HomeVideos

Ed Elson & Kyla Scanlon on Why Young Americans Feel Stuck in Today’s Economy | Office Hours

Now Playing

Ed Elson & Kyla Scanlon on Why Young Americans Feel Stuck in Today’s Economy | Office Hours

Transcript

594 segments

0:00

A lot of people have a sense of

0:02

financial nihilism because they might

0:04

not necessarily be on the right the path

0:06

that they want to be with the American

0:08

dream, but they can afford these things.

0:10

And so it does create a weird

0:12

discrepancy in the economy where we see

0:14

strong retail sales, but we see consumer

0:17

sentiment um so low. And in terms of how

0:22

it's changing the economy, you see

0:24

companies catering to it a lot more.

0:27

Like there's a whole airline that caters

0:29

just to dogs. I think it's called Bark.

0:32

Have you seen this? Have you seen that?

0:34

You can fly your dog on the Bark place.

0:36

Yeah.

0:40

>> Welcome to the second and final episode

0:42

of ProfG on Economics, a special series

0:45

focused on the forces shaping the

0:47

economy and your financial life. I'm Ed

0:49

Olson, co-host of Profy Markets. I'm

0:51

joined again by Kyla Scandlin, economic

0:54

commentator and author of In This

0:56

Economy: How Money and Markets Really

0:57

Work. Together, we will be answering

0:59

your questions on the economy and what

1:01

it means for your money. Kyler, thank

1:03

you for joining us. Thank you.

1:04

>> Are you ready to get into this?

1:06

>> Yes.

1:07

>> Our first question comes from Spencer

1:10

Combmes on Instagram. They say, quote,

1:14

"It seems like a growing number of

1:15

millennials priced out of home ownership

1:17

and delaying kids are redefining

1:19

traditional spending patterns. Rather

1:21

than channeling money into homes and

1:23

early family life, they're allocating

1:25

more toward experiences, pets, and

1:27

accessible luxuries. These categories

1:30

may increasingly replace those older

1:32

economic anchors. How do you see this

1:34

generational reallocation of spending

1:37

influencing the economy overall? and

1:39

what opportunities could emerge as a

1:42

result. Kyla, what say you to Spencer

1:46

Combmes?

1:47

>> I think it's an interesting question and

1:49

it actually becomes an American dream

1:51

question. So there's something called

1:53

aspirational displacement where people

1:55

who can't afford to buy a house which is

1:57

that traditional path of the American

1:59

dream, they start buying experiences,

2:01

they start spending on their pets cuz

2:02

they have additional income but they

2:05

can't, you know, make a huge p purchase

2:07

like a house. And so it's an interesting

2:10

thing that we're seeing in the economy.

2:13

And on the previous episode I talked

2:15

about uh balance cost disease and how

2:18

goods were getting cheaper and cheaper

2:20

because we've gotten better and better

2:22

at producing them. Services have taken a

2:25

longer time to get cheaper because it's

2:26

much harder to make services more

2:29

productive. It's very easy to automate a

2:32

car factory, much harder to automate a

2:34

physician. And so I think that's also

2:36

part of it is that it's much cheaper to

2:38

access these accessible luxuries. We

2:41

also have international trade which uh

2:44

has informed a lot of the access to

2:46

these luxuries oftent times which come

2:48

from abroad. And then the experiences

2:51

part is a lot of travel too. And so the

2:53

average American travels a whole lot

2:55

more than they used to. And so these are

2:57

interesting indicators of economic

2:59

health. Um, so a lot of people have a

3:03

sense of financial nilism because they

3:05

might not necessarily be on the right

3:07

the path that they want to be with the

3:09

American dream, but they can afford

3:11

these things. And so it does create a

3:13

weird discrepancy in the economy where

3:15

we see strong retail sales, but we see

3:17

consumer sentiment um so low. And in

3:22

terms of how it's changing the economy,

3:25

you see companies catering to it a lot

3:27

more. Like there's a whole airline that

3:30

caters just to dogs. I think it's called

3:32

Bark. Have you seen this? Have you seen

3:35

that? You can fly your dog on the bark

3:37

planes. Yeah. No, I'm serious.

3:39

>> Oh god.

3:40

>> Yeah. It's um it's something that

3:42

happens.

3:43

>> Did not know.

3:44

>> It's it's something that happens in

3:46

higher inome countries is you know more

3:48

and more so they'll spend on these sorts

3:50

of things. It's the same pattern that we

3:52

saw in Japan as well, South Korea too.

3:55

So yeah, it makes a lot of sense and

3:57

there's going to be a lot of luxury

3:59

brands that are able to capture that, a

4:01

lot of dog airplanes that are able to

4:04

capture that. And it does represent a

4:06

strange amount of um economic health.

4:09

>> I think the thing that's so depressing

4:11

to me about it is it's like we don't

4:13

have enough money to buy houses, but we

4:15

do have enough money to buy flights for

4:18

our pets. And that's such a weird like

4:22

in between stage, which is almost I

4:26

don't know if it's it's worse than than

4:28

not having the money to to buy the the

4:30

the dog flights, but it's it's

4:32

definitely got like an a very depressing

4:35

irony to it that that concerns me. And

4:38

it reminds me of also like the little

4:41

treat culture. um which is this this

4:44

whole thing where it's it's like you you

4:47

don't think that you can buy a house or

4:49

get anywhere because everything's way

4:51

too expensive. So instead of like saving

4:54

up for these meaningful purchases, you

4:57

instead just like spend all of your

5:00

disposable income on what people are

5:02

calling like little treats. So, like

5:04

maybe the dog flight would be one of

5:06

them or like um you know clothes or uh

5:10

laboo or like expensive coffee like

5:13

whatever it is. Maybe you'd put sports

5:14

betting in that category too. Um which

5:17

is really concerning to me at least

5:21

because it just makes me think that this

5:24

generation has kind of given up and has

5:27

decided that they're not they're not

5:30

going to get out. So why even try? and

5:33

to the the dog flight. So, I've got to

5:36

look this up. Bulock, that's crazy. So,

5:39

I have some data in front of me to to

5:41

the the pet point about how much young

5:44

people are spending on their pets. So, I

5:46

guess this really aligns with what

5:47

you've just said. So, the average

5:50

American across all age groups spends uh

5:54

if you have a pet, spends $4,400 per

5:58

year on their pets. For Gen Z, the

6:02

number is over $6,000. So, young people

6:05

are spending 40% more than the average

6:09

pet owner. But here is where it gets

6:11

worse.

6:13

A third of those Gen Z pet owners say

6:16

they have gone into debt because of

6:19

their pets. So, we're literally levering

6:23

up to put our dogs on flights and get

6:27

them fancy dog collars and maybe get

6:29

them fancy dog treats. And meanwhile,

6:33

the cost of housing is six times our

6:36

income. And we're doing nothing, it

6:38

seems, to figure out how to save for

6:41

that event. And and you can't really

6:43

blame us because of the environment, the

6:45

financial environment we're in. And I

6:47

think this also goes to the stuff that

6:49

we're seeing with like family planning

6:51

where young people just don't really

6:53

want to have kids anymore. It seems like

6:54

they're more interested interested in

6:56

having like a dog or a cat or a pet

6:58

because it's just less expensive. So I

7:00

don't know what the opport I mean the

7:02

question is like what opportunities

7:04

arise. I I'm not seeing much positive in

7:08

any of that, but I think that it is a

7:11

really good question that highlights

7:14

something that probably deserves more

7:16

airtime in the young people conversation

7:20

and after this I will be checking out

7:23

that airline dog on the airline. Well,

7:26

it's it it does create I think a Yeah, I

7:30

mean it creates a distorted lens on on

7:33

the economy because like some people

7:35

will be like, "Hey, you know, they're

7:36

buying their dogs airline tickets, you

7:38

know, things have to be somewhat okay."

7:40

So, it is seen as Yeah, it's seen as

7:42

like and they do have the money to do

7:44

it. Like it's some well, they're taking

7:45

out debt, but it's some element of um

7:48

economic health and then it's just a

7:51

shift in priorities too. And you know,

7:53

we often talk about this like fabled

7:55

American dream. It's something I write a

7:57

lot about because I think it's really

7:58

interesting like what does a society

8:01

subscribe to as a path and I think right

8:04

now that path is evolving because of the

8:06

economic constraints. um you know,

8:09

houses are just a lot harder to come by

8:11

and so it's harder to do family

8:13

formation to stay in one place even um

8:17

and it's just a different it's just a

8:18

different world and I think that it's

8:20

hard um because for the past 40 years

8:23

with this great moderation where things

8:26

the growth of suburbia the growth of

8:28

white collar jobs it seemed like

8:29

everything would stay stable forever and

8:32

that's just not this just not how the

8:34

world works apparently. Support for this

8:36

show comes from LinkedIn. If you've ever

8:38

hired for your small business, you know

8:40

how important it is to find the right

8:41

person. That's why LinkedIn Jobs is

8:43

stepping things up with their new AI

8:44

assistant. So, you can feel confident

8:46

you're finding top talent that you can't

8:48

find anywhere else. And those great

8:50

candidates you're looking for are

8:51

already on LinkedIn. In fact, according

8:53

to their data, employees hired through

8:54

LinkedIn are 30% more likely to stick

8:57

around for at least a year compared to

8:58

those hired through the leading

8:59

competitor. That's a big deal when every

9:01

hire counts. With LinkedIn Jobs AI

9:04

Assistant, you can skip confusing steps

9:05

and recruiting jargon. It filters

9:07

through applicants based on criteria

9:09

you've set for your role and surfaces

9:10

only the best matches so you're not

9:12

stuck sorting through a mountain of

9:13

résumés. LinkedIn Jobs AI assistant can

9:16

even suggest 25 great fit candidates

9:18

daily so you can invite them to apply

9:20

and keep things moving. Hire right the

9:22

first time. Post your job for free at

9:24

linkedin.com/prof.

9:26

Then promote it to use LinkedIn jobs new

9:28

AI assistant making it easier and faster

9:30

to find top candidates. That's

9:31

linkedin.com/prof

9:33

to post your job for free. Terms and

9:35

conditions apply.

9:38

>> So, I'm looking at our second question

9:41

and it kind of relates to what we just

9:43

discussed. This comes from Instagram

9:45

user Alan Davidson. Allan asks, quote,

9:48

"What's the most misunderstood economic

9:50

indicator when it comes to whether

9:53

younger generations are actually gaining

9:55

ground?" This is interesting because

9:57

it's I mean it really relates to what we

10:00

just talked about where if young people

10:02

are out buying avocado toast and lattes,

10:05

I feel like boomers immediately go,

10:07

"Well, you can buy avocado toast, so

10:09

you're fine. Everyone's fine." The first

10:11

thing that comes to mind for me is like

10:12

whatever avocado toast sales are, that

10:15

would be a misleading economic indicator

10:17

of what's really going on. But the one

10:19

that bugs me right now is this

10:24

interest that people have. And it's true

10:27

that more young people than ever before

10:29

are investing in the stock market. Like

10:32

it's something like half of us today,

10:35

half of Gen Z, which is a record high.

10:38

And then also like young people today

10:42

are investing way earlier than other

10:44

generations did. So, it's like, okay,

10:46

you guys have some money and you're

10:48

interested in stocks. Therefore, you're

10:50

good. Like, you're in good shape. And

10:53

for me, this frustrates me because I

10:55

feel like it ignores two really crucial

10:57

things. One of which is how much are we

11:01

actually investing?

11:03

And the answer is it's really not a lot

11:05

at all. Like if you look at Robin Hood

11:08

as an example, which is where most young

11:09

people are trading, the average account

11:12

balance is less than $250, which is

11:15

tiny. So sure, we're investing, but

11:19

we're not investing in a way that's

11:21

meaningful,

11:23

most of us, or at least on average. And

11:25

then the second for me is like what are

11:28

we actually investing in? And for most

11:31

young people, it's very heavy on the

11:35

crypto and the meme stocks. And there

11:36

was this Bank of America study uh

11:39

survey. They found that the average

11:41

young person has 30% of their portfolio

11:44

in crypto. That to me is that's not

11:47

healthy. That's not a symbol or a signal

11:50

that young people are doing well. That's

11:52

a signal that they're getting a little

11:54

desperate and they're yoloing into

11:55

things where they might see perhaps a

11:58

glimmer of outstanding returns. But the

12:01

phrase young people are investing more

12:04

than ever in the stock market like it

12:06

makes you think that we we're set. And I

12:09

feel like there are a lot of other uh

12:11

indicators which we could get into which

12:13

I feel like are are more symbolic of

12:16

what's really going on and that is we're

12:17

not set.

12:18

>> No, I think that's um true. And the

12:21

economic indicator that I brought to the

12:23

table is a bit similar where people talk

12:25

about how much young people are sports

12:27

betting. You know, 31% of 18 to 34 year

12:30

olds have an account with with sports

12:32

betting as you were talking about. 32%

12:34

of them bet three or three or more times

12:36

a week. A 30% um has bet more than 500

12:40

in a single day. But when you ask them

12:43

if they want this, people say no. A Pew

12:46

Research poll found that over 40% of

12:49

people aged 18 to 29 think that

12:52

legalized sports betting is is bad. Um,

12:55

it's up sharply from 34% in 2022. By the

12:59

way, that's that matters that change.

13:01

And so I think that's another thing that

13:04

ties into what you're saying is it seems

13:07

like everybody wants to be betting.

13:10

Everyone, even though it's a it's not

13:12

that many, it seems like a lot of

13:13

people, but everybody wants to be

13:15

betting. Everybody wants to be a part of

13:18

this like casino economy, but when we

13:20

look at the data, that's just not true.

13:22

Like they are that that ties into the

13:25

first question pretty well where people

13:27

are doing this because of the

13:28

aspirational displacement. They're doing

13:30

this because they're trying to find some

13:33

way out and because it's accessible. I

13:35

think also prior generations might have

13:37

tapped into this stuff a little bit, but

13:40

I don't know. So, I think that's I think

13:41

one of the most misunderstood things is

13:44

that people don't want what's happening

13:47

right now with elements of the casino

13:50

economy.

13:51

>> Yeah, that's a great point. It's like

13:53

the same with any other addiction. Like,

13:55

you know, you could be addicted to

13:57

alcohol, you could be addicted to

13:59

>> opiates, and then you can also probably

14:02

think these things are terrible and I

14:03

wish they had never entered into my

14:05

life. I feel like the data that you're

14:07

you're producing there is like that's

14:09

exactly the story that it's that it's

14:11

telling. It's like we're addicted to

14:13

this stuff. We know it's not good for

14:15

us, but we keep doing it because that is

14:18

the nature of addictions, which again is

14:20

is really concerning to me. Okay, we

14:23

will be right back after a quick break.

14:26

>> Support for the show comes from Gruns.

14:28

The new year always comes with

14:29

resolutions, and that can be a lot of

14:31

pressure to improve yourself. That's all

14:32

well and good, but what's the point of

14:34

doing all that if you can't stick with

14:36

it long term? Grun proves you can do the

14:38

least and still feel the most thanks to

14:40

a delicious daily habit that does the

14:42

heavy lifting. If you haven't heard me

14:44

talk about Gruns before, they're a

14:45

convenient, comprehensive formula packed

14:47

into a snack pack of gummies a day. This

14:50

isn't a multivitamin, a greens gummy, or

14:52

a prebiotic. It's all of those things

14:54

and then some at a fraction of the

14:56

price. And bonus, it tastes great.

14:58

Grun's ingredients are backed by over

15:00

35,000 research publications. And it

15:02

comes in packs because you can't fit the

15:04

amount of nutrients Gruns does into a

15:06

single gummy, like 6 g of prebiotic

15:08

fiber. That's like eating two cups of

15:10

broccoli, but in one tasty little snack

15:12

pack. Kick your new year off right and

15:15

save up to 52% off with code

15:17

propguns.co.

15:19

That's codepr.co.

15:25

Let's move on to our final question.

15:28

This is from MattMC121.

15:31

Matt says, "With so much noise in

15:33

today's media, how do you navigate

15:35

through it? What is your process for for

15:38

arriving at a point where you can give a

15:41

new perspective?"

15:43

That's a great question, Kyla. What do

15:45

you think?

15:45

>> Oh man. Um there's a lot going on and so

15:50

what I do every morning is I check all

15:53

of the major outlets. So Bloomberg, Wall

15:55

Street Journal, uh Financial Times to

15:58

try and get a sense of what has happened

16:00

overnight. And then I keep a running

16:03

word doc, a Google doc throughout the

16:05

week where I take notes on various

16:08

themes that I think are popping up. So

16:11

if I see a lot of research coming out

16:13

about gambling or if I see a lot of

16:15

articles written about gambling, I'll

16:17

add that to my Google doc. So I try to

16:20

compartmentalize and create themes for

16:22

all of the things that I'm seeing

16:24

because then it's easier to connect the

16:26

dots. Everything is connected um in this

16:30

sort of world. Um and so that's what I

16:32

try to do is make sense of it through

16:35

writing it all down. But that takes a

16:37

tremendous amount of time. So what I try

16:40

to do with like arriving to a new

16:43

perspective is say okay what did I learn

16:45

this week like how can I help explain

16:47

all this stuff that's happening and then

16:49

relay it to somebody who's just trying

16:51

to understand and they have 3 minutes

16:53

every day to understand what's going on

16:55

around them. So it's it's um it's uh

16:59

there's a lot there's a lot going on. I

17:02

feel like the other thing that you nail

17:04

which probably helps with understanding

17:06

things is just like how would I explain

17:08

this in three minutes to someone who has

17:11

zero context and I feel like that's a

17:13

really good way to understand the issues

17:16

deeply. I mean, this is what people say,

17:18

if you want to learn, teach, which I

17:20

feel like is kind of what you do. And

17:23

that's probably a really I mean, I feel

17:25

like people could take that in their own

17:28

lives. For me,

17:30

same as Kyla, I try to read everything.

17:33

So, read all the papers, try to

17:36

understand both sides of the argument if

17:38

possible.

17:40

That is always going to be helpful. I

17:42

think another point that I would say

17:45

that I think has really helped me is the

17:48

fact that my job is to say stuff

17:53

and it's not just to read stuff. Um,

17:56

it's like I I literally have to by the

17:59

nature of this job, I literally have to

18:00

have a viewpoint and I have to

18:03

articulate that viewpoint out loud which

18:07

by its very nature forces me to be a

18:09

smarter person. Like tomorrow, as an

18:13

example, I am going to be on MSNBC. I

18:17

have no idea right now what we're going

18:19

to talk about. They'll tell me in the

18:22

morning and then by the time I appear on

18:26

camera later in the day, I need to have

18:28

an understanding of what we're going to

18:30

talk about. I need to have an opinion. I

18:31

need to have a position. And I can

18:33

guarantee you I'm going to have that

18:35

because of the pressure I have to

18:37

perform. I just will. Like I don't know

18:40

right now, but I know that I'm going to

18:42

figure it out tomorrow. So I feel like

18:45

the learning there I mean most people

18:47

don't have a job like this. Most people

18:49

don't have a job like Kyler does, but I

18:52

still think there's something you can

18:53

take with you. And that is if you want

18:55

to connect the dots and be smarter about

18:58

what is happening in the world, you

18:59

should just make yourself speak more.

19:03

Like you should say more things at work.

19:06

When you're in a meeting, you should

19:07

just force yourself to say something,

19:10

have an opinion. uh you should have that

19:13

pressure on yourself maybe at a cocktail

19:16

party like okay I usually don't have a

19:18

thought but you know I'm gonna just take

19:20

the risk and like say it right now um

19:23

you should do it online like you should

19:24

like post on LinkedIn you should start a

19:26

newsletter like I feel like the more you

19:28

hold yourself accountable to producing

19:32

thoughts and ideas which is really

19:34

uncomfortable to do but the more you

19:37

force yourself to do it I think it

19:39

really helps you connect the dots and

19:42

also develop your own perspective. That

19:45

might be kind of like an aggressive way

19:47

to to to to get it get it home. But I I

19:51

do feel like that's been a real benefit

19:53

for me of doing this podcast and doing

19:55

this stuff. It's like I don't have a

19:57

choice. I have to have an opinion on

19:58

stuff and I feel like you can you can do

20:00

that too in your daily life.

20:02

>> I think I'm just I don't know if we need

20:05

like more hot takes. I think we need

20:06

more informed takes. And so I would

20:09

agree. Yeah, I would agree that like

20:12

people should read the data, read the

20:14

research, and then they should post on

20:16

LinkedIn. I don't think they need to be

20:18

just um that's not what you said. Like

20:20

you didn't say that they should just

20:21

like post on LinkedIn with whatever

20:22

they're thinking about. But

20:24

>> I do think

20:25

>> informed. Yes. But it is an important

20:27

caveat.

20:28

>> I think it would do a great service to

20:31

us as a capital S society if people were

20:35

engaged a little bit more. um actively

20:38

in how the news is impacting them. I

20:42

think it's really important to not

20:45

internalize it. You know, it can be very

20:48

stressful part of the media environment

20:52

right now is a little bit of the flood

20:54

the zone strategy where it is stressful

20:56

by design. And so I think you kind of

20:59

just have to know okay like what do I

21:01

want to learn? like what do I want to

21:03

have a new perspective on and then go

21:06

and and seek that out and so I don't

21:08

know if you have to like read everything

21:09

all of the time because that just might

21:11

wear you down. Um but if you know sort

21:13

of what you want to be knowledgeable

21:15

about like is it you know peptides which

21:17

is the new craze in Silicon Valley like

21:19

do you want to understand everything

21:20

about that like you can go down that

21:22

rabbit hole. So that's what I'd

21:23

recommend is like read and stay informed

21:26

and then you know know what you want to

21:28

learn.

21:28

>> Read and then speak.

21:31

>> Crazy.

21:32

>> And I'm trusting Matt Mc121

21:35

to not just spout off about that he

21:37

has no idea about. I am trusting you,

21:39

sir, to understand the ideas. But I do

21:43

think again, hold yourself to it. Okay,

21:46

I've read stuff. I've looked at all the

21:48

perspectives. Now it's my job to say

21:52

something to someone. I think that's an

21:54

important step that you shouldn't count

21:56

out.

21:57

>> Yeah, you have to approach this with

21:58

kindness and empathy. Uh so like one

22:01

thing that I also do to sort of get rid

22:04

of the noise is I talk to a lot of

22:05

people. So I'm on the road quite a bit

22:07

and I'm traveling and I'm talking to

22:09

people who are real and like not on

22:11

Twitter.com. And so I think that's also

22:13

important is like to talk to real people

22:16

and not to let your perspective totally

22:18

consume you to where you're not allowing

22:21

any other input. It's really a tricky

22:24

ledge to walk. Um but you have to make

22:27

sure I think that you're you're open.

22:28

Not to be like too prescriptive, but I

22:30

think you have to be open and you have

22:32

to make sure you're approaching people

22:33

with kindness. Uh because the world

22:35

needs a little bit more of that.

22:38

>> That is a wonderful place to end. Kyla

22:41

Scanland is an economic commentator,

22:43

educator, and founder of Bread, a

22:45

financial education platform reaching

22:47

millions through storytelling and

22:49

analysis. She's also the best-selling

22:51

author of In This Economy: How Money and

22:54

Markets Really Work. Kyler, this has

22:57

been awesome. I hope Scott is gone again

23:00

cuz we should do this again.

23:01

>> Yeah, thanks for having me. And if you'd

23:03

like to submit a question for next time,

23:06

you can send a voice recording to office

23:08

hours.com

23:10

or post your question on the Scott

23:12

Galloway subreddit.

Interactive Summary

The discussion revolves around how younger generations (millennials and Gen Z) are redefining traditional spending patterns due to being priced out of homeownership and delaying family life. This leads to a phenomenon called "aspirational displacement," where they allocate more money towards experiences, pets, and accessible luxuries, creating a discrepancy between strong retail sales and low consumer sentiment. The speakers also highlight misunderstood economic indicators, such as young people's stock market investments (often small amounts in volatile assets) and widespread sports betting, which are often driven by desperation rather than financial security. Finally, they offer strategies for navigating media noise and forming informed perspectives, emphasizing critical reading, articulating ideas, and engaging with diverse real-world viewpoints.

Suggested questions

3 ready-made prompts