Kara Swisher's Warning About Meta's New AI Tool | Pivot
1970 segments
Any adult with a public Instagram
account was automatically opted in. Cara
Swisser has opted out now. Just so you
know. These people, are they just
constant information thieves?
[music]
Hi everyone, this is Pivot from New York
Magazine and the Vox Media Podcast
Network. I'm Carara Swisser. Scott is
off again. Who knows where he is? He's
floating around on some yacht in some
Italian area, I think. Uh, and but I
have brought in someone who is much
smarter than him. Matt Bellan,
journalist, founding partner of Puck and
host of the Town Podcast. Welcome, Matt.
>> Thanks for having me. I don't know about
that comparison to Scott, but I'll take
it.
>> No, he's really smart. But in the topics
that we're going to be talking about,
and there's so many of them, you are you
just do an amazing job and an amazing
reporter on Hollywood and and and
broader. You talk about AI and manner
all manner of things. And I just want to
put a also a shout out to Eric Gardner
who writes with you sometimes on the
legal stuff. Riveting.
>> He's great. Yeah. Once a week at Buck.
He's great.
>> I got to tell you important actually.
It's stuff I didn't know about and I you
know you understand how especially
around copyright and things like that.
Anyway, it's really good. I've been
having a one of the things reason I want
to have you on because um you you really
have written some of the smartest stuff
around a lot of these mergers we and
more to come and so I want to sort of
get a preview of where you think are
going but I want to you recently I want
to bring something up. You recently said
can Lions is a quote tacky business
conference. How'd that go over?
>> Uh okay
>> tacky tacky I would the wine is lovely
but it's
>> well I did say enjoy the rosé. So
listen, I did an intro my newsletter a
couple weeks ago during Can Lion, which
I called it a soulless corporate
boondoggle and that I would not be
attending that year. Uh it seemed to
have triggered everybody who was there
because I kept hearing from people that
it was coming up at different panels.
Ben Smith asked um Alex Cooper about it
on his panel. And listen, I I think it
was a little misunderstood. I don't mind
a boondoggle. Like I love a good
boondoggle. The problem with Can Lion is
that they call it a festival of
creativity.
>> You're right. Correct. Yes.
>> And it is not it is it is about
platforms for selling advertising.
>> That's correct. That is correct. Yeah.
>> I you know through my career covering
entertainment I go to the can film
festival which happens a month earlier.
That to me is can because yes it's a
market but it's ultimately about the art
and displaying the art and you know even
like my joke is that can lion makes the
TV upfronts look like the Oscars
[laughter]
>> because at least at the upfronts they're
talking about the the the product the
shows the movies it's all about the
talent it's all that is not can line
it's
>> swinging ads is how I look at it the
>> it's about ads and it's about AI
empowered
engagement technology and just all of
that that stuff, which is fine.
Acknowledge it, but don't like these ad
executives get up there on on their
podiums and talk about storytelling and
the creativity.
>> Storytelling is back in case you're
interested.
>> It's all about story. Rita Pharaoh at
Disney, the ads the ads uh chief was all
about, you know, we empower storytellers
and I'm just like, stop. You're selling
>> pay for storytellers with the ads.
>> Yeah. Whatever. It's just the whole
thing. The whole thing to me is gross.
And you know, it doesn't mean it won't
go in the future. I like a good glass of
rosé.
>> Well, I have to say when you It's good
for it. Everyone's like, "Why do you
keep going?" I'm like, "It's really good
for my business. I get a lot of ads
there." Like I get a lot of business,
you know, you're sort of like you're
sort of prancing for the for the for the
advertisers essentially. And
>> yeah, which is the upfronts are
ultimately about that as well, but
they're also about the creativity of the
people who make the content. And I don't
think, you know, when when Alex Cooper
goes there, she's not talking about, you
know, the nuances of what what goes into
her show. She's talking about who she
reaches,
>> how it's a big audience, and why you
should buy ads with her.
>> That's correct. Yes, [laughter] she's
prancing. Prancing, you know,
>> and I think what it what it tapped into
is this. You know, there is a changing
of the guard going on right now. The
creator economy is gigantic. Obviously,
I know that the Can Film Festival has
probably seen better days in terms of
relevance to the larger culture, but
it's still ultimately about the art and
that's what I was saying.
>> Yeah, that's true. Yeah. Yeah. We're
slinging ants. That's what we're doing.
That's why I'm there. Also, the Rosa is
excellent and also my kids. I took my
kids and we have a good time.
>> I'm sure. You know what? I love a good
yacht party.
>> Yeah. I I don't go I don't can't go to
those anymore. I got invited to one.
Piers Morgan had one and I was like
there is nothing I would like to not do
more than be on a a a yacht a yacht that
doesn't doesn't go anywhere. They keep
it there. It doesn't like move. It's
>> those are the worst. The ones that are
just parked in the in like the harbor
there. It's like well
>> what's the difference between this yacht
party and going to a podium or like a
little like uh you know beach setup?
There's no difference. It's just you're
floating.
>> Yep. Absolutely. Anyway, we've got a lot
to talk to today. Um uh but first I want
to begin with I think a pretty big
story. Lawyers for several states are
finalizing an antitrust lawsuit
challenging Paramounts acquisition of
Warner Brothers. It is going to be
filed. I know a lot about this. They
have been in touch.
>> It's politically untenable to not file.
>> Correct. That's correct. The suit could
let me just put it out. Sue could
interfere with Paramount's plan to
complete the deal in the coming weeks.
The DOJ cleared the acquisition rather
quickly last month. Talk about uh this
the lawsuit. Obviously, it's Rob Bont
from California, but there are other
states. There's several states involved.
Um, and and of course there's the the
ongoing British uh the the person who's
head of essentially competition in
Britain is saying she's she's sort of
adjacent curious of slowing this thing
down at the very least. Uh which was
unusual for her to say. Several British
people are like, uh, that's not great
for them. Uh, it could be a leverage
thing. Talk about the the entire thing
and where you see it going. It's an
interesting one because first of all,
the antirust case here is not as strong
as some other ones recently that liation
etc. like this one you know Paramount
and Warers are not leaders in the
industry and they're battling these big
tech players like Netflix, Amazon,
Apple. So, it's it's you know, when they
say this merger is pro competition, it's
sort of their buzzword they always say
in their press releases. Like, they're
not totally wrong. If this works and
they can create a legitimate competitor
to a Netflix, to an Amazon, like that
that is pro competition. Now, obviously,
the wreckage within Hollywood to do this
is going to be thousands of jobs lost
and a legacy studio vanishing. And
that's what's got gotten everybody up in
arms. The the the state action I it's
going to be tough, but they need to
clear a injunction to actually stop
this. They need to go to a court and a
court needs to say, "Okay, not only do
you have a likelihood of winning here,
I'm going to enjoin this merger from
closing." That's the real leverage. If
they can get that, then they're going to
be in a best position to extract
significant concessions because I think
that's what this is happening behind the
scenes. Obviously, Megan Del Raheem, who
is their general counsel, is in the
middle of this. He's been in the middle
of the British thing. They're fighting
it on two fronts. And I think the
British group essentially just wants
stuff like promises around the
>> States want stuff, too.
>> Yes, they do want stuff. So, explain
what first start with the British there.
Just for people to know, there's a big
Harry Potter studio out there. There may
be some people visiting it, the tourism
stuff. They want job, some children's
programming stuff. Explain what they
want in Britain versus the US.
>> Yeah. So, first of all, there's there's
varying reports as to what they actually
want because they haven't actually said
the the children's programming thing
doesn't seem to be that big of a
problem. Paramount has a joint venture
in the UK to distribute movies and it's
with Comcast with NBC Universal for the
Universal movies and there's a scenario
where they exit that. Now they may
actually want to do that on their own
because the Ellison's may want to just
not have a partner there but that's one
area where they are they are together
with a competitor that they may have to
divest there. There's also some
television interest there that they
have. The the the real goal
is to get them to concede to certain
things and if it's a divestment of
certain television interests, if it's a
an exit from this joint venture, that's
something where they can claim victory
and then they can move on.
>> Job retention.
>> Uh well, I don't know actually that has
been the the something that the European
regulators have gone gone after in the
past. Mhm.
>> So that could be now I think that is
something that is going to be much more
relevant for the state cases. Rob Bont
in California, he's interested in
preserving jobs and getting a commitment
from the Ellison's to continue to
operate Warner Brothers and Paramount
separately.
You know, David Ellison has committed to
releasing 30 movies per year from the
two studios in theaters, 15 a year,
which is a pretty robust slate,
>> right? Committed. He has no he doesn't
have to.
>> No, that's that's my point is that maybe
they get that in writing,
>> right?
>> Maybe Okay.
>> There is some kind of commitment to do
that for 10 years in writing. Maybe
there's a commitment to uh avoid, you
know, the sweeping job losses at the
different studios. So, they're they're
looking here. They're the strategy is to
try to use the lawsuit and the threat of
a delay here because remember $650
million per quarter Paramount has to pay
to warn a discovery in a ticking fee
after October 1st. So if this drags on,
it gets more and more expensive for them
and they're trying to use that leverage
to get stuff. Um, I believe that
ultimately a cons a consolidation or a
concession here might be that they would
try to get them to sell CNN because
obviously this is a political concern.
That is not an antirust concern and Bont
has kind of punted on that. But I know
that in the attorney general's circle
that is something they have discussed as
a group.
>> They have I would agree with you. I
would agree that
>> the problem is that's not really an
antirust remedy,
>> right? How can you make someone do that?
I mean, a part of me is like, good idea.
The second is like, can you really make
someone do sell you don't want to sell,
right?
>> And the CNN business, while still
robust, hundreds of millions of dollars
a year in profits, that's not the basis
of this merger.
>> No, the linear networks are not.
>> No, but it's a sticking point. It's a
stick. It's a
>> It's political. And this has become a
political issue. Now, the Ellison's made
it political by jumping into bed with
the Trump administration so much, but
now you have Elizabeth Warren, you have
Lena Khan, you have all the antitrust
people that are putting pressure on
other Democrats like Rob Bont who wants
to have a future in Democratic politics.
And he needs to do something here and
get some kind of concession or trophy
that he can go back to the Democrats and
say, "We let this merger go through, but
we got XYZ." So what what do you think
he can get that? Do you think the
Ellison's would would discourage that
for example?
What else could he get? What else what
would be as important?
>> I know there is a document that resides
at Paramount that has all the things
that they are willing to concede
and it's just a question of how far down
the menu they will go and what they
actually ask for. I don't know if
they're going to agree to preserve jobs
specifically. I mean, if you look at
this company, they have$80 billion in
debt. They're
>> There's no other way. No other way. No
other way. Yeah. The entire transaction
is premised on significant synergies.
So, if you all of a sudden agree not to
fire people and then you do this deal
and you're stuck with all this cost and
you're trying to appease your lenders
and your Middle East backers, like that
puts you in a really tough spot.
>> It does. And many people off the record
who, you know, sort of performerly say,
"Yeah, great idea of a new strong studio
like the money." Like, good luck. Like
every smart person I know is like I
recall having a meeting with David
Zazoff when I said they're not going to
be able to do anything because the costs
are too high and they have to cut too
much and their debt is too high. I just
said I was just a math person so doesn't
look like they can grow easily. And he
called me and said we we should have
drinks and talk about this and I was
like I'm sorry I'm a math person. It
just doesn't work and you have to cut.
There's no growth for you anywhere. Um,
and
>> well, they [clears throat] premised that
merger on a revenue number that never
materialized.
>> Correct. And
>> they put it out there that the TV group
would generate a significant amount of
profit every year. Um, and it just kept
going down and down and down to the
point where almost immediately they had
to revise their aspirations and the
whole thing fell apart.
>> That's right. And I was like, I'm sorry.
I don't know. Are you a magician? Are
you going to start selling drugs? Like I
was like, what? Explain to me where the
money is coming. And this here it's
quantumly. except that they're rich. And
even if you're rich,
>> wild card here,
>> e even if you're rich, you're I wouldn't
say's cheap, but Larry Ellison is cheap,
right? Like ultimately, do you want to
throw this money at your son, right?
Essentially, do you want to give him
someone who has a questionable like
record of moneymaking, right? Not an
enormous money like Sky Dance was not a
big money maker. Um, and so that's the
question is how rich are you and how
much to me speaking of yachts it's like
a big leaky yacht. I was like how much
you want to put on the yacht? Like how
much do you want to
>> We have precedent here. Remember Larry
Ellison funded Anna Pererna which was
Megan Ellison's film production company
David's sister that was very prolific
for a decade and made a ton of Oscar
winning movies and her by Spike Jones
that was a Megan Ellison production and
then at some point Larry said enough is
enough you've lost so much money I can't
continue to bankroll this and the place
dramatically downsized.
>> Right. Right. And so the question is, is
he that was 10 that was Larry Ellison
many years ago. Is he willing to do this
for his son to me? Larry Ellison is the
is the fulcrum here for everything. It's
like I'm not spending I I don't want to
pay for this muffler. I don't want and
like the question is does he really I
don't think he gives a rat's ass about
CNN in any way.
>> Oh, see I've heard differently. I've
heard that that was the case in in in
the beginning,
>> but that he has come around to the
influence of it and cares very much
about Israel, for instance, and
>> wants to kind of put the media on the
right track and he's been spending time
with President Trump. And I think that
both he and David now are more
interested, not as a business. They know
that news is not a great business, but a
lot of this merger is premised on the
combination of CBS News and CNN and all
the people they can fire at those news
networks to combine their news gathering
operations. And that I think is a reason
why they may not offer to sell CNN as
part of this even though it might be
politically a winner.
>> So, oh, so to finish, what happens then?
What is what can Bont get if he can't
get that? Well, we know that
>> any chance of getting that. You say no
because Larry likes it.
>> Yeah. I don't think he's going to be
able to get it. I think they want it,
but I don't think he's going to be able
to get it. And and it becomes
complicated because of, you know, it's
not a real It opens a lot of doors that
I'm not sure the Democrats even want to
open um because something overtly
political as a concession for a merger.
But I do think they can get uh the the
movie thing, some kind of commitment in
writing. I think that you to release 30
movies a year. I think they can get a
commitment to buy a certain amount of
content or make a certain amount of
content in California, which as you know
is a big deal these days with all the
runaway productions and that will be
something that Bont could get. Um, you
know, I don't know what the specifics of
what the other states might want. You
know, you know, New Jersey is one of the
states considering and they have a big
production hub there. maybe they can get
some commitments to film there. Uh so I
think it's going to be much more about
investment than it is about preventing
the loss of jobs. Although maybe they
could get some commitment for you know
only reducing 10 15% of the workforce
per year for five years something like
that.
>> Yeah. Something. So that's where you
think it's going. I do I think that that
not these states don't have the appetite
for a three two threeyear antirust war
and Paramount certainly doesn't have the
appetite for that. So there will be some
kind of settlement but again the
leverage point comes not from filing the
lawsuit but from getting an injunction
that would prevent this deal from
closing.
>> And if they get an injunction they might
be able to get the other stuff too.
>> Exactly.
>> Because that would be an enormous win
for Bont. That would send him right to
Governor Bill.
>> I don't know about that. He's not even
running this time, but maybe in the
future. But yeah, you met him. He's
running for governor. Just FYI,
>> right? But not this time, but you know,
or eight years if if if Biser wins.
>> Yes, that's right. Yeah. Yeah. We'll
see. But in any case, he's a he's a he's
an upand cominging politician and he's
kind of in a good
>> Listen, if we get president, maybe he
could be attorney general.
>> Yeah, that's right. Well, I don't think
so. Anyway, um let's move on. Disney has
told the FCC uh that ABC uh The View
should continue to qualify as a
bonafideed news program, making exempt
from federal equal time rules for
political candidates. The filing comes
as the FCC has been probing whether The
View violates those equal time rules. A
notable line from the filing, the First
Amendment does not permit the government
to sit in an editor's chair. Yet, that
is the seat the commission now proposes
to take. ABC launched a campaign, a very
aggressive campaign, to encourage
reviewers to make their thoughts known
to the FCC in June. and the commission
received over 76,000 comments about the
case. I, as you know, I think Brendan
Gar is a [ __ ] and he's way way
overstepped here for reasons unknown.
Um,
>> well, reasons unknown.
>> Well, he wants he has he wants a big
political career and he's backing Donald
Trump to love him.
>> Yes, exactly. It's it's pathetic in so
many ways, but um I bet mom Trump
doesn't love him, by the way. Um, so
talk about the con the consequences here
for both sides because I think Brennan
Gar has overstepped especially in his
statements because his statements go way
over the line of any FCC chairman I've
heard in the many years I've covered
them.
>> Yeah, it's interesting here because the
this is all happening with the backdrop
of Trump not necessarily being as
powerful in the media sphere as he was
even a year ago. You know, we're heading
into lame duck status. the polling is
where it is and it's it's not, you know,
I think that Brennan Carr was a little
bit surprised that Disney came back so
aggressively.
>> Yes, he was. Yeah.
>> And and and he's now on Twitter like
trying to counter this this pretty
normal strategy. I mean, when there's
ever a carriage fight amongst
distributors and content providers or
>> Disney's always good at it.
>> Yeah. They they go after their fans.
>> The New York one. I loved watching the
New York one. That was a real fun.
>> And shocker, people who watch The View
are interested in The View having the
freedom to have on any guests that they
want. And if Disney communicates to them
to stand up to the government to keep
your show that you like as your show,
they're going to respond. So I think
this was totally predictable. What's the
most interesting angle to me is through
the lens of the new CEO of Disney, Josh
Dear.
>> Yes, exactly.
>> He is being aggressive here and he's
pushing back on this one. He's pushing
back on the dumb Kimmel thing, Jimmy
Kimmel thing where they claim that, you
know, they're going after Disney because
of their DEI policies, but we all know
they were trying to put fear and censor
Jimmy Kimmel and Disney's really
fighting back on that. And and I don't
know that Bob Iger, the previous CEO,
would have been as aggressive on this.
>> I think he wanted to be. I think he felt
like he was that the the way Jimmy
Kimmel went down wasn't exactly what
happened. Like I think he was he w he
had been supportive, but the way it went
down because he didn't say anything. He
didn't call reporters. He didn't, you
know, he didn't really handle that very
well.
>> Well, I did an interview with the FT a
couple weeks ago and he said that he
didn't like Kimmel's comments about
Charlie [clears throat] Kirk and wanted
him to apologize, which he had never
said before.
>> Yes. But I think he also felt that he
had supported Kimmel over the many
years, you know what I mean? And that
that his that, you know, I think he was
surprised by the pileon on him. Um, and
I, you know, I just I said to him, well,
why were you surprised? Like people like
Jimmy Kimmel, it seemed ridiculous what
Carr was doing. Like it doesn't I think
he felt like he had a long career and
should have people should have given him
a little more credit over the time. But
talk about why Josh is doing this. So I
think it's really interesting to be one
of your early moves.
>> He's a different person and he has a
different view on this and I think that
the people advising him are telling him
that they are in the right here. I mean
you mentioned Eric Gardner. He did a
whole analysis of this for Buck. Disney
has the upper hand here, right?
>> And I think Brendan Carr knows it.
They're just trying to be bullies
>> and Disney is a really big popular
corporation that people have an
emotional connection to. So, I think
that he's playing his hand here and they
know that they ultimately if this did
get litigated, they would come out on
top. So, why not be more aggressive?
>> Well, you know, it is interesting the
push back I find I I think it's the
timing is correct because one of the
things when I was arguing with them
during the Kimmel times, a lot of the
Disney executives, I was like, he's
going down. Trump is popularity is only
headed one direction at this point. I
was like, you all can look like heroes
at this moment by just stick, you know,
given the whole thing that happened with
Stephanopoulos and everything else,
which is I I suspect there was probably
more problems there to litigate that. In
this case, it's a clean shot against an
oath like who's who's [clears throat]
attached to a very increasingly
unpopular president. I was like, I don't
know. And people love the view. Like
they do the fans fans love it.
>> And here's the thing. When Iger came
back to Disney in 2022,
one of his big priorities was to
depoliticize the brand. The previous
CEO, Bob Chapeek, had gotten into this
big fight in Florida with Ronda Santis.
You had Republicans saying, you know,
boycott Disney. And that's
[clears throat]
outside of Disney. I know that was
troubling to the executives. You know,
they were marching in front of white
supremacists. If you recall, people
don't remember this.
>> Disney is an everybody brand. And Josh
Dearo is a is a brand guy. So I I
understand why they wouldn't want to get
into a fight with a Republican
president. And if you noticed last week,
no other network went harder on the
anniversary of America than Disney ABC.
They literally did 24 hours of
programming.
>> Yeah.
>> Yeah.
>> And they got 40 million viewers out of
it. But my point is like they're trying
Disney is trying to wa walk both sides
here publicly be be very kind of pro
America and pro pro- every political
party but while also now standing up for
itself which it did not do in the
Stephanopoulos matter
>> right and it will succeed here I feel
Ben car is a paper tiger
>> oh I think they will absolutely succeed
I don't know they'll back down
completely but this will eventually go
away
>> and then they will get the news the news
uh out. Correct.
>> Yes. The news you mean the news
exemption or the equal time exemption?
Yeah. I think Disney will win on that.
>> Yeah. It's clearly an interview show.
It's so It's kind of ridiculous on so
many levels.
>> Yeah. The annoying thing is that they've
kind of been chilling themselves during
this whole process and not having
political guests on as much.
>> Well, they had Vance on recently, you
know, the show they did. They had Vance
on, but yeah, you're right. I think they
definitely have, but you know, they do
better with like, you know, the guy from
um just, you know, the handsome guy, you
know, that's what they do better with
honestly.
>> I'm gonna take your word on the
programming of the view. I'm not a
regular viewer.
>> Oh, it's I I was just a guest host on it
for two days and I hit a ball. It's so
much fun and such a great audience. And
one of the things that I you know,
there's a lot of declines in watching,
but it's a really well done show. It's
really it exactly meets its audience and
it's clever and interesting and oddly
you know in a lot of these when you're
on cable shows as you know they're
they're lacking of substance it feels
substantive actually it's actually a
good talk and so I think that's why it
works
>> Barbara Walters genius was on to
something
>> genius my legend if I had to pick anyone
who was one of the finest interviews in
the land it would be Barbara Walters but
also
>> she does not get enough credit for
conceiving that show
>> yeah I agree she I agree and also by the
way Whoopy Goldberg runs that thing like
a she's a she's really good at her job.
That's all.
>> She really is and really creates a
really interesting environment that is
unexpected. Anyway, I like being on it.
I enjoy it and I hope for the best for
them because they really uh they really
produce a great show and good for Josh
Dear for this being one of his first
things because he's going to win anyway.
Okay, Matt, let's go on a quick break.
When we come back, Netflix sophomore
Slump. Support for this show comes from
BetterHel. Thankfully, talking about
mental health has become much more
common, but that doesn't mean seeking
help is easy. Better Help's 2026 State
of Stigma report surveyed 2,000
Americans and revealed that 85% of
Americans pled believe getting support
is wise. Yet, 74% say society
discourages people from doing so. With
BetterHel, you can connect with a
licensed therapist from anywhere on your
schedule. With more than 30,000
therapists, BetterHelp is the world's
largest online therapy platform, having
served over six million people
worldwide. And it works, earning an
average live session rating of 4.9 out
of five based on more than 1.7 million
client reviews. BetterHelp does the
initial matching work for you so you can
focus on your therapy goals. A short
questionnaire helps identify your needs
and preferences, and their 12 plus years
of experience in industryleading match
fulfillment rate means they typically
get it right the first time. If you
aren't happy with your match, switch to
a different therapist at any time from
their tailored rex. You don't have to
let stigma stand in the way of support.
You can start therapy with BetterHelp.
You can sign up and get 10% off at
betterhelp.com/pivot.
That's betterhp.com/pivot.
Matt, we're back. Netflix is getting
into the short form content business.
The the company announced this week it's
partnered with BuzzFeed, cond people,
and various Penske media brands to bring
the digital videos to the platform.
These videos will range from
three-minute shorts to 20-minute
episodes focusing on travel, cooking,
fashion, as well as celebrity content
profiles and viral content. All these
people have been making these extra what
I call shoulder content that you see.
>> Oh, I used to do it when I ran Holly
Deorter. We had to do the video version.
>> The video version Nas does actually a
pretty good job. They all do a pretty
good job at it. This announcement comes
in the wake of a new report that Netflix
is struggling to retain fans between the
first and second seasons of top shows
with some shows shedding 50% of their
audience. Engagement is slowing too. The
amount of time customers spent watching
Netflix last year grew by less than 2%.
Um, talk about why they're doing this.
And just for people, I last yesterday
went on Brian Williams new show which is
they're also they've also bought a bunch
of podcasters. I think the one that's
doing really well is The Breakfast Club.
>> That's the one they're talking about.
But we'll know next week when their
engagement report comes out for the
first half of the year.
>> Yeah. But I don't think they're high. I
don't I feel like
>> I have heard internally the numbers are
not high, but it's early days and that's
what they're saying. They're encouraged
by this the trends.
>> Yeah. But the Breakfast Club from what I
understand is a real standout. That's
what I heard from them. So um uh talk
about this whole thing and include what
it's not really podcasting. They're t it
was a TV show that I it was an
interview. It was like you know Charlie
Rose with 100% less creepy. It was just
I don't know. You know what I And it was
like that's what that's what the set
looked like.
>> They're calling them video podcasts. I
mean, there's a a distinction there. I
think the guilds would love for them to
call them talk shows cuz they have to
pay more for them. But
>> fine, it was a talk show.
>> This is all just about Netflix having
YouTube envy. They they look at the
engagement report every month from
Neielson. They are getting their butts
kicked by YouTube. they know why, you
know, so much of the viewing on YouTube
is this lower quality, um, you know,
usergenerated.
It's just it's it's it's it's a
different product than Netflix. It's
free. Netflix is not free. and they're
saying, "How can we boost our engagement
numbers without going fullon user
generated and becoming YouTube,
>> but having enough on the platform where
people start to consider it you the
everyday you just go there to watch
video?"
>> Yeah. Yeah. I think it's tough.
>> It's sad to me.
>> I agree
>> that Netflix has such a great thing
going. They're just so it's so in their
head that they've got to match YouTube
because they see this trajectory.
>> Should be never YouTube will eat
everything
>> and then ultimately they'll wake up in 5
years and they will have to put shows on
YouTube because it's so big and so
dominant,
>> right? That is probably true
>> because ads I mean everybody's been
talking about the Netflix stock being
down 40% from last year and part of that
is because they went after Warner
Brothers and all the investors are like
whoa wait a second you guys thought you
needed a big studio to compete here I
thought you were the darling of media
but what it really is I think now is
investors are looking for the growth
narrative from Netflix. How are they
going to continue to grow and internally
they see the ads platform as being a
growth engine?
>> It is it's been rather long.
>> It is because it's not huge. I mean
Netflix I mean Amazon turned on ads for
all Prime Video viewers and it instantly
became a gigantic ads business. Netflix
did not do that. It's an optin. You get
to pay less money to get ads.
>> It's it's it's actually more attractive
across the globe from what I understand.
>> Yeah. people like free or less money and
they're willing to tolerate ads,
>> but they need the inventory. They need
people on it because they're coming from
this position of so many of their
subscribers are non ads customers that
even though they're growing the ads tier
and they're adding a bunch, you know,
the percentage of new customers that
sign up, most of them do so with for the
ad tier, they want inventory. And the
best way to do it is this lower quality,
lower cost, uh, you know, in in a a
sports term, a baseball, you know, a
middle reliever, someone that just eats
up innings.
And that's what these podcasts are.
They're looking, you know, Netflix is
also the evening streamer. People watch
at night and YouTube is the daytime
streamer. People watch at work or at
home while they're doing laundry or
whatever. And they want to compete for
those daytime eyeballs. Which of those
businesses, what do you think of these
three? I don't I think the three minute
shorts are fine. I just don't get it. I
don't know why. One of the things, you
know, also what they picked. It's not
very contro, except for maybe
Charlemagne. It's not very
controversial, right? It's very um you
know, good, but not like wow. It's like
they just signed a cooking show, you
know, yesterday. And it's not uh it's
nothing that's in the top tiers of
podcasters,
which is really interesting. Well, Bill
Simmons is there. Bill's Bill's a big
sports podcaster.
>> Yeah.
>> And you know, they have a bunch of
Ringer shows like and I my show,
disclosure, my show is a Ringer show,
but they have like the Rewatchables,
which is a big show, and they have some
bar stool shows and stuff. They're doing
more and I've heard internally they want
to do a lot more. And, you know, they're
testing it out. This is how Netflix
works.
>> They go into an area of content and if
it works, they do a ton more. They
started doing crime documentaries. they
worked and now they do a fire hose of
crime documentaries. They started doing
these choose your own adventure shows
where you could the audience would
choose and it didn't work so they
stopped doing it and that this is how
they operate. Um you know it's just to
me I wish Netflix would be Netflix and
not try to be YouTube but I understand
why they're doing that.
>> Why would if you are a podcaster or
anybody else did to do that? Why do that
if you if you have a good money just the
money they give you? Yeah, listen, some
people like the prestige of being on
Netflix.
>> It's it's a it's definitely a cooler
brand than YouTube where anybody could
be on it.
>> Um, and you know, if Netflix is
successful here, they will change
consumer behavior. Very difficult to do
that. But their their theory here is if
we put enough on here and if we have
some breakout shows, if you're a
Charlemagne fan or whatever, you're
going to go on and then all of a sudden
on your next jog, you don't go to
YouTube for the podcast you normally
listen to. You go to Netflix and that's
how you change consumer behavior.
>> Yeah. Right. Yeah. By the way, just for
people to know, the Netflix has made a
deal for video episodes of Vox Media
podcast, Unexplainable, and Switched on
Pop, uh, which is is they have a very
it's a it's a pretty good ad business,
but they'll do better on Netflix, I
think. So, people are deciding where.
>> Do you think they'll do better on
Netflix for viewership than on YouTube?
>> I think they'll do better on money.
>> On money. Yeah, because that's what
you're sacrificing right now. Yes.
>> You're sacrificing reach on YouTube for
money from Netflix. And then the promise
of maybe down the line the engagement
numbers catch up.
>> Correct. That's right. You know,
something like a pivot like we wouldn't
because we're doing so well on YouTube
and other places. But it's just it's an
interesting ju just position. A lot of
these companies will sort of test out
certain of their products on it. Um
>> I don't think that the engagement on
these videos is going to be very high. I
agree.
>> Especially at the beginning.
>> I agree. I agree.
>> Most of them are lowquality shoulder
like the Penske videos. Most of them are
auto plays that play while you're
reading an article.
>> Yeah, but they're sitting over on
YouTube doing nothing, so it's fine.
Exactly. Fine. So, um the the last thing
with Netflix, you know, every all the
investors worried about their deal
making. What is their will their next
deal be NBC Universal? What is what is a
little bit about there? I think I I
think that they are likely to at least
explore this
>> because what we learned from the Warner
Chase is that they feel they they don't
need but they would very much benefit
from strong intellectual property. It's
so difficult to create awareness to
create um you know fandoms on your own
even though you're as large as Netflix
and they've done it successfully many
times. Don't get me wrong, but having
Jurassic per Jurassic Park,
>> having the Minions,
>> the Odyssey,
>> having Well, that's a that's different
because that's a filmmaker relationship.
But you know what? Chris Nolan won't
make movies for Netflix,
>> right?
>> There is a class of filmmaker that will
not make movies for Netflix because they
do not give their product a theatrical
release meaningfully. So they would get
into that business and if it's like what
they said with Warers, they would keep
the theatrical business running at least
at first on its own. So I think that
they will at least look I don't know if
they'll make a formal bid. There's a
complicating factor because NBC is
involved and they definitely do not want
to own linear networks. The other aspect
of Netflix that that is important here
is sports. NBC Universal has the second
best collection of sports rights second
to ESPN. do. [clears throat]
>> They've got Sunday Night Football, which
is the highest rated show on television.
They've got Major League Baseball.
They've got golf. They've got um NB a
huge new NBA deal that they just did.
And they have a subscale streamer in the
US, Peacock, which only has 47 million
subscribers. And they've got all of
these sports, right? So, Netflix,
they've got to take a look at this.
>> Yeah. So, what else would they take a
look at? There's smaller ones like
Lionsgate and others, right?
>> I and they've had the opportunity to go
after those in the past and have have
not. Um, it's got to be special. I I I
honestly I don't know.
>> I don't know.
>> Who's another buyer for this? Is it
going to get bought at all? Is who's
another buyer for
>> Well, that gets to the larger question
as to whether NBC Universal is a buyer
or a seller here.
>> Seller, right? Yeah.
>> They maintain that they can 100% go it
alone and they can be a buyer and they
can look at things. The speculation is
about perhaps a video game company like
Take Two. They they did look at
Electronic Arts a number of years ago,
but uh I I think they're either going to
do something now or they're going to
wait for a while. There's tax
implications of doing this spin-off. So,
if it actually happens, I'm skeptical
that it will get to the actual spin-off.
I think Netflix, if they're going to
come in,
>> this is a Warner situation, right? This
is what
>> if if if Netflix is going to come in,
they're going to do it soon,
>> right? soon and they would make a deal
for it. Would they get it? Is there
another buyer?
>> I mean, who knows?
>> Paramount.
>> No. Are you kid? I I I joked about that
on the town. I I don't think they have
the appetite for that right now. And I
think Larry is all tapped out.
>> No, they can't. They can't afford it.
They can't
>> uh you know, only there's only so many
Saudi and uh, you know, Middle East
moneymen that you can go to.
>> Yeah. Yeah. But there's a there's a
bunch of private equity money out there.
Yeah. You know, there's a there's Apple
sitting there. Apple, everybody's been
speculating in Hollywood for years that
Apple would buy a studio. Bob Iger keeps
talking about how he wanted to merge
Disney with Apple back in the day. Uh,
you know, Apple has shown no
inclination. I talked to Eddie Q about
this. He said, "No way." But you know
what? You never know. New there's new
leadership at Apple. Maybe he'll say,
"What are we doing in content? We have
all these great shows, but we have very
little engagement." And engagement comes
from library. Having a hundred years of
movies and television shows to keep your
audience on the platform
>> 100%. And Disney.
>> I don't think so. Do you think that Do
you think Do you think NBC Universal is
going to be the first thing Josh Jamaro
does?
>> I I think it's going to be in the AI or
gaming or something like that. It's not
going to be a traditional merger and and
they would have to sell one of the
broadcast networks or get the rules
changed.
>> Yeah. Or or sell them both. Sell them
both off or have them
>> I don't think they'd sell them both. I
mean, they they've had that opportunity.
They've double triple down on keeping
that stuff. They are,
>> you know, integrating [clears throat] it
all. And
>> the broadcast TV business is still a
business. Cable is not,
>> but
>> broadcast still is.
>> Yep. It absolutely is. Anyway, um really
interesting. Next up, we have a lot to
get to. Meta has released an AI image
generator called Muse image, which the
company's calling the creative partner
that knows your world. I can't I can't
believe these people write these things.
The generator comes uh with a feature
lets users create AI images based on
people's Instagram photos and any adult
with a public Instagram account was
automatically opted in. Cara Swisser is
opted out now, just so you know.
>> You know, I saw your post on threads and
I tried to do that last night and I
couldn't find the button to do that.
>> I will show you. I will send you a step
by step. Uh the company also previewed
an AI video generator which will be
coming available in the next month. Uh
what is these people? Are they just
constant information thieves? They just
continually
>> do this.
>> Listen, it's a uh ask forgiveness not
permission strategy. [clears throat]
It's been the case from the very
beginning in Silicon Valley and it takes
the Hollywood people to step up. The
talent agency CIA put out a pretty good
statement last night. No one, they said
no one's image, name, and likeness,
voice, or creative work should be used
by a third party, including AI models
without clear documented consent.
They're telling them essentially what
the industry said about Sora when Open
AI launched it. It's like, don't make
this opt out, make it opt in,
>> right? Exactly. They hate optin.
>> I know. Because nobody does.
>> They hated optin since AOL. They hate
optin. They hate it.
>> I get it. Listen, it's a much it's a
much less convenient business. You have
to ask permission.
>> That's correct.
>> That's kind of how it works when you
have rights like copyright and name
image likeness rights.
>> They don't care. As Walt Mossberg
famously said, they're rapacious
information thieves. Um and they
continue with that quality.
>> It's not just information though. This
is like, you know, a literally, unless
he opts out, they could take a Tom Cruz
photo that he posts of himself and suck
it into their model and create a video
based on Tom Cruz.
>> That's correct. That is It's like It's
nuts. And of course, Tom Cruz is good
for the platform being on it and putting
all this marketing stuff. It's a It's a
win-win situation for them and Tom Cruz.
And instead, they kick him in the teeth.
>> But they know that they're so big now
that Tom Cruz can't market his movies
without them. That's the problem here.
It's the problem with all of these new
innovations is that Meta looks at it,
says, "Oh, we will just clone this and
use our massive distribution to put that
person out of business or we buy them,
>> right?" Yeah. Yeah. Buy or build. That's
how they That's how they think. Anyway,
I don't think this I don't I don't think
this is a great move and I think they'll
roll it back. That's my feeling. They I
think they know they're on thin ice here
with people.
>> We'll see how the studios react this
next week. You know, they haven't
actually launched the video component
yet.
>> Right. Right. But I you can turn it off.
I recommend everyone turn it off until
we know more. All right. And I'll tell
you how to do it, Matt. Um. All right.
Let's go on a quick break. When we come
back, we'll talk about the Sam Alman's
movie Fate and a little bit about
Odyssey. The Odyssey.
>> Today's show is brought to you by
Vanguard. [music] To all the financial
adviserss listening, let's talk about
bonds for a minute. Capturing value in
fixed income is not easy. Bond markets
are massive, murky, and let's be real,
lots of firms throw a couple of flashy
funds your way. and call it a day. But
not Vanguard. Vanguard delivers
institutional quality bonds. And
institutional quality isn't just a
[music] tagline. It's a commitment to
helping your clients succeed. That means
top tier products across the lineup,
including [music] more than 80 bond
funds actively managed by a global team
of over 200 sector specialists,
analysts, and traders. Plenty of [music]
firms like to spotlight a star portfolio
manager as if one brilliant investor is
doing all the heavy lifting. Vanguard
[music] takes a different approach. They
believe the best active investing ideas
shouldn't stay with one person. They
should be shared across the entire
[music] team. So, if you're looking to
give your clients consistent results
year in and year out, go see the record
for yourself at vanguard.com/audio.
That's vanguard.com/audio. [music]
All investing is subject to risk.
Vanguard Marketing Corporation
distributor.
Matt, we're back with more headlines.
The Sam Alman focused movie. The
Artificial has found a new home at an
indie studio Neon after Amazon gave it
the boot. Amazon walked away from the
project after striking a major
partnership with OpenAI. The $40 million
uh film stars Andrew Garfield as Sam
Alman and recounts the chaotic weekend
in 2023 when he was fired and was
reinstated as OpenAI's CEO. Neon plans
to release the film later this year and
is expected to position as an awards
contender. Uh you know very well
reggarded filmmaker made it. Um uh talk
about talk about that. And then just
secondly, a big movie is obviously
coming out or you mentioned Chris Nolan,
his latest film, The Odyssey, which
could be the biggest movie of the
summer, maybe the year. Tickets went on
sale, crashing AMC's app. People are
desperate to see this. Fandango says
first day sales were 10 times higher
than Nolan's last film, Oenheimer. Early
reactions have been raves despite a
backlash online. It's a fake backlash on
downing these trailers and calling the
casting of some of the actors. It's
ridiculous. It's a right-wing lunacy.
One of the biggest critics, of course,
is Elon Musk, who's been attacking the
movie, and director Nolan for months.
Uh, I haven't seen the movie. I'm going
to see it Monday, I think.
>> Yeah, I'm going Monday as well.
>> It looks It looks astonishing, you know.
Um, talk about I mean, I think they've
beat the backlash back. I don't think
any
>> That doesn't matter. That's just
[clears throat] It doesn't matter. So,
talk about these two movies, the Sam
Alman focus movie and the um and and
this uh this other one. I think it'll do
just fine. And I think neon is a good
place for it to go.
>> Listen, th this one, I don't know if you
and Scott give a wuss of the year award,
>> but Mike Hopkins at Amazon is an early
contender.
>> All right. Well, you can have one. You
have your own podcast.
>> I know I do. Trust me, we've I've gone
on and on about this.
>> What's the year? We stick with Brandon
Car is a [ __ ] That's the people we
focus on, but you can go for Mike
Hopkins, but go ahead.
>> So, listen. Amazon developed this movie,
hired Luca Guanino, who did Call Me By
Your Name and Challengers, uh, well-
reggarded filmmaker to direct this
movie. They went through all the
motions. The only thing that has changed
from when they green lit this movie last
year until now is that they now have a
$50 billion relationship with Open AI,
[clears throat]
>> right?
>> And it's so obvious that they're not
even denying it. Well, no, but when you
go around like I've I've, you know, when
you go around to these companies like
we're not touching that, you know, if
it's an Elon Musk property, they do this
all the time, right?
>> They do. But this the difference here is
that Amazon committed to this major
filmmaker and all of this talent. And
Amazon wants to be both. They want to
serve the masters in Seattle and be a
tech platform that is looking at the,
you know, the future of AI and all the
bets they're making there. But they also
want to be able to do real Hollywood
movies like Project Hail Mary that
requires relationships with talent. The
first call that Mike Hopkins had to make
on this was to Brian Lord, the head of
CIA, the most powerful talent agency
that has a lot of talent in this movie,
and tell him this movie by your
prominent filmmaker is getting dumped by
this studio. What do you think Brian
Lord is going to do the next time they
have a hot piece of material, not take
it to Mike Hopkins?
>> Right. So, what happens here is I mean,
I have read the script. I don't
particularly like the movie. I think
there's a lot of nonsense in it like
making certain people heroes who were I
think everybody's a mess in this
situation. No one looks good. But to
make Ilia a hero questionable make Jeff
Hinton a partyier. I was like what? Like
you know there's a lot of stuff I didn't
like in the script when I read it and I
got it years ago I think. But he's a
great filmmaker. I bet it's interesting.
It's sort of like the social network.
It's not really what happened but it's
not unwhat happened.
>> It's very much like that. And the the
difference here is that the
>> the stakes are much higher
>> because we're talking about these guys
who could potentially end the world. And
that's correct.
>> From what I understand, I also read an
early draft of the script. It the tone
of it is pretty dark and it makes you
feel bad. One one potential buyer who
saw and didn't buy the movie said it
it's the feel bad movie of the year.
[laughter]
>> But it it sort of doesn't matter whether
this movie is good or bad. There is a
social contract in Hollywood where if
you commit to a filmmaker and you commit
to talent, you're in this together.
And here it's Amazon, big tech company,
finally showing its face and saying, "We
are big tech company and we will bow
down and serve our master if we think
this is going to potentially even maybe
hurt our overall business." And that's a
there's a chilling effect there.
>> Yeah. And then they buy the Melania
movie. They look like idiots. They look
like
>> I know and you know listen the the
interesting thing I reported on the deal
and according to my reporting Amazon is
giving this movie away to Neon. They are
not paying a license fee that all that
they did was they committed to spend $15
million to market it and release it in
theaters which is what the filmmaker
wanted because he wanted a big
theatrical release. They're going to do
an awards campaign if the reviews are
good.
>> It's like the Trump movie. What was the
Trump movie? The
>> Apprentice. It's very similar to this
day.
The Apprentice does not have a streaming
deal.
>> Oh,
>> none of these big streamers bought The
Apprentice.
>> And that movie did not do very much
business in theaters, but it did pretty
big business on premium video on demand.
And it got two major Oscar nominations
for
>> it. It was a good movie. It was a good
film. This probably will be a good film.
We'll see.
>> I haven't seen it. So, there's mixed
reactions from the screenings, but good
actors involved and, you know, big
talent. And I think
>> this was this a good move by Amazon or
just stupid.
>> It depends whether you're in LA or
Seattle,
>> right?
>> In Seattle, you know, Mike Cop was
probably gonna get a promotion
>> because he managed this. He managed to
avoid this problem and get it sold to a
distributor that frankly is probably
going to do a better job with a movie
like this than Amazon would have. They
just lost a same filmmaker did the Julia
Roberts movie um the Me Too movie uh
After the Hunt and that movie cost $70
million and did almost no business. So
they just had a major flop when they
maybe uh Neon will be able to market
this movie. Neon did Anora which ended
up winning best picture.
>> Big hit. Yeah. Yeah. I thought it was a
perfect film for it.
>> In Seattle I think Mike Hopkins gets
props for this. In LA I think they take
a big a big credibility hit. you puts.
Anyway, and Odyssey, I think it's gonna
be enormous hit like,
>> oh, big hit, but not the biggest movie
of the year. I mean, we still got
Spider-Man coming out and Avengers like,
>> yeah,
>> those will likely be much bigger. I
think Toy Story will probably Toy Story
5 will probably end up being bigger than
the Odyssey. But the win
>> is if they can get this movie to 8,
nine, a billion, that would be a big win
for this movie.
>> For this movie and and and and then
it'll have a huge life.
>> Yeah. We think it's the biggest event of
the year. Um, but we're old people who
love history and love Chris Nolan.
>> Oh, I don't know. My kids are interested
in this movie.
>> Okay, that's good to hear.
>> That was Well, they off of course were
completely interested in Obsession and
Back Rooms. They My son knew everything
about Obsession [clears throat] and Back
rooms.
>> Those two movies are the story of the
year in Hollywood.
>> They really are.
>> The fact that two tiny movies for Gen Z
audiences can get to three $400 million.
>> It's It's such good news for the
business. See, I'm not surprised because
it had like it's sort of like heated
rival every like what a surprise. I'm
like it was an enormous book hit among
those people who like romantic
fantasies. Like it was already had an
inbuilt audience.
>> Yes. But as much as the media talked
about heated rivalry, it was never that
big of a mainstream hit.
>> Obsession cost less than a million
dollars to make.
>> Agreed. But I'm saying all the kids knew
about this stuff. Everyone and they had
followed it. Really? Cara, we have not
followed up because I remember coming on
your show during the depths of the
pandemic where you were saying the movie
business theaters are over.
>> I know
>> and young people don't care and now
every study we see says Gen Z likes
going to movies.
>> Let me make a caveat here. I think
there's been a a ma here's I'm going to
make another prediction. I think there's
a massive move away from social media
and online life and to like that same
son is going to church all the time.
that same son is going out more. You
know what I mean? Like, so, and these
were kids who just wouldn't be seen in a
theater. Now, the slightly older one
doesn't go to the theater, but he wants
to see the Odyssey for sure in the
theater because of the IMAX and
everything else. Um, and
>> and Chris Nolan is the brand. He's
probably not going because it's based on
a book that he had to read in high
school.
>> Yes. Yes. No, no, no, no. He definitely
he But what I'm saying is there has been
a move away. I think that that you're
going to see del massive declines in
social media usage and everything else
among young people. They want to have
real life encounters.
>> My 10-year-old is the same way. He he'll
he'll do the iPad, but he so much
prefers playing with his friends and
being outside and going to baseball
games or movies or whatever.
>> Yeah, there's a shift. There's a real
there's a real perceptible I'm taking
these apps off my face. Not everybody,
but to me, I feel like all of us want to
go out, right? And there's actually good
movies to go out, too. That's the thing
and that's the issue whether it's
backrooms and obsession for the youngs
or odyssey for the olds. I mean
>> do you think in 2030 years we're going
to look back on this era like we look
back on the madmen era of everybody
smoking all the time?
>> Yes, I do. I do because I do think it's
people will incorporate it and I think
to me young people are so much smarter
about usage online usage than I think
the real problem is 35 to 54 people.
Like to me that's the real problematic
group of people. But I think you're
right. They they they just made some
movies. I don't know if they'll stay
going to movies unless they have stuff
that speaks to them, right? That
actually
>> Well, that is what Hollywood is very
much doing right now. Try to shift the
intellectual property paradigm to match
this younger audience. Superhero movies
are increasingly for older people and
they're looking for IP like Minecraft.
There's probably going to be a Roblox
movie there. Super Mario. these
properties that are just for younger
people and feels they feel ownership
over them.
>> Absolutely. And I think that's fine.
That's absolutely fine. And if it's a
good movie, everyone like look, I don't
think anyone thought Devilish Prodit was
going to make a billion dollars. I mean,
>> millennial nostalgia.
>> Yes. But it was also a good movie and it
was fun and
>> Oh, you're just saying that cuz you were
in it.
>> I also I was in it and I deserve an
Oscar, but that's another
>> I stood up when I saw you. I stood up
and applauded.
>> What my favorite thing was someone sent
me a note. There was a screening in San
Francisco. This bunch of gay guys um
rented the movie theater inside it and
then didn't know I was in it and they
shrieked because I'm well known. I'm a
well-known gay in San Francisco. But it
was very funny. It was fun. But I I
don't I didn't think it was going to be
that big, honestly. But it was
>> I didn't either. I do a box office draft
with Lucas [clears throat] Shaw and and
neither of us uh Sorry. I didn't pick
it. He picked it and he got the benefit.
>> Actually, I thought it when I saw it, I
was like, "This is a lot of [ __ ] fun.
This is and it's really good and really
fun and really actually more and more
depth actually. It was good.
>> I picked the Michael Jackson movie
though and that's going to get to a
billion dollars. So, I'm pretty happy.
>> That's also Yeah, there's some really
promising movies. There's a lot of not
ones that you're never going to see
again, too. Um, all right, Matt. One
more quick break. We'll be back for
predictions.
>> Support for the show comes from Framer.
If your team wants a website that looks
and feels handcrafted, but is still fast
to ship, Framer is built [music] for
that. You design on a visual canvas with
responsive layouts, hosting, and a CMS
built in so the work is production ready
from day one. Agents work alongside you
to draft pages and polish sections. Then
you review and publish what goes live.
Framer is the proite builder for
creators, teams, and businesses that
[music] want a professional site and
care enough to get every detail right.
Agents solve the gap between AI
generated ideas and productionready
website work. The agent works in the
same place where the real site is
designed, managed, reviewed, and
published. It lands on the canvas, stays
editable, and can be published when the
team is ready. Agents and framework work
alongside teams to streamline
collaboration on the same canvas, build
custom code components, create and
manage CMS content, [music] optimize SEO
settings, and ship everything all in one
place. Learn how you can get more out of
your site from a framer specialist. Or
get started building [music] for free
today at framer.com/pivot
for 30% off a Framer Pro annual plan.
That's framer.com/pivot
for 30% off. framer.com/pivot.
Rules and restrictions may apply.
>> Okay. Uh Matt, let's hear a prediction.
>> All right. So, I have a fun one and a
serious one. Okay.
>> I'll do the serious one first.
>> Okay.
>> I think Netflix will launch a free tier
within a year.
>> Oh,
>> this is where it's going. all of this
low value podcast,
social video, YouTube style content,
>> they are going to separate it or have it
available on the paid tier as well, but
they're going to put it into this
>> free tier that will serve as a top
offunnel for the regular Netflix and
hopefully juice their advertising
business via engagement.
>> Right. Okay. A little bit of Tuby. Go
ahead. a little bit of to compete with
those and you know query whether it will
harm the brand or cause people that pay
for Netflix to switch to a non-paying
situation but it's getting to the point
where Netflix is showing us their cards
they are so obsessed with YouTube they
will launch a real YouTube competitor in
a free service and they can put some of
this old show content that they haven't
licensed out anywhere and is not doing
much on the platform form. They can put
that on the free tier and have it be
like a Tuby or a Pluto TV where it
serves as a funnel for the other
services.
>> That's a great idea. They could do
deals. Yeah, that's an interesting
that's an you know, it was interesting.
I saw pictures of Neil Moen from YouTube
and Ted walking into the Sun Valley
thing. Uh which was interesting. I was
like, I'd like to see them chitty jet.
Like I'd like to be in front of them
seeing them. By the way, that thing also
looks bad this year for some reason.
Like I never liked it. Never get invited
because I'm a pain in the ass. But um
but they uh it looks particularly
tonedeaf this year for some reason. But
maybe you don't think so.
>> I'm interested in the fashion.
>> Oh, okay. The outfits Lauren Lauren
Sanchez
>> and the David Dazzlo denim on denim
look.
>> Denim. He's still that guy works the
lesbian look so beautifully. I
[laughter] have to say
>> I'm not going to go there, but it is
certainly it's like his his sort of uh
souped-up cowboy look.
>> Yeah. Well, I
>> I'm sure [clears throat] both those
denim jackets cost face. I'm like, you
look like a lesbian I used to date back
in the 80s. Anyway,
>> all right. Uh, speaking of the gays, do
you want my fun prediction?
>> Sure. Yes, please.
>> I think the new album from Madonna will
get a album of the year Grammy
nomination.
>> I'm with you on that.
>> Which would be her first since 1998.
Confessions 2 getting unbelievable
reviews. Um, I listen to it. You know,
dance music's not my thing, but
>> it's good
>> for what it is. It's very good. And I
think that there's a narrative around
her. She's performing at the World Cup
finale. And I think that the buzz around
Madonna is she's a survivor and will
score that album of the year nomination
from the Grand.
>> Yeah, I agree. Let Madonna be Madonna.
She hasn't like stooped. She doesn't do
nostalgia. She could easily do a lot of
stuff. She did a little bit on that last
tour that I went to. I went to the
concert. This is a great album.
No, it was not. And it made me sad. And
then now she doesn't dance like she used
to.
>> She's too slow. I'm like, don't dance.
It's like, who's that guy right now
who's dancing? Oh god, there's an old
rocker that needs
>> Oh, there was a video of Barry Manalo.
>> All of them. I was like, sit down. You
need to sit down. It's I love you so
much. And you need But in this case,
>> Billy Joel, Elton John, they sit down.
>> They sit down. And but Madonna's album
is quite good. It's really It's It's not
just And it's not nostalgia. It's
interesting. like it's an interesting
and she refuses to be anything but
herself and I I think people kind of
like that and I just think she's the OG.
>> She should be a pivot guest. I bet she
has opinions on the mergers and
acquisitions.
>> I Oh, I bet she does. She's as sharp as
a [ __ ] tack. That's one thing about
>> she went after her label. Remember she
had this whole period where she took a
big deal with Live Nation and she left
her longtime record label and was sort
of floundering and she criticized Gaio
Siri. She's she's got opinions. I I you
know what she really was she sort of she
she walked so Taylor Swift could run.
Let's just you know what I mean like in
a lot of ways. I'm going to ask you for
one more prediction.
>> How you you made a joke about this which
made me laugh hysterically but the
Taylor Swift wedding. She she goes she
couldn't possibly be preparing a movie
about it. Could she? Could she? And then
you said could she? Is she? Will she?
>> Okay. So a couple things there. I don't
think it will happen now after I have
seen you talked to a lot of people who
were there and I've seen how it played
out. She didn't get releases from all
the big stars that were there. Now, you
could argue that maybe they they put up
signs there that said like this could be
filmed, so maybe they could get away
with that. But do you think they're
going to put out a special on Disney
Plus where Tom Cruz and all these
athletes and
>> are dancing on the stage?
>> Yeah, there sort of private moments.
There were no phones or anything there.
I It would be so tacky to do that. I
talked to someone who was there who was
saying that was the most interesting
thing about the wedding is seeing all
these people like JLo and Tom Cruz and
all these people that have had handlers
around them for literally decades be
forced to socialize at a party with
other famous people without their teams
or their phones or anything.
>> Yeah, they must have loved it. They must
have loved it.
>> Or they don't know how to interact with
people. Someone said JLo was very
awkward. So, she's not making a movie
because I would watch the [ __ ] hell
out of that.
>> Oh, yeah. Everyone would watch. It's not
a matter of whether it would be popular.
It's a matter of whether they were are
willing to take a a a withdrawal from
the credibility bank to do that because
it's so tacky. Even if they made a
donation of the money they got to a
charity, it's still pretty tacky. Like,
no. Think has any celebrity done that
since Kim Kardashian?
>> Feels very Elizabeth Taylor. I bet they
I don't know. Kim Kardashian did it with
Chris Humphre and it was a big E
special,
>> but
>> I don't know. I I I
>> She might not.
>> Maybe I have more faith in Taylor than
you do. I still I just think it's be so
tacky that they won't do it.
>> Yeah. Okay. All right. I'm asking you.
That's why I want to know. I'm just
telling you. I'd watch the hell out of
it and I wouldn't consider it tacky.
>> And all the people who went there just
the level of people would find it to be,
I think, a bit of a betrayal. Although
at the same time they all managed to get
pictures themselves like here I am going
to the thing.
>> A lot of them did but a lot of them
didn't. A lot of the executives didn't
and you know [clears throat] it's the
people who already have big
>> followings on social media who leveraged
it.
>> She'll she'll she'll release a few short
videos and tasteful
>> that I agree with. The question is will
she do it with the brand or will she do
it on her own channels?
>> On her own.
>> She's bigger than any media property.
Everyone's like oh give the photos to
Vogue. Why the hell does she need Vogue?
Hey, does she need Vogue? She could do
it. She
>> does media stuff when it builds the
brand. She did the time person of the
year. She She will do stuff with media
when it suits her. But for this one,
just put it on your socials.
>> Put it on your social. She doesn't need
anybody. She doesn't She'll make a big
album out of it in a news tour and
that'll be that.
>> I know people are already joking about
the what the divorce album's going to
be.
>> Oh, stop it. It's [laughter] not
happening. That's you know, although the
guy who did Jack Antinoff is getting a
divorce from Marquali. Um They're
separated. Cara, let's not jump to
conclusions.
>> All right. I I'll try not to, but that
No one saw that coming. Anyway, uh
[laughter] this one I think is for life.
I do I have to believe in them. I I
really don't even like straight people
that much. So, but I I believe in this
wedding. I don't know why.
>> I I I am a Taylor Swift fan and I enjoy
Travis Kelce as a football player and a
media personality.
>> I hope this works out.
>> Nothing but the I do. I believe in them.
I hate I mean honestly
>> even if it doesn't work out I hope it
gives the world a Taylor Swift baby.
>> I feel like it's going to I have a
feeling it's going to I don't know.
Anyway, we want to I know I'm stupid. We
want to hear from you. Send us your
questions about business tech or
whatever's on your mind. Go to
nymag.com/pivot.
Submit a question for the show or call
8551
pivot. Okay, that's the show. Thanks for
listening to Pivot and be sure to like
and subscribe to our YouTube channel.
We'll be back next week. Uh Matt, thank
you so much. I really enjoy talking to
you. You're really such a pleasure.
>> I appreciate you having me on. I am very
much looking forward to learning where
Scott is right now
>> and tell people where what everyone they
can watch and read you obviously. I
would subscribe. I I don't like everyone
at Puck as you know, but I love you. I
love Eric. I love Cohen. You know, so
many things. [clears throat]
>> You can subscribe to Puck at puck.news
and you can listen to the town uh on all
the platforms, YouTube, Spotify.
>> Terrific. You do a terrific job. You do
a terrific job at it and it's a really
great podcast. Anyway, I really
appreciate it. Thank you for being here.
And Scott will be back next week for
wherever he is.
[music]
Ask follow-up questions or revisit key timestamps.
The discussion covers several key topics in media and tech. Matt Belloni critiques Cannes Lion as a "soulless corporate boondoggle" focused on advertising rather than creativity. The hosts delve into the antitrust lawsuit challenging Paramount's acquisition of Warner Brothers, highlighting concerns about job losses and political pressure, particularly around the potential sale of CNN. Disney's new CEO, Josh D'Amaro, is praised for his aggressive stance against the FCC's scrutiny of "The View's" news status, a move seen as politically motivated. Netflix's strategy to combat slowing engagement includes venturing into short-form content due to "YouTube envy," with a prediction of a future free tier. The hosts express concerns about Meta's AI image generator, Muse, which automatically uses public Instagram photos without clear consent, calling it "information theft." Amazon faced criticism for dropping the Sam Altman movie "The Artificial" due to its OpenAI partnership, viewed as a "credibility hit" in Hollywood. Finally, they discuss the anticipated success of Christopher Nolan's "The Odyssey" and the return of younger audiences to cinemas, while predicting Madonna's new album will receive a Grammy nomination and Taylor Swift will likely not release a movie about her wedding, deeming it too "tacky."
Videos recently processed by our community