How A Single Data Center Crushes The Local Economy Around It
156 segments
Almost exactly 12 months ago now on the 4th of December 2024, a $10 billion construction
project began about a mile outside of Rayville, Louisiana. A town with a population of about 3 and
a half thousand people and a town that could soon be rendered economically obsolete. When
it's completed sometime in the next 4 years, the Hyperion Data Center will be the largest complex
of its kind anywhere in the world. For now, at least. Covering an area of 4 million square f
feet, it will be the flagship location for Meta's AI capabilities. Facilities of this kind tend to
be hard to wrap our heads around. So, despite what you may have heard in the news, no, this won't be
the size of Manhattan. But to give you a sense of scale, the county's regional primary school sits
on the corner of the 2200 acre site, and it's absolutely dwarfed by the facility. But instead
of teaching the children of tomorrow, this closely guarded center will be training something far more
valuable. It will be home to over 4 million GPUs for an estimated 5 GW of compute capacity based on
current estimates. Although the exact figures nobody truly knows, including meta engineers
themselves. The chips powering these facilities are advancing so rapidly that centers like
Hyperion are built to facilitate hardware that doesn't even exist yet. And of course, this is
just one of hundreds of similar facilities popping up all over the world at the moment. The massive
capital expenditure being made by these companies is not exactly breaking news anymore. But what is
worth discussing is why they picked here to make that investment. This rural Louisiana location,
surrounded by cornfields and hog farms despite being thousands of miles away from Silicon Valley
and not close to any major talent hubs, was not picked randomly. It was a very careful compromise
between three major factors. Three major factors that often come at odds with the comparatively
tiny local economies surrounding them. The first item on the shopping list for these mega projects
is accommodating government regulations. This massive center and others like it have brought
billions of dollars in investment into small and otherwise overlooked regional communities. This
opportunity alone has made politicians at all levels from local city councils all the way up
to heads of state extremely excited. To make their cornfield more attractive than that cornfield once
they over, governments at all levels have offered generous concessions to tech companies, exempting
them from things like development applications, impact studies, community consultation, and even
property taxes. State and local governments across the world have also been quick to offer
infrastructure and utility support to power and service these massive centers out of their own
budgets rather than shifting the upfront costs onto data centers themselves. When cutting red
tape and tax incentives don't work, there's always just direct subsidies as well. Now, obviously,
all this costs a lot of money, but exactly how much is actually a really good question. Within
the USA alone, the exact spending is not public information. A report by the policy institute Good
Jobs First has tracked these incentives since the very beginning of the data center boom and found
some concerning holes in what the public is being told. At least 36 states have individually handed
out economic development subsidies for data center projects, but only 11 of those states
have disclosed which individual companies were receiving those public benefits. Of those 11
states, only five have actually reported how much they're estimating to spend on these subsidies.
And the numbers get worse the more specific you get, but more on that soon. This is also
just within the USA, which by comparison makes a lot of other development centers look positively
transparent. When we started researching this video about 2 months ago, Open AAI announced a
massive data center project in Argentina, the only number that made the headlines was the
$25 billion investment into the struggling country. The details that were uh glossed
over was the fact that Argentina already struggles with regular power outages and increasingly severe
droughts before adding the demands of an energy and water hungry data center. It also wasn't a
great sign that the energy company that co-signed this record-breaking deal, Sir Energy, effectively
had no public profile before this announcement. And according to the Argentinian Business Register
is operated out of this small apartment building in Buenos Aires. The channel Slidebean did a great
on the ground investigation into this particular thread just last week. So I'll leave a link to
their video below as well. Either way, all of this is painting a pretty clear picture.
There's a genuine public concern that if the AI bubble pops, it'll be taxpayers on the hook to
bail out these massive projects that have become too big to fail. The reality is we already are.
The most conservative low-end estimate of just the direct subsidies that we actually know about puts
total government support for these projects into the $10 billion range in 2025 alone now. I know
what you might be thinking. Government bending the rules and cutting some red tape in the name of
business development isn't exactly anything that new or shocking anymore. Right? And in this case,
maybe it is all going to be worth it when projects like Hyperion are bringing in billions of dollars
in investment to small remote economies that have otherwise been left behind in recent decades.
But unfortunately, what these communities might actually be subsidizing is their own destruction,
which raises the obvious question, why are they still doing it? Well, to find out, all you need
to do is follow the simple practical economics. This video is sponsored by Odoo. Running a
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save by running your entire business with Odoo. For all the concessions that local, state, and
national governments are making to attract these data centers, the long-term economic benefits they
will actually provide are questionable at best. To build these centers does indeed take billions of
dollars in direct investment. But only a tiny tiny fraction of that money will actually land in the
local economy. And even that small slice isn't as beneficial as it might seem. Realistically,
the second major consideration is just having the land available in the first place. And somewhere
that land is already very cheap makes everything else far easier because everything else can be
built around it. According to a submission by the state's economic development board, at its peak,
the Hyperion site is going to directly employ around 5,000 construction workers. Now,
that's a lot of employment opportunity coming to an area with a 12% unemployment rate where a
quarter of all residents live below the poverty line, but it does present an obvious challenge.
With a local population of only 2,200 residents, every man, woman, and child could be put to work
on constructing this data center, and they would still be 2,800 workers short. So, of course,
those workers will be brought in from outside the county, but the direct level of local employment
has been intentionally left vague. Building out these facilities requires highly specialized
skills beyond just regular construction, which means the vast majority of these workers will
be coming from outside the area, if not out of state entirely. Now, even still, for the few
years that those personnel are on site to do all this work, they'll be renting homes in the area,
spending money at local businesses, and even paying local taxes, which sounds good. But once
the construction is done, these towns are back to square one if they're lucky. These projects are
effectively just creating boom towns like those that are seen in remote mining communities. People
flood in while there are jobs on offer, but what's left behind after they move out is worse than when
they started because now the local economy has extra capacity for people who no longer live
there. Even while construction is taking place, the news isn't all good either. significantly
increased commercial traffic in communities not built for this many people have increased
things like traffic accidents by 600% according to incident records. Now, these facilities will have
some ongoing jobs to keep them operational, but they will be extremely minimal. Meta has announced
that the Hyperion facility, one of the largest in existence, will maintain 500 full-time employees.
That's not nothing, especially in such a small town. But the state is going to pay dearly for
these jobs. In Illinois, government subsidies for similar programs worked out to cost around
$1.4 million for every job created. In Nevada, it was $2.1 million. In terms of a decent return
on investment, this is just not an efficient use of taxpayer money. This is also only the
data coming from the states that have reported reliable accounts of these programs. Louisiana,
for example, where Hyperion is being built, has not reliably produced data on its data center
incentive programs. It sounds bad already, but it gets worse. These are largely going to
be bad jobs. Most of these roles will be in basic maintenance, security, and janitorial work rather
than the well-paid technical jobs the company would like people to think of. Most of that work
will be done remotely from their engineers back in Palo Alto. The people left behind in these
communities are also going to be the ones footing the bill for all those financial promises made to
get these data centers constructed in the first place. Largecale infrastructure development like
new energy grids are usually paid off over decades through increased energy bills. And naturally,
the demand coming from a 5 gawatt data center isn't going to help with those prices either.
You've probably already noticed higher energy bills yourself, but the effects are a lot more
concentrated in locations like this where the average household is not doing financially well
as it is. This also has knock-on impacts beyond just stretching already impoverished households.
A lot of local businesses in rural areas are energyintensive as well. Machine shops,
chemical suppliers, mechanics, and even farms themselves use a lot of energy. For a lot of these
small businesses, it's one of their largest input costs above even rent. If their energy prices rise
relative to other surrounding areas, then they'll have to live with the tighter margins, move their
business elsewhere, or just close down. In their press release, the Louisiana Economic Development
Board did address this by highlighting that Meta and the grid operator, Enty, will be contributing
up to a million dollars a year into the power to care lowincome rateayer support program.
Now, that sounds great, but it won't go very far when covering the estimated $3 billion in energy
infrastructure upgrades required to serve this site. The program also doesn't currently cover
businesses, as it's focused exclusively on helping households who meet a set list of criteria. These
generous estimates also rely on everything going exactly according to plan on the side of the AI
companies. Nobody truly knows what the future of the market surrounding AI will look like,
but it's not unreasonable to point out the potential that the level of spending
currently being done by these companies won't go on like this forever. In such a case, it becomes
even more unclear who's going to pick up that tab for infrastructure built out to support a
facility built on shaky financial realities. So yeah, state, local, and even national
governments are falling over themselves to hand out increasingly generous incentives to projects
that are only going to undermine the viability of their economies in the future. The biggest
and saddest irony of all this is that according to the companies themselves, they don't even
care about the tax benefits. They have the money and the investor demand to build these centers,
and they're going to do it with or without the tax incentives, but they won't say no if they're
offered. So then why do governments still do this? Well, partially it is lobbying as with everything,
but it's also the fact that big promises about big investments and big job creation is like
catnip to people running for reelection. The Argentine announcement from OpenAI was made
just days before the country had a major election. And at a local level, small-time politicians love
a ribbon cutting ceremony. For a lot of local residents, it's also a bittersweet opportunity
to get out. According to data from Redfin, compiled by Sherwood, property listing prices
in the area surrounding the Hyperion Data Center rose by 172% in a single year. Prices for certain
properties convenient for further development or worker lodging increased by as much as 6,900%.
Farming has not been having a great year as it is. So, a financial lifeline like
this is almost a blessing in disguise, giving the companies the last component they need,
somewhere to do all this that won't cause too much backlash. Nobody wants to live
near a data center. But if these facilities are going to sink the local economy anyway,
a lot of people are happy to get out on a golden crusted lifeboat. So far,
this has glossed over one other vital utility to run these data centers,
and that is the data connection. But go and watch this video next to find out how a similar set of
circumstances 30 years ago made it so that your internet was legally required to be terrible.
Ask follow-up questions or revisit key timestamps.
The video discusses the massive construction of the Hyperion Data Center in Louisiana, a $10 billion project for Meta that will house over 4 million GPUs. It highlights that these data centers are built to accommodate future hardware and are part of a global trend of significant capital expenditure. The location was chosen based on three factors: accommodating government regulations with generous concessions like tax exemptions and subsidies, availability of cheap land, and the promise of job creation. However, the video argues that these benefits are often overstated, with a small fraction of investment benefiting the local economy and most jobs being low-skilled. The text also points out the lack of transparency in government subsidies and the potential long-term negative impacts on local economies, such as increased traffic accidents, strain on infrastructure (especially energy), and potential economic obsolescence once construction is complete. Despite these concerns, governments continue to offer incentives, driven by lobbying and the political appeal of large investments and job creation, while local residents may see rising property values as an opportunity to leave struggling economies.
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