Why “Skin in the Game” Can Be Dangerous for Traders - Andreas Clenow
1982 segments
Andreas, thank you so much for doing
this.
>> Thank you, Ethan. Great to be here.
>> Does trend following still work?
>> Yeah, I think I've been asked for uh for
that. I've been asked about that for the
past, I don't know, 15 plus years, 20
maybe. Uh trend following tends to die
quite often. It it's a well-known thing,
right? trend following has gone up and
down in profitability over the years and
in terms of you know risk risk adjusted
returns for it. Profitability has well
it's gone down since the 80s 90s
obviously but every time trend following
has a draw down everybody calls it death
of trend following and then you know few
years later we have moved back up again
and nobody mentions that again right now
obviously trend following hasn't done
very well in the last uh year or two or
so but it's This is as usual ups and
down. I don't I don't see a big problem
right now. There's a big draw down. Um
depending on point of view, maybe a good
idea to buy trend following strategies
at the moment. I'm not selling any by
the way. So I'm not solicitating. I
don't sell any trend following to the
public anymore. But um
but uh it might be interesting entry
point for trend following models at this
point.
>> Yeah. I Yeah, it's funny. I was speaking
to a
to a fund manager based in London. Um a
former episode. It was another episode
on the podcast and he was talking about
how
he combines a discretionary overlay on
top of trend because he says that he
finds it pretty easy to tell which
markets are going to trend, which
aren't. And you know, by applying that
overlay, he's a able to to use these
strategies. And what what he said is,
you know, he's he's performed a lot
better by by adding that overlay. And I
guess I'd like to ask you about that. So
within trend following, what are the
contexts today in which you think they
perform well those strategies?
>> I mean, first just to comment on that, I
I don't know, maybe this is somewhat I
know. I thought you were talking about
Rob Carver first, but when once you said
um discretionary, I know you're not
talking about him anyway. Uh, personally
I don't do that. If it works for this
guy, whoever that is, then fine. I mean,
I'm not I I have no say religious views
about trading. Whatever whatever works.
There are clearly stupid methods out
there. But there's a lot of non- stupid
methods that work. If you're good at
them, and if this guy's good at that, it
works for him. Great. No problem with
that type of approach. I don't do it
myself. So, when does trend following
work? Well, we need lasting trends.
Right now there's a lot of uncertainty
on a lot of issues. What trend followers
hate, at least me, is a risk on risk off
type of mentality.
>> When everything moves the same way,
that's that's always a bit of a problem.
You know, when you're in the middle of a
great market and everything is is
correlated on the upside, suddenly it
turns it correlated on correlated on the
downside. That that's just no fun. You
need a diversification effect from it.
Um obviously from a bigger perspective I
mean if you look back a few decades if
you have very high interest rates that
are slowly moving down. I mean that was
a large part of the big returns back in
the uh the 80s and 90s right first you
have very high interest rates you get a
lot of free return on the excess capital
trend followers uh work work with
futures derivatives and we have a lot of
cash over you got to place a cash
somewhere and you get get very high free
interest from the government it's good I
mean you get you get performance fee on
that right at the same time we had
slowly decreasing rates which means you
will long bonds along anything interest
rate related.
>> That was pretty interesting trade.
That that was fun at the time, but um
now you got to look for different
things. I think there's a danger in
sticking to two old ways of looking at
things. I mean, trend following like
everything else, you have to adapt to
what you see out dark. You don't have
the same market climates like we had the
had back in the uh the 90s anymore.
Andrew, I want to hear I guess
a bit about your career because I, you
know, I first heard about you when I was
first getting interested in the space,
read some of your books and um I read
Following the Trend. I remember that was
two years ago. Um, and I guess I want to
hear about
your journey through this industry. You
know, how did you start? What was that
like?
>> Um, let me see.
Why did I get into finance? Well, I
think I got into finance because of the
the trading room in my university.
Now, back then, not every university had
these things. We had we had a trading
room that was uh sponsored by by
Reuters.
Uh we had a small trading group like a
society I suppose American terms and uh
university
and they had this room with very
high-end Reuters machines at the time
like market data systems. Okay. So real
time charting anything really expensive
stuff. That's where you would go if you
had an interest in data.
I don't know how many of you are
familiar with how the markets looked
back in uh those days, but let's just
say they were pretty easy. Pretty easy.
I mean, most of us, we were just buying
stocks. We we heard about companies we
thought were cool and we thought we were
really really clever because we made
money, right? I mean, you know, I I had
a great start of my trading career. I
made money on every trade. I had a
nearly 100% hit rate. Yes. I I thought I
was really good until, you know, it took
me quite a while to realize that I was
buying tech stocks in the biggest tech
bubble in the world. So you know
everybody was making money there. It's
not not skill is right time right place.
If I had if I started university in uh
say 99 2000 my career might have been in
uh something very different. Yeah I
during this time I started a small IT
company. I think I founded that when I
was like 19. Uh sold that when I was
years later 99 somewhere around there.
Uh pure dumb luck as well. Uh I've
gotten rid of an IT company 99. I had
I joined a company called Reuters, the
the ones who sponsored our our trading
room back then.
Initially I was uh I I was uh head of
Reuters consulting Nordic for a while.
There was a consulty arm, financial
consulty arm of of the company.
Did that for like two years before I was
offered a a job in in um in Switzerland.
My then boss comes up to me. He was
tired of me being on the phone for a
long time waiting for to speak to me.
Finally, he um he gets tired of waiting.
So he writes a paper in front of me
saying Geneva 3 months, you leave
tomorrow.
All right, cool.
So I left for Geneva the next day and
realized that Switzerland is a pretty
good place to live. I don't want to
leave this place. Yeah. I spent a few
years down there. I got a job sim
company first at uh how um stupid titles
you have in big companies. I think I was
like global head of equities and
commodity analytics modeling something
like that. Um I was basically the
manager of a group of people building
financial calculation models for a
while.
I'm ranting for a while here. Feel feel
free feel free to interrupt me. I'm um
>> No, I would I want to hear the story
about the hedge fund. That's because
that's whenever we release an episode
with someone who's built a fund and and
really done that, everyone seems to tune
in. everyone's interested. Well, I've
been asked a few times about how how do
I get into hedge funds? It's very common
question and my common answer is I don't
know. I mean, the joke I repeated a few
times is like I I feel like I'm I'm a
lucky monkey. I I I slipped on a banana
peel and landed in the hedge fund
business. That's the best I can explain
it. Dumb luck. Uh the the thing is my
philosophy is you have to put yourself
in a position where this kind of luck
could happen. it's not going to fall
from the sky. You need to be in a
situation where you have a slightly at
least some probability of this type of
luck happening. So, let me uh let me try
to explain. I uh
>> what happened was this. I realized I was
stuck in this management career. I know
that that
sounds bad perhaps, but I I really
didn't like what I was doing. I had on
paper a a decent career, good title, all
of these things, but I didn't want to do
this. So, I made myself more visible.
First, I I found myself in at the time I
was in Geneva. I'm in a foreign country
with a language I don't really fully
command, at least not at the time. They
speak French in Geneva. Not really not
really for me. I understand French, but
I'm not fluent enough to to to fit in to
be one of them.
I knew no nobody. I had no contact
network in in the country. I needed to
be visible a little bit. Uh I took a few
steps to become more visible just to
have more high chance of accidental
accidentally meeting people that might
be able to help. One one way was I
joined the um the organization that was
at the time called the MTA. Now they're
called the uh the CMT Association.
It's a technical analysis organization.
One reason I did that was that at the
time you I still think that's the case.
You needed three people who are current
members to to recommend you for
membership
>> which means you're forced to get to know
local people.
>> So I did that. I contact three random
people out of the um membership list in
in the country.
The first one to respond he said he was
in Geneva. Let's go meet for a quick
drink in the evening. Have a chat. I met
him and after speaking for 10 minutes,
uh, he asked me if I'm interested in
starting a hedge fun for him.
Yes, I agree. I agree. It It sounds like
I just made it up, didn't it? Uh,
so this is um Yeah, I don't mind
speaking openly about that one. I'll
I'll uh I'll spare you who it is, but uh
it turns out this is this individual. Uh
I learned a lot from this experience
mostly not to make not to do business
with this type of people but he um he
worked for a very prestigious Swiss
private bank. He was very senior in this
bank. He wanted to start a hedge fund on
the side
uh which is not illegal but it is
against certainly against his um
employment agreements and all of these
things. That's his business. Um he
wanted me to be Mr. Invisible. It should
I should be the one to start the fund.
He had uh he had about 40 50 million he
needed to have managed and he needed
somebody to do the job. All right. So we
started a fund together. On paper it was
just me. Obviously we started it
together. Uh I was I was managing it and
um he put the money in or he and uh yeah
the people he knew. Uh that was my
ticket in. Now obviously
that type of arrangement is not entirely
healthy. I stayed with that a couple of
years and decided to start my own thing
after that. Uh I got got to know that
type of individual and learned a lot
about who to work with and who not to
work with. Uh that had a fun little
ending in the end with uh uh let me see
I think he tried to sue me for initially
a few million in the beginning through
his panameanian um um tax evasation
company that was he was hiding behind.
It's a you know these things happen in
this business. It was a very colorful
story but nothing nothing happened in
the end you know it was a lot of
>> weird things I say in this industry you
see a lot
>> uh so that was uh that was somebody I
met through this organization so lesson
from this how do you get into hedge
funds
>> well first thing is once once you're in
like most things once you're in you're
in and you can do all kinds of other
things right once I had done that for a
couple of years I had all kinds of
possibilities of of starting my own fund
I had a track record I had pedigree of
the business.
>> How did you get from that?
>> So, what year did you start and what
year did you um jump and build your own
thing?
>> I would say that first thing must have
been like 2005 to my memory.
>> Okay.
>> Around there 20 years ago. Yeah. Must
have been about there.
>> Okay.
>> Plus, minus a year somewhere around
there. And
maybe two three years later, I started I
I went independent, started my own
thing. Well, other people obviously, but
not with not not with this individual.
The real lesson for me is
the first part here that make yourself
visible in some way.
You need to do something that makes you
different or stand out somehow. You need
to do something to make yourself
visible. Take steps to be to be seen.
Otherwise, you're one of everybody else.
What that thing is, well, that's
up to you. you need to find whatever
personal thing. At the time I did a lot
of things. I I started writing a um
analysis newsletter. I started doing all
kinds of things to be more visible. One
thing one thing that got results in the
end was joining this organization.
>> Do something that's different.
>> Yeah. Um, I fully agree and I actually
find that plenty of young people today,
my friends,
ultimately they worship prescriptions
and they
view
a career as
somehow
they expect it to be a straight linear
path where I do this two years. And I
was just, you know, I was just speaking
to one of my good friends
a couple days ago and and and and they
were telling me that they're doing their
investment banking 2 years whatever and
they have to start recruiting for
private equity for after that and they
start recruiting for that now. um you
know like the cycle is call it like Q1
Q2 before you start your analyst program
and you know they're telling me they're
really stressed and I was part of me was
like I mean I referred them like I know
you're extremely smart I know you're
extremely driven just make sure this is
what you want you know make sure because
I think it's I think a lot of people can
get into that position where they
idolize um the idea of the work and they
actually start doing the job and gosh
they realize it sucks.
>> Oh yeah.
>> In their eyes, right?
>> Yeah. It's still job. It's still work at
the end, right?
>> Yeah.
>> That that's that's the funny thing
difference between
people who have spent time in finance
and hobby people trying to get in like
especially when I when I attend this
retail more retail focused trading
conferences. So I I I speak at this
event sometimes and
>> and I hear this this language that I
used to use as well back in the days
before I was in the industry where
people talk about like
>> I I I trade I I I trade for the love of
the game, you know, it's about the it's
about the craft and the the the love of
of of trading and finance and like yeah,
nobody's in finance things that way.
It's a job. Yeah, you know, it can be a
good job. It can be a fun job at times.
can be a rewarding job, but you know,
it's not like
I it's not like people just love trading
so much and love finance so much and
that's why we join the industry. That
that's usually much more of the of the
outside perspective
>> and it's often it often feels like
people are saying these things because
they feel that that's what they should
be saying.
>> Yeah.
>> And maybe it is I mean maybe in a job
interview as a as an entry level.
>> Yeah.
>> Who knows? Depending on the company,
maybe you need to save those things.
Just, you know, don't believe it.
>> Ever since I was three, I wanted to
become a trader.
>> Exactly. Exactly. Exactly. Yes. There
was a Yeah. brings back the um uh Good
Fellows. Ever since ever since I was a
child, I wanted to be a gangster. Yes.
That's the opening line of the movie.
Yes. Exactly. Yes.
>> Yeah. Um so, you know, let's let's go
back to the the
starting that hedge fund. You know, you
worked with this guy for three years. He
sues you, you know, legal battles,
whatever.
>> I tried.
>> And then you set up your own shop in
called 2008, 2009. Is that correct?
>> Yeah. Yeah. Yeah. Sounds about right.
>> 2008 2009. All right. So, what was what
was that like? So, you were running
some, you know, certain systematic
strategies with this guy.
>> Um, you build your own thing.
>> Yep.
>> What was that?
>> Tell me about it. So with with the first
fund and that that was part of the
frustrations why why I left in the end.
Part of it was that I I saw some dodgy
sites I didn't like. Uh the other part
was we divided the fund in a few
different few different buckets. I was
running some of them they were running
some and I was running the systematic
strategies and they were running more
discretionary on the other and it didn't
fit together very well. Now the uh later
on I um I had better control over what I
was doing. So I could I could manage the
whole the whole fund in in a more
pragmatic way and completely systematic
and I was very lucky to be part of 2008.
Lucky well lucky and unlucky at the same
time. So 2008 for for those of you who
are lucky enough not to have been part
of finance year that was a crazy year.
Most people have I say even me I
probably have slight bit of PTSD from
from that year. There was um sleepless
year
but I was running CTA type of strategies
and that year one of the few things that
had extremely good results that year was
CTA type of strategies. M
>> so that that was a good part but let's
say you run a back test for the past you
know 30 years you're going to see that
you had extreme results on 2008 and you
think that was very fun year right now
first of all there's no way you could
actually actually execute the way your
back tests were telling you that year it
was just not possible reality is not a
back test so your results will certainly
not be the way the back test says mostly
because you would have seen like daily
variation of your portfolio of like 30
40 50% moves up and down during the same
day. If you're running 100 million and
you see, you know, 50% moves intraday on
the entire portfolio, no no you can't do
that. There there are times when you
override and you massively decrease
risk. Uh I would say you you have to be
borderline criminally insane to have
continue running a model if you saw that
type of results. That's one thing. And
the other thing is of course what do you
do with the cash?
Uh now that's also something that you
might miss in a back test.
>> As I mentioned before when you run
future strategies you have a lot of cash
on hand.
>> A lot of cash like you know 80 70 80% of
the all your value could be in actual
pure cash.
>> So you need to put that somewhere right?
And obviously you're not holding it in
cash because if your bank blows up you
lose the cash.
At the time there was not much to hide.
Not much place to hide.
We would be spending the whole afternoon
every day figuring out which bank there
was like a month or so at that time the
worst period. In the afternoon you will
spend this hours figuring out which bank
is least likely to blow up in the next
24 hours.
Then we move cash to that bank.
That's how bad it was. So I mean you
we're analyzing like uh Deutsche Bankal
analyzing AB and Amro like which one of
these banks could go bankrupt tomorrow.
That's how bad it was. In the end most
of the banks survived but at the time it
looked like any bank could it's like
it's like watching popcorn in the
microwave. You don't know which one is
going to blow out next. That's that's
how it felt.
>> So that that was that was a bad year uh
from that point of view. uh results were
great of course but the um it was a
horrible year from all kinds of
perspective otherwise uh I mean people
who run other things like long equity
these kind of things I mean they were
absolutely killed
>> oh yeah
>> I mean it looked like the end of end of
finance I mean this could have brought
down large part of the civilized world
this was it's hard to explain how big a
deal this was at the time
>> yeah
gosh yeah I I can't imagine that. I
can't imagine starting during that
period. Like that sounds like you in
having just started and curious when you
started like I imagine you staked a good
chunk of your personal net worth in the
fund. Um what was it like seeing those
swings being in the the heat the thick
of it?
>> Initially I did. Yes. And then initially
I did I started changing my view a
little bit about this thing. See it's
exactly what I did initially and yes
it's tough psychologically when it
starts moving up and down. What I come
what I come to realize over the years is
it's a very bad idea to to mingle your
personal money with the client's money
that you're managing. It's not good for
anybody involved. You get emotional
about it and that's what you want to
avoid. I would much rather allocate my
money to to other funds, other fund
managers I trust. I can manage their
money. They manage mine and we all have
we can all sleep at night and we can all
manage our client portfolios rationally
without emotions. I think my clients
would do better if I have no emotional
stake in what's going on. That means
that I I can focus on getting work done
and my
my focus is rational and not emotional.
So I I think it's better not to mix your
money with the client's money.
>> I don't know, controversial opinion.
Some some people think some some people
think you you you have to have skin of
the game.
>> Yeah, I get the expression, but
>> I don't think that's good for the
clients.
>> I much rather I much rather make a deal.
I allocate my money to other managers
and I manage their money for them.
I was going to press on, you know, along
the the hedge fund arc of your career,
and we're we're getting there, but I
want to take a side step just into into
into this just this this mini this mini
conversation. Um, the way I see it is,
let's say I launch a fund tomorrow and
Ethan Co has
$200 to his name, you know, and I and I
check it I check it in the uh I I check
it, you know, all you know, my last $200
in the fund. I imagine that would make
me sharp. That would put me in a
position where, okay, there's stress,
there's pressure, you know, if I lose my
$200, I'm at zero, right? Um, and maybe
I have a wife and I have kids, right?
Because most people in that who are
starting funds are, you know, quite late
in their career, well, at least, you
know, to they've already somewhat built
a life for themselves. Um, doesn't that
sharpen you? Doesn't that make you make
great decisions and say, "Okay, I cannot
mess up because if I mess up, my
livelihood is, you know, gone."
>> I'm not convinced. I'm trying to I'm
trying to find some stupid analogy here.
I don't know. Um
I don't know. You play uh you you play
computer games. I suppose if you play
let's say play a play a shooter game.
Now you don't have emotions in it. If
you get you get shot, you respawn,
right? You can make you can you can
probably think it through and make a
rational decision. A real bull is flying
next to your ear.
You might think twice before you take
that hill. Maybe that's a good idea.
Maybe it's a bad idea. Maybe that's you
know what I mean. You will react very
very differently when something is at
stake. Doesn't mean you got to make the
right decision because more is at stake.
You have emotions.
>> You have emotions with you here. Right?
This is like uh
it's like when it becomes real, you
throw the plan out the window because
now suddenly your body screams at you to
do something different from what your
training is. M
>> if if your your livelihood or your life
is not at stake, you can you can act
according to your training and get stuff
done.
>> Yeah,
>> that's uh you know what I mean. A stupid
analogy I know but you see what I mean
that if you have if you have a if you
have a plan you have thought through
what you're going to do in your trading
plan you know you made a plan for what's
what's going to happen in good or bad
markets and now suddenly something
extreme happens good or bad and now
you're thinking you know I I just I just
made 50% return this month it's an
extreme month and don't worry I'm not
saying that's normal I'm saying that's
an absolutely ridiculous abnormal month
but I say you make 50% return in a month
it's possible it's very unusual But it's
possible. And now you're thinking, "Yo,
my 200 bucks is 400."
>> Yeah.
>> I usually when this happens, it's going
to be a big loss after
I don't want to have the loss. I want to
have my 400 bucks. I better close down.
I better do something different.
>> But you can't predict the future, can
you? I mean, you know, you had a plan.
Why don't you stick to it? Or the other
way around. Say you you lose half your
money. Now you're down to 200. Your 200
is down to 100 bucks. And now you're
thinking, I I can't lose more. I got to
take risk off. Then you missed the
rebound because you got emotional and
you got you started your judgment
started getting clouded by
>> your money.
>> Yeah.
>> If you didn't have that, you could
follow the plan and do what you meant to
do and
>> get stuff done. I think your clients are
better off without without having the
emotions in there.
>> Okay.
>> That's I mean that's how I see it. I I
think you
>> then I see it. I see it. I
>> don't know. I I I have good friends who
whom I trust, whom whose trading and
investing abilities I have a lot of
respect for, who would very much
disagree with me. It's the way I see it.
It doesn't mean that that's
>> absolutely correct way of doing things.
It's it's the way I I I look at it.
>> Yeah,
I I can Yeah, I see I see a lot of valid
points about what you're saying. And I
guess you know going back to the the
hedge fund arc. So that was what you did
initially and then you stopped and then
you I guess you staked less of your
personal net worth so you could think
better under pressure. Um what was the
rest of that arc? So you know we're in
2008 2009. Those are tough years
emotionally but financially very good
years for CTA stuff.
>> Um and you know what was how did the
rest of that fund narrative play out and
where do you go from there? Yeah, I mean
it was good markets. I I was I told you
before I got lucky when I got into the
business. I got lucky when I got out of
it in the 90s. I got lucky again when I
I got into trend following and hedge
funds when it was fairly easy. Uh both
easy from a say regulatory point of
view. These days you need a lot more
capital to get started. I started with I
think somewhere between 40 and $50
million. it was in Swiss Frank so I
don't always I can't remember where the
Frank was at the time but so some
somewhere around there now that's not
not enough to start it have too much
cost I also got lucky in getting into
that type of strategies when the markets
were pretty good for that now what
changed since then um a big thing
changed
not necessarily the market itself the
hedge fund industry has has changed in
my view the hedge fund industry is is
not as fun as it used to be it's not as
interesting as it used to be.
So, let me try to explain. When I when I
started with this, first it was easier
to do it, right? Easier to to get
started. I'm not saying the trading was
necessarily easier, but it was easier to
set up a hedge fund and raise a capital
and get started.
Most importantly,
if you talk about these things, let's
say you have a trend following strategy
in 2007
and then you go talk to institutional
investors about it, you can build up
this good stories. You you explain trend
following. You explain the whole
diversification concept and you know you
have interested people listening to like
oh this is a cool concept you know they
work different markets work together
this way and you get these returns by
just following the trends and
you know what what you get today what
what response you get if you go out and
try that approach like yeah yeah but why
how many billions do you manage why why
do I give you money and not David
Harding I mean he manages 40 billion
what do you have
>> if you if your answer is a few hundred
million it's Yeah. Yeah. Come back when
you have at least 10 billion. Uh what
happened was
uh funds starting as an asset started
getting concentrated with the bigger
players.
>> Oh yeah.
>> The concepts around trend following and
similar things got much more well known
and
if you excuse the expression they become
commoditized.
Essentially it became a standard thing.
It's no longer this niche strategy. It's
the general accepted strategy that a lot
of massively large hedge funds are use
are using with great results.
So this is also I I I find myself
sometimes repeating the same analogies
here. So sorry about that. But I would
say it's it's a little bit similar to um
say they say you invent a slightly
better toothpaste
>> like you improve the you you made you
analyze Colgate and you made a slightly
better thing. If you can prove that
you're you're 15% better than than
Colgate, yeah, who cares? What are you
going to do? You're going to go out to
to Walmart and talk to their buyers and
how many millions are you spending on
the marketing? I mean, what's your
distribution channels? How many people
are you are you hiring AC across the US
for uh for talking to uh the big
institutional buyers at the
supermarkets?
It's a different thing. Nobody cares.
It's brand management.
So that's the reason that hedge funds
became a lot less interesting. Nobody
cares if your sharp ratio is slightly
higher.
>> That's not the game anymore.
>> That's it's interesting you say it's
interesting you say that. I was speaking
to one of my friends um a couple weeks
back and he was having a conversation
with a CIO of one of the big
multi-managers
um and and this was what I thought as
well at the time until he told me um he
asked the CIO
you know the person who can raise the
most money is the person with the best
strategy right was he was asking and the
the CIO get goes I know that's a load of
load of nonsense. Um, it's who knows the
most people who can who can really raise
money. And I I I'm sure you having been
in the space, having worked with this,
you know, wealthy private bank, you
know, private banker guy, um, especially
in a place like Switzerland, I'm sure
there's, um, and and now running money
at a family office. I'm sure you would
you would you would you'd agree with
that and you you'd see that.
>> Sure. I mean, you can say if if
everything else is equal,
>> yeah,
>> then the strategy and the sharp ration,
all of that stuff matters.
>> But if you're just an unknown unknown
guy somewhere racing, I don't know, 20
million friends or family, you've been
managing it for for two years with a
sharp ratio of I don't know, say
ridiculously high of like three and a
half or something or your shop ratio and
now you think you can go and get a
hundred million dollar ticket.
Nobody's gonna take your phone call. Why
would they? Then again, if if you have
the same assets, you have the same uh
same salespeople, same network, you're
managing uh I don't know, you're
managing half a billion bucks, you've
been doing that for 10 years, and your
results are better. That's also another
thing. I come back to that later.
Definition of best strategy is a is a
fun expression as well for all kinds of
reasons. But let's say you're you're
objectively better than the other guy
who's got everything else the same.
Yeah, you got an advantage. It's not
like the strategy doesn't matter, but
just having a great strategy and no
track record, no aum, no pedigree, no
background, no connections.
>> Yeah.
>> Doesn't take him far. This doesn't take
him far.
>> I I want to do a thought experiment now.
So, we've established that it's network,
it's pedigree, it's experience year
after year after year running a big
book. Mhm. Um
let's say there's someone in that in a
position where maybe he's running a
personal portfolio or a friends and
family portfolio um in a like even
within a fund structure right but small
you know very lean team and let's say he
goes to you Andreas you've been in the
space for a while I want to scale what
do you tell
I don't know. I mean, this is what
everybody wants to know. How do you
scale? Well, you need to raise money.
How do you raise money? Well, if you
don't have connections, you might need
to get salespeople.
You probably need to uh to pay a uh what
in Switzerland they call a retro. I
would call the kickback, but that's uh
so when when you start with, let me
explain myself. Uh when you first start
a fun fund, you you set your fees,
right? So if it's 220 or one and a half,
whatever your fees are, and now you
budget for that until you realize that
the people who can help you raise money
want a big chunk of that.
>> What chunk do they ask for typically?
>> It's been a while since I paid retros. I
haven't uh I haven't played that game
for some time. I I don't like that. But
back in the days
could be uh 25 30 points.
>> And I'm talking I'm talking recurring.
So
>> forever in perpetuity.
>> Oh yeah. As long as my client is in, I
loaned money every year.
>> Sure. That that that's how it's played.
And in Switzerland it until a few years
ago, not that I'm the regulatory expert
here, but uh until a few years ago, you
didn't have to disclose to your clients
that you do this.
So like you if you back then theory
here, you you come to me and then ask
for uh you know, Andreas, what should I
invest in? I got a great fun. I got a
buddy who runs something here. I I get
you in. Now I call my buddy saying that
this Ethan has no idea what he's doing.
He wants to invest 5 million with you
and you know I I want to have like 30
points of of his fee back to my personal
account. I'm not telling you, of course.
I'm telling him. That's how it was
played in the old days. That's why I I'm
not a big fan of this whole um
retro/kickback system, but that that's
how uh Swiss Finance used to very much
spin a spin on this uh this type of
model. Uh since uh regulatory change
maybe I don't know five years ago or
something like that. I think uh they it
has to be disclosed somewhere uh deep in
the footnotes towards the clients.
>> Yeah.
>> At least the uh the
>> exactly I mean you know I'm being
slightly sarcastic here but it's
Swiss finance used to very much spin on
this kind of um
kickbacks. People could make a living
from just being buddies with rich
people.
>> Oh yeah. They they they tell the rich
friends where to invest and they get a
kickback from it and they can make a
living from it. That's
>> Oh, yes. Used to
>> collecting 30 basis points on a billion
dollars.
>> Okay. Billion is
>> that it's unusual for people to do that
with a Yeah, it's
enough to make a dent anyway. Enough to
enough to matter.
>> But but yeah, um usually have to pay for
this. So, how how do you scale? Well,
we're back to the whole thing. make
yourself different
because if if you think that your back
tested sharp ratio is going to raise
money for you, you're in for a surprise.
It's not uh you need to figure out the
way for people to care.
>> What is that way?
>> I don't know. I mean, you could do
something stupid like write a book for
instance and see what happens. That's uh
uh that's uh it's not it's not the
reason I wrote books but yes I raised
quite a bit of money over the years
because people knew who I am because of
books. M
>> uh so
>> I mean
>> I started writing books for fun but it
was an unexpected side effect that it
was much easier to write to to raise
money because suddenly people have some
idea of who I am otherwise I'd be just
some anonymous European somewhere that
nobody ever heard of.
>> Yeah. I mean you you have to figure out
what makes sense.
>> Yeah.
>> Does writing books work anymore?
>> I don't know. You tell me. Does your
generation write read books anymore or
is it just that
>> I think I think you got I think you got
to tell like you know I think you got to
you know make make some reals on
Instagram on Tik Tok. Maybe people will
be more interested if you do that.
>> Yeah I I hate that. I I was uh I was
asked by our um different story. I won't
bore you with that. But our our uh CMO,
our marketing officer for for a company
I'm involved in asked me to record some
Tik Tok res. And I tell you that's um
yes I was um I I I was looking at my
balcony here for a while thinking how
far is it down would it you know is is
it sufficient distance I mean to to to
do um I don't I don't mind talking for I
can go up on stage and talk for an hour
in front of people no problem but if you
ask me to record a 25 to 30 minute video
with an entry hook with a CTA call in
the end with a
>> no please save me. Um,
>> yeah.
>> No, not a big fan of that. But yeah, do
something. I mean, if I don't know these
days, I don't know if if if this short
Instagram reels, whatever it is.
>> Yeah.
>> I mean, quite frankly, I I from what
I've seen, most of the social media is
full of on finance side and a way full
of uh they say functioning idiots who
have no idea what they're talking about
making absolute nonsense about finance.
So, if if you're the clever guy on
social media talking about finance and
Yeah, maybe that's the way it stays.
>> Yeah.
I I I know for sure that um even like
starting this podcast and um just
putting myself asking questions, I've
learned a lot. I mean, I do it for
learning, but you know, I've I've you
know, some opportunities have come up on
the side um from a student's
perspective. It's it's it's been like
I've been very thankful and grateful for
those for those opportunities. Um and
what you were saying about the attention
spans, man, it's it's bad and getting
worse. Like I I I I consider myself
someone who's you know I I I study quite
hard and I work quite hard but even
myself I feel my attention span just
isn't where it could be you know.
>> Yep. I know what you mean. It it's
happening to all of us but uh yeah
probably if you grow up with these
things it's uh it's more difficult.
>> Yeah.
>> I mean I I got I got my first email
address when I was like 18. So I think
at least I had
>> Yeah.
>> Which was very early by the way. It was
>> Oh, yeah. Cuz you were I mean you're in
like very early into the IT like the.com
thing. So
>> I was Yes. That's that was a very weird
thing when um I was into computers very
early and
>> in '94 when I joined university
I was part of the uh the computer club
in the basement which is something you
don't really talk about when you're
hanging out with the with the party
club. I was actually part of both the
computer club and the kind of party frat
equivalent of the US and call it
something different but I was kind of
part of the of both sides and you don't
mix them in 94 understanding computers
was seen as slightly embarrassing you
you you don't talk about it like having
an email address and understanding Unix
Unix syntax when when in those days were
like not something you talk about 95 you
saw a little bit change 96 6. 96 was
absurd. Most absurd, most weird year of
my life because suddenly
the things that we would kind of be
hiding it's uh I don't know now people
grow up with it. So it sounds weird but
you you would we were all kind of in the
closet with computer knowledge. It's
it's not something you talk about to the
outside world. the outside world will
never understand our computer knowledge
like and then suddenly 96
like your grandmother has has a has a
web page
>> just like you you have I don't know
strange people coming up to you in in in
the uh in the school pub asking you how
to configure a modem it's like what
what's going on suddenly the thing that
we've been doing for so many years
became something that now all of a
sudden everybody wants to pretend that
they liked all along and now M
>> everybody jumped on the internet 96.
There was a weird year. There was like
when when our kind of almost secret
halfway embarrassing hobby became
absolutely mainstream.
96.
>> Wow.
Such a such a different time.
>> It was it was suddenly one year.
Suddenly one year and that's when most
weird things happened. That that's why I
started my first company. I mean I had a
I remember that actually there was a
girl at my university I didn't even know
comes up to me suddenly and says uh
you're the one who knows computers right
my mother's company needed someone
someone who knows computers do you have
a company yet
no but I could start one
>> that's how odd it was I didn't sit down
and think I'm I'm going to be an IT
entrepreneur I'm going to start a
company
>> people kept coming to me like
>> you're the one who knows computers
you want to do some work for this
company? After a few times, he asked, I
started a company and I took it from
there.
>> Yeah.
>> Strange times.
>> Oh, yeah. No, for for certain. And
you've had a
like a a career that
you've had an interesting career. That's
uh you know, it um you you've run books
at hedge funds. What's the biggest book
you've you've um you've run by the way?
Just curious. Trading book. Um
biggest single book or
depends on your point of view or how
much money at the same time. I might
have had multiple books at the same
time.
>> Yeah,
>> I would say in the in the range between
US dollar equivalent uh 200 to 300.
>> Okay, cool. Wow. Nice.
>> Not which which is not huge in this
business. No, as I thought. I mean, but
it's it's Yeah. Yeah. But but it's it's
good enough, but it's not it's not
enormous.
>> I mean, yes, I know. I know how it
sounds for especially for somebody not
in trading. If you say that running like
$250 million is is not huge, but it is
not huge.
>> It's it's an interesting business, but I
mean I I saw for instance um as I
mentioned before, I I I saw that you had
uh Rob Carver on the on the um on the
call another day. I I know him very well
since many years. It's not his company
but he was running a few billion so
that's
>> different thing you do things
differently there large organization but
yeah he he ran much larger portfolios
than I did
>> yeah no I mean the the it's one of the
industries where
margin I mean as long as your strategy
can scale and I know that's a big
constraint um there's no real limit to
the amount someone can run
>> right um like on a on a personal level
>> oh There's always a limit. Oh, what I
mean in which in which regard?
>> No, no. I I mean it's like I mean it's
just the scale can just go up and up and
up as in I had a I had someone on um a
couple weeks ago he um used to run money
at both Citadel and Millennium and he
was running a billion dollar book which
like you hear that's what that's big
right or I had some partners at um at
this quant fund based in New York and
they have well they manage 1.4 before
it's like you know it's like you just
hear these numbers it's like it's wow
right
>> yeah but also I mean keep in mind as
well that whether or not the billion
dollar portfolio is big or not depends
on what you're managing
I mean if you're managing I don't know
fixed income portfolio or something like
that it's
>> numbers go up very quickly
>> and also it's a funny misconception of
people who never worked in the business
that
they think that if if you manage his
portfolio, 100 million, a billion,
whatever it is, it means that somebody
gave you the the the key to the candid
store. Do whatever you like with this
and make more money.
>> That's not how the industry works. Does
not work like that.
>> Yeah.
>> Like, yes, we trust you so much. Go
trade it. Knock yourself out. Come back
in a year and tell us how much money we
got.
>> Yeah.
>> No, no, no. That that's uh that's
fantasy. That's a great
>> Yeah.
>> Just like Yeah. Go ahead.
>> Yeah. No. So, you know, we've done you
you've had a wide career running all
sorts of different books, hedge fund,
getting sued, you know, um
>> well, attempted sued. It never went to I
think I think has some legal threats. It
never went to lawsuit.
>> Okay. Okay. Okay. Yeah. You're earning
money at a family office right now. And
you mentioned you also have a startup on
the side. Tell me a bit about those two
things. Um what you do today, how you
split your time.
>> Sure. Um yeah, I mean I I always uh had
problem focusing entirely on on on one
single thing. I always done a lot of
things at the same time. Uh yes, I I
still have um I'm the chief investment
officer of a family office here in uh in
Switzerland. Think what else do I do? Uh
so I I have a couple of years ago I I
co-founded a US-based fintech venture.
We have an investment app called Hush
Investments
where we we do two things. First, we are
America's first completely free asset
manager. We are running the investment
grade um investment grade algorithmic
investment models. Minimum investment
$5. We want to build it for absolutely
everybody.
>> I can charge 200 in there. Easy.
>> Yeah, exactly. Put your 200 bucks in
there. Yeah, I'll do my best. U and we
um uh we we manage that automatically.
We we charge no fees for any account
smaller than $100,000.
We want to just expand and we want to
help people who frankly are sold over
expensive nonsense. At the moment we
have extremely low unit costs so we can
take on these customers
>> without charging them. On the other
side, we have um in the same um same
app, we have a more uh more exclusive
offering for people over 100,000 where
we we charge a low fee and 75 points.
It's fairly low fee for that kind of
thing. With hedge fund like strategies,
we do much more say more risky, more
advanced things than we do for uh for
the free accounts,
more configurable where we are competing
with hedge funds on the on the high end
side and we are trying to
do something better than all of this uh
there's a lot of nonsense in the ro
advisor sphere, a lot of nonsense in the
RAIA sphere. We're trying to improve on
that and do it for free on on the lower
end side and uh we charge only on the on
the high-end stuff. That's that's what
I'm doing at the moment. I'm the chief
investment officer of that and one of
two co-founders and we're we have the
app out in um Apple and um and Google
stores and it's been a it's been an
interesting ride and quite a new thing
for me to to run a run a startup is very
very different from I've been an
entrepreneur most of my life most of my
life but running a fintech startup is
extremely different in many ways.
>> What are some of those differences?
Well, the biggest difference is the
companies I started in the past are
designed to be pretty much profitable
from day one.
>> I mean, you don't start a a hedge fund
or
>> other finance ventures I had before. You
you don't start them unless you have the
committed capital. At least I I
wouldn't.
>> And I know that
>> I'm I'm making money from day one no
matter what. When I start those things,
even back in the days when I had my uh
my first consulting company, I mean, I'm
risking my time. That's it. I always
brand companies that are cash flow
positive from from from day one. Uh you
build and scale a venture in real scale.
You will not make money for years. I
mean you will not be be break even for
years. You're raising money and you
spending that money to uh to expand to
grab market share and raising more money
to grow further to to raise the value of
the company for for the those investors
who trusted you in the first place. So
it's a very different way of of working
but I'm getting into it. Luckily I have
good company. Uh I have no expertise in
well now maybe after two years but uh my
co-founder in this venture has done this
in quite large scale before he sold a
couple of companies before he started
and scaled and sold a couple of consumer
based companies in the past at quite
high levels. So I had a good guide. We
we're good at different things. We're
working together for for a couple of
years now.
>> Very cool.
What prompted the
thesis to start something like this? Has
you been in the hedge fun space? Would
love to hear more.
>> Right. So, so I mentioned before that um
this idea that seemed silly in the in to
begin with that nobody in the industry
agreed with me when I started writing
books.
Really everybody I spoke to told me
don't do this. You don't want to you
don't want to write a book. This not
nothing good comes from that. I did it
anyway because I wanted to. That was the
first one is that's my first book. There
we go. U
so a lot of weird things came from this.
I I could I could give you I could spend
the entire session here give you weird
anecdotes of good and bad things that
came from the books. But one thing that
happened was this guy who started
contacting me with odd questions. It
happens from time to time. But I had a
feeling that this guy is fishy for
something. He's not just looking for
answers to this trading questions and
things. And yeah, he finally got to the
point. He just had an exit from his
previous venture and he was looking to
start something new and he was
interested in the fintech space, but he
needed the domain knowledge. He had a
knowledge. He's got the tech knowledge.
He's got the knowledge to to build and
scale this kind of consumer companies,
but he need a co-founder with the um
with the domain knowledge in in finance.
So, oh, I guess that's me.
So, we we got to know each other first.
I mean, I think we um just contact for a
year or so getting to know each other,
see that we can work together and we
finally decided to start something
together. That's that's the uh the
background.
>> So, you met him online? That's
>> Yeah, I mean he u he contacted me. I
mean now now obviously I know him very
well. I mean
>> he's based in New York and I'm over
there quite often meeting him or meeting
over here and
>> yeah that's
>> that's the thing I mean um that's what I
mentioned that you make yourself visible
and sometimes um things come to you.
>> Fascinating. Wow.
>> Yeah. Dumb luck story of my life.
What
do you hope to change about the industry
through this venture?
>> I mean, I see a lot of things in the
consumer market,
the the finance consumer market in the
US that I really don't like.
I'm not sure if I can change the
industry, but at least I can make a
positive contribution to to people who
who need these type of services. I mean,
sometimes I I'm frankly upset when I see
the kind of nonsense sold to unsuspected
retail people in in the US.
Uh, much of this depends on exactly what
you're doing, but some of it is
regulated, some not.
Even the regulated ones do often
unethical things. The ones who are not
regulated
do insane things. By the way, uh if you
ever wonder why
pretty much anything you see with the
word forex or crypto is a scam, that's
because it's not regulated. You can say
and promise anything and do whatever you
like because there's no agency
overlooking it. Um so like if I if I
invest in stocks for my clients, I'm
regulated. If I invest in futures, I'm
regulated. If I invest in currencies,
I'm not regulated. I can promise
anything. I can say, you know what, I'm
going to double your money every month.
There's no agency preventing me from
saying that. That's why Forex is almost
somebody says Forex think scam
>> because that's that's why they say my
Forex bot doubles your money every every
10 minutes, whatever nonsense they claim
because no law prevents them from lying.
That's why. Anyway, that's one part of
it. The other part is a lot of this
fintech startup stuff and these apps,
they do silly gimmicks.
I almost gave you an example but if I
give you an example you will identify
which company it is and I don't want to
I don't want to attack them directly but
many of them do ridiculous sex I mean
they invest in like gimmicky ways that
sound fun on paper and it's really not
good for the investor
u so I want to do something good there I
also don't want to so what I do here
with this venture I don't target the the
people interested in finance with this
as in I'm not looking for the same I'm
I'm not looking for the same crowd who
would go to Robin Hood for instance
>> Robin Hood people who open Robin Hood
accounts they they want the action of it
they want to be they want to trade they
want to hear about cool terminology they
want to hear about spreads and pip and
pips and schmips whatever the the they
want to be they want to talk about this
and they want to feel like the cool
finance guys and fine let them
>> not my market
>> I'm I'm primarily targeting the people
who just want a solution.
>> This is a large part of the US. I mean
big problem in the US is uh I'm sure you
know better than I do
people's the the personal finances in
general especially if you go inland. I
mean you're you're at the coast coast
are different. You go a bit inland most
people have little to no savings little
to no no no no no cushion for
everything. There's no saving.
Everything is bought on uh on credit.
It's it's a bad behavior perpet per
perpetuating itself. We're trying to
offer a solution for people who have
very little money to start small saving
and starting start to build something
like
>> long-term responsible asset management,
not too much risk. I'm not aiming for
very high risk here. I'm aiming for for
for slow steady growth of capital,
highly diversified. We also have uh
that's why we built in a feature and or
built in a thing in the app where if you
sign up to this the free part the free
app we do it for free but you have to
put some money into your account every
week and we don't make money from this
right because we don't charge a fee on
assets we put this in because we want to
help people build their savings. It can
be $1, can be $2.
>> Yeah.
>> Something needs to go into your account
every week.
>> Yeah.
>> And yeah, you can take it out. So if you
really want to just defeat the system,
you can let I don't know 10 bucks go in
every week and take 10 bucks out. You
can take out money at a time. Fine. But
the point is we want to try to encourage
some healthy financial habits. Even if
you have almost no money
>> starting with this, put five bucks in
and five bucks a week. Let it grow. Even
if you have you're in horrible financial
situation, give it a few years. It it's
going to make a difference.
>> Yeah. Just the habit of saving and and
investing slowly over time will make a
difference.
>> Yeah,
>> I don't know. I know it sounds uh
essentially altruistic for a for a
cynical finance guy and I I am a cynical
finance guy, but I I think we can
actually help people here a little bit.
Yeah.
>> How do you make money if you're I mean
it it sounds amazing. How do you what's
the Yeah. What's keeping you sustained?
>> Multiple ways. Um
long story short, I give you a short
story. First of all, we are monetizing
the um the larger accounts.
>> Yeah.
>> And we're getting a lot of interest on
uh on the larger accounts. Yeah. 75
basis points, but raise enough there. We
we we can make a we can make a dent
there. Uh we have extra uh extra things
we are selling to the um uh the high net
worth crowd including like personal
events um networking get togethers in in
person. We have events to get meet each
other. Um we have um uh we have a few
extra features on that side. We
want to make some money there but we
also want to massively scale the other
part the the um uh the individual users
because there's two sides of it.
Individual users means a long-term
company value.
People are still trusting us to to
invest here in the early stage where by
investing in the company means we need
to we need to focus on increasing value
of the company for early investors in
the company. That's why we want to have
a massive amount of people. We can make
money on the other side. Uh then of
course we are raising uh raising DC
money to um uh to fund the expansion.
Once we have a large enough um large
enough audience on both sides, it's very
easy to monetize this audience. But I
want to be sure that we are monetizing
the people who can afford to pay for it.
>> Yeah. not the not the uh the the uh
single mom in in Kentucky who really
should not be spending money on on your
streets or paid Wall Street with people,
you know.
>> Yeah,
>> we we have monetization per plan in in
place but right now the focus is on
expansion.
So we are
>> no the problem you point out with the US
um the financial position
>> like I and ever since moving here um and
even though I am on the coast but it
really feels like as a society
it really is every man for himself doggy
dog um you're
if you're out of work for a little bit
it's very hard to get back in the game
and stay relevant. Um I think there are
countless people I mean within the
financial sector who are there
definitely performing called bulge
bracket top fund um maybe lose their job
maybe they leave and you can't go back
like it's it's hard it can be very hard
and extremely punishing to get back in
the game and like I admire what you're
doing for people who have little to no
financial literacy um and you know
getting them to Dave, I I think in the
US every it's truly keeping up with the
Joneses.
>> Yeah. I mean, don't misunderstand me. I
mean, I think it's obviously obviously
I'm I'm building a company that's going
to make money. I'm building a company
that will increase in value.
>> Yeah.
>> But if I but if I can do that and
actually help people in the same at the
same time, so much the better. I don't
think you you don't necessarily there's
a large part of large part of finance
that has the attitude of of ripping
people off because the finance tradition
has done I think you can build
successful businesses in finance
by not while not ripping people off and
actually help people in the process
>> but that's a longer story um but yeah
America has a has a debt problem that's
for sure I'm not talking about the the
nation here I'm I'm talking about the
the individual your consumers.
That's
it. It's it's a problem. Uh I mean
sometimes I was asked the other day uh I
was sent was sent
sometimes you get those random questions
about uh some people asking for for help
or guidance with something. It happens
when you write books. It's easy to write
easy to write to reply when somebody's
asking like I don't know how do I uh how
do I calculate the correlation matrix?
Yeah, I'll help you with that. But I get
an email like, how do I manage my how do
I get out of this spot? And like
somebody describing like I I'm making
30,000 a year and my wife is making
25,000 a year. Uh we have these debts on
this and this and uh our our our kid
just uh got diagnosed with something. We
have this medical cost and like I'm
looking at this thinking, I have no
idea. I'm terrified. I don't I don't
even know how to begin to reply to this.
I mean, but
I'm I'm I'm European. This this is a
situation that would be very difficult
to imagine here. I mean, especially
since the big problem that situation was
bad to begin with, but I then I see this
medical things and don't worry, I'm not
I'm I'm I'm keeping my my big mouth out
of US uh medical policies here. But uh
to me it's just as European shocking
that somebody's life gets destroyed
because of the family member gets
diagnosed with a disease. But it's I
don't know. I'm just terrified when I
read it. I don't know how to respond to
that. But I think if if if people start
earlier and start start slowly saving
even if it's not much the problem is
biggest problem is that people who have
very little money are the ones who often
tend to resort to gambling mindset as in
>> oh
>> if you don't have much money you're
thinking all I have is my 200 bucks I
might as well take a big big gamble
because either I'm going to make 10
times return or I lose it and so what
it's just 200 bucks.
>> Yes. Yes,
>> it happens again and again and again. If
you instead stop gambling, stop doing
stupid things and just
invest it slowly, not big risk. I mean,
I'm perfectly happy to take big risk for
people who can afford to lose money. If
you if you come to me and you want me to
invest 10 million of your your personal
money on a high-risisk strategy, yeah,
I'll do it. But if you come and say that
200 bucks is all you have in in the
world, I'm going to be very very careful
with your 200 bucks. I'm not taking much
risk with that.
>> Yeah.
>> They should people who don't have much
money should be much more careful with
what they have. Slow and steady growth,
not not crazy risk.
>> Yeah. No, I
fully agree. And I think it's so sad how
gambling, how degeneracy,
like if I were to be long any trend,
unfortunately, I would be long gambling.
I belong to generacy because I think
that um there's this nihilism today
where
it's hard to get a great job.
>> Um
>> the people with capital are
consolidating it. I mean we spoke about
it on for the hedge fund perspective. If
we think the tech perspective, you know,
the large caps, they're they're getting
larger and larger. uh the rich are truly
just you know accumulating unbelievable
sums of wealth while I wouldn't even
just say middle class people but middle
class even upper middle class people are
are getting squeezed and don't even get
me started on lowerass people
>> um
>> I mean funny thing is I I just remember
before I started my first real fund
>> 25 years ago or something I I found a
website I have to find it somewhere if
it's still around where you could start
the fund as in paper fund and they they
they set the rules and tracking
everything so it feels like you're
running a real fund. It is sandbox money
but you can create your own funds and
you have to follow all kinds of
compliance diversification rules all of
this stuff to make it realistic. So I I
set up a couple of funds for fun and
started managing there. Now one of the
funds I set up because uh in case um
anybody missed it I have a very weird
sense of humor. I set up a fund I called
something like u decadence corruption
and greed and I just picked the absolute
worst companies in the world. I mean as
in companies that do things that I
personally find extremely unethical
>> just dudious.
>> Oh yes yes yes. I mean there was anybody
involved in actually not only what I
personally find what I personally find
objectional but but people in general.
So I I invested obviously in any company
involved in um uh
any anybody involved in pretty bad
things. Uh I even included things like
alcohol and tobacco. Fine. It's not like
it's horrible, but I included those as
well. I included any company that has a
uh a mercenary wing. You'll be surprised
how many listed companies actually um
employ those things. Yeah. Yeah. Don't
don't do too much research into it.
You'll you'll grow too cynical. Uh some
of the companies have um armed people in
Africa making sure people do what you
want and there's all kinds of unethical
things in the world. But anyway, I I
picked the worst possible companies. I
even found a couple of porn companies
that were listed back back then. I think
they went bankrupt after that. Anything
that's just for whatever fun reason fits
my my loose definition of this. That
fund did extremely well.
Extremely well. And I just for fun
picked companies that did something that
at least by some measure of of
definition could be uh could be
classified as immoral companies. I put
it pretty loose definition. I'm not that
I'm not that that much of a moral boring
guy, but um still that's uh that's what
happens. Any company that the more the
more they pollute the world and the more
anything of that, the more I I weighted
them on that. So, yep, they did well.
Really well.
I have this one friend and we speak
about this about this nihilism this
like we're both at good schools and it
seems that even in a position like that
first of all it's still not it's not
easy it's not a ticket the way it used
to be 30 years ago 20 years ago even 10
years ago um but whenever we're speaking
sometimes we get into this conversation
about this doomerism, this nihilism for
for
you know for for just for for average
people right for people who don't work
super hard maybe I consider myself quite
hardworking and even for for me I think
it's it's challenging environment but
you know people who you normal want to
have a I like it's just
I feel like it's just such a challenging
period and I don't and for you as
someone who who wants to help these
people who's who's had a great career,
who's written a bunch of books.
How do you navigate this world?
I I have no idea. I
It's It's very difficult question to
answer. I mean, um
do the best I can, I suppose. I mean, I
I I shifted cultures a few times in my
life, as in I I moved around quite a
lot. different countries, different
cultures, different languages, and you
see different perspectives. I think
that's that's probably why I have a
different perspective of these kind of
things. I I understand many different
backgrounds and cultures and and I I
always refuse to be um to be to be uh
classified of any any particular
category. I'm sure some people watch now
thinking that oh, he must be part of
this political party or that political
party or this thing. No, I'm not. I I
don't like any political part. But it's
for all kinds of reasons. Most of all
because I was part of one many years ago
and I guess that's why I grew cynical. I
was a youth politician when I was about
about no younger than you actually. I
was a youth politician and uh learned
not to do that again. Um after I was
offered a I was off offered an
attractive seat in Swedish politics once
and uh realized that was not a good
idea.
>> I don't know how I navigate this. I I do
the best I can. And I I look at the
world and I try to um figure out what to
do. And
I'm in finance. Uh nobody in nobody in
finance is entirely good guy. I would I
would say that that that's that's what
finance is. You know, we wouldn't be
here if we do everything right and moral
all the time. But it doesn't mean we
have to do everything bad all the time
either. You know what I mean? There's
always there's always middle ground to
things. Unfortunately, these days it's
middle ground is never popular and
anything. It's uh I think the I blame
the internet. Everything is getting too
extreme. You're forc
to pick sides between extremes. I I
don't like doing that. I I I look for
middle grounds. I guess I'm I'm Swedish
Swiss, so like I'm from two countries.
I'm I'm from two countries with a with a
tradition of taking a middle ground and
being the mediators between two sides.
So I guess that's pretty deep in my my
culture
>> historically. Historically.
>> Yep. I used to say that I'm double
neutral, but now uh my native Sweden
joined NATO, so I guess I can't say that
anymore.
Last question.
And I want to angle this to be a bit
more advice because, you know, we're on
that topic now. Might as well stick with
it. And I always like
I always like ending this the the
conversations with advice because it's
just a natural place. And it it also
shows an interesting part about the
guest. Andreas, you've been in the world
of quant trading in in in computer
science in finance and in now starting a
fintech venture writing books and I was
even going to ask about the you know
sort of narrative book about Swiss
private banks but we didn't have we
don't have enough time for that. Um
exactly exactly well you know it'll be
in the you know if anyone's interested
in that sort of thing you can search it
up. Um, but
I want to go back to trading. That's how
we started. That's how we'll end. But
trading
as a means to learn things about life.
And I am curious after all your years in
this space has there anything about risk
about edge that you've learned from
running
200 million $300 million books that
you've applied to your personal life?
>> Probably not. I mean I mean one thing is
okay the one thing is detach your
emotions. This this part of the whole um
don't manage your own money. I I used to
have more of an issue
decade or more ago with taking things
too personally in the market. I mean,
you can't live like that. Markets go up
and down. Sometimes you have big losses
and sometimes you have big gains. You
can't let that affect your mental state
and your personal life.
I mean, you you you can't come home as a
wreck when you have a horrible day and
you you come men are depressive, you
know?
You can't live like that. Not for long.
Uh detach. I think you become a better
asset manager if you start looking at at
uh at money as monopoly money. It's not
real. It's a way of keeping score, not
your money. You talking the money you're
managing. I I think it's better for the
clients. I think it's better for
yourself. You can act rationally.
You can't take it personally. You you
can't, you know, be depressed when you
have a horrible day and a horrible week,
horrible month. I mean, we all have
that. I mean, anybody, I don't care how
successful you have you are, unless
you've been extremely ridiculous lucky.
You had horrible times. You know, you're
in a big draw down. Clients take out
their money. You have people calling and
screaming at you. This happens. Now,
what do you do? Are you going to be
totally depressed and go go drink
yourself to sleep? And you can't live
like that.
uh you need to detach. Don't take it
personally.
And that's also why I recommend don't
mix your money with client money. Act
rationally. It's just a business.
That's actually a core thing I usually
push that. Remember, it's a business.
It's not we're not in this for the love
of trading and the love of this and
this. It's a business.
We hopefully we're good at the business.
And if we're good at the business,
everybody makes money, including the
clients. But it's a business.
>> I love that. Detached. Stay detached.
It's a business. And then your former
advice on just do the best you can. I
think those are lessons anyone can take
to their personal life and hopefully
they'll they'll be successful. Thank you
very much, Andreas. I love doing this
conversation. All the best.
>> Thank you. You, too.
Ask follow-up questions or revisit key timestamps.
Andreas discusses the continued relevance of trend following strategies, highlighting their cyclical profitability and the need for adaptation to changing market climates. He shares his career journey, from early experiences in tech and finance to accidentally starting a hedge fund in Switzerland through networking. He recounts the unique challenges of managing a fund during the 2008 financial crisis, particularly concerning market volatility and cash management. Andreas reflects on the evolution of the hedge fund industry, noting its commoditization and the increased importance of assets under management and networking over strategy alone. Currently, he is the CIO of a family office and co-founder of Hush Investments, a fintech startup aiming to provide free, algorithmic asset management to smaller investors and combat unethical practices in the consumer finance market, emphasizing financial literacy and responsible saving habits for all.
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