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Trump's Economic Gamble: David Friedberg Predicts the Master Plan

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Trump's Economic Gamble: David Friedberg Predicts the Master Plan

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126 segments

0:00

some portion of this I hear and I when I

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asked in these four group chats I got

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he's throwing stuff at the wall the

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Border he's trolling the 10-year note

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and he doesn't care about stocks and

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then I got on Shoring and Manufacturing

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as a possibility we going to make it

0:16

more expensive to bring things in so why

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don't you consider making stuff here do

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you think that third possibility is

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what's going on here just David freeberg

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pick one of these three choices or

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another what's going on here with Tas

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specifically I don't sit inside of

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Trump's head and I don't have any direct

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line of communication to folks that are

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constructing the theory and the policy

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if I were to say what's the most

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masterful plan in an optimistic way of

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what could be going on here what's the

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master plan I would kind of craft it as

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follows tariffs aren't being done in

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isolation they're being done along with

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a coordinated policy effort to reduce

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income taxes and another policy effort

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to reduce government spending so those

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are three actions three legs on a stool

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so tariffs reduced income taxes reduced

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government spending and they are related

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to each other they're related to each

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other because if we increase tariffs one

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element of that is that to import

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products is more expensive for example I

1:20

buy LED lights in my

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greenhouse and the price of the LED

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lights just went up by 25% this week I

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actually spoke with the CEO of an LED

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company and I was like why don't you

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guys make the LEDs here here and there

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starts to become a crossover point where

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it actually makes economic sense for the

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company to make the LEDs here instead of

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sourcing them from Asia and there's a

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100,000 examples of this when the

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industrial supply chain goes to the

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lowest part of

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production it's going to end up

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offshoring when there's no tariffs and

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if there are tariffs then you start to

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do production here so you're increasing

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both kind of security for the US supply

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chain but also increasing demand and

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creation of

2:01

Workforce Now I think that the income

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tax piece is critical here because in

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order to make the capital available to

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build that industry here we need to have

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unleash capital and reducing of income

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taxes the economic theory would be that

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Capital will now flow into these

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entrepreneurial activity these

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opportunities that have emerged where

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suddenly it makes sense for me to make

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textiles to make metals to make

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materials to make cars to make all this

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stuff here in the United States that I

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otherwise wouldn't be making so both the

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corporate and the personal income tax by

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reducing it unleashes capital that

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instead of going into the government it

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now goes into the private sector into

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building businesses okay I think that

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there's another theory about this which

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is as you drop the income

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tax one of the kind of key theories that

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I've heard spoken about a lot lately and

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I think we're going to hear about it a

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lot more this year is trying to get the

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United States to move away from an

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income taxation model to a consumption

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taxation model so effectively what the

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tariffs do is there's a tax for you

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buying certain things so now instead of

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getting taxed when you earn money as an

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individual you get taxed when you spend

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money and some people think that that's

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both a more fair system and a more kind

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of economically vibrant system because

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that will drive investment in the things

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that people want to to produce because

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the money's going into production do you

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think that freeberg I'm curious I I

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don't know it's a really interesting

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economic theory I mean I am not opposed

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to seeing some sort of an experiment

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play out where we look at a shift from

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income taxation to consumption Taxation

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and see if it actually does have an

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effect on economic growth and

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productivity it has not been done in 150

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years there's a lot of economic

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theorists on both sides of the equations

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saying this does work or it doesn't work

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okay and let me just say one last thing

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by reducing government spending we are

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moving workers from the government into

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the private Workforce so as those new

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Industries pop up as those Investments

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start to get made in building new

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industry on Shore where are the workers

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going to come from remember the

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government's 30% of the US GDP today so

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if that's not a great way to invest

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money maybe the Private Industry is

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better at investing money in employing

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people that will unleash the workforce

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and it will counterbalance the inflation

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that we're experiencing so there's a lot

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of inflation because of tariffs and by

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reducing government spending that's the

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offset to inflation so those three

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actions I think are three legs of a

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stool and they actually are all

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interrelated to one another so that

4:20

would be my grandmas theory of what

4:21

might be going on

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