China's Belt and Road Problem - Sarah Paine
32 segments
And our latest dictator [music] for
life, Xi Jinping, he's got this Belt
Road thing that he thinks is going to be
a good idea. Good luck with that one,
and here are the statistics that back me
up. Until 1960, the average tanker size
was 20,000 deadweight tons. And if you
look in our own day, the smallest
ultra-large crude tankers are a quarter
of a million. I believe that the longest
train can take maybe 600 containers,
whereas the largest container ships can
take over 21,000 cargoes valued over $1
billion. Not only is it far cheaper to
send things by sea, it is far more
secure. If you're going to run the Belt
Road thing, the belt part of it, the
land part, you've got to control the
whole thing end to end. You're going
through some of the most unstable places
there are. Good luck with that one. And
also for China, with its geographical
setup as it is, the seas are going to be
open to it only in peacetime. In
wartime, it is surrounded by loads of
neighbors, shallow seas, lots of
islands. They're blocked in from the
high seas for very predictable points.
In wartime, those places become kill
zones. Even your surface ships won't
make it out. So, a peace is definitely
the better thing.
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The video discusses the strategic and logistical flaws of China's Belt and Road Initiative, comparing the inefficiency of land-based transport against the economic and security advantages of maritime shipping, while highlighting China's geographic vulnerability during wartime.
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