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John Graham: Inside the Fund Investing for 22 Million Canadians | Podcast | In Good Company

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John Graham: Inside the Fund Investing for 22 Million Canadians | Podcast | In Good Company

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1300 segments

0:01

Hi everyone. I'm Nicolai Tangen, the CEO

0:03

of the Norwegian sovereign wealth fund.

0:04

And today I'm joined by John Graham, the

0:07

CEO of CPPIB,

0:09

which is the Canadian pension fund,

0:11

basically looking after the savings of

0:13

22 million Canadians.

0:16

Now, CPPIB is one of the most respected

0:19

pension funds in the world, and the

0:21

Canadian model has become a blueprint

0:23

globally.

0:25

Now, what makes John stand out is that

0:27

he is a scientist first who found his

0:29

way into one of the world's great

0:31

financial institutions.

0:32

And I'm really curious to dig in what

0:34

your scientific mindset brings to

0:36

investing, John. So, big thank you for

0:39

joining us.

0:40

>> Well, thank you for having me. Lot to

0:41

cover.

0:42

>> Absolutely. Now, first of all, um

0:45

could you help us understand just what

0:46

the Canadian pension plan is? Just how

0:49

is it different from a fund like ours?

0:52

>> Sure. So, uh CPPIB Investments were the

0:56

third-party asset manager for the Canada

0:58

Pension Plan.

1:00

The Canada Pension Plan is the uh

1:03

mandatory program that all working

1:05

Canadians contribute to. Um so, for it'd

1:08

be somewhat similar if you were in the

1:09

US to to to social security.

1:13

Um so, it's it's meant to provide a

1:15

inflation-protected

1:18

you know, defined benefit for for

1:20

working Canadians.

1:22

>> How big is it?

1:23

>> Today, the fund, the CPP fund, is around

1:27

$800 billion, but it's actually a a

1:30

hybrid plan. So, just one of the things

1:32

in that I think is important to to

1:34

appreciate cuz it really has a big

1:35

influence on how we manage the money,

1:37

is about 30 years ago, the Canadian

1:40

government realized that the CPP,

1:43

um at its current contributions and

1:45

benefit rates, was on a path to be

1:48

exhausted.

1:49

And this was because it was a

1:51

pay-as-you-go program, money comes in,

1:54

immediately goes out,

1:55

and demographics were changing. You

1:57

know, you you had a aging population,

2:01

you had people having fewer kids, people

2:02

living longer. And people living longer

2:04

is obviously a good thing.

2:06

Uh but the plan was on a path to being

2:08

exhausted. So, they restructured the

2:10

plan. They increased the contribution

2:13

rate, modified benefits, and they

2:15

created CPP Investments as

2:17

the money manager to invest the funds,

2:20

the surplus funds that aren't

2:22

immediately needed to pay out benefits.

2:25

Um and I think what's you when we

2:27

started out, that plan is it was about

2:29

15% funded. So, really it was still a

2:32

pay-as-you-go plan. And over time, our

2:35

very first check was $12 million.

2:38

So, we got a check for $12 million uh

2:40

uh about 27 years ago. Today, the plan

2:44

sits about 800 billion.

2:46

And the plan is partially funded,

2:48

meaning that

2:49

>> you are and you are independent from the

2:50

Canadian government?

2:52

>> Yeah.

2:52

>> How how how hard is that to protect that

2:55

independence?

2:56

>> Yeah, we were created to be independent

2:59

with respect to investment

3:00

decision-making, but we're still

3:01

accountable. We still have

3:02

accountabilities cuz we're accountable

3:03

to to all Canadians.

3:05

And I think this is something that the

3:07

Canadian government recognizes is

3:09

important um to have both

3:11

independence with investment

3:12

decision-making.

3:14

And that's enshrined in federal

3:16

legislation. So, when we were when we

3:17

were created, the CPPIB Act basically

3:21

enshrined our mandate to maximize return

3:23

without undue risk of loss. And you

3:25

asked the question, how do we differ

3:27

from, let's say, a sovereign wealth

3:28

fund?

3:29

And I think the big difference is we're

3:31

pension plan, which means that we have

3:33

liabilities.

3:35

>> So, when people when people try to

3:36

replicate the Canadian model, what do

3:37

you say that they get wrong?

3:39

>> What do they get wrong?

3:40

>> Yeah.

3:42

>> First I think the first important thing

3:44

is governance.

3:46

And pretty much all the Canadian plans

3:48

have some similar level of governance in

3:51

that there is independence around

3:53

investment decision-making, but

3:54

obviously accountability for to the key

3:58

stakeholders.

3:59

>> Mhm.

3:59

>> And that independence around investment

4:01

decision-making provides the flexibility

4:03

or to build a investment organization

4:08

that has a lot of levers to pull for

4:09

driving returns.

4:11

Public versus private, active versus

4:13

passive, domestic versus global. And I

4:17

think having I'm a big believer in

4:19

optionality and having those various

4:21

levers to pull over the long run drives

4:23

value.

4:24

>> And we will get back to to some of them,

4:26

but just in the meantime you got eight

4:29

pension funds in

4:30

in Canada, right? Sometimes called the

4:32

Maple Eight.

4:33

So how how did Canada develop this

4:35

approach?

4:36

>> Yeah, and I there's there's definitely

4:38

more than eight, but there is a term

4:40

term Maple Eight that uh really captures

4:43

probably the eight biggest. There's now

4:45

Maple Nine, so there's another plan kind

4:47

of kind of coming in to Maple Nine, and

4:49

sometimes it's Maple 10.

4:50

>> Is it good Is it good to have so many

4:52

pension funds?

4:53

>> It's good. It's good. And and you know,

4:55

I I I think the they're very well run.

4:57

They they have

4:59

uh have had good governance, good

5:01

performance.

5:03

I've never been a huge fan of the Maple

5:05

Eight concept because I think one thing

5:06

it does miss

5:08

is that we're all a little bit different

5:10

in that we all have different liability

5:12

streams. We're all pension plans.

5:14

So we all have liability streams. Like

5:15

at the end of the day, we're investing

5:18

the money

5:19

to meet the pension promise.

5:21

So in Canada, across 22 million

5:24

Canadians, a promise has been made,

5:26

right? So at every paycheck you have a

5:29

deduction that says CPP.

5:32

And what you get in return for that

5:34

deduction is a promise. A promise that

5:36

when you retire, you're going to get a a

5:38

pension.

5:39

>> Mhm.

5:40

>> And our job is to make sure that we meet

5:42

that promise. So

5:43

>> So in order to meet that promise, you

5:45

need to invest well, right? So, here you

5:48

are 800 billion.

5:50

Just how do you how do you decide where

5:52

the money goes? How do you decide how to

5:53

split the asset classes?

5:55

>> So, so we are very linked to our

6:00

our mandate. Max our mandate enshrined

6:02

in federal legislation

6:04

is to maximize return without undue risk

6:06

of loss accounting for the factors that

6:08

impact the funding of the plan.

6:11

That's our mandate. And so they you got

6:13

to invest the money

6:15

maximize return, try to grow the funding

6:17

ratio of the of the plan

6:20

and make sure that we can meet these

6:24

obligations or these promises that have

6:26

been made.

6:27

>> And you and you don't have like we have

6:28

a mandate where which the ministry gives

6:30

us which tells us, you know, how much

6:32

shares, how much bonds. You don't have

6:34

that.

6:35

>> We don't have that. Literally our

6:37

mandate is is maximize return without

6:39

undue risk of loss taking into account

6:41

the factors that impact the plan.

6:42

>> So, you know, here here you are John

6:44

Graham 800 billion.

6:47

Go and see what you can do with it.

6:48

>> What started as 12 million and now it's

6:50

800 billion. So, and of that 800 billion

6:53

550 billion is investment income. It it

6:56

does show the power of compounding,

6:57

right? So,

6:58

70% of the fund is

7:01

investment income.

7:02

And so we only, you know, quote unquote

7:04

own the entirety of the investment

7:07

process. So, to be a little bit

7:09

technical, we take that and think

7:12

there's kind of three big decisions we

7:13

make and

7:16

we take a total portfolio approach and

7:18

and fundamentally we try to maximize the

7:20

total return of the total portfolio. So,

7:23

the first big decision, what level of

7:25

risk are we going to take?

7:27

What level of risk will maximize return

7:30

without undue risk of loss? How do we

7:32

thread that needle of

7:34

taking our time horizon? So,

7:36

recognizing, and I think this is really

7:38

important,

7:39

we're pension plan, we're not a wealth

7:41

maximizing vehicle.

7:43

>> What's the difference between the two?

7:45

>> That we will at time, and I would

7:47

actually argue we may be in that time

7:49

right now with the concentration risk in

7:51

the markets,

7:52

there will be times when we are not

7:54

looking to fully participate in the

7:56

market in parts of the market where we

7:58

feel there might be an undue risk of

8:00

loss.

8:01

So,

8:03

we are

8:04

not always maximizing. When we think

8:07

about the upside and the downside,

8:09

there are times when we may give up a

8:11

little bit of upside to protect the

8:13

downside because we think at this moment

8:15

in time that's more important for

8:17

um thinking about the liability stream

8:20

or the liabilities we have uh to to

8:23

to meet.

8:24

So,

8:26

risk What level of risk are we going to

8:27

take? That's number one.

8:29

Two, asset classes. How are we going to

8:31

diversify? And you'll hear me say this

8:33

probably a few times, diversification is

8:36

an act of humility. We don't know.

8:38

And and and we do firmly believe in

8:40

diversifying across asset classes and

8:43

geographies

8:44

as ultimately a risk management tool.

8:47

Um the third decision is security

8:48

selection.

8:50

Um what which companies

8:52

which assets do we want in the

8:54

portfolio?

8:55

>> Now, you uh

8:56

you don't operate in asset silos, is

8:58

that right? Just how do you How do you

8:59

think about the various assets?

9:01

[clears throat]

9:01

>> Yeah, so in the total portfolio

9:03

approach, we we we definitely try to do

9:06

our best not to get totally siloed into

9:08

thinking about asset classes and having

9:10

fixed hard allocations into asset

9:12

classes or into geographies. We think in

9:15

factor space. We think about what's the

9:18

real economic exposure we're bringing

9:20

into the portfolio, whether it be, you

9:23

know, duration, inflation sensitivity,

9:25

whatever it may be,

9:27

um

9:27

knowing that asset class labels can be a

9:29

little bit misleading. I mean,

9:30

personally,

9:32

I don't view public equity and private

9:34

equity as as different asset classes.

9:37

I view them as different kind of

9:38

ownership structures within equities

9:41

and they have different

9:43

ways of behaving through

9:45

through through the cycle. So, we try

9:47

not to get hard allocations into asset

9:51

classes, hard allocations into countries

9:53

cuz that can lead to some strange

9:55

behavior when you're trying to rebalance

9:56

the portfolio, but think about what are

9:58

the correlations between the different

10:01

asset classes. That being said, we are

10:03

organized by asset class, so we do have

10:05

kind of soft allocations into asset

10:08

classes and we do ask people

10:10

into the execution side to really

10:13

understand their asset class, whether

10:14

that be real estate or infrastructure,

10:16

or credit, and to build portfolios in

10:18

their asset class.

10:19

>> What are the kind of things you don't

10:20

do?

10:21

>> We don't do.

10:22

>> Mhm.

10:23

>> Well, we don't do

10:25

um

10:27

There's very little we don't do uh at at

10:31

800 billion. And it's probably similar

10:33

for you, but there's but there's very

10:34

little we don't do in that we also

10:37

believe that we do not follow a path of

10:41

blanket divestment.

10:42

So, take oil and gas. We have continued

10:46

to invest in oil and gas. We have

10:47

continued to support the oil and gas

10:49

industry. We do not have a uh we never

10:53

take a path of blanket divestment. So,

10:56

there's no industry that that's off side

10:59

for us. Now, there's some things we make

11:01

a deliberate choice not to do. So, take

11:05

from a geography perspective. We're

11:07

really We We probably have exposure to

11:08

50 countries around the world, but we're

11:10

probably only really active in 12

11:13

because we just can't really be

11:15

experts in every country around the

11:17

world. So, we will prioritize and decide

11:19

that we're going to really focus maybe

11:20

in on 12.

11:22

With respect to asset classes, we've

11:23

chosen the big ones, but you know, one

11:26

thing we've never done is crypto. We've

11:28

never directly invested in crypto. And I

11:29

don't know how much money you want to

11:30

spend on that.

11:31

>> been that's been pretty good lately not

11:32

to be in that one.

11:34

But uh

11:34

um one asset class where you are where

11:36

we are not is uh private assets, so

11:38

private equity,

11:39

private credit. Um

11:41

Now, you are You have one of the largest

11:43

private market portfolios of anybody in

11:45

the world. And so, what is your view on

11:47

that asset class just now?

11:49

>> Yeah, so I think we take a long-term

11:51

view. And you know, private equity

11:54

undoubtedly has had a more challenging

11:56

couple years.

11:58

Um we can get into that. But if I look

12:00

over the past 10 15 years, it's been one

12:02

of the biggest drivers of return for the

12:04

for the portfolio. I personally continue

12:07

to be a believer in the in the pri- the

12:10

private governance model. I think for

12:13

certain companies at certain times in

12:15

their life cycle,

12:16

private ownership makes a lot of sense.

12:19

Um getting out of the scrutiny of the

12:20

public markets,

12:22

um hav- having the investors be very

12:25

actively engaged from a governance

12:27

perspective [clears throat]

12:27

on the board of directors. I think

12:29

there's at certain points in time,

12:31

private ownership makes a lot of sense.

12:33

So, we continue to be constructive on

12:36

private equity. Recognizing though that

12:37

right now, you know, the returns has

12:39

been well documented over the past

12:41

couple years have not been,

12:43

you know, at expectations. But if I look

12:45

over 10 15 years, it's it's been a big

12:47

driver of value for CPP Investments.

12:50

>> And you you measure your returns against

12:52

um

12:54

kind of a benchmark portfolio which

12:55

consists of Is it bonds and equities?

12:59

>> Yeah. So, we have a benchmark portfolio

13:01

that is basically matches kind of the

13:05

big asset classes that we invest in. So,

13:07

it's bonds and equities, but there is

13:08

also some sector specific indices in

13:10

there.

13:11

Whether it be real estate, credit,

13:15

uh infrastructure, energy.

13:18

And you know, I think right now, looking

13:21

at at private equity, I mean, one of the

13:22

challenges we have is the the public

13:25

markets, especially the broader markets,

13:27

are just very concentrated and very

13:30

concentrated into a a handful of

13:33

US-based technology stocks.

13:36

>> Yeah, which is not what our portfolio

13:37

looks like.

13:38

>> No, no. No, no.

13:39

Uh this is a a challenge for most active

13:42

[clears throat]

13:43

managers uh these days. Now, uh you

13:46

manage a lot of your uh private exposure

13:48

internally.

13:50

Uh how do you make the choice between

13:52

outsourcing that

13:54

uh versus uh actually managing it

13:56

yourself?

13:57

>> Yeah, and and uh the way I describe our

13:59

approach is it's a partnership model.

14:01

So, for take private equity, we we do

14:05

invest in um private equity managers

14:08

around the world who we think are the

14:10

best in and the best investors in their

14:12

space.

14:13

And then we do co-investing and

14:15

co-underwriting

14:16

with them.

14:18

Some other programs, like infrastructure

14:20

and energy, historically, we may have

14:22

been a little bit more direct, but we

14:23

certainly do have some kind of external

14:26

relationships. And here's a case for me

14:28

though

14:29

that uh

14:30

these are choices.

14:32

These are choices the organization

14:34

makes.

14:35

And I come back to what we're solving

14:37

for. We're solving to maximize the total

14:40

return of the total portfolio.

14:42

So, we are you know, we see value in

14:45

having direct and and fund

14:47

relationships.

14:48

Um exactly how much we have of each is

14:51

just going to be based on where we get

14:52

the best returns.

14:54

>> Who does better? Your external managers

14:56

or your guy your internal guys?

14:58

>> Well, you have to think about often why

15:00

you're doing the internal. So, the

15:03

the internal

15:05

you office often have co-investing and

15:07

co-writing underwriting at kind of

15:10

advantageous economics. So, you're not

15:12

paying the the the the

15:13

>> [laughter]

15:13

>> the full fee and promote or carry the

15:16

performance fee.

15:17

So, I think it's hard to say who does

15:18

better because

15:20

your internal teams are benefiting from

15:22

the origination and the asset management

15:24

of the external teams.

15:25

>> Mhm.

15:26

>> Um so, they're not totally separable,

15:28

right? Like

15:29

they don't compete with each other. The

15:31

internal teams are actually building off

15:33

of the uh

15:35

the external um

15:38

the external managers. So,

15:40

I actually think what's important is to

15:42

mash them together and look at the

15:44

blended returns of two as opposed to

15:46

thinking of them as two separate

15:47

competing

15:48

kind of investment strategies.

15:51

>> Absolutely. Now, John um Canada and

15:53

Norway compete in ice hockey. Um but but

15:56

let's not talk about that.

15:57

>> Oh, really? They do?

15:57

>> But no, well, I I saw you there. But we

15:59

also But more importantly, we we we we

16:03

compete in uh transparency, right?

16:05

Because there is just uh FYI for the for

16:08

the listeners, there is the World

16:09

Championship in transparency. And and uh

16:12

and you guys and us, we typically uh you

16:15

know, together are at the top of the the

16:17

the league table here.

16:18

>> Yeah.

16:19

>> So, why why in your mind why is

16:20

transparency important?

16:22

>> Yeah, and and and I and I I will concede

16:24

I think you've gotten the gold medal the

16:25

last couple years.

16:27

>> Well, I think we're doing

16:28

we're we're both doing really well here.

16:30

>> We're tied for two.

16:31

So, for for us at at CPP Investments,

16:34

transparency is something that we take

16:35

very seriously. And part of it comes

16:37

back to our purpose and and who we are.

16:41

We're a you know, mandatory retirement

16:44

program that all Canadians contribute

16:45

to. We manage $800 billion of what is

16:48

largely a

16:51

you know, public good here in in Canada.

16:54

So, we have taken an approach to

16:57

disclose at a level that isn't even

16:59

beyond what is required under um the

17:02

CPPIB Act.

17:04

With a view that Canadians should

17:06

understand how their money is being uh

17:09

how the money is being invested

17:11

and uh how the cost of base that we have

17:14

within within CPP Investments. So,

17:16

within our quarterly statements, we

17:18

release pretty much every

17:20

investment we make. So, we have

17:22

transparency there. And we provide a lot

17:25

of information on how we run the fund,

17:29

our various frameworks for running the

17:32

fund. And we think it's important

17:33

because of who we are.

17:35

>> Yeah. Yeah.

17:36

John, let's spend a few moments on the

17:38

geopolitics. How much of your

17:39

investments are are in Canada?

17:42

>> We have about 12% of the portfolio in

17:44

Canada.

17:45

>> Yeah. And what about the US?

17:48

>> We are it kind of ebbs and flows again.

17:50

We don't have hard allocations.

17:53

45% plus or minus a few percent. It It

17:56

can get up to 50, but

17:58

>> [clears throat]

17:59

>> you're probably you're probably similar

18:00

in that the US has been an incredible

18:02

market over the past 10 years.

18:03

>> Absolutely. Absolutely.

18:04

>> And And our one of our biggest

18:06

challenges is if if we don't manage it,

18:09

it'll just keep growing and growing and

18:10

growing as part of the portfolio. So, we

18:12

actually it's one area we do try to

18:14

manage around that 45 to 50-ish

18:16

percentage range.

18:18

>> Is there any

18:20

kind of political

18:22

what should we say not interference, but

18:23

any political

18:25

indications

18:27

in terms of trying to get you to reduce

18:30

your US exposure?

18:32

>> No. No. I mean, certainly I think the

18:36

people would like to see us invest more

18:38

domestically in in some areas,

18:40

especially right now. And I will say

18:42

from a Canadian perspective, Canada's

18:44

looking more interesting than it has in

18:46

in years. And And part of that

18:48

>> is that?

18:49

>> Yeah, and part of that is the ambition.

18:51

You know, there's an ambition at the

18:52

provincial level, at the federal level

18:55

to build things and to build big things.

18:58

And pension funds like us like

19:00

infrastructure. We like big assets that

19:03

are cash generative. So, there's

19:05

definitely a lot more kind of curiosity

19:08

about investing in Canada than it has

19:10

been in

19:13

in years. So,

19:15

people certainly would like to see us

19:16

invest more in Canada and and we're

19:19

actively looking at investment

19:20

opportunities, but we'll always do it

19:22

with our mandate in mind. You know, what

19:24

when we were created.

19:25

>> The the government is trying to attract

19:27

foreign investors.

19:29

Do you think you would always get kind

19:31

of the goodies?

19:33

The best bits?

19:34

>> No, I don't. I actually don't and I

19:36

think this this is

19:38

I think this

19:39

I look at the US.

19:41

The US is the most competitive

19:44

market in the world. It's most

19:45

competitive capital market in the world

19:47

and it's been delivering the best

19:48

returns.

19:50

Competitive capital is a good thing.

19:54

The ambition this country has in Canada

19:55

for building things, it's going to

19:57

require

19:59

domestic and foreign capital.

20:01

And we're a big advocate that that

20:04

we should seek competition for capital.

20:05

It'll drive the cost of capital down and

20:08

it'll ultimately lead to to better

20:10

investment opportunities. You'd ask

20:11

about the US. I mean, people appreciate

20:13

that

20:14

it's a it's from a market cap

20:16

perspective, I think it's what 70 65 70%

20:19

of the the global equity markets. So,

20:21

even at 45% there's an argument that

20:23

we're actually underweight the US.

20:25

>> What about China?

20:28

>> Yeah.

20:29

It's an interesting question and and

20:31

China is a market where we've been

20:33

active for quite a while. You know, my

20:35

my predecessors were incredibly

20:37

knowledgeable and well connected into in

20:40

into China.

20:41

Our exposure to China has declined over

20:43

the past few years.

20:45

Part of that is because the the rest of

20:46

the portfolio has grown around it. You

20:48

know, there there hasn't been a we

20:50

haven't been selling assets per se, but

20:52

the the rest of the portfolio has been

20:54

growing around it.

20:56

We maintain a a

20:59

reasonable I think allocation

21:01

into China. My personal view is and

21:04

if you want to be a long-term investor,

21:06

you have

21:08

you have to have some level of

21:10

investment in the world's second largest

21:12

economy.

21:13

Um, you also have to have a certain

21:14

amount of knowledge about the world's

21:16

second largest economy because it has

21:18

influence, uh,

21:19

real influence around the globe.

21:22

So, we've maintained our understanding,

21:25

our some of our relationships in the in

21:27

the market. Um,

21:29

I think for China it's always a case of

21:31

of how much

21:32

of the portfolio and then how. What

21:35

industries, um, what sectors do we want

21:38

to, uh, invest in? Knowing that there's

21:40

some areas like obviously be very

21:42

sensitive to get into defense or to get

21:44

into dual-use technologies. So, you have

21:45

to think about

21:46

how you want to invest.

21:49

>> Yeah.

21:51

Talking about, uh, that, how does AI

21:54

change the way that you run your

21:55

organization?

21:57

>> That's a good question. That's a good

21:58

question. I mean, I think we're I think

22:00

we're figuring it out like lots of

22:02

people.

22:03

Um, and and and probably go through lots

22:06

of

22:06

peaks and troughs in thinking about the

22:09

the impact of of AI.

22:12

As an organization,

22:15

we certainly have prioritized literacy

22:18

and fluency.

22:20

Certainly prioritized trying to have a

22:24

employee base that is very fluent in the

22:27

tools and the technologies.

22:29

So, we have rolled out multiple LLMs to

22:32

every single employee in the

22:34

organization.

22:36

And we have provided, uh, training.

22:39

We've provided courses and in fact, um,

22:41

we have these kind of bootcamps that

22:44

employees can can sign up for. So, we've

22:47

seen pretty good adoption, pretty good,

22:50

uh,

22:52

you know, I think actually very good

22:53

adoption on at the grassroots level of

22:56

from AI.

22:59

More senior level, there's probably half

23:01

a dozen processes we're thinking through

23:05

on where can we really embed AI to do it

23:09

more efficiently, more effectively, but

23:11

a little bit more from the operations

23:13

side.

23:15

Has AI made us a better investor?

23:18

Have we made better investment decisions

23:20

because of AI?

23:22

At this point, TBD. At this point,

23:26

unclear.

23:28

But we are dedicating a lot of time and

23:32

uh effort to

23:33

uh figuring that out.

23:35

>> When you see when you see 10 years out,

23:37

how do you think it will change the way

23:38

you work?

23:40

>> Yeah. That's the one thing, too, that um

23:43

as we think about AI, and I do believe

23:44

the organization has really tried to

23:46

adopt it, and we we've given people a

23:47

lot of license to to try to use in their

23:49

daily life, and encourage them to just

23:50

be more efficient.

23:52

And I don't know if this is AI or just

23:54

good old-fashioned process optimization,

23:57

but over the past 3-4 years,

24:00

we at CPP Investments,

24:03

we have fewer employees than we did 3

24:05

years ago. Not by a lot.

24:07

Let's call it basically flat, but we

24:09

have about 300 billion more of assets.

24:12

Um so, I think we're more efficient. And

24:14

And has AI contributed to that?

24:16

Probably. AI's been

24:19

contributed to that a little bit, or or

24:20

at least has kind of put a fire under

24:22

people's feet to to to think about

24:24

efficiency.

24:26

10 years from now, where my mind is,

24:28

like I'm not in the place of we we

24:31

should stop hiring juniors. I think it's

24:33

madness to stop hiring juniors, because

24:35

I think

24:35

>> I I agree. I agree.

24:36

>> Cuz 10 years from now, they're going to

24:38

be the future leaders of the

24:39

organization, and, you know,

24:42

unless I've made terrible life choices,

24:43

I won't be here 10-15 years from now.

24:46

So, so we're going to keep hiring

24:47

juniors.

24:49

What I think this allows us to do is

24:50

just get operational leverage. I don't

24:52

see the organization from a people

24:54

perspective being a lot smaller,

24:56

um

24:57

but what I do see is we can add hundreds

24:59

of billions of assets without really um

25:03

adding a huge amount of of cost or or or

25:06

people.

25:07

And will it help us make better

25:10

investment decisions?

25:13

I think I'm still TBD on that. I don't

25:14

know what your perspective is. I'm still

25:16

TBD as to

25:18

it'll help us make faster decisions,

25:20

yes. Will it help us make better

25:22

decisions?

25:24

TBD.

25:25

>> Yeah, no I

25:26

I would disagree with you. I would

25:28

disagree with you.

25:29

Let's spend a few minutes on you as a

25:32

leader.

25:33

Um, how do you think your scientific

25:34

background has formed you as a leader?

25:37

>> [snorts]

25:38

>> Yeah, and and probably formed as a in a

25:40

permanent investment perspective.

25:43

Wait a second.

25:45

There's not many things I know in life

25:47

with certainty.

25:49

But one of the things I know with

25:51

certainty is I'm not a scientist

25:53

anymore.

25:55

Investing is not science.

25:58

Even um

26:00

even though I'll see these incredibly

26:02

sophisticated models, these incredibly

26:05

quantitative approaches,

26:08

investing, I believe, is not science.

26:11

And And the reason I

26:12

>> If it's If it's not science, what is it?

26:14

>> It's a little bit of art and science.

26:16

It's a It's a quantitative art.

26:18

>> And what kind of art is it?

26:20

>> [laughter]

26:21

>> But

26:22

it's an art that requires judgment. It's

26:24

an art that requires experience and an

26:26

art that that actually does require, I

26:28

think, and that's a little bit of why

26:29

with AI that I'm I'm I'm I'm cautious on

26:31

whether it'll help us make better

26:32

decisions. I don't know. It may.

26:35

Is in science, and I I was an

26:37

experimental scientist, right?

26:39

We could do an experiment in

26:42

Toronto or in the States and someone

26:44

could replicate that in

26:46

uh

26:47

Japan and they could replicate it in 5

26:49

years from now and 10 years from now.

26:51

Investing is this living ecosystem

26:53

that's changing every day.

26:55

And our models for

26:59

which were were CBB Investments I

27:01

describe as a very evidence-based,

27:03

probably quite quantitative

27:05

organization.

27:06

And I believe it's the right approach

27:07

and that it helps us

27:09

think through it, but at the end of the

27:10

day they are just

27:12

they're our best guess at how the the

27:14

world is going to unfold and

27:16

until someone gives me data on the

27:18

future,

27:20

we are still trying to forecast out the

27:22

future with a a certain amount of

27:26

uncertainty.

27:27

>> And

27:27

>> [clears throat]

27:28

>> to run to run a company in

27:32

in that environment, what are the most

27:34

important leadership principles you

27:35

have?

27:37

>> Yeah, so one of the things I've learned

27:38

and probably learned the hard way

27:40

through my career,

27:43

um and I do believe this is

27:47

every leader has a certain

27:49

kind of call it a preferred habitat.

27:52

Every every leader has a style that is

27:55

really reflective of who they are and

27:57

how they want to approach a problem,

27:58

whether you're a

28:00

super empathetic leader, whether you're

28:02

a pacesetter, a taskmaster, whatever it

28:04

is.

28:05

I have learned that at certain times you

28:07

need to be situationally aware.

28:10

And whether it's the what's going on at

28:12

the time or whether it's and sometimes

28:15

the individual and being able to flex

28:17

the leadership style a little bit, not

28:19

losing sight of the of the mandate, not

28:21

losing sight of the mission and where

28:22

you want to go,

28:24

but being able to flex a little bit on

28:26

what you're

28:28

how you're going to approach it, you

28:29

know, I

28:30

>> Tell me tell tell me about tell me about

28:32

a time you really flexed it.

28:34

>> Sure, I'd say COVID.

28:35

Um

28:37

when

28:38

people were scared,

28:40

huge amount of uncertainty, people were

28:42

worried about their health,

28:44

worried about their um

28:47

jobs.

28:48

And

28:50

I think we needed to lean into empathy

28:52

at that time.

28:54

Um and and I think we did lean into

28:56

empathy.

28:57

>> Did that come na- Did that come

28:58

naturally to you?

29:00

>> Well,

29:01

I'm probably a little bit more of a

29:02

pacesetter. I'm probably someone who

29:04

also is a little bit more like even

29:05

coming back to COVID, I'm definitely

29:07

someone who is more of an in-office

29:08

person who believes that we need to be

29:10

in the in the office. And I've had to

29:13

you know, modify my approach a little

29:14

bit to make sure that um

29:18

we still give people agency and we still

29:19

give people a feeling that they have

29:21

that they're empowered to make decisions

29:23

around their around their careers.

29:26

>> Now, our uh listeners are

29:29

uh when we um when we kind of poll them

29:32

and ask them how they want to What do

29:34

What do they want to have more in the

29:35

poll calls? They say they want to hear

29:37

more about failures, you know? They only

29:39

talk about successes and everything is

29:40

so great and

29:42

uh you know, tell me about

29:45

some of your biggest mistakes in life.

29:46

>> So, my big failures?

29:48

>> Yeah.

29:49

>> Okay. Well, I think as you know, in when

29:51

in in investing, you you you do have the

29:54

opportunity to have failures.

29:55

>> How tough?

29:56

>> And you you you have the opportunity to

29:58

be humbled.

30:00

And any investor who says they haven't

30:02

been humbled um

30:05

is is probably not either taking a lot

30:07

of risk or is is not being overly

30:09

uh truthful.

30:11

So, certainly some of the investments

30:12

I've been actively engaged on um

30:16

have not turned out as as planned. So,

30:19

what have I learned from that?

30:22

One of the things and one of the things

30:23

I try to tell our our our younger

30:24

colleagues too, which I do believe, is

30:26

you

30:27

you can't diligence

30:30

a bad investment into a good investment.

30:34

Spending another week

30:36

is is not going to turn a fundamentally

30:38

bad investment into a good investment.

30:41

And in fact,

30:42

you you you may just convince yourself

30:45

that it is.

30:47

Um and sometimes

30:50

you have to know when to quit.

30:52

And you have to know when to back away

30:54

from uh an investment. If I think about

30:56

where

30:59

mistakes I made and failures I had,

31:01

just this belief that if you just did

31:03

more work, if you just structured it, or

31:05

you could take a bad investment, if you

31:07

could just structure it a little bit

31:08

more, you could turn it into a good

31:09

investment.

31:10

>> What's the worst one you had?

31:12

>> My worst I'm not going to name the name

31:13

of it.

31:14

>> [laughter]

31:16

>> What about What about on the personal

31:18

level? What about like your personal

31:19

mistake?

31:21

>> The biggest failure on the personal

31:22

level?

31:22

>> Yeah.

31:24

>> I think the one thing we all learned too

31:25

in

31:28

in in in in in leadership roles that

31:32

getting the right team around you is the

31:34

most important is one of the most

31:36

important things.

31:37

>> Mhm.

31:38

>> Having a senior team that is aligned to

31:40

where you want to go

31:42

that is as bought into the vision and

31:45

the mandate of the of the organization

31:48

and will truly act as team one. Will be

31:50

there to support each other and be there

31:52

to support the um

31:54

the organization.

31:56

And I think you also have to realize

31:57

that when it comes to hiring people,

31:59

when it comes to the teams,

32:02

you never get it perfectly right.

32:04

Uh and and

32:06

so I think one of the most important

32:07

things is to

32:11

make sure that you get your right team

32:14

in place.

32:15

>> And were you too slow in doing that?

32:17

>> I think like most people, you end up

32:19

being too slow.

32:20

>> Yeah.

32:21

>> You know, if if I ask leaders what are

32:23

some of their biggest regrets,

32:25

is that they waited too long to get

32:26

their team in place.

32:27

>> Mhm.

32:28

>> Um

32:30

and

32:32

guidance I give new CEOs is this is is

32:35

of the first things you should do.

32:37

Is when that one year anniversary hits,

32:38

you should be able to look around your

32:39

senior team and say this is exactly who

32:41

I want with me at this point. Because

32:43

one thing we've also found is I've been

32:45

in this role for over five years,

32:47

it has gone by in a blink of an eye.

32:50

>> Absolutely.

32:52

>> [sighs]

32:52

>> Uh same here. I've been close to six.

32:54

It's just like bang, as if we started

32:57

yesterday.

32:58

Now, um

32:59

tell me about the culture. What do you

33:01

How would you describe the culture?

33:05

>> Yeah, I would describe the culture of

33:06

CPPIB Investments as very

33:09

purpose-driven.

33:10

So, who we are, right? Like it's not

33:12

lost on anybody

33:14

the important work we do for for

33:17

Canadians.

33:18

And every time we do, which I'm sure you

33:20

do, employee engagement surveys and

33:24

various kind of

33:27

employee suggestion kind of uh surveys,

33:31

the one thing that always comes back

33:32

that is a pretty much always our highest

33:34

score

33:35

is that people

33:37

believe in and are are really motivated

33:41

by the purpose of the organization.

33:45

And I think the culture has largely

33:47

formed around that

33:49

the the kind of the purpose-driven

33:51

nature of the of the organization.

33:53

>> How do you set the expectations beyond

33:56

which you perform well above average

33:58

well above expectations and you know,

34:00

the proportion who you think needs to

34:02

improve? Just where you set it.

34:05

>> Yeah. Yeah. And and and I think this is

34:07

one of the challenges um for

34:09

organizations such as such as ours. The

34:12

we are ultimately investing as a

34:14

talent-based organization as a

34:15

talent-based business.

34:17

Um and so I think we have to be very

34:19

rigorous on talent.

34:23

One of the things that I will tell the

34:24

senior leadership in the organization is

34:26

at the end of the week you should be

34:27

able to look at yourself in the mirror

34:29

and and answer two questions. One, that

34:31

you helped drive performance, and two,

34:33

that you help develop the next

34:34

generation of leaders.

34:36

So, every single leader, that that

34:38

performance and people are two of the

34:41

the expectations to be a leader at CPP

34:43

Investments.

34:45

So, I think we take talent development

34:47

very seriously, ensuring that that we

34:49

really do

34:51

um

34:52

have the best people working here. I

34:55

think one of the needles we have to

34:57

thread

34:58

is

35:00

we're this enduring institution, similar

35:01

to you.

35:03

In that

35:04

we have to be here 50 years from now. We

35:06

have to be here 75 years from now.

35:10

We are almost by definition the exact

35:12

opposite of a founder organization.

35:15

We're almost the exact opposite of a

35:17

founder-led culture.

35:19

So

35:21

we have to actually, in some ways,

35:23

institutionalize the culture,

35:25

institutionalize

35:26

the uh investment process.

35:29

And it can never be about the

35:31

individual.

35:32

Um because that's not how you build a

35:35

durable, sustaining organization. It has

35:38

to be about the purpose. It has to be

35:40

about the mission. It has to be about

35:41

the mandate. But, investing is a lot

35:43

about individuals, right? And and

35:45

investing is a lot about, you know, you

35:47

these great investors.

35:49

Um so, what we can't have at CPP

35:52

Investments is a star culture. We

35:55

We can't build investment programs

35:57

around individuals. We have to build

35:59

investment programs around

36:01

organizational strengths and advantages.

36:04

>> What other part of the culture are you

36:05

trying to improve?

36:09

>> Trying to improve the

36:14

I would say a a a little bit on just

36:16

what I what I mentioned.

36:18

And

36:21

it's

36:23

ensuring that everybody really

36:24

understands

36:26

why we're here.

36:28

Um

36:30

we have one fund.

36:31

We have really kind of one mandate to

36:34

maximize return without undue risk of

36:36

loss.

36:37

So, how do we really embed that owner's

36:40

mindset into the organization? How do we

36:43

really embed that one fund mindset into

36:46

the organization to

36:50

ensure that everybody is thinking long

36:52

term and everybody is thinking about how

36:54

do we maximize

36:56

um

36:58

the long-term returns of the of the of

37:00

the portfolio. And

37:03

investing's an interesting

37:05

you know, it's an

37:06

it's a fascinating business to to be in.

37:10

Um

37:11

so, in a lot of organizations, it's very

37:12

much about the individual. They're

37:14

selling almost an individual's kind of

37:17

je ne sais quoi with investing.

37:20

And here at CPP Investments, saying,

37:22

"How do we get people to really buy into

37:25

that one fund mentality?"

37:27

And to really think about how do we

37:29

compound the value of the platform? How

37:31

do we make this organization a more

37:33

valuable platform 5 years from now than

37:35

it is today?

37:37

>> Do you think Do you think the culture is

37:39

a reflection of your own personality?

37:41

>> I actually don't. I actually don't.

37:44

>> And where is it different from you?

37:46

>> Well, well, I'm not sure if if it's

37:48

different because I don't think you can

37:50

lead this organization if if if if you

37:52

cuz I think the culture I set is very

37:54

purpose-driven.

37:55

So, Yeah, but you are you So, are you?

37:57

Yeah, exactly. So, I I think people who

37:59

aren't purpose-driven

38:01

will either self-select out or be

38:03

selected out. You know, I

38:05

I think when when people exit this

38:07

organization,

38:09

um it's often because that they're

38:12

they just aren't aligned to the purpose

38:14

of the of the organization and want to

38:17

do something else. We have a lot of

38:18

amazing uh ex-ex-colleagues. So,

38:22

I think from a from a culture

38:24

perspective, I think the I I I

38:27

you know, it's terrible to say, but I I

38:28

think you got to conform to what the the

38:30

CPPIB culture is if you want to be a

38:33

leader here. And one of the things I

38:34

find amazing, and I I do find this

38:36

amazing, we have seven offices outside

38:39

of Toronto, and and we all get it. We're

38:41

the We're the Canada Pension Plan. It's

38:42

in the name, right? Like Like

38:45

we we are managing

38:47

the

38:47

retirement savings of 22 million

38:50

Canadians.

38:52

But we have colleagues in London, in São

38:54

Paulo, in New York, in Hong Kong, in

38:57

Mumbai, and

38:59

the culture there is remarkably similar.

39:02

Remarkably similar. Like

39:04

they are I'm motivated by the purpose.

39:06

They get it. We spend a lot of time

39:08

talking about it, and

39:10

I bring people to our offices around the

39:12

world, and one of the common things they

39:14

say is like

39:15

wow. Like

39:17

we're in Mumbai, or we're in Hong Kong,

39:20

but you would have thought we were in

39:21

Toronto the way they were talking about

39:22

the purpose of the organization.

39:25

>> Mhm. How do you make sure it doesn't

39:27

become bureaucratic?

39:29

>> Well, that's a very good question, and I

39:32

would say that is a

39:35

constant and um

39:38

requires constant effort, cuz most

39:40

bureaucracy is is put in place for very

39:43

good reasons, and uh made sense at the

39:45

time, and then it just kind of takes on

39:47

a life of its own, like a

39:49

like a Frankenstein that grows over time

39:52

and gets fed and and becomes

39:53

unmanageable at uh at some point.

39:57

I am sure if you ask some of our

39:58

colleagues, they would give you very

40:00

different views on how bureaucratic we

40:02

are. Um

40:04

I think it's something that we try to

40:06

thread that needle.

40:08

Sometimes well, sometimes not as well as

40:11

How do we empower people

40:14

to

40:15

and delegate to people so they can make

40:17

decisions. I am a big believer that

40:19

decisions should be made by the people

40:20

who are closest to the information.

40:22

So, how do we delegate to people, let's

40:24

say on the investment side,

40:26

into the various geographies and asset

40:28

classes so they can make decisions,

40:31

but ensuring that they are aligned, you

40:33

know.

40:34

Delegation without alignment leads to

40:36

chaos. So, how do we make sure they're

40:37

aligned and they understand what we're

40:39

solving for?

40:40

And then, um,

40:43

I have to periodically,

40:45

you know,

40:46

I found in this job like once every so

40:48

many years, kind of hit a pause button

40:51

and do a decluttering of the of the

40:54

bureaucracy because

40:56

uh, I've also learned that it only goes

40:57

one way. It

40:59

>> Absolutely.

40:59

>> you will not naturally, you know,

41:03

de-bureaucratize. [laughter]

41:05

It'll just always add, always add, and

41:06

then every once in a while you got to

41:08

slam that pause button and just start

41:10

purging some of it out and then let it

41:13

to start accumulating again.

41:14

>> Yeah.

41:15

How do you switch off uh, outside work?

41:17

>> Yeah, probably not well. Probably not

41:20

well, but the

41:22

I think we we learn things about

41:23

ourselves. We learn what recharges our

41:25

batteries. It probably speaks to whether

41:27

we're introverts or extroverts

41:30

uh, at heart.

41:30

>> How do you charge?

41:32

>> How do I charge it? I I actually charge,

41:35

I have learned this and you can ask my

41:37

friends and my family.

41:39

I have three dogs.

41:40

I will

41:41

um,

41:43

put on my ear put in my earbuds,

41:45

take the dogs for like a 45-minute walk

41:47

at night, listen to podcasts, listen to

41:50

audiobooks,

41:51

and just in some ways kind of disconnect

41:54

a little bit. It's not the best way

41:57

when you have to recharge by basically

41:59

being alone for 45 minutes at the end of

42:01

the day, but I have found in this role

42:03

that it it's probably what charges the

42:05

battery the fastest.

42:06

>> Hm. What do you listen to?

42:08

>> What do I listen to? So, I don't listen

42:10

to fiction. I don't read fiction.

42:14

Um

42:15

I like to listen to podcasts on history,

42:17

a lot of podcasts on history.

42:20

I came across one recently that was an

42:22

older one called the history of Rome. I

42:23

think it had 170 episodes that I

42:25

listened to. I loved it. Um so a lot on

42:28

history and a lot on business, whether

42:30

it be the Financial Times or Bloomberg,

42:32

the various

42:34

business or investing podcasts.

42:38

>> Mhm.

42:39

Now, we have

42:40

a lot of young listeners. What would be

42:42

your advice to them?

42:44

>> So, yeah, I have two children. They're

42:48

23 and and 20. So,

42:51

um

42:52

I always give the the advice that I give

42:54

them. So, it's it's the [laughter] same

42:56

advice that I give my own

42:57

children who are really just starting

42:59

their professional career.

43:01

And the advice I give them both of them

43:03

is

43:04

keep learning.

43:05

Um

43:07

just always keep learning.

43:09

Yeah.

43:10

Keep learning about your job.

43:12

Um never stagnate. Uh this is one thing

43:15

I've seen in my career is it was people

43:17

going to cruise control and they become

43:18

complacent. And jobs evolve and jobs

43:22

will evolve away from them. So, keep

43:23

learning. Keep learning about your job.

43:26

Keep learning about other jobs that

43:27

people are doing

43:28

in your in your organization.

43:31

Don't be don't be complacent and you are

43:33

going to have to take some ownership of

43:34

your career. And

43:37

think about what you want to do and make

43:38

sure that you know, your value to the

43:41

company is only increasing.

43:43

>> Yeah.

43:44

Well, John, that seems like really sound

43:46

advice. It's been really great talking

43:47

to you.

43:48

Please keep up all the good work on

43:50

behalf of 22 million Canadians.

43:53

>> Great. Thank you very much. I really

43:54

appreciate the opportunity to share the

43:56

story.

44:01

>> Mhm.

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