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China's Belt and Road Problem - Sarah Paine

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China's Belt and Road Problem - Sarah Paine

Transcript

32 segments

0:00

And our latest dictator [music] for

0:01

life, Xi Jinping, he's got this Belt

0:03

Road thing that he thinks is going to be

0:04

a good idea. Good luck with that one,

0:06

and here are the statistics that back me

0:07

up. Until 1960, the average tanker size

0:11

was 20,000 deadweight tons. And if you

0:14

look in our own day, the smallest

0:16

ultra-large crude tankers are a quarter

0:18

of a million. I believe that the longest

0:20

train can take maybe 600 containers,

0:23

whereas the largest container ships can

0:25

take over 21,000 cargoes valued over $1

0:28

billion. Not only is it far cheaper to

0:30

send things by sea, it is far more

0:33

secure. If you're going to run the Belt

0:34

Road thing, the belt part of it, the

0:36

land part, you've got to control the

0:38

whole thing end to end. You're going

0:39

through some of the most unstable places

0:41

there are. Good luck with that one. And

0:42

also for China, with its geographical

0:45

setup as it is, the seas are going to be

0:47

open to it only in peacetime. In

0:49

wartime, it is surrounded by loads of

0:52

neighbors, shallow seas, lots of

0:54

islands. They're blocked in from the

0:56

high seas for very predictable points.

0:59

In wartime, those places become kill

1:01

zones. Even your surface ships won't

1:03

make it out. So, a peace is definitely

1:04

the better thing.

Interactive Summary

The video discusses the strategic and logistical flaws of China's Belt and Road Initiative, comparing the inefficiency of land-based transport against the economic and security advantages of maritime shipping, while highlighting China's geographic vulnerability during wartime.

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