Trump's Economic Gamble: David Friedberg Predicts the Master Plan
126 segments
some portion of this I hear and I when I
asked in these four group chats I got
he's throwing stuff at the wall the
Border he's trolling the 10-year note
and he doesn't care about stocks and
then I got on Shoring and Manufacturing
as a possibility we going to make it
more expensive to bring things in so why
don't you consider making stuff here do
you think that third possibility is
what's going on here just David freeberg
pick one of these three choices or
another what's going on here with Tas
specifically I don't sit inside of
Trump's head and I don't have any direct
line of communication to folks that are
constructing the theory and the policy
if I were to say what's the most
masterful plan in an optimistic way of
what could be going on here what's the
master plan I would kind of craft it as
follows tariffs aren't being done in
isolation they're being done along with
a coordinated policy effort to reduce
income taxes and another policy effort
to reduce government spending so those
are three actions three legs on a stool
so tariffs reduced income taxes reduced
government spending and they are related
to each other they're related to each
other because if we increase tariffs one
element of that is that to import
products is more expensive for example I
buy LED lights in my
greenhouse and the price of the LED
lights just went up by 25% this week I
actually spoke with the CEO of an LED
company and I was like why don't you
guys make the LEDs here here and there
starts to become a crossover point where
it actually makes economic sense for the
company to make the LEDs here instead of
sourcing them from Asia and there's a
100,000 examples of this when the
industrial supply chain goes to the
lowest part of
production it's going to end up
offshoring when there's no tariffs and
if there are tariffs then you start to
do production here so you're increasing
both kind of security for the US supply
chain but also increasing demand and
creation of
Workforce Now I think that the income
tax piece is critical here because in
order to make the capital available to
build that industry here we need to have
unleash capital and reducing of income
taxes the economic theory would be that
Capital will now flow into these
entrepreneurial activity these
opportunities that have emerged where
suddenly it makes sense for me to make
textiles to make metals to make
materials to make cars to make all this
stuff here in the United States that I
otherwise wouldn't be making so both the
corporate and the personal income tax by
reducing it unleashes capital that
instead of going into the government it
now goes into the private sector into
building businesses okay I think that
there's another theory about this which
is as you drop the income
tax one of the kind of key theories that
I've heard spoken about a lot lately and
I think we're going to hear about it a
lot more this year is trying to get the
United States to move away from an
income taxation model to a consumption
taxation model so effectively what the
tariffs do is there's a tax for you
buying certain things so now instead of
getting taxed when you earn money as an
individual you get taxed when you spend
money and some people think that that's
both a more fair system and a more kind
of economically vibrant system because
that will drive investment in the things
that people want to to produce because
the money's going into production do you
think that freeberg I'm curious I I
don't know it's a really interesting
economic theory I mean I am not opposed
to seeing some sort of an experiment
play out where we look at a shift from
income taxation to consumption Taxation
and see if it actually does have an
effect on economic growth and
productivity it has not been done in 150
years there's a lot of economic
theorists on both sides of the equations
saying this does work or it doesn't work
okay and let me just say one last thing
by reducing government spending we are
moving workers from the government into
the private Workforce so as those new
Industries pop up as those Investments
start to get made in building new
industry on Shore where are the workers
going to come from remember the
government's 30% of the US GDP today so
if that's not a great way to invest
money maybe the Private Industry is
better at investing money in employing
people that will unleash the workforce
and it will counterbalance the inflation
that we're experiencing so there's a lot
of inflation because of tariffs and by
reducing government spending that's the
offset to inflation so those three
actions I think are three legs of a
stool and they actually are all
interrelated to one another so that
would be my grandmas theory of what
might be going on
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