내 멘토는 피터틸 (1시간 30분 전체번역)
3073 segments
I think there was an Elon metaphor he
told me once and this is like I I don't
remember when it was like maybe 2010
2011 and it was it was it was sort of
like uh there were there were these
three or four aerospace companies in the
US that were like really badly managed
and badly run and it was sort of they
were these very fat cows on this grassy
enclosed field and if you ever got in
there there was just going to be a blood
bath.
>> Oh yeah. [laughter]
So it's kind of
>> it's like he's like this this there's
this this carnivore and there's a big
fence and you got to climb this really
big fence. Eventually you got in there.
It's going to be it's but so so this is
a very optimistic thing though because
both Elon and and what we built together
uh with Palanteer were able to be great
enough and persistent enough to overcome
unnatural barriers and and do something
very optimistic and fix things. Is
should we also be trying to do that in
healthcare and education and
universities in some sense? Is it cuz it
was almost impossible but it turned out
after like years of work that we did it.
Shouldn't we also do that now in other
areas? It is it is worth trying in a lot
of areas. Look, I I always think it's
better to be optimistic than
pessimistic. It is um it's probably not
I the the place where I quibble with the
name of your show is that uh I I don't
think it's I don't think it's good to be
uh insanely optimistic or insanely
pessimistic. uh at the extreme optimism
and pessimism are the same thing because
if you are extremely pessimistic there's
nothing you can do. If you're extremely
optimistic there's nothing you need to
do. Um you just need to um you know the
singularity is near. It's the Curtzsw
Wild uh book title very optimistic title
and all you need to do is sit back and
eat some popcorn and watch the movie of
the future unfold. So both extreme
optimism and extreme pessimism. um
converge on laziness and on people not
doing anything. So uh so I so I I yeah
so I think moderate optimism is the
correct thing and then and then I I I
think you have to always pick pick your
battles. the the part that's um
the part that's
I think more difficult about education
and healthcare
um or historically was more difficult
was that these were these were areas
that lots of people were trying to
reform and there were lots of different
attempts people had uh if um whereas
let's say the in 2004 2003 2004 2005
when we started Palunteer
um the idea of trying to uh to do a
military related uh software startup.
There was nobody even wanted to give you
money as a venture capitalist. People
thought we were insane.
>> And so there was sort of an element
where
>> if you could get through you would have
no competition and then you know a
decade later we still had no
competition. There's probably a lot more
going on in the in the defense space now
than there was in the in the mid 2000s.
But and and again and again having zero
competition
it it's good if it works maybe it just
tells you you're insane. So even that's
an ambiguous thing
>> but then the um
>> the the place where I've had we probably
the two areas where I've had the you
know we we've tried to invest I at this
venture capital thing we started
founders fund 2005 in different ways
I've been been at this and I' done some
angel investing before that but I've
been been doing this for 20 plus years
and the area where we've probably had
the least success from a returnsbased is
in software. The two worst areas are um
are educational software related
companies and healthcare IT companies
and um and pro like education we we felt
was so hard we we didn't even uh we did
very little healthcare we tried a few
more things but um it's and and and the
the the rough version of what's gone
wrong in the health care sectors we've
done so little in education I feel I
can't even comment on it but but
healthcare What's what's roughly gone
wrong is um you have all sorts of things
that sound like a pretty good plan for
reforming the system and it's okay it's
this one angle on the pricing model you
need to change but then there are 10
different ways you can do it and it's
these complicated uh ways you have to
get the payments to shift from the
insurance companies or the government or
uh the hospitals which are very cluji if
you can just get consumers or doctors to
change that might be easier but the they
typically are not the people who pay.
And so there sort of are there's this,
you know, very cluji messed up system.
Lots of people try try to do it. My my
sociological model is always that I'm
I'm deeply skeptical of um of
investments where a lot of VCs uh would
go to some silly VC networking event and
uh want to brag about it. And I I I feel
there there's a lot of that with the
healthc care education startups. Um
>> there's like the green tech stuff too.
It's too popular.
>> Green tech stuff. Yeah. I mean at some
point it it loses money and then it's
not popular anymore. But but while it
lasts it's very popular because there's
there's no fast term accountability in
venture capital. You know sometimes you
have momentum and the valuations go up
and that that does give you a feel
whether things are working. But in
practice uh you of you know it's 5 10
years later you get liquidity on on
these businesses or even longer. it it
takes incredibly long and so people tend
to overindex [clears throat]
on these sociological factors and what's
what's popular and that's and so there
was there was a there's a way that uh
the healthc care education sectors even
though they're very broken um people
have these often too conventional ideas
on how to fix them and um and so yeah
it's I know you know another trend where
I' I've tried investing some over over
the last decade is that you know is is
are all these marijuana related
businesses and it's like yeah it's
obviously like a big trend. Um but it's
it's an obvious trend and then it turned
out to be extremely hard to figure out
what what to do with
>> Yeah. As I said some of the things
things that are too popular and too
obvious. It's just you have to have a
totally different take on them or it's
not going to work.
>> Uh yeah you like if you have an
unpopular take on it that that that
might work.
>> You were at Palanteer 04 to09. We were
also at PayPal and they they categorized
you as being part of the PayPal mafia.
Second, you know,
>> I I'm 15 years younger than Peter. I'm
12 years younger than Elon. I was a
junior kid there. I don't get any credit
for PayPal.
>> Well, you were still there. You were
still there learning. I was learning
from these guys.
>> And were you in meetings? Were you
watching them? Were you there? And what
was that like? What was Elon like in
meetings? What was Peter like in
meetings? What was that like? give us
some of the I mean I usually wasn't in
meetings with Elon be honest but I mean
these these guys were were just very
opinionated, very interested, very
ambitious, very fast. No tolerance for
things that are broken. You fix it right
away. Uh you know, you work through the
problems. You get you get everything
done today. You don't talk about what
you're going to do next week. You just
you just move. You know, people would be
there late at night fixing problems. You
know, passionate about their work.
>> What what was the demo of the age? What
what would you say the average is? would
you say 25 guys in their 20s mostly
>> in their 20s where you can as you can be
demanding of getting them to now at the
same time was Elon and Peter also there
driving working with them
>> yeah in different context right Peter's
more of the strategist the philosopher
the the the thinker he's not the one
he's not the technical guy himself um I
think I think Elon is more of the
operator he's more they're in the room I
mean I was I was in Paul Alto a couple
weeks ago right and I was meeting a
friend and Elon was in the back doing
engineering reviews at at xi just he's
just he just there working working he
he's kind of the more the workhorse just
pushed through solve the details of the
technical problems
>> was the level of intent like who was the
most intense guy at Apple the most
intense
>> I mean I think Elon's always been one of
the very most intense people I' I've
ever seen in terms of working but
there's other engineers who are just
there all the time pushing hard right I
think I think when when you're in
operation mode guys like Max Le and
others were just as far as I could tell
just always working some of the guys
that you you worked with that were maybe
junior guys like you that came out
became big stars as well.
>> Yeah. So, so I mean a lot of the guys
who were there, there were 16 different
companies that were started after PayPal
that quickly became billiond dollarar
companies, right? So, and a lot of these
guys were older than me, but it was the
guys that you know Chad and Steve who
built YouTube. It was Reed Hoffman who
built LinkedIn. It was obviously Elon
did Tesla and SpaceX. I mean, you know,
there's guys who built Iron Port.
There's just there's just so many things
that came out of there.
>> Got it. And so, from there, how did the
opportunity to be a co-founder of a
Palunteer come up? Well, I was working
with Peter at his hedge fund and uh I
was, you know, the hedge fund was a
little bit disorganized and I I started
bringing in my smartest friends to help
and there weren't really other managers
there. So, I'd helped start start
building things and a bunch of my
smartest friends I brought in one summer
to help us. They uh they weren't
interested in finance. They thought it
was boring. And so, and Peter and I had
been talking a lot about, you know, at
PayPal, we had to stop the Chinese and
Russian mafia from stealing all of our
money. And uh so, we got to know the
guys who were helping us arrest the bad
guys. There was Secret Service and the
FBI. And right after this happened, it
was 9/11. And so these guys were
spending billions of dollars on stuff
that we thought didn't make any sense.
And they were really, they kept asking
us for advice. They were confused about
how to do things. It's it was it was I
mean, President Bush created what was
called the Department of Homeland
Security at the time. I shouldn't be too
mean about it, but you know how it works
in government is that when you create a
new department, um, people can't really
fire people in government easily. So
sometimes they'll have a lot of people
they wanted to fire and then instead
they just push them into the new
department. So it was a bit of a mess.
photograph into new departments in your
fire.
>> So there's so therefore the whole
department didn't really know very well
what it was doing at first was my
impression and they were spending money
on just nonsense stuff and it became
really obvious to us that Silicon
Valley, Google, PayPal, all these things
that were going on out there were just
way ahead technically of where the
government was at that point and this
was a problem because because the
government was using all the government
was spending $ 38 billion a year
gathering data, looking at the data,
failing to stop the terrorists but also
abusing our civil liberties. So it was a
mess. So, we said, "You know what?
There's actually a really important
problem here to solve. A, I'd like to
stop the bad guys from attacking us
again and go get them instead. B, I
don't want everyone in the government
seeing all of my data without any
controls. That's crazy." And
>> so, that's when you said, "Why don't we
go do it?" You guys said, "Let's go do
it ourselves."
>> And I started having my friends I
brought that summer to help build the
prototype. And which which it sounds
even crazier than finance, but at least
it was interesting. They enjoyed help
helping me build it. And and my
roommate, who I'm actually seeing later,
he moved down here to Miami. He and I
controlled the team. and uh Stephan
Cullen, my co-founder, and we started
building it up
>> and and CIA was apparently one of the
first investors in in the company.
>> They eventually gave us money. I think
it was the second second or third round,
but it was it was only $2 million and we
actually bought him back. The reason we
needed them is that Peter basically no
one would give us money. First of all,
Alex Carpenter went all over Sanchell
Road like you guys have all this talent
because they can measure talent even
back then like why aren't you doing
social media? Why aren't you doing
something new and exciting? Working with
the government's crazy what's wrong with
you guys? It's not possible. So he
didn't think it was a good idea to
>> No, this is Alex and I talking to the
investors. So all the investors were
making they're telling us you guys are
crazy. No one does this. Why are you
doing this? It's not possible. It it
doesn't make any sense.
>> These are some big names. Credible.
>> These are these are the big names. These
are we got turned down by everyone.
Turned down by Excel, by Seoia. The guy
at Kleiner Perkins at the time and
they're a great firm. I admire them very
much. But the guy at the time who's no
longer there, he started laughing at us
on the phone because Alex didn't have a
technical degree. He's like, "You guys
don't even know what you're doing. And
he's a it's a doctorate, but it's not
even a relevant doctorate. Like like
he's laughing us out of the room,
basically.
>> And what what is Alex's mindset like
when he's walking out of the room?
What's he telling you?
>> Oh, we really
>> cuz Alex is a he's a very unique type of
guy himself.
>> We were we were not happy with these
people. Peter Peter Teal told me it was
probably really good for me cuz it gave
me like an even bigger chip on my
shoulder to make sure we succeeded after
being like mocked and turned down by
like 30 of these guys. And and Peter
couldn't just only fund it himself. You
need other people to fund these things.
So when we got Inqel which is CIA's
venture capital arm at the time to give
us a little bit of money and Peter gave
us even more that was really critical.
>> And then how long later did you guys pay
the 2 million back?
>> I think we bought it for a much higher
amount. We had some option. I forget. It
must have been five or six years later.
>> Okay. So they still made some money on
it.
>> Oh they made plenty of money on it. They
and you know and and and more
importantly we saved the government
billions of dollars versus what they
were doing. I mean you literally had
things going on the DHS guys. cuz I
remember there was some Unicist thing
where it was like $3 billion to
integrate all the data and we came and
we showed them we could have done the
same thing for them out of the box in a
month like don't waste billions of
dollars. So it's it turns out competence
saves the government lots of money and
protects civil liberties. People don't
realize it's both of those things.
>> What what is the the the desire to
constantly use names that are from I
believe Lord of the Rings, right? What
where does that come from?
>> Peter gets credit for naming
>> Peter gets credit,
>> you know, but I'm a fan of it. I think
listen and and we wrote about this at
the time. So, at the time when we're
creating this, we said this is a
dangerous thing to create, you know, and
but we believe it's a it's we believe
it's a worthy thing to create and it
took it took a lot of coverage. Like,
you know, there's a lot of different
things we could have worked on. It could
have made a lot of money doing a lot of
other things, but it was really
important to both help. You know, we
helped eliminate probably about to 10 up
to 10,000 terrorists that might not got
eliminated. We worked with the we work
with all sorts of amazing groups in the
government alongside them with the
technology and with the ability and we
help protect civil liberties and make
sure the government watchers are being
watched. Now
of you know of course you create this
technology it's it's if it gets into the
wrong hands and they turn off the audit
trails who knows what what bad could be
done with it. So there's there's good
and bad here. Do you think that we could
bring maybe using AI some more advanced
manufacturing here that was in China? Is
that a real thing the next decade to do
a bunch more of it here thanks to our
more efficiencies and productivity? Uh
there's there's there's probably always
a decent amount of things like that. You
you have to um you you have to always be
extremely granular on how expensive the
robots are, how expensive the equipment
is because in some sense manufacturing
has been getting steadily more automated
for 250 years. And you know and and
you've had the machines that make the
machines, the machines that make the
machines are getting sort of smarter and
more complicated. Um and and there are
ways in which AI is a quantum leap.
There's a way in which it's just you
know a natural continuation of this you
know two century two century long long
process. Um I think um but yeah I think
I think there are some parts that can be
moved to the US um with AI maybe also if
you if you change some of the
environmental rules and some some of the
other anti-industrial policies we have
in the US. Um and then but then if if
parts of this are moved to um other
emerging market countries um you know I
I don't Vietnam is look it's a communist
country it's it's it's a it has bad
mercantalist policies but it's not
planning to take over the world and so
at the margins if we can move things
from China to Vietnam that's a big win.
>> I want to ask you about a theory I have
that's based on how you see things. So,
one of the things you've been talking a
lot about lately is is is is how our
culture I want to put words in your
mouth, but things are broken to such an
extent that like we're not advancing as
quickly as we were in the in the
industrial revolution, right?
Something's wrong with our culture.
Something's wrong with science. It's not
not advancing. Yeah. I would Yeah. The
there's it's generally been stagnant in
the world of atoms, not the world of
bets for something like 50 years. And um
and then yeah, why why it's happened is
overdetermined, but there are cultural
factors. Maybe we just ran out of ideas,
which is a very pessimistic version.
Maybe there's something wrong in our
culture. Maybe we're too riskaverse.
Maybe we're we're scared about how
apocalyptic some of the science and tech
are. Um, but for for a range of
different reasons, it's it's slowed down
since the 1970s. Mhm. And I I I tend to
think of things and I'm not sure if this
is how you see it, but I take I take
some of maybe your interest in Gerard
and mimemetic theory. And I say people
tend to all think of things the same way
even when it's incorrect because it's
natural to be mimed and to think of
things the wrong way together. That's
kind of why cultures move in the wrong
way. And so I I tend to see that there's
a lot of opportunities right now thanks
to the fact that you do have this kind
of broken cultural situation where
people are thinking of it wrong. So for
example, I'm particularly bullish. I
know it's random, but on Elon's boring
company I'm excited. I was working on
with some of the guys yesterday on
tunnels because I think it's just
obvious we could create trillions of
dollars of value by building tunnels and
getting rid of traffic around our cities
and and the reason that opportunity
exists is because of this thing that's
really broken because it's an obvious
thing but just it's so broken that no
one's doing it. Is there are there
things like that where there's
opportunities tied to the fact that
things are broken? Do do you see it that
way?
>> Well, those those anything that fits
that pattern is a great opportunity. So
if if it's um if you have some if if you
know it's it's always if it's broken not
because of the science or tech. So it
doesn't require a miraculous
you know you don't have to have a dozen
miracles in terms of tech breakthroughs.
you have to just do something in this,
you know, in this non-mafia controlled
drilling way or whatever where, you
know, I think so many of the um
tunneling is this a super corrupt um
contracting. It's mafia adjacent, you
know, sort of super corrupt labor union
adjacent. And so I don't know, it costs,
you know, what it cost to build a subway
in Manhattan. It's like a billion
dollars mile.
>> Billions. Yeah. 10 I think it's 10 times
as much as Paris or something like that
which we don't think exactly capitalist
efficiency
>> it's insane
>> so
>> and Elon's Elon's a 10th the cost of
Paris right so it's like a 100x multiple
>> crazy
>> but you know but then the the the place
where I I always think it's non-trivial
is uh is that there's there's some non-
tech reason we're not even at the Paris
level.
>> Yep. Yep. So, but if you could push
through, then you could disagree.
>> You could do it even you can do you
could do something big even if you could
get to the Paris level and uh and so you
have to think really hard about what
that what that political blocker is and
how to how to overcome that
>> and and so there's all these things that
are that are dysfunctional and broken
and not working and like and like if
things right now I think you're more
optimistic than you have been. said like
like should we be trying to use our
voice and fix things more? Should like I
know a lot of friends who just decided
to exit, right? And a lot of friends are
in Singapore and Switzerland, they gave
up. They think it's going to be too hard
to fix it. I feel like you I feel like
you're in between this where you you've
done a lot of things to fight for our
society and to fix a lot of things, but
then you're like skeptical. You should
be pushing too hard in a bunch of areas.
How do you think about that trade-off
with voice and exit on these things?
>> I think it's I think it's very important
to try. It's very important to pick It's
very important to pick the right battles
is what I is is what I would always what
I would always say. And so I don't know.
Yeah. The the the in between answer is
um you know I I don't think you can just
be I don't know shooting at bad guys
when they're two miles away and firing
your guns at random and it's it's yeah
you get credit for some kind of you know
Marxist labor theory of value. You're
trying hard but um we're not we're not
Marxists here and we're it's not
>> about trying. It's about actually it's
it's not we're not measuring uh input.
We're measuring you know where where you
can actually uh where you can actually
get output. I I um I I keep trying in a
lot of these areas. I you know we we've
we've we've made a number of investments
over the years in um in nuclear
technology. Um and it it always it
always when you look at the science
there there are all these much better
ways that in theory you could do it. You
can build small modular fision reactors.
Maybe the fusion technology is not that
far away. There are different verticals
within the industry where things are
extremely broken and in theory should
find a way to to um to build a
successful company that overcomes some
of these these problems. And then um
there's you know then there's a sobering
reality that uh you know the Nuclear
Regulatory Commission basically hasn't
approved a new reactor design in in 50
plus years. And so there's so so it's
always it's it's always these these
these these things that you're you're
trading off.
>> What do you learn from your time with
Peter? What are the things that have
stuck with you?
>> Oh gosh, so many things. He's always
he's always approaching the world from
some kind of like orthogonal perspective
and finding new ways to pick apart the
most important reasons for things. Every
time I see him, I learn something. Uh
you know, I I I wrote this piece online
a while ago, like my team about 15 years
ago. It's like main lessons from Peter
Teal. So I won't I won't repeat all of
them here but there were nine key
lessons. I think one of them was to
really value intelligence really highly.
I think that was absolutely key. And so
it just turns out the very brightest
people matter a lot. Um one of them was
you have to break down like their actual
reasons for things and their core
components. And usually the number one
reason should be like much bigger than
everything else. So if you tell me I
have four reasons for doing this
business thing, it means you haven't
really thought about it enough. There's
probably like one thing that's dominant.
>> Those were really big. One thing you
always talked about was that uh effort
on any project is convex. And what
convex means, it's a shape of a curve
where if you spend like 80% of your time
focused on something, that's maybe half
as good as spending 90% of your time
focused on something because those that
last bit of effort and like is one of
those things where like I think being 99
percentile is worth so much more than
being 90th percentile also because that
means you're number one and being number
one is worth a lot. So there's there's a
lot of things like that that you just
kind of gave me all these concepts that
we all kind of learn when we work with
them. Do you find it difficult to not
divide your attention in that way? You
>> It's very very hard and I think the most
important things I've accomplished has
been when I've been able to really focus
on something for a while and whether
that's Palunteer, whether that's Adapar,
whether that's spending months on a
thesis at HVC and a framework at HVC
that we're going to work on for our
investing. Yeah, it it is really
important to focus and and you know, you
get to a certain point where I have
obviously a lot of financial resources
now, a lot of influence in the world and
so I'm able to help others who are
focusing, but anything I invest in or do
it has to be someone really amazing is
making it their main thing and some
someone the CEO has to be all in and you
know for for the things I do,
>> right? So an advice for talent is to not
divide your focus at all.
>> You really just need to like be
courageous. I think I think the a lot of
people in our culture nowadays a lot of
them want to do incubators or they just
want to do a fund never having built
something or they just want to say I'm
going to help five different projects
and that that's actually kind of like a
form it's a it's a type of cowardice.
It's a type of saying I'm afraid I'm
afraid to go all in. I'm afraid to say
this is the best and I'm going to crush
it. And like 99.9% of the people who are
crushing it and who are changing the
world and who are really you know
building the future of our civilization
they're they're focusing on something.
How do you come to think about risk?
It's sort of u built into the
conversation around courage is fear and
uncertainty and risk and dealing with
risk and stuff like that. How do you
assess it?
>> You know, I think we're all really lucky
today versus the past. I think it is
true that the conditions under which all
of us evolved. If you go all in on
something and you fail, you might have
starved to death. You might have been
eaten by lions or or some kind of giant
old cave bear. You might have been
crushed by the local tribe. So, I think
we all evolved uh to have existential
risk and to be really afraid. And it's
not that it's great not to have money in
our society. I can't I can't speak to
that. Obviously, it's not not great. But
come on. Like, we're it's not it's not
like 3,000 years ago where you might
just get you might just die if you don't
succeed. So, I think I think there is
enough of a safety net. And listen, it's
easier for me to say that coming from a
middle class family when I grew up that
I knew my parents would be able to take
care of me if something didn't work out.
So, obviously, I had some privilege, but
I think a lot of people with that
privilege still aren't willing, you
know, to take the risk they should be.
What about obsessing over perfection?
Something else that I think Peter that's
very big on
>> 100% that really ties into the 99.9
percentile thing is like getting
something just to be the absolute best.
I remember working with him. I was 21
years old and there was some speech that
was going to go on in New York the next
day and we were like basically pulling
an allnighter with a few of the guys in
the office to be ready to like have this
thing was it was about inflation versus
deflation and the risk for both of
those. And it was just it was just a
natural thing to do to just try to make
it like absolutely perfect before we're
going to go present to the investors.
And it was really funny. I actually was
with Ken Howry who's an ambassador now
to Denmark. He was ambassador of Sweden
last time. He's a good friend. He's
who's our age and very successful guy in
the background. We were just like going
back and forth with him and a few others
just like working hard and then jumping
on the plane and sleeping on the plane
on the way over and it's just like
everything has to be as good as possible
and pushes you push as hard as possible
which is if something was wrong like
this totally unacceptable.
>> How do you avoid that from holding you
back? Uh because perfectionism can be
procrastination sort of masquerading as
quality control like you know the
classic
west coast move fast break things
mentality.
Is there a tension between these?
>> 100%. And I think if you have really
tight fast deadlines, it's probably
good. So it had to be as perfect as
possible given that it was coming due in
the next day, but we we weren't going to
be able to work on it for 5 weeks,
right? So I think I think there is
something about about really making
things as strong as possible, but but
sprinting and having really tight
deadlines and getting it done right
away. I think I think if you use
perfection as procrastination, then it
becomes a problem.
>> Yeah. Well, I'm I'm still interested in
this sense of not getting distracted and
trying to keep the main thing the main
thing, especially if your main thing
becomes a varied thing, right? Like
built into a lot of people's lives,
especially as they end up getting to the
kind of place that they want to, is
well, you don't have to do things you
don't want to do that much anymore. No
one tells you what to do. So you end up
in a world where you think, well, I get
to choose. But with that comes a lot of
responsibility cuz I have to choose now.
As opposed to before where I just sat on
the set of train tracks, it's God, do I
want to go left, do I want to go right?
The same for yourself. Do I want to
invest in or should I sit down and spend
6 months working on a thesis? Um
what about the skill set of learning to
sort of let go of what was there of how
you operated previously? The sort of
courage to to do something uh new even
as you've got something that's given you
success in the past.
>> No, it's that's totally right. You do
have to constantly keep adjusting for
what makes sense today. And it's it's
interesting. There's different versions
of this. One version is as you're
successful something you would have been
really excited about before, you have to
be like, I don't have time for that now.
And because all of a sudden you could
just have things you were really excited
about before 10 times a day. And I do
fall into this myself sometimes because
there's lots of really exciting things
to do and you have to so it's like
really hard to say no enough when you go
through periods where you don't say no
enough.
>> You might be feel like you're getting
stuff done but not actually getting
things done. And that's it's really
tough. And
>> but you know what you said what you said
earlier about like things you don't want
to do. To me that's like one of the most
important things that we focus on is
what do you like to do? And as you're
successful, you should probably mostly
only do things you like to do because
when what would like to do means to me
anyway is that it's like stimulating
your entire brain. Right? So if you look
at like a grandmaster chess player and
the very best chess players, when you
map out their brains when they're
playing, there's always emotions that
are turned on. There's always full parts
of their brains that are turned on and
it lets them be a lot better what
they're doing. And I think this is true
in anything we do. If you really love
it, then your whole mind is engaged and
and you're just able to bring like this
this power to bear on things that if
it's something you don't really like,
you're probably never going to have just
that top top ability there. You know,
>> it's almost matching up with what you
said about being sort of the 99th
percentile within an industry
accumulating the 99% of your brain power
onto this.
>> You have to you have to be obsessed and
love something. And like this is not to
say that like everyone should only do
things they love to be successful cuz
you got to do all the grunt work too.
But then once you have a certain level
of where you are, you should structure
your company and structure your life
where you do the parts that you love and
you're good at and other people could do
the parts, you know, that you're not as
good at that you don't love. Joe Hudson,
uh, who has just become the head of
human performance at OpenAI. Uh, he's
like kind of an underground hero coach
type person. I'm aware that coach has
got a lot of icky uh, associations with
it, but this guy's legit.
Really, really great. He says,
"Enjoyment is efficiency." And that's
kind of I think referencing what you're
talking about here, which is if you
absolutely love something, it takes
fewer inputs to get more outputs.
>> 100%. You can get into the flow. You
could just be great if you love it. And
so that's that's how you should
structure your life as much as possible
is what are the things that you love
that you're good at that are worth
doing? And that's and then do more of
those and do less of the things you
don't like, but have someone else do
them if they're necessary.
>> How do you avoid cynicism? It's a very
easy trap in the modern world.
>> This is uh this is the debate I was
having with Peter Teal earlier about
stuff. He tells me I'm too naively
optimistic and is like you want to be
kind of optimistic in general, but you
don't want to be you don't want to be
like overly so. And you know, in
general, I think it's easier to be
pessimistic and and cynical. I think
it's like an easier thing to be. I think
I think it's like you can just always
say why things won't work. And it
actually takes it's a little bit of a
challenge to say, "Okay, this is really
broken. The system is really broken.
Other people haven't been able to do it.
How are we going to make it work despite
that? It's it's kind of like a it's kind
of like being like the hero, warrior,
champion to say even though even though
this is a mess, what are we gonna do to
make it work? And and and that's it's
it's a it's a leadership quality that I
think if you bias towards that it can be
figured out often I've just found often
times things can be.
>> Have you ever read uh Endurance by
Alfred Lansing? It's about Sir Ernest
Shackleton's crossing of the Antarctic.
Very cool. So it's the best I think the
best retelling of that. And um it's
really interesting cuz all of the guys
had their their own individual journals
or diaries that they were writing in.
And what you hear from everybody else
except for Shackleton is what
Shackleton's saying. But what you read
in Shackleton's diary is what Shackleton
was thinking. And it's this really
interesting dichotomy between what he
says and how he needs to show up as a
leader.
>> Yeah.
>> And what he's thinking privately. And
it's almost like a Bruce Wayne Batman
type split personality.
>> What was he thinking privately?
>> He is just swimming in self-doubt and
uncertainty and fear. He has no idea if
it's going to work. He he doesn't even
know if he if this is the right. But he
goes out there and he needs to say to
the guys, "This is exactly the way that
we're going to go and we know that this
is going to work and we're such and
such." And um it it was the first time
that I'd ever really thought because
obviously the
>> the consequences are so dire. But it
really made me think about huh there are
prices that leaders pay that nobody else
pays and that you can't share the burden
of and everybody everybody has main
character energy in their own life.
>> Right? Everybody is the lead star.
They're the front man woman of their own
existence. Um, and I think a lot of the
time we want to port that across onto
the teams that we work in, the
organizations that we're a part of. You
go, okay, there's going to be some
prices that you're going to have to pay
for that.
>> As as a as a leader, you have to suffer
things that no one else suffers, and you
have to deal with the things no one else
deals with. And it's actually really
interesting cuz I I I invest in a lot of
great leaders now and try to help them
and try to mentor them. And it's very
funny cuz you end up sometimes having to
be their therapist a little bit because
there's no one else they can talk to the
company, what's going on. You know, we
we didn't really grow up with therapy in
my house. It's not something I do at
all, but I think I imagine it's
something similar when people are
dealing with struggling through
something really hard like this. One
thing I I kind of wonder is you've been
around a bunch of special people, Peter
Teal, Elon Musk, all this stuff.
>> Is it clear in early like in the early
days? Like, do you remember the moment
where you're like, "Oh, this person's
kind of different. They are that five
standard deviations." Yeah.
>> And intelligence or conviction or
whatever.
>> One of the I mean, we all try to like
set strategies for ourselves and goals
and whatnot. Like I remember in college
I thought, "Wow, this is a really good
opportunity at Stanford to reach out to
a bunch of successful people and kind of
learn from them, see who I see who I
admire, who I want to be like." And you
know, I met some of the legends of
global macro finance who I'm still in
touch with. I met a bunch of other big
business people and run Fortune 500
companies. And Peter to me had by far
the most interesting intellect. He was
he was clearly just one of the smartest
people I'd ever met. And he was
interested in some of the same things I
was interested in. And he taken some of
the logic farther than I ever had. So So
I always learned the most from
conversations with him. So that's that
that to me was one of the reasons he was
most attractive to try to work with and
try to build with.
>> And so before you start uh multiple
other companies, you do Clarium, which
is his hedge fund, I guess is the way
>> global macro fund. Yeah. It's it's like
the most fun part of finance. There's
always there's lots of parts of finance.
Finance is like all sorts of areas.
Global macro is looking from like the
highest possible perspective at
everything going on in finance. It's
like the the bond yields around the
world, the flows of money around the
world, how equities are being valued.
you basically it's like just from very
top down like what is happening in the
world of finance and how do you map it
out how you and you look at
relationships and you understand you
know of course like you know the
Australian currency is going to be
really correlated with the price of
metals and there's different ways in
which they can get way off and you can
create a regression trading system if
they're way too far off where you can
make money based on the reversion but
then you say oh normally I would trade
this but actually this is happening cuz
because China just like you know invaded
this thing over here so actually it's
not a good time to do it and it's just
it's this really really fun map of the
world and we we're really interested in
longdated oil prices, what was happening
with oil. We're very interested in how
uh Fanny May and Freddy Mack, which are
the two big giant housing groups, they'd
gotten to be much much bigger in the US
in the early 2000s. And and they they're
giant mortgage back security portfolios
that are worth trillions of dollars. And
they had to hedge these portfolios
basically and I won't go into all the
details. It's a little bit esoteric, but
based on how they were hedging their
portfolios was completely changing the
global fixed income market, completely
changing the pricing of bonds. We found
some really interesting ways to do
things there. I my f my my favorite
story though I'll give you is just to
give so so we're working at the hedge
fund market's open we're in San
Francisco we're in 555 California right
it's that big building downtown like
after after 911 I think Peter had a
parachute in his room I always told him
have parachutes for us too but anyway
[laughter]
there's one parachute okay that was just
a joke but it's probably anyway but no
so it's cool office on the 42nd floor
and and and the market's open at 6:30 so
the traders are supposed to be in at
6:30 except the first Friday of every
month you had to come in at 5:30 because
the non-farm payrolls come out still now
the first Friday of every month at 8:30
a.m. on the east coast. And it turns out
this is a very important number because
it shows you what's going on in job
growth in the whole economy. Uh you know
based on the Bureau of Labor Statistics
numbers and and what was really cool is
Kevin Harrington was our head of
research. He's like genius crazy physics
biology interesting guy who's who's
ended up being on the national security
council later like super interesting
smart guy. And he like had mapped out
this thing I'd helped him with where we
realized that they were adjusting the
numbers wrong uh based on seasonal
adjustments. instance, we were able to
predict whether the number would hit or
miss. And this thing would move bond
markets like crazy, like like hundreds
of billions of dollars and move around
based on this number. And we figured out
there systematically mis misdoing it.
This is totally legal. You're allowed to
do this in finance. So we figured, okay,
this is a mistake. 75% of the time we
can make money trading this. And then we
can adjust it, make it even better based
on where the market was position. So the
market's going to be surprised and we
can kind of tell there's a good chance
it might be. But take a big position,
right,
>> like the night before or whatever and
then like make a ton of money that
morning when it worked. And it was at
4:30 in the morning about 75% chance.
And so if you do it enough, you're going
to do it well over time. And it was the
most fun thing cuz we take these like
giant positions on this thing. And you'd
be there with like Peter and Kevin.
>> This just like the highest high stakes
game of poker.
>> It's the most fun I think of poker. And
you're like literally personally have
like a few million dollars writing on it
at a time as early 20s. These guys, you
know, Peter probably had hundred million
dollars riding on it every time. And and
and you're like high-fiving if it goes
right or you're depressed if it goes
wrong. It was the most it was it's the
most fun heist example.
>> Is he sweating or what's his uh
everyone's like everyone's like
[laughter] what's going to happen? It's
like so exciting and then you're like I
remember so many like celebrations. We'd
all like go to like our favorite
breakfast place afterwards if it worked
out. It was [laughter] it was pretty
cool.
>> Yeah. What you do if it didn't work out?
>> Yeah. Sometimes we go there anyway. But
but uh for some reason in my mind, this
is maybe who I am. I remember all these
times it worked out. I barely remember
the time it didn't. I know it didn't
sometimes but like maybe this is like a
serial entrepreneur sort of thing where
you just have the good memories, you
know?
>> Right. I was like, but I remember it was
it was it was a fun time.
>> That's a entrepreneur survival uh
tactic.
>> All the traumas too because if you know
if you remember how hard something is,
you're very less much less likely to
have started again or do another
>> way. I would have built all these
companies if I had to force myself to
like think about that too much. You
know,
>> you the way you just described like the
global macro fund, you're pretty young
when you're doing this and that's not
what you were doing just before. So,
it's not like you had tons of
experience.
>> My my little brother got me reading like
a bunch of economics and finance stuff
when I was young. So I kind of had a
weird both computer science and finance
background. So and I had opinions about
it. So I think it's a weird those are
like my two things and so so you know
so I knew that world pretty well and
yeah you learn a lot being in it. You
just do. You just have to be in it to do
it.
>> But it's I mean credit to them for
betting on you to be able to to do that
versus you know they could have hired
somebody who's been doing that for 20
years. And
>> this is we talk about lessons from Peter
Teal. I think one of the most important
ones I've seen from him that I've
definitely taken to heart in what I've
done is I'd much rather hire hire I'd
much rather hire for talent and ambition
and hard work then hire for expertise.
So almost and there's exceptions, right?
So if if you have a company that's
already really working and already
really scaling and there's like a
machine that has to be run, you want to
hire the guy who knows how to run the
machine. That's fine. That's like that's
like that's the operator who knows what
they're doing already. But when you
before you've actually built the machine
or when you're doing something with a
group and like kind of high finance or
whatever, you want to hire for raw IQ
and hard work and just iterating and
figuring it out and that's that's a
different skill set than the people who
run the machine.
>> What's your way of filtering for that
IQ? What you know how do you interview
or what are the signals you look for?
>> This is like super hard. I think you
start with
>> throw hard math problems at people. What
are you doing?
>> We used to do that at Clarium. We had
these really hard problems. I remember
uh my friend Sujio ran Dropbox one of
his partners there his new his new
ventures channel Lee was like the
highest scorer on on these tests I gave
this smart smart guy I uh yeah we had to
do really hard tests but you know once I
already had around me a bunch of people
who were really top talent it's like
they knew people like oh who is the
smartest guy in your physics PhD at MIT
who is you know things like that so it's
it's like you kind of you kind of get a
network that's already really solid and
then you go out from there
>> and so let's go more on that so uh two
things one Ben told me something that
like there's some number I don't know
the exact number 20 30 people who have
worked at your companies that have then
gone on to start like unicorn companies
dude what is what is that number roughly
>> oh gosh you know I don't actually keep
track of the official number but there's
over 20 people who've worked directly
for me who've started huge companies and
it's something I'm really proud of is
that we've had a lot of super talented
people and you know in some ways it's
like I like to like back my mind like oh
yeah I'm a great guy take credit for
shaping them but in some ways it's like
they were already really amazing and and
you know and and so I was like maybe I'm
just good at convincing them have worked
with me ahead of time, you know. So,
it's like there's a
>> Well, there's a nature nurture thing,
right? So,
>> yeah, there's and there's some of both.
I I do like to think that we've given
them useful frameworks just like I
learned from Peter. They might have
learned some of these things from me,
too. But, but, uh, I mean, one of the
one, you know, not all of them I've even
backed. Like, some of them I back, some
of them went off and then did it
themselves and Right., you know, which,
you know, usually they let me back them,
though. [laughter]
>> Yeah, that's the worst when you don't
you didn't get the call.
>> Actually, I'm still proud. I was still I
was still proud of like I'll tell you
the guy who came right out of school to
help run adapar with me and and and I
was like he became president of the
company super talented guy and uh I did
not know what I was doing uh even though
I just already done Palunteer there's
always mistakes I was making cuz there's
like things I didn't realize I had
advantages of Palunteer and you know I
had a part multillion dollar company now
it's great but there's things that took
longer there's mistakes but there's also
obviously good things we did cuz the
company worked out really well and I
think he had he had like went off on his
own and he had like uh you know his own
tough time or whatever for a little
while afterwards and then he ended up
partnering with someone and he started a
company that became worth $3 billion in
like four years and he sold it.
>> Wow.
>> Which I'm like, "Oh, wow. That's pretty
cool." So, but I was like and
you know and I and I he didn't have they
didn't bring anyone else into that
company, but I was still really proud of
the fact that I'd worked with this guy
and that he'd gone on and had like crazy
success. I mean, that's a cool feeling,
you know?
>> But for the record, it's always I'm more
proud if I got to invest, too, right?
>> Come on. Let's take care of your
buddies. Exactly. Most of the like 95%
of them it's like people will bring me
in and I'll still like help and we'll
coach and work with them together. So
let's do uh big hit number two. Adapar.
Um you explain like
>> explain in layman's terms what even is
adapar and then I want I have some
questions for you but let's first do the
the explain like I'm 5 years old. What
is adapar?
>> So adapar is uh is the leading wealth
management technology company in the US.
And so there's people who work at what
are called raas registered investment
advisors. There's tens of thousands of
these. And they will help you or your
parents or whoever kind of manage their
wealth. They'll give you reports.
They'll do your trusts in estate.
They'll just do everything around kind
of the wealth planning. Man, it was
really freaking hard. We built all this
stuff and we like hooked up to Schwab
and Fidel because those are like two of
the biggest everyone's heard of those,
right? The biggest custodians and we had
all this wrong data in the reports like
what are we doing wrong? And it turned
out the data coming from Schwab and
Fidelli was often times wrong like what
is wrong with this space? It's like the
whole thing's a mess. So it was it was a
hard company to build. It took about
three or four years before we really got
to the point where where it was useful
to people. And
>> so you didn't give up though during that
time. Uh,
>> oh no, that's like the last like you
have to have a personality where you're
not going to give up. I mean, I'll give
up if it turns out someone else has
already solved it perfectly. Like if a
already existed, it would have been a
stupid thing to do then and I learned
that then then maybe you give up and
pivot. But the fact that it's just a
hard problem, you're not going to give
up. You're just going to like double
down and like fix it, you know?
>> Interesting. So you're you're uh you you
don't give up if it's too hard, too.
>> But like that's better. That means once
I do solve it, it's going to have this
giant moat. Like Adabar has the biggest
freaking moat. We were talking earlier
about guys like Rocket Internet will
like go around copying things and annoy
people. Like good luck. If you want to
try to copy that, you got to take a
billion dollars in 10 years, you know,
like no chance. No chance.
>> You talk about hard work. I when I was
doing research for this, I I called
somebody who works on your team and I
said, "Tell me about it. What's he like?
What's it like to work with him?" One of
the things I said was like, "He's always
on. I've never seen him just go like go
dark, go off, or just like turn his
brain off or be like, I just want to
chill on the beach and just drink my
ties and not do anything." Is that
>> Well, this is like accurate for you.
>> This is like my game, though. I mean, I
think you have to love what you're
doing, right? So, like you shouldn't
play games. you don't you don't like you
know if you're not playing you're not
enjoying the game you got to switch it
up.
>> Yeah.
>> So this is this this is this is this is
what I'm doing this because I really
enjoy it. It's really fun. I'm really
good. I think one of the you know
Aristotle would talk about how like one
of the highest pleasures is like is like
using your mind in its highest capacity.
Right. So it's like you explain like you
actually enjoy chess more than checkers
if you're good at both because chess is
has more levels to it. It's more
complicated game and so you you want
your mind to be engaged in interesting
complex useful things that are getting
things done. It's it's like a positive
part. I think it's how humanity works,
>> right? How do you still um recharge or
just get clarity of thought? Cuz one of
the challenges is if you're always on,
uh you might not have that chance to
step back and reassess.
>> You do need open time for creativity. I
I've noticed when I overchedule myself,
I'm not nearly as creative then. And I
think the cold plunge helped, right? I
don't know if that clear mind.
>> That was a quick you were in there for
60 seconds 51 second reset we had.
>> I think I stayed in for the full
>> Yeah, you you you actually did two
plunges. That was pretty good.
[laughter]
>> What is a typical schedule like? Uh
what's a day in the life? Cuz you got
your fund, you got companies, you got
all kinds of stuff. You got your
podcast.
>> Yeah. My number one my number one is AVC
and AVC has a build program which is my
favorite part of it. A third of our
money now goes towards building new
companies. So my favorite thing is like
the strategy for recruiting talent and
and then strategy sessions with with you
know to figure out what we're going to
build.
>> Right. And so when you you said strategy
for talent, what was the other one?
Strategy for building the company. Is
that
>> Yeah. You're basically strategy when
you're the way I look at the way I look
at opportunities for new businesses is
you're looking for conceptual gaps in
the world. you're saying like
>> here's here's where this industry is now
like here's how this thing is working
here's how this process is done in the
economy and here's where it could be if
it was using like the right new
technology or the right new incentives
or this or this right new effect of
cultures or what whatever it is that
like could be better about it and the
question is not just it's actually very
easy to find conceptual gaps I'll put
forward if you spend some time with like
a few smart friends and you like study
industry and talk to people you're like
you usually will find oh wow this thing
could be done this way and so the the
harder question is not just what it
could be done, but like what's the path
to get there? What could we put in place
that would allow us to get it there? How
do we build this thing? How much is it
going to cost? How do we how do we make
the people want to? So, there's a lot of
things, for example, in like healthcare
and hospitals that are done completely
wrong, but it makes the hospitals more
money. So, so, so, so it's like, so even
though it's like clearly not the right
way of doing things, they're not going
to just fix it. You have to find some
way to get from here to there with the
actors being willing to do it, right?
>> So, let's do an example. So, um, give me
an example. either maybe something that
you're that's top of mind because you're
thinking about it right now, maybe it's
not all figured out or a recent one.
>> Yeah. So, a gap and a path that you kind
of figured out
>> 100%. So, uh it turns out that there's
tens of thousands of loading yards
around the country in logistics. These
are places where trucks come, they get
in line, they drop things off, they move
things around, they they you pick things
up, and it's it's a pretty interesting
area. And like the biggest warehouse
company in the country is Prologice. And
it turns out the founders investor with
me is based in based in, you know,
nearby in California. were back there
and then it turns out there's like a
handful of the biggest carrier companies
like Ryder you've probably heard of and
others and we've actually sold a company
to Ryder so we're close to those guys
too and so so because we knew a bunch of
these guys we started analyzing what can
we do with AI to make your yards better
and what we figured out is that if you
put a just a couple cameras in first we
thought we need six but just a couple
cameras you can kind of watch and map
out where everything is map out how
efficient the gate is map out the
processes create accountability and
incentives for people to go faster uh
create ways of pinging the carriers if
it's backed up to like to use other
loading yards nearby. Just like basic
little ways on the margins of like
making these things work better and and
and timing them and creating because you
want a little bit of competition. People
always respond well, you know, if you do
it properly. And so we've mapped this
out and we ended up founding a company
with a really strong AI team. Uh and and
we ended up kind of co-founding it with
a this like, you know, the warehouse
companies, the carriers and others based
on their needs. And it's really cool
because the way we built it with them is
we have like a few hundred million
revenue already built in that we can
scale up into their into their yards
they already own. And then we can have
something all the other yards want to
use as well.
>> Let's do more details. So you you're
already kind of in adjacent to that
world because you've done stuff, but how
does the brainstorm work inside your
office or where like where when does
somebody ask the question, hey, could
you use AI for these loading yards? Like
how how do like take me all the way to
that? Like where does a question like
that even come from? Where does the
nugget of insight come from?
>> So my partner Jake's in charge of
logistics and supply chain. He's the
he's the kind of biggest driver here and
he's, you know, done some strategy
sessions with, you know, our our friends
running these different companies we're
close to. get together. I I have a
vineyard in in Napa Valley and we like
bring every year like the 100 top
logistics CEOs and you know drink and
strategize and hang out you know it's
like a good way
>> and you kind of are asking them
questions to try to find their
>> what are your problems what works you
spending money on what are you seeing
and we'll bring like new entrepreneurs
and we're backing and like get their
take on things and we'll bring what are
called e entrepreneurs and residents you
know who will talk with them and iterate
on the idea so we kind of knew loading
yards is a big thing let's go talk and
iterate on ideas what we could do to
apply new things to it and uh you You
know, in this case, there's a really
strong AI team that happens to be in the
UK that we'd met through other friends
that like had worked on some really cool
visual problems we thought was very very
good for this and ended up recruiting
them as co-founders, which which worked
out really well. So, we're constantly on
the lookout for like separately like
napkin math. You're like, "Okay, so if
we can improve the loading yards by
this, that's the size of the prize and
then that kind of clears a hurdle for
you."
>> Yeah, this this is this is and you know,
the other thing here which I I don't
love but is definitely helpful is
California had some new regulatory rules
about things you had to actually map out
as well. So they were going to have to
do something anyway, but why not create
more value based on then but then like
be the thing they put in when they're
going to have to do it anyway in the
next year. They have the rules coming
up. There's like, you know, logistics
has had a few of these things. There had
some rule on telematics where you had to
like I think for purposes of not making
people drive too long, you had to like
record things differently, which was
kind of an insertion point for a couple
TMAX companies we held back as well,
which is the thing tracks the trucks and
stuff. So there's things like that where
the regulatory thing was helpful, too.
>> And then yeah, you just you sit down,
you map it out, you know, you've known
the people for a long I mean, the the
one of the unfair secrets of business is
the more success you have, the more it's
like a platform for a bigger thing you
can do next time. And that's just the
way it is. You just got to keep in the
game cuz like it's like the I think when
I was really young, I used to think, oh,
I can start a business and make a lot of
money and then go to the beach and then
that would be like fun. And that's like
that's not nearly as fun as the fact
that once you've already started and
successful once, now you get to do like
bigger things more easily, right?
>> So, it's like it's like and that's why
like I think when you're young, partner
with someone else who already has that
unfair advantage, help them use their
unfair advantage, build something with
them. Now you have all these extra
unfair advantages. You could do it
again. So this is this is like there's
like this naive thing where like you're
like this lone business founder. I think
you can do that but it's still hard,
>> right? Why play the game on hard mode?
>> Yeah. Why play game on hard mode? Why
not why not find there's so many places
in the world where there's unfair
advantages? And an unfair advantage what
I mean by that is like every time you
have a success, you now have the respect
and attention and understanding of all
these people who will then help you do
the next thing, right? And and once you
prove you're competent once then you
know there's you know I have a bunch
more things I could be doing now if I
had more competent like young people
around me who want to be entrepreneurs
and partner with me. We have a bunch of
them but we always need more cuz there's
the thing we lack. We don't lack ideas.
We don't like money. We lack really
talented hardworking people with
persistence you know. So at the time I
was we working I was working for you
working on the hedge fund you were
invested in Facebook you're doing other
investing and we decided to really go
all in and spend a lot of time on
Palunteer. Why why was that the right
choice then it's tech but go more
specifically like what what what was
what was your high level around that at
that time? How were you thinking about
it? What what gap were we going after?
It was very broadly uh government and
then it was within that it was defense
uh more narrowly it was sort of the the
um intelligence community that sort of
adj you know defense adjacent uh I
you know it was it was a couple of years
after 9/11 we're sort of starting it in
2003 2004
and uh there were all these ways that uh
I felt that we didn't you know that we
that we had these very low tech and very
privacy violating solutions for the
terrorism problem. You know, it was it
was annoying that you had to take off
your shoes at every airport, which was
like just not security, but it was this
incredibly intrusive security theater.
And uh and then yeah, the the question
was could you do something where you'd
have, you know, way more security with
way fewer um you know, technolog is
doing more with less. And so the the
terrorism context was could we have more
security against terrorists with less
intrusive um civil liberties violations?
And then um and then and then there was
broadly this question, you know, was was
there some way to to reset all these
things in the government? And uh it was
a black box and you know we did not know
whether places like the CIA and NSA and
places like that had you know some super
duper computer working in the background
that was catching all the terrorists. Um
we sort of suspected they didn't um and
um and then it took it took a while to
figure that out but uh I I think our
suspicions were probably correct. Yeah,
we saw them doing a lot of things that
made us suspect that they actually
gotten way behind Silicon Valley and
there were I mean there were details
that you know it was hard to say you
know with our I remember our first trip
to Langley in uh in 2000 2005 we got
inel to invest and you and I were there
and I think it took us about a day or
two to process but you know at the end
of the trip it was like do you want to
come do you want to buy some stuff from
the CIA gift gift shop and it was like
you can get a windbreaker and a CIA cap
>> coins they were kind of cool
>> I think they were half of them were made
in China which was you know But but um
and then of course there was probably
some you know there's some steelman
version where the the it was just a
decoy and there was really a lot of
stuff going on in the background. But uh
>> do you remember the doors all had these
like eye detectors on each of the door
that you're supposed to scan your eye to
get in but none of them worked. So there
so wherever you go around there would be
like the eye detector but they were
broken. they turn them all off which I
thought was kind of like a kind of a
typical
>> I don't know there you know there yeah
there all these all all all these play
and so in that context you you you would
think okay there's there's some very big
problem that can be can be solved it you
know in some ways it turned out to be
more difficult than uh than one would
have thought uh you know there obviously
are all these pro all these sectors
where you have that are very very broken
where um you know education healthare,
all all these sort of deeply broken
sectors where the solution um you know
there's some obvious solutions and the
fact they have not been implemented
tells you there's some big barriers to
implementation.
>> They're set up not to allow you to break
them. This is kind of what I think the
palanteer version is you know there was
uh there was this uh forget what the
acronym stands for. was this a software
program. This was once we moved from
intelligence community into the broader
military called DSyncs which was just
sort of this um in theory was a system
we were supposed to figure out ways to
integrate the data across all these uh
units in the field and headquarters and
you know integrate what was going on
which is incredibly important thing to
do in practice. Uh it was a sort of a
cluji consultant
billion-dollar boondoggle that didn't
work and uh and we naturally thought we
would replace it in in 6 months and it
took it took something like 10 years. We
finally replaced it in in 2019 and you
know we had to sue the army which and
you know we had all our all our
consultants quit and said you know um
this is just the most ridiculous thing.
you'll never get a you can't sue your
customer and um you definitely can't sue
the army and uh not only will you not
get them as a customer, you will not get
anybody else in DC. You'll just be black
ballalled by everybody. And then but
then you know um and it was under we we
it was in 2016 that we sued them. It was
under a 1994 law where um you know the
military was supposed to have an open
procurement process and then when you uh
and then what you can do when you sue
somebody is you you get discovery and
you discover and you sort of discover
what's going on in the sausage making
factory that no one's investigated for
22 years and there's a lot of stuff and
there were sort of you know there there
were internal reports that Palanteer
worked better which didn't matter
because obviously nobody can assess the
software but then more scandalously
there were um you know [clears throat]
there were um orders to suppress the
reports. There were emails that people
had to hide the findings and there was a
cover up and this this did did not sound
like the open procurement process and uh
and then you know and you you won at the
court level then you won at the district
at the DC circuit level and uh you know
you were forced to they were forced to
reopen the process and then you know
after after a decade we we sort of got
the contract. So yeah, so there was
something that was doable, but it was it
was not as straightforward as it as it
sounded.
>> It feels like there's these and SpaceX
had to sue as well, of course. It feels
like there's these parts of our society
that are set up to just maintain their
broken nature, and you have to just
punch really, really, really hard
through them. And it's very rare people
do that, you know.
>> Yeah, SpaceX was the first successful
template to do it.
>> Uh and
and there's, you know, there's obviously
something like this. you know, the
university system seems as broken or or
more than the military procurement
process. And then especially with the,
you know, crediting agencies and all
these things where where they where they
just uh are designed to to prevent
newcomers and the it's it's like if you
actually had a newcomer, they would just
eat the field.
>> They try to crush you. They try to crush
you. It took us thousands of pages of
regulation. There's this kind of like
trope that you've had throughout your
life or like thoughtful intentionality
around going towards talent dense
clusters. This is probably a function of
why you were rejected PayPal but still
were like no I have to work here. Like
it doesn't
>> This is becoming more obvious to
everyone now, right? It wasn't as
obvious 25 years ago.
>> Um but but the question being why was it
to you and why was it so clear that you
have to work at PayPal?
>> To me, you want to be around the most
interesting people that I could learn
something from.
>> I like had some other internship
freshman year and I just learned
basically nothing. If anything, I was
teaching the people their stuff, which
is terrible cuz I was 18.
>> I I don't want to attack them. It was
some like silly startup. This is like
this is the year 2000. So, it was like I
don't want them to It's like they'll be
the one mentioning them online. They'll
some they probably I haven't seen them
in 20 years. They'll probably be really
sad. I'm like, "Yeah, those dumb people.
>> Terrible." [laughter]
>> I mean, they're very nice people. I just
wasn't learning anything.
>> I've always been interested in ideas and
improvement. And like I was at Stamford
taking really advanced things to push
myself. It made sense like follow the
most interesting, most dynamic people.
like where are the people I admire the
most going and go try to work with them
and and and learn and build together,
you know?
>> What were most of your friends doing at
that time?
>> Teaching computer science at Stanford
and going way ahead in math and CS and
getting their PhDs in MIT and and
Berkeley and Stanford and Caltech or
whatever. You know, I had some friends
who were more into history, but it was
very few. Most most of the ones I was
closer to were kind of going deep on the
on the tech side. It's funny looking
back, but it wasn't that hard getting
all of our smartest friends to come work
with us. I think because we just had a
really interesting place and it was a
natural place once we had like some of
our smartest friends. Everyone just it
was just more fun to be there and be
somewhere else. And
>> someone was telling me the other day
they want to hire people who don't know
each other and I just for me I totally
disagree. I think it's like really good
if they like like each other and like
like admire each other and want and want
to like work hard together and then and
be at the office late together. I think
it's a positive thing.
>> Yeah, probably.
>> Is that what drew you towards PayPal?
Really? Just like close most your
friends were there or was
>> No, it was people I admired who were
there. That was like there everyone
there was older than me. Mhm.
>> So, when people talk about the PayPal
mafia, it's like, you know, Peter's 15
years older than me. Uh Elon's 12 years
older than me. They're both friends, but
they're both people who I I get no
credit for any of that stuff. I was just
like a kid who was learning there
basically. And and and and I did get to
know some more people there. And I guess
there were people like Bob Mcgru who
were working there who I didn't know
from my fraternity and from Stanford
review and stuff. I ended up recruiting
him to paler later as a key person. He
ended up building OpenAI after that
after after a decade. So, there were
some people there who I guess who I
knew, but it was mostly like getting to
know them there. But but kind of having
watched from the computer science
department, people like had like kind of
heard about it and like knew through
friends who were going there was was
more of the impetus cuz I was pretty
young at the time.
>> Yeah. Why do you think teal took this
like you'd eventually let you join
Clarium and be a very meaningful
partner?
>> He gave he gave a lot of young people
>> I think he gave a lot of young people a
chance who are smart. Uh I think he
likes people who are smart and who argue
with him and who bring him fresh ideas
and who uh and who are intellectually
intellectually dynamic. for to really
get along with him. I think you have to
have like an interest in economics and
history and philosophy. Like I said, I
think having that and then being able to
build stuff obviously was able to be
useful. My kind of self-startedness was
like off the charts. And so when I was
there, I like bring smart friends to
help us with things and push things
ahead and and be like, "We should be
doing this, you're doing that." And so I
ended up there wasn't really another
manager there. So I ended up kind of
running a lot of the place uh just just
by being confident, which was very
productive, but also I think there's
some people who were like 10 or 15 years
older who were pretty resentful at the
time. But looking back, I can see why
it'd be obnoxious. But but it but but it
just it's like not like he put me in
charge. I just started doing stuff and
creating things.
>> What was Elon like back then?
>> So I only knew Elon a little bit that
far back because he had just been kind
of like moved out of the company when I
was going in. So I only actually a
little bit. He's very smart, very
intense, very hardworking guy. But I
I've really gotten to know him better in
the last decade to be honest.
>> Makes sense. And sort of like around
this time you're you're working at
Clarium and and you had just graduated.
What were you doing there? I know this
is like a common story you've told where
you like there's some inefficiency I
forget what it wasn't had and made large
amount of money. Um [laughter]
>> there's all sorts of these things. I
mean it was kind of fun cuz it was
Peter's family office. There's all sorts
of companies at the time. He was
investing
>> in Facebook. He's investing in like I
remember Zoom with Kevin Harts and I was
helping out there. It's actually very
funny. The first time Kevin tried to
hire me away it was like Peter like then
took like like value me more which was
like very funny. There's always there's
always like indicators. It's very funny.
I think everyone has to do these things
and and yeah, there was like this macro
trading fund I would do I did a bunch of
research projects
>> on like all sorts of like commodities
and currencies and like fixed income
around the world and you know I think
the smartest guy there was Kevin
Harrington who I think he's still part
of the National Security Council
actually because Peter hooked him in
there as a genius kind of physics PhD
who studed physics and biology and other
things and uh and he would come up with
these like crazy conspiracy theories
about how the world worked and like more
than half of it would like clearly be
wrong. Although maybe there's like
something there stories.
>> Oh gosh, I'm going to get him. He's
going to be pissed at me cuz he's still
like into power. I got to be careful cuz
he's still in power. But it'd be like
it'd be like connecting all this stuff
to other things happening to the people
running a part of a world, but every
once in a while there'd be like these
genius patterns you'd find. Uh uh one of
them it was like really clear it was
really clear that like the hedging that
Fanny May and Freddy Mack were doing
these are called GSC's G plus enterprise
is called convexity hedging but
basically the hedging they had to do was
like completely destroying the global
fixed income markets and we can we can
walk if you want to walk through stuff
so they made it minute it's like okay so
so basically you have like the interest
rate is like 5 point something in late
2002 and you start and it starts to go
down because the economy starts looking
like it's doing worse still cuz they're
still in kind of throws after the
bubble, right? It's a mess and and then
and then Beni Bi at the times is uh his
Greenspan of course was cutting rates
and and so because he cuts rates because
it goes down more more people refinance
and as more people refinance so so
here's what you have. You have the the
GS are like these big leverage entities.
They have tons of cash. They have a
certain amount of equity and so they
have what are called assets and
liabilities. Their assets are mortgage
back securities. They're mortgage back
securities. their liabilities or bonds
they issue and a lot of the money from
the bonds comes from the world and so
they have to match the interest the
matched interest rate is in the duration
as much as possible these assets and
liabilities so duration is how long a
bond last and so basically if people
start to refinance your assets start to
have lower duration and in order to like
have these things match so you're not
exposed to interest rate changes you
have to go basically like buy tenure
notes
>> and you have to it pulls the duration up
>> and so these things were so big that in
order to in order to like rebalance
their duration They go when the interest
rate start going down where people start
refinancing you start they start going
buy a tenure notes now when you buy a
10ear note
>> you actually make interest rates go
lower
>> right bond price go up lower so so and
so they so go so more people refinance
said to buy more tenure notes to
refinance and it was literally like a
it's like a it's like a feedback loop in
the economy and so interest rate would
go all was just going steadily down all
the way from like 5% to like 3.1 in June
of 2003 and then finally when like
everything that had refied could refi
and and the really not everything refied
but basically the duration got out of
like one year and it's like about as
much as you can go. It's like extra
extra force. So there's like natural
force pushing back and then at the same
time there's all this money coming out
when you refy you spend more. So all of
a sudden there's like tons of more
expenditures happening in the economy.
Everything looks like it's doing better.
Inflation's going up, growth going up.
Fed's not going to Fed's going to raise
rates. So suddenly they're going to
start raising rates. And so all of a
sudden rates go up
>> and then like and then like they have to
sell 10ear notes. And so it went from 5
point something to 3.1 and then
shot up and all the money hit the
economy as rates were shooting up. So it
was like 7.3% GDP growth on the on the
on the consumption expenditure side. And
so so anyways, this is like a crazy bond
trade because you can like basically
watch it. You can be long and then you
could like as it starts to get extreme,
you start to short into it short short
and then you make a ton of money when it
comes back. And this is this is an
unwind of the forest fire effect. And
this happened like three times over four
years.
>> So we made like a ton of money trading
bonds. And it was really cool cuz it
turns out like global bonds are all
really correlated for various reasons.
So JGBs the Japanese government bonds
>> for the first time got down to like 40
to 50 basis points right around that
time like super super cheap and we're
able to like massively short. So I
remember having these like like we
looked all around the world and like
pricing like 6 months options on the
JGBs was like out of the money was like
so cheap. So we just made like a so I
made my account made like infinite but
time was infinite money for me just like
betting these things could shoot up a
lot more than people realize which they
did. So, it's a very it's like a very
interesting game and it's and
ultimately, you know, I've built a lot
of companies. I enjoy things that scale
over time, but it is like just
intellectually fascinating and I do
think it is good for the world to like
price global markets like more
accurately and have large financial
firms like balancing these things out so
they don't move as dramatically because
it actually helps make plans for finance
and stuff. So, actually finance is a
good thing for the economy, but it's so
abstract that it's like not really
nurturing for your soul. You don't feel
like you're building something. It is
fun, but you don't. So for me it doesn't
it's like not as satisfying as creating
something although I do think it should
exist.
>> How in the world were you actually good
at this right? You were a computer
programmer you studied economy.
>> Well I think I think because I was I
think to do the macro stuff you have to
be interested in finance interest
economics. You have to have read
thousands of articles. You have to have
like
>> just been into it and had opinions about
it. Like when I when I went to PayPal
actually as a as a kid, my first time
there and I was working there the first
summer, uh my friend Ralph Hoe uh was
working for Roloff in the Treasury
Department and they and he taught me how
to use Bloomberg which is like the like
the finance terminal because like he was
like rebound. He was like doing repo
trading on like I don't even know if
this is appropriate at the time. I love
Ralph but it was like PayPal is a
private company and they were like
trading bonds to like make extra money
like safely on on people's deposits
which is great. It was a very safe
version of trading bonds but still it
was like pretty fun. is I just learned
how it all worked, you know, and and
it's it's like a giant game that all
fits together and it's one of those
things if you don't understand finance,
>> you probably don't understand actually
how like a lot of things [clears throat]
work in the world. So, I think it's one
of those things that people should take
the time to learn. I don't know if if
you're interested in business, how the
world works, like if you want to run the
world, like the fact that there's people
who are politicians who don't even have
any idea how a bank works, which by the
way is most of them, it's kind of scary
to me cuz these people are regulating
them. They're making the rules. So, so
anyway, I think I think if if you're
interested as I am in how the world
works and where the world's going,
>> I think it's a natural thing to want to
study.
>> There's something about the cities that
I think is very hard to reform. Uh, and
um, and uh, you know, I'm I'm in I'm in
Los Angeles. We just had these
catastrophic fires. And what's
what's what's I think just depressing
about it is that, you know, it's there
are half a dozen reasons we can give for
the fires. It can be, you know, it can
be the California Coastal Commission
that didn't allow people to build modern
houses that were fireproof. It can be um
it can be the fire department that
didn't have, you know, where there was
no water in the reservoir. Uh it can be
the um you know, the three Kristen women
running the fire department who maybe
will be now replaced by three Karen
women or something like this. [laughter]
Or it can be the uh homeless people with
blowtorrches running around or you know
and or it can be the the mayor who is
you know out to lunch in Africa or
whatever. And
um and and somehow the pessimistic thing
is that uh I I maybe the mayor gets
turned to scapegoat and gets you know
doesn't get reelected or something like
this. But uh but that that's about the
that's about the limit. And then this
just looks like a a structurally hard
hard to reform thing.
>> It's very hard to fix. But couldn't
>> then this is where you know this is
where this is I where I would be deeply
skeptical even of of a place like
Austin, Texas. You know it's it is I
mean it's a government town. It's a bad
university college town. It is a good
university.
>> Well, University of Texas, not not
University of Austin.
>> We're doing well. But even UT has some
great students, too. It's not too bad.
you have the whole the whole the whole
structure.
>> The professors are going to be more
progressive. They're going to break
they're going to break the politics the
economic structure.
>> But there is an answer here. There is an
answer here. Right. So what's
fascinating is in the Texas
constitution, cities only exist at the
behest of the state. And so if you
actually got the city to be a little
more if it became a little more broken
and you get the legislators and the
governor step up, you can create a
capital district and you actually run it
like in a competent way. So I I think
the very first governor to actually fix
a blue city will be like a hero and then
you'll do it in a bunch of other red
states. I think it's possible, right?
>> Um, am I am I just totally naive here?
>> What? You've had 20 years of Republican
governors. Why have they not pushed for
this entire
>> You had a bunch of Bush Republicans, as
you would call them, who and I and I I
like Greg Abbott. I think he's a good
guy, but there's just not like the
energy to like go in and be like, we are
just going to this and fix it and
it's unacceptable and we're getting rid
of this nonsense. There has not been
that energy yet in the party. So like if
I, for example, were to take over in 10
years and do that, I would just fix the
city. I say, "This is unacceptable. It's
broken. Here's what we're going to do
instead." like the fact there's more
people dying for not having enough
police, the fact it's just insane. We
just got to fix it. You know, that's
what I would do.
>> Okay. Anyway, this is this is where I
would push back where, you know, just
walking around Austin the last few days,
it seems like there are a lot of
homeless people,
>> right? Right now, the progressives are
in charge. Yeah, that's that's in the
city. You're right. You're right. His
problem.
>> And then and then somehow it doesn't
bother, you know, it doesn't bother the
Republican governor because, you know,
Republicans well don't have to live in
Austin. They live elsewhere. And maybe
>> I think it bothers him and they've
talked about making a capital district.
I think there's I think they need to
they need Yeah, there's a lot they're
trying to do well right now.
>> It's not it's not a top 10 issue.
>> Yeah, it's not yet and I think it should
be. So just going back to the question
then like so do you I think so we talk
about
>> so so yes I there's there's some there's
some point where it's you know it's it's
the right battle to to pick but
>> you can't you can't do all of them
obviously
>> you can't I don't know I know this is
probably not the best analogy but it's
if if you go surfing you know it's yeah
you you want to paddle just in front of
a wave you have to you have but the wave
has to be there
>> and if you're if you're paddling like
crazy on a still day where there are no
waves it doesn't work. Yeah. So, we live
in these complex systems and like a lot
of people they they basically are maybe
too pessimistic or too optimistic like
you said. They just think system's going
to happen no matter what. I guess for
the great man theory of history, you say
it's not just that a great man come and
does something. You have to understand
the system. You have to understand
what's possible. But you do believe
people can then make a big difference if
you if you understand it well enough.
>> Yeah. You have to there's there's
probably some sense of timing. There's
there's there's some point where where
these things where these things where
these things can break through. Um,
you know,
um, yeah, if if Austin can be fixed,
you'll you'll be the one to fix it. Uh,
if it if it can't be fixed, I'll be the
one to have told you told you so. And
maybe that's a lesser achievement.
>> We will we will we will see what we
could do. There's
>> like the optimistic thing is I think
there are some other things you could do
that might be bigger than fixing Austin.
>> I am working on many big things.
>> So if you if if you get too distracted
by Austin, this this could be a very
very costly mistake. Although although
studying
>> you're writing you're selling yourself
short you're just thinking fixing Austin
is is this really big thing you can do
[laughter]
and for an average for an average person
this would be a big thing but you know
so I think studying SF and studying
Austin led me to understand the NGO
thing which I then was very helpful with
with with DC and we actually are working
with people running a lot of agencies in
DC to go after the NOS's and based on
things we've learned the last seven
eight years. So I think I think
sometimes studying the problem around
you kind of you follow the trail and you
do find useful things to fight for. Tell
me a little bit about your relationship
with uh Peter who's also kind of a
luminary in Silicon Valley and how he
was kind of a role model and and some of
the the lessons that you learned from
him.
>> Sure. Peter had a family office that I
went to work for cuz he just sold PayPal
and he was starting a lot of companies
and he had just started the hedge fund
ended up being very involved in the
hedge fund and he was also the first
investor in Facebook at the time and
many other companies. So obviously it
was a really good place to learn. I I
mean Peter's one of the Peter's one of
the highest IQ people who just thinks
very very differently. He's always sort
of an outsider in my mind where he's
just coming at things from very
different angles and he he really always
focuses on narrowing things down to like
what's the factor that actually matters
here and is very good at being very
disciplined about that. Someone says
there's three reasons for something.
It's like what's the actual reason
because it's very rare in life that the
three are approximately the same.
There's usually one of them that matters
and he he valued talent very highly. He
just get things done right away. He
wouldn't he wouldn't put it off. Um,
there's there's a ton of lessons. I
actually wrote I actually wrote
something on the 10 lessons I learned
from Peter that I sent out a decade ago.
But he's he's he's just he's just a
really really smart guy and obviously
huge huge advantage to get to learn from
him for five or six years.
>> Yeah, absolutely. Did you ever share
that that that document in terms of the
10 10 lessons?
>> Yeah, it's out it's out there probably
on Kora and on my site. So, feel free to
look it up.
>> Cool. Yeah, we'll share that in the the
podcast notes afterwards. Um,
>> uh, amazing. Um and then tell us a
little bit about how you decided to
found um Palunteer. Like where did the
idea for that company, you know, come
from? What what kind of problems did it
solve? had been talking about it for a
while uh just in general because it was
it was kind of an obvious thing where
where PayPal had gotten really good at
this technology and the Secret Service
and FBI guys we work with had no idea
what to do with the technology and fraud
and and arresting people, you know, cuz
Palanteers, sorry, PayPal's big
challenge was a Chinese and Russian
mafia were stealing money from it and uh
and a lot of its competitors went
bankrupt. If you try to ask people for
too much information before you can send
money, no one wants to use your service.
you don't ask for enough information,
the mafia could buy stolen credit cards
and run things through the service,
right, and steal from you. So, you
basically ended up having to build AI to
detect the bad guys, but the AI would
the bad guys would always figure out
what the AI is detecting and keep
changing their behavior. And the AI
wasn't good enough to stop them because
they keep figuring out new new
solutions. And so, we ended up doing a
combination of AI plus like people using
investigative tools and the people
looking through. actually made a lot of
the customer service people in uh in
Nebraska for PayPal into investigators
and they built tools for the
investigators that combination of tools
with people and the people intelligence
plus the AI and iterating to improve the
AI iterating to improve the tools that
cut down from 90%. So it was clear that
model was very applicable to
investigations on large amounts of data.
And my roommate and I uh were talking
about this with Peter. I think he talked
about with Max. Max is from Russia. You
know the co co-founder. Max didn't want
anything to do with it. You know, you
only want to work with government and
spies and intelligence committee. That's
our people disappear, you know, back in
Russia. So probably certain wisdom to be
careful about these things. But in
America, you know, 911 happened and we
talked to these guys and we were giving
all this advice and they we saw how
their groups were spending literally
billions of dollars on really backwards
technology. The solutions really didn't
make any sense. It's really frustrating.
And we said, "Wow, we could actually
create something." And I I brought a
bunch of my friends to work at the hedge
fund in a summer of 2004. And we've been
talking about this and kind of sketching
things out for about six, seven months.
These guys were all coming from their
PhD programs in MIT and Caltech and etc.
and my roommate from Stanford who's a
senior because I he's one year behind
me. we were kind of sketching it all up
together and uh he kind of took the lead
along with me and and like building out
what a product would look like and these
PhD guys were really helpful and a
couple of them joined the company like a
couple years later but they thought we
were kind of crazy and went back to
school cuz they're like who are these
guys trying to be spies I think you know
and a couple of these guys are my
friends they know me since I was a kid
>> and so you know it's kind of hard to
picture your six-year-old friend
actually doing things that matter for
the CIA and the FBI and the NSA they
thought it was kind of silly and so
you know Stephan and I pushed it forward
already got up here to give us some
money. Peter introduced us to a guy who
had been at PayPal named Nathan uh
Gettings and he liked to stay in the
background but he was really key as well
cuz he had a lot of experience building
these teams and we started started
building it and you know actually you
know several months in Peter Peter tried
to hire a couple people from the DoD to
run it and they just didn't understand
the tech culture we wanted and we
thought they were pretty terrible uh as
leaders for our tech company. So, I
convinced Alex Karp, who was Peter's
friend, who was helping us in other
things, uh, to try to like pretend to be
CEO for a couple years so that we'd stop
having to have CEOs put in. And Alex was
so good at it that as he got up to speed
after a year or two, he became the real
CEO. And he's he's still running it 18
years later.
>> Amazing. Yeah. Um, it's always great to
hear sort of the the Genesis story. So,
I'm I'm sure you could have like
continued on in sort of the hedge fund
world, had a nice financially lucrative
career. What made you decide to take the
risk of, you know, going into
entrepreneurship, starting a company,
especially in a space that was, you
know, uh, at least back then, you know,
not regarded the same way as it is now.
>> Yeah, it just seemed like a really
important problem that needed to be
solved and it was a really fun
interesting problem to work on. So, it
was just one of those things. there's a
giant gap in the world and you need to
solve it and so there's of course you go
work on it and you know I ended up
obviously starting a few other companies
before becoming an investor and in each
case there was just like something that
clearly needed to be done clearly
valuable to do and uh and you know I I I
guess the hedge fun world is interesting
I I I think I did have the top trading
results for five or six years and I
really I got to know a bunch of the top
hedge fund guys and I really enjoyed the
markets I really enjoy the qualitative
and quantitative you know trying to
figure out what's going on there and but
it's hedge fun also a little bit
stressful. You have to you have to kill
what you eat every year, right? So So
every year it's starting from scratch
again. There's no sense of building over
time. There's no exponential growth in
the same way. I guess you'd have the
exponential growth of the money you're
managing. But it's not it's not I just
didn't get the sense of creating value
with it the same way I thought you could
create value by solving problems in the
world with companies. And uh and I guess
the other thing I'd say is the markets
around 2009 had gotten to be very
complicated and there was a lot more
driven by what the governments were
doing. So macro is a lot more driven by
if you're because we're doing macro a
lot more by what China might do, what
the central bank might do in America.
And it was getting like really just a
very different sort of game to trade it
and and I realized the macro bet that I
wanted to make for the next couple
decades was actually there's these giant
gaps and things to be built in techn in
the technology world and that was just a
much better use of my time. So I started
out a par started investing ended up
starting a fund in a couple years and
obviously it's been a great 10 years to
to to manage billions of dollars in the
venture world. So so I think that was
the right macro bet I was lucky to kind
of pick the highest return area to go
after. So I think that was a correct
macro thing to do you know a decade ago.
>> Yeah. Well I think it was very precient
that you were kind of even thinking
about you know 10 years out especially
you know someone in their early 20s. Uh
so obviously it was a great bet but I
but I love the lesson there about just
um working on what you thought was most
important in terms of solving problems
in the world and we definitely need more
entrepreneurs who are uh you know not
just like hacking an interesting um
opportunity in the market but but
solving real problems that affect the
world and I I think uh ABC does a great
job incubating investing which is why
you know I decided to work with you
guys. Um, so to tell me a little bit
about kind of especially the early years
of Palunteer, um, I'd love to hear, you
know, some of the lessons in terms of
scaling, uh, you know, an organization
like that and and I know especially that
that from what I've heard that part of
your secret to success was was around
talent. So, so tell me a little bit
about that.
>> Yeah, you know, I mean, it was it's a
little talent's always a little bit
chicken and egg. We started off with a
lot of our friends from these PhD
programs who and from the world where
we'd won the national math and chess
championships. You start off with a
bunch of your bright friends and once
you have enough of the best people
there, you know, and and they're solving
really hard interesting problems.
They're working on really cool
interesting things, you know, obviously
you want to bring by people in the
industry to give credibility, to give
them feedback to to keep them excited
about what they're working on. But h
having a culture with the very best
people, they are people kind of want to
join. So if you can start off, it's
really your first four, five, 10 hires
are really important. The other thing we
did is spent a lot of time trying to
recruit friends who wanted to do their
own companies and convince them to join
us instead. And so if you if you can
get, you know, handful of people who
each want to be doing their own
companies, instead they're all working
together. And of course to do that, you
have to be generous on equity. You have
to be generous on how you respect them
and their role and the fact that what
they're doing is important. Um but but
getting getting a lot of people all
together, each could have done their own
company to work together was really
really key. We tried to learn from
technology culture at Google and at
PayPal. Back then, one of the things
that maybe is more obvious today, but
wasn't as obvious, is in most of the
world, you had business people ordering
engineers around. It was really
important at Palanteer, the engineers
who were the best were in charge of the
business people, not the other way
around. And which means you had to get
really really good engineers who who are
mult multi-talented for the for the
early leaders because they had to be
able to actually make, you know, you
basically want a lot of companies, it's
really good if the engineers can even
stand up to the business people and say
no. But the very best companies, you
have people who are great engineers who
are, you know, who work closely mapping
out the plans and and even even more in
charge in some ways. And so that that
was really key for for for a deep tech.
I don't think you want that at every
company, but for a deep tech company,
it's solving the hardest problems like
that what's possible from the
engineering side determines a lot of the
business. Um,
you know, and there's, you know, there
are a lot of things like I there's one
mistake I would have made is there was a
couple really compelling looking
partnerships early on and Peter Teal,
uh, one of the one of the really
valuable things he did early on is teach
us not to do these big partnerships
early on. It's very hard for startups to
to have big complex partnerships. They
often times break them and it's very
it's very hard, especially if there's
two things that are both sort of
startups. The partnerships very rarely
work out. Um, so he kind of kept us from
making some mistakes there, which I
thought was pretty, you know, obviously
it's pretty amazing. Um,
you know, I think a big a big thing we
did early on was tours of duty where
we'd actually bring the engineers on,
you know, and try to echo the culture of
the places we were working with and get
get them to know the problems. Another
thing I thought was really good is the
culture of the engineering side. We
considered engineers artists and
obviously you had a hardworking team but
you're a lot more tolerant of how you
interact with artists because you can't
you know for example you can't just like
tell an artist to do something between
certain times they might not be feeling
inspiration whereas the operational team
they would we call the office team they
would set up the office and set up the
desks and set up the conferences and any
any any other kind of operations we were
doing it all like that team was run like
a military it was like it was like
people who report to other people and
there's like you know perfect precision
and there's no tolerance at all for not
being on time and being late. It's not
it's not not that you're yelling at
people, but it's almost like that you
like the drill sergeant type thing, you
know, and so and that's a very drill
sergeant culture is a very different
culture. And I think being intentional
about those different cultures and and
and what you know and really telling the
engineers see, wow, there's this really
intense operational culture that really
respects me and the engineers are first
class citizens and they're doing all
these things for me. they're making sure
I don't ever waste time going to get my
cars
uh wheel fixed and oil change because
it's more important for me to be here
solving this hard problem and and it it
created a certain respect for the
culture, respect for the institution and
uh it was very untuitive to engineers at
first but but it be you know because a
lot of them are very uncomfortable
having people help them with things but
I think that culture really contributed
really strongly to to something very
special early on there.
>> Yeah, absolutely. And and I love this
analogy of sort of artists versus
soldiers and that you can have both
types at at a a company perhaps in
different divisions and almost have
different uh subcultures within a a
company that it doesn't need to be
absolutely uniform across which makes
sense especially at a place that that
has you know very different types of
people
>> um and and needs to scale. So uh yeah
amazing amazing sort of lessons there.
Um and then tell me a little bit about
the kind of the journey, you know, as
kind of Palunteer grew kind of what what
was your role at the company. Um and
>> yeah, so so I I was I was kind of like
the minister without portfolio in the
sense that I just jump in and build
things where was needed. So originally I
was helping run product, help come up
with a bunch of the early the early
product stuff uh and you know helped
recruit a lot of the first 50 to 100
engineers and others um including
including most of the early leaders
there. uh helped you know build the
business side initially, helped work and
get some of the initial contracts,
helped get some of the initial investors
other than Peter on board. So really
just kind of running everything in the
background and you know for the first I
think 150 people I just I issued all the
all the all all the offers and all the
options paperwork and help figure out
who we're giving what to. um you know
kind of offside reported them to me the
the sales you know for a sales I did for
a little bit but then very quick very
quickly we found people who were more
confident than me in each of these areas
and replace myself which is always the
always the right right way to handle
these things
>> and uh yeah when I did that I actually
started a separate division the finance
division about three years in and I was
still pretty involved in certain
strategy in the government side and
certain other business things there but
I was also really involved building out
the finance side as the first commercial
side and figuring out the figuring out
the strategy there as well. Yeah.
Amazing. So, you know, it's it's
interesting, especially someone who's
um, you know, majors in computer
science, can be very specialized. You
know, it sounds like you played a very
generalist role in the early days of the
company. Um,
>> yeah. No, I wouldn't I wouldn't label me
as a computer scientist as like my main
thing. I'm very good at computer
science,
>> but I was I I think I think I think I
think the humanities are probably my
strongest area, which is why I just was
so intolerant of of the humanities of
all these colleges that they talked
about because of how corrupt they become
and how there there really aren't too
many people with extremely high IQs
these days compared to 50 years ago in
those humanities areas. So, there's not
as fun to study for really bright people
is my experience.
>> Yeah. And I, you know, I think what
what's been shown over time is, you
know, you really became a company
builder, um, in terms of your your
specialty. Um, so so as kind of
Palunteer, you know, scaled, um, tell me
a little bit about how you got into the
venture capital/investing side of things
with formation 8, which the and which is
now.
>> Yeah. So, so we when we left Palunteer,
I started out of par. I was CEO of that
for a few years scaling that up wealth
manage technology platform and I was
also just you know had a small angel
investment fund and and I had a lot of
people I' I'd kind of brought a pounder
or who had helped run things there and I
was kind of guess a mentor to a handful
of these people or or else just a friend
for some of them and when they were
building something new or thinking about
building something new they' come see me
and we bounce ideas off you know on the
whiteboard and we'd sketch it up and uh
that's involved really early on and
people founding 10 or 15 other companies
you know over the over kind of like a
four or five year period and I was in
investing in a bunch of them. I was
advising some of them like I tell them
who to take their series A or B from. We
work together on it and I help them like
here's how you come across for
fundraising. So I was basically like one
of my mentors told me you're kind of Joe
already running a fund. You just don't
have very much money at all and you
don't have really anyone any not enough
people helping you. Had a couple friends
advising me. So decided to kind of you
know replace myself at Adapar and uh you
know I had an opportunity my friend from
Stanford his family in Korea built LG
and his dad gave us $50 million anchor
and I partner with him and one other guy
and started formation 8 and so I think
because that came up it just it just it
just made sense. I was doing it anyway
might as well be running a fund and once
I was running the fund of course I'm
very competitive so I just started
spending a ton of time you know really
going deep and learning and figuring out
what to do. that was different and we
started you know so we started having
like 150 events per year. We started
writing thesis on all sorts of things
and started just getting really really
intense on like what makes the very best
venture fund and and built up my own
team there and uh the team I built ended
up doing 70% of the deals the first fund
the next fund there's a little bit of
politics and we realized you know what
let's split up and so my team split off
after 82 to ABC1 uh just where we kind
of that way we can have 100% of our own
deals we're doing because for
information we only did about a third of
the deals and uh and I'm still friends
with the other guys but it made sense
for me to have my own my own firm cuz
that's such a different way of doing
things and uh we're on we're on the
third fund now, the fourth fund in the
coming months. So, it'll be my sixth
core fund we're putting together in the
next year.
>> Yeah, it's been an amazing journey. I
remember actually one time when I went
on a run with you, I was telling you
that uh you probably have the most
interesting team in my opinion in
venture capital in that it's probably
the most people that I think have worked
together in some capacity or or
connected in some way beforehand. Um and
so yeah, tell me a little bit about you
you mentioned kind of alluded to that
you you had a different way of doing
things uh about how to how to kind of
you know uh your philosophy about
forming ABC.
>> I think [clears throat and sighs]
the way these funds should work is you
have people with complimentary skills
that are different skills for a lot of
it. So rather than have six partners
that are each their own partner and each
kind of doing their own deals and they
get together and chat about things and
help each other, I like having we have
we have nine partners now, but but most
of them have very different skills than
each other. Some of them might be the
best in the world at growth hacking and
marketing. Some of them might be the
best in the world at knowing what's
going on in the Renaissance and bio.
another like you know was the lead
engineer uh who built a lot of the core
key engineering teams at LinkedIn and
Yahoo and other companies early and is a
great engineering mentor and they have
very different types of skills around me
Alex Moore who he was our first employee
at Palanteer actually ran the ops team I
talked about at first then he was COO of
two different companies and uh he's done
a lot of really good angel investing and
he's kind of goes in and and handles and
fixes situations if necessary and just
so just just a really different set of
people that all component each other
well you want you want I think you want
teams to rely on each other and they
need to rely on each other because it
makes them stronger and tighter. What
that also means is there's no fighting
about this is my deal, this is my deal.
Like the whole firm works on things and
one person might source it, but another
person might be the better person to
actually help and actually you know
actually spend more time on it or
whatever it is. And uh you know there's
45 people in the firm as a whole. Most
of them are builders. So we along with
doing series A and B and C, we've been
launching a lot of companies lately as
well. And that's that that actually
makes us a lot better investors in my
mind. Although it does keep us busy.
>> Yeah, absolutely. I think that was one
of the key differentiators that you know
when I was talking to to various firms
uh is is yeah you're one of the few that
actually incubates and continues to be
heavily uh involved with building uh cuz
I do think it keeps your your skill set
sharper versus you know something that
you might have done a decade or two ago
and you know the the game the rules of
the game have changed uh for sure. So
it's very very cool to see you know the
the unique kind of and contrarian
philosophy uh you know instantiated in
in in 8 now.
>> Yeah. Well, it's I mean and and not all
adventure can be of course totally
contrarian. I think you have to have
strong opinions about where are the gaps
in the world and you have to go after
those gaps and you have to fix them. And
there are some gaps we've identified
that others have identified too and we
have to invest in the best teams and
then multiple of us will make money on
it. But if you do if you do identify a
gap people are not working on that's
even better of
Ask follow-up questions or revisit key timestamps.
The video features a conversation with an early Palantir employee and venture capitalist, who discusses lessons learned from mentors like Peter Thiel and Elon Musk, the importance of focusing on difficult problems, the challenges and successes of his career in finance and startups, and his philosophy on hiring talent and building companies. The discussion covers themes of moderate optimism, the necessity of picking the right battles, and the value of surrounding oneself with high-intellect teams.
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