Mad Money 07/24/26 | Audio Only
1351 segments
My mission is simple, to make you money.
I'm here to level the playing field for
all investors. There's always a bull
market somewhere, and I promise to help
you find it. Mad Money [music] starts
now.
Hey, I'm Kramer. Welcome to Mad Money.
Welcome to Craig
Friends. I'm just trying to make you a
little money. Now, my job is not just to
entertain, but to teach you. And that's
what we're doing tonight. So call me at
1800743 CNBC or tweet me at Jim Kramer.
Yes, tonight I'm letting you in on
something big. The method to my madness.
I believe that you can do everything I
do at home if you're willing to put in
the time and effort. Investing,
specifically investing in individual
stocks, but running your own portfolio
rather than dumping your money in some
buy and forget index fund is something I
am confident all of you can do by
yourselves. I always emphasize the
homework and I help you do the homework
for my charitable trust stocks if you
join the CBC investing club. In the old
days, my rule was that you need one hour
per week per stock. These days though,
the research is so readily available
online that I'm willing to count and
it's less than an hour a week for a
portfolio of five stocks. Say a few
hours if you own 10 stocks, unless you
belong to the club itself, and you'll
have a much easier time and cut down how
much more homework you have to do
because we do it with you. Investing is
more in more than just 10 stocks. H then
I get worried because that can be
difficult unless you're managing money
full-time. Of course, if you don't have
the time or the inclination to pick
stocks, then you are better off parking
your money in a lowcost index fund that
mirrors the S&P 500. And I like those.
They're good. I'm in some. But if you're
willing to put in the work, regular
people can trounce the averages as long
as you're disciplined and you follow the
rules. Rules we constantly highlight as
part of the CNBC Investing Club. How do
you start? Well, that's what we're
talking about tonight. Like I said, the
show is all about the method or methods
to break from strictly quoting the bard
to my madness. How do I pick stocks?
What gets on the show? How do I tell you
some stocks are worth buying in a dip
and some aren't? Those are the questions
that people constantly ask me. Tonight,
you're going to get a piece of the
answers. The truth is that I've got far
too many methods, far too many ways of
picking out great stocks to ever cover
all in one show. But I want to give you
some of the tools of my trade enough so
that you can start to pick stocks like
me on your own. Remember, I want you to
be a manager, a great manager of your
own money. Uh because you can focus on a
smaller number of names while I have to
follow practically everything for the
lightning round. At the end of the day,
this show is about educating you, giving
you the ultimate insiders perspective on
how the market works and how it can help
you try to make money. I'm not here just
to dole out stock picks like the
proverbial fish you give a man if you're
too lazy to teach him to shop for fish
at Whole Foods. What I'd really like to
do is empower you. And that starts with
me teaching you all the many tricks I
use to pick out great stocks and invest
in them like a pro. Methods that have
served me well for more than four
decades and that allowed me to generate
a 24% annual return after fees for 14
years my old hedge fund. Not bad, three
times better than the market. These
skills are what refresh this show and
guide me as I managed my own travel
trust. Now, a learning exercise that you
can follow, of course, by joining the
club. Now, let's get rolling. One of the
easiest ways to identify potential
Kramer names, the stocks that could
possibly uh I should possibly own but uh
not necessarily end up on the show is by
watching a list that comes out every
day. It's called the new high list.
Stocks in that illustrious list, the
highest of the high obviously has
something going for them. And that's
especially true when the market's in bad
shape as only the best of the best can
hit new highs when the averages are
falling apart. So what does it tell you
when a stocks on the new high list?
either that it's part of a broader bull
market because its sector is on fire or
the company itself has some serious
earnings or sales momentum. No matter
how they get there, many stocks in the
new high list often keep going higher
because it's a kind of [clears throat] a
list of A students that are worth
betting on. They tend to keep getting
straight A's on every quarter just like
the real smart kids in school in a great
bull market. We see this over and over
and over again. The same stocks would
hit new high after new high after new
high. and following them was a terrific
way to make money, even as the bears
claimed endlessly that the bull market
was false and couldn't be trusted.
Listening to the bears has caused you to
miss out on some of the greatest rallies
in history. Of course, I'm not saying
you can just chase any stock that's
hitting new highs because they'll keep
going higher. That would be the ultimate
and foolishness, true bozo, the clown
behavior. I am saying that if you want
to identify potential winners unless
there's been a stunning sea change in
the market caused by changing interest
rates possibly the political environment
then a good place to start a wonderful
place to start is the new highless
emphasis on start see that that's the
thing about the market it's not always
that that hard to play once you
understand that there's often more
continuity than change things pretty
much keep going the way they were going
until something major shifts and then
you have to order your course those
courses of Of course, changes, they can
be pretty radical, though, and that's
why you always have to be re-evaluating
your ideas. And you should never dig in
your heels when the facts change.
Something I emphasize over and over
again when I send out these investing
club bullets. Now, I rarely recommend
buying stocks straight off the new high
list unless there's some special
circumstances. Circumstances I'm going
to talk about later tonight. What I like
to do when I'm hunting for stocks and
what you should do is wait for something
to pull back from the new high list
because that is the best place to start
by
>> when you're buying. New high list is not
a shopping list. It's an inspiration
list. You keep an eye on those names
then wait for them to come down so that
you can pull the trigger.
the pullback ideally 5 to 8% 5 to 8%
gives you a good lower price entry point
in a stock that likely has a lot of
positives going for it that maybe it's
been pulled down by an overall move in
the stock market that's been the optimal
level I found less than 5% you're
probably too early more than 8% and it's
more likely that something's gone wrong
very wrong maybe even with the
underlying company pouring over the new
high list is a fabulous way to identify
potential and I stress that where
potential stocks to buy you only buy
stocks that have pulled back from the
new high list if you're confident
they'll make a comeback for substantive
reasons unrelated to the broader market.
Okay? Unrelated to the broader market,
but related to your stock. You need to
do all the same homework you ordinarily
do before buying a stock. You absolutely
must have conviction. Even if it's a
cynical conviction, stocks going higher,
that it deserves to go higher. And the
biggest caveat of all, when you're
shopping for stocks that have pulled
back from their highs, make sure they
haven't pulled back for a good reason.
The selloff needs to be extraneous to
their business. Don't go buying a home
builder that's down because interest
rates flew up because that could
genuinely hurt the numbers. But if a big
pharma stock gets hurt by higher rates,
there's nothing to do with their
earnings. So maybe it's worth buying. Be
certain you're dealing with a
momentarily damaged stock and not a
troubled company that's going down,
down, down. How can you tell the
difference between a damaged company,
damaged stock? The fundamentals haven't
changed. The stock probably hasn't
fallen from grace. It's pulled back for
mechanical reasons, profit taking or
some panic in the market in general.
Now more [screaming] than ever, stocks
are traded like commodities by ultra
leverage funded head ultra levered hedge
funds frequently causing huge sell-offs
that make no sense whatsoever. So you'll
see highquality stocks pull back off
their highs for unrelated reasons to
their core business. But if the
fundamental picture changes, if whatever
made that stock attractive as it climbed
its way up to the new high list goes
away, then that stock is no longer a
candidate for your portfolio. The story
has to be intact or this method won't
work. Here's the bottom line. That's the
first method to pay mandis. Watch for
stocks that have pulled back from a
pre-selected list. The new high list,
especially because a broad market
selloff is sometimes a great
opportunity. Some of my best picks for
the club have come out of the process
and hopefully some of yours can too.
Let's take some calls. Let's go to
Andrew in Georgia. Andrew,
>> hey Mr. Kramer, how you doing today?
>> Ah, good day. How about you, Andrew?
>> I'm doing well. Thank you for asking.
So, I'm a fairly fairly new investor.
I've only been investing for about three
years. Um, one, I just want to say I
appreciate everything you do for the for
the uh, you know, the new guys who don't
really know what they're doing.
>> Thank you. Thank you, Andrew. That's
terrific. How can I help you?
>> My question is about earnings and IPOs.
I want to know after earnings
announcements, how long typically wait
like when you know you say smoke clear
and when it come
um, you know, the IPO is the same thing.
And with uh like percentage like what do
you look for when it comes
up down
you know?
>> Okay.
>> How long to wait after an IPO?
>> Um okay. So you know I find that after
an IPO you really have to be very
careful because what you've got are a
lot of analysts who kind of want to say
positive things and they tend to lose
their critical faculties. My advice is
very clear that when you get a stock
that's down substantially from where it
opened, that's how you look at it.
Because a lot of times the opening is
controlled by people who are just way
too enthusiastic. A company with actual
earnings and a good balance sheet that
trades at a premium to the stock market
but has a premium growth rate. That
might be okay, but otherwise, no thank
you. I'll find better stocks. How about
Drena in West Virginia? Drena,
>> well, good evening.
>> Good evening. Thank you first of all for
everything that you do. I think you're a
national treasure. I have learned so
much from listening to your show.
>> You're very thank when you want to
generate cash, how do you decide what
stocks to sell?
>> Okay, we talk about this a lot in the
club and I tend to rate my stocks one to
four about following their fundamentals.
Always willing to to sell a four or even
a three on any lift. What I try to look
at is I look at like paintings. I'm like
cading a collection. I don't want to buy
a new painting without selling an old
painting. I don't want to have a museum.
And what I look for are companies that
reported a bad quarter, okay, that was
disappointing to me, that have a little
bit of lift that I can start lightening
up from because I don't want to sell a
company that just reported good quarter.
I'm looking for companies that
disappoint. They're already always
there. And you have to have the
discipline to sell, sell, sell.
>> As hard as it might be. Timothy in New
York. Timothy.
>> Yeah. Hi, Mr. Kramer. Thanks for taking
my question.
>> Sure.
>> I uh I want your opinion on quants. My
understanding of quants is that they
screen dozens of parameters on thousands
of stocks and use algorithms to rank
them in terms of valuation, growth,
momentum, profitability, revisions, and
so on. Outcomes are graded buy, hold, or
sell recommendation.
Some quant portfolios have a very good
except a repeatable performance. It
seems to me that at a bare minimum,
these are a valuable tool. On the other
end, why wouldn't an investor use them
exclusively?
>> H that's a great question. Look, I I
happen to I think that a lot of times
the quant go up and down, trade too
much, they recommend stocks and then the
the chart says no or the numbers say no.
I like to buy great companies with great
management that have good secular
tailwinds behind them and the quants
don't necessarily catch those but I do
think that everything whether it be
quants whether it be charts whether it
be everything that is from research I
like to include it all and if some
[music] quants have some great records
and they share us with what they share
us data that they're using I'm I'm a
buyer too okay so now you know the first
method in Kramer's mandis [music] watch
for stocks that are pulled back from
that pre-selected list of good companies
called the new high list, especially
because of [music] a broad market itself
and not because of something happened at
the company itself. Some of my best
picks have come out of this process.
Hopefully, some of yours can too. On man
tonight, I'm giving you an in-depth
[music] look at many more methods to my
madness. From watching shorts to trading
around key positions, [music]
if you want a better, more well-rounded
sense of how to curate your own stock
portfolio, [music] you do not want to
miss the rest of this show. So, stick
with Kramer.
[music]
Don't miss a second of MadMoney. Follow
Jim Kramer on X. [music] Have a
question? Tweet Kramer #madmentions.
Send Jim an email to madmoney@cnbc.com
or give us a call at 1800743CNBC.
Miss something? [music] Head to
madmoney.cnbc.com.
Welcome back to tonight's methods to
madness special where I'm revealing some
of my best tricks for buying and selling
stocks. Trying to give you the real sure
ones. You could call it truly timeless
investing wisdom for the ages. But I'm
too humble to say that if my audience
were older, I'd tell you to think of me
as the pen and teller of the stock
market with a physique that's a whole
lot more like teller than pen. I want to
pull back the curtain and show you how a
professional looks for stocks to buy and
knows what to sell. There's no magic
there. There's no hidden talent, just a
bunch of disciplines. Disciplines that
can help you try to make mad money if
you master them. You don't have to be a
genius. You don't even have to be all
that smart to be completely honest. You
just need to know what the heck you're
doing and put in some homework. And
that's where Kramer the sad but wise
clown comes in. Maybe less of a sad
clown these days and more like the fool
from King Leer. Something to think
about. Enough Shakespeare. Let's move on
to more important things like how to
find stocks that are great buys. Now,
earlier I was talking about picking up
off some stocks that have pulled back
from the new high list because you get a
cheaper entry point, something that's
already been a proven winner. I said you
rarely want to buy names right off the
new high list because you're paying too
much for them. You usually get a better
chance, better deal if you're patient
and wait for some a weakness, you know,
5 to 8%. Given how volatile the market
can be, even when things are going well,
there are very few occasions when buying
a stock right off the new high list can
be justified.
have some patience. But sometimes the
stock's so hot that you got to buy it
even whenever you can as soon as you can
because it's not heading lower anytime
soon. I've felt that and you've felt it.
You won't find these often, but when you
find them, you have to remember not to
buy all at once. You want to buy a 100
shares of a stock and you think it's got
so much mojo that it won't get a
pullback from the high. Hey, how about
this? Buy 25 shares. Worst that happens,
it goes higher still and you don't get
to buy more. So, you grab a quick profit
and find the next one. And believe me,
there is always another one coming down
the pike. Now, I got one exception where
it's okay to buy stock that's hitting a
new high. If you see insiders buying a
stock when it's already up a great deal,
that's a total green light. Don't laugh.
It does happen. It's rare, but it does
happen. In my experience, it's rare
still that this method of picking stocks
doesn't work out. I love it when I see
insider buying after decent run. That is
a terrific sign of the confidence that
the insiders have that the rally may be
just beginning or that there's a big
runway ahead and they sure think it's
going to be long lasting. FYI, insiders
can't flip a stock that they buy
immediately. They have to wait at least
6 months otherwise the government takes
away the gains. That's the law. So these
people are seeing positive things that
likely aren't going to disappear in 6
months time. Boy, do I like that.
Normally insider buying ranges from
meaningless to a small but on its own
insufficient reason to buy a stock.
Sometimes you'll catch insiders buying
their stock because they want to give
the impression of confidence, create an
illusion that they're doing better than
they really are. Insiders aren't stupid.
They know if they if they're seen buying
their own stock, even small mouse, and
the market will smile upon them. So,
occasionally they game the system.
That's fair, but it means we ignore most
insider buying that is not substantial
because it could be pure flim flam. Not
a word. That said, when you get truly
colossal insider buy, even if it's not
all at at at the high, but you're then
you might want to take another look at
the stock in question. When the insiders
buy a whole lot of shares, what a
powerful endorsement. Crucially, if the
volume of the insider buying that that
really does declare its sincerity, but
we're only focusing on one sort of
insider buying right now, the kind you
see in stocks that have been running and
aren't perceived as being historically
cheap or low dollar mplays. Those
sometimes can be down there for a
reason. See, there's nothing more
arrogant and yet telling than when an
insider backs up the truck for their own
stock when it's been rolling along at a
good clip. Think about it. What they're
saying is, "Yeah, we know we rock. Our
stock has been in fuego and we're so
darn confident it'll keep going higher
that we're going to buy shares right now
handover fast."
Arrogant, sure, but this it's rare, but
it is bankable hubris. Corporate
insiders aren't fools with some notable
exceptions occupy the may have money
wall of shame. Plus, if their stocks are
already on a tear, there's probably a
good chance the executives know what
they're doing. Of course, not everyone
deserves the benefit of the doubt in
this business. And after so many
investors got burned by the 2021 boom in
IPOs and spaxs.
I know that a lot of people assume most
CEOs and execs are really a bunch of
liars, frauds, crooks, mouth banks. But
look, that's the wrong lesson to draw
from the IPO implosion. Healthy
skepticism is one thing. A total
unwillingness to believe anything
positive is something else entirely. If
you're going to invest in the stock
market, you need to be willing to extend
some measure of trust to the people who
run the companies that you own shares
in. Otherwise, why bother? Just go buy
the index fund. What else could be going
on? Just burnside buying. Even when the
FTC and the Justice Department antitrust
division are hostile to mergers, you
still get some takeovers. Sometimes
executives will buy their own stock
because they hear footsteps of a
potential acquirer. They've been told by
bankers there's a lot of companies
interested in them without anything
specific. Maybe they've been contacted
by companies and they turn those
companies down. spurned over happen all
the time. And if executives expect that
they they may be next, well, it's a it's
a healthy and honest reason to buy
or maybe they realize that the business
is indeed worth more than they thought
and can be broken up by bringing out
some value. All different generations
have seen them. Altria, Tao, even
Dupont. We've seen tons of these
breakups over the years, and they
genuinely produce long-term gains
because Wall Street likes smaller, more
straightforward companies that are
easier to get your head around. Think of
think about it. Think about about
Carrier, about Otus, about the old
United Technologies. Maybe the
executives see the ability to create
value and they want it on themselves. Or
maybe the stocks run just a bit, but
they don't think the run is over because
they recognize how much better the
business will be once it's broken up.
For me, buying after a big rally can
certainly feel uh a little reckless and
even lazy. Most investors are smart
enough to wait for a pullback before
they pull the trigger.
But insider buying after decent run
tells me that one of the people who
knows the business best doesn't believe
there will be a pullback. And there's
nothing more bullish than that. Sure,
ideally you want to wait until the stock
sells off after the insiders have
bought, but that's the best of all
possible worlds. It doesn't happen all
that often. I've seen it happen in some
red hot tech stocks that cool off very
momentarily. And that's a terrific sign
to buy. Bottom line, one more method of
Kramer's madness. When you see insider
buying in a stock that has already had a
solid run, admittedly a rarity, you
might want to do some buying, too.
Everybody's back [music] after the
break.
Coming up, need another tool in your
belt to [music] help identify the right
time to buy a stock? Kramer's revealing
how short interest in a name could be
your telltale sign to buy it next.
Booya for the [music] Emperor of Crime
America.
>> Honorable James J. Kramer,
>> you got me jumping around my office
[music] right now.
>> Thank you so much for all you do for us.
>> I enjoy your show and I find it [music]
very entertaining and informative.
>> I watched your first ever episode of Mad
Money back in 2005, and I've been
watching every single episode ever
since. [music]
>> Don't miss Mad Money every night at 6
p.m. Eastern. Plus, join the CNBC
Investing Club and stick [music] with
Kramer around the clock.
>> [music]
>> You're in luck because you caught Kramer
on a good night. I'm not going home to
sip that cheap scotch on my dirty
Lenolium floor. And by the way, I
apologize to doers, which I once
suggested was Lenolium floor scotch of
choice. It's actually pretty good stuff,
especially that boutique 18-year-old.
Hey, any guys ever tried the 18-year-old
Jameson?
Sweet. All right, don't waste that one
on the dirty little floor either. Nope.
I'm in a great mood. A manic mood even,
which is me at my best because, well,
let's just say I'm pretty darn
productive and preent when I'm in high
gear. I'm so revved up that I'm
revealing many of my secrets, the
methods to my madness. Better than
giving me a stock pace. I'm giving you
some of the best ways I know to pick
stocks. I'm teaching you invest and
trade like Kramer, if not to be like me
because I have some emotional issues
that frankly you probably would prefer
not to emulate. Somewhat off track. So
far, I've given away two of my precious
secrets, two of the tools that I use in
my hedge fund, and still use my travel
trust, which of course you can follow by
joining the CBC Investing Club, where
unlike Lady Gaga, I play with an open
hand, not a poker face, allowing
subscribers to see all my trades before
they happen. What I'm teaching you
tonight are really what I call tells.
There are signals that a stock might be
worth owning, that it's worth your time
and effort to go through the often
boring process of reading through the
conference call transcripts and
quarterly filings to do the necessary
homework. There are thousands of stocks
out there and any method we can use to
narrow down the ones that might be
attractive to us is a method worth
having. I've talked about insider buying
near the high and while I don't usually
use insider buying is the only way to
determine whether or not a stock has got
it going. There's one other scenario
where insider buying makes for an
incredibly bullish tail. And that's when
a stock has a heavy short position.
Meaning a lot of people out there have
borrowed shares, sold those shares, and
are now waiting for those shares to go
lower before they buy back the stock.
return them to the bank they borrowed
them from and collect the difference
between the price they sold them at
first and the price they bought the
stock back later. You can think of
shorting as like regular investing only
in reverse. We try to buy low and sell
high, right? Is that what we do? Shorts
just turn that around. They try to sell
high and then buy low. When a stock has
a high short position, that means a lot
of smart people have serious conviction
that the stock's headed lower. In fact,
it takes more conviction to short a
stock than it does to go long. Because
when you're short, the potential
downside is infinite. When you're long,
a stock stops losing money when it hits
zero. Shorts lose money when stocks go
higher and there's no lid on it. Right?
The other thing about short sellers is
that if there's a lot of them and a
stock all of a sudden get some great
news, we get what's called a short
squeeze. And it sounds exactly like what
it is. In order to close out the
positions, the shorts have to buy. This
is called covering, short covering. When
a lot of shorts cover at the same time
in a panic, the stock will surge because
what you really have is a lot of people
desperate to buy the stock to cut down
their losses. A lot of demand. They have
to buy unless they want the performance
to be wiped out. This process is so
predictable that sometimes concerned
buyers will fment a short squeeze. Hey,
listen. That's what GameStop was all
about. That's what AMC was all about.
That's what the meme stocks were all
about. So, where does insider buying fit
in the shortselling equation? Okay,
let's say you have a stock with a high
short interest. Then some of the people
who run the company start buying shares
for themselves. Or maybe an outsider
takes a more than 10% stake in the
business and indicates it wants more.
It's almost like drawing a line in the
sand for the short saying, "Our stock
goes this low and no lower." This is an
explosive combination, people, and one
that often leads to a short squeeze that
sends the stocks much higher. Shorts are
smart. In fact, they often tend to be
smarter than regular longside investors,
but they usually don't know more about a
business than the insiders who run it.
If a lot of people are shorting a stock
and management starts buying it in
sizable amounts, you start doing your
homework right then, right down really.
See, usually it makes sense to side with
management. Then you can ride it higher
and higher in true Jackie Wilson style.
higher and not lifting me up as the
shorts panic and push shares higher in
their desperation to cover their
positions, cut their losses and move on.
Similar when a company with a heavily
shorted stock announces that you gun the
buyback bigger than any previous one.
That's another line in the sand
situation where management's
contradicting the shorts. Companies
often repurchase their own shares. And
and while not all buybacks are bullish,
some of them are just outright waste of
money, a substantial new buyback in the
face of the shorts is often a good
reason to take a closer look. Now, a
note of caution here. You need to be
very careful when dealing with a company
that's in the crosshairs of the short
sellers, especially when people are
nervous and the market's in bad shape.
Know the landscape. The shorts have the
ability to wreck a stock, even if the
fundamentals, the underlying business
are fantastic. These days, stock owners
no longer have the benefit of rules.
They used to slow down short selling and
make it harder to create bar rates. When
I got started in this business, it was
much harder to bet against stocks. But
the SEC gutted those rules under both
Democratic and Republican
administrations, all name of creating
more efficient markets without these
protections where you can't smash the
stock down. The shorts can easily
assassinate stocks. They smash them down
anytime something goes wrong. We see it
during the financial crisis back in
2008. Oh my god, that was so such a
horrible period. And we saw a smaller
version of that during the mini banking
crisis of 2023. For the shorts, it was
like shooting fish in a barrel. So many
regional banks traded like they're going
bankrupt. But other than a few near
wells like First Republic, they were
fine. Of course, in recent years, the
short sellers have found themselves
targeted by bull raids facilitated by
social media platforms. So they have to
be careful. But only when the meme stock
crowd goes after them in force, you
never know when that's going to surface.
These are highly unusual situations,
though. You can still find great
opportunities in stocks where the shorts
have overreached and the insiders are
buying. But before going into one of the
situations, I have to warn you that the
balance of power still favors the short
sellers. That means even if the short
sellers are wrong about a company's
prospects, they can still demolish its
stock, especially if they mount highly
visible campaigns against the stock. And
look, many times the shorts are right.
The stock deserves to be slaughtered.
Just don't underestimate the amount of
damage the shorts can do to the stock.
In the end, the best protection against
bare rates are stocks that pay good
solid dividends. Because when you short
a stock, you have to pay those dividends
to whoever you borrow the stock from.
That's a terrific deterrent. When you
see a stock with a big dividends being
attacked by shorts and the yields going
higher, that's often a terrific place to
be, especially when the insiders are
snapping up stock, too. So, let me give
you the bottom line here. Insider buying
plus heavy short interest can equal
raging bull buy as long as you avoid
situations where the shorts are
determined to crush the stock at any
cost. Now we're going to go to Vincent
in New York. Vincent,
>> hey Kramer, how are you?
>> I'm good. Vincent, how are you?
>> I'm well. What advice would you give a
26-year-old that's been day trading for
about two years and is um looking to,
you know, do better and go as far with
this as he can? All right, but let's
look. If you're day trading, that's a
full-time occupation. So, what you want
to do is put some money in the Vanguard
total return fund and put some money in
the Vanguard S&P 500 fund and just keep
putting money away every single month.
If you have some good day trades and
you've made a lot of money, put take off
some of that capital and put it in those
Vanguard accounts. That's the way I
would suggest do it because I want you
to have exposure to the broader market,
not just to the stocks you're trading.
[music]
All right. Look, in most cases, a stock
with insider buying and heavy short
interest equals buy. As long as you can
avoid situation [music] where the shorts
are determined to crush the stock that
you own, much more we had money ahead. I
still have some tools in my belt that I
want [music] to share with you,
including my method of trading around a
core position. So, stick around.
>> Hey Jim, your mission has been very
successful in our family.
>> I listen to your show multiple times a
week for investing knowledge.
>> I just want to say thanks. I love your
show. Oh, thanks for always looking up
for the little [music] guy.
>> A huge thank you for all you've done to
make me a better investor.
>> I got to call Kramer because I can't
make a move without this guy. I want to
make people better [music] investors. If
they make money, fantastic. Let's go to
work.
Regular viewers know that this show is
all about investing, owning stocks for
the long haul, not really short-term
trading, because it's much easier to be
a good investor than to be a good
trader, especially when you're doing it
part-time. However, knowing how to trade
makes you a better investor. And trading
around a core position is one of the
most basic and useful disciplines out
there, especially in markets that often
get hit by wild swings. And that's most
markets in recent years. So what does it
mean to trade around a core position?
Okay, let's go through it step by step.
First, you need a stock. Pick one that
you like, one that you got an opinion
about, one where you have a bias, a
stock you believe is headed higher over
the long term. What you're really
searching for here is a great company
with shares that might get tossed around
by market volatility, even as you
believe they'll ultimately go higher if
you're patient. Now, if you were just
investing, then you just set up a
position in the stock. buy in gradual
increments because we all know that
buying all at once is just pure
arrogance and uh that be it. By the way,
this whole process of buying in
increments is something that we're
constantly showing you how to do if you
belong to the CNBC investing club. We
also talk about trading around
positions. Take something like Nvidia.
That's a chipmaker with fantastic
long-term story because they make the
most powerful semiconductors on Earth
that'll be needed for cutting edge
applications like artificial
intelligence. I love Nvidia for the long
haul, but it's got an insanely volatile
stock. Now let's say you want to own a
100 shares of Nvidia over time. Then the
way to set position would be buy 25
shares four times over a period of weeks
or even months. And that's your core
position as an investor. But let's say
you want to trade something that's hard
to do but also cheaper than it's ever
been because home gamers can now fit in.
They can flit in and fit it out. No
stock commissions. Now I wouldn't
recommend pure trading something like
the Nvidia. My stance is own it, don't
trade it. But trading around a court
position, different story. So let's go
back. you own the 100 shares of Nvidia
and let's assume it's sitting at I don't
know how about $50 $500 for the purpose
of it it's 500 every time the stock
jumps another 5% you could sell 25
shares a quarter of your position you
shave a little off to bring in some
profits so once Nvidia hits 525 you own
75 shares you keep scaling out of the
same way on the way up but don't ever
sell the final 25 because that is your
core position then you wait until
something happens to knock the stock
back down and as long as nothing's
changed with the underlying thesis you
use that weakness to stock up more
Nvidia we've done this for the for the
trap trust it's going to happen pretty
often see since we're in a world where
stocks can get crushed by all kinds of
factors nothing to do with fundamentals
that's what happens now as the stock
comes down the original cost basis you
buy it back in increments since we
started with 100 shares let's keep using
increments of 25 to buy it back every 5%
decline you can go beyond 100 shares if
it comes down low enough too. Now, this
might appear to be small potatoes. Up
5%, sell 25 shares, down where you
started by 25 shares, and repeat the
process on the way back up. But over
time, your profits will add up, and
that's what trading around a core
position is all about. Now, a lot of
people think trading is incredibly
exciting, and it can be, but if you're
good at trading around a core position,
you should be pretty bored. All you're
really doing is watching the stock move
and then tra trimming or adding your
position accordingly. Contra to the
image of trading is something that's
reckless and irresponsible. Trading
around a court position is really the
height of prudent portfolio adjustment.
Boring by the way is good in this
business. Exciting. Save it for the
stadium. Obviously, you can scale these
numbers depending on how big your
position is. But the base idea is avoid
putting yourself in a spot where you
have too much on the table in case the
stock gets swatted down or too little on
the table to take advantage of any
upside that comes your way. Trading
around a core position is an important
basic strategy that everyone can use.
Even those of you who find the notion of
trading totally abhorent because it's
less trading and more just a supplement
to investing. So here's the bottom line.
Now you know the basics of how to trade
around a core position. Yet another
method to my madness. One that allows
you to generate lots of small gains that
I am telling you [music] will add up
over time. We have money is back after
the break.
Coming up, Kramer's revealed his tools
to the trade of buying a stock. But what
about selling them? Kramer's breaking
down how [music] to get out of a stock
at the right time when Mad Money
returns.
>> Booyah. Jimmy Kill, your wisdom and
teaching has been amazing.
>> You have a talent that is superior plus
educational. Yours stands out as being
one of the best. I can't help but say
thanks [music] for all the good years of
teachings.
>> You know why your show is top around the
world? It's because you do your homework
and that's why you make everybody money.
You do your homework.
[music]
[music]
I've got one more trick to teach you
tonight. One more method to my manners.
And this time I wanted to talk to you
about selling. How do you know when to
sell hot stock? You ask about that all
the time. How do you get out before the
party ends so that you're not one of the
last people around who gets stuck
cleaning up the mess? Now, this is a
question that needs to be answered
because there's a lot of money to be
made by owning hot stocks with lots of
momentum. But when you play the momentum
game, you need to know when it's time to
leave the table. There [snorts] are
always naysayers and eventually the
naysayers almost always proven right
because sooner or later virtually all
hot stocks implode. Remember to talk
about the hot stocks here. Remember
everything that roared in 2021 collapsed
in 2022. That's what I'm talking about.
But the collapse usually occurs later
rather than sooner. And all the negative
talking heads who kept you out of the
momentum stocks with a recklessness
disguised as prudence actually cost you
a great opportunity to make money.
People shy away from these stocks
because they don't know where they're
going going to stop. They don't know
where they're going to top out. It's
understandable. And I I'd be afraid to
buy them, too, if I didn't have a
discipline that let me know when to get
out. Lucky for you, I do have one and
you're about to learn it. First, when
I'm talking about hot stocks, I really
mean hot speculative stocks. Stocks of
companies, but with fairly low market
capitalizations. Usually, these stocks
begin with very little research coverage
from major Wall Street brokerage houses.
They often don't even have earnings.
They may not even have sales. Now, I
would never buy these for the travel
trust. We're not talking about that.
These names can go up for a very long
time. They can catch fire and stay on
fire for years when they have the wind
at their back. The key to figuring out
when interest has peaked and it's time
to sell is not from the stock. It's by
watching the analyst coverage. You have
to use your own judgment here. But a
good rule of thumb is that once one of
these hot stocks has at least a half
dozen analysts covering it, the run is
going to peter out because the stock in
question is becoming too wellknown. It's
the rare speculative winner that can
keep getting keep winning after it gets
big. You can find out how many guys are
on a stock by looking it up online. This
isn't hard to find information. This
formula has worked for me for as long as
I can remember. As far as I can tell, it
works because the number of analysts on
a stock is a good gauge of how much
awareness and interest there is in the
name. Hot stocks get tapped out when
there's nobody left to be attracted to
them to to go buy more. When all the
people would be interested in buying
have already bought, they come out of
nowhere attracting more and more
attention, more and more backers, and
eventually everyone who wants a piece of
this stock has a piece of it already.
When that happens, the run's over and
it's time to go home. Oh, and if the
meme stock guys get their hands on it,
take advantage of their enthusiasm to
ring the register. That's a great sign
that you want out because they can only
push a stock up so much before they run
out of firepower. Of course, there are
other situations where speculative
stocks go out of favor all at once,
regardless of how much attention they're
getting. In 2021, we had a huge run in
anything related to electric vehicles.
Think car makers, battery plays,
charging stations. Same goes for
enterprise software stocks. Now, a lot
of this was fueled by an easy money
environment with near zero interest
rates. There was a lot of liquidity
kicking around back then and it had to
go somewhere, which is why so many money
losing companies had red hot stocks. But
then the Federal Reserve declared war on
inflation back in November of 2021,
letting you know that the age of near
zero interest rates was come to an end.
At that point, we knew that the
speculative froth was about to be
drained out of the entire market because
that's what always occur when they
tighten rates. Now, I very quickly told
you we're in a new environment where
anything speculative was toast. And
instead, you wanted to own real
companies that make things or do stuff
out of profit. Now, I know it wasn't the
most elegant way to phrase it, but these
names held up much better than
speculative plays that got obliterated
in 2022, but putting aside the interest
rates issue, when the Fed's not
tightening and it's safe to speculate,
you need to watch how many analysts are
following these little speculative
stocks to know when the run's going to
end. Bottom line, once a red hot
speculative stock gets too much
attention, it means the rally is likely
on its last legs because there are only
so many people who are willing to buy
these things [music] and eventually the
bulls, they run out of firepower. Stick
with [music] cra.
[music]
I always say we [music] have some of the
smartest viewers in television. And I
love taking your questions, listening to
your pitches, and hearing what crime
Americans want to know about. So joining
me today just to do this is Jeff Marks,
portfolio director for CNBC Investing
Club. We're answering some of your
burning questions and your hashtag
MadMentions. Jeff does a great job
helping out with the trust, tossing
around ideas, doing some great analysis
for MadMoney viewers and members of the
trust. If you're not a member already, I
mean, what are you waiting for? So let's
start right now with Tim in Alabama. Uh,
and I think it's a really question. He
goes, "How do you decide whether to take
profit rather than keep a stock longer
to receive capital gains tax treatment?"
These are always hard issues because I
think that you have to worry about that
kind of thing with your accounting
professional because what I care about
is whether stock's going to go up or
down. And I believe that if a stock's
going to go down, you should take it off
the table even if you have a big game.
That's what matters to me. Of course,
you want to see qualified advice for
something like that. Uh but for the
charitable trust uh that uh you could
follow along with at home, we don't
really play the the tax game too much
because everything gets donated the
gains gets donated to charity uh at the
end of the year.
>> Yeah. I mean, look at I think it's I've
always felt from Real Money, my first
book about investing that never fear the
tax man, fear the losses. All right.
Next up, we're taking a question from
Russell, who asks, "I always try to
follow your uh advice to buy stocks in
portions rather than all at once." Very
good. Often these stocks never pull back
enough to buy more. I end up with small
positions in lots of different stocks
make it hard to manage. What would you
recommend? Okay, this is another one
where uh this is a discipline that I
came up with which says that it's a way
to figure out whether you missed the
move or not. Like if you come in and the
stock keeps going up, there's no doubt
about it that you are late. There's just
nothing you can do if you don't get it
all in. I've accepted that consequence.
If I'm late, then all I do is I have a
small gain. That's just the way I look
at it.
>> Yeah, it's a high quality problem to
have. Um if you can if you're able to
continue to do the homework, then you
can still hold them, especially if the
prospects are quite good. But yeah, it's
a it's a challenge because you don't
want to spread yourself too thin with a
whole different number of stocks. Uh but
look, if they're going higher, um you
know, yeah, it's a it's a it's a quality
issue that we deal with sometimes.
>> It's a discipline. I mean, you know,
what happens if you buy it all at once
and it goes down? I mean, that good
chance that that could happen. And we're
trying to avoid that. That's the real
worry. All right. Now, let's take a
question from Randy in Ohio asks, I know
that when bonds sell off, the rate goes
up. If bonds do sell off, what why would
it impact stocks? Okay, there are many
different ways you can answer this. One
is is that if interest rates go up for
something that is riskfree a bond uh
then that has greater appeal than a
dividend which may be equal because the
dividend well you know what that's only
part of the equation of what a stock
returns and if the stock goes down big
then you wipe out the whatever gain you
get from the dividend and then of course
there's long-term considerations as you
know about just about the value of a
bond versus stock further out
>> right it's competition for dollars like
you brought up uh but you mentioned, but
uh interest rates are also used uh to in
a in a discounted cash flow model where
uh investors they look at the cash flows
out, they estimate them, they discount
them back and when the interest rates
higher, they get discounted discounted
at a higher rate that lowers the present
value that lowers the value of stocks.
Uh but there's also uh things like
financing costs. If it's used uh if a if
a company relies on financing uh to uh
sell their their products, higher rates
might hurt their business as well. You
just have to just think stocks aren't as
competitive in many different ways than
bonds if rates go up. I mean, it's
really that's the way you have to look
at it. Even if you don't finally
actually understand discounted cash
flows, you kind of have to take it for
granted that that's what occurs. Next,
Lynn in Virginia wants to know, "If I
only have five shares or something
remaining, and you recommend taking some
profits, should I close out the position
or let it ride?"
These are just questions that are so
hard because you know five shares
reminds me of like the tail end of when
we have some win you know it's like a
tail end and what do you do and the five
shares is really so that if you if the
stock goes down you can buy more. Uh so
if the stock goes up and we recommend
sell I would just get rid of it. I
really would I would just say let's move
on and find something better. Uh because
there's always something better.
>> No it's it's absolutely a fair debate if
they are growing the dividend growing
profits. the outlooks are bright, maybe
you could sell one or two, but you also
don't want to fall into that trap uh
from the earlier question that we just
had about managing too many positions.
So, there's always cross disciplines
happening right now.
>> And that's one of the things that people
don't understand about investing
>> is that there is no right or wrong.
There's often two rights that compete
against each other. Now I have a
question from Kyle who asks, "Do you
have a similar approach to investing in
index funds as you do stocks where you
would wait until the oscillator is very
oversold or would you just dollar cost
average in index funds?" Now this is
very funny because this is where I've
got two disciplines. What I like to do
if I'm putting money in every month uh
if there's a month that's down more than
10%. I double and put like if like let's
say August is down 10%. I take July's
contribution uh is keep that August
contribution and then I take uh
September's contribution and I take the
September and August together and I just
feel like that's a good level. So you
might be let's say you have 112th 11
12th 112th 12th 12th 12th 12th 12th 12th
12th 12th 12th 1212th.
>> Well there you go. Well, I mean, look,
stocks generally should be more
attractive as the prices come in, right?
You wouldn't run from a a sale at a
department store, but on the other hand,
what I would say if it's index funds,
um, it's more about time in the market
than necessarily trying to time it
oversold, over bought. Um, you just want
to be invested in the
>> Absolutely. And I and I think that
that's a really important issue. We do
not, by my method, try to imply that
we're necessarily timing the market.
just trying to put a little more money
in at that one level, but certainly do
the rest because it's 1212. That's the
way you should do it. Well,
>> what can I say? Like I said, there's
always a bull market somewhere. I
promise I'd find it just for you right
here on Man Money. I'm Jim Kramer and
we're going to see you next time.
All opinions expressed by Jim Kramer on
this podcast are solely Kramer's
opinions and do not reflect the opinions
of CNBC or its parent company or
affiliates and may have been previously
disseminated by Kramer on television,
radio, internet, or another medium. You
should not treat any opinion expressed
by Kramer as a specific inducement to
make a particular investment or follow a
particular strategy, but only as an
expression of his opinion. Kramer's
opinions are based upon information he
considers reliable, but neither CNBC nor
its affiliates and or subsidiaries
warrant its completeness or accuracy,
and it should not be relied upon as
such. To view the full MadMoney
disclaimer, please visit
cnbc.com/madmoney
disclaimer.
Ask follow-up questions or revisit key timestamps.
In this special episode of Mad Money, Jim Kramer reveals his 'methods to the madness' by sharing key strategies for individual stock investing. He focuses on techniques such as tracking the 'new high list' to identify potential winners, waiting for pullbacks before entering positions, analyzing insider buying behavior, and utilizing short interest as a market signal. Additionally, Kramer explains how to trade around a core position for better risk management and offers advice on when to sell speculative stocks by monitoring analyst coverage.
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