HomeVideos

Winning the AI Race Part 1: Michael Kratsios, Kelly Loeffler, Shyam Sankar, Chris Power

Now Playing

Winning the AI Race Part 1: Michael Kratsios, Kelly Loeffler, Shyam Sankar, Chris Power

Transcript

2788 segments

0:06

5 4 3 2 1 zero. All engine running.

0:14

Liftoff. We have a liftoff.

0:17

>> That's one small step for man, one giant

0:20

lift for mankind.

0:22

>> The world's largest airliner. Each wing

0:24

is big enough to hold five tennis

0:26

courts. This new technology made it

0:28

possible to meet the user's crucial

0:30

needs. Enter the computer and a new age.

0:33

>> What a computer is to me is it's the

0:35

most remarkable tool that we've ever

0:37

come up with. And it's the equivalent of

0:40

a bicycle for our minds.

0:43

>> Here I am playing a game of chess with a

0:45

computer which is analyzing board

0:47

positions and and applying a certain

0:49

kind of intelligence to figure out what

0:50

its next move should be. That's the

0:52

subject of our program today, artificial

0:54

intelligence.

0:58

[Music]

1:00

The good future of AI is one of immense

1:03

prosperity where there is an age of

1:07

abundance. Everyone can have whatever

1:09

they want.

1:10

>> We're still in the very early innings of

1:12

AI.

1:12

>> I would say the rate of progress is

1:14

exponential right now.

1:15

>> Every time I think that we are

1:17

overstating the impact of artificial

1:19

intelligence, something comes along that

1:20

tells me we aren't making enough of it

1:22

on the show. You know, there's no

1:24

60-minute clock on this thing. This is

1:26

an infinite game.

1:27

>> Think about solving a problem that would

1:28

take humans thousands of years to solve.

1:30

Those who can harness and govern the

1:33

things that are technologically superior

1:35

will win and it will drive economic

1:38

vibrancy and military supremacy.

1:42

>> The Trump administration believes that

1:44

AI will have countless revolutionary

1:47

applications. We believe that America's

1:49

destiny is to dominate every industry

1:51

and be the first in every technology

1:54

and that includes being the world's

1:56

number one superpower in artificial

1:58

intelligence.

1:59

>> It feels like every tech revolution of

2:01

our lifetime has been leading to this

2:03

moment.

2:04

[Music]

2:07

[Applause]

2:09

[Music]

2:13

>> See, you're going there.

2:16

All right, everybody. Welcome to winning

2:19

the AI race. Uh, this is our first event

2:22

in DC.

2:23

>> Can I can I get permission from our

2:25

leader to sit down?

2:26

>> Yes, you're here. You may sit. You may

2:28

sit.

2:30

Thanks for coming out, everybody. And,

2:32

uh, we put this event together in just a

2:34

couple of weeks uh, in order to have a

2:36

really important discussion, winning the

2:38

AI race. This is something America has

2:41

to do and it's something we will do and

2:44

we're going to do it through the way

2:46

we've won every other technological race

2:48

through grit, entrepreneurship,

2:50

uh, and dogged competition. The

2:52

difference with this administration is

2:54

they're actually engaging with the

2:56

technology industry. And, um, today

2:59

we're bringing together many members uh,

3:01

or all members of the administration

3:03

here to talk about it. And none of this

3:05

would have been possible uh without our

3:08

bestie David Saxs deciding that he would

3:11

take um some time and become our zar of

3:14

crypto and AI. And I would like to just

3:17

start with a huge round of applause for

3:19

David Saxs.

3:23

David, you've been here for

3:26

six months.

3:26

>> I'm sorry, but did you actually prepare?

3:28

This is excellent so far.

3:30

>> No, I'm just speaking for

3:31

>> No, it's excellent.

3:32

Keep going. Keep going. He wants to be

3:34

invited back to DC.

3:37

>> They told me I've got 12 hours left on

3:39

the ground.

3:41

>> I think that White House tour is going

3:42

to happen after all.

3:43

>> It might just happen. Might just happen

3:44

in the air.

3:45

>> But in all seriousness, u you've been

3:47

here for 6 months and we all know how

3:50

capable you are. Uh but my lord, uh this

3:54

administration is on a heater when it

3:56

comes to crypto and AI. I am absolutely

3:59

and I think I speak for everybody in our

4:01

industry thankful and wildly impressed

4:03

but not surprised at the pace at which

4:06

you've led crypto and AI. What's the

4:08

first six months been like for you?

4:10

>> It's really been incredible. I mean I

4:12

never expected to go into government at

4:14

all and uh really as a result of

4:16

President Trump coming on our podcast uh

4:18

a year or so ago. Uh that began uh a

4:21

relationship that you know eventually

4:23

led to uh me being offered this this job

4:26

and I took it because I just thought it

4:28

was a once in a lifetime opportunity to

4:29

work for a president who really wants to

4:31

get things done for the American people

4:32

and you can see that he that just every

4:34

day he works so hard uh to to push

4:36

forward his agenda for the American

4:38

people and I think uh AI and crypto have

4:41

just been two of those issues. Uh but

4:43

it's been a lot of fun to work on these

4:44

things because we are getting a lot

4:45

done.

4:45

>> Yeah. last week and this date, this date

4:47

today, you put we put together in just

4:50

like the last 10 days as an opportunity

4:51

to talk about your

4:53

>> action plan that was getting the

4:55

president's action plan getting

4:56

published today. But we we should invite

4:57

Jacob out because Jacob partnered with

4:59

us from Hillen Valley from Jacob

5:00

Hellberg. Uh come on out and join us.

5:03

>> Yep. Our our new fifth bestie. Yeah,

5:05

Jacob Hellberg.

5:07

>> There you go.

5:08

>> Nice to see you, brother.

5:09

>> Good to see you. and um

5:12

>> good to see you.

5:12

>> Good to see you.

5:13

>> Freeberg, your team and Jacobs

5:16

>> uh put a ton of work into this and

5:20

we have a lineup that is just absolutely

5:24

outstanding. So, thank you Jacob for the

5:26

for the hard work from your team and

5:28

Freeberg the hard work from your team to

5:29

put this all together. Maybe you could

5:32

give everybody an idea of the questions

5:34

we want to address today and what the

5:36

format's going to be.

5:38

>> Absolutely. So um the Hill and Valley

5:40

Forum is a community of technology of

5:43

builders and policy makers who believe

5:45

that technology is an engine of wealth

5:48

creation and is an indispensable pillar

5:51

for American national security. And it

5:53

was incredibly exciting to have the

5:54

opportunity to engage in this event

5:56

which is actually going to cover um a

5:58

lot of the topics that everyone in our

6:00

community cares about. Um, ultimately we

6:04

believe that the and I actually said

6:06

this in my confirmation hearing not too

6:08

long ago that uh we're at an inflection

6:10

point. We are in an AI race and uh so

6:14

the different parts of the programming

6:15

today will be a series of conversations

6:17

that will cover the different facets of

6:19

how technology will actually create

6:21

wealth for our country. I think is like

6:23

very important as we talked about who do

6:25

we want to have on stage and how do we

6:26

want to talk about the uh the

6:28

president's action plan that David

6:30

shared with us was to highlight that

6:32

there are new industries being created

6:34

because of AI industries that couldn't

6:37

have existed a decade ago and so we've

6:39

got a couple of those examples and then

6:40

there are these industries that are

6:42

enabling and accelerating AI and that's

6:46

mining energy chips fabs and data

6:49

centers so we've got conversations

6:51

across each of those that's kind of this

6:52

enabling conversation and then

6:54

fortunately uh we've been able to get a

6:56

lot of folks from the administration to

6:57

join us today to talk about the

6:59

government's role

7:00

>> in enabling this economic transformation

7:02

that's already underway and I just want

7:04

to say one point I think what what's

7:06

become apparent to me and I think is

7:08

wrong in the press narrative today is

7:10

that AI is destroying jobs I think what

7:12

we are seeing on the ground is an

7:14

incredible job creation engine that's

7:16

underway and so I think it's very

7:18

important to highlight that and share

7:19

that those stories because they're not

7:22

told enough and I think there's a real

7:23

opportunity to kind of bring them to

7:24

light and that's hopefully what we can

7:26

kind of get through today.

7:27

>> And Chimath just uh coming around the

7:28

horn here. Doesn't matter if you're a

7:31

Democrat, Republican, independent,

7:33

moderate, this issue transcends party.

7:36

Uh this is the issue of our lifetime and

7:38

there's a lot of hard questions and a

7:39

lot of hard debate. maybe you could just

7:41

speak to this administration's ability

7:44

to bring in a lot of disperate opinions

7:47

uh and work together across the aisle

7:49

and with all members of the industry.

7:52

>> I mean, look, I think historically

7:54

you've had a fork in the road where you

7:56

can view technology as either optimistic

7:58

and glass half full or pessimistic and

8:00

glass half empty. The optimistic glass

8:02

half full view says that the country

8:05

that can harness AI or any of these

8:07

leading critical edge technologies is

8:10

able to garner most of the gains and

8:13

then those economic gains can be spread.

8:15

Then it's a debate about how to spread

8:17

those gains within a country and within

8:19

economy and then from there with

8:21

economic supremacy you also have

8:24

military dominance and now you're a

8:25

superpower and you remain strong. The

8:28

problem is that historically we've gone

8:30

in the other direction where there has

8:31

been this mistrust and in that mistrust

8:34

you've had global competitors emerge and

8:37

create I think real fundamental

8:39

existential risk for our place as a

8:42

superpower.

8:42

>> Well said.

8:43

>> So the great thing over these last you

8:45

know frankly

8:47

six months has been a massive pivot back

8:51

into this idea that America is the best.

8:53

We should not be ashamed of the things

8:55

that we've created and these incredible

8:57

technologies and these incredible people

8:59

should be celebrated.

9:01

>> Yeah.

9:01

>> And let's go and win the race.

9:03

>> Let's win. Okay.

9:04

>> And by the way, how we're going to win

9:05

the race.

9:06

>> The action plan. Uh Sax, I know you

9:08

invited Michael Katios to join us here

9:10

today. Director of the Office of Science

9:12

and Technology Policy. Should we have

9:14

Michael come out?

9:14

>> Yes, Michael come out.

9:15

>> Yeah.

9:15

>> Michael, come on out.

9:16

>> Please welcome Michael.

9:19

[Applause]

9:20

>> All right.

9:22

How are you guys? see it.

9:23

>> Oh, thank you. So,

9:25

>> so I'll I'll kick this off. Um,

9:27

>> so President Trump in his first week in

9:30

office uh uh signed an executive order

9:34

that directed us to create this action

9:36

plan. Uh Michael and myself and and the

9:39

national security adviser and the

9:40

objective was to figure out how the US

9:43

would dominate in AI. um from his first

9:45

week in office, President Trump has made

9:47

this a priority and we see it we do see

9:50

it as this global competition or global

9:52

race and the consequences of losing that

9:54

race would just be unthinkable because

9:56

AI is going to have such huge

9:57

ramifications for our economy and also

9:59

for our national security. So, the

10:01

United States has to win it. And um

10:04

working with Michael and the Office of

10:06

OSTP, we we put out a plan today that

10:09

has 90 concrete actions that at least

10:12

the executive branch can take to help us

10:14

win the AI race. And I want to call on

10:17

Michael in just one second, but I'm just

10:18

going to outline the three big pillars

10:19

of the plan. So, number one is

10:21

innovation. There's just no substitute

10:23

for innovation. You have to out innovate

10:25

your global competition. You can't

10:27

regulate your weight just to winning the

10:28

the uh the AI race. So number one is we

10:31

we have a lot of things in the plan that

10:33

are going to help our private sector,

10:34

our startups or our um tech community uh

10:38

in out innovate the competition. Number

10:40

two is infrastructure. We have to have

10:41

more and better AI infrastructure, data

10:44

centers, energy, manufacturing in the

10:46

United States. And number three is the

10:49

AI ecosystem. We want to have the the

10:50

biggest ecosystem. We know from Silicon

10:53

Valley that the companies that create

10:55

the biggest ecosystems are the ones that

10:56

win. You have the most developers on

10:58

your platform. you have the most apps in

10:59

your app store. Those are the companies

11:01

that create, you know, uh those are the

11:03

companies that dominate industries. In a

11:05

similar way, the United States has to

11:06

dominate by creating the the AI stack

11:09

for the entire world. So, those are the

11:11

three big pillars of this plan. Let me

11:12

call on Michael. Can you I guess tell us

11:14

how you know I guess maybe speak to the

11:17

process of how this plan was created the

11:18

last 6 months. I know your office did a

11:20

ton of work on this and then I guess if

11:22

you want flesh out some more of the

11:23

important details as you see it.

11:25

>> Yeah, absolutely. Once the president

11:26

signed the executive order assigning us

11:28

this task, the first thing we did was

11:30

actually an issue issue an RFI, very

11:32

exciting government activity. And we

11:34

asked the country, hey, what should we

11:36

include in this plan? And I think to be

11:37

honest, I think we're all surprised with

11:39

what came back. We had over 10,000

11:41

responses come from all corners of the

11:43

country. We had Hollywood actors sending

11:45

us responses. We obviously had tech

11:47

companies. We had everyone you can

11:48

imagine. And I think it really showed

11:50

how impactful this particular technology

11:52

is to everyone in every industry in the

11:54

US. So we ingested a lot of those

11:56

comments went out to all the uh agencies

11:59

that work with and and in some ways

12:01

touch AI and came together with this

12:03

with this plan. Now if you think about

12:05

it um you know there's been a lot of

12:07

national strategies that companies put

12:08

that countries put out there over the

12:10

last five or six years and what we

12:12

really wanted to focus on um is in the

12:14

title itself an action plan. We wanted

12:16

things that we could accomplish in the

12:17

next 6 to9 months to accelerate and

12:19

ensure that we can win this race. So if

12:21

you think about the first pillar which

12:23

David talked about which was the

12:24

innovation pillar, what's really key

12:26

about innovation is we want the next

12:28

great AI discoveries to continue to

12:30

happen here in United States. We have to

12:32

create an environment that allows that

12:33

to happen. And when we talk about

12:36

deregulation, the way I like to think

12:38

about it is, you know, you can't create,

12:40

there's never really going to be a law

12:41

that says, hey, this is how we regulate

12:43

AI. What ultimately is going to happen

12:44

is these AI technologies are going to be

12:47

built into so many other technologies.

12:49

Whether it's drones flying self-driving

12:51

cars, whether it's FDA approved AI

12:54

powered medical diagnostics, all these

12:56

different agencies are going to be

12:57

touching technologies that are powered

12:59

by AI. And it is incumbent on us to

13:01

create a regulatory environment where

13:03

these technologies can thrive and not be

13:05

hindered by the government. The next

13:07

piece of innovation I think is really

13:08

key is using the power of and the data

13:11

that the government has to drive

13:13

scientific discovery through artificial

13:16

intelligence. You know we have seen in

13:18

this first wave of AI great great

13:20

progress in the way that LLMs are able

13:21

to handle coding for example but we can

13:24

do so much more than that. There's

13:26

incredible data sets department of

13:27

energy has for example at their national

13:29

labs that can help power a lot of next

13:31

generation discoveries and things in

13:33

material science in medicine and that's

13:35

what this AI plan calls for and and

13:37

drives. Um the next pillar which is

13:40

about infrastructure,

13:41

people talk about this all the time and

13:43

it's it's about how do you create a

13:45

regulatory environment that encourages

13:48

and actually accelerates the ability of

13:50

our power generators and our chip

13:53

builders to be able to do what they need

13:54

to do here in the United States. We can

13:57

uh plan calls for categorical exclusions

14:00

for AI related activities which can

14:02

allow data centers and other power

14:04

generation to happen on federal lands.

14:06

And that's going to be coupled with all

14:07

sorts of other efforts to really

14:09

accelerate the velocity that we can

14:11

build power and ultimately run these

14:12

data centers. So let's talk about before

14:15

we run out of time one of the most

14:17

important issues which is the talent

14:18

wars.

14:19

>> Yeah, we um going to stay focused on AI

14:22

here. We'll leave the border and

14:23

deportations off the table, but we'll

14:25

talk about something super important

14:27

which is recruiting talent from around

14:28

the world.

14:29

>> This administration, we've gotten

14:31

different signals and obviously it's a

14:32

very controversial issue here in the

14:34

United States. What do we have to do in

14:36

terms of immigration and let's just call

14:38

it recruitment because that's really

14:39

what it is recruiting the best and

14:41

brightest from around the world to come

14:42

work on our team as opposed to say team

14:45

China.

14:46

>> What do we have to do? What is the

14:47

administration's philosophy on

14:49

recruiting the world's best AI talent

14:52

>> in the action plan? I think what we

14:53

bring to light and I don't think it's

14:55

talked about enough is to power and

14:57

successfully drive continued American

15:00

leadership in this domain. It is not

15:02

simply about having the greatest a

15:04

engineers but is also having all the

15:06

other parts of the workforce which needs

15:08

to drive this forward. You know we

15:09

talked to some companies like Caruso and

15:11

others who are building these large

15:13

infrastructure builds around the US. The

15:15

challenge that they're facing is in

15:16

electricians and HVAC talent and the and

15:19

the AI plan itself spends a lot of time

15:20

and energy directing um various agencies

15:23

whether it's department of labor and

15:25

others who have these reskilling and and

15:27

programs to sort of train these people

15:29

up to be able to fill that void. So for

15:31

us it's about attracting here to the US

15:33

the greatest scientists and engineers

15:34

but it's also to be able to train the

15:36

American workforce to be able to do the

15:38

necessary jobs put that forward.

15:39

>> Michael um what's the philosophy going

15:41

forward on the thing you mentioned just

15:44

before this which is there's these

15:46

enormously valuable data sets that sit

15:48

inside the DOE that sit inside of FDA

15:51

where presumably if we made them

15:53

available to private industry

15:54

particularly American private industry

15:56

the gains could be incredible. Is that

15:59

an open-source philosophy? Is that a

16:01

licensing philosophy? How do you think

16:03

it should best serve the American

16:04

economy to get this stuff out there?

16:06

>> Generally, the government has taken an

16:08

open- source approach to this. And the

16:10

general challenge that we've seen over

16:11

the years is there's been a lot of lip

16:13

service to, hey, let's unlock data for

16:15

the American people. And the main

16:17

challenge is, and for all of us who are

16:18

in AI, the format of that data itself

16:21

actually matters a lot. if it's like

16:23

dirty, nasty data that isn't homogenized

16:26

in any way, it's not particularly

16:28

helpful. And I think that's going to be

16:30

a big effort that the DOE is going to

16:31

Department of Energy is going to try to

16:32

do to make this better and possible. And

16:34

what was great in the uh recent

16:37

legislation that was passed in BBB was

16:39

and actually $150 million ticket to the

16:42

Department of Energy to build an AI for

16:44

science program that very much is going

16:46

to be working on this exact problem.

16:47

Should there be federal preeemption on

16:50

AI regulatory um schemes? So, there's

16:53

been a conversation about doing this to

16:55

ensure I think right now there's over a

16:56

thousand state laws that have been

16:59

proposed or passed that have some

17:01

regulatory effect on AI and tech related

17:03

technology. Should the federal

17:05

government preempt all of that and raise

17:06

it up?

17:07

>> I think generally preeemption is an

17:08

issue that comes up very often broadly

17:10

in technology. You have this issue with

17:12

uh privacy for many years. What we're

17:14

trying to face today and what we talk

17:15

about in the plan itself are actions

17:17

that the executive branch can take

17:18

itself. And a lot of preeemption

17:20

discussion revolves around what Congress

17:22

can or can't do. So we don't necessarily

17:23

lean hard on that because we focus on

17:24

things we can accomplish.

17:26

>> Right.

17:26

>> And just to just to add to that, so it's

17:28

true the the action plan doesn't speak

17:30

to that issue um Freeberg very much. But

17:33

I I do think there is a real threat to

17:35

national security that's brewing by

17:37

virtue of the fact that like you said,

17:39

we've got a thousand bills going through

17:41

state legislatores right now, all

17:42

regulating AI in different ways. If this

17:45

continues, we're going to have a

17:46

patchwork of 50 different state

17:47

regulatory regimes as opposed to one

17:49

seamless national network. And look,

17:51

China is they've declared that AI is a

17:54

national priority for them. It's they

17:56

understand how strategic it is. And I

17:58

think if we hobble our AI innovation

18:01

with a patchwork of 50 different state

18:02

regimes, I think it's going to hurt us.

18:04

So I don't, you know, we weren't ready

18:06

to declare a policy yet in the action

18:08

plan, but I think it's something that's

18:09

going to have to be looked at uh over

18:10

the next year or so.

18:12

>> Thanks for thanks for joining us,

18:13

Michael. Everyone, the director of the

18:15

Office of Science and Technology at the

18:17

White House. Well done.

18:21

>> Thanks.

18:21

>> Great job. Pleasure.

18:24

Thank you everyone to the besties in the

18:26

Hill Valley Forum for the warm welcome.

18:28

Uh I'm Chris Power, the founder and CEO

18:30

of Hadrien and I'm here to talk to you

18:32

today about our company. The mission is

18:34

to re-industrialize America. We do this

18:36

by building AI powered factories in the

18:39

United States.

18:41

So you might ask why is this important

18:42

and why should you care about

18:43

manufacturing in the United States?

18:44

Well, what I realized before I came to

18:46

this country is that we're in a global

18:48

race.

18:50

So every great nation gets built by

18:52

having the best industrial power first.

18:54

That gives you the best military,

18:57

usually the navy. Then you end up with

18:58

the reserve currency after a conflict

19:00

and you kind of rule the free world in

19:02

what we've called Pax Americana.

19:05

Like all great companies, you kind of

19:07

get lazy through that success and you

19:09

end up offshoring all your heavy

19:10

industrials to the developing country

19:12

and then when a conflict comes around,

19:13

you're kind of in real trouble because

19:14

you offshored the thing that gave you

19:16

the power in the first place, which is

19:17

heavy industry.

19:20

The last three times this happened, it

19:21

was a pretty good trade for the West. It

19:23

went from the Dutch, the British, the

19:24

American Empire when we won World War

19:26

II. This time around, in this kind of

19:29

two decade period where we're fighting

19:30

the AI race, the climate, settling the

19:33

stars, it's really the United States

19:35

versus the CCP.

19:38

And bear in mind that we won World War

19:40

II not because we had a defense

19:42

industrial base necessarily, but because

19:43

we were the industrial powerhouse of the

19:45

world. And when there was a time of

19:48

crisis, we had all our commercial

19:50

manufacturing companies pivot to defense

19:51

when we really needed them the most. And

19:53

you had, you know, watch makers making

19:54

warship navigation equipment. Ford was

19:57

switched from building cars to building

19:59

bombers. And it was because of this

20:01

industrial power, you know, our tanks

20:03

weren't so great. We just had tons of

20:05

them. This is how we won.

20:07

Unfortunately, since the 1970s through

20:09

to the 2020s, we've basically hollowed

20:11

out the middle of America and offshored

20:13

every bit of manufacturing we possibly

20:15

can. This started with Nixitting opening

20:17

up China, let them into the WTO. They

20:20

were the world's factory. This is like a

20:21

huge strategic mistake and it's

20:23

completely hollowed out good jobs in

20:25

America as well as left us in a very

20:27

strategically dangerous position in

20:28

terms of our industrial power.

20:31

So, while China de-industrialized us,

20:34

they industrialized themselves and they

20:36

treated manufacturing not as economics

20:38

but a national security priority. And

20:39

now we're in this 20-year window where

20:42

staring down the threat of Taiwan, we're

20:43

in real trouble. So just how far behind

20:46

China are we? Well, in munitions, China

20:50

has automated factories that can produce

20:51

a thousand a year, whereas we run out of

20:54

missiles in the first seven days of any

20:56

war game conflict. And then we can't

20:58

reproduce that ammunition for like 3

21:00

years. In ship building, they're 200

21:04

times greater than us. We produced a

21:06

grand total of five ships last year.

21:08

Pharmaceuticals are all offshore.

21:10

Drones, iPhones, we don't make any of

21:12

them. And bear in mind in

21:12

pharmaceuticals the CCP makes all our

21:15

antibiotics. This is why

21:17

industrialization is so important. And

21:19

more importantly, this gets back to the

21:21

AI race for talent is while the US is

21:24

still the global powerhouse in software

21:26

and AI talent, we made China into the

21:28

global powerhouse for manufacturing

21:30

talent. And what we realized through

21:32

building this company is that while US

21:34

defense manufacturing, which was all we

21:36

have left because we offshored

21:37

everything else, is really important

21:40

because we let all those jobs go, the

21:42

entire base is basically a bunch of

21:44

patriotic Americans that still know how

21:46

to do skilled trades that are in their

21:47

60s are retiring faster and faster and

21:49

faster. So the underpinnings of our

21:51

entire defense industrial base is this

21:53

American talent that knows how to do the

21:55

job, but the rest of the country forgot

21:56

how to manufacture.

21:59

This is a screenshot of one of China's

22:00

munitions factories. You can Google this

22:02

online. And it's a myth that it's just

22:04

lowcost labor in China anymore. They are

22:06

very advanced at production. Whereas in

22:09

the United States, underpinning all our

22:11

defense primes and our industrial base,

22:12

we basically have skilled Americans that

22:14

are retiring faster and faster and

22:16

faster, supporting 100200 billion

22:18

industries across all these different

22:20

ways to bend, cut ship metal that you

22:23

need to then put it into drones, ships,

22:25

satellites, rockets.

22:28

So while China is racing ahead of us,

22:31

we're really falling far behind and we

22:33

forgot how to manufacture. So what we

22:35

realized was we have to build full stack

22:37

AI powered factories to solve this

22:38

problem. Secondly, the number one issue

22:41

is this massive skilled talent shortage.

22:43

Remember if you look at ship building or

22:45

any of these other industries, we are

22:47

begging for millions and millions of

22:48

welders or machinists that we you could

22:50

give me a billion dollars and we can't

22:51

hire them in this country anymore

22:52

because we lost that skill. the

22:54

production not having inventory is real

22:56

deterrence and that you've got to do

22:58

this by re-industrializing the country

23:00

to create more jobs not replace them or

23:02

automate away and that it's always about

23:04

national security not economics so we

23:06

set out to solve this problem by

23:07

building automated factories driven by

23:09

AI in the US

23:12

3 years ago when we started this journey

23:13

we figured out how are we going to do

23:14

this well the answer was just start

23:16

running a factory and build all the AI

23:17

software at the same time which was a

23:19

hilariously painful journey in the early

23:20

days of the company this is what factory

23:22

1 looked like We partnered with some of

23:25

America's greatest aerospace companies

23:26

to really beta test this for a good 18

23:29

months. What can we automate? What can't

23:30

we?

23:32

This is one of our first tiny parts that

23:34

we ship to America's greatest rocket

23:35

provider. And now we're up to the point

23:36

where we're building whole products.

23:41

We built Opus, which is a full stack

23:43

platform for AI autonomy of factories

23:45

that does a couple of really important

23:47

things.

23:50

In 2024, we launched Factory 2, once out

23:52

of this beta phase, scaled 10x in a

23:54

single year with the fastest growing

23:56

manufacturer in the country, and now

23:57

lucky enough to support America's

24:00

greatest companies, uh, both startups,

24:02

defense primes.

24:04

And this is what the most advanced

24:06

factory, in our opinion, looks like in

24:08

America today. This is our scaled

24:09

factory 2 in LA.

24:12

Here you see cutting metal coming from

24:14

raw material,

24:16

shaving this down into micron precision

24:18

tolerance components that go on rockets,

24:20

satellites, jets, and drones. And what

24:22

you see as you go through this is in

24:24

legacy industry, in a de-industrialized

24:26

nation, you've got really skilled people

24:28

on every machine. Hadrien's advanced

24:30

factories look and operate more like a

24:32

data center.

24:34

We're really proud of having pulled this

24:35

off, but the journey is not over yet

24:37

because again, this is a whole of nation

24:39

100 to200 billion problem.

24:42

So where do we actually get to and what

24:44

sort of productivity gains can you get

24:45

in AI and manufacturing and are we

24:47

creating more jobs? So firstly, most

24:50

factories in the US run at only a 20%

24:52

uptime. It's not really that productive.

24:53

We have a four times jump in

24:55

manufacturing productivity.

24:57

Secondly, and more importantly, we have

25:00

a 10x jump in workforce productivity.

25:02

And again, because we have a such a

25:04

scarcity of skilled talent in this

25:05

country, you actually need that AI

25:07

powered jump to even create the capacity

25:09

in this nation to be able to build

25:10

ships, drones, and rockets.

25:13

The second important thing is speed to

25:15

get people in these jobs. So, if you're

25:17

an advanced manufacturer, it can take

25:19

you up to a decade to get really good at

25:20

what you do. Whereas at Hri, we've

25:22

managed to make it so that we can train

25:23

anyone in 30 days. And most importantly,

25:27

100% of our workforce are from

25:29

non-factory backgrounds. They've never

25:30

set foot inside a factory before. These

25:32

are folks straight out of high school.

25:34

They're retired from the military. They

25:35

had a desk job. They were a nurse or bus

25:37

driver from, you know, 18 up to 40. And

25:40

this is the most important thing that

25:41

people have got to realize about the

25:43

power of advanced AI in manufacturing is

25:45

that we need this productivity boost to

25:48

just be able to compete with China and

25:50

catch up on these skill trades that we

25:51

lost. And this is the most important

25:52

thing that AI is doing for us is

25:54

enabling huge, huge workforce growth.

25:58

So, where are we at? You know, we've

26:00

been on this journey. In 2025, we're

26:02

going multicategory, multiactory, and

26:04

I'll show you our new factory that's

26:05

launching AI powered in six months in

26:08

the great state of Arizona, as well as

26:10

launching a dedicated gigafactory. And

26:12

you can think about this as like

26:13

everyone in defense and aerospace needs

26:15

a Tesla Model 3 factory.

26:18

This is our beautiful uh new facility.

26:20

It's about four times the size of the

26:21

one in LA, launching by Christmas. We

26:23

signed a lease a couple of weeks ago.

26:24

It'll be online in 6 months. And the

26:26

most important thing is we'll be

26:27

creating 350 plus new AI powered jobs in

26:32

scarce talent industries where America

26:34

just needs this leverage to get ahead.

26:37

The other thing if you listen to the

26:39

secretary of the Navy and

26:40

re-industrialize what is the number one

26:42

problem in ship building, submarine base

26:44

and munitions, it's actually that

26:45

there's millions and millions of jobs

26:47

that we need to fill because we don't

26:49

have skilled trades anymore. We don't

26:50

have the volume of the people. So we

26:52

need this productivity boost. So in

26:53

2026, we're launching advanced factories

26:55

targeted at America's greatest

26:57

production challenges, submarines,

26:58

ships, and munitions.

27:01

So by the end of this year, we'll have

27:02

three facilities up and running. Our

27:03

headquarters, Factory 2 and Factory 3 in

27:05

LA. But as we re-industrialize the

27:07

country powered by AI, like where is

27:09

this really going to get us to? Well, to

27:11

solve this problem for the country and

27:13

fulfill the mission, we need to have

27:15

factories in every state. And you got to

27:17

remember that AI in manufacturing is

27:21

creating thousands of jobs because we

27:22

offshored everything. And we need this

27:24

productivity boost to give our nation

27:25

the capacity it needs. Reshore all these

27:29

jobs, pull them back into the middle of

27:31

the country, and make sure that we're

27:33

creating millions and millions of jobs

27:34

along the way. Thank you for having me.

27:36

It was a pleasure to be here.

27:42

>> Chris, I think we wanted to kick this

27:43

off. We have a couple minutes to just um

27:46

cover what you've introduced which is I

27:48

think like a really important

27:49

opportunity. China has roughly 3 million

27:51

factories. US has 250,000. The

27:54

assumption is they've got cheap labor.

27:56

Looks like they've got automation.

27:57

Things are very different on the ground

27:59

than what folks read about as we try and

28:02

compete. What industries are going to be

28:04

first from a manufacturing perspective

28:06

that we can actually compete

28:07

successfully and do we need trade

28:09

tariffs in order to succeed on the

28:12

competitive landscape? So I think

28:14

there's two really important points. One

28:15

is there's industries that we have to

28:17

reshore. Specifically in defense, we

28:19

have to produce submarines and ships and

28:21

munitions. Uh we have to produce things

28:23

like rare earth magnets and drones. We

28:25

just have to do it. Um the tariffs

28:28

really help. And this trade policy is

28:30

really important because you got to

28:31

understand that yes, China is more

28:32

competitive than us, but the CCP also

28:35

nationally subsidizes the cost of

28:37

energy, the cost of raw material. And

28:39

because we've kind of degraded this

28:40

capacity like not having nuclear in the

28:42

US like we can't compete on those raw

28:44

inputs. So it'll start with our most

28:46

critical industries first. But I think

28:48

as AI goes through manufacturing you'll

28:49

create millions of jobs and that will

28:51

allow us to reshore more commercial

28:52

volume not just in defense. And I think

28:54

that's the most important thing.

28:55

>> And you've talked about this like

28:56

degrading you know sort of

28:57

infrastructure and what that means in

28:58

terms of workforce but then how

28:59

reshoring also requires this like

29:01

upskilling. I know you guys have this

29:02

like associate named Owen that you guys

29:04

took I think like literally straight out

29:05

of Home Depot. Can you like give us a

29:06

little bit of his story and just like

29:07

what that represents in terms of you

29:09

guys upskilling labor?

29:10

>> It's it's really incredible. So, as I

29:12

said in the presentation, 100% of our

29:14

people never set foot inside a factory

29:15

before. And I think we really didn't do

29:18

a great job as a nation by convincing

29:19

everyone they needed a four-year college

29:20

degree to have a really good job. And

29:22

we've hired people that, you know,

29:24

packing shelves at Home Depot. Now

29:25

they're running 10 machines at once. And

29:27

actually, what we are seeing is that

29:29

most of those people when they're

29:30

exposed to software or AI, they're very

29:32

smart. And we've promoted a lot of those

29:34

people into leadership management or

29:36

software engineering roles. And I think

29:38

re-industrialization with AI is about

29:41

creating new jobs, but also reattaching

29:43

people to the Silicon Valley economy and

29:45

not just having it on the coast and the

29:46

cities.

29:48

H

29:48

>> how um are you going to compete with

29:51

people having gig labor and making 30 40

29:54

bucks an hour being a door dasher? Um

29:57

and we have the lowest unemployment in

29:59

our lifetimes, 4% right now. Is it

30:02

realistic to find all this labor out

30:05

there or do we have to have some people

30:08

immigrate to this country in order to

30:10

fill those jobs?

30:11

>> For for us specifically in defense, um

30:14

we we can't we have no choice in

30:16

immigration because it's a regulated

30:17

environment. So we have to upskill

30:19

Americans.

30:20

>> Secondly, what we see maybe not in LA or

30:22

the coastal cities, but across the

30:23

country, there's lots of

30:24

underemployment. Some of our favorite

30:26

people have desk jobs where they're a

30:28

parallegal and they were filling out

30:29

forms and they hate it and they want to

30:30

come in factories and work on the

30:32

national mission. And I think for us

30:33

it's a lot about getting people

30:34

inspired. And then secondly, with this

30:36

level of productivity jump, we can

30:38

actually afford to give people

30:39

incredibly good healthcare and

30:41

incredibly good pay. And I think a lot

30:42

of Americans want to go back to work in

30:44

a real environment that's for the

30:46

national mission.

30:47

>> You uh you showed some incredible images

30:50

and video of these very intricate

30:52

machines. are do you make the machines

30:54

that then make all the machines or is

30:56

there a supply chain risk as

30:59

>> there is a huge supply chain risk so we

31:01

actually invented via the air force a

31:04

lot of these advanced machines um and we

31:07

forgot how to make them so the main

31:09

sources of supply are actually our

31:10

allies in you know China is number one

31:12

we don't buy for them because they've

31:13

got cyber security holes all over the

31:14

place Germany South Korea Japan the

31:17

insight that we had was they're actually

31:19

just really dumb computers and software

31:21

and AI can actually upscale and

31:23

overpower them um and really have a

31:25

lead. But it is a huge supply chain risk

31:27

of not building the machines that build

31:28

the machines in the country anymore.

31:30

>> Right. To economically compete though,

31:32

do you I I was trying to parse if you

31:34

were asking for the government to give

31:36

you support since the Chinese government

31:38

is underwriting their companies with

31:40

free energy. Are you explicitly asking

31:41

the government to help with say paying

31:44

for reskills training or um maybe in

31:48

some way deferring your energy cost or

31:50

can you make this economically work? We

31:52

make it economically work because in the

31:54

US there are really two markets. There's

31:56

the stuff that has to be onshore for

31:58

defense and aerospace and then there's

31:59

this offshore market that's 10 times

32:02

larger. Um you know commercial aircraft,

32:04

a lot of that is in China. For us we can

32:06

compete in the US because we've got to

32:08

create all these new advanced jobs

32:09

because we just don't have the skills

32:10

anymore. If we want to reshore the

32:12

commercial volume that is not regulated

32:14

to be onshore, we have to do tariffs and

32:17

economic policy because it's not an even

32:19

playing field. It is right now companies

32:21

versus the CCP.

32:22

>> What would that look like in in terms of

32:24

execution? You would want uh them to

32:27

pick up the retraining, the energy cost,

32:30

part of their salaries.

32:31

>> It's it's really three things. It's the

32:33

cost of energy. It's the cost of raw

32:35

materials, aluminum, steel. 90% of the

32:37

cost of that is actually energy. And if

32:39

we level that playing field, then we can

32:41

go compete in what we're great at, which

32:42

is the, you know, American software and

32:44

the American spirit and AI powered

32:45

workforce.

32:46

>> So the silver bullet is energy.

32:48

>> Yeah. And then tell us about the actual

32:50

software. Do you have a team that's

32:51

writing a lot of control systems and or

32:53

AI models themselves or you're taking

32:55

things that are off the shelf and you're

32:56

fine-tuning them? How are you how are

32:58

you doing it?

32:58

>> Unfortunately, because American

33:00

manufacturing software is 30 years

33:01

behind Silicon Valley, we had to build

33:03

everything ourselves from scheduling

33:05

systems to the deep tech. And the key

33:08

insight that we had is the faster we

33:10

grow, the more data we are labeling,

33:12

right? So we always do things 80%

33:14

automated with a human in the loop. And

33:16

as we label this complex manufacturing

33:17

data, you know, this is where our AI

33:20

models actually kick in because

33:21

manufacturing has been offline for 30

33:23

years. So there is no stack overflow.

33:25

There's no GitHub code base to train a

33:26

model on. We had to train it ourselves

33:28

off our own label data as our experts

33:30

were ticking and tying the automation. I

33:32

mean histo like traditional automation

33:34

is purpose-built, does one thing. A lot

33:36

of engineering goes into making it do

33:38

that one thing really well. Are you

33:40

leveraging things like to Chimat's

33:42

question vision action models that allow

33:44

you more extensibility with one

33:45

particular piece of machinery and like

33:47

or when does that start to happen from a

33:50

tech perspective in your view?

33:52

>> Right. Right from the start. So the way

33:54

oddly that customers translate data to

33:57

their supply chain is by giving them

33:58

20page PDFs full of hieroglyphics. So we

34:01

actually have to train huge vision

34:02

models on interpreting that. What does

34:04

that mean? It's it's very complicated

34:05

and it usually takes an expert 50 hours

34:07

to pour over that. So, it's vision

34:09

models, it's training engines on the

34:11

data, it's also training engines on

34:13

reinforcement learning of, hey, we we

34:15

made a part with automation. Was it high

34:17

quality or not? Did it actually work?

34:18

And embedding all of these in the

34:20

workflow real time is is the magic trick

34:22

here with AI.

34:22

>> And you're not doing this stuff just

34:24

like you know on the coast, right? Your

34:25

next factory is sort of more middle

34:26

America. Like how do you end up choosing

34:27

where to put that?

34:28

>> The most important reason why we

34:30

selected Arizona was because of

34:32

permitting, energy, and regulations. You

34:34

know, we got to go fast, right? We got

34:35

to build this in 6 months and then we

34:38

will expand into the middle of the

34:39

country kind of left to right on the map

34:40

and I think that's the most important

34:42

thing is we're going to be able to

34:43

expand into all these cities and states

34:44

where the manufacturing jobs were

34:46

destroyed and we're going to bring him

34:47

back.

34:47

>> Are you guys investors?

34:49

>> Oh yeah, just led the uh series C which

34:50

we just announced last week and uh join

34:52

the board much to uh Chrisin.

34:54

>> You're on his board?

34:55

>> I'm on his board. Yeah. Is that

34:56

terrifying?

34:57

>> It is very terrifying.

34:58

>> How long have you guys known each other?

35:00

>> Uh too long. Yeah, too long. Yeah, I was

35:02

board observer for a while and uh you

35:03

know tried to avoid getting the official

35:05

seat.

35:05

>> Uh you got a date for a while and then

35:06

now we got married.

35:07

>> Well, Chris, thanks for being here

35:08

today.

35:09

>> Thanks for hosting me, guys. Pleasure.

35:10

>> Yeah, thanks for the education.

35:13

>> Thanks, man.

35:16

>> There is a huge fire going on right now

35:18

at Philadelphia Energy Solutions. Oh my

35:21

gosh. Again, look at this guys. Look at

35:23

this video right now. Today, the Navy

35:26

remains a formidable fighting force, but

35:29

even officers within the service have

35:31

questioned its readiness.

35:32

>> Developing right now, gushing for hours

35:34

with no end in sight. Thousands of

35:37

barrels of crude oil spilling from a

35:39

tank. Uh the report does an estimate of

35:41

what the need is to bring the overall

35:44

grade up to a B, which is what the

35:45

society sort of determines to be

35:47

adequate, and it's like $4.59

35:50

trillion.

35:53

Heat

36:02

[Applause]

36:10

up

36:14

here.

36:18

[Music]

36:30

A company that started in my college

36:32

dorm is now a company that manages over

36:34

500,000 of the world's most critical

36:36

pieces of infrastructure.

36:38

Now, at Gecko, we build robots and AI

36:42

models to help unlock physical the

36:44

physical world.

36:46

Now you see we build when we rebuild

36:48

robots we wanted to build them that

36:50

could fly, swim, crawl and walk on any

36:52

surface to gather the most amazing

36:55

information and data sets that have been

36:56

forgotten about the physical data

36:58

layers. Now all those data layers are

37:00

incredibly valuable when you're able to

37:02

unlock and use AI models to drive

37:05

incredible and important outcomes.

37:09

Now, I started the company in the energy

37:11

sector, deploying the technology to help

37:14

prevent catastrophic failures in

37:15

downtown power plants. Now, we've to

37:18

expand into mining, metals, and

37:20

manufacturing as well as for the

37:22

defense. And so, we're helping to deter

37:24

conflict by getting ships out of dry

37:26

dock on time and not uh and patrolling

37:29

this the the borders. Also, we are

37:32

helping the air force ensure that planes

37:34

are in the air and not in hangers. And

37:36

then just last week when the president

37:38

was in Pittsburgh, my hometown, we just

37:40

signed an amazing deal that ensures that

37:43

we can help revitalize manufacturing in

37:45

the United States again by helping to

37:47

build ships and subs.

37:49

Now, the energy sector has been

37:51

incredible and we in a lot of other

37:53

sectors as well. But what I begun to

37:55

realize is that the most impactful thing

37:57

that Gecko Robotics can do to help

38:00

ensure that we uh deter conflict and our

38:03

most impactful for national security is

38:05

actually in the energy sector. You see,

38:07

President Trump is absolutely right and

38:10

his executive order today calls out an

38:12

extremely important um extremely

38:15

important reality that the companies

38:16

that can unlock energy are going to be

38:19

the ones that can dominate in the AI

38:21

race.

38:23

However, as you can see from the graph

38:24

here, China is on pace by 2030 to 3x the

38:28

amount of generation by against the US.

38:32

But this isn't the whole story. You see,

38:34

we constantly think about AI as an

38:36

energy consumer. However, I'm here to

38:39

tell you that artificial intelligence

38:41

can actually be used and unlocking

38:43

energy production in ways that you never

38:45

seen before.

38:48

Now, inputs really matter to being able

38:50

to unlock this potential.

38:52

And CEO after CEO that I talked to in

38:55

the energy, mining, manufacturing, and

38:57

defense sectors will tell you that we're

38:59

trying to figure out how to unlock

39:00

artificial intelligence to supercharge

39:02

everything. However, the value is just

39:05

not there. And it's no wonder the

39:07

consistent common factor between each

39:08

one of these sectors is Joe. Joe is out

39:12

there gathering information by hand,

39:15

trying to diagnose and get physical data

39:18

to drive really impactful decisions. But

39:20

it's important to understand that

39:22

Silicon Valley uh Silicon Valley

39:25

artificial intelligence researchers and

39:26

software engineers, they can't do much

39:28

with data sets coming off of the backs

39:30

of Joe and Joe's been armed with the

39:32

same technology for the past century.

39:34

So, it's no wonder that impact isn't

39:37

being unlocked in these sectors. And

39:39

unfortunately for Joe, it's a very

39:42

dangerous job as well. And someone dying

39:44

doing this job was actually one of the

39:45

things that inspired me to build Gecko.

39:47

We have to give Joe better tools in the

39:50

new century.

39:51

So, what I'm going to walk you through

39:52

right now is an example of exactly how

39:54

we do that for the power sector. We send

39:56

in robots. Robots that are gathering

39:59

information and data sets about the

40:00

physical environment. In this case, a

40:02

natural gas power plant. We're

40:04

understanding what the physical

40:05

environment looks like. And then we send

40:08

in other robots like this dog over here.

40:11

Now the robot dog is gathering

40:12

operational data sets to help

40:14

supercharge cantaliever our AI powered

40:18

platform where all the data sets are

40:19

coming into. You see we sell an

40:21

operations platform and data sets

40:23

gathered in the physical world is what's

40:24

enabling that.

40:27

We also send in wall climbing robots and

40:30

you can see the wall climbing robots to

40:31

your left and to your right. Now these

40:33

robots are going into the physical

40:35

environments and gathering health data

40:37

all while the app while the uh power

40:39

plant is actually online. Now the health

40:42

data is really important because we have

40:44

to understand process health data to be

40:46

able to optimize and feed into AI

40:48

models. But again this data set just

40:50

never existed before. So we had to go

40:51

out and actually get it physically in

40:54

the real world.

40:56

So robots like this supercharge our

40:59

ability to be able to drive models to

41:02

create largest amount of efficiency

41:03

gains. So this power plant for example

41:06

is supposed to be operating at 620

41:08

megawatts but it's not reaching its

41:09

capacity. It's only operating at 580. So

41:12

how do you unlock that? Well, when you

41:13

have all this information and data sets

41:15

that we've captured with robots, plus

41:17

all the data sets that customers have,

41:19

you're actually able to drive

41:21

optimization to see how to impact

41:23

efficiency and production. And so what

41:26

this AI model is doing is looking at the

41:28

data sets from the robot dogs as well as

41:31

data sets from the health the health

41:32

data from the robots to pinpoint that

41:35

there's actually a steam issue going

41:37

into the turbine. Now, an ability to fix

41:39

these things has actually been able to

41:41

unlock for this site and for many others

41:43

that we work on a 1% improvement to

41:46

efficiency. And this is just the first

41:47

place that we looked.

41:50

Now, it's also important to understand

41:51

that the assets that power the grid are

41:53

failing at a really fast rate. Now, this

41:56

power plant had assets like this tank

41:58

that was decaying at an at incredible

42:00

rates. It was supposed to be reaching

42:02

retirement pretty soon. But we were able

42:03

to determine predictively how to extend

42:05

the useful life of this asset by 10, 20,

42:08

and 30 years from all this data set.

42:11

It's really important to understand when

42:13

you culminate all the kinds of impacts

42:16

that you can have from this this kind of

42:17

technology, you get things like this

42:20

efficiency gains on the dozens of power

42:22

plants that we've been able to work at.

42:24

If you extrapolate that across the

42:26

thermal fleet in the US, that'll give

42:28

you 11.9 gawatt of new power without

42:31

putting a shovel in the ground. The

42:33

energy is able to be unlocked using

42:35

artificial intelligence. It's really

42:36

important to understand the statement.

42:38

AI shouldn't just consume, it should

42:41

create energy. And that's what we're

42:43

showing here. And not to freak anybody

42:45

out, but the DOE just came out with a

42:48

study that showed we have about four

42:49

years left of useful life on the assets

42:52

that power our grid. Now in this trend

42:55

it means that a 100 there's going to be

42:57

a 100 times the amount of blackouts by

42:59

2030 if we don't reverse this trend. But

43:01

what we're able to show not just with

43:03

power plants but mining metal

43:05

manufacturing as well as defense assets

43:07

you can actually extend the useful life

43:09

of infrastructure in some cases by 30

43:11

years and on average it's been about 35.

43:15

This is extremely important in ensuring

43:17

that we're able to reverse that trend

43:20

and ensure that America is well

43:22

positioned to ensure that we lead on the

43:25

energy and the in the energy race to

43:27

enable and unlock artificial

43:29

intelligence. Now, let me summarize

43:31

this. We spent so much time and I think

43:33

JD Vance has done a great job at at

43:35

highlighting how much effort and how

43:38

much data set have been gathered to

43:39

power AI models in the digital world.

43:42

And it's what makes chat GPC so

43:44

addictive. But remember, the physical

43:47

world has been forgotten about. And our

43:49

robots are going in to the fog of war to

43:52

try and decipher and unlock massive

43:54

amounts of information and data sets

43:56

that gives America and our allies unfair

43:59

advantages. Unfair advantages to unlock

44:02

things that we didn't even realize were

44:04

there.

44:06

And if you build software with an

44:07

ontology based on first principles,

44:09

gathering the data and building software

44:11

up from there, you're actually able to

44:13

deliver impactful things for Joe,

44:16

turning Joe into a PhD scientist or

44:19

engineer instead of forgetting about him

44:22

like a lot of Silicon Valley companies

44:24

have in the past. Unlocking potential

44:27

physical intelligence data drives um it

44:30

drives artificial intelligence and

44:32

that's how you're going to win the AI

44:34

race. Thank you.

44:38

[Music]

44:44

>> My name is Laura Deerdinas and I'm a

44:47

registered nurse here at Tampa General

44:49

Hospital. The last 17 years I've been

44:51

able to serve the neurointensive care

44:54

unit where we care for the most

44:55

vulnerable and critical care patients.

44:58

So before utilizing AI, it would take

45:03

hours to gather information, looking in

45:06

chart reviews, uh talking to nurses,

45:09

talking to physicians. We relied on

45:12

paper, pencil, um a lot of paper stapled

45:15

together with sometimes outdated data by

45:19

the time I was done going through uh 32

45:22

patients. and this is how we would try

45:26

and give reports. Bringing in AI, it has

45:30

significantly

45:32

changed the culture on the unit. I had a

45:36

charge nurse who never gave um a

45:40

multid-disciplinary round or report out.

45:43

She came on board. She said, "This is an

45:45

amazing tool. Look at this. It has all

45:48

my information already gathered and

45:50

collected." and she was able to report

45:52

out on the patients. It was completely

45:55

user friendly. She's like, "Laura, what

45:57

is this?" It is creating excitement

46:01

throughout the nursing community. Using

46:03

AI has provided more time to be with you

46:07

or your loved one at the bedside where

46:09

nurses should be. We are the heart of

46:10

healthcare.

46:13

>> Matt Troutman. I'm the vice president,

46:14

general manager for PRL industries,

46:17

supplier of components for nuclear

46:18

submarines at our service men and women

46:20

lives depend on. We are a fully

46:23

integrated foundry pouring metal all the

46:25

way through finished machine components.

46:27

2 months ago, we weren't getting after

46:29

any of the problems on the shop floor.

46:31

engineering director told me all his

46:33

team was doing was quoting a 3-day

46:36

process to quote apart paper files, old

46:38

archives, data tables, emails, side

46:41

communications, all this which ends up

46:43

getting lost in the fray. Now, using an

46:45

AI tool, they are getting halfway

46:48

through that process in minutes frees

46:50

them up to get back out in the floor and

46:52

do what an engineer does best, which is

46:53

solve problems to provide the Navy with

46:57

the best quality products in the

46:59

shortest amount of time. And this is

47:01

what AI is going to help us do.

47:03

Understanding part location and status

47:06

that is a gamecher. We can now talk very

47:09

clearly with the customer if that part

47:11

is now to become the primary focus of

47:13

the business cuz it's a critically

47:14

needed part for a ship construction. You

47:16

get notified. It's an automatic

47:18

notification. We can see the exact

47:20

status. Here is the impact. How can we

47:23

be better? How can we do more? And this

47:25

is how we're answering that call. With

47:27

AI, we match the speed of the quality

47:30

management process to the speed of the

47:32

workforce and the machine capabilities

47:34

and we will truly see a multi-step

47:37

change in the amount of product that can

47:39

come out of any company in this supply

47:41

chain.

47:43

More jobs for American workers here at

47:45

Pro.

47:48

>> My name is Julie Nordberg. I'm a

47:50

registered nurse leader here at UP

47:51

Health System Marquette in the heart of

47:53

Michigan's upper peninsula and we are

47:55

really the only game in town as we like

47:57

to say it. The next closest hospital to

47:59

us that could service us is downstate

48:01

which is about a 4-hour drive. Prior to

48:03

using AI, it took a lot of time to go

48:06

through the patients charts to see where

48:08

they need to be. It took a lot of time

48:09

just to try to communicate with people.

48:12

I think that's a fear that everybody has

48:13

is that AI is going to replace people.

48:15

But AI in the way it's being used here

48:17

could never replace our frontline staff.

48:21

You know, that the vibe is I think it's

48:23

just one of excitement that everybody's

48:25

just proud to be part of this and to say

48:27

that we're doing it here and we're

48:29

honing it in and tweaking it and and

48:31

using it to enhance our care and using

48:33

it to help our staff. Having this kind

48:36

of communication hub and facility

48:38

snapshot has helped has helped

48:40

everybody. For the nursing staff, I

48:42

think being able to see everything in

48:44

one spot has just revolutionized kind of

48:47

how they are able to provide care.

48:50

I don't think anybody is sad to get rid

48:52

of a meeting.

48:54

The impact on patients is earlier

48:56

detection, which means earlier

48:57

treatment, um, which is a better

48:59

outcome, life-saving for some of them.

49:02

That's where I think this is going to

49:04

help us a lot is because we we don't

49:05

have as much manpower as those big

49:06

academic centers. So having the AI in

49:08

the background doing some of that leg

49:10

work for us is is huge.

49:13

I joined PCNA in 2018. We have built

49:16

over 11 billion batteries in the last 8

49:19

years. I walked out onto their massive

49:21

production floor for the first time. I

49:23

knew right then and there I wanted to

49:25

make this technology accessible for

49:27

anyone who wanted to learn it.

49:30

people coming from the tourism industry

49:32

and the hospitality industry. Quite a

49:34

few technicians that have fixed slot

49:37

machines in a past life. People from

49:39

automotive companies, people who are

49:40

used to repairing cars, however, have

49:42

never seen equipment, you know, at this

49:45

scale and with this complexity. You

49:47

know, we don't really um have to pick

49:48

and choose what people's backgrounds are

49:51

because we do have this very powerful

49:52

learning tool that makes it easy for

49:55

anyone to be able to enter this

49:56

industry.

49:59

It is taking our historical maintenance

50:01

records, pairing it with our machine

50:03

data, and is now starting to understand

50:06

early warning signs of a breakdown, and

50:09

deploy our technicians to equipment

50:11

before it ever actually breaks. This

50:13

helps minimize our production losses,

50:16

keep our technicians safer. We're taking

50:18

reactive events, turning them into

50:20

predictive events.

50:22

We used to honestly lose a lot of

50:25

technicians because they would lose

50:26

their confidence, think, "Hey, maybe

50:28

this isn't for me." I pulled the

50:29

supervisor off the floor and said, "Hey,

50:31

you got to come listen to this idea and

50:33

you have to help us make it better

50:35

because you're the one who lives it

50:36

every day." And they immediately started

50:39

suggesting new features. They were

50:41

telling us what was wrong with the old

50:43

systems and we were coming up with

50:44

solutions on the spot. So, this is

50:46

really helping people feel like they

50:48

belong here. We don't believe AI should

50:50

replace human talent. We believe it

50:52

should elevate it. Our workers are very

50:54

excited. They have a tool that they can

50:56

turn to to help them learn at their own

50:59

pace. It really puts the power back into

51:01

their hands.

51:05

[Music]

51:16

All

51:18

right, Christian's joined us from Hillen

51:21

Valley and 137.

51:25

And Sean, welcome.

51:27

>> Thank you. Great to be here.

51:28

>> Christian, you want to kick us off?

51:30

>> Yeah. Uh, thanks for having me. It's

51:31

It's nice to be here. I'm definitely uh

51:33

feel for the first time like a guesty of

51:35

the besties. Um,

51:37

>> don't it up. And, uh, yeah. Uh,

51:40

this is great. So, Sean, thanks for

51:42

coming. We were talking a little bit

51:43

earlier. maybe this is a great place to

51:45

start. Um, obviously we have the good

51:46

fortune to be investors in Paler for 15

51:48

years. We've seen the growth of the

51:50

company, but particularly lately you've

51:52

been pushing this messaging. I think

51:53

it's been incredibly exciting of how AI

51:56

is not a force for job destruction. It's

51:57

a force for job creation. It's also a

52:00

way that you can give superpowers to the

52:01

average American worker. And obviously,

52:02

we've seen a little bit of content here

52:04

and how it's already doing that today.

52:06

>> I want to start by saying many of the

52:07

workers in the video are actually here

52:09

today joining. Uh Laura, the nurse from

52:12

Tampa General, actually brought her

52:13

12-year-old daughter. So, I think the

52:15

ultimate litmus test is not just how

52:17

excited are the American worker to

52:18

leverage AI, but how excited are they

52:20

for their children to exist in an

52:21

America that's really embraced AI. And

52:23

Julie has four kids, and she would tell

52:25

you how how much this has not only

52:27

transformed her view of her job, but the

52:29

view of her children's future. Uh I I

52:32

think the the right frame here really is

52:34

how do we give the American worker

52:35

superpowers? You know, we should not be

52:37

aspiring to build things that make them

52:39

50% more efficient. They're really 50

52:41

times more productive and to use that as

52:44

our our asymmetry in the competition

52:46

here. You know, our strengths are not

52:48

only AI, which is clearly an American

52:50

phenomenon, but also the ingenuity of

52:52

the American worker. And if you spend

52:54

time on the factory floor on the front

52:56

line, you see a very different narrative

52:58

emerging where you see people are

52:59

actually excited about these tools.

53:00

Every single one of those workers to a

53:02

tea said AI is giving them more time to

53:04

do what they do best to spend time with

53:06

the patient delivering care to actually

53:08

build the parts as an engineer to solve

53:10

the problems not to be caught up in all

53:12

the coordination and the paperwork

53:14

that's around these things. Uh that's

53:16

the future we should be unleashing.

53:18

>> Can you generalize the adoption curve?

53:20

What is it about a particular industry

53:23

or use case that makes it an early

53:25

adopter versus mid versus late that

53:27

you're seeing because now that you're

53:29

touching all these different industries.

53:31

Uh you probably have a good point of

53:32

view on this.

53:32

>> Yeah, my my take is actually a different

53:35

dimension of slicing that which is where

53:37

do the where does the institution

53:38

liberate their worker to drive the

53:40

adoption versus where are they trying to

53:42

forcefitit some sort of solution top

53:44

down. You know, AI is a method of

53:46

unleashing the agency of the worker, the

53:49

creativity of the individual, and

53:51

they're the ones coming up with these

53:52

use cases. I mean, Chris was talking

53:54

about it from Hrien where you'd be

53:56

surprised at how people with deep

53:58

mechanical intuition, traditionally

54:00

considered bluecollar workers, are the

54:02

ones who are able to pick up the skills,

54:03

build the applications, innovate on

54:05

their own processes, and have that

54:07

spread through the organization. Mhm.

54:09

And are you seeing that you have to

54:10

build vertical tools or generalized

54:12

tools for some horizontal kind of set of

54:16

users somewhere in the organization?

54:17

>> Well, I think that the opportunity with

54:19

AI is really that you can unleash what's

54:22

different about your business than all

54:23

the others. So there there's a degree to

54:24

which you can have uh generalized

54:26

solutions, but there's a lot of alpha to

54:28

be captured by understanding what's

54:30

unique about how we do things. How do we

54:32

lever up human taste? Everyone is afraid

54:35

of AI replacing the human. That's not

54:37

what I'm seeing. I'm seeing it it make

54:39

the the most the the person with the

54:41

greatest taste more valuable and an

54:43

ability to spread that to the breath of

54:45

the organization.

54:45

>> Let's talk about um something beyond

54:48

taste which is also like knowledge and

54:50

skill and tell us about AI inside of

54:53

healthcare. Um I think that a lot of

54:56

people probably think that we have an

55:00

incredibly cutting edge system of tools

55:02

and software that helps doctors and

55:04

nurses actually provision great care.

55:06

What's the actual reality that you guys

55:08

are seeing?

55:09

>> Well, sadly, I think with the forced

55:11

adoption of EHRs, what we saw is roughly

55:14

a havinging in the productivity of how

55:16

many patients you can see per hour.

55:17

>> A having

55:18

>> a having. Yes. So, we became half as

55:20

productive. And we really need to, you

55:22

know, the opportunity is to work

55:23

backwards from what is the care that

55:25

needs to be delivered? How do we build

55:27

the tools around that? How do we help

55:28

the the the nurses, the care staff spend

55:31

more time with the patients and less

55:32

time with the computer? And do you guys

55:35

see a world where in order to facilitate

55:38

that end market versus a different end

55:40

market you have a ensemble of many many

55:43

many different techniques and approaches

55:45

in AI or do you think it all sort of

55:46

gets form fit into this one trillion

55:50

parameter huge ginormous thing that kind

55:52

of tries to do everything?

55:53

>> I think the cardality of agents and

55:55

models is very high. I think there will

55:57

always be alpha to be achieved you know

55:59

improved differentiation improved

56:00

outcomes by specializing to the use

56:03

case. Now, it's great to start with the

56:05

general models, but you will specialize

56:07

over time.

56:07

>> And do you feel pressure to do that now

56:10

or do you think that'll just be a

56:11

natural evolution over time as

56:12

>> Yeah, I think it's a journey that people

56:14

kind of get on like you realize like,

56:16

wow, look how much better things have

56:17

gotten with this. Now, how do I go get

56:18

the next incremental piece of

56:20

performance out of it?

56:21

>> You know, I'm just having this thought

56:22

as we sit here and discuss this. If you

56:24

think about any experience we have in

56:28

service that has a long wait time where

56:30

we feel like we got more time with the

56:33

practitioner, it's the perfect place for

56:35

AI to create more abundance and

56:37

healthcare and education are the two

56:39

that that come to mind uh where people

56:42

could just offload their chores and the

56:44

people who are getting the service can

56:45

use AI to maybe start the conversation

56:48

on second base or third base. What other

56:50

industries are you seeing after

56:52

healthcare education where AI can have

56:55

that dramatic of an effect where the six

56:58

week wait time to see a doctor the three

57:00

or four other students who are getting

57:03

tutored are ahead of you and maybe you

57:05

don't need as much help so you don't you

57:06

never get the tutoring. The

57:08

>> the place I'm most excited about it is

57:09

really in reindustrialization. So it

57:12

because there's so much dwell time in

57:14

the value chains around

57:16

>> what does that mean dwell time in

57:17

industrial

57:18

>> where you're just waiting for someone

57:19

else to figure out how to approve

57:21

something or the coordination costs mean

57:23

that it's essentially dead weight loss.

57:24

>> Give an example there. Yeah.

57:25

>> Uh you saw it with the the submarine uh

57:28

industrialbased partners there where

57:30

they're working on quoting a part to the

57:33

Navy. That means you have to go gather

57:34

all of this data. You have to look at

57:36

historical archives. All of that is

57:38

time. You're not making a part or

57:39

solving problems. that's just it's just

57:41

sitting there. The factory floor is

57:43

idle,

57:44

>> right? So, how do we get rid of that

57:45

dwell time so that you can be utilizing

57:48

the the capex that you actually have to

57:49

the maximum extent possible and then if

57:51

you start if you zoom out that's like

57:53

one part manufacturer. You're you exist

57:55

in a massively complicated supply chain

57:57

and you just end up with all these busy

57:59

weights along the way here.

58:00

>> Yeah. That's so profound. A friend of

58:01

mine said who's in that industry, you're

58:04

only as efficient as your worst

58:05

supplier.

58:06

>> Exactly. Yeah. And a second part of that

58:08

which uh the Panasonic energy example

58:10

really touched on is how do we train our

58:12

workers? You know, so here you have

58:14

exquisite Japanese technology. It used

58:16

to take three years to train a worker on

58:18

it. Now with an AI assistant, the

58:20

workers who are prior casino workers,

58:22

you know, they're not not from this

58:24

industry are able to get up the curve in

58:25

three months. So you think about how we

58:27

can use that to more quickly absorb the

58:28

slack that's happening as we as we adopt

58:30

AI and and democratize opportunities. So

58:33

much so I have so much conviction as

58:34

we've launched the American Tech Fellows

58:36

program at Palunteer to find blueco

58:38

collar workers at our customers in in

58:40

the heartland overlooked folks who have

58:42

a natural proclivity.

58:44

>> How do you find them? How do you find

58:45

them?

58:46

>> Well, some of them

58:47

>> beyond just saying apply like

58:48

>> yeah some of them are at our current

58:49

customers. The idea really came from us

58:51

organically where it's like wow who is

58:53

building the most compelling

58:54

applications? It's the guy on the

58:55

factory floor, not a formally

58:57

credentialed computer scientist, mostly

58:59

an autodidact, but there's immense not

59:01

only grit, but ambition. They have the

59:04

drive to reshape their own organization,

59:06

to reshape the processes. Let's bet on

59:09

that person. going earlier, does that

59:11

mean, and I'll ask the same question

59:12

many times today, that college

59:14

education, the traditional four-year

59:16

liberal arts degree, doesn't matter as

59:18

much, that kids can go from high school

59:21

or earlier in their careers into a new

59:24

workforce and get well trained and well

59:25

suited to to make money and and succeed

59:28

in life?

59:29

>> Yes. I I think I think the traditional

59:30

college degree is is dead and uh we

59:33

should be betting on the American

59:34

worker.

59:34

>> Well, on that point, can you talk about

59:35

the tech fellowship? uh I got to

59:37

recently see a bunch of demos from the

59:39

first cohort with you and is really

59:40

incredible what you guys are doing

59:41

there. Maybe give a little bit there and

59:43

then maybe also talk about the

59:44

opportunity for other companies to

59:45

follow this trade school framework as we

59:47

uh end here.

59:48

>> Yeah, I mean it's really kind of an

59:50

elite trade school. So like finding

59:51

people with me mechanical intuition who

59:53

have done things, some of them are right

59:54

out of college, some of them are 20

59:56

years of experience, but they're really

59:58

>> your first trade school that you guys

59:58

have done, right?

59:59

>> Yeah, that's right. Uh and we have just

60:02

enormous demand from our customers.

60:04

We're like, who are people who have

60:05

these skills, you know, and it's it's

60:06

not classically trained, college

60:08

educated people. They don't have these

60:10

skills actually. So, the market's not

60:12

meeting and they don't know how to

60:12

source these folks. So, I can credential

60:15

them. I can put them through the boot

60:16

camp in four weeks and place them with

60:18

my customers to go unleash AI within

60:21

their organizations.

60:22

>> It's incredible.

60:23

>> Sean, thank you, Sean. Thank you.

60:24

>> Thank you so much.

60:26

>> Well done.

60:27

>> Thanks, man.

60:28

>> Thank you.

60:29

>> That's great.

60:31

>> Thank you so much. Cheers. All right.

60:34

Next up, uh, we have Paul from Y

60:37

Combinator. Please welcome

60:40

>> Oh, Paul Buhight.

60:42

>> Blue Height.

60:43

>> Paul Buhight.

60:44

>> Paul Blue.

60:46

>> Paul, you created Gmail talking about

60:49

efficiency and making the world more

60:50

efficient.

60:51

>> And also, I believe

60:53

>> we work together.

60:54

>> You came up with the slogan.

60:56

>> We worked together, too.

60:57

>> The slogan don't be evil.

60:59

>> Yes.

61:00

>> Yeah.

61:00

>> Yeah.

61:01

>> How'd that turn out? I I don't know what

61:03

she It's an attempt at alignment, right?

61:04

Like we we worry about AI alignment.

61:06

What do you What do you tell the super

61:08

AI once you've built it?

61:10

>> Yeah. Um you're at Y Combinator now.

61:14

>> Although you recently said you're

61:15

stepping down, right? Or you're

61:17

>> uh partner ameritus. We're starting a

61:19

new firm uh Standard Capital. So Got it.

61:21

>> Oh, that's exciting.

61:22

>> Yeah.

61:23

>> Wow.

61:24

>> Let's talk about the game on the field

61:26

with startups. You get to see startups

61:28

in year zero and year one. Um, and one

61:32

of the primary

61:34

thesises I think we all have is vibe

61:36

coding and making coding not a

61:39

roadblock. I think Paul Graham's great

61:41

innovation at Y Combinator was saying

61:43

I'm just going to accept two or three

61:44

people who actually build the product.

61:46

In fact, in the YC application, it says

61:49

who wrote the code for this? Who's

61:50

writing the code? Just so you can make

61:52

sure that you're actually hiring coders.

61:54

What are you seeing on the field in

61:55

terms of vibe coding? Because people are

61:57

now

61:58

>> great question. the you know English is

62:01

the new programming language. It's only

62:03

two or three% of the country knows how

62:05

to code probably half that code well

62:07

enough to do a startup. So here we are

62:10

um could we be on the precipice of 10

62:13

times as many startups 100 times as many

62:16

startups?

62:16

>> Absolutely. I mean that's that's the

62:18

dream. Um that was actually you know YC

62:20

was started 20 years ago uh based on

62:23

PG's insight that actually it's getting

62:26

easier to start a startup right. It used

62:27

to be you had to have a big mountain of

62:29

money, you you know hire a big team,

62:32

etc. And his realization was you can

62:35

start a startup with just a couple of

62:36

people and um you know basically ramen

62:40

few few kids live living off of of

62:42

ramen. Um and that's proven to be true.

62:44

Uh and our belief is with AI that

62:47

actually just goes that much further,

62:48

right? Because the universe of people

62:50

who are able to create uh apps using

62:53

something like Replet uh is enormous.

62:56

And so, uh, my, I think maybe most

62:59

optimistic vision of what we're doing

63:01

with all the AI is essentially putting

63:03

all of these tools of wealth creation in

63:05

as many hands as possible.

63:07

>> Do you think that English is I think

63:09

it's Andre Carpathies that said this,

63:10

right? Like, do you think English is the

63:12

ultimate destination language that

63:14

everybody will use to code or do you

63:16

think it gets abstracted even further

63:18

beyond that where you sort of think

63:20

things and they just kind of appear? Uh

63:22

I think it might be a little while until

63:24

we can just think them. But clearly uh

63:26

that's the direction right is that you

63:28

have a a dialogue with the AI and so you

63:31

describe okay not quite like that more

63:33

like this. Um and the direction is

63:36

essentially just that it becomes easier

63:38

and easier for us to realize our visions

63:40

and for everyone to realize our visions

63:42

not just people who are

63:43

>> well let me ask you this question. You I

63:45

mean that clearly grows the funnel

63:47

right? So now we have 100 million, 500

63:50

million, a billion people, two billion

63:52

people, whoever can speak English can

63:53

now code. How does it, how do you think

63:57

about that as one of the best computer

63:59

scientists that America's ever created?

64:01

>> Mhm. How do I think about all those

64:03

people having the ability?

64:04

>> Yeah. I I mean, I think it's great,

64:06

right? Anything um you know, our

64:09

philosophy is that I don't want to see

64:11

all of the power concentrated in a small

64:14

number of large organizations. I think

64:16

that's bad for everyone. It's bad for

64:19

freedom. Um, and so what we want is to

64:22

give that power to as many people as

64:24

possible so that everyone can create um,

64:27

you know, apps and it might just be

64:28

something for their own local community.

64:30

It it's not not every one of those apps

64:32

is going to be the next Google

64:33

obviously, but the more people can

64:35

create wealth in their own community and

64:38

in their own lives, we spread the

64:40

prosperity everywhere. Are you seeing in

64:42

the applications you get to YC or that

64:45

you've heard of more physical AI,

64:49

robotics, automation, those sorts of

64:51

tooling? Because as this becomes easier,

64:54

it actually leads to the leap. Hey,

64:56

maybe I could do this as a robot and I

64:58

get a robot to do a particular thing and

64:59

that creates an opportunity for new

65:01

business. Has that become a big kind of

65:03

growth curve right now is physical AI

65:06

and

65:06

>> absolutely that number of robot arms at

65:08

the most recent demo day was was

65:09

striking. I think everyone is starting

65:11

to work on that and again as as the

65:13

things that used to be difficult get

65:15

easier um we just start doing more

65:17

difficult things but absolutely I think

65:20

and I think robotics

65:21

>> all technology curves

65:22

>> yeah exactly and and I think that's

65:23

going to open up you know whole new

65:25

realms that were previously impossible

65:27

or impractical so

65:28

>> so does that create new industries is

65:30

like I think a key

65:31

>> absolutely

65:32

>> point which is like what I think is most

65:34

under misunderstood about AI is it's not

65:36

about the displacement of doing old

65:38

things but it's about activating new

65:40

things that are complex and historically

65:42

not tractable, but now they're

65:43

tractable.

65:44

>> Right. Exactly. So, I mean, if you think

65:45

about just the fundamentals of wealth

65:47

creation, the inputs are essentially

65:49

energy and intelligence, and we're about

65:52

to unleash essentially an abundance of

65:55

intelligence where like the total global

65:56

intelligence is going to 10x, right? And

65:59

so, that will enable us to 10x our total

66:02

wealth. And that's going to come in a

66:03

lot of different forms like you know as

66:06

we start to have AI science labs for

66:08

example where the AI can actually start

66:11

running its own experiments producing

66:13

its own data um I think our

66:15

understanding of biology is going to be

66:18

incredible. You know in 20 years we'll

66:20

be able to know how a drug affects the

66:23

body without ever actually testing it.

66:25

And my prediction is actually our our AI

66:28

models will be more predictive than

66:31

today's clinical trials.

66:32

>> You know what's interesting hearing you

66:34

talk about this Paul is and it's really

66:36

the power of great conversations. There

66:38

was a troll over the last couple of

66:40

years when somebody lost their job in

66:42

journalism like learn to code learn to

66:43

code and now you think about it there's

66:46

multiple types of intelligence. startups

66:48

were limited or you know gatekept in

66:51

some ways by mathematical intelligent

66:54

intelligence the ability to to write

66:56

code. Opening up that to people who are

66:59

high intelligence or high design, high

67:01

emotional intelligence could lead to

67:04

many more beautiful interesting products

67:06

that maybe people who are math

67:08

intelligence uh you know uh focused just

67:11

would never get to.

67:12

>> Absolutely. Uh and this is an abundance

67:14

that I think people are maybe not even

67:17

realizing yet is that a whole group of

67:20

journalists, writers who are being

67:21

displaced or you know Uber drivers or

67:24

people working in factories, well if

67:26

they can embrace this technology and we

67:28

saw it with um no code. Remember the no

67:31

code kind of ghetto that was you know

67:34

emerged for a couple years. Oh startups

67:36

are going to be no code. It was kind of

67:37

like the false start, but you did see a

67:39

bunch of new entrance applying for Y

67:41

Combinator or other things. Uh this this

67:44

could really be um accreative to

67:48

humanity.

67:48

>> Yeah, absolutely. And it reaches people

67:50

who are perhaps otherwise left behind,

67:52

right? Like it it shouldn't be just

67:54

people in Silicon Valley who can create

67:56

apps. Like there's a whole country full

67:58

of people who have ideas. Um and the

68:00

same thing goes, you know, not just for

68:02

apps but for media. Like um I think a

68:04

lot about uh you know again when we look

68:07

at where the generative video models are

68:10

going it's pretty amazing right in a

68:12

couple of years that means a kid

68:14

>> in wherever middle America over country

68:17

who has like a vision for their own

68:19

Disney movie can actually just create

68:21

the Disney movie. You don't need the

68:22

$100 million budget. And so that's going

68:25

to give, you know, a lot of voices that

68:28

are currently not represented in media

68:30

because they don't have access to the

68:32

capital or or Hollywood.

68:34

>> The elite version of this would be, oh

68:36

my god, we're losing this job creating

68:38

at Netflix, but you're creating a

68:41

million other jobs for people to create

68:43

their own superhero that represents

68:45

them, that represents their country,

68:47

represents their sensibility.

68:49

>> Exactly.

68:49

>> Let me ask you a question as a as a

68:51

technologist for a second. When you see

68:53

the landscape of these foundational

68:54

models and how good they're getting, is

68:56

your belief that the number of those

68:59

will grow or do you think that they'll

69:02

consolidate and they'll just be fewer

69:03

but better? How do you see all of this

69:06

investment that's happening now?

69:08

>> Yeah.

69:08

>> Play out

69:09

>> and feel free to name companies while

69:10

you're doing your analys which ones will

69:12

go away. Uh yeah. No, I I mean I expect

69:16

that it'll probably stay relatively

69:17

stable honestly because I the cost of

69:20

building these foundation models is

69:22

astronomical, right? We just saw XAI is

69:25

raising another 20 million, something

69:27

like that. Um and and so just the

69:30

capital requirements are going to limit

69:32

how many there are. Um but I certainly

69:34

hope that it doesn't consolidate down to

69:36

just like one or two because again I

69:39

think part of what's important for

69:41

preserving freedom is just that we have

69:43

many options. And so actually a lot of

69:45

people don't know we started OpenAI at Y

69:48

Combinator uh 10 years ago in 2015. We

69:51

saw that AI was on the rise. We saw that

69:54

this was happening. Um but at the time

69:56

we were concerned that it was

69:57

essentially all locked up inside of

69:59

Google. And so that would be bad

70:02

arguably for the world, but certainly

70:03

for our companies, right? We we have

70:05

thousands of companies. If our companies

70:07

don't have access to that next wave of

70:10

technology, like we're going to be out

70:12

of business. Um, and so open AI was kind

70:14

of like a moonshot project that we were

70:16

actually going to take this out where

70:19

it's not just locked up inside of

70:20

>> How did you feel when they made it

70:21

closed AI and and

70:23

>> you know I there was never specifically

70:25

promised to be open source but I

70:27

>> sure it was it was

70:29

if you go back it's it's a little bit

70:31

but again I think what's most important

70:33

is that we actually just have a lot of

70:35

choice right and and I certainly support

70:37

open source because I think open source

70:38

is the thing that

70:39

>> you think open source wins. I think

70:41

we'll have both. Um, it seems it seems

70:44

like the balance is that is that there's

70:46

reasons to have both, but the importance

70:49

of having open source as an option

70:51

forces all of the closed source vendors

70:54

to be uh honest, right? Like if they

70:56

start if they start censoring the

70:58

models, they start, you know, disabling

71:00

too many abilities, then people will all

71:03

switch to the open source.

71:04

>> Well, you worked at Google, you worked

71:05

at Facebook.

71:06

>> Oh, this was my question. Um,

71:08

>> Google has done an incredible job with

71:10

their

71:11

um you know ensemble of Gemini apps. I

71:13

mean Gemini models. Facebook has had

71:15

some missteps with Llama. I'm just

71:17

curious if you were the CEO of Facebook

71:21

today.

71:23

Are they making the right bet

71:24

>> or Google?

71:26

>> Well, I'm actually more curious about

71:27

Facebook. Are they making the right bet

71:29

with respect to just the talent war

71:31

that's been created or is there a

71:33

different technological approach? You

71:35

know, for example, the one thing that we

71:37

talked about before was this concept of

71:38

the bitter lesson, which is always that

71:40

compute overpowers humans. I don't know,

71:42

how do you think about that or what

71:44

would you do if you were running that

71:45

business today?

71:45

>> I mean, I think he's he's doing what

71:47

what needs to be done, right? Like

71:48

Facebook has clearly fallen behind. Um,

71:51

and that's a real threat, right? Because

71:53

Facebook actually competes with AI. Like

71:55

people are switching from Instagram to

71:57

chat GPT. Like my kids are not on social

72:00

media, they're talking to the AI. Um and

72:03

so if they

72:04

>> it's

72:04

>> fundamentally cannibalistic is what

72:06

you're saying.

72:06

>> Yes. Yes. Um so

72:08

>> that's an interesting concept like it's

72:10

a finite amount of time

72:12

>> and which is forget about the categories

72:14

we put on them.

72:15

>> I mean the compound question ask a great

72:17

agent is incredible.

72:19

>> You know the way that you can speak.

72:20

>> Yes. And that they're actually now with

72:22

Grock having the avatar kind of leaning

72:25

into this concept of personality. We as

72:27

old people in Gen Xers might be totally

72:29

missing the script. Right.

72:31

>> Sure. Well, actually um so uh character

72:34

AI is an example that actually gnome

72:36

made that bet and and uh Noom is a

72:38

friend from Google who actually

72:40

basically invented Transformers, right?

72:42

>> Um and then got frustrated that he

72:44

couldn't launch anything at Google. So

72:46

started character AI, but that was the

72:48

entire thing is making um characters

72:50

that people want to talk to and so the

72:52

usage on on characters. Yeah.

72:55

>> Well, thank you for being here. We're

72:57

over

72:58

>> Well, to be continued, we have to have

72:59

you on the pod.

73:00

new fund. That's amazing.

73:02

>> Yeah. Yeah. Congrat Congratulations on

73:03

the new fund.

73:04

>> Thank you.

73:04

>> Yeah.

73:06

>> Thank you, Paul. Appreciate it.

73:08

>> Oh, Keith. Hello.

73:10

>> Keith is back here.

73:12

>> Look dragged in.

73:14

>> Guys, boy, how are you?

73:16

>> It's great to be here live. Everything

73:17

we've done has been remote

73:18

>> over Zoom.

73:19

>> Zoom. This is what you look like.

73:21

>> Exactly.

73:21

>> You look great. This is what you

73:23

>> been going to. Yeah, clearly.

73:25

>> It's what 8% body fat looks like in I

73:28

know everything.

73:30

Who's counting? Apparently the both of

73:33

you.

73:34

[Music]

73:45

>> How are you, David? Good to see you,

73:46

Keith. Great to be with you.

73:48

>> Yeah.

73:48

>> Hey, Kelly. Nice to see you.

73:49

>> Oh my gosh. Jal, how are you?

73:51

>> Good.

73:51

>> Good to see you.

73:52

>> See you,

73:53

>> Kelly. Thanks for being here today. Um,

73:55

not sure you've been following the

73:57

panels, but a lot of conversations going

73:59

on around AI, particularly around job

74:02

displacement. You're

74:04

>> the 28 administrator of the SBA. Um, I

74:08

think more than half of the American

74:10

workforce is employed by or are small

74:12

business owners. You and I had a

74:15

conversation a week or so ago about what

74:17

you're seeing on the ground with small

74:18

businesses. In an AI workplace setting,

74:21

the conversation is always, are they

74:23

going to get out competed? Are they

74:24

going to get displaced? What's going to

74:26

happen to American jobs and to the small

74:28

business? But what are you seeing on the

74:29

ground and how does the SBA kind of

74:31

associate with the the transition

74:33

underway?

74:34

>> Yeah, Dave, first of all, great to be

74:36

here. Look, a small business is big

74:38

business in America, but small business

74:40

is big business for AI and I have been

74:43

walking hundreds of factory floors for

74:46

the last 6 months. Most manufacturers in

74:50

America are small businesses and without

74:53

AI, we would not be winning back these

74:56

industries. And I will just tell you a

74:59

case in point. I actually bought a slide

75:01

to show you workforce development in

75:04

action. Modern workforce, we call it the

75:06

new collar boom. I don't know if they

75:08

can put it up, but it's a factory in

75:11

Seymour, Indiana. It's a bike factory.

75:14

We had lost the bike industry over the

75:16

last 30 years. Thousands of jobs, 98%

75:20

imports. We're now for the first time in

75:22

this country building bikes in America

75:26

because of AI, advanced manufacturing

75:28

techniques. Imagine we replicate this

75:30

industry after industry and these are

75:32

small business. This is a 60 person

75:34

factory in Seymour, Indiana, where they

75:36

have no jobs.

75:37

>> So it's a AI is a job creation machine

75:40

for reshoring, onshoring and advanced

75:42

manufacturing. So manufacturing you're

75:44

seeing a big heavy um influence

75:47

potential for kind of redefining. What

75:49

about in the services businesses? What

75:51

do you see there?

75:52

>> Across the board we have 7 and 12

75:54

million jobs open in America. Most of

75:57

them are open at small businesses.

75:59

Number one concern of small business is

76:01

a skilled workforce. That's because

76:03

President Trump solved inflation,

76:05

regulation, taxes. Now they're saying,

76:08

"Okay, we're booming. We've got $15

76:10

trillion of investment coming in. A lot

76:12

of that's going to trickle down to small

76:14

business. We need the skilled workforce.

76:16

So, President Trump is ensuring that we

76:19

have that skilled workforce uh through

76:21

some of his workforce initiatives, but

76:23

small business is going to be driving

76:25

the AI boom from the bottom up.

76:28

>> And what um I guess what is needed for

76:32

workforce training and transition.

76:33

>> Yeah, technology is going to be a big

76:35

part of it. So when you think about go

76:37

back to 1940 our workforce size was 56

76:41

million and people say well as

76:43

technology advances our workforce gets

76:45

competed away. Today our workforce is

76:48

170 million and compute power has been

76:50

asmmptoic. So essentially 85% of the

76:54

jobs that exist today have been driven

76:57

by advances in technology and only 40%

77:00

of the jobs that we had back in 1940

77:03

still exist today. So we are relying on

77:06

innovation as a job creation engine.

77:08

It's just that people have a fear of the

77:10

unknown and they're saying I I can't

77:12

envision what it is. Well, I can't

77:15

envision what my life would have been

77:17

like when I started a small business if

77:19

I could have had Figma or Canva instead

77:22

of PowerPoint. Oh my gosh. Uh so just

77:25

these are uh we're going to create

77:27

millions of solarreneurs who are going

77:29

to have massive software companies or

77:30

manufacturing companies thanks to AI. Is

77:33

there something the government can do

77:35

the SBA for and what is the role of the

77:38

SBA? I mean I know one of the big

77:40

focuses of this administration was to

77:41

make government smaller. So is that a

77:43

goal you have to make government smaller

77:45

and then maybe give the ability to give

77:47

loans to the state. What what is the

77:49

role of the government in getting one

77:51

and two person companies up and running

77:53

if anything?

77:54

>> Well, the the mission of the SBA is to

77:57

grow the economy and to support small

77:59

businesses and that's that's what we're

78:01

doing. And the the last four years it

78:03

had not been doing that. In fact, with

78:05

regard to AI, the Biden administration

78:08

banned the use of SBA based loans for

78:11

use of purchasing technology in AI. I

78:14

had the rules rewritten. So now small

78:16

business entrepreneurs, solarreneurs up

78:18

to 500,500 person factories can use the

78:22

proceeds of their loan toward AI

78:24

implementation, advanced manufacturing.

78:26

Our goal is to get out of the way.

78:28

>> Yeah. But but educate us on the loans

78:29

because we hear about that. But we're in

78:31

venture capital where we have an

78:32

incredible ecosystem of angel investors

78:34

doing this. How do SBA loans work? Who

78:37

are they for? How much do do the

78:39

American taxpayers, you know, uh put

78:42

into this? And and what's the result?

78:43

>> Yeah, I'm glad you asked. So the SBA

78:45

does not do direct lending. We span out

78:48

across network of thousands of banks in

78:50

this country that offer SBA which are

78:52

governmentbacked loans but we also

78:55

operate the small business innovation uh

78:57

company guarantee that has been

79:00

responsible for backing many massive

79:03

startups uh SBIC money was in Tesla for

79:07

example. So, we have an equity piece as

79:09

well as uh the the SBA loans, but those

79:13

loans have to be repaid over 30 years,

79:16

but they simply give small businesses

79:18

that banks wouldn't normally lend to

79:20

that government guarantee that gives

79:22

them the confidence. We do about 2,000

79:25

Main Street loans every single week. So

79:28

far this year, we are on pace for a

79:31

record year because we've made the SBA

79:34

rights sized, which means we've taken it

79:35

back to the preandemic size. It had

79:38

doubled during the pandemic. 90% of the

79:41

employees were working from home, not

79:44

focused on small business. We took it

79:46

back down and the spending had doubled.

79:48

So, we took the spending down. We took

79:50

the headcount back to pre- pandemic and

79:52

now we have record level. You

79:54

>> have people showing up at the office.

79:55

>> Oh, yeah. We're back every day.

79:57

>> Wow. So the American taxpayers are

79:59

paying people for a job and they're

80:00

doing it in an office.

80:02

>> Not only that, outside of Washington, we

80:04

sent them out to the field.

80:05

>> Do you think that at some point you will

80:07

look at um either adding new types of

80:09

SBA back loans or changing some of the

80:12

conditions to do as you said even

80:14

further incentivize the investment in

80:16

AI?

80:17

>> Yes, absolutely. We are looking right

80:19

now at critical industries like medical

80:21

metals, minerals, medical device

80:24

reshoring and onshoring. We have a

80:26

massive at the SBA we're leading the

80:28

make uh onshoring great again portal

80:31

which is a on the SBA website it's a

80:33

resource of 1 million onshore

80:35

manufacturers uh we're leading the made

80:38

in America charge so we focusing on

80:40

smart manufacturing and looking at loan

80:43

types and we're trying to double the

80:45

size of SBA loans so that for buying

80:48

advanced technology equipment CNC

80:51

machines training that there are many

80:53

more resources available for how do you

80:55

think about um energy.

80:58

>> Yeah.

80:58

>> On top of that,

80:59

>> yeah, I I was just talking to Secretary

81:01

Bergam and Wright last night at the

81:03

White House and we were talking about

81:04

the convergence of small business uh

81:07

with the physical and the digital and

81:10

energy is going to be a big part for

81:12

small business there because the

81:14

innovation is going to be coming from

81:15

smaller businesses. And in

81:17

manufacturing, you can be a small

81:19

business and have 1500 employees, but

81:22

frankly, I'm seeing a lot of energy

81:24

companies and others with 300 people.

81:27

So, small business is going to drive it.

81:29

If you stipulate stipulate that there

81:31

are 34 million small businesses in

81:34

America and 20,000 large companies, this

81:37

is a small business-driven energy and AI

81:41

boom.

81:41

>> Well, your your vision is something that

81:43

some of the leading entrepreneurs in

81:44

Silicon Valley have been pushing for as

81:46

well. this idea that there is an entire

81:49

boom that will happen of soloreneurs,

81:52

the two and three person companies that

81:54

are vibrant, successful, profitable,

81:56

growing. Um, and what they just need is

81:58

a little bit of help at the edges

82:00

potentially on maybe paying for some

82:02

compute resources or whatever and then

82:04

they're off to the races.

82:05

>> And that's certainly backed up by the

82:07

data we have at the SBA. So 60% of the

82:10

40 of the 21 billion that we've lent

82:12

this year have gone to companies with

82:15

one to five employees. So that's where

82:18

the growth is coming. Uh certainly we

82:21

know that they're going to scale from

82:22

there. Um but we're seeing all the

82:25

trends say that putting more technology

82:27

into the hand of small businesses is

82:29

growing the economy and and small

82:31

business is still growing the jobs boom

82:34

in America. 720,000 jobs created this

82:37

year led by small businesses.

82:40

>> Keith, I'm curious. You're a free

82:42

markets guy. What What are your thoughts

82:43

on the government's role in maybe

82:47

juicing up the this onshoring

82:49

specifically in categories where maybe

82:51

China has dominated for a couple of

82:53

decades?

82:53

>> Well, as Kelly pointed out, the

82:55

government's actually not extending the

82:56

loans. The community banks in America

82:58

are extending the loans. So, it really

83:00

isn't a deviation from free market

83:02

principles. If you think about it, AI is

83:04

really this rocket fuel to turbocharge

83:06

small businesses and entrepreneurs at

83:07

least in three dimensions. First, f

83:09

access access to information. Typically,

83:11

if you're starting a business, you have

83:13

to compete with very large incumbents

83:14

that have expertise in market research,

83:16

marketing, legal, accounting. Now, tap

83:19

of, you know, tap of your fingers or

83:20

your voice, you have the same expertise

83:22

that all these large companies have. So,

83:23

you've leveled the playing field.

83:25

Secondly, you have access to products

83:27

like building an app. Like, everybody

83:29

can compete with a large company.

83:31

anybody can code an app. So you're like

83:33

air HVAC repair person, you have an app

83:35

that's on par with a Shopify store or

83:37

better. Like that allows you to compete.

83:39

So we're going to see more propellant

83:40

there. And then third, you can save

83:41

money. Like you used to have to have a

83:43

GNA team. Like you have accountants and

83:45

you know bookkeepers and HR. AI can do

83:48

all that. Maybe even do it better than

83:49

humans, but certainly at zero cost. So

83:52

the economics of running a small

83:53

business are going to be much better. A

83:55

the risk of running a small business,

83:57

starting a small business is going to go

83:58

down, which we're going to have

84:00

increase. And then finally, you can save

84:01

money through things like RAM. You can

84:02

use AI to audit your expenses and not

84:05

waste 5 to 15%. Which will make you more

84:07

successful. So all these trends are

84:08

going to combine and we're going to see

84:10

in this administration an explosion of

84:12

successful small businesses.

84:13

>> Does that mean that there's just more

84:15

competitive forces in the marketplace?

84:18

So big companies are going to now have

84:19

more competitors and it just ultimately

84:22

drives net productivity gains long.

84:24

>> Well, hopefully net productivity gains

84:25

and in so far as there some

84:26

substitution, I suspect you wind up with

84:27

a barbell. So the large largest players,

84:30

the Nvidas of the world do benefit the

84:32

more people that run compute etc. But

84:34

then I think that the smaller businesses

84:37

actually eat at mid-market companies

84:39

because they can compete now and they've

84:40

been at an economic disadvantage for

84:42

decades. A

84:43

>> and we're going to be in industries that

84:45

we couldn't have even imagined that we

84:47

would be in. When people say why, you

84:49

know, why do we need to make bikes in

84:50

America America? Because it creates 60

84:53

great paying jobs in a tiny town in

84:56

Indiana. People that want to do it.

84:57

>> That's right. That's right. Uh PP PP and

85:00

E like whatever the you know during

85:02

COVID pharmaceuticals we should be

85:05

making that here. We can do that with

85:06

smart manufacturing with 100 people in

85:08

the factory.

85:09

>> You you must uh give the criteria or

85:11

some guidelines to the banks of how to

85:14

pick and uh I'm assuming you take

85:17

diversity and inclusion and gender and

85:19

all these important factors into uh

85:22

account or do you do it based on merit?

85:25

Question is

85:25

>> I was just trying to trigger the two of

85:27

you. They they send that to your fund.

85:30

>> Yes. I don't do any DI but jokingly. But

85:33

what's the criteria like when somebody

85:35

comes and says I want to you know raise

85:37

100,000 and go to their local bank. How

85:39

do they get picked?

85:40

>> Yeah. We have strict underwriting

85:41

guidelines and we've stripped out the

85:43

DEI that the last administration had put

85:45

in. They had a green lender initiative

85:47

to preference where money went under the

85:50

green new deal. I mean uh we've gone

85:52

back to saying if you qualify for these

85:54

loans have at it. uh we're not going to

85:56

pick winners and losers. We want

85:58

everyone to compete on a level playing

86:00

field and have access to that capital.

86:02

But what had happened under the last

86:03

administration, they'd lowered the

86:04

underwriting guard rails. As a result,

86:07

the loan loss portfolio the on the

86:09

portfolio went way up $400 million.

86:11

We've reversed that, strengthened the

86:13

underwriting standards to make sure that

86:15

the money goes to small businesses who

86:17

are building these factories to onshore

86:19

drones and pharmaceuticals and defense

86:21

and aerospace. What are the what are the

86:23

target performance ratios in the loan

86:25

portfolios?

86:26

>> Oh my gosh. I mean our loss ratio should

86:28

be 3% or less and they are including on

86:32

the SBA is one of the largest disaster

86:34

lenders in the country worthy recovery

86:37

lender and they do well. very low very

86:39

low and in fact there's a secondary

86:41

market for SBA loans because they

86:43

perform well because of the strict

86:45

underwriting standards

86:46

>> part of um

86:47

>> oh zero subsidies sorry it it operates

86:50

at no cost to taxpayers when we enforce

86:54

prudent underwriting standards which

86:55

we're getting back to that yes

86:57

>> one of the things that um helps burnish

86:59

entrepreneurship is imitation is the

87:01

sincerest form of flattery

87:04

you must have so many successes is, but

87:08

they're not always well marketed or

87:10

known, which would then pull other

87:11

people to say, "Well, if they could do

87:13

it, I could do it."

87:14

>> How do you think about that?

87:16

>> In a world of social media and all of

87:17

this,

87:19

>> you've picked up on one of my key

87:20

problems. I run an agency that starts

87:22

with the word small. Uh, small does not

87:25

mean insignificant. In fact, small

87:28

business is significant. And President

87:30

Trump and I talk about that all the

87:31

time. He loves small business. He knows

87:33

the innovation starts there. The

87:35

manufacturing is small business. So we

87:38

are working on a massive resetting of

87:40

what the SBA does, but more importantly

87:43

what small business means to America.

87:46

And I think people are waking up that

87:47

Main Street is going mainstream and we

87:50

have to continue to push the

87:52

understanding that if we don't protect

87:54

our small businesses, our innovation

87:56

pipeline, our job creation engine is

87:59

going to shut down. How do you interface

88:01

with state agencies and state senators

88:04

and state governors who have 50

88:07

different views of the world but you

88:09

know you're responsible for at least

88:12

supporting the underpinning of the

88:13

business people that are there. How does

88:15

that tension play out? It

88:16

>> it's really important. In fact, we've

88:18

started an initiative where I'm meeting

88:20

with governors across the country and

88:22

their economic development uh

88:24

departments essentially because they

88:27

know best what they need in their state.

88:28

And if we can push more of this out of

88:30

Washington and say this needs to return

88:32

to the states, they need to know the SBA

88:35

is a resource for recruiting companies

88:37

into their state to create jobs in

88:38

manufacturing like in my home state in

88:40

Georgia that has done that. Uh so we're

88:43

going to continue to partner at the

88:44

state and local and across the

88:45

administration. I mean, having David

88:48

Saxs and this administration to be an

88:50

ambassador for AI and crypto has been

88:52

huge because it gives us a way to work

88:54

across the administration and then we

88:56

can focus with the governors at the

88:58

state level.

88:59

>> Can I can I ask one question on that

89:00

because your comment was really striking

89:02

that you guys have strong underwriting

89:04

performance in the loan portfolio. There

89:06

are many other insurance programs across

89:09

the federal government that do not have

89:11

good underwriting standards and run a

89:13

terrible loss ratios and they're highly

89:14

inefficient for the taxpayer and then

89:16

they cause all of these market

89:17

inefficiencies as a result and I won't

89:20

start to name them but you know who they

89:21

are given your background financial

89:23

services and fintech your experience

89:25

here is there an opportunity do you get

89:26

drawn in and is there an opportunity to

89:28

go in and try and address some of these

89:30

other very very very large insurance

89:32

programs and underwriting programs that

89:33

the federal government operates

89:35

>> Dave I think there is because we've

89:36

recruited to the SBA really an elite

89:39

group of financial services leaders who

89:41

understand this. I I served in the

89:43

Senate previously in the US Senate. I

89:45

was the only CFA to have ever served in

89:48

Congress and I found out when I went to

89:50

Washington

89:51

>> Congress ever

89:52

>> ever. They don't like people with

89:54

financial services experience in

89:56

Washington because we know how to read a

89:58

P&L and um but yeah, so we're bringing

90:01

that discipline. We're happy to share

90:02

it. Very open source. Please do. Um,

90:04

yeah. So, like like you say, we've open

90:07

sourced it and the fans have just gone

90:08

crazy. So,

90:09

>> Kelly, we have a uh we have a word for

90:11

small businesses in our community. It's

90:13

called Startups. Maybe it's time to

90:14

rebrand the SBA.

90:16

>> I'm completely open to it. That's right.

90:19

Uh I was going to call it Main Street

90:22

Manufacturing, but I like I like

90:23

startups a lot, too. I love that because

90:25

by the way the point the point about

90:26

China we made earlier they have there's

90:28

3 million factories in China but these

90:30

aren't massive 100 400 acre facilities.

90:34

These are very often small warehouses

90:36

that were turned into a small

90:37

manufacturing facility and we could

90:40

recreate that in America across all of

90:42

these great states where people are

90:44

looking for economic expansion

90:46

>> over and over. Well David actually many

90:48

of those opportunities exist but uh

90:50

people don't know that they can find

90:52

local sourcing. So, what's now possible

90:55

through AI, you can say, "I have this

90:56

product, and historically, I've got it

90:57

through China, or I've got it through

90:58

Indonesia or whatever. I want a US-based

91:00

manufacturer." Yeah.

91:01

>> And you can use AI to go across the

91:03

entire country and find local

91:05

manufacturers. There's there's almost

91:07

always a choice in the United States.

91:09

It's just people don't know where to

91:10

find them and how to negotiate with them

91:11

and how to get in touch with them even.

91:13

And so, that's a solved problem now

91:15

through AI.

91:16

>> Yeah. Yeah. Yeah.

91:17

>> Do you think that there's um a place

91:19

where

91:22

the SBA maybe in partnership with the

91:24

White House says here are these

91:26

industries that frankly are just a

91:28

little bit more important or kinds of

91:30

companies that maybe are just a little

91:32

bit more important for a bunch of

91:33

strategic reasons where maybe in you

91:37

relax the underwriting criteria or you

91:40

just try to get a lot more people on the

91:42

field, chips on the table. How do you

91:44

how do you think about that? Well, first

91:46

of all, I'm a taxpayer champion because

91:48

as a small business person, I know that

91:50

small businesses are taxpayers, too. And

91:52

we can't put some small businesses on

91:54

the hook for other small businesses. So,

91:55

we've got to have an efficient market

91:57

that discovers the right funding

91:59

mechanism. So, we're looking at making

92:02

sure that we're we have the right

92:04

underwriting standards for critical

92:06

industries. Uh, as we're working on some

92:09

things with Department of Defense right

92:10

now. uh we have our SBIC program that

92:13

we're experimenting with some different

92:15

equity structures. So there's more to

92:17

come on that. I think financial

92:19

engineering is important but we have to

92:22

first and foremost not put taxpayers on

92:24

the hook for it.

92:25

>> I think that's a really interesting

92:27

point. Uh the equity structures if you

92:29

look at Celindra Tesla and that cohort

92:33

uh Tesla paid back their loan with

92:35

interest early.

92:36

>> That's right. If the government had

92:39

gotten just 10% of that in equity,

92:42

>> that would have paid for a hundred

92:44

cylinders and mistakes. So some equity

92:48

component or warrants could could change

92:50

the SBA into, you know, having and the

92:53

American taxpayer by proxy having some

92:56

upside in these investments. Yeah.

92:57

>> Yes. Taxpayers have all the downside and

92:59

none of the upside.

93:00

>> You like you like the taxpayers having

93:02

equity?

93:02

>> It's tricky. It's more complicated than

93:04

that. you know, you have adverse

93:05

selection issues and a b it it it's not

93:08

a one-sizefits-all and it's all good,

93:10

but having flexibility for certain

93:13

industries to have a different corporate

93:14

structure or different investment

93:16

structure is, you know, paro optimal.

93:18

>> You you don't do that at all today,

93:19

Kelly, at SBA.

93:20

>> Uh, not today. So, very plain vanilla.

93:24

Um, but we're continuing to have the

93:25

conversations about how to be creative,

93:27

particularly around defense critical

93:29

technologies. There's a lot to do there

93:31

and we need to do it very quickly and

93:33

there's some great success stories that

93:34

we can replicate and they may not even

93:36

require massive re-engineering.

93:39

>> In the last few minutes, Kelly, can you

93:40

give us a very quick contrast?

93:43

>> Your life as a senator versus your life

93:45

as a head of the SBA.

93:46

>> Well, I'd much rather be an executive

93:48

than a politician. So, I I was humbled

93:51

and honored to serve in the Senate. As a

93:53

kid that grew up on a farm and the first

93:55

in my family to graduate from college,

93:57

it was amazing. Um, but being able to

94:00

run this agency, which at 7,000 people

94:03

is considered small, um, is amazing, but

94:06

I'm really an entrepreneur and a

94:08

businesswoman at heart. So, I'm

94:09

approaching this as a businesswoman, a

94:11

service to taxpayers, the government,

94:12

and I'm incredibly blessed to be able to

94:14

do it. So, I I love it.

94:16

>> Thank you for doing it. Please join us

94:17

in thanking Kelly.

94:22

>> Thank you. Great to be with you. Thank

94:23

you.

Interactive Summary

The video discusses the United States' ambition to lead and dominate the global AI race for economic and national security. It highlights the Trump administration's action plan focused on innovation, infrastructure, and fostering an AI ecosystem. A key theme is AI's role as a job creation engine, particularly in re-industrializing America by transforming manufacturing, energy, and healthcare sectors. Companies like Hadrian and Gecko Robotics demonstrate AI-powered automation and data collection to boost productivity, extend asset life, and train new workforces from non-traditional backgrounds. The Small Business Administration is adapting its loan programs to support small businesses in adopting AI and re-shoring critical manufacturing. The speakers also emphasize how AI democratizes wealth creation by making coding more accessible and enabling more entrepreneurs, challenging the traditional necessity of a college degree in favor of practical, AI-assisted skills. There is a continuous discussion on the government's role in supporting critical industries, the economic implications of AI, and the balance between open-source and closed-source AI development.

Suggested questions

7 ready-made prompts