David Sacks Predicts the Regulatory Capture Playbook to Ban Open Source AI, Step by Step
55 segments
I got bad news for you, Chamath. An open
source ban is coming. They're not going
to call it that. They're going to say
that we simply have to apply the same
standards to open models that we apply
to closed. Here's how they do it
step-by-step. Let me explain how
regulatory capture actually works. So,
first of all, you got to get this
regulatory apparatus. Dario wants an FDA
for AI, but he doesn't have enough
political support for that. So, instead,
they do this Trojan horse of a FINRA for
AI. They call it self-regulating. It's
not really. But anyway, that gets them
off the ground. Now, they've created the
standard-setting organization. Now,
they've got pre-release model testing.
Then, the pressure grows to codify that
in law. So, that happens next. And then,
what they do is they say, "Look, all
these standards need to apply equally to
all models." But here's the problem with
that. Open models and closed models are
technologically different. Once you
release an open model into the world,
you can't roll it back, and you can't
monitor exactly how people are using it
because they run it on their own
hardware. Dario says this is what makes
open models dangerous. So, what they're
going to do is they're going to have the
standard-setting body say, "Well, we
have to set the standards for AI
safety." By the way, Dario and OpenAI,
they're going to fund the whole thing.
They're going to contribute all the
compute. They're going to be behind it.
They're going to be the ones
coordinating with the government
officials because frankly, people in
government have no idea how to monitor
and control and set standards for AI
safety. Technologically, this is way
beyond them. So, they're going to go to
these companies and say, "Tell us how to
do it."
And so, what will happen is the
standards will get set, and then it'll
be a very simple matter of fairness to
say that the standards need to apply to
open as well as closed models. The open
models cannot comply in the same way,
and gradually they will be shut out of
the market.
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The video outlines a strategic process of regulatory capture in the AI industry, where major players like OpenAI and Anthropic are allegedly pushing for standard-setting organizations that would eventually force open-source AI models to adhere to the same compliance rules as closed models. The speaker argues this will effectively kill the open-source market because open models cannot comply with the same monitoring and control standards as proprietary, closed systems.
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