky leather jacket. They are counting
on you to not look into this. If we look
at like a a a quote list from Jensen
over the past few weeks, we got another
one here from Cisco at the summit. He
said, quote, "Stop calculating ROI."
He's saying, "Shut the up. Stop looking
into it. You don't dig into the
research. Just give us your money. When
the CEO tells you to stop doing math,
you got to start doing more math.
Everything Jensen said on seven media
appearances in the last 2 weeks and
everything he's going to say in the next
few weeks because I assume this media
blitz, this PR tour is going to continue
and probably pick up steam is leading up
to the February 25th earnings for
Nvidia. That's what all of this prep
work is for. As of me recording this
video, the stock is still very far off
of its 52- week high, which was $212.
Currently, it's about $185 per share.
That 8% bounce on Friday, like I said,
it recovers one week, but it doesn't
make up for a bad quarter. And Jensen
knows that he needs to beat earnings. He
needs to convey confidence because, as
he said, you can't calculate ROI on AI.
So, he needs you to believe. He needs
you to believe in the vision because
that's pretty much the only product they
have going for them is the vision that
this will create massive ROI. And by the
way, be sure to get behind the hype. I
have an AI spending tracker. You can get
it at the link in the description. You
need this. This has the numbers behind
everything that's going on, the numbers
behind this media tour. Jensen Hang is
by far the best salesman in tech. Maybe
at this point, he's even surpassing
Steve Jobs. But in his case, that's not
a compliment. When you need seven media
appearances in two weeks to just keep
trying to prop up your share price,
you're not selling chips anymore. You're
selling confidence, which means you're a
confidence man or a con man. Thank you
for watching. Be sure to subscribe. Help
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out here, especially ahead of this
February 25th earnings. We're going to
be here on Feb 25 live or just a couple
hours afterwards to cover those earnings
and break it down for you.
Ask follow-up questions or revisit key timestamps.
The video analyzes Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang's recent intensive global media tour, characterizing it as a 'crisis PR' effort to stabilize investor confidence amid rumors of a failing partnership with OpenAI. The speaker argues that while the OpenAI deal shrank from $100 billion to $20 billion, Nvidia's PR successfully framed it as a record-breaking success to boost the stock price. Furthermore, the video critiques Nvidia's 'circular funding' strategy—investing in AI companies under the condition that they spend that money on Nvidia chips—calling it a sophisticated scheme to maintain growth numbers ahead of the February 25th earnings report.
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