Winning the AI Race Part 3: Jensen Huang, Lisa Su, James Litinsky, Chase Lochmiller
1890 segments
Guys, this is one of the most amazing
entrepreneurs that you're going to meet.
Jim Leinsky, this founder and CEO of MP
Materials.
Thanks. Good to be here. Jason,
>> how are you?
>> So, let me let me set this up. Um,
>> Jim was a hedge fund guy running a
pretty successful hedge fund. Uh, and he
ended up basically investing in
something called Molly Corp, which went
out of business.
>> Yep.
>> Yeah.
>> And you did this incredible thing, which
is you said, "You know what? screw this.
You essentially shuttered the fund, took
over the company, and fast forward many
years later, you are the uh largest and
only, I think, supplier and refiner of
rare earth materials and maker of
magnets inside the United States.
>> We're 100% of the American industry.
>> 100% of the American industry. You
>> just did two really incredible things
actually in the last couple weeks. One
was you announced an enormous public
private partnership with the DoD
$400 million etc. And then the second is
you uh announced a really big deal with
Apple.
>> Yes.
>> Okay. So take us take a huge step back.
>> Talk to us why rare earths matter. Tell
us about the supply chain for AI.
>> Tell us why you're doing this.
>> Rare earth magnets are really the feed
stock to physical AI. Um you know
robots, drones, everything we're talking
about today, the biggest industry in the
world to come. Um, essentially
electrified motion requires rare earth
magnets. Um, so you mentioned the
predecessor went bankrupt. Um, there
there was a feeling when I when I took
over this site with my co-founder and
this is this goes back to 2015. Uh,
there was
>> where where is the site?
>> This oh it's in Mountain Pass,
California. So if you you'll be familiar
if you take a 45minute drive from the
Las Vegas strip uh just over the border
in California uh is the site. You
actually can see it from the road. Uh,
and it's actually the really the best
rare earth or body in the world. Um, the
thing about rare earths is that when you
mine them, you also have to refine them.
And it's really expensive and difficult
to refine them. It's really a specialty
chemical process. And so it's really a
think of it as a multi-billion dollar
refinery uh that you need to have just
to separate them. And then once you
separate them, you need to turn them
into metal and then a magnet. And so
there's a multiple layers of this stream
to get this supply chain. And of course,
you could have all the rare earths in
the world, but if you don't make the
magnets, you're sending it to China. Or
you could have all of the magnetic
capability in the world, but if you
don't have the rare earths, you're
relying on China. And so our vision from
day one going back to we we originally
bought these assets out of bankruptcy
officially. It was a two-year battle,
took it out in 2017, and there was a
perception that we just couldn't compete
against China. And what we discovered
actually is we could. It's a world-class
site, but we had to we had to reorganize
the process flow and then we had to make
investments uh to move downstream. So
over the last eight years, we invested
about a billion dollars. Um Jim, as you
know, we took the company public in
2020. We built out the refining
capability. Uh and then uh about four
years ago, we announced we were going to
build a magnetics factory in Texas. We
built that factory. We have GM as a
foundational customer. We're now
producing autograde magnets uh G to GM
spec and we'll be ramping up uh sales to
GM at the end of this year in in
magnets. And then Chimath, you
referenced a couple it's been a busy few
months for us. Um we announced a a
pretty transformative public private
partnership with the Department of
Defense. DoD is um there's really three
pillars to this deal. uh DoD is becoming
our largest economic uh investor
um as well as they're going to provide
uh a price floor for our commodity so
that the Chinese sort of Chinese
mercantalism we can get into that uh
won't take the price of the commodity
below the cost of production and then as
a result of the DoD investment we're
going to accelerate the buildout of the
magnetic supply chain so we're expanding
our facility in Texas for Apple I'll
talk about that in a second but we're
then going to build a 10x facility to
10x our capacity with DoD as our 100%
offtake partner um uh customer and
business partner because we'll be we'll
be splitting profits 50/50 with D.
>> So to to just translate this, it's not a
handout from the government. They didn't
gift you $400 million. They invested in
your company. They have warrants. They
have equity.
>> Yeah. So they invested they they both
are an an owner. Uh they also are an
upside participant in our commodity to
the extent that the prices uh uh take
off. And then they're also 100% offtake
customer. We have a guaranteed level of
profits to want to build out this
facility, but above a certain threshold,
they're a 50/50 economic participant. So
there's really you, the taxpayer. Yeah.
So this is a and maybe I'll say
something wild here. This is a true
win-win. Obviously great for MP
shareholders. um great from a national
security and commercial national
security standpoint because we're going
to have enough magnets to provide you
know real certainty in the supply chain
for the physical AI revolution and and
other industries. Um but it would not
surprise me if when we 5 years from now
hopefully we'll do this conference and
Chimath you'll say to me Jim you know I
remember that deal that was the first of
its kind that you did with DoD and the
government made money on you u the
taxpayer made money on doing this and
I'll say yeah I actually think that
that's going to be the outcome um
because there's sort of an element of
mutually assured economic destruction if
the Chinese believe that America has
national champions do then there's no
point in subsidizing the rest of the
world. And so I think you can start to
see prices uh normalize for some of
these things and free up our ability to
invest and expand.
>> Why go to the government for this
investment as opposed to the private
markets?
>> Yeah. Well, because it's that issue that
this is sort of one of those, you know,
obviously you have to go back to World
War II or the railroad boom where you
really need government and credit. I
mean, this administration uh did
something, you know, totally unique that
Why do you need the government?
>> Merkantalism. Straight up mercantalism.
Because the Chinese will sell magnets
for below the cost of raw materials. And
so every time there's somebody who makes
progress, they can put them out of
business overnight. And so it's
difficult to want to make the
investment. And so frankly with the
Department of Defense, the scale that
they wanted us to build on the time
frame that they wanted us to build. We
there was no way we were going to make
that commitment. Um we're fiduciaries,
right? We have shareholders. There's no
way we're going to make that commitment
without certainty that we would not be
destroyed by mercantalism and that we
would have a customer for the magnets.
>> How big of an industry is physical AI?
Meaning,
>> we see the robots, we're told the robots
are coming, we we're told there's going
to be billions of them.
Are they actually being deployed at the
scale and at the pace that we that we've
been told?
>> Yeah. Well, I think that that is a
question for there's much smarter guests
on this. for the rest I'll give a plug
the rest of the day obviously you have
the you know the best of the best
providing that feed stock um I will say
that I think one of the big drivers of
our deal was the as we've seen um in
Ukraine and the Middle East the future
of warfare is physical AI right robots
and drones and I think irrespective of
the scale that robotics is ultimately
going to be and and certainly the
commercial business will be bigger than
than you know the the defense needs but
just from a defense standpoint this is
this is an a really important supply
chain that we must have, right? We
there's we can't be funding cutting edge
drone and robotics companies and then
say, "Okay, but we're going to buy those
magnets from China." That makes no
sense.
>> Do we have talent capacity or do we have
a talent shortage? Secretary Bergam gave
me a stat which was pretty shocking to
me that we only graduate 200 people a
year in the United States in mining,
which is orders of magnitude different
than China. What do we need to do to be
competitive to build the industry here?
It's a great It's a great question. I
think Jason, I think about this question
a lot because
>> what's that? Oh my god. Dave, sorry.
>> No, it's all good.
>> I'm a huge fan of the pod and I just
embarrassed myself all the time. It's
it's the only token whites
>> and you know I'm a fan of the pod since
day one and I'm totally embarrassed
myself.
>> That's only one correction messing with
you. Nor am I messing with you? Was this
intentional? Um, so
>> huge fan of the pod.
>> Yeah, huge fan of the pod. Who are you
again? I'll take a selfie later.
>> And I'm not the AIAR. Go ahead.
>> Um, so we have we have uh 850 employees
today at MP. We're we're going to hire
when we include what we're building out
for Apple uh coupled with what we're
going to build with DoD. We're going to
need a couple thousand more people
easily, not to mention the construction
jobs. So this is um this is a key
existential question for all of us as we
build out this is is where are we going
to get the talent? I think what we have
found um you know at Mountain Pass and
we we hire it all electricians um
maintenance you know operators is you
get people in you train them and then
obviously you give people a career and
so we we've been training a lot of
people and it's a little bit more
painstaking but there's there's
absolutely talent out there people are
hungry to do it. Why do you think it's
been so hard to establish that that idea
like meaning you find it straightforward
to find good hardworking people to get
into these jobs but the se the thought
is always that wow these jobs are not
desirable but they really are desirable
by many people.
>> Yeah, absolutely. I mean we you know our
median wage is now pushing $100,000 a
year. Um and there's you know relative
to some of the opportunity set I mean uh
these are great these are great jobs.
And what are the salaries?
>> What's that?
>> What's the starting salary? Just
curious.
>> So, it really depends on the job
function because you know there's
there's I mean I I think the easiest way
to think about it is you can you can
certainly as an operator make close to
$100,000 a year with us because by the
way um everybody's an owner. We have an
owner operator culture. Everyone got
stock when we went public in 2020.
>> But somebody coming out of high school
they can make 40 50 60k or more. Yeah.
Or it depends. Are you if we we can't
find enough electricians. We can't find
enough maintenance workers. A
maintenance worker can uh an electrician
they can make six figures today.
>> Tell us you said earlier that you
suspect 5 years from now we're going to
look back and this deal with the DoD was
a blueprint.
>> Yeah.
give us other areas of either physical
AI or software AI or other markets where
you think these public private
partnerships are really necessary to
embellish US supremacy.
>> Yeah. Um there are some major categories
obviously we've all heard about ship
building and advanced pharmaceutical
ingredients. I mean I think I think
those are important ones and then there
are a number of sort of niche areas like
industrial diamonds that are important
for quantum computing and some of these
things that you never would have thought
of um where there it's a vertical where
there might not be a market large enough
to to need five players but a a good
public private partnership can just
solve that problem and then there's some
other verticals in critical minerals
>> straightforward for you to find the
right person within the Trump
administration that said of course this
is obvious. Let's sit down and hash this
out like
>> Yeah. Well, and I I think that's you our
our particular deal was led by DoD and
so I have to say that the Pentagon
leadership is extraordinary. Um and uh
you know this was a mandate though
directly from the president to solve
this problem. And so again they deserve
a lot of credit for being you know bold
here. And and to be clear cuz I you know
this story is not out there. Our process
this was I've never worked so hard in my
life. I mean this was this was like a
true aggressive private equity style
investment and negotiation.
>> The transaction documents are public.
You can look at that.
>> So that's you saying that they're tough.
>> Yeah. They are this was this was as
tough as it gets. Tougher than you know
think of any you know blue chip private
equity or or uh distress lender type
negotiation. That's what this was. And
the key thing um was they were going to
hold our feet to the fire to execute on
an aggressive timeline. They were going
to hold our feet to the fire on the
cost. And so we're exposed if we get the
costs wrong. You know, we we're making
this investment. And and so the key
piece of this and which I think is a
good model for all of us and is actually
will be really effective is the goal I I
don't speak for them ask them but I
think their goal was we're going to take
the things off the table that you can't
control mercantalism you know certain
customer issues um we're going to be
held to account for the things that we
can control our ability to execute our
ability to um execute on a good timeline
and our ability to control costs. So
when we think about a lot of these
historically the government sort of
investing in a sector and quote picking
a winner usually there's sort of money
given to someone and it's sort of public
risk private upside right this is not
that this is private risk
public risk public upside private
upsideing it's a true shared win-winwin
and again like I said whole me to these
words I I hope uh I I I hope I'm right
on this, but I think the uh to the
credit to the Trump administration, I
think they will make money on this and
have solved the national security.
>> All right, we appreciate you coming,
Steve.
>> Yeah. Oh, thanks.
>> Thanks so much.
>> Thanks, brother.
>> Yeah, it's great.
>> All right. Take care, Steve.
>> Thanks, Jacob. I appreciate it. Yeah.
Okay.
>> Hi, Lisa.
>> Lisa, it's a pleasure.
>> Hi. Nice to meet you.
>> Hi. Hi. Hi. Hi. Hi.
>> Well, thanks so much for being here with
us today. Um, we don't have a lot of
time, so we want to get into it. In
April, it was announced that you
achieved your first silicon output at
the TSMC facility in Arizona on that
2nometer line. Um, this administration
and the private sector have talked a lot
about onshoring semiconductor
manufacturing. Would love your thoughts
of the on the ground experience in
Arizona? How's it going? What's not
going well? What does America need to do
to get this right?
>> Well, absolutely. First of all, it's a
pleasure to be here. Um, love the theme.
I think we're all super excited about
winning the US um, AI race. And I
thought if we're going to talk about
chips, David, I should actually bring
one.
>> Oh, awesome.
>> That's okay.
>> Little bit of showand tell. So, this is
our latest generation um AI chip. It's
our MI355 chip. 185 billion transistors.
Takes about 9 months to build. Lots of
technology on it. If I just
>> nimeter,
>> this is um 3 nanometer and uh 6
nanometer. So, lots of different uh
>> I'll be putting this on eBay later.
>> I'm going to take it with me when I'm
How is that?
>> Thank you. Uh but look to answer your
question I think look these AI chips are
extremely extremely complex. Um they
have uh so much technology on it. Uh
we're super excited about the progress
in US manufacturing. I would say you
know 12 months ago people weren't sure
that we could do leading edge
manufacturing um in the United States.
Uh we've been very early in Arizona with
TSMC and we did get our first uh chips
out. um they're actually 4 nanometer but
what we see from it is where there's a
will there's a way and I think all of
the uh conversation about onuring
manufacturing has been you know super
good for the semiconductor industry and
and you know frankly for you know all of
us in um semiconductors uh we're in such
an interesting place because you know
chips are so essential to ensuring that
we are able to win the AI race that um
you know we want to make sure that
there's a lot of geographic diversity
and capability there
>> but the reports out where that TSMC
couldn't get good qualified trained
employees. They had to bring folks over.
Is that accurate? And like again, like
if we're going to scale, like what's the
the order of magnitude we're going from
here? Is it 10x, 100x? And how are we
going to build a workforce to support
this industry, which is a completely new
industry for America?
>> And Lisa, you have permission to speak
freely.
>> Yeah.
>> The best way to say it is no matter when
you start something new, it it's going
to take work, right? It's it's going to
be hard. So sure in the beginning there
there were some issues of you know the
the you know TSMC has like a formula for
how they build and they just you know
rinse and repeat and they've learned how
to do that well in Taiwan. So they had
to learn how to do it well in the United
States. But I have to tell you, we've
been super impressed with the progress.
And you know, if we look at the the main
thing that we look at is, you know,
yields and just how many chips do we get
out on a given wafer? And I would say
it's equivalent between what we get in
Taiwan and what
>> about cost in Arizona because it's
unrealistic to think the United States
could compete on cost. Am I correct?
>> We're going to pay a little bit more.
>> Give us the ballpark. 50% more, 20%.
>> Not not 50% more. I mean look it it it
it's going to be you know more than 5%
but you know let's call it less than
20%.
>> So low low
>> low double let's say low double digits
>> and how does that impact the business if
at all uh in terms of competition
globally? Well, I think the important
thing is I mean just think about like
everybody wants a GPU, right? Like if
you look across the industry, you really
say, you know, the people who are going
to win in AI want to have as much
compute in their foundation as possible
and they want assurance of supply. We
want to be able to supply this no matter
what happens. And so if you put that in
context, you know, the fact that you're
not going for the the lowest cost, you
know, every minute of the day, um, is
okay. It's okay. Like obviously we're
not going to build um not everything
needs to be in the most advanced
technologies and so we have a very
geographically diverse supply chain. You
know I think Taiwan continues to be
important um in that view but the the
focus um from this administration on
getting uh onfirm manufacturing in a big
way not in a small way I think is is
very good for the country. How much time
do we have? If there was a disruption,
for whatever reason, we can come up with
hypotheticals in Taiwan and we were
unable to get chips from those
factories, what would that look like
globally?
>> Yeah, you have to look across um the
supply chain, but you know, from a
structure standpoint, we all want to
keep reserves for, you know, those those
times. Uh but it's months, it's not
years.
>> Lisa, there was uh two really
interesting posts over the last couple
of days. One was from Elon where he said
in 5 years he projected 50 million H100
equivalents just for XAI and the second
was Sam Alman they signed a deal for a
four I think gawatt data center 30
billion a year with Oracle that just
pretends an enormous amount of chips
that are necessary and power
and if you forecast that how do we
actually meet all of that what needs to
happen that's not happening today inside
of the United States to actually do that
Yeah, it's it's a great great point. I
mean, that's that's what we're seeing.
We're seeing this uh incredibly large
demand uh for AI and they're coming
from, you know, Sam and Elon are
certainly uh the you know, the the
leaders, a couple of the leaders. Uh
there's there's a lot of demand
elsewhere, too. I mean, if you think
about it, nations want their own AI. So,
there's uh very high demand. We're we're
imagining that just the accelerator
market, so the chips for these um you
know, AI large computing systems will be
like, you know, over $500 billion in a
couple of years. So very high growth.
And when you say, you know, what do we
need to do? Um it's the entire ecosystem
needs to scale up. So we need to scale
up um certainly what we're doing in in
chip design is trying to get chips out
as fast as possible. Uh but we're also
scaling up the entire manufacturing
ecosystem. And you know, as I said, I
don't I think the US is going to be a
huge piece of it. So, it's not just
about the silicon. There's all of the
various other pieces of the ecosystem
that have to come to the US. And and I
think look, I think today's um AI action
plan is actually a really, you know,
excellent blueprint.
>> And how do you see the market evolving
in these next five or six years? Is it
there's a standard set of chips for
training, a standard set for inference
or do you just see an explosion like a
Cambrian explosion of different AS6,
different designs, different use cases?
>> Yeah, I I I like that question because I
I am a believer in there will be
diversity of chips. Uh and the reason is
there's so many use cases, right? If you
think about use cases from, you know,
whether you're talking about science or
manufacturing or design or backend or,
you know, frankly personal AI, I think
we're going to see AI in everything that
we do. you know certainly in your phones
in your PCs and so you have all these
pieces you're going to have different
types of chips um that do that uh you
know certainly the for the largest
systems uh we tend to believe that uh
you know you need the most compute you
can get and so you know GPUs are there
but lots of AS6 are um in the in the
process and you know we'll see a variety
of different chips. You opened up a
really interesting line of questioning
there. When mainframes uh were so
expensive and then eventually wound up
having PCs that were more expensive on
their desktop, you alluded to AI being
run locally.
>> Yes.
>> When would we have a local computer, a
laptop, a desktop computer that would
have the power we're seeing to run some
of these LLM models in your mind? And do
you see that as a specific market to go
after? I look I definitely see the um
the idea that AI will be at every part
of our ecosystem um is a uh is a real
thing. I think that's one of the
advantages. If you think about the power
of AI um you want it everywhere and you
want it across all different
applications. And I think when you think
about PCs today, we're putting
significant amount of AI um in them to
run local models. And why would you want
that? It's like well maybe I don't want
all my personal data, you know, all over
the place. On on that point, can you
make a prediction on when the the market
for physical AI chips is greater than
the market for chips and data centers?
>> Uh that's a great question. I'm a big
believer in physical AI. I still think
it's let's call it five years.
>> You think five years? Is that that fast?
>> It's at least five years.
>> So you're saying five plus.
>> Five plus. Yes.
>> Okay.
>> But that but that is ultimately the
biggest end market. Do you think is it
phys you think physical AI becomes the
biggest end market? I think it becomes a
significant end market. Um I think you
look at chips in data centers and you
look at chips at the edge, they're also,
you know, significant markets.
>> When you look at the most cutting edge
techniques today,
EV lithography, all of this whole stuff
to make chips.
One of the things that's observable is
we're only as good as what humans have
been able to invent.
And I often ask the recursive question,
what happens when the AI is able to
invent its own method of manufacturing,
different materials, different material
sciences, different approaches that we
may not necessarily understand? Is any
of that R&D happening whether at AMD or
in other places? Like how are we trying
to get beyond the physical limits of
electrons shunting across a junction?
I I think this idea that the um AI can
be extremely smart and extremely capable
like we think about how AI can design
the future chips and it will design
pieces of it but there's still a a
creativity of bringing it all together
that I think humans are still absolutely
at the center of that. So I don't
necessarily see the AI designing our
next generation GPU,
>> right? Right. Uh but I do see it helping
us design the next generation GPU much
faster and more reliably. So
>> you talked about the need to like
reshore more parts of like the you know
ecosystem. Obviously you guys are
there's a world class chip design the
fabs are getting reshored but how do you
think about things like lithography like
does that need to be you know sort of
reshored or like does ASML need to start
building you know sort of machines in
the United States or is it okay to have
that type of you know supply chain risk
on an ally? Look, I think we're going to
we we have to accept the fact that it's
a global supply chain. Like even if you
were to reshore, you know, X number of
components, you would still have Y
components that are across the world. I
think it's important for us to have our
allies together. So that's a a key piece
of the conversation and ensuring that
you know we have access to the latest
generation technologies and uh you know
that that is you know something that we
protect given our intellectual property
>> and going going to first principles and
asking you the open-ended question what
should be done about American education.
I'm going to ask this a lot today.
Assume there's no college, high school,
nothing. You arrive in America, the
situation is what it is today. What do
you do? How do you build an education
system to prepare the next generation
for the evolving workforce?
>> Yeah, I'm probably a little bit biased
as maybe some of your uh guests are
today. Uh I'm a big believer in, you
know, science and technology background
as being, you know, sort of the STEM
background is, you know, so helpful when
we think about the future workforce. And
the earlier we can get into the um you
know sort of the process I think the
better. So some of the work that's being
done to kind of revitalize the uh
curriculum I think is is pretty
important in the um sort of the next
generation workforce. And one of the
things when I think about you know how
we win in AI like there there's so many
aspects of it but ensuring that you know
America is the best place for AI talent
is is also you know a key piece of that.
So kind of inspiring people when they're
young to uh really you know study you
know science.
>> Lisa when you um go to bed at night and
you think about the best case scenario
for this technology and this trajectory
we're on which is accelerating and
you're enabling. What could the world
look like in 10 years? We let's say it's
pretty obvious we're hitting artificial
general intelligence at this moment. I
think we'd all agree we're starting to
see that. But super intelligence can't
be far behind that. I assume you agree
with that. um assume we hit that super
intelligence what will the world look
like in 10 years in the most optimistic
scenario if we do this right
>> well I think the exciting part about it
and you know I can say this ex very
sincerely I mean this is the most um
transformational technology sort of in
our lifetimes I mean that's the way we
should think about
>> orders of magnitude
>> orders of magnitude and the reason is
it's not just going after one aspect
right you can actually take AI and make
science better you can take AI and make
medicine better. You could take AI and
make manufacturing better. You can take
AI and make every aspect of your
business better. And so, you know, in my
mind, 10 years from now, we'd like to
believe that we are um, you know, really
leveraging it to solve some of the
world's most important problems. I I
like to say like, you know, AMDers get
up in the morning and they say, you
know, how can I use technology to solve
some of the most important challenges um
in the world? And, you know, AI is
really our mechanism for doing that. I
have a business strategy question. If we
went back 20 years and we wrote the tale
of three companies, Nvidia, AMD, Intel,
and then you fast forwarded 20 years,
two have just absolutely thrived
and one has not. And if you had made the
bet back then, it would have been very
inconclusive that you would have picked
Nvidia and AMD. And if anything, there
was a an amount of inherent belief that
Intel had just figured it all out.
Can you just tell us sort of like the
lessons learned of why you've thrived
and maybe what you take away from their
journey that you make sure AMD doesn't
play out
>> well you know as a CEO we have to be
paranoid every single day right so we
don't rely on the past but I think there
are lessons of the past and I I think
the probably the most important lesson
that I can uh say for technology is you
have to shoot ahead of the duck like you
have to be thinking what is the most
like your question Jason great question
we think about that all the time how do
we shoot ahead of the duck and you know
you have things that change you know
technology is a beautiful place because
you see big inflection points like 5
years ago AI was around but we wouldn't
be able to gather this audience to talk
about AI because people be like who
cares but the fact is you had to invest
many many years ago to be where we are
today and I think you know I I like to
say that you know you will you will be
able to judge whether we've done a good
job or not by how we perform 5 years
from now. Like the decisions we're
making will take, you know, five plus
years to play out. Uh but that's the key
thing in tech like nothing is fast but
hopefully it's quite lasting in what it
>> do you think is happening in countries
not in the United States like what do
you think is happening in chip design
and all of these mech capabilities in
China and other places right now?
>> We should believe that it's super super
competitive. I mean, at the end of the
day, I think the world has recognized
that um that semiconductors and chips
are essential. They're essential to
national economies. They're essential to
national security. And so, assume that
everyone's investing. Um I'd like to
believe that we have a great head start,
you know, because of the innovation
pipeline, because of, you know, the
great uh companies that we have here,
but we should not be, you know, confused
that everybody's investing and we need
to keep our up our investments as well.
And I I think that's why, you know, this
whole idea of any one company can
provide every solution that's necessary
just isn't the case, right? I I I love
the idea of open ecosystems of uh you
know uh companies collaborating of
collaboration across the ecosystem. So
hardware, software systems um you know
collaboration across public private
partnerships because that's what it's
going to take like for us to win. We
have to be, you know, front-facing and
realizing that bringing, you know, the
the countries that win bring all of the
smartest people and the best, you know,
capabilities together and let them go as
fast as they possibly can.
>> Great. So, thank you for being with us.
>> Wonderful afternoon. Been great.
Appreciate it.
>> Thank you.
>> Thank you.
>> Great. Pleasure to meet you. Thank you.
>> I'm Chase Locker, the uh co-founder and
CEO of Crusoe, and I'm here to talk to
you about the AI industrial revolution.
Um, I'm going to start with a quote and
it's from Warren Buffett in his 2020
shareholder letter shareholder letter to
investors and he said, "In its brief 232
years of existence, there has been no
incubator for unleashing human potential
like America. Despite some severe
interruptions, our country's economic
progress has been breathtaking. Our
unwavering conclusion,
never bet against America."
Buffett's words were true then and as we
enter this global race for technological
dominance of a artificial intelligence
uh they ring even truer today. American
dynamism has always prevailed and it
will continue to do so. So in in in sort
of the uh history of of of really what
made America great is uh you know we
live in a nation that's the freest
nation in the world and we have uh we
are just as rich in land and resources
as we are in human ambition uh to drive
progress. And one of the things that's
fundamentally enabled that progress to
happen and that ambition to be unleashed
is the leading investments that we've
made in infrastructure over the course
of his lifetime. Uh Warren Buffett got
to witness uh investments in in power in
transportation and in uh in power in
transportation and in natural resources
to uh to enable people to go pursue
their dreams and live a better life.
Let's see.
There we go. Now, in 2025, we stand at
a, you know, the start of a new era of
infrastructure, the infrastructure of
intelligence, and it's driving the
biggest capital investment in human
history. Uh, this investment is being
led by the hyperscalers uh who are
investing hundreds of billions of
dollars per year per year um to make
this happen. These are the companies
with the biggest balance sheets in the
history of business that are quite
literally going allin to to make this
happen. And they're not the only ones.
You know, there's also startups like
Crusoe and uh there's there's even
nation states um that are following
suit. So So what's going on there?
What's the what's the prize that that
they're going after? Um the you know the
opportunity here is that uh uh for the
first time in human history, we've
actually been able to manufacture
intelligence. um intelligence is the uh
scarcest economic resource um in the
history of the economy and and for the
first time we're actually able to make
it. Um and the opportunity here is to
actually unlock access to what has uh
historically been that scarce economic
resource. So um this is why the data
centers of the future are not being
referred to as data centers. They're
actually being referred to as AI
factories. It's a factory that takes as
inputs data and algorithms and chips and
energy and it outputs intelligence. This
is the alchemy of intelligence.
So this newly manufactured intelligence
will spawn a new chapter of
unprecedented productivity and
development and that will serve to
improve human quality of life. So the
IDC estimates that AI will generate $20
trillion in economic impact by 2030. So
even if you can earn a small slice of
that, that hundreds of billions of
dollars of investment will earn an
amazing return. For each dollar invested
into uh business related AI is expected
to generate $4.60.
Uh as my friend Jensen would say, the
more you buy, the more you save. Um or
in this case, the more you buy, the more
you make. uh and we can grow the pie
together and usher in a new era of
AIdriven abundance.
So when we look at the history of
American energy production and
consumption, uh as as as the US
industrialized, we we really ramped up
energy generation and uh and also
consumption. But if you look at this
chart, you can see that, you know, it's
it's kind of flatlined over the last 20
years uh where we're, you know,
generating and consuming about 4,000
terowatt hours per year. AI is
fundamentally transforming this demand
picture and uh and and energy is quickly
becoming the bottleneck to growth.
Uh data centers are forecasted to
account for 20% of the growth in power
demand between now and 2030. And uh data
center total power consumption is going
to go from 2.5% of US power consumption
to 10%. So what this means is that the
technology industry that's sort of
willing this infrastructure into
existence fundamentally needs to bring
its own power to support that growth. Um
which means massive investments not just
in data centers but also in the energy
infrastructure to support them. And this
will require people lots of people to
build operate maintain uh and run these
these large scale energy investments.
Um so if we look at data centers you
know by the numbers I think it's
important you know as people are sort of
throwing around gigawatt scale data
centers uh of looking at the amount of
data center infrastructure that exists
today. Uh Northern Virginia is sort of
the center of the world for data centers
but it's only you know at the end of
2014 it was only 4.5 gawatt. Today we
have companies that are looking at
building single 5 gawatt facilities. And
if you look at this growth we're
building more than a uh northern
Virginia every single year in the
forecasted future.
So we need new in So if there's one
thing that you're going to take away
from this presentation, it's that we
need new infrastructure. We need lots
and we need lots of it and we need lots
of people to build, operate and maintain
it. This is what Cruso is focused on
solving. Cruso is in the business of
activating energy for intelligence of
building operating uh AI factories at
scale from from the steel to the
silicon, from the electron to the token.
And if you look at our pipeline, we have
about 40 gawatts of capacity that spans
um all sorts of energy resources from
new energy technologies like uh you know
like like uh small modular reactors to
uh renewables and and natural gas to to
power this uh innovative future.
Uh so revisiting my formula here, I
think we left off one critical component
which is the people. Uh AI will be AI
infrastructure will be the largest job
creation catalyst that we've ever seen.
So I think it's important to sort of
look at you know what this looks like in
practice. For the last year um Cruso has
been building um uh a large large scale
AI factory in Abalene, Texas. And uh you
know speed is paramount. Again this
event is winning the AI race. Uh in
order to win a race you really need
speed. Uh, and Cruso's really been
focused on on on using modular
components on on rapidly scaling
investment in in construction and
infrastructure to support this. And and
and and we've actually built a lot of
different modular components in in
factories and brought them to site. And
they're kind of like uh they're kind of
like Lego blocks that sort of fit
together to to build one of these AI
factories at at rapid scale and speed.
Um so if you look at if you look at what
this looks like today um you know this
is uh this is this is this this site
will consume over 1.2 gawatts of power
and 400,000 NVIDIA GPUs all in a single
coherent cluster. So uh this will
essentially be a gigawatt scale computer
to drive human progress forward.
Um you know it's really amazing what you
can kind of accomplish in a year. You
see just one year ago, this is what the
site looked like and this is what it
looks like today.
Um, so what does this mean from a jobs
perspective? We have 4,000 people
working on site every day to, you know,
make this facility happen. Um, and you
know, it's it's it's a bunch of
different trades, electricians and
plumbers, um, and construction workers.
Um, and it's required a lot of capital,
too. We raised $15 billion to basically
put this facility and and and and bring
it into existence.
Um, and it's also required manufacturing
and that's and a lot of the critical
components have happened off-site in
these controlled manufacturing
environments.
Um, but this isn't the only one. This
isn't a one-of-a-kind. We also are
building AI infrastructure and AI
factories across America. This site in
West Texas is going to be a gigawatt
facility uh behind the meter with wind
with incremental gas and grid
interconnection. Uh we did a partnership
with Redwood Materials where we built
the largest uh uh we built the the
largest micro grid with uh in the United
States with 60 60 megawatt hours of of
batteries, end of life EV batteries and
uh 20 megawatts of solar to power an AI
factory. We have a partnership with GE
Verova and engine number one uh for 4.5
gawatt of new uh gas generation capacity
to power future AI data centers. And
finally, uh, we want to announce a new
partnership that we're doing with Tall
Grass Energy in Wyoming that will
initially power 1.3 gawatts of total
compute load uh, alongside two 2 gawatts
of power generation and ultimately we
feel like this can scale to 10 gawatts
of power. Uh, so we're really thrilled
to partner with Tall Grass.
So uh as a vertically integrated AI
infrastructure company built here in
America, we believe that AI factories
will be the ultimate economic engine
creating utility for society uh and and
and and new jobs for the economy. Um
this will usher in a massive new era of
AIdriven prosperity for the United
States. And I want to leave you with,
you know, my final quote from Warren
Buffett that, you know, in this AI race,
uh never bet against America. Thank you.
So, is this stuff real? You guys, you
started off as like a, you know, sort of
Bitcoin miner and now somehow all the
hyperscalers are asking you to, you
know, build non-stop data centers. Why
you guys?
>> Um, you know, I think again it comes
back to this being a race and one of the
things that Cruso's been able to do
better than anyone is execute at speed
and scale.
>> And I know there's been like some of the
biggest constraints around, you know,
sort of, you know, water, energy, um,
you know, the land for this type of
stuff. like where have you seen what
parts of the country you know are you
guys able to actually do this or have
you seen any of the local regulators
start to step up to you know make this
stuff easier for you? Um, you know,
we've been building quite a bit in
Texas. You know, Abene, Texas is this,
you know, initial facility that's gotten
a lot of coverage. Uh, you know, we we
just sort of announced another facility
in Texas. Uh, Wyoming's been a, you
know, big area of investment for us.
But, um, you know, there's a number of
other states that were sort of
evaluating, investing uh, to build large
scale AI.
>> Is it only going to be the like, you
know, sort of more rural, you know, sort
of red states or do you think that like,
you know, Oregon, Washington, etc. will
start to, you know, sort of get together
and realize they've got cheap hydropower
and, you know, cheap water and we'll try
and get you there.
>> Uh, no. You know, believe it or not,
we're actually looking at something in
California.
>> Wow. California. Gavin Newsome is gonna
bring you in.
>> I would imagine that's gonna take like
50 years with their
>> regulations. Maybe. We'll see. We'll
see.
>> And you the Do you think that the, you
know, sort of hyperscaler demand?
Obviously, we were just, you know, on
with Lisa Sue talking about the demand
for chips over the next couple years.
That's obviously correlated to the, you
know, demand with data centers. Do you
think that's actually going to play out
the way that all the public markets are,
you know, sort of projecting or are we
like in 1999 peak, you know, everybody
thinks that fiber is going to be
deployed all over the world? Turns out
all those projections were totally off.
>> Um I I think the important trend to
watch is sort of the capital investment
that's happening and and the term over
which that's happening. So
>> I thought like Meta backed off on it a
little bit like didn't they like for a
little bit talked about they were going
to deploy like crazy and then pulled
back although he's obviously spending a
billion dollars on chief AI scientist
now.
>> Yeah. I think you know the the
investments they're making in people are
actually rounding errors compared to the
investments they're making in
infrastructure. And I think that's
something to sort of appreciate in this
moment in time. Like people are betting
their entire balance sheets. These are
the biggest, you know, and best balance
sheets in the history of business and
they're betting their entire balance
sheet on on, you know, the future
infrastructure that's going to power the
modern economy. And then in like the,
you know, data centers like Texas, like
what's the limiting factor? Like is it
like workforce to actually go build
these things? Is it like materials? Is
it the cooling towers? Is it the chips?
Is it the hyperscalers giving you the
like, you know, you know, sort of
contracts? What's the, you know, sort of
limiting reagent?
>> Um, you know, uh, labor is definitely
like a major constraint. you know, like
I I said, you know, we have about 4,000
people on site um every day. Uh we're
going to have multiple sites that are
operating with thousands of, you know,
uh folks uh basically building this
infrastructure. So, you know, uh labor
is definitely like one of the one of the
big bottlenecks and we're, you know, we
think it's really important for America
to make these massive investments in the
workforce uh to really build the
infrastructure of the future. And you
think that requires some real real
reskilling where it's like people from
oil and gas or like construction having
to go into just totally net new fields
or is it something where you guys are
actually able to pull on pre-existing
talent pools pretty quickly?
>> Um both you know there's there's a lot
of existing uh you know labor uh you
know at that facility in Abene where
we're actually pulling labor from all 50
states at this point believe it or not.
Um so
>> making like a company town importing
people in.
>> Yeah. you know we we have about 50% of
the people are are are uh you know from
Texas but um you know the uh we we are
importing a lot of labor to to make the
project happen
>> and um you know do you do you see the
company starting to go more full stack
beyond just like the operations of like
the you know sort of data centers or how
do you think about like you know you
started off with you know focus on like
you know sort of energy arbitrage now to
data centers where do you see you guys
goeselves going over time
>> yeah is a vertically integrated AI
infrastructure business so you know data
centers is a key component to that and
you know I think one of the most
important pieces to building right now
and and one of the hardest things to do
at speed. Um but we also have you know
this managed AI cloud services layer
that um enables innovators to build uh
large scale AI applications on the
platform.
>> Makes sense. Well yeah Chase, thanks so
much for uh you know joining us on stage
and um appreciate the talk.
>> Yeah, thanks D.
>> Okay everybody, we got a real treat for
you. Jensen Wong is here.
>> Sit here.
>> All right. Sit here. Sit here.
>> The hot seat.
>> Thanks for coming.
>> Thank you. making that happen.
>> Thank you.
>> The number one podcast in the world.
>> We were saying the number one company in
the world.
>> Wow. It's
>> You're a fan of the pod. You listen to
the pod.
>> This is This is Norman, our host.
>> Yes. Yes. And there's Steve. Uh what's
the story with the jacket? You got one
of those. You have like six.
>> I have something like 50 or 60 of them.
>> So you really?
>> Yeah.
>> Wow.
>> What is that? Tom Ford.
>> I think so. This one is I think so.
>> Yeah. That's nice. I like it. I tried I
tried that on. It was like way too much
money.
>> Well, you guys are all so fashionable.
>> Coming from you guys, it actually means
something.
>> Yeah.
>> Oh, yeah. Oops.
>> Oh, look at you. Look at you.
>> Uh, hey, we we've been talking a lot
about opportunity. You've talked.
>> So, mine is like a model.
>> He is. He is.
>> Okay. Good idea.
>> He's definitely in his head. He's like,
>> "Is Tom Ford your favorite?" Who's your
favorite, right?
>> I My favorite is whatever my wife gets
me.
>> Ah, she dresses you, right?
>> As soon as she gets it for me, it's my
favorite.
>> Yes. Same with me. Same with me.
>> Smart man. Um, how you got up.
>> Nobody wears a Nobody wears a suit
better than Jacob. Good God.
>> Yeah, Jacob. He's a handsome man.
>> Just trying to keep up with you guys.
Um, I got I have two questions for you.
Take them in whichever order you like.
Um,
we've been talking a lot about job
displacement, opportunity, short-term,
long-term. Obviously, you get to see
everybody applying the technology
because, hey, listen, you've got the
best product in town to build on.
Therefore, everybody explains to you
their hopes, their dreams. So, you have
a unique way of looking at the playing
field. You have complete information
that we don't have. So, I want to know
what you think.
Don't worry, we'll fix it. Um,
what you think that edit
>> what you think about job creation,
transfer, displacement, etc. And then
the second one, I've just always been
curious.
>> You got all these important people
knocking on your door. You got Zuck, you
got E, you got uh, uh, Sam Alman. He
seems like he's a little bit of a
headache. I'll be honest. Um, but
>> he's great.
>> He's great. I'm joking. I'm joking. How
do you allocate
the H100's and whatever else you're
selling them and still have them all
like you? Because they must ask
sometimes, hey, can I get extra? I'll
pay you extra. So, just the allocation
of a finite amount of resources and then
jobs.
>> First of all, I wrote off $5 billion
worth of hoppers. If anybody would like
to have some extras,
>> you got them.
you know, just give me a call. Uh jobs,
uh uh we use AI across a whole company.
Every single software engineer today
uses AI. Not one left behind. 100% of
our chip designers use AI. We are busier
than ever. And the reason for that is
because we have so many ideas that we
want to go pursue. AI makes it possible
for us to go pursue those ideas now that
we're not doing the mundane stuff. And
so I I think the first idea is the more
productive you are as a company um so
long as you have more ideas, you could
pursue those ideas, you'll go after
those ideas. And I I think that that AI
in my case is creating jobs. It causes
us to be able to create things that
other people would uh customers would
like to buy. Uh it drives more growth.
It drives more jobs. You know, all that
goes together. The other thing that that
to remember is that AI is the greatest
technology equalizer of all time.
>> Okay, explain.
>> Everybody's a programmer now.
>> Yes.
>> You used to have to know C and then C++
and Python and you know in the future
everybody could program a computer,
right? Just have to get up and if you
don't know how to program a computer,
you don't even know how to program an
AI, just go up to the AI and say, "How
do I program an AI?" And the AI explains
to you exactly how to program the AI.
Even when you're not sure exactly how to
ask a question, you say, "What's the
best way to ask the question?" And it'll
actually write the question for you.
It's incredible. Yeah. And so it's a
great equalizer. Everybody is going to
be augmented by AI. Everybody's an
artist now. Everybody's an author now.
Everybody's a programmer now. That is
all true. And so we know that AI is a
great equalizer. We also know that uh
it's not likely that although
everybody's job will be different as a
result of AI, everybody's jobs will be
different. Some jobs will be obsolete,
but many jobs will be created. The one
thing that we know for certain is that
if you're not using AI, you're going to
lose your job to somebody who uses AI.
That I think we know for certain. Yeah.
There's not a software programmer in the
future who's gonna be able to hold their
own. I mean, you know, typing by
themselves.
>> Yeah. You can't raw dog it. No.
>> No. Not anymore. No raw dog.
>> Not anymore. You can't raw dog it. And
>> tell us.
>> I'll be sure to go home and tell people.
>> Yeah. Exactly.
>> You're not going to raw dog this.
>> Yeah. Get your co-pilot on. Now, what
about the allocation of all the
>> Okay. So, the way we allocate is this.
>> The way we allocate is this. Uh, place a
PO.
>> Okay. That's it. That's you go to the
register, you pay, you order
>> first you you know first in in the old
days with Hopper it happened so fast it
was impossible to keep up with the
demand. But now uh we we uh uh we
disclose our road map to all of our
partners uh a year in advance. Gives
everybody a chance to plan with us. They
decide how much power and how much data
center space and how much capex they
want to allocate. We plan together. We
work on transitions. It's really quite
oily these days.
>> What's the lifespan now? You, you know,
I was looking into how they're
amateurizing, you know, these units
four, five years. What happens to this
massive buildout in your six, seven, and
eight? What will be the use of those
computers if you keep building such
great products that replace them at 2,
three, four times? What do we do with
all that?
>> Concepts are happening right now. The
first thing first thing is every
generation we increase the performance
by X factors.
>> Yeah. Um if the perf per dollar perf per
watt goes up by x factors whatever your
data center
power is we just increase your revenues
by x factors right so perf per watt is
equal to revenues per per dollar equals
the cost and so we increase your perf
per dollar by x factors we reduce your
cost by x factors does make sense that's
the first idea and so every single the
reason why we're moving so fast is we're
trying to increase everybody's revenues
we're trying to decrease everybody's
cost so that we have the benefit of
driving AI cost down as far as possible
so that we can have thinking AI,
>> right?
>> It's not that we're trying to make, you
know, AI so that it generates a thousand
tokens and that's it. In the future,
you're going to be generating millions
of tokens and it generates an answer as
result of that. You got to think a long
time and so you got to get that cost
down. The second idea is if you look at
the residual value of Nvidia gear right
now, Hopper for example, one year one
year later it's probably about 80% 75 to
80% of the value of the original value
and then one year later is another kind
of like 65% and then one year later is
like 50%. The reason and right now if
you try to get hoppers in the cloud it's
all sold out. The reason for that is
because CUDA is so programmable and
we're constantly the whole world not
just us the whole world is doing open
source development improving its
effectiveness.
>> And so what's amazing is the performance
of Hopper increases over time because
we're improving the software stack it
Hopper improved in performance by us and
others by a factor of four
>> right
>> in the time that we shipped it. Now, you
can't get that out of a CPU, right?
>> Jensen, can you explain to us um Elon's
tweet and the impact to to your
industry? He said, "We're going to have
50 million H100 equivalents by in 5
years from now." And everybody started
to feverishly do the math because if he
has 50 million H100 equivalents, then
OpenAI will have that much or more. Meta
will have that much or more, Google,
etc., etc., etc. Can you just explain to
us layman what that means what he just
said and how it impacts your business?
>> Um,
one of the biggest observations about AI
is that there's there's the industry of
applications that AI has created. It's a
revolutionary technology. Every industry
would will be revolutionized. New
applications will be created. so on so
forth that all the things that we know
agentic AI reasoning AI robotics AI so
on so forth we we know all those things
now every industry healthcare education
transportation you name manufacturing
all revolutionized the one part that
that that we observed and and made a
great contribution to is that in order
to
sustain those applications you need
factories of AI you have to produce
produce AI unlike unlike software you
write the software and that's it in the
case of AI you have to continuously
produce it generate the tokens
>> right
>> in a lot of the same ways that energy
production was a large part of the
economy a couple two 300 years ago I
think it actually peaked out at 30%.
Yep.
>> There's a whole there's going to be a
whole industry of just producing tokens
and this is going to be the new
infrastructure just as we have the
energy production infrastructure, we
have the internet infrastructure and we
got to build out that plumbing and now
we got to we have to build out the AI
infrastructure. My sense is that we're
probably, you know, a couple of hundred
billion dollars, maybe a few hundred
billion dollars into a multi-t trillion
dollar infrastructure buildout
>> per year.
>> Yeah. What about manufacturing?
>> And the reason for that is because you
want the new infrastructure which
increases revenue driving your cost
down.
>> Right.
>> That's right.
>> What about manufacturing in the US? So
where are we? We um you know we've seen
stories of TSMC in Arizona. We asked
this question earlier about how it's
going. Is the US equipped? Uh what is it
going to take for us to get there to
have onshore fabs?
>> First of all, you guys know you're
talking about the United States.
uh the the uh I know that there's there
lots of concerns and and everybody's you
know worried about competition and
things like that but we are talking
about America here. This is this is
unquestionably the most technology rich
country in the world
>> and this is the most innovative
countries in the world and the computer
industry I have the I have the honor to
serve is the single greatest industry
our country has ever produced. I think
we could acknowledge that.
>> Yep.
>> The the level of leadership of the
computer industry, the technology
industry is just unimaginable worldwide.
And so this is our national treasure.
This is one of our country's assets. We
have to make sure that we continue to to
to advance it. Um onshoring
next generation manufacturing is going
to be insanely technologydriven. Uh
robotics technology, AI technology.
You're going to have factories that are
going to be orchestrated by AI
orchestrating a whole bunch of robots
that are AI building products that are
effectively AIS, right? So, you're going
to have this layers of inception. And
the amount of technology necessary to
create that is is really insane. We've I
I
love President Trump's vision, bold
vision of reindustrializing the United
States. That entire band of industry
that's missing, we out we outsource too
much of it. Frankly, we don't need to
insource all of it, but we ought to
bring onshore the most advanced, the
most
economy sustaining, driving, national
security enhancing parts of the
industry. You know, people always
degrade down to tennis shoes. We don't
have to go there. We just manufacture
chips and AI supercomputers. In Arizona
and Texas, we will in the next four
years probably produce about half a
trillion dollars worth of AI
supercomputers. that half a trillion
dollars worth of AI supercomputers will
probably drive a few trillion dollars
worth of AI industry, right?
>> And so that's only in the next several
years and and uh they're doing great.
Arizona is doing great.
>> And so there's um there's a lot of talk
about American competitiveness today and
the White House ruled out its AI action
plan and Nvidia is making very big bets
on the United States. And so as a CEO of
a global company, what do you see are
America's unique advantages that other
countries don't have?
America's unique advantage that no
country possibly have is President
Trump.
And
let let me let me explain why. One uh on
the first day of his administration, he
realized the importance of AI and he
realized the importance of energy.
For the last
I don't know how many years
energy production was was vilified if
you guys remember.
>> Yeah.
>> We can't create new industries without
energy. You can't reshore manufacturing
without energy. You can't sustain a
brand new industry like artificial
intelligence without energy. If we
decide as a country the only thing we
want is IP to be an IP only a serviceson
country then we don't need much energy.
But if we want to produce things,
something as vital as artificial
intelligence and we need energy. And so
I'm just delighted to see pro to
accelerate AI innovation to accelerate
the growth of energy so that we can
sustain this this new industry and um
you know go after the the new industrial
revolution. Big big deal.
>> Can can you talk about physical AI
versus data center AI? We tal we talked
a little bit about this today. Is there
a threshold where you see physical AI
accelerating and ultimately the
deployment of chips outpaces the
deployment of chips in data centers? Is
that where the world evolves to or what
do you think
of the world looks like?
>> Yeah. Excellent. Everything in the world
that moves will be autonomous someday
>> and that someday is probably around the
corner. So everything that moves, we
already know that your lawn mower is
going to, you know, who's going to be
pushing a lawnmower around? That's
craziness. Unless you want to. I mean
it's you know and so so I think
everything that moves will be autonomous
and every machine
every company that builds machines will
have two factories.
There's the machine factory for example
cars
>> and then there's the AI factory to
create the AI for the cars.
>> And so maybe you're uh a machine factory
to build human or robots.
>> You need an AI factory to build a brain
for the human or robot. Right? And so
every company in the future, in fact,
the the future of industry is really two
factories.
>> Yeah.
>> Uh Tesla already has two factories,
right? Elon has a giant AI factory. He's
he was very early in recognizing that he
needs to have an AI factory to sustain
the the cars that he has now. Now he's
got AIs in the car, but in the future
instead of, you know, I imagine that in
the future instead of a whole whole lot
of people remote remotely monitoring air
traffic control, it'll be a giant AI
that's doing the remote
>> control and then only in the case of the
the giant AI um can handle it with a
person come in to to uh intercept. And
so so I think you see that that these
industries in the future, every
industrial company will be an AI company
or you're not going to be an industrial
company. There was a couple of moments
throughout the course of this year where
people almost threw in the towel and
said, "Oh, we lost to China." Right.
There was the Deep Seek moment, then
maybe this week, last week, there was
this Kimmy model moment. Um, but then it
kind of fizzled out. Can you just uh
explain to us how big of a threat they
really are in terms of getting to
supremacy, getting there first, whether
it's AGI or, you know, super
intelligence? Yeah, excellent question.
Um, the Chinese AI labs are the world
world's leading open
open model companies. They they offer
the most advanced open models. Open
source is fantastic. If not for open
source, we know startups won't exist.
And to the extent that we believe that
the future is going to be the future
industry is going to be today's
startups, they're going to need open
open source models. And Deep Seek when
it came out, it was a great win for the
United States. It was an incredible win.
What people didn't and two two reasons.
First, imagine if Deep Seek came out and
it only ran on Huawei. I just want us to
pretend. Use that thought experiment.
>> Totally. You got two parallel universes.
>> Exactly. Could you imagine if Q came out
and it only worked on non-American tech
stack? Could you imagine if KI came out
and it only worked on non-American tech
and these are the top three open models
in the world today? It is downloaded
hundreds of millions of times. So the
fact of the matter is American tech
stack all over the world being the
world's standard is vital to the future
of winning the AI race. You can't do it
any other way. We've got to be you know
as you know any computing platform wins
because of developers.
>> Yeah. And half of the world's developers
are in China.
>> So speaking of developers,
>> the second the second I'm sorry, please
go ahead. The second thing and it's
really a big deal. When DeepC came out,
we were thrilled for the second reason
which is we now have a super efficient
reasoning model. And the reason for that
is because the old models are one shot.
>> Give it a question. Everything was
memorized. You know the pre pre-training
is basically memorization and
generalization. Two concepts. post
training is teaching you how to think.
And so now with Deep Seek R1, Kimmy
Kimmy K2, um, uh, Q13, you now have
reasoning models that can allow that
help you think. And so the reason why I
was so excited is if each pass of a
thought is energy efficient, then you
can think for a long time,
>> right?
>> Yeah.
The last question from for me is that we
see uh this capital being applied to
human capital in a way that we never
thought was possible. It used to be NBA
players signing $300 million contracts.
Now it's you know uh model researchers
and then there was a there was a post
this weekend that that said that there
was a person that was offered a billion
dollars over four years by Meta. Now if
that's happening at this layer,
why hasn't it happened at your layer?
because you are the enabler of all of
that. And how do you think all of this
human capital is going to actually play
out?
>> First of all, I've created more
billionaires on my management team than
any CEO in the world. They're doing just
fine.
Okay. And so, and and they're doing
don't feel sad for anybody at my layer.
>> Yeah, everybody's doing okay.
>> Yeah, my layer is doing just fine. I I
tell I but but the important the big
idea though is that you're highlighting
is that the impact of a
150 or so AI researchers can probably
create with enough funding behind them
create an open AI
>> it's a it's not a
>> 150 people
>> yeah it's not a it's not well deepseek
150 people moonshots 150 people right
>> right
>> and so I mean look at the original uh
open AI was about 150 people uh deep
mind you know They're all about that
size. I think I think um you know
there's something about the elegance of
small teams and that's not a small team.
That's a good goodiz team with the right
infrastructure. And so that kind of
tells you something. 150 people if
you're willing to pay say $20 billion
$30 billion to buy a startup with 150 AI
researchers. Why wouldn't you pay one?
>> Right. Uh speaking of By the way, we
told we need to wrap because I'm going
to do this one question. Somebody who
was inside your organization told me
with the options that uh you have a
secret pool of options and that you will
randomly just if somebody does a great
job dropped a bunch of RSUs on top of
them and that you have this like little
bag of options you carry around and that
you leave them out.
>> That's nuts.
>> Is that true?
>> Yeah, I'm carrying in my pocket right
now. So listen, so this is what happens.
I review I review everybody's
compensation up to this day.
>> Yeah. at the end of every cycle of when
they present it and they send they send
me everybody's everybody's recommended
comp. I go through the whole company.
I've got my methods of doing that and I
use machine learning. I do all kinds of
technology and I sort through all 42,000
employees and 100% of the time I
increase the company's spend on opex and
the reason for that is because you take
care of people. Everything else take
care takes care of itself.
>> All right. Well done. Thank you.
>> Thank you Jess. Great to see you.
>> Great to see you.
>> We have an event in LA. We'd love to
continue the conversation. So, we'll
send you a note.
>> The world's number one podcast.
>> There you go. Thank you.
Ask follow-up questions or revisit key timestamps.
The discussion features three industry leaders: Jim Leinsky (MP Materials), Lisa Su (AMD), and Jensen Huang (NVIDIA). Leinsky highlights MP Materials' role as the sole US producer of rare earth materials, crucial for physical AI, and their innovative public-private partnership with the DoD to counter Chinese mercantilism and build out the domestic supply chain. He emphasizes the need for skilled labor and training for high-paying industrial jobs. Su discusses AMD's advancements in AI chips, the challenges and progress of onshoring semiconductor manufacturing in the US (like TSMC Arizona), and the strategic importance of geographic diversity in the supply chain. She foresees a future with diverse AI chips for various use cases and predicts physical AI chips will surpass data center AI chips in market size in five plus years. Huang elaborates on AI's transformative impact, arguing it creates jobs by boosting productivity and equalizing access to programming. He details NVIDIA's strategy for allocating H100 GPUs, explains the high residual value and improving performance of their hardware through software, and envisions an era where every industrial company becomes an AI company, requiring two factories: one for machines and one for AI. He also praises America's innovation and the current administration's focus on energy and reindustrialization as key advantages in the global AI race.
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