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We're recapping last Friday's (July 24) mini market analysis.

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We're recapping last Friday's (July 24) mini market analysis.

Transcript

39 segments

0:00

Last week, the big news was that a

0:01

Chinese AI company, Moonshot, announced

0:05

the release of its new LLM model called

0:08

Kimi K3. [music]

0:09

Moonshot claimed that Kimi K3 is as good

0:11

as any LLM out there, but for a fraction

0:14

of the cost. Prior to last week, we were

0:17

worried about AI capital intensity and

0:19

the lack of moats. Now, the possibility

0:22

of a price war looms closer. Google

0:24

Cloud revenue reached 24.8 billion, up

0:27

an incredible [snorts]

0:28

82%. [music]

0:30

So so far, not bad. On the bad side,

0:32

however, because of the massive AI CapEx

0:35

spending, free cash flow turned [music]

0:38

negative. It was negative 5.9

0:42

billion. [music] Moreover, Google upped

0:44

its 2026 AI CapEx spend from 190 billion

0:48

to 205 [music] billion. That's a lot of

0:50

billion, and the market is beginning to

0:52

lose patience with all this crazy

0:54

spending. The takeaway from this week's

0:57

earnings results is that the terms of

0:59

debate on AI [music] have truly shifted.

1:02

A year ago, it was all rah-rah for AI.

1:05

When companies raised their CapEx

1:06

budgets,

1:07

>> [music]

1:07

>> the market cheered. As the AI story has

1:10

somewhat matured, the story has shifted.

1:12

It's not all positive. The business has

1:14

become capital intensive. Investors

1:17

question whether there are any moats.

1:19

China AI players have produced great

1:21

models that are much cheaper and might

1:23

create a price war. Everyone is nervous,

1:26

and [music] that nervousness was on full

1:28

display this week.

Interactive Summary

The video discusses the shifting sentiment in the AI industry, highlighting the introduction of Moonshot's cost-effective Kimi K3 model and concerns regarding massive capital expenditure by tech giants like Google.

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