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This Viral Bag Might Save YETI’s Stock

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This Viral Bag Might Save YETI’s Stock

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300 segments

0:00

So, there is a single Tik Tok video that

0:03

came out a few weeks ago. It's out of

0:06

nowhere. This bad that's been around. A

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single video set off an avalanche of

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other videos and comments and interest.

0:16

And now, the Camino bag by Yeti has

0:19

become the mom bag of the summer 2025.

0:23

>> Apparently, these Yeti Camino bags are

0:25

the bag of the summer and everyone is

0:28

fighting for them. And you know, this is

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what we're all about. This one bag. Can

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it be a needle mover for Yeti? That is

0:35

the big question. And I visited the Yeti

0:38

store, Dave, right by our house. First

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of all, I watched about a hundred videos

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on the Camino bag. I read a few thousand

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comments on the Yeti bag. I got in the

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mind of all the moms who were going

0:50

crazy about the new Camino bag. Then I

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went to the store and I talked to the

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clerk and sure enough there were only a

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couple in inventory the color that

0:59

nobody wanted. Uh but I did get to hold

1:01

the bag in my hands and see it. This is

1:03

my low tech way of sharing my screen

1:04

today.

1:05

>> And that one has a little attachment on

1:07

the bag like a a little like side cart

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badge.

1:12

But what was interesting is she said

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it's one of the biggest things that

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they've ever had. She said that they've

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been fielding phone calls constantly on

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it. It's obviously sold out in almost

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every color. Most people do not have a

1:26

Yeti store by them uh because there's

1:28

only like 50ish 30 to 50 I forget the

1:31

exact number of Yeti stores uh in the

1:33

US. So most people have to go to Dick

1:35

Sporting Goods. So if you have a Dick

1:37

Sporting Goods, you might want to go by

1:38

there and check it out yourself and

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speak to the people there. But she said

1:42

absolutely, it's bringing massive foot

1:44

traffic to the store. So when we see

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something like this, the thesis is

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always the same. It's one big product.

1:52

That product might not be a needle mover

1:55

in and within itself. There's the graph.

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You can see it. I mean, that is insane.

1:59

That's Yeti bag. Look at the way it

2:01

shoots up. That's just the last two to

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three weeks. Okay. So, the thesis is

2:07

that this bag going mega viral will one

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bring millions of eyeballs and foot

2:15

traffic to Yeti just looking to see the

2:19

bag for themselves if they want it or

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don't want it. And then once they're in

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the store or once they're on the

2:24

website, you would have to imagine the

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way things work in the world is for x

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number of people that you're able to get

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to see your products, one of them is

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going to one out of so many is going to

2:35

purchase something random. All right?

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So, they'll see another bag they like or

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they'll see another little thing that

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they didn't even know exist at Yeti

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because you're not just casually going

2:42

to yeti.com, right? Unless there's a

2:44

reason to. But now you have a reason to

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because you want to see what this bag is

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all about. Um, you want to see the

2:48

different colors, right? you want to see

2:49

if maybe it's something you want to buy

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or not. That's a big deal. The other big

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deal is that because this one product is

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so popular and so hot and so trendy

2:59

right now, that cast a positive light on

3:03

the entire Yeti brand, which for a lot

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of people, not everyone, but for a lot

3:07

of people hasn't really been the hot

3:10

trendy brand the last few years.

3:11

>> Yeah. because there's so many knockoffs

3:13

and so many so much competition has

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entered the space that Yeti while still

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the aspirational brand

3:20

>> what kind I mean Stanley kind of took

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over a lot of the the mugs how many how

3:24

many Yeti coolers do you need are they

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you think Yeti's saturated

3:28

>> well I thought that Yeti was super

3:31

saturated okay I was super concerned

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about the company I actually have a note

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that I made for myself not too long ago

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and the note says says research shorting

3:44

Yeti. Not because I had any information

3:47

on Yeti, but because it's one of those

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brands that I'm always thinking might

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fall apart because of oversaturation.

3:56

Okay. If they don't execute flawlessly.

3:59

>> And if you look at a 5-year chart, they

4:01

they did fall apart. Their stock

4:04

fell apart.

4:06

>> You're Yeah, you were looking at an

4:08

artificial bump. It's not artificial.

4:10

That bump that you're seeing was at the

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peak of the Yeti Cup craze, which

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obviously couldn't last forever. So now

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the big question is how do they rebuild

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the brand to be something sustain

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sustaining or is it a flash in the pan

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where it becomes really weird to have

4:28

the the logo Yeti on anything that you

4:30

own? But that is the three-month chart.

4:32

So they have it has been discovered and

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it is recognized now as making some sort

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of a comeback. And all I needed to see

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for me to get into this trade was that

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Google Trends chart. The searches for

4:45

Yeti bag being basically flat for 5

4:48

years and then accelerating off the top

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of the chart. That's all I needed. And

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so I bought options. So I have a few

4:55

options. But here's the thing. I I

4:57

didn't not have I did not put 20 30

4:59

hours into researching Yeti yet. There's

5:02

a lot of stuff happening at the company.

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There's the tariff stuff. they're trying

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to get their cups 95% out of China. Uh

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the the the big story line for Yeti

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right now for investors without having a

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trending product is the international

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expansion. They had two big key hires

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that they recently made. These are two

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amazing executives that have really done

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a killer job uh with international

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expansion at their last companies. Their

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goal is to expand Yeti throughout Europe

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and to expand Yeti throughout Asia.

5:34

Okay, so that's the underlying potential

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big story for Yeti. I don't think that

5:40

this bag up until maybe the last couple

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days because since, you know, I did

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share it in Discord first uh yesterday

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to our kind of super uh kind of

5:50

followers, but

5:53

I don't think this bag was on most

5:55

people's radar, at least institutional

5:56

Wall Street, but the data is obviously

5:59

starting to show up now. I just don't

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know if this bag I in fact I know it

6:04

probably will not move the needle this

6:06

quarter. Earnings are like August 7th or

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9th. This is happening too late in the

6:11

quarter. They're not going to have

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enough inventory for it to move the Yeti

6:16

needle, but it could potentially

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impact uh uh the forecast projections

6:25

for next quarter. It's a nice talking

6:27

point. I just don't know how meaningful

6:31

this is. But when I see something that

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is this hot, I know its potential to

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move the needle in other ways and I

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can't help to throw some money behind

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the brand that has the hot product. That

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that's always something I'm comfortable

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doing. You know why? It's like gambling

6:50

on a roulette wheel where you have a

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couple extra, you know, red pieces,

6:55

>> extra slots, couple extra double zeros

6:58

to bet on. Exactly.

7:00

>> Yeah. Nobody knows about that. It's like

7:02

the roulette wheel is tilted in your

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favor. And so it doesn't mean you're

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going to guarantee a win there, but it

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means there's something a little extra

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that maybe not all the investors are

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familiar with that you are. And so for

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me, that was worth throwing some money

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into equity at Yeti. And and listen, I

7:22

got I got some options, but it's not a

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lot going into earnings next month.

7:27

>> And that's what I did, too. I got some

7:29

going just just after earnings date

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expecting that this is not going to

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actually impact their earnings this

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quarter. But I just would love for them

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to say and and they're the type of

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company that would say we've seen an

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uptick in interest in this line and all

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that's that's really all I'm hoping for

7:49

in earnings is them to mention that

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they've seen something positive that

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they can maybe not even put a projection

7:56

out but just that that this is this is

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impacting or has the potential of

8:01

impacting in the future. So, just so

8:03

you're aware, in the last earnings

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report, they did call out the Camino bag

8:08

as something that was already picking up

8:11

traction. Okay, this has nothing to do

8:13

with the video. The video came after

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that, but it was interesting. Obviously,

8:17

the Yeti obviously the Camino bag was

8:20

already kind of doing a little bit

8:21

better than expected going into the

8:24

quarter.

8:24

>> Well, that's interesting because the

8:26

stock chart basically went straight up

8:28

since that last earnings. So, it's kind

8:32

of like may maybe there will be an

8:34

impact if they were already seeing it

8:36

last. I I didn't read the earnings

8:38

transcript because I'm on vacation.

8:41

>> Dave, I think it's more about

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international growth and I think it's

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more about tariff cooldowns, right? Like

8:47

cuz like the tariff situation was really

8:50

scary. What the company announced in the

8:52

last earnings call is that they were

8:54

going to be able to pull 95% of the Yeti

8:58

mug cup stuff out of China I think by

9:01

the end of this year. So they were going

9:03

to have essentially almost no exposure

9:05

to China starting in 2026

9:09

and that they said they still would be

9:11

impacted for another quarter or two. uh

9:15

there are still some headwinds but there

9:17

was light at the end of the tunnel and I

9:20

think that more than anything else is

9:22

what investors were focused on. I do

9:24

believe that this commamino bag is

9:26

something a little extra right that that

9:29

I don't I just know how institutional

9:31

investors they're not they're not

9:33

watching these Tik Tok videos yet. Now,

9:35

there's a story that came out today on

9:38

the Commamino bad, and I always wonder.

9:40

I told I told some people about it, you

9:43

know, a couple days ago. I put it in our

9:45

Discord. I'm like, where are they? Why

9:47

are they all of a sudden talking about

9:48

the community? I actually think there

9:50

was a member of our community that I was

9:53

so consumed with Nvidia that ping me on

9:58

this bag. Uh, but I just can't even find

10:01

the note anymore. But I was like once I

10:04

pulled it myself, I was like, "Wait,

10:06

someone told me about this." So I think

10:07

one of the dumb money community members,

10:09

it might be in our discord weeks ago.

10:12

And that's why like

10:14

>> probably I saw I saw a comment a while

10:16

back where someone said that that

10:18

they've been on on this for weeks.

10:19

>> Yeah. So listen, we are not the source

10:22

of alpha in dumb money. There are people

10:24

in our community that are way more on

10:28

top of stuff than I am, okay? Because I

10:30

can only do so many things. They like

10:32

you guys, we are so consumed with so

10:35

many projects and private investments

10:37

and businesses. Uh Jordan is cooking on

10:41

something insanely big with one of our

10:43

community members right now. I'll won't

10:46

talk about yet. Uh but we're going to

10:47

bring it to the community, I think,

10:48

pretty soon. Uh but there are community

10:52

members that are finding things left and

10:55

right. And I'm so proud of like the D

10:58

money community and I should spend more

11:01

time listening and helping you guys. I

11:04

just been consumed with Nvidia. So I'm

11:06

back and I'm going to I'm going to

11:08

provide all the data for all the retail

11:10

companies this week. I promise in the

11:12

research channel Discord I'll pull the

11:14

web stats. I'll pull pull the credit

11:16

card transaction data. By the way, I

11:18

have not even pulled credit card

11:21

transaction. Dude, I pay so much money

11:23

for this data. you have so much data at

11:25

your fingertips and that you don't even

11:27

use it. But Google Trends like that that

11:30

for me, you sent a screenshot of a

11:31

Google Trends and I bought some options.

11:34

That's that was that was the level of uh

11:37

research that I needed for a fun trade.

11:40

This is not a life-changing trade. This

11:42

is just a fun trade. And since

11:44

yesterday, I am up. I hope for it to

11:47

keep going up, but the options that I'm

11:48

in are up 38% today.

11:50

>> So, for me, I'm not in this for a few

11:52

days. I I'm highly likely to keep this

11:56

trade on for weeks and potentially keep

12:00

the trade on all the way through

12:02

earnings. You know, we'll we'll see what

12:04

happens.

Interactive Summary

The video discusses the viral popularity of the Yeti Camino bag, which has surged in interest on TikTok and social media, positioning it as a potential 'mom bag of the summer 2025.' The hosts analyze this trend as a catalyst for increased foot traffic to retail stores and a way to re-energize the Yeti brand. While acknowledging that this specific product might not significantly impact the upcoming earnings report, the hosts discuss the company's broader recovery strategy, including international expansion and supply chain shifts, while highlighting the value of community-sourced insights for investment research.

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