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Mark Cuban on the AI Bubble: Who Actually Gets Wiped Out?

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Mark Cuban on the AI Bubble: Who Actually Gets Wiped Out?

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1284 segments

0:00

You and I live through a couple of

0:01

bubbles. We've seen this movie before.

0:03

>> Um and and this wave seems very

0:07

different than do waves. So, let's talk

0:09

about that. Are you concerned about a

0:10

bubble? We're seeing bubbly like

0:12

behavior. People

0:13

>> It's not It's not the traditional dot

0:15

bubble, right? Because back then there

0:16

was companies going public getting crazy

0:18

valuations and people are buying them

0:20

and the stock would go up, you know, 50%

0:23

100% with companies that had no revenue,

0:25

no traffic, no nothing. and you'd go get

0:27

a cab back then and people would be

0:29

talking about them. Yeah. And you don't

0:30

you don't see that at all today. So,

0:32

it's not a bubble that's going to impact

0:34

most people in the room, right? Or most

0:36

people um across the US, but it could

0:40

just destroy a lot of VCs and a lot of

0:42

funds and a lot of PE, right? Because

0:45

they're going all in.

0:47

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1:25

>> It used to be that product managers for

1:27

brokerages had to outperform the

1:30

numbers, right, for, you know, the S&P

1:32

or whatever. But now you got to

1:34

outperform to keep the money coming in.

1:36

You got to outperform the the fund next

1:38

door. And they're all in anthropic and

1:40

getting their outcomes and SpaceX and

1:42

celebrating, but if hits the fan

1:45

>> Yeah.

1:47

It really is like I've only done venture

1:50

for just over 10 years and it is wild to

1:52

watch so many people who deployed at the

1:55

wrong time just out of business. They

1:57

just invested at the peak and entry

1:59

price matters and you and I have been in

2:02

a bunch of deals together and we used to

2:03

get to investing companies at 5 million

2:05

10 million as angel investors and then

2:07

all of a sudden the request was 40 50 60

2:10

and the product's not launched and

2:12

you're like how does this work?

2:14

>> Yeah. And you know, and what's happening

2:16

now is the market leaders, Google, etc.,

2:18

Meta, they're borrowing hundreds of

2:20

million, billions of dollars.

2:22

>> Yeah, that's interesting.

2:23

>> And there's already a private credit

2:25

problem right now, right? So, you you

2:27

you just layer on private credit like um

2:30

Al Capital getting all the um refunds

2:33

and then you you know, you have these

2:34

huge companies that have cash flow, but

2:36

there's, you know, they're they're

2:37

spending all their cap cap um cash flow

2:39

on capex and then they're borrowing on

2:42

top of that. bonds, right? That's

2:44

planning for perfection

2:46

>> and that's going to be hard. And we're

2:47

building these data centers and you

2:50

know, if there's a price performance

2:51

curve on AI that minimizes the power

2:54

requirements, there's going to be a lot

2:56

of data centers that are going to be

2:57

turned into pickleball courts.

2:59

>> Interesting. Because they just can't get

3:01

the power turned on.

3:02

>> No, just the power just everybody thinks

3:04

that okay, there's going to be so much

3:06

more utilization and there will be,

3:08

right? It'll just scale like everybody

3:10

expects, but there's going to be

3:11

breakthroughs in technological

3:12

breakthroughs as well. Just like we saw

3:14

fiber back in the day, it was all about

3:16

putting in fiber. Then it went from 1 GB

3:18

fiber to 10 to 100 gigabyte and then

3:20

there wasn't a fiber problem anymore.

3:22

There wasn't a bandwidth problem

3:23

anymore.

3:23

>> Quite the opposite. We had dark fiber

3:25

that people used. Yeah. Pennies on the

3:28

dollar

3:28

>> and just sitting there, right? And how

3:30

is it not going to be the case that we

3:32

don't get the same price performance

3:33

improvements on the AI side and on the

3:36

data center side?

3:37

>> Yeah. And then with all the hate going

3:39

against the data centers, I think that

3:41

could be, you know, protecting them. And

3:43

I mean, spending committing tens of

3:46

billions of dollars for 10 20 years

3:49

going out.

3:50

>> Yeah.

3:51

>> I mean, nobody can predict that. Well, I

3:55

mean, you're you you used the word

3:57

pricing to perfection, I think, earlier

3:59

in the conversation, and that's really

4:00

what's happening. I mean, you have to

4:02

have a thesis that we're going to put a

4:05

hundred, you know, open AI, uh, hundred

4:07

billion dollars to work and that's going

4:10

to come back not just in revenue, but it

4:13

has to come back in earnings,

4:14

>> margin dollars.

4:15

>> Yeah. It has to be profitable.

4:17

>> Yes. and you just don't know, you know,

4:18

>> and I'll tell you the other in terms the

4:20

correlary for um bubbles, right? In this

4:24

particular bubble, because it's so

4:25

driven by private capital, there should

4:27

be a lot more companies going public,

4:29

not at the SpaceX level for not open AI,

4:32

not anthropic, but the hundred million

4:35

dollar um IPO.

4:37

>> Yeah.

4:38

>> Because if AI does what AI knows, we all

4:41

we we all know what it'll do in terms of

4:43

disruption.

4:44

>> Yeah. Then you want to have um some sort

4:48

of um currency that allows you to buy

4:51

all those companies like you guys were

4:53

talking about buying different legal

4:55

companies. Yeah. Right. Well, if you

4:57

don't have that currency, the stock is

4:59

currency, you're going to have to go out

5:01

and raise money to do it. And if

5:02

anything happens, and that money is not

5:04

cheap, that money is really, really

5:06

expensive. versus if you go out and you

5:09

do a hundred million dollar IPO or a $50

5:11

million IPO and you can do a secondary

5:13

or whatever as many times as you need if

5:15

you're performing. But the minute that

5:17

company that you're competing with that

5:19

is a legacy business can't keep up or

5:21

there's some other um company that has

5:23

domain expertise that you need or data

5:25

that you need like you guys were talking

5:26

about.

5:27

>> Yeah.

5:27

>> You want to be in a position to buy

5:29

them.

5:29

>> Yes, that is forward thinking. Yeah. No

5:31

one is forward thinking like that at

5:33

all. And I'm like trying to tell my um

5:36

my portfolio companies, go public,

5:38

motheruckers. Go public. They just don't

5:40

think that's the right thing to do.

5:42

>> Well, and M&A is, you know, not to make

5:44

this political, but you know, when

5:47

you're an entrepreneur, you have to play

5:49

the game on the field. M&A was off the

5:51

table. Lena Khan had a certain

5:53

perspective, which was we have to be

5:55

like precogs in Minority Report. We have

5:59

to predict who's going to be a monopoly

6:00

in the future and stop them. Now, it's

6:02

like, okay, consideration with to

6:04

compete with China and everything else

6:05

that's going on globally.

6:07

>> Four years of no acquisitions. I mean

6:09

the people I talked to who are in

6:11

corporate development were like we we've

6:12

been told to stand down

6:14

>> because it's not where we are but even

6:17

so right it's you know with mergers and

6:20

acquisitions at that scale fine but if

6:22

AI does what we know it will do the

6:25

companies that are disruptive don't have

6:26

to be enormous companies.

6:28

>> No.

6:28

>> So you don't want to have to always

6:30

raise cash to go out there. insight like

6:33

the

6:33

>> right because like back in the day back

6:35

with broadcast.com we bought like five

6:37

companies just for stock

6:39

>> and then there was always a bigger fish

6:41

to come along

6:41

>> which we were happy to you know because

6:43

yeah

6:44

>> yeah the famous collar uh if you were a

6:48

clawed employee if you're at anthropic

6:50

you're at openi is it uh time to start

6:53

thinking about the collar trying to

6:54

thinking about yeah pairing the

6:56

>> position you know I collared my stock

6:57

because how rich do I need to be

6:59

>> right

6:59

>> you know and if you if you're able to

7:02

change your life. If I work for any

7:04

SpaceX, any of them, whatever, I'd be

7:07

like, you know, somebody put together a

7:09

collar for me. Yeah. You know, because I

7:11

just need to be protected, save part for

7:13

my upside, but just cover my downside.

7:15

>> Yeah. Um when you did it, you had to

7:18

>> like um actually orchestrate that,

7:20

right? It didn't exist as a product.

7:22

>> No, it didn't. So, I had to actually

7:24

create an index of internet stocks. I

7:26

had Goldman Sachs create an index of

7:28

internet stocks that I thought sucked.

7:30

And then I shorted that index because we

7:32

and we had to follow all the laws and I

7:34

just had to have that short in place

7:36

until I was able to do a real collar in

7:39

the market on my Yahoo stock. Yeah.

7:41

>> And I lost tens of millions of dollars

7:43

on that short. Yeah.

7:44

>> But I made up for it.

7:46

>> Yeah. I mean the one of the great trades

7:48

of all time. Uh what do you think the

7:52

the this wave of capabilities in AI? I'm

7:57

sure you play with it because you've

7:58

always been a tinkerer. So maybe what

8:00

are you tinkering with and what do you

8:02

think um is going to be the most world

8:07

changing you know in the next 5 10 years

8:09

for entrepreneurs for society where do

8:12

you look at it and go hey let's work

8:14

backwards yeah

8:15

>> okay so AI is a lot harder to implement

8:18

than anybody expected

8:19

>> for sure

8:20

>> right you know you can do an agent

8:22

pretty straightforward right you can

8:23

prompt away you know we cheated on tests

8:26

we you know cheated at work you know did

8:28

projects improved productivity 100x,

8:30

right? All easy peasy. And we just

8:33

assumed, you know, at the enterprise

8:35

it'd be just as easy.

8:36

>> It's hard.

8:37

>> Yeah.

8:37

>> And it's terrifying. And not terrifying

8:40

for employees because Dario and

8:41

everybody saying 50% of white collar

8:43

people are going to lose their jobs.

8:44

Here we are two years later, they said

8:46

within [clears throat] two years and you

8:48

know, employment still growing, people

8:49

are hiring, we need more AI literate

8:52

people, right? So CEOs have no clue what

8:55

is going on. None whatsoever. And that's

8:58

not going to change, right? And so, you

9:01

know, trying to explain to them that

9:05

you need to add a hardness to, you know,

9:07

all the there's no chance, right? And if

9:10

you think about it from an AI

9:11

perspective,

9:12

>> if AI, we're talking about, you know,

9:14

AGI and we're talking about taking over

9:17

the world. If you can't you if you need

9:20

to have forward deployed engineers

9:24

>> that tells you all you need to know

9:26

about AI because by definition you

9:28

should just be able to ask AI to do what

9:30

I need you to do and ask and tell me how

9:32

to implement it right yet here you have

9:34

Microsoft hiring 6,000 people right you

9:38

have anthropic open AI all saying

9:40

they're going to deploy to these

9:41

companies which tells you AI is hard and

9:44

then you have um Alex Karp from

9:46

Palunteer freaking out saying how can

9:48

you give your alpha to these companies

9:50

when in my opinion he's just saying

9:53

they're doing what we're doing right

9:55

we're we're all about forward deploy

9:57

engineers at Palunteer and they're doing

9:59

the same thing. Uh it it again it's a

10:02

great insight because you can if you're

10:05

using it as a search engine or you're

10:06

making your little agent to you know go

10:09

do your cron job. Okay fair enough. It's

10:11

it's going to work. You need to be have

10:12

a little bit of systems thinking but

10:14

when you start putting into the

10:15

enterprise and you know this is mission

10:18

let's talk about the little bit of

10:19

systems thinking because that's the

10:20

second part and I'm not trying to on AI.

10:22

I love it. I invest in it. It's going to

10:24

be amazing. It's the most impactful

10:25

technology that we've ever seen and may

10:28

ever see. Right? But try going into

10:30

cloud or or chat GPT and saying okay I

10:33

just want you to do this search for

10:34

Jason Calacanis investments and I want

10:37

you to do report and I want you to email

10:38

it to me every week.

10:40

>> Yeah,

10:40

>> it can't do it.

10:41

>> Can't do it. And then it says, "Okay,

10:43

would you like for me to do an an agent

10:45

that gives you alerts and then you say,

10:47

"Sure." And then you have to know how to

10:48

program because it either gives you a

10:50

JSON file or it gives you, you know,

10:51

code and it comes out slop.

10:53

>> Yeah. And then you have to correct,

10:55

right? You have to reiterate,

10:57

>> you know, if you want to say, you know,

10:59

hey, let me load a picture in and you

11:01

tell me if I'm hot or not or is this

11:03

girl hot? What should I say to her? You

11:05

know, or business versions. Great. Yeah.

11:07

>> Right. But AI is not going to, you know,

11:11

take away 50% of the jobs. There's just

11:14

so much it can't do that regular people

11:16

need it to do. Yeah. Right. Now, does

11:18

that create opportunity? Enormous

11:21

opportunity. Yes. Right. So, like I'm an

11:23

investor in Loveable and we were here

11:24

this morning talking and um

11:27

>> Anthony was saying that Anton was saying

11:29

that um they people are using Lovable to

11:32

create 770,000

11:35

applications a week.

11:37

a week.

11:38

>> Yeah.

11:38

>> Right. And that only 30% of their

11:41

business is in the US and only um 20% is

11:46

engineers. And what's happening is

11:49

entrepreneurs to answer your question

11:50

about where it's going, right?

11:52

>> If you're an entrepreneur, like he was

11:54

saying before, there were there's no

11:56

better time to be an entrepreneur.

11:58

>> He's he nailed it, right? Because that's

12:01

where AI is the most impactful. No

12:03

matter where you are in the world, they

12:05

have big utilization in Brazil, India,

12:08

right? If you're in France, US,

12:10

wherever, you know, like I gave I gave

12:13

it um a prompt like I said because I

12:15

wanted to see what it would take. I was

12:17

like, "Okay, we're going to create an

12:18

imaginary company that has a button that

12:20

can record 24-hour video." And then I

12:23

wanted to be able to send it to me every

12:25

24 hours, and I want you to create a

12:27

patent and a business plan and tell me

12:30

what um licensing or whatever I need.

12:33

12 minutes.

12:34

>> Yeah.

12:35

>> Wow.

12:35

>> Like there just No, we've started tons

12:37

of businesses.

12:38

>> Yeah. Six months to get a prototype, 12

12:40

months to launch it.

12:41

>> Yes.

12:42

>> And then you have to

12:43

>> and then I ask for a bill of materials

12:44

and the source companies like the basic

12:47

stuff to be that the blocking and

12:50

tackling stuff that every company has to

12:53

do at, you know, when you're setting it

12:55

up and early in its life cycle.

12:58

Done.

12:59

>> Done. And even if it's wrong, so what?

13:02

Because the one thing you and I both

13:04

know and and everybody in the room

13:05

should know, every single motherucking

13:07

business plan ever written in the

13:08

history of business plans

13:10

>> is wrong.

13:11

>> Of course. Yeah. It's a it's a thought

13:13

exercise that at least gives you some

13:15

sort of direction you're going

13:18

>> guideline and a template for you, right?

13:20

But it's wrong.

13:21

>> So what if the AI is wrong? if the model

13:24

was wrong, you know, because it's you're

13:26

going to learn and you're going to

13:27

iterate, but it's still

13:30

>> again all this talk about taking white

13:32

collar jobs is ridiculous when it can't

13:35

even do the basic,

13:36

>> right? And you have to have like you

13:38

said a programming mindset. Yeah. in

13:40

order to be able to iterate and figure

13:42

it out. And like even you would think if

13:45

AI is advanced as we want to believe AI

13:48

is right now all the errors that we get

13:51

when we ask it to do a project it would

13:53

learn from all those errors and even

13:56

have hey I'm Claude you I see you have a

13:59

problem with this right and it failed on

14:01

these three attempts let me just tell

14:03

you what 97.6% six% of the other people

14:05

who ran into this did, right? And then

14:07

it would fix it for you would tell you.

14:08

It doesn't even do that. It just says

14:10

failed, right? Or it says whatever.

14:14

>> You know, again, AI is amazing.

14:17

>> And particularly for programmers, it's

14:19

game changing.

14:20

>> And when you have a narrow data set like

14:22

code or legal, tax, it's magic and it's

14:25

just math, right? Basic data, right? But

14:28

when you wanted to do when normal people

14:32

anywhere in the world want to use it for

14:35

normal stuff,

14:37

>> great. You start a business, great. But

14:40

if you want to start getting advanced,

14:42

it's like figuring out PowerPoint used

14:44

to be or Excel, right? You always have

14:46

to have your Excel expert, you know, or

14:48

your PowerPoint in your company.

14:50

>> Yeah. Or whoever that you knew, right?

14:52

or there would be companies built um I

14:54

even invested in like a company that

14:56

slides share that all they did was have

14:58

PowerPoint templates that you could

15:00

download and redo. AI is not even that

15:03

advanced for, you know, once you get to

15:04

the second level. And so that creates so

15:08

much opportunity for anybody to walk

15:12

into a small, medium size, even large

15:14

business and say, "Hey, I understand AI.

15:17

I have a basic computer background or

15:19

better." And so all these fails that

15:22

you're running into across your your

15:24

your company, big or small, I can help

15:27

you fix them

15:28

>> because what AI can do once those issues

15:31

are fixed,

15:32

>> is phenomenal.

15:33

>> Yeah.

15:33

>> But even better, if you're thinking as

15:35

an entrepreneur to start a business,

15:37

those things will eventually break.

15:39

Agents get bored, right? and they drift

15:42

because as the underlying um large

15:45

language model starts to change, the way

15:49

it was originally programmed doesn't

15:50

match what the the large language model

15:52

turned into, right? You see what I'm

15:54

saying? And so you and you even wrote

15:56

something about this, right? Where it's

15:58

taking more people to manage all this

15:59

stuff.

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>> I'm trying to get the whole firm to be

16:40

AI first. And even with young people,

16:43

it's like one group embraces it and, you

16:47

know, they they solve, you know, I don't

16:49

know, let's call it five or six really

16:51

pressing issues. The other group is, you

16:54

know, not embracing it. And the the

16:56

difference between those AI first

16:58

employees and the non AI first

17:00

employees, the gap is like, whoa. It's

17:03

almost like when we got into the

17:04

industry and somebody knew how to use

17:05

the office suite in a PC and then

17:07

somebody else was like on legal pads.

17:09

It's like that much of a difference.

17:11

It's so

17:12

>> people who are AI literate.

17:14

>> Yeah.

17:14

>> What when did they run into a ceiling?

17:16

>> Well, you know, it's what I'm seeing is

17:19

a lot of tool hopping which I it's a

17:21

good question because they started with

17:23

openclaw. They started building it. It

17:25

got brittle.

17:25

>> Wait openclaw.

17:27

>> Who's openclaw? Anybody using Hermes

17:30

agent? Okay, there you go. Who's on

17:32

Claude Co-work? And then, oh, whoa. And

17:35

Perplexity Computer, anyone? Okay,

17:38

interesting. Those are the four that

17:39

people have been bouncing around on. And

17:42

what I decided to do is I was just like,

17:43

"Hey, token max it. You You can each

17:45

spend a couple thousand dollars a month.

17:46

I don't care about that. I just care

17:48

about the gains." And they all wound up

17:51

um going from Open Claw. All the agents

17:55

started breaking. It's hallucinating.

17:57

It's like too frustrating. They started

17:58

using Claude Co-work. Okay, great. Um,

18:02

but kind of limited. And then they

18:04

started using lovable and they built

18:06

intranets for the venture business

18:10

that no venture business would spend a

18:12

half million dollars and 12 months

18:14

building an intranet. Like you' just be

18:16

like, I'm going to put it in notion,

18:17

Google Sheets, whatever.

18:18

>> And then they just started building more

18:20

and more software. I have two or three

18:22

people who are building software that I

18:24

would say five years ago we would have

18:26

spent maybe two or three million dollars

18:28

a year building this with that outsource

18:30

company.

18:30

>> You just would not have done it

18:31

>> which means we wouldn't have done it

18:32

>> right. You would just bought the SAS

18:33

application that did it

18:34

>> and then we would have tried to like

18:36

shoehorn it into a SAS app and customize

18:38

it. It wouldn't have worked. We would

18:39

have given up.

18:39

>> But how are you going to manage it now

18:41

once they get there? Well, you know,

18:43

again, to your company, Lovable, which

18:45

man, congrats on that investment because

18:46

that company was going to go out of

18:48

business four times. And I told Anton,

18:49

every time they say you're going out of

18:51

business, you add 100 million in

18:52

revenue. 600 million in revenue. And

18:54

four times, 200 million, 300 million.

18:57

Oh, yeah. It's going to be absorbed into

18:58

the frontier model.

18:59

>> The rest of the world, right? I mean,

19:01

I've got lovable, I've got synthesia.io

19:05

that was the first investor in

19:06

>> nice

19:07

>> 10 years ago, maybe that that are just

19:09

that's just killing it, right? I've got

19:11

AMI, which is Yakun's world model. Yeah,

19:14

we haven't even talked about world

19:15

models versus LLM and Transformers,

19:17

right? Because everything we do is built

19:20

on text and pictures.

19:21

>> Yeah.

19:22

>> Nothing's going to be text and pictures

19:24

in 10 years, right? And but what's going

19:27

to drive it? And like people say, well,

19:29

AI is so smart. It's going to change

19:31

everything. I'm like, "Okay, if you tell

19:34

AI, if you show AI a video of a

19:36

two-year-old on a high chair with a

19:38

sippy cup, the a the two-year-old knows

19:41

if you push the sippy cup over the edge,

19:43

Yeah. mom's going to come running and

19:44

the AI's the kid's going to start

19:46

laughing."

19:46

>> Yeah.

19:47

>> AI's got no clue what's going to happen.

19:49

>> Yeah.

19:50

>> None. Right. Would you ra if you're at a

19:52

corner blindfolded and you have to cross

19:54

the street, would you rather have a

19:57

video? Would you rather have your phone

19:58

with AI or would you rather have a CNI

20:01

dog?

20:02

>> Yeah, dog.

20:03

>> I'm taking the dog every time.

20:04

>> Of course. Yeah, it's not ready,

20:05

>> right? Yeah,

20:06

>> it's not ready. So, just think about how

20:08

far we have to go. Yeah.

20:10

>> You know, and all this

20:11

>> huge opportunity though. I mean, the

20:12

world models are crazy because you have

20:16

videos available on YouTube and just we

20:18

we have the world there. So, it's not

20:21

enough.

20:21

>> It's not enough. they have to wear

20:22

gloves and you're now they've got people

20:24

in Manila like doing recipes.

20:27

>> So I invested in the company matter.com

20:30

and they're launching satellites just to

20:33

take and they do specttography where

20:35

they take um use the satellites to take

20:38

videos of everything underneath them and

20:39

use a spectrum. I don't even understand

20:41

all the in order to be able to

20:43

convert it into a world model that will

20:46

provide algorithms that other world

20:48

models can use. Yeah.

20:50

>> Right.

20:51

There's just no way that the the future

20:53

of AI doesn't include video.

20:56

>> Well, I mean, it's it's a a huge part of

20:58

it. And as the inference

21:02

and and the the back to the buildout of

21:04

these data centers as we wonder what's

21:07

going to happen, people wanting to use

21:09

more tokens and then these world

21:11

building and video, man, that takes a

21:13

magnitude more tokens.

21:14

>> Video like if I'm going to be wrong on

21:15

the data centers, it's going to be

21:16

because of video.

21:17

>> Yeah. Right. and role models and

21:19

robotics which is all related. Yeah.

21:21

>> Yeah. I mean and robotics, you know,

21:23

it's related but we still got a long way

21:26

to go.

21:26

>> Yeah. Uh health, you look great, by the

21:29

way. I don't know what's going on. You

21:30

got the red. What do you got? Reat tie.

21:32

What's on the menu here? What's off the

21:34

menu?

21:34

>> Follow me on Instagram. M Cuban. I just

21:37

I'm eating better. Not

21:39

>> I mean, you look better now than 20

21:40

years ago.

21:40

>> Oh, I appreciate that. Thanks. Tan helps

21:42

too, right?

21:43

>> The tan. But I mean, you you look thin

21:44

and fit and and listen, we're getting up

21:46

there now. We're not kids anymore. Um,

21:48

this is definitely going to help uh AI

21:52

all the work being done.

21:53

>> I mean, and I use it too like I invested

21:54

in a company called Open Evidence.

21:56

>> Yes.

21:57

>> Yeah. Which is for medical, right? And

22:00

um I used it and like I have two I have

22:03

one supplement I have to take because my

22:05

iron levels are low and I have to take

22:06

this one medication. And I was taking

22:08

them at the same time and couldn't

22:09

understand why I was having problems. I

22:12

run it through open evidence and I said,

22:13

"Here's everything I'm taking. Here's

22:14

everything I'm eating." And they're

22:16

like, "No, you got to do this. You know,

22:17

when you get up to pee at 3 in the

22:18

morning, take this medication. When you

22:20

get

22:20

>> Getting old sucks."

22:21

>> Yeah. Right. [laughter]

22:22

>> I was I was right there with you last

22:23

night. What's going on?

22:25

>> What's going on? Right. Um and so, you

22:28

know, but it's for health. It's going to

22:32

make a huge difference, but it's not

22:34

going to replace doctors.

22:35

>> No. But I mean, it is pretty amazing. I

22:38

don't Are you on Whoop or your Apple

22:39

Watch?

22:40

>> I watch. Yeah.

22:40

>> Yeah. I mean, the Apple the the Whoop

22:43

plus getting your blood test, just

22:46

self-directed health care with AI, man,

22:48

you're going to get some early wins and

22:50

then when you do go talk to your doctor.

22:51

>> No, you have it right there, right? My

22:53

blood tested, you know,

22:55

>> now is three to six months.

22:57

>> Yeah.

22:57

>> Right. And I've been doing it for 10

22:58

years, so I know all my trends.

23:00

>> Wow.

23:00

>> So, you were doing it before function

23:02

and superpower and all that.

23:03

>> Yeah. Like I you could go look up Mark

23:05

Cuban blood test on Twitter, right? X

23:07

and I would get into it with doctors

23:09

like 8 10 years ago and saying you're

23:11

going to need this for your benchmarks

23:13

and um but it's only going to get

23:15

better.

23:16

>> Yeah. And it's going to be really

23:17

interesting. We had this big data moment

23:20

and it was like okay yeah we're storing

23:22

all this data but we didn't have any

23:23

intelligence against it now. That's

23:25

incredible when Apple is now putting

23:27

that data. They're doing studies. I

23:29

don't know if you've been invited to

23:30

studies on your Apple Watch. I'm like

23:32

well this is going to get very

23:33

interesting. Whoop! Just added blood

23:35

panels.

23:36

>> So now your sleep data, your steps, your

23:39

heart rate, your respiratory EKG

23:42

>> plus your blood work.

23:44

>> Then if you can get your diet into it as

23:46

well.

23:46

>> Yeah. That's what I watch has in eye

23:48

health, right?

23:49

>> Yeah.

23:49

>> So yeah, you're just going to get

23:50

smarter. Yeah. You know, and that'll

23:52

make your doctors able to be smarter

23:54

because 95% of medicine is guessing,

23:56

>> you know, because you can't. There's no

23:58

way a doctor can memorize all the new

24:00

that happens every single day. You just

24:03

can't. But a doctor using these tools

24:06

having, you know, the empathy and the

24:08

ability to communicate and the ability

24:09

to see.

24:10

>> Yeah.

24:11

>> Right. Because again, there's you can't

24:13

see.

24:14

>> Yeah.

24:14

>> You know, you could have doctor, you

24:17

know, why am I bleeding? You got a blood

24:20

looks like you got a gunshot wound,

24:21

right?

24:22

>> AI is not going to tell you that,

24:24

Dwayne.

24:25

Um

24:27

when we look at the opportunity here,

24:29

it's going to be a lot of change. A lot

24:31

of talk about wealth disparity in the

24:33

US. Uh Invest America, our friend Brad

24:38

Gersonner, and our friend Michael Dell,

24:40

another great Texan, and uh thanks for

24:42

welcoming me. I'm enjoying my time in

24:44

Texas.

24:45

>> I mean, it's great. I love

24:47

Texas, man.

24:48

>> Texas is fun. It's kind of like the

24:49

heat's kind of like this, though.

24:50

>> Yeah, the heat.

24:51

>> We have air conditioning.

24:52

>> We do have air conditioning. you there

24:54

there's a record number of air

24:55

conditioners coming from China to Europe

24:57

this summer.

24:58

>> You know, I looked at what companies

25:00

installed them and everything.

25:01

>> Oh, you always got to trade. You always

25:03

got to trade.

25:04

>> I'm curious, but there's no real

25:05

>> sold out. They're all being shipped here

25:07

from China at the moment.

25:09

>> Um,

25:10

>> but really interestingly, you know,

25:13

feels like

25:15

entrepreneurship, which has been our

25:17

shared passion for many decades. Hey,

25:20

investing another shared one, giving

25:22

people access to public markets, invest

25:24

America. We have this dueling narrative,

25:27

socialism in America, capitalism, and it

25:31

feels like this is the in our lifetimes.

25:33

You and I are close in age. This is the

25:36

most fevered we've ever seen it. I mean,

25:38

we have states,

25:41

maybe not since the 60s or 70s. I I

25:43

missed that. I was born 1970. You were

25:45

born, I guess, 1943.

25:47

>> 23.

25:48

>> 23. I always joke he's my brother,

25:51

>> you look good for 1923, but

25:54

>> you know it's this is pretty polarized

25:56

and and what's your take on the the

25:57

socialist?

25:58

>> There there's two things here. One, all

26:00

the DSA stuff is local,

26:02

>> right?

26:02

>> It's really easy to be mandami and in

26:05

New York when you have a budget, you get

26:06

to control it and it's local, right? You

26:08

got elected, you just do and you have to

26:10

balance the budget and you'll see it in

26:12

Michigan and wherever else.

26:15

>> I don't think it's going to be

26:16

gamechanging. But the more important

26:18

thing is the people who are doing this

26:20

are the people who are best at social

26:21

media,

26:22

>> right?

26:23

>> You know, because the algorithms drive

26:25

how people vote in the United States. I

26:27

I can't speak for the rest of the world

26:29

more than anything else. Whoever

26:30

controls the algorithm controls, you

26:32

know, the election in many cases. Trump

26:35

knows how to use it. And what what do

26:36

Mandami, you know, what what is unique

26:39

about Mandami relative to Trump? He's

26:41

what, 31, 32 years old?

26:43

>> Yep.

26:44

>> His whole adult life has been Trump.

26:46

and social media.

26:48

>> He studied it

26:49

>> and the two together.

26:50

>> Yeah.

26:50

>> And the kid the guy in Michigan, same

26:52

thing. So if if you're good at AI, I

26:56

mean at um algorithm, you know, driving

26:58

algorithms, whether it's flooding the

27:00

zone or, you know, like Trump's saying,

27:01

they're eating cats and dogs.

27:03

>> Yeah. It's just attention.

27:05

>> Yeah. And it's just, you know, defining

27:07

the algorithms because whatever you

27:10

search for, you get more of. And if they

27:13

can get you to search for what they're

27:15

saying and get show your interest, then

27:17

you're going to just get mandami 24/7.

27:19

Yeah. And you'll get the positive sides

27:21

of mandami. Or if you happen to be on

27:23

the other side of the aisle and you are,

27:25

you know, looking at stuff that's

27:27

counter than that, you'll get more of

27:29

that. We don't like but one other piece

27:32

I think is starting to change that and

27:34

that's the large language models. M

27:36

>> the thing that I think will save us as a

27:40

world more than anything else in terms

27:42

of um information availability and

27:46

reducing the information asymmetry as it

27:49

applies to politics are large language

27:50

models because large language models

27:53

have to be as literate or and literal

27:56

and honest as they possibly can.

27:58

>> Truth seeking.

27:59

>> Yeah. Truth is a better way to put it.

28:01

Yeah. So they they have to seek truth

28:03

otherwise you'll lose trust in them and

28:06

the last thing you know claude open AI

28:08

needs is well you know they're lying

28:10

their ass off about this for

28:12

>> yeah their currency is getting you the

28:13

correct answer and the correct knowledge

28:15

social media's currency is keeping you

28:17

engaged right it's two different

28:19

missions

28:19

>> totally different missions right and so

28:21

you're not going to get rid of social

28:23

media but I think people as they become

28:26

more uncertain with their politics are

28:29

going to go more and more and more to

28:31

large language models and say, who

28:33

should I vote for?

28:34

>> And the large language model is going to

28:35

come back and say, well, what do you

28:36

think about this? What are your

28:37

interests in this and da da da? And

28:38

they'll give you honest answers.

28:40

>> Yeah. And if you ask it, hey, what's a

28:41

reasonable immigration policy? It'll

28:43

give you a reasonable immigration

28:45

policy, which is like,

28:47

>> yeah, maybe shut the border and do a

28:50

point-based system like Canada, New

28:52

Zealand,

28:52

>> whatever it may be, right? I've done the

28:54

same thing and it's impressive.

28:55

>> Very impressive. You know, my favorite

28:57

troll now is like JD or, you know, AOC

29:00

will, you know, they'll come out with

29:02

whatever their craziness is on either

29:04

side of the aisle. And then I'm like,

29:05

ECRock, please vet these claims.

29:08

[laughter]

29:08

>> Be as objective and factual as possible.

29:10

Check your work.

29:11

>> Show your sources.

29:12

>> And then it just replies to them. So,

29:13

I've been just totally trolling Steven

29:15

Miller. Um,

29:16

>> oh my god.

29:16

>> Who, you know, he's like

29:18

>> anti-immigration. I'm very passionate

29:20

about like legal immigration and

29:21

recruiting great people because

29:22

>> you need them. We need them.

29:23

>> We need them.

29:25

every cuz you're running a basketball

29:27

team. Every time you get Dirk Nisky,

29:30

somebody else doesn't have him on the

29:31

team. You get Jaylen Brunson, he's not

29:33

on the Mavericks anymore. Now he's on

29:35

the Knicks. You know, like

29:36

>> Well, that's why we come to these things

29:37

in Europe, right? Yes. Because great

29:39

talent, right? Smart people. Obviously,

29:42

you guys are geniuses for being here,

29:44

you know. Um but but at the same time,

29:48

there's a different vibe in every

29:50

European country and India and the whole

29:52

rest of the world, right? And I think

29:55

you're starting to see some

29:56

entrepreneurs leave us

29:58

>> Yep.

29:58

>> to come here and that's scary and

30:02

hopefully, you know, large language

30:04

models seeking the truth will help

30:06

educate people away from what the

30:08

algorithms tell them.

30:10

>> Yeah, I think it's like important. You

30:12

optimistic now? Um, it's been pretty

30:15

chaotic, but we're seeing such great

30:18

progress. you're optimistic

30:20

>> about

30:21

>> let's start with America and then we'll

30:24

go to humanity. Yeah.

30:25

>> Yeah. No, I mean, you know, like every

30:28

country, we have our issues. Um, ours

30:31

just happen to be kind of insane. Um,

30:34

>> it is pretty wild.

30:35

>> Yeah. Um, [laughter]

30:37

but the good news is, you know, we have

30:39

term limits for our president.

30:41

>> Yeah.

30:41

>> And

30:42

>> Yeah. And it seems like 12 three terms

30:44

is going to be the one for president.

30:47

I mean,

30:49

>> you're going to run. I mean, I hope you

30:51

do, man. I would love to be your press

30:52

secretary. That would be a We'd have so

30:54

much fun.

30:55

>> We'd have fun.

30:56

>> We would have fun. Well, if he decides

30:57

to run for a third term, then I'll run.

30:59

But he's

30:59

>> Yeah. Okay, that's good. That's breaking

31:01

news. I mean, I uh honestly like, um, if

31:04

you think about what we need, I think,

31:06

in leadership, executives who can, I

31:11

think, you know, who are like post

31:13

money, post needing to make a living.

31:15

Um, that no I'm not gonna even go there.

31:17

[laughter]

31:18

>> Well, and then maybe who are doing it

31:20

for love of country and maybe some

31:22

amount of civic pride or

31:24

>> No, I get what you're saying, right? And

31:25

it's just like,

31:26

>> you know, in the US,

31:28

>> what the Democrats don't know how to

31:31

actually do anything,

31:32

>> right?

31:32

>> You know, they know how to take whatever

31:35

happens and extrapolate that to the end

31:37

of the world and the end of democracy,

31:39

right?

31:39

>> Yeah.

31:40

>> But and the Republicans on the other

31:42

hand, you know, do crazy right?

31:44

like they don't care about the people in

31:45

the country. They don't you know there's

31:47

no connection to people. There's no

31:49

empathy and so you know we're but um in

31:54

the short term but I think as we get

31:56

past this next the midterms and the next

31:58

presidential election

31:59

>> I think we'll get back to normaly. I

32:00

think we'll get I think people wanted

32:02

and you know the thing that has been

32:04

really eye opening for me having lived

32:06

in New York, California, now Texas.

32:09

You know, in Texas, we're spend half as

32:12

much money per sometimes less. I think

32:14

it's two and two 2.2 times as much is

32:17

spent on each citizen in New York. Uh

32:19

and uh we spend half as much, right?

32:22

$67,000 per person. They spend like 14

32:24

or something 12 to 14. And uh quality of

32:27

life's better. But on the flip side, New

32:30

York contributes more to the federal

32:32

treasury, right, than Texas does. And

32:35

you would think it should be the

32:36

opposite, right? just because of the

32:37

business and how things are run. So

32:39

there are trade-offs.

32:40

>> Yeah. But it's it's changing. Like what

32:42

do you think about all of us moving to

32:43

Austin and like Texas? You got

32:45

>> smart obviously for obvious reason

32:47

particularly you know like the wealth

32:48

tax sheet is just dumb dumb crazy.

32:51

>> They tried it here. Everybody work and

32:54

they did it for about two years in

32:55

France.

32:56

>> Did they? Yeah. I don't know. But you

32:58

know when Elizabeth Warren first

32:59

proposed the wealth tax and so I found

33:02

and she said well we have these models

33:03

and everything. So I found the economist

33:05

at UC Berkeley and I said, "Would you

33:08

share your model with me or at least

33:09

tell me about it?" He goes, I'm like,

33:11

"Was it more than one year?" And he

33:13

goes, "No, it was just one year." I'm

33:14

like, "Did you do any behavioral

33:16

analysis to see how people would respond

33:17

to the changes?" Yeah.

33:19

>> No. And so, you know, whether it's

33:21

Mandami, Elizabeth Warren, whether it's

33:23

California, it's it's showmanship more

33:26

than reality.

33:27

>> Yeah. And I think people are forgetting

33:30

that people are mobile, you know, like

33:32

uh

33:33

>> US. [clears throat] Yeah,

33:34

>> in the US it's pretty extraordinary. You

33:36

got Travis Sachs, myself, Elon, just a

33:39

bunch of folks have all of a sudden just

33:41

shown up.

33:42

>> I was there first.

33:43

>> You were. I remember talking to you

33:44

about it. And the thing that's amazing

33:45

to me is, you know, in California, they

33:48

won't let you build anything. And then

33:49

we go to um I come to Texas, I buy a

33:53

ranch, and I asked the guy like, "Hey,

33:55

can I like put a solar farm in here?"

33:58

He's like, "On your ranch?" I'm like,

33:59

"Yeah, here." He's like, "Oh, son, it's

34:01

your ranch. You can do that." It's like

34:03

can I can I like build like

34:04

>> trust me in the cities themselves. Try

34:06

doing that in the city of Austin.

34:07

>> I mean but just outside of it you build

34:10

and housing prices have gone three years

34:13

in a row housing prices and rents have

34:14

gone down.

34:15

>> When you build a company in Austin now

34:18

and I'm sure it's like that in Dallas

34:19

and Houston and San Antonio when I have

34:22

founders move there the entire pressure

34:25

is released. People can own a home. And

34:26

I was like wow is that

34:28

>> why do people still go to Silicon

34:29

Valley? That like drives me p.

34:32

>> I I think if you're a first- time

34:33

founder, nothing better in terms of

34:35

soaking in it. But when you're a second

34:37

time founder,

34:37

>> soaking in it, but what they don't tell

34:39

you, the it is, right?

34:40

>> Yeah, it's tough. I think second time

34:42

founders have now realized if I build it

34:44

in Texas or Nevada or Florida, I'm going

34:47

to just all the talent's going to come

34:49

>> in Silicon Valley just sets people's

34:51

heads so wrong. Yeah. Right. So whether

34:53

it's Travis, Mike, by the way, I've

34:55

known Michael Dell since we were 22.

34:57

Yeah. And I used to do business with him

34:58

way back when. Um, but just the in Texas

35:02

it's just like build your company and

35:04

go.

35:04

>> Yes.

35:05

>> In the valley it's like so are you

35:08

series A? Are you series B? Are you

35:10

series C?

35:11

>> A lot of distractions. Yeah. 25 years

35:13

I've been waiting for my Knicks

35:15

>> to win a championship

35:17

>> and you played a significant role.

35:20

>> No, the Spurs significant [laughter]

35:22

role. [clears throat] They should have

35:22

kicked your ass.

35:23

>> And why didn't they why didn't they?

35:25

>> I think it was coaching lack of

35:27

experience. Yeah. You know, cuz you're

35:29

up, put aside the 29, right? You're up

35:32

in the fourth quarter of every game. WBY

35:34

throws it into the back of some guy,

35:35

misses two free throws. Dear Fox goes

35:37

the wrong way.

35:39

>> Lot of mistakes.

35:40

>> Yeah. And you would be talking about

35:41

firing Mike Brown. [laughter]

35:42

>> I mean, it it was a we were concerned

35:45

when he got hired and getting rid of

35:47

Tibs. Oh my god.

35:48

>> Tibs. But JB was the real deal, right?

35:50

Was my Indiana boy OG, right? He you

35:53

know, he saved you guys. So,

35:54

>> yeah.

35:55

>> Uh and you had Jaylen Brunson.

35:57

>> Yep. Um

35:59

he left and that was kind of destiny.

36:02

His family wanted to come.

36:03

>> That's what he wanted. I mean I could

36:04

show you a text where his agent, you

36:06

know, text me. He says he wants his own

36:07

team.

36:08

>> He wants his own team,

36:09

>> right? Yeah. He was ready to go before.

36:10

>> And I I texted or emailed you and I

36:12

said, "What's the story of this is what

36:14

we're going to base the franchise on."

36:16

You said he's really good. He's the real

36:18

deal.

36:18

>> You know what I love? He's a great guy.

36:19

That's the best part about JB. He's just

36:21

really a good human. I I was there

36:25

>> uh for the fifth game, six rows behind

36:28

the bench.

36:29

>> That's cool.

36:29

>> And man, I I just cried. I just cried.

36:33

It's been so many years. And you got

36:35

your chip, too, with Dirk.

36:37

>> Yep.

36:38

>> It's so amazing how sports plays such a

36:42

role in so many people's lives. Yeah.

36:44

>> Especially now look at the World Cup.

36:46

>> I mean, it's just like sports has just

36:47

changed everything. And you know, like

36:49

I've been to four World Cup games in

36:52

Dallas and I hate soccer football.

36:54

>> Right.

36:55

>> I hate it. But just the whole scene, the

36:57

vibe, the energy, you can't beat it.

36:59

It's like going to a Knicks game, going

37:00

to a Mavs game. Same thing.

37:02

>> Yeah. And

37:04

>> the NBA is it is it peaked? Did It

37:07

sounds like

37:08

>> It's hard to say. I mean, you know, for

37:10

fans, no, cuz I mean, it just grows on

37:12

social media, you know. I I went um I

37:15

was walking in Paris and there was a

37:16

basketball store, you know, and it had

37:18

Wimby jerseys and Go Bear jerseys and

37:20

everything and so I mean it's just

37:22

growing globally.

37:23

>> Yeah. It is Webby the real deal.

37:26

>> Yeah. He's got he he got humbled though.

37:28

>> Yeah.

37:28

>> Which is good for him. It's like Durk in

37:30

2006 got humbled and came back better.

37:33

We'll come back bigger, stronger,

37:34

better.

37:35

>> Yeah. It's amazing how he went from this

37:37

like incredibly

37:39

I don't know. There was a there was a

37:40

magic about him to no he's a villain and

37:43

he turned into a villain

37:45

>> because it was New York and it was 50

37:46

some years right and just the

37:48

circumstances and you know San Antonio

37:51

thought they had in the bag everybody

37:53

it's like I went to Indiana University

37:54

right and if anybody here follows

37:56

college football in the states like we

37:58

were the ultimate underdog we had not

38:00

had you know we had not won 10 games we

38:02

had we beat more top 10 teams last year

38:05

than we did in 100 plus years of the

38:07

program and so that that just changes is

38:10

people's attitude.

38:11

>> You've were very much involved in rule

38:13

changes and we're going to get on AI

38:15

next, but it's just great to talk to you

38:17

about this since we're both such super

38:19

fans of the NBA. Seems like the rule

38:21

changes, the apron and um you know how

38:26

punitive it is has created a lot more

38:28

parody uh in the league and nobody knows

38:32

who's going to win like

38:33

>> well because you have to break up your

38:35

team,

38:35

>> right? Because at some point, OKC will

38:38

have to break up their team. That's why

38:39

they collect all their draft assets

38:41

because you can't have three max

38:43

players. No.

38:44

>> And if one of them turns out to be hurt

38:46

or not what you expected,

38:48

>> then you're in deep, right? And so the

38:50

second apron is just a complete game

38:53

changer. And you have to be so much

38:55

better at putting together a team than

38:57

you were before. And you have to get

38:59

lucky. Like the Spurs have went beyond a

39:01

rookie contract, you know. Um the the

39:04

OKC has got you know Hatchet on a rookie

39:07

contract. He's not on a rookie contract

39:08

any longer. So they have to be even more

39:10

careful. And so it it really changes the

39:13

strategy behind building a roster.

39:15

>> So we we're going to see back to backs

39:16

or any more

39:17

>> no chance.

39:18

>> No chance.

39:19

>> No. I

39:20

>> maybe back to backs, but not a what do

39:22

they call when you have three the three

39:23

Pete.

39:23

>> Three feet. Yeah. No more feed. can be

39:25

back to backs like you know um if Jaylen

39:27

Jay Williams um Jayd Dub hadn't gotten

39:30

hurt for OKC I think they would have

39:31

beat um San Antonio and I think they

39:33

would have beat the Nets

39:34

>> I was worried about them versus the

39:36

Knicks I knew we could beat the Spurs

39:38

but I was concerned about

39:39

>> I did not know you could beat I knew

39:41

>> we beat them two out of three of the

39:43

games of the year we spanked them I knew

39:45

it would be like a I I said Knicks in

39:47

six it was Nixon five

39:48

>> you guys barely beat the Hawks and then

39:50

>> Oh come on now we we we were tweaking

39:53

the offense and we Just had to get Cat

39:55

to buy in us points.

39:56

>> Let's talk AI.

39:57

>> Let's talk AI.

39:58

>> Um,

40:00

but it is so great to be a champion.

40:02

God, it was

40:03

>> Where's your ring? They didn't give you

40:04

>> I They didn't yet. No, I'm going to get

40:06

at the ring circle.

40:08

[laughter]

40:09

>> I, you know, I always was like, man, I

40:11

got to follow Cubes and get, you know, a

40:13

piece of

40:14

>> You always told me you wanted to buy a

40:15

team.

40:15

>> I always wanted to get like a, you know,

40:16

piece of the Knicks. And now it's like

40:18

my net worth doing great. the value of

40:21

the team disconnected from reality. I

40:24

mean, my only chance is to call like

40:26

Elon and be like,

40:27

>> part about um the valuations is it's not

40:30

driven by attendance. It's not driven by

40:32

wins or losses. It's driven by

40:34

subscriptions to streaming services. And

40:37

it's going to be interesting to see

40:39

because it used to be we looked at

40:41

ratings, TV ratings, and people said the

40:43

NBA was underperforming versus everybody

40:45

else. Now, the Knicks play, obviously,

40:47

there's some pinup um demand there, but

40:50

what really matters is the number of

40:52

subscribers Peacock gets, ESPN gets.

40:54

It's the ratings sales, but it's more

40:57

subscribers.

40:58

>> I mean, I literally had to subscribe to

41:00

like I think one or two more services.

41:01

>> Well, that's the whole point, right? And

41:03

did you keep them is the question.

41:04

>> Yeah, I'll keep them. Sure. I mean,

41:05

>> but there will there'll be churn. If

41:07

there's churn, who knows what happens

41:09

with valuations. If there's not,

41:10

valuations keep on going.

41:12

>> Wow. So crazy. All right, listen.

41:15

There's your 45 minutes with Mark Cuban,

41:17

the one and only.

41:26

[music]

41:34

>> I'm going all [music] in.

Interactive Summary

The video features a conversation between two individuals discussing the current landscape of AI, venture capital, and personal investment strategies. They analyze whether the current AI boom constitutes a market bubble, highlighting how it differs from the dot-com bubble, and explore the challenges of implementing AI in enterprise settings. They also discuss the evolving role of entrepreneurship, the impact of AI on productivity, and their personal insights into health, sports management, and political polarization.

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