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NVIDIA Just Lost $80 Billion and Called It a Win (Wall Street Believed Them)

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NVIDIA Just Lost $80 Billion and Called It a Win (Wall Street Believed Them)

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334 segments

0:00

Jensen Hong just spent two weeks doing

0:02

something no chip CEO should have to do,

0:05

a global media tour to convince you that

0:08

his primary customer deal is not falling

0:10

apart. And the startling part, it

0:12

worked. As many of you have pointed out

0:13

in the comments, Nvidia actually jumped

0:15

up 8% on Friday. But here is the

0:18

question that nobody is asking in the

0:22

tech sponsored media. If everything is

0:24

fine, why did he have to go on seven

0:27

shows to tell you that it's fine? We got

0:30

Jensen's daybook here. So, let's walk

0:32

through his schedule since January 21st

0:36

because it reads more like an

0:38

international concert tour than a CEO's

0:41

calendar. This is a crisis PR playbook.

0:45

January 21, Jensen makes a stop at

0:48

Davos. He's accompanied by Larry Frink.

0:50

And Frink literally tells pension funds

0:53

to start investing in Nvidia on stage

0:56

like publicly. Then he takes a quiet

0:58

quiet trip to Shanghai. Doesn't want

1:00

anyone to know that he's in bed with

1:02

China. It's his first visit of 2026 to

1:04

China probably of many more to come. And

1:07

he is discussing H200 export guidance

1:10

with them. So he can be like, "Whoa,

1:11

whoa, whoa, hold up, hold up. I got the

1:12

US government under control. Don't

1:14

worry, China. we're going to keep

1:15

hooking you up with the best AI hardware

1:18

as long as you can pay more for it than

1:19

Americans. Then he hops on the PJ to get

1:21

back to the US and on the way he phones

1:24

up to the pilot and he's just like,

1:25

"Hey, we got to put it down in Taiwan.

1:27

Let's make a little stop in Taiwan. I

1:29

got to get uh dinner with my buddy." So

1:31

he meets up with Morris Chang where he

1:32

calls the ASIC rivalry quote illogical.

1:35

He also calls the reports of the open AI

1:38

rift which has not broken yet. There's

1:40

just some rumors floating around. He

1:42

tries to get ahead of these and he calls

1:43

them quote complete nonsense. The next

1:46

day in a rare feat of good reporting

1:50

from the Wall Street Journal, they

1:51

report that the hundred billion dollar

1:52

deal between Nvidia and OpenAI is quote

1:55

on ice, i.e. dead in the water. Then

1:58

good information comes out that Jensen

1:59

has actually been privately criticizing

2:02

OpenAI's business strategy, his lost

2:04

faith, and Nvidia drops 1.1%. Then

2:07

February 3rd, all of his PR people are

2:09

like, "Oh, oh, ah, we got to get ahead

2:11

of this. we got to get ahead of this.

2:13

Let's get him on a media tour. Let's

2:14

ramp this up. Let's ramp this up. Let's

2:16

get him on more shows. Let's go ahead

2:18

and push that narrative. So, he goes on

2:20

Mad Money with Bozo Jim Kramer. And he

2:24

does a couple things. First, he just

2:25

downplays everything going on. He's

2:26

like, "Jimmy boy, do not worry about

2:28

that. We got everything under control.

2:30

Do not even worry about the Open AI

2:32

deal. Like, everything is fine at home.

2:35

Don't ask too many hard questions.

2:36

Actually, can we talk about this other

2:37

thing?" and he pivots to talking about

2:39

this totally irrelevant partnership just

2:42

to sort of shift the attention over away

2:44

from the open AI stuff so he doesn't get

2:46

too many hard questions about that. Then

2:48

it gets worse. They keep trotting them

2:49

out in front of more audiences to just

2:51

be like everything's okay, everything's

2:53

okay. So he goes on CNBC halftime report

2:55

with Brad Girtzner of Altimter Capital

2:58

and he claims the ROI for AI spending is

3:02

proven which factually false. We've

3:04

debunked that multiple times on this

3:06

channel. It is not proven. There may be

3:08

a good return on investment on it, but

3:09

there are no numbers on that. That has

3:11

not been quantified. And he claims,

3:14

quote, if they could have twice as much

3:17

compute, the revenues would go up four

3:19

times as much. Again, where are you

3:22

getting the figures? We'll do another

3:23

video on this about the core concern

3:26

about the fact that we don't have any

3:28

way to quantify the ROI on AI spending.

3:30

Like I said, may maybe that's true.

3:32

Maybe that's true. But source, trust me,

3:35

bro. but he sells it. He's got a good PR

3:37

team. He's able to push this narrative

3:39

down everybody's throats that's watching

3:41

this show and the share price goes up by

3:43

8%. Then Feb 7, that's just yesterday,

3:46

the Cisco AI Summit. He tells

3:48

enterprises to stop calculating ROI and

3:51

quote, "Let a thousand flowers bloom."

3:54

So obviously in a very Chinese period of

3:57

his life, he's like speaking in these

4:00

bizarre riddles. In the other video, we

4:01

covered it. The other quote that came

4:03

out of that was something like, "Why use

4:05

a screwdriver when you can build a new

4:06

screwdriver?" Like, it's way past my

4:09

poor little pea brain. I don't get what

4:11

he's saying, but it sounds profound. It

4:13

sounds like he's a genius. It sounds

4:14

like he has all of this stuff together,

4:15

which is exactly what he's trying to

4:17

sell you, which is exactly what he's

4:19

trying to sell the people on Wall Street

4:20

because he thinks you're stupid. The

4:22

original deal was hundred billion. The

4:24

actual deal ended up being about 20

4:26

billion. And then Wall Street cheered

4:28

about that. Think about that for a

4:30

minute. To rehash our timeline,

4:31

September 2025, Nvidia announces a

4:34

hundred billion dollar partnership deal

4:35

with Open AI. Late 2025, Jensen starts

4:39

to privately tell his associates like

4:41

the Inc. wasn't dry on that. We were

4:43

like, we were kind of joking. Like, we

4:45

weren't 100% serious. Like, 100 billion.

4:47

Like, no, no, no, no, no, no, no. We

4:49

were like half serious on that. And he's

4:51

pretty loudly in his private circles

4:54

worrying about the competition from

4:56

Google and Anthropic specifically. And

4:58

then on January 31st, people call him on

5:01

his BS and they say, "We've been hearing

5:03

these rumors that you're losing faith in

5:04

OpenAI." And he says, "No, not even

5:07

that. Not even that." But just to

5:08

clarify, we we didn't really mean 100

5:10

billion. Just just so you're clear, we

5:12

didn't mean 100 billion. Then Feb 6,

5:14

this is Friday. This is intentionally

5:15

released on Friday. Uh so if it goes

5:17

bad, you got the weekend to chill out

5:19

and kind of forget about it. There's a

5:20

couple of media cycles. You got the

5:21

Super Bowl today to get you to forget

5:23

about it. So you can watch your sports

5:24

ball and you'll totally forget about

5:26

things that went bad on Friday by the

5:28

time the market opens on Monday. But

5:30

luckily it actually went well. So they

5:32

finalized the opening ideal at 20

5:34

billion. It's framed as quote the

5:36

largest startup investment to date. I

5:37

want you to pay very close attention to

5:39

the phrasing there. It's phrased as the

5:41

largest startup investment to date.

5:42

That's a direct quote. The reason it's

5:44

framed that way is that way they're

5:46

saying relativistically this is a good

5:49

thing. They don't want you to think in

5:51

relative to what they originally said

5:53

they were going to do, which is a

5:54

hundred billion. That framing looks bad

5:56

because that's an 80% decrease. That's

5:58

$80 billion less than they initially

6:01

committed to. But instead, they think

6:03

you're dumb. So they can just rephrase

6:05

it and say, "This is actually the

6:07

biggest startup funding deal in

6:08

history." That sounds good. 80 billion

6:11

less than we initially said we were

6:13

going to do. That sounds bad. And idiots

6:15

on Wall Street bought this. The stock

6:17

surges 8%. It worked and he give the

6:19

devil his due. I mean, this is a magic

6:21

trick. Jensen truly has an extraordinary

6:24

PR team behind him and I hope 10 to 20

6:27

years from now that story will be told.

6:29

I I would be very interested to know who

6:31

his spin people are. Have they worked on

6:33

political campaigns before? As

6:35

horrifying as this is, this is we are

6:37

watching an art form. We're watching

6:39

almost just mass hypnosis coming out of

6:41

this guy's mouth. It is it is

6:43

incredible. It is a masterclass on PR.

6:45

But we got to zoom out that chart,

6:47

right? An 8% rally sounds huge. And you

6:50

know, it's gotten a lot of you in the

6:52

comments are like, "Hey, I I remember

6:53

one of you on my comment on the video

6:55

said this aged like milk. Nvidia is

6:59

back." And that 8% increase sounds good.

7:01

I can get why you think that, but it's

7:03

just not true. The 8% increase, all it

7:06

does is it wipes out their past week of

7:09

losses. They are still down from their

7:12

$212 share price high. A Friday

7:15

bounceback on a deal that went south

7:17

does not mean that Nvidia is back. It

7:20

means that the PR tour worked in the

7:22

short term. Do not let that big green

7:25

candle distract you from the math and

7:27

distract you from zooming out on that

7:28

chart and seeing where Nvidia is headed.

7:30

We've been talking about the circular

7:32

funding since all the way since last

7:34

fall on this channel when people were

7:36

calling me nuts in the comments. We were

7:37

getting like a 100red views per video.

7:39

But now obviously all that stuff is

7:41

coming true. It's becoming mainstream

7:42

knowledge. And not only that, it's

7:44

accelerating. So just to recap that,

7:46

Nvidia makes $10 billion investment in

7:48

Anthropic last year. Now it's a $20

7:50

billion investment in OpenAI. The

7:53

investment is not money. Everyone thinks

7:55

that it's money. And they intentionally

7:57

want you to think it's money. They don't

7:58

want you to look into this. What they

8:00

basically do is they say, "Here is a $20

8:03

billion check. The only contingency I'm

8:05

giving you that check with is that you

8:07

must use that $20 billion to buy chips

8:10

from us." Imagine if for your birthday,

8:14

somebody comes to your birthday, they

8:16

bring you like a really nice bottle of

8:18

wine, like a $400, $500 bottle of wine.

8:21

I have no idea if that's expensive for

8:22

wine. I don't drink wine, but they bring

8:24

you like a $400 or $500 bottle of wine.

8:26

Let's say that's a nice bottle of wine.

8:28

And they hand it to you and they say,

8:30

"Happy birthday, man. Congratulations."

8:32

They say, "I'm giving this to you with

8:34

one contingency. You can open it. You

8:36

can hold it, but when it's time to pour

8:38

it, I get to drink the whole bottle of

8:39

wine." That's exactly what Nvidia is

8:41

doing. Like I said, press is finally

8:43

starting to catch up on this. David Ives

8:46

from Wed Bush explicitly flags quote

8:48

circular financing concerns in his

8:49

February 2nd note. But then you have the

8:52

brainwashing coming from Nvidia's PR

8:55

enterprise on the halftime report when

8:57

Jensen says quote is making great money.

8:59

OpenAI is making great money. End quote.

9:02

Yeah, these companies revenue comes from

9:05

buying Nvidia chips. This is a circular

9:07

funding scheme. And again, they want you

9:10

to think that you are too dumb to

9:11

understand this. Even when I say

9:13

circular financing, it might sound

9:14

complex, but just think about that

9:16

bottle of wine example. It's very

9:18

simple. But nobody on the mainstream

9:20

media, on the tech sponsored media is

9:21

going to break it down for you that way

9:23

because they want you to think that it's

9:24

this advanced financing concept that you

9:27

are just too dumb to understand. But

9:30

it's quite simple. It's basically giving

9:32

somebody something with a contingency

9:34

that they have to give it back to you,

9:36

which is not an investment. That is not

9:38

an investment. It is a Ponzi scheme in a

9:41

swanky leather jacket. They are counting

9:43

on you to not look into this. If we look

9:46

at like a a a quote list from Jensen

9:49

over the past few weeks, we got another

9:51

one here from Cisco at the summit. He

9:54

said, quote, "Stop calculating ROI."

9:56

He's saying, "Shut the up. Stop looking

9:59

into it. You don't dig into the

10:02

research. Just give us your money. When

10:04

the CEO tells you to stop doing math,

10:06

you got to start doing more math.

10:08

Everything Jensen said on seven media

10:10

appearances in the last 2 weeks and

10:12

everything he's going to say in the next

10:13

few weeks because I assume this media

10:15

blitz, this PR tour is going to continue

10:18

and probably pick up steam is leading up

10:20

to the February 25th earnings for

10:23

Nvidia. That's what all of this prep

10:25

work is for. As of me recording this

10:28

video, the stock is still very far off

10:31

of its 52- week high, which was $212.

10:34

Currently, it's about $185 per share.

10:38

That 8% bounce on Friday, like I said,

10:40

it recovers one week, but it doesn't

10:42

make up for a bad quarter. And Jensen

10:44

knows that he needs to beat earnings. He

10:47

needs to convey confidence because, as

10:49

he said, you can't calculate ROI on AI.

10:53

So, he needs you to believe. He needs

10:55

you to believe in the vision because

10:57

that's pretty much the only product they

10:59

have going for them is the vision that

11:01

this will create massive ROI. And by the

11:03

way, be sure to get behind the hype. I

11:05

have an AI spending tracker. You can get

11:07

it at the link in the description. You

11:09

need this. This has the numbers behind

11:11

everything that's going on, the numbers

11:13

behind this media tour. Jensen Hang is

11:17

by far the best salesman in tech. Maybe

11:20

at this point, he's even surpassing

11:21

Steve Jobs. But in his case, that's not

11:23

a compliment. When you need seven media

11:25

appearances in two weeks to just keep

11:28

trying to prop up your share price,

11:30

you're not selling chips anymore. You're

11:32

selling confidence, which means you're a

11:34

confidence man or a con man. Thank you

11:36

for watching. Be sure to subscribe. Help

11:39

me get this information out. Share this

11:40

on X, share this on LinkedIn, post it

11:42

wherever you think people are going to

11:43

watch it. We need more people to see

11:45

this. We need to get this information

11:47

out here, especially ahead of this

11:48

February 25th earnings. We're going to

11:50

be here on Feb 25 live or just a couple

11:52

hours afterwards to cover those earnings

11:54

and break it down for you.

Interactive Summary

The video analyzes Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang's recent intensive global media tour, characterizing it as a 'crisis PR' effort to stabilize investor confidence amid rumors of a failing partnership with OpenAI. The speaker argues that while the OpenAI deal shrank from $100 billion to $20 billion, Nvidia's PR successfully framed it as a record-breaking success to boost the stock price. Furthermore, the video critiques Nvidia's 'circular funding' strategy—investing in AI companies under the condition that they spend that money on Nvidia chips—calling it a sophisticated scheme to maintain growth numbers ahead of the February 25th earnings report.

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