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This Is A Historic Buying Opportunity (98% Will Miss It)

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This Is A Historic Buying Opportunity (98% Will Miss It)

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467 segments

0:00

If you put $10,000 into Nvidia when Chat

0:02

GPT launched less than 4 years ago,

0:05

you'd have over $120,000

0:07

today. If you invested that money into

0:09

Micron just last year, you'd already

0:12

have over 75 grand. Well, there's

0:15

another kind of AI chip that's quietly

0:17

changing which stocks are about to win

0:19

big and making their investors very rich

0:22

along the way. My name is Alex and I

0:24

spent 8 years as an electrical engineer

0:26

and AI researcher at MIT. And I never

0:29

thought that this would be the next big

0:31

battleground for AI. Let me show you

0:33

what's going on and how I'm investing in

0:35

it. Your time is valuable, so let's get

0:38

right into it. For the last 4 years,

0:40

data centers were priced as a GPU

0:42

business. Accelerators from companies

0:44

like Nvidia, AMD, and Broadcom are the

0:46

product and every piece of AI

0:49

infrastructure was built around them.

0:51

Not just the power, the cooling, and the

0:53

server racks, but also the networking

0:55

chips, the memory, and even the CPU

0:57

alongside them. But that's quickly

1:00

changing and to

1:01

we need to understand the science behind

1:03

the stocks. GPUs break math problems

1:06

down into thousands of tiny pieces,

1:08

solve every piece at once, put the

1:10

pieces back together, and return the

1:12

final answer. That's why they're so

1:14

fast. But the trick is that not every

1:16

calculation can be broken into tiny

1:19

pieces in the first place. That's why

1:21

many of Nvidia's CUDA libraries focus on

1:23

transforming real-world problems into

1:26

problems that a GPU can solve. That's

1:28

what they mean by accelerating different

1:30

industries. A CPU works the exact

1:33

opposite way. It can handle any kind of

1:35

problem, but it handles one problem at a

1:38

time. So, GPUs do predictable work in

1:40

parallel while CPUs do unpredictable

1:43

work in sequence. When you ask Chat GPT

1:46

or Claude or Gemini a question, it

1:49

basically goes straight to a GPU. Your

1:51

sentence gets chopped into tiny pieces

1:54

called tokens and every piece runs

1:56

through the same neural network.

1:58

Billions of numbers, each multiplied in

2:00

the same pattern, layer by layer, the

2:03

perfect shape for a GPU. So, the CPU

2:06

hands the work over and then stays out

2:08

of the way. But, AI agents flip this

2:10

script entirely. An agent reads your

2:12

request, comes up with a step-by-step

2:15

plan, makes a bunch of separate tool

2:17

calls, writes code, and maybe even

2:19

spawns sub-agents to handle different

2:22

steps along the way. The math still runs

2:24

on GPUs, but everything else runs on the

2:27

CPU. Choosing what to do next, fetching

2:30

files, moving data, and so on. Even when

2:32

I worked on these kinds of systems back

2:34

at MIT 10 years ago, which were way

2:37

smaller and simpler at the time, the GPU

2:39

was waiting while the CPU had to think.

2:42

Agents push that to the limit, which is

2:44

why the CPU is becoming the next big

2:47

battleground for AI. And the battle is

2:49

between the biggest companies with the

2:51

most advanced technology in the world.

2:54

Let's start with Nvidia. Nvidia has

2:56

their Grace CPUs and superchips. The

2:58

Grace CPU has 72 cores, and the

3:01

superchip connects two of them together,

3:03

so they act like one giant CPU with 144

3:07

ARM Neoverse V2 cores. But, here's the

3:10

big problem. Neoverse is the data center

3:13

CPU core design that's sold by ARM.

3:16

Nvidia only licenses it. So, Nvidia

3:19

might be the king of AI CPUs, but the

3:21

castle belongs to ARM. Nvidia sold

3:24

nearly 2.5 million Grace CPUs to date,

3:28

and every one of them pays a royalty

3:30

back to ARM. Nvidia's answer is a chip

3:32

called Vera, which has 88 custom Olympus

3:35

cores that are designed in-house, making

3:38

it their first fully custom CPU. Nvidia

3:41

kept exactly one thing from ARM, the

3:43

instruction set. That's the language the

3:45

processor understands, and the list of

3:48

commands that software can give it. So,

3:50

code written for Grace can run on Vera

3:53

without needing to be rewritten. That

3:55

means Nvidia can keep every line of code

3:57

their customers already wrote and stop

4:00

paying arm for the cores that run it.

4:02

Nvidia already delivered the first Vera

4:05

CPUs last quarter to Anthropic, OpenAI,

4:08

SpaceX, and Oracle. On their latest

4:11

earnings call, Nvidia reported over $75

4:14

billion

4:14

in data center revenues for the quarter,

4:17

roughly $60 billion from compute and $15

4:20

billion from networking. When investors

4:22

think about AI compute, they think about

4:24

GPUs. But Nvidia's CFO, Colette Kress,

4:28

said that they expect around $20 billion

4:30

in CPU revenues this year alone and that

4:34

AI CPUs are a brand new $200 billion

4:37

total addressable market for Nvidia. But

4:40

Nvidia doesn't dominate this market the

4:42

same way they dominate the GPU market.

4:45

In fact, they have some serious

4:46

competition from arm, from Qualcomm, and

4:50

from AMD. All three are massive chip

4:52

companies and all three are making some

4:54

very big moves. By the way, if you've

4:56

ever wondered whether a stock is

4:58

actually worth its price, you are not

5:00

alone. Finding a company's fair value is

5:02

one of the hardest parts of investing.

5:04

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6:00

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15%. Talk about a no-brainer. All right,

6:06

let's start with ARM, since they own the

6:08

architecture that NVIDIA's CPUs

6:10

currently rely on. On July 29th, during

6:13

their earnings call, ARM told

6:15

shareholders that the initial version of

6:17

their AGI CPU was already delivered to

6:20

multiple customers, marking the end of a

6:22

35-year era. Ever since they were

6:25

founded in 1990, ARM was the arms dealer

6:27

that never picked a side. They sold

6:30

blueprints to Apple and Qualcomm, NVIDIA

6:32

and Amazon, and they collected up to 5%

6:35

royalties on every chip, while everyone

6:38

else fought the war. That is, until now.

6:41

ARM recently launched the AGI CPU, the

6:44

first chip they've ever designed and

6:46

sold themselves, which means they make

6:48

100% of the revenue instead of just

6:51

five. And right off the bat, this chip

6:53

has some serious specs, up to 136 cores

6:57

per chip, running at 300 W, and built on

7:00

TSMC's 3 nm process, with Meta as the

7:04

lead partner and co-developer. ARM

7:06

claims that their AGI CPU has more than

7:08

double the performance per rack versus

7:10

x86 chips, and they have over $2 billion

7:13

of demand over the next 2 years. But,

7:16

they've only secured enough

7:17

manufacturing capacity to meet around

7:20

half of that. That capacity is being

7:22

constrained by wafers, substrates,

7:24

memory, and testing, all things that ARM

7:27

never had to worry about when they were

7:29

only selling blueprints. And that shift

7:31

is already showing up in their numbers.

7:33

Revenues came in at $1.3 billion for the

7:36

quarter, which is up 22% year-over-year,

7:40

with revenue from royalties also up by

7:42

22% but data center royalties more than

7:45

doubled growing at least four times

7:47

faster than the rest of the business.

7:49

This was also the quarter where arm

7:51

stopped reporting remaining performance

7:53

obligations. That's the revenue they

7:55

have under contract but haven't

7:57

collected yet which usually gives

7:59

investors visibility into their next few

8:01

quarters so they can track and predict

8:03

arms growth. In my opinion this was the

8:05

single most useful forward-looking

8:07

metric that arm published and they

8:09

stopped the same quarter that they

8:11

started shipping hardware. The last

8:13

number that we got was 2.07 billion

8:15

dollars at the end of March which is

8:17

actually down 7% from the year before.

8:20

But now we have to wait until their

8:21

annual report next spring for the most

8:24

updated number. Until then I think gross

8:26

margin is the number to watch. Arm went

8:29

from collecting high margin royalties

8:30

with very clear visibility to also

8:33

having to worry about wafer costs,

8:35

production capacity risks, and hardware

8:37

like margins. Investors should see real

8:40

revenues from the AGI CPU in fiscal year

8:43

2028. So that's when we'll get a much

8:45

better sense for their overall margins.

8:47

But I think the market is already

8:49

pricing in their chip sales to

8:50

perfection. Arm's current price to sales

8:53

ratio is close to 50. Not earnings,

8:56

sales. That's almost 10 times higher

8:58

than the semiconductor industry average

9:01

and their forward price to sales ratio

9:03

is almost 39 while every other stock in

9:06

this video sits between 4 and 14.

9:09

Qualcomm is one of Arm's biggest

9:11

customers and their forward price to

9:13

sales ratio is under four. So let's talk

9:16

about them next. If you own an Android

9:18

phone there's a good chance that

9:20

Qualcomm built the processor inside it.

9:22

Their Snapdragon chips are in most

9:24

flagship Android devices. Their modems

9:26

were inside iPhones for years and they

9:28

collect some kind of royalty on almost

9:30

every smartphone on the planet even the

9:32

ones running on someone else's silicon.

9:35

They even make some chips for cars, but

9:37

Qualcomm builds their Orion cores under

9:40

an architectural license from ARM.

9:42

Qualcomm also reported earnings on July

9:44

29th. Revenues came in at $9.9 billion

9:48

with $2.21 of earnings per share. Their

9:51

automotive business hit a record $1.6

9:54

billion,

9:55

which is up 61% year-over-year. That's

9:58

their 23rd straight quarter of

10:01

double-digit automotive growth. Internet

10:03

of Things came in at $1.8 billion, which

10:05

was up 9%, but handsets came in at $5.1

10:09

billion, which was down 20%

10:12

year-over-year. That decline is largely

10:14

due to them having lower share of modems

10:17

in the coming iPhone launch as Apple

10:19

keeps transitioning to their own custom

10:21

chips. Qualcomm's management said that

10:23

this quarter marks the bottom for

10:25

handsets and announced double-digit

10:27

price increases on their chips starting

10:29

September 1st. That also means the

10:32

non-phone business is now carrying the

10:34

company. Qualcomm guided year-over-year

10:37

growth in non-handset revenue to jump

10:39

from 24% this fiscal year to over 60%

10:42

next year, and they specifically called

10:45

out data centers as part of that growth.

10:47

At their investor day back in June,

10:49

Qualcomm set a target of more than $15

10:51

billion in data center revenue by 2029.

10:55

This year, it's around $300 million.

10:57

So, that's roughly 50x growth in just 3

11:00

years, and it would account for more

11:02

than a third of Qualcomm's entire

11:04

trailing 12-month revenue of $44

11:07

billion. Said another way, Qualcomm

11:09

expects their new data center segment to

11:12

account for roughly a third of

11:13

everything it took them 40 years to

11:16

build so far. Even though their data

11:18

center revenue is small today, they've

11:20

already lined up some massive customers.

11:22

Meta signed a multi-generation agreement

11:24

for Qualcomm's CPUs for their

11:26

next-generation server fleet, and Satya

11:29

Nadella confirmed that Azure will deploy

11:31

Qualcomm's accelerators starting next

11:33

year. Qualcomm's Dragonfly C1000 at data

11:36

center CPU also has some serious specs,

11:39

over 250 Orion cores across multiple

11:43

connected dies, kind of like Nvidia's

11:45

Blackwell GPUs. But, here's the thing.

11:48

Qualcomm has never shipped a data center

11:51

CPU. Their custom silicon revenue starts

11:53

later this year. The Azure accelerators

11:56

land in 2027, and the C1000 CPU itself

12:00

doesn't start production until the

12:01

second half of 2028. So, the money is

12:04

booked, the customers are signed, but

12:07

the actual chip is still 2 years out.

12:09

Like I said earlier, Qualcomm's forward

12:11

price to sales ratio is under four, 10

12:14

times cheaper than ARM. So, while ARM's

12:17

AGI CPU is already priced in, Qualcomm's

12:20

C1000 CPU seems to be priced at zero,

12:24

making it a good opportunity to get in

12:26

early, at least for long-term investors

12:29

that are willing to take a risk on a

12:31

brand new chip from a company that just

12:33

pivoted to data centers. But, if you

12:35

want to bet on the current king of CPUs

12:37

instead, let's talk about AMD next. And

12:40

if you feel I've earned it, consider

12:42

hitting the like button and subscribing

12:44

to the channel. It really does help, and

12:46

it lets me know to make more content

12:48

like this. Thanks. Now, let's talk about

12:50

AMD's AI chips. On July 20th, Microsoft

12:53

announced that they'll deploy AMD's

12:55

Helios systems on Azure, pairing the

12:58

Instinct MI455X

13:00

GPUs with their sixth generation Epic

13:02

CPUs, code named Venice. Let me break

13:05

that down for you. Helios is a

13:07

rack-scale system, which means that AMD

13:10

is selling an entire rack, accelerators,

13:13

CPUs, networking, and software, all

13:15

wired up and optimized to work together,

13:18

delivered as a single unit. Microsoft is

13:20

coming out with three new kinds of

13:22

virtual machines based on AMD's

13:24

hardware. The NDMI455X

13:27

V7 for AI inference on Helios itself,

13:30

the Azure HDV2 for a gentic AI and data

13:33

pipelines, and the Azure HX V2

13:36

specifically for semiconductor design.

13:39

Here's why this is a big deal. Cloud

13:41

providers only create and offer virtual

13:43

machines at scale for configurations

13:46

that they plan to run and rent out for

13:48

years. So, Microsoft is basically

13:50

committing to AMD's racks much more

13:52

aggressively than any normal purchase or

13:55

could. They're putting AMD's technology

13:57

on the menu as a permanent product line.

14:00

Helios is already in production and

14:02

leading AI companies are going to deploy

14:04

these systems at gigawatt scales. Just

14:07

to be clear, 1 gigawatt is roughly the

14:10

power output of a large nuclear reactor.

14:13

Open AI signed a deal for 6 gigawatts

14:15

worth of AMD GPUs. Meta signed a deal

14:18

for 6 more gigawatts of Helios racks

14:21

running Venice. Anthropic signed up for

14:23

another 2 gigawatts and AMD committed up

14:26

to $5 billion worth of equity to

14:29

Anthropic that same week. And here's

14:31

where we come full circle. AMD's Helios

14:34

racks have 72 distinct MI455X GPUs and

14:39

18 epic Venice CPUs. That's one CPU for

14:43

every four GPUs. Almost every Wall

14:45

Street analyst models GPU sales, but

14:48

almost none of them account for the 18

14:50

powerful and expensive CPUs that are

14:53

shipping with every rack. CPUs that are

14:55

becoming more and more necessary to

14:57

power AI agents and CPUs that have zero

15:01

competition because Helios comes as one

15:04

integrated package. I think the entire

15:06

way we measure and predict market share

15:08

is about to change. The old way is

15:11

counting units. How many chips or

15:13

dollars every company sold versus their

15:15

competitors. But, the new way is

15:17

counting tokens and watts. Each

15:19

company's share of AI power deployed and

15:22

the amount of tokens their systems are

15:24

generating per watt. OpenAI, Meta, and

15:27

Anthropic are signing up for 14

15:29

gigawatts under AMD. That's a pretty big

15:32

deal if it all actually gets deployed.

15:35

But, there are three important details

15:36

to the AMD story that investors really

15:39

should remember. First, AMD is paying a

15:41

serious sum for those gigawatts. AMD

15:44

gave OpenAI warrants for up to 160

15:47

million shares, and Meta Platforms 160

15:50

million more, all priced at 1 penny

15:53

each. That means they're giving away up

15:54

to 20% of the entire company to secure

15:57

these deals, and they invested another

16:00

$5 billion into Anthropic on top of

16:02

that. Second, these deals are not

16:04

guaranteed. There are a lot of

16:06

performance milestones along the way,

16:08

and OpenAI and Meta still have to

16:10

actually deploy these chips in racks.

16:13

So, all of that is still in front of

16:14

them, even though it's all already

16:16

priced into AMD's stock. And third, AMD

16:20

just reported earnings right as I'm

16:21

recording this video. The revenue came

16:23

in at $11.5 billion,

16:25

which was up 50% year-over-year. Data

16:28

center revenues came in at $6.7 billion,

16:31

up 107%

16:33

year-over-year, and now accounting for

16:35

58% of AMD's total revenues. They even

16:39

guided next quarter's revenue to roughly

16:41

$13 billion. That sounds great until you

16:44

compare it to Nvidia. I know I'm beating

16:47

a dead horse here, but it's important to

16:49

know that AMD is five times more

16:52

expensive than Nvidia by PE ratio, and

16:55

three times more expensive by forward PE

16:57

ratio. And AMD's multiples have only

17:00

been going up with each earnings call,

17:02

while Nvidia's have been coming down.

17:05

I'm not saying you shouldn't buy AMD

17:07

stock, but I am saying you should

17:09

understand what you're buying if you do.

17:12

Hopefully, this video helped you

17:13

understand that AI CPUs are no longer

17:16

stand-alone chips. They're a core

17:18

component of the infrastructure for

17:20

agentic AI and a big battleground for

17:23

every major semiconductor company. And

17:26

AMD's CEO Lisa Su just confirmed on

17:28

their earnings call that demand for

17:30

accelerators and CPUs keeps growing

17:33

faster than anyone expected. Funny

17:35

enough, the two companies sitting at the

17:37

center of it all are actually Meta

17:39

Platforms and TSMC, neither of which

17:42

sell any CPUs themselves. Meta is Arm's

17:45

lead partner for the AGI CPU. A flagship

17:48

customer for Qualcomm's Dragonfly C1000,

17:51

they bought 6 gigawatts worth of Helios

17:53

racks from AMD, and they're one of

17:55

Nvidia's largest AI infrastructure

17:57

customers. So, if you hear that AI

17:59

spending is slowing down, Meta is the

18:01

company to check first. And all four

18:03

companies rely on TSMC to make these

18:06

chips in the first place. AMD's Venice,

18:09

Nvidia's Grace and Vera, Arm's AGI CPU,

18:12

and Qualcomm's Dragonfly C1000 are all

18:15

made on TSMC's most advanced nodes. So,

18:18

if they have any delays, supply

18:20

constraints, or somehow fall behind,

18:22

every company we just covered will feel

18:25

it, too. But as for me, I'm betting that

18:27

Meta spending keeps growing, that TSMC

18:30

keeps producing, and that AI agents are

18:32

here to stay, making data center CPU

18:35

stocks a great way to get rich without

18:37

getting lucky. And if you want to see

18:39

even more stocks I'm buying to get rich

18:41

without getting lucky, check out this

18:43

video next. Either way, thanks for

18:45

watching, and until next time, this is

18:47

ticker symbol U. My name is Alex,

18:49

reminding you that the best investment

18:51

you can make

18:53

is in you.

Interactive Summary

The video explains that as AI shifts from simple generative models toward autonomous 'AI agents,' the demand for processing power is changing. While GPUs have been the primary engine for generative AI, agentic workflows—which require complex task planning, coding, and data management—are making the CPU a critical new battleground in the semiconductor industry. The video analyzes the strategic moves of key players like Nvidia, ARM, Qualcomm, and AMD, who are all vying for dominance in this expanding market. It highlights that the future of AI infrastructure is increasingly measured by efficiency in power usage and token generation, rather than just raw chip volume, with companies like Meta and TSMC playing pivotal roles in the ecosystem.

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