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Tim Cook's successor inherits Apple's biggest challenge

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Tim Cook's successor inherits Apple's biggest challenge

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248 segments

0:00

You know, we really set this bar for the

0:02

transition to be the best ever. We want

0:04

it to be a textbook example and that is

0:07

exactly how it's going. I feel so great

0:09

about how it's going. John is ready to

0:12

be the first-class CEO for a first-class

0:15

company. And uh I I'm so excited about

0:18

it.

0:19

>> And

0:20

I yeah, I'm so incredibly excited,

0:22

right? It's just such an incredible

0:24

opportunity and I'm so lucky to have Tim

0:26

as a mentor and it's uh yeah, it's

0:28

really great.

0:29

>> All right, Josh, what do you make of

0:30

Yeah, and what do you what do you think

0:30

the big questions investors want

0:33

answered as Tim Cook now hands over the

0:35

reins?

0:35

>> Uh going into the the big chair uh

0:39

chairman role. I almost said big chair

0:41

in the sky. He's He's just leaving the

0:43

CEO role. That's wild. Um anyway, we

0:46

return to phrase. Um I I think the big

0:48

questions for him are going to be How do

0:50

you kind of goose iPhone sales further?

0:53

Obviously, what comes next, right?

0:55

That's been the biggest question I think

0:56

for everyone. Uh it's kind of the the

0:59

big criticism against Cook is that there

1:01

wasn't a, you know, new product uh that

1:04

blew people away. Although, I mean,

1:05

services is the second largest business,

1:07

right? The AirPods are I mean, at first

1:09

they were laughed at, now they're I

1:11

mean, you can't walk around without

1:12

people having them. Everybody's got

1:14

wireless headphones unless, you know,

1:15

you're going back to the wired ones,

1:17

whatever. Um and the the Apple Watch

1:20

continues to do well. So,

1:21

>> And the iPhone franchise is looking at

1:23

the

1:23

>> it's they just did great uh uh

1:25

sales in China. We're obviously want to

1:27

see what where that goes there. But,

1:30

Turnus, I think is going to have to

1:31

answer the question of what does Apple

1:33

have next up on deck? And I think, you

1:35

know, the glasses are something that

1:36

have been rumored. Mark Gurman over at

1:38

Bloomberg talked about it. Uh you know,

1:40

but we've seen and we've seen Meta sell

1:43

millions of units, but we've also seen

1:45

some pushback against them recently with

1:48

regards to privacy. That's always been

1:49

kind of an issue. We have to see where

1:51

that goes.

1:52

>> even

1:53

uh is there some new device, like a new

1:55

form factor, something with Apple that,

1:57

you know, Dan and Josh aren't something

1:59

that Dan and Josh aren't staring into a

2:00

screen.

2:01

>> Yeah, I mean, I I do see, you know, the

2:04

there's a lot of companies kind of

2:05

messing with the idea of of different

2:06

piece of jewelry, smart rings, don't you

2:08

know, Oura's got that, Samsung's got

2:10

that.

2:11

>> Pendants, I'm hearing talk of

2:12

>> there's there's a lot of talk about

2:13

pendants. I don't know if that's ever

2:15

going to be anything more than a niche

2:17

uh

2:17

piece of, you know, equipment. I I just

2:20

feel as though, you know,

2:22

it just feels bizarre, right? I mean, if

2:24

if I want to interact with something

2:26

>> you know?

2:26

>> not a pendant guy. I would not take one.

2:27

No, if I mean, it's just I I have a

2:31

nearly 7-in screen that I can look at

2:33

YouTube or or YahooFinance.com on.

2:35

>> Mhm.

2:36

>> Uh or a pendant that I can't even

2:38

interact with. Well, look, like, you

2:39

know, I'm all for not being glued to

2:41

your phone all the time, says the guy

2:43

that's glued to his phone all the time,

2:44

but I I need a little something more

2:46

than just a pendant. So, I don't know if

2:47

Apple goes in that direction. I think,

2:49

you know, it could be the glasses, it

2:50

could be a smart ring kind of makes

2:52

sense because, you know, when they

2:54

marketed the Apple Watch, they marketed

2:55

it as piece of jewelry,

2:57

then they kind of switched up and said,

2:58

"Okay, actually health." You could see a

3:01

ring kind of going in that direction.

3:02

Some people don't like the idea of

3:04

having the watch screen with them all

3:05

the time, so, you know, that can be a

3:07

place where they go. Again, the glasses,

3:09

it's it's hit or miss for me. It's, you

3:10

know, it's interesting when you try

3:12

them, but then it's, you know, I mean, I

3:14

take my glasses off to go on air, right?

3:16

I don't want to wear these. I do it

3:18

because the greatest use case of them is

3:20

that I can see. I don't think you're

3:21

going to improve on that by having a

3:23

robot tell me what song I'm listening

3:24

to.

3:25

>> I mean, if they're able to get it as

3:26

good as Samsung's,

3:28

that would be really impressive,

3:29

especially for a first-generation

3:31

product since it's been working on this

3:32

for this what it's eight eight

3:33

generation, and they've knocked it out

3:36

of the park now. Um

3:37

as far as Apple goes,

3:39

I do think people will be interested in

3:40

it

3:41

more so than the Air, but that price tag

3:44

is going to be, you know,

3:46

pretty pretty hefty.

3:48

>> That's safe

3:48

>> But, I mean, look, that's what, you

3:49

know, Samsung's dealing with that as

3:50

well, and they're still seeing good

3:52

sales out of their foldables, and it's a

3:54

higher selling price, so then you you

3:56

lose your ASP.

3:56

>> nuts, except then I'm going to see it,

3:58

and I'm going to read your review, and

4:00

what if you tell me this is this is

4:01

actually pretty impressive, I'm going to

4:03

be I'm going to end up pulling the

4:04

trigger. And that's that's how these

4:05

things that's how it plays out. Apple

4:07

tops a $5 trillion market cap. What

4:09

changed here? Why why is Apple now a

4:12

a fan favorite for investors?

4:14

>> Uh I think it's kind of a seesaw between

4:15

what we saw previously with Apple

4:18

uh and uh what we're seeing now with

4:20

regards to AI. That's not that Apple's

4:23

AI is blowing anyone away. It's not, you

4:25

know, it's not here yet. I've, you know,

4:28

been able to see what the the new AI is

4:30

going to be like, the the improved Siri,

4:32

and it's it's better than what was

4:34

around, for sure. Uh but I don't

4:36

necessarily think people are diving into

4:37

Apple because uh of AI. I think they're

4:39

diving in because of its lack of AI

4:41

exposure, where, you know, these other

4:43

companies, the Googles, the Metas, uh

4:45

the Microsofts, they're all, you know,

4:47

Amazons, they're pouring billions into

4:49

this. Right, Amazon's supposed to spend

4:50

200 billion uh well, Google was what,

4:54

raised their capex to the top end to 195

4:57

uh billion, so, you know, close enough

4:59

to two 200 billion. And so, you know,

5:02

Apple doesn't have to worry about that,

5:04

so investors can kind of see that and

5:05

say, "Okay,

5:06

well, we could kind of take that out of

5:09

the cards.

5:10

We're nervous about the the ROI for

5:12

this. Maybe we'll just hang out with

5:14

Apple for a while."

5:15

>> you think yeah, it's it's like folks are

5:17

basically saying, "Okay, Apple's

5:18

relatively restrained AI spending." Now

5:21

it's seen as a strength to some folks,

5:23

not a weakness.

5:24

>> Not not a weakness, although they did

5:26

say that they're going to

5:28

draw down some of their

5:29

cash on hand as they invest more into

5:33

AI, and you know, try to build that

5:35

ecosystem out a little bit more. I think

5:38

it's also though, you know, while it's

5:40

it's insulated largely from the AI kind

5:43

of swings,

5:45

it isn't fully insulated from AI in that

5:48

it's had to raise prices on the Mac and

5:50

iPad. And, you know, the I think the

5:53

bigger uh question is then, okay, so

5:55

what does that mean for the iPhone going

5:57

forward with, you know, the the 18

5:59

likely coming in September. And so, you

6:02

know, some of the analysts out there uh

6:04

are basically saying, "Look, uh this

6:06

could be a problem for them." Uh let's

6:08

see, who was it? Uh

6:10

Brandon Nispel uh at KeyBanc basically

6:12

said that

6:13

>> Not a fan is the call.

6:14

>> a fan. Not a fan. Saying basically that,

6:16

you know, if the prices go up, that

6:18

means that there'll be fewer people who

6:20

want to upgrade, that means fewer people

6:21

that will stick around for services. And

6:24

so, that could impact services growth in

6:25

the long run. But other others say,

6:27

"Look, it's going to hurt gross margins

6:30

uh at at at a certain point either in

6:33

the uh

6:33

uh

6:34

let's see, who was it here? Uh Edison

6:36

Lee over at Jefferies, he had said, you

6:38

know, the the gross margin impact would

6:40

come a quarter after uh Apple has to

6:43

kind of eat uh higher memory prices. And

6:46

so, you know, we we don't know the full

6:49

effect of that just yet. Um you know,

6:51

Apple was also able to control kind of

6:53

the memory market for years just because

6:57

they were able to dictate pricing. You

6:59

know, it there wasn't this huge amount

7:01

of demand. And now there is, and now

7:03

Apple's kind of playing the defense, and

7:04

maybe the memory makers are saying,

7:06

"Well, you know, you squeezed us, so

7:08

maybe we'll give you a little squeeze

7:09

back." But, you know, I I do think it'll

7:11

be interesting to see. I also think on

7:13

the idea of the slowing uh growth, you

7:17

know, you add $100 here, you add $100

7:19

there, but if you're paying it in

7:21

increments, you're paying it in chunks,

7:23

like, you know, a lot of people do,

7:24

you're not going to see that huge of a

7:26

jump in your monthly bill. Now, if it

7:28

was, you know, $20 a month extra, then

7:30

sure, people might balk at that because

7:32

we're already subscribed to everything

7:33

else under the sun. So, that could be an

7:36

issue, but I I don't necessarily know if

7:38

it will be kind of a devastating hit to

7:40

Apple if they do end up having to raise

7:42

prices.

Interactive Summary

The video discusses Apple's transition in leadership, with experts analyzing what the next major product innovation might be, such as smart rings or glasses. It also explores investor sentiment toward Apple's relatively cautious approach to AI spending compared to tech rivals and the potential impact of rising memory costs on future product pricing and consumer demand.

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