Ed Elson & Kyla Scanlon on Why Young Americans Feel Stuck in Today’s Economy | Office Hours
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A lot of people have a sense of
financial nihilism because they might
not necessarily be on the right the path
that they want to be with the American
dream, but they can afford these things.
And so it does create a weird
discrepancy in the economy where we see
strong retail sales, but we see consumer
sentiment um so low. And in terms of how
it's changing the economy, you see
companies catering to it a lot more.
Like there's a whole airline that caters
just to dogs. I think it's called Bark.
Have you seen this? Have you seen that?
You can fly your dog on the Bark place.
Yeah.
>> Welcome to the second and final episode
of ProfG on Economics, a special series
focused on the forces shaping the
economy and your financial life. I'm Ed
Olson, co-host of Profy Markets. I'm
joined again by Kyla Scandlin, economic
commentator and author of In This
Economy: How Money and Markets Really
Work. Together, we will be answering
your questions on the economy and what
it means for your money. Kyler, thank
you for joining us. Thank you.
>> Are you ready to get into this?
>> Yes.
>> Our first question comes from Spencer
Combmes on Instagram. They say, quote,
"It seems like a growing number of
millennials priced out of home ownership
and delaying kids are redefining
traditional spending patterns. Rather
than channeling money into homes and
early family life, they're allocating
more toward experiences, pets, and
accessible luxuries. These categories
may increasingly replace those older
economic anchors. How do you see this
generational reallocation of spending
influencing the economy overall? and
what opportunities could emerge as a
result. Kyla, what say you to Spencer
Combmes?
>> I think it's an interesting question and
it actually becomes an American dream
question. So there's something called
aspirational displacement where people
who can't afford to buy a house which is
that traditional path of the American
dream, they start buying experiences,
they start spending on their pets cuz
they have additional income but they
can't, you know, make a huge p purchase
like a house. And so it's an interesting
thing that we're seeing in the economy.
And on the previous episode I talked
about uh balance cost disease and how
goods were getting cheaper and cheaper
because we've gotten better and better
at producing them. Services have taken a
longer time to get cheaper because it's
much harder to make services more
productive. It's very easy to automate a
car factory, much harder to automate a
physician. And so I think that's also
part of it is that it's much cheaper to
access these accessible luxuries. We
also have international trade which uh
has informed a lot of the access to
these luxuries oftent times which come
from abroad. And then the experiences
part is a lot of travel too. And so the
average American travels a whole lot
more than they used to. And so these are
interesting indicators of economic
health. Um, so a lot of people have a
sense of financial nilism because they
might not necessarily be on the right
the path that they want to be with the
American dream, but they can afford
these things. And so it does create a
weird discrepancy in the economy where
we see strong retail sales, but we see
consumer sentiment um so low. And in
terms of how it's changing the economy,
you see companies catering to it a lot
more. Like there's a whole airline that
caters just to dogs. I think it's called
Bark. Have you seen this? Have you seen
that? You can fly your dog on the bark
planes. Yeah. No, I'm serious.
>> Oh god.
>> Yeah. It's um it's something that
happens.
>> Did not know.
>> It's it's something that happens in
higher inome countries is you know more
and more so they'll spend on these sorts
of things. It's the same pattern that we
saw in Japan as well, South Korea too.
So yeah, it makes a lot of sense and
there's going to be a lot of luxury
brands that are able to capture that, a
lot of dog airplanes that are able to
capture that. And it does represent a
strange amount of um economic health.
>> I think the thing that's so depressing
to me about it is it's like we don't
have enough money to buy houses, but we
do have enough money to buy flights for
our pets. And that's such a weird like
in between stage, which is almost I
don't know if it's it's worse than than
not having the money to to buy the the
the dog flights, but it's it's
definitely got like an a very depressing
irony to it that that concerns me. And
it reminds me of also like the little
treat culture. um which is this this
whole thing where it's it's like you you
don't think that you can buy a house or
get anywhere because everything's way
too expensive. So instead of like saving
up for these meaningful purchases, you
instead just like spend all of your
disposable income on what people are
calling like little treats. So, like
maybe the dog flight would be one of
them or like um you know clothes or uh
laboo or like expensive coffee like
whatever it is. Maybe you'd put sports
betting in that category too. Um which
is really concerning to me at least
because it just makes me think that this
generation has kind of given up and has
decided that they're not they're not
going to get out. So why even try? and
to the the dog flight. So, I've got to
look this up. Bulock, that's crazy. So,
I have some data in front of me to to
the the pet point about how much young
people are spending on their pets. So, I
guess this really aligns with what
you've just said. So, the average
American across all age groups spends uh
if you have a pet, spends $4,400 per
year on their pets. For Gen Z, the
number is over $6,000. So, young people
are spending 40% more than the average
pet owner. But here is where it gets
worse.
A third of those Gen Z pet owners say
they have gone into debt because of
their pets. So, we're literally levering
up to put our dogs on flights and get
them fancy dog collars and maybe get
them fancy dog treats. And meanwhile,
the cost of housing is six times our
income. And we're doing nothing, it
seems, to figure out how to save for
that event. And and you can't really
blame us because of the environment, the
financial environment we're in. And I
think this also goes to the stuff that
we're seeing with like family planning
where young people just don't really
want to have kids anymore. It seems like
they're more interested interested in
having like a dog or a cat or a pet
because it's just less expensive. So I
don't know what the opport I mean the
question is like what opportunities
arise. I I'm not seeing much positive in
any of that, but I think that it is a
really good question that highlights
something that probably deserves more
airtime in the young people conversation
and after this I will be checking out
that airline dog on the airline. Well,
it's it it does create I think a Yeah, I
mean it creates a distorted lens on on
the economy because like some people
will be like, "Hey, you know, they're
buying their dogs airline tickets, you
know, things have to be somewhat okay."
So, it is seen as Yeah, it's seen as
like and they do have the money to do
it. Like it's some well, they're taking
out debt, but it's some element of um
economic health and then it's just a
shift in priorities too. And you know,
we often talk about this like fabled
American dream. It's something I write a
lot about because I think it's really
interesting like what does a society
subscribe to as a path and I think right
now that path is evolving because of the
economic constraints. um you know,
houses are just a lot harder to come by
and so it's harder to do family
formation to stay in one place even um
and it's just a different it's just a
different world and I think that it's
hard um because for the past 40 years
with this great moderation where things
the growth of suburbia the growth of
white collar jobs it seemed like
everything would stay stable forever and
that's just not this just not how the
world works apparently. Support for this
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>> So, I'm looking at our second question
and it kind of relates to what we just
discussed. This comes from Instagram
user Alan Davidson. Allan asks, quote,
"What's the most misunderstood economic
indicator when it comes to whether
younger generations are actually gaining
ground?" This is interesting because
it's I mean it really relates to what we
just talked about where if young people
are out buying avocado toast and lattes,
I feel like boomers immediately go,
"Well, you can buy avocado toast, so
you're fine. Everyone's fine." The first
thing that comes to mind for me is like
whatever avocado toast sales are, that
would be a misleading economic indicator
of what's really going on. But the one
that bugs me right now is this
interest that people have. And it's true
that more young people than ever before
are investing in the stock market. Like
it's something like half of us today,
half of Gen Z, which is a record high.
And then also like young people today
are investing way earlier than other
generations did. So, it's like, okay,
you guys have some money and you're
interested in stocks. Therefore, you're
good. Like, you're in good shape. And
for me, this frustrates me because I
feel like it ignores two really crucial
things. One of which is how much are we
actually investing?
And the answer is it's really not a lot
at all. Like if you look at Robin Hood
as an example, which is where most young
people are trading, the average account
balance is less than $250, which is
tiny. So sure, we're investing, but
we're not investing in a way that's
meaningful,
most of us, or at least on average. And
then the second for me is like what are
we actually investing in? And for most
young people, it's very heavy on the
crypto and the meme stocks. And there
was this Bank of America study uh
survey. They found that the average
young person has 30% of their portfolio
in crypto. That to me is that's not
healthy. That's not a symbol or a signal
that young people are doing well. That's
a signal that they're getting a little
desperate and they're yoloing into
things where they might see perhaps a
glimmer of outstanding returns. But the
phrase young people are investing more
than ever in the stock market like it
makes you think that we we're set. And I
feel like there are a lot of other uh
indicators which we could get into which
I feel like are are more symbolic of
what's really going on and that is we're
not set.
>> No, I think that's um true. And the
economic indicator that I brought to the
table is a bit similar where people talk
about how much young people are sports
betting. You know, 31% of 18 to 34 year
olds have an account with with sports
betting as you were talking about. 32%
of them bet three or three or more times
a week. A 30% um has bet more than 500
in a single day. But when you ask them
if they want this, people say no. A Pew
Research poll found that over 40% of
people aged 18 to 29 think that
legalized sports betting is is bad. Um,
it's up sharply from 34% in 2022. By the
way, that's that matters that change.
And so I think that's another thing that
ties into what you're saying is it seems
like everybody wants to be betting.
Everyone, even though it's a it's not
that many, it seems like a lot of
people, but everybody wants to be
betting. Everybody wants to be a part of
this like casino economy, but when we
look at the data, that's just not true.
Like they are that that ties into the
first question pretty well where people
are doing this because of the
aspirational displacement. They're doing
this because they're trying to find some
way out and because it's accessible. I
think also prior generations might have
tapped into this stuff a little bit, but
I don't know. So, I think that's I think
one of the most misunderstood things is
that people don't want what's happening
right now with elements of the casino
economy.
>> Yeah, that's a great point. It's like
the same with any other addiction. Like,
you know, you could be addicted to
alcohol, you could be addicted to
>> opiates, and then you can also probably
think these things are terrible and I
wish they had never entered into my
life. I feel like the data that you're
you're producing there is like that's
exactly the story that it's that it's
telling. It's like we're addicted to
this stuff. We know it's not good for
us, but we keep doing it because that is
the nature of addictions, which again is
is really concerning to me. Okay, we
will be right back after a quick break.
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Let's move on to our final question.
This is from MattMC121.
Matt says, "With so much noise in
today's media, how do you navigate
through it? What is your process for for
arriving at a point where you can give a
new perspective?"
That's a great question, Kyla. What do
you think?
>> Oh man. Um there's a lot going on and so
what I do every morning is I check all
of the major outlets. So Bloomberg, Wall
Street Journal, uh Financial Times to
try and get a sense of what has happened
overnight. And then I keep a running
word doc, a Google doc throughout the
week where I take notes on various
themes that I think are popping up. So
if I see a lot of research coming out
about gambling or if I see a lot of
articles written about gambling, I'll
add that to my Google doc. So I try to
compartmentalize and create themes for
all of the things that I'm seeing
because then it's easier to connect the
dots. Everything is connected um in this
sort of world. Um and so that's what I
try to do is make sense of it through
writing it all down. But that takes a
tremendous amount of time. So what I try
to do with like arriving to a new
perspective is say okay what did I learn
this week like how can I help explain
all this stuff that's happening and then
relay it to somebody who's just trying
to understand and they have 3 minutes
every day to understand what's going on
around them. So it's it's um it's uh
there's a lot there's a lot going on. I
feel like the other thing that you nail
which probably helps with understanding
things is just like how would I explain
this in three minutes to someone who has
zero context and I feel like that's a
really good way to understand the issues
deeply. I mean, this is what people say,
if you want to learn, teach, which I
feel like is kind of what you do. And
that's probably a really I mean, I feel
like people could take that in their own
lives. For me,
same as Kyla, I try to read everything.
So, read all the papers, try to
understand both sides of the argument if
possible.
That is always going to be helpful. I
think another point that I would say
that I think has really helped me is the
fact that my job is to say stuff
and it's not just to read stuff. Um,
it's like I I literally have to by the
nature of this job, I literally have to
have a viewpoint and I have to
articulate that viewpoint out loud which
by its very nature forces me to be a
smarter person. Like tomorrow, as an
example, I am going to be on MSNBC. I
have no idea right now what we're going
to talk about. They'll tell me in the
morning and then by the time I appear on
camera later in the day, I need to have
an understanding of what we're going to
talk about. I need to have an opinion. I
need to have a position. And I can
guarantee you I'm going to have that
because of the pressure I have to
perform. I just will. Like I don't know
right now, but I know that I'm going to
figure it out tomorrow. So I feel like
the learning there I mean most people
don't have a job like this. Most people
don't have a job like Kyler does, but I
still think there's something you can
take with you. And that is if you want
to connect the dots and be smarter about
what is happening in the world, you
should just make yourself speak more.
Like you should say more things at work.
When you're in a meeting, you should
just force yourself to say something,
have an opinion. uh you should have that
pressure on yourself maybe at a cocktail
party like okay I usually don't have a
thought but you know I'm gonna just take
the risk and like say it right now um
you should do it online like you should
like post on LinkedIn you should start a
newsletter like I feel like the more you
hold yourself accountable to producing
thoughts and ideas which is really
uncomfortable to do but the more you
force yourself to do it I think it
really helps you connect the dots and
also develop your own perspective. That
might be kind of like an aggressive way
to to to to get it get it home. But I I
do feel like that's been a real benefit
for me of doing this podcast and doing
this stuff. It's like I don't have a
choice. I have to have an opinion on
stuff and I feel like you can you can do
that too in your daily life.
>> I think I'm just I don't know if we need
like more hot takes. I think we need
more informed takes. And so I would
agree. Yeah, I would agree that like
people should read the data, read the
research, and then they should post on
LinkedIn. I don't think they need to be
just um that's not what you said. Like
you didn't say that they should just
like post on LinkedIn with whatever
they're thinking about. But
>> I do think
>> informed. Yes. But it is an important
caveat.
>> I think it would do a great service to
us as a capital S society if people were
engaged a little bit more. um actively
in how the news is impacting them. I
think it's really important to not
internalize it. You know, it can be very
stressful part of the media environment
right now is a little bit of the flood
the zone strategy where it is stressful
by design. And so I think you kind of
just have to know okay like what do I
want to learn? like what do I want to
have a new perspective on and then go
and and seek that out and so I don't
know if you have to like read everything
all of the time because that just might
wear you down. Um but if you know sort
of what you want to be knowledgeable
about like is it you know peptides which
is the new craze in Silicon Valley like
do you want to understand everything
about that like you can go down that
rabbit hole. So that's what I'd
recommend is like read and stay informed
and then you know know what you want to
learn.
>> Read and then speak.
>> Crazy.
>> And I'm trusting Matt Mc121
to not just spout off about that he
has no idea about. I am trusting you,
sir, to understand the ideas. But I do
think again, hold yourself to it. Okay,
I've read stuff. I've looked at all the
perspectives. Now it's my job to say
something to someone. I think that's an
important step that you shouldn't count
out.
>> Yeah, you have to approach this with
kindness and empathy. Uh so like one
thing that I also do to sort of get rid
of the noise is I talk to a lot of
people. So I'm on the road quite a bit
and I'm traveling and I'm talking to
people who are real and like not on
Twitter.com. And so I think that's also
important is like to talk to real people
and not to let your perspective totally
consume you to where you're not allowing
any other input. It's really a tricky
ledge to walk. Um but you have to make
sure I think that you're you're open.
Not to be like too prescriptive, but I
think you have to be open and you have
to make sure you're approaching people
with kindness. Uh because the world
needs a little bit more of that.
>> That is a wonderful place to end. Kyla
Scanland is an economic commentator,
educator, and founder of Bread, a
financial education platform reaching
millions through storytelling and
analysis. She's also the best-selling
author of In This Economy: How Money and
Markets Really Work. Kyler, this has
been awesome. I hope Scott is gone again
cuz we should do this again.
>> Yeah, thanks for having me. And if you'd
like to submit a question for next time,
you can send a voice recording to office
hours.com
or post your question on the Scott
Galloway subreddit.
Ask follow-up questions or revisit key timestamps.
The discussion revolves around how younger generations (millennials and Gen Z) are redefining traditional spending patterns due to being priced out of homeownership and delaying family life. This leads to a phenomenon called "aspirational displacement," where they allocate more money towards experiences, pets, and accessible luxuries, creating a discrepancy between strong retail sales and low consumer sentiment. The speakers also highlight misunderstood economic indicators, such as young people's stock market investments (often small amounts in volatile assets) and widespread sports betting, which are often driven by desperation rather than financial security. Finally, they offer strategies for navigating media noise and forming informed perspectives, emphasizing critical reading, articulating ideas, and engaging with diverse real-world viewpoints.
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