RSI Is Closer Than People Think, Per Tae Kim
930 segments
We have Take-Two in the waiting room.
Let's bring him in to the TV and Ultra
Dome. Take, how you doing?
>> Hey guys, doing great.
>> What's going on?
>> So, hey, so tell me, last time you were
on the show, you bottom ticked it.
What's going on?
>> Uh, I think I made the bullish call on
CPUs, memory, and Nvidia. Nvidia's up
like 5 10% but
>> Nice.
>> uh, these few names have still doubled
even after this big drawdown and the HBM
gains are up 100%. So,
I'm hoping that, you know, it's the same
thing again. I come on here and stocks
go up again.
>> Yeah, ideally we could have like an
emergency reserve of Take-Two
>> [laughter]
>> appearances. So, if the market is ever
down, we
strategic reserve, we call you up, you
jump on, and then it's
>> was funny cuz it was literally the exact
bottom and, you know, it went
exponential after that.
>> The Take-Two effect.
>> So, where are we right now with the
level of FUD, the level of, uh, downward
pressure on the AI trade broadly, the
chips, the semi trade? Like, reset for
us on like where sentiment is and then
we can work through the different pieces
of counter examples.
>> So, I think sentiment's very negative.
I'm kind of had this
huge up parabolic up move the last few
months and likely a lot of retail and
hedge funds piled in and we're seeing
this unwind now. I I think the first a
big part of it was the Iran war getting
worse.
>> Mhm.
>> Uh, every time, you know, we had the
the first ceasefire and negotiations,
stocks started taking off right right
after that. And then when you we had the
actual ceasefire, uh, we had a follow
through. And then as soon as Trump
started bombing Iran again, you know,
chip stocks have kind of plummeted in
the last two three weeks. Uh, and then
now we we're seeing just, you know, back
to the old, uh, pattern of, uh, media
and the viral hot takes uh, spreading a
lot of FUD. Uh, I think we saw earlier
this month, um,
I think, uh, Reuters quoted like
Zuckerberg about agentic AI. They took
it out of context and then every
media person was with the hot take that
this met meta was seeing bad returns and
they're going to cut capex. And then we
had leaks right after that saying that
it looks like meta is going to raise
capex. So what we're seeing a lot of
this hot take fud.
Yesterday I think we had a flurry of
stuff that scared people. The Wall
Street Journal vendor financing article
that we'll see we'll see what happens
with that. We had CMXTI IPO in China and
everyone freaked out over that. We had
the information article on ASML.
We could go through each one. And then
the Kimmi thing is obviously a big
thing.
>> Yeah, we'll definitely get there and I
want to talk about open source and
Nvidia's strategy there obviously.
Starting with the Mark Zuckerberg news
in Reuters. This was July 2nd. Meta's
Zuckerberg says AI agent tech
progressing slower than expected.
Zuckerberg added that the company's
reorganization that included major job
cuts was not as clean as it could have
been. Zuckerberg and other meta
executives have been seeking
to moderate some of the core of the
organizational changes introduced this
year. And they said that the trajectory
of agentic development over the last
four months hasn't really accelerated in
the way we expected. The company's bets
on new structure haven't come to
fruition yet. And so people were sort of
reading this as maybe Meta's going to
pull back. But then
it felt like the response was extremely
quick with with Boz going on a podcast
and Alex Wang sharing a whole bunch of
progress across um
a few different
models and data points. And then
SemiAnalysis wrote a whole bull case for
MSL talking about how they have compute
and also they have more of like the
internal structural alignment to sort of
properly YOLO in the AI era if I'm
boiling it down as brutally as possible
just because with Google there's always
this debate between oh do you sell the
TPUs or do you sell the cloud do you
have vented in the product whereas Mark
Zuckerberg's able to sort of like go all
in on this new idea and so maybe there's
more
more glimmers of hope there but what
else have you been tracking downstream
of Meta's ambitions?
>> Well, I mean they've been very up front
that they're investing in AI. Alexander
Wang is tweeting multiple times every
few weeks that they're they're going
full force. They're going to redo open
source AI models. They I think he said
that at the YC event over the weekend.
And it's I mean if you actually look at
and then Reuters came out I think with
an article saying that they're actually
going to raise CapEx dramatically
this year and next year. So all that
kind of fear that that quote about
expensive AI from the town hall
that kind of like spooked the market for
a few days and kind of it was it was
completely false.
Um
>> Yeah, it feels like it's a
yeah, it feels like it's a comms error
because the the language that's been
coming out of Meta has been a little bit
like
AI is going to replace our employees and
it feels like it'd be much better for
them to to come to the market with a
message of we're going on the offensive.
Like we're a hyperscaler.
>> be to be fair that that was the internal
town hall. They didn't mean to leak it
and Reuters leaked that one quote and
put it out put out the headline before
the article came out.
>> it's interesting like Meta did Meta
basically go through like an 8-year
period where like internal town halls
didn't instantly leak?
>> everything leaked always. I think I
think everything's been everything's
>> but there was there was a period where
like the the the the sort of attention
of the media was way way way less on
like what Meta was doing internally
relative to the 2010s and all that
attention just went to the labs, right?
>> Yeah, yeah, yeah. No, that makes sense.
Yeah, I guess the question is like
>> The question that
I keep coming back to is like where is
their revenue ramp? Where is their AI
revenue going to ramp and when, right?
Because as you just keep
>> ads. Like the ads like the AI has
>> Yeah, and I and that's
always that's always that's always been
my view, too, but when you're when
you're continuing to ramp CapEx
>> Yeah.
>> with and saying like we're going all in
on a gen tech and we're building a
harness and we're also going to do open
source and it's like, well, what is the
strategy?
>> Sure.
>> Like
what is going to take you to a billion
dollars of like pure AI product revenue
>> Yep.
>> or or or just API revenue? What's going
to take and then to five and 10
>> Mhm.
>> and what's going to allow you to like
justify this spend other than I think
the market would love if they just said,
"Yeah, we actually need all these GPUs
cuz we can actually be 10 times We're
already good at ads, we could be 10
times better and that's where we're
going to get the the ROI on all of this
CapEx."
>> Mhm.
>> Well, well, they're definitely getting
ROI in that. The market is worried
about, you know, all this extra CapEx on
the or going for the frontier AI model
basically again. And they had to reset
like they had to a lot of people left
and now weighing hired a ton of people
and uh
>> Yeah.
>> we'll see what happens over the next
It's going to take time. It's going to
take 6 to 12 months before we see any
more progress.
>> But that that is hard when you
>> model like came out a few weeks ago um
was a lot better than people thought.
But it wasn't, you know, the frontier
but it was much better than what people
expected.
>> Yeah. Yeah.
Uh
so, uh how have you been processing the
Nvidia letter around uh open source and
all the back and forth, all the people
jumping on, the companies that have been
staying back?
>> I I think
it's been very impressive what they've
been they basically
United the entire tech industry against
Anthropic and in the last like three
four days.
>> 18 trillion in market cap has signed on
last time I tracked across
>> I mean Google Cloud Amazon signed on
eventually
yeah.
>> Okay, they signed on yesterday they
tweeted out interesting.
I think Apple is still the holdout but
that's
>> Which is kind of strange cuz they're the
one that would most benefit from open
source open weight models being you know
more available. I would think but I
don't know what Apple
But I mean they pretty much got the
whole tech industry to
kind of corner Anthropic in their
position um
Open AI signed on.
>> Yeah, what did you think of obviously
Nvidia is afraid
I don't know how how
if I don't know if they're really
I don't really I don't read it as being
like cornered by any means. Right?
>> Jensen is on the record that you know he
said I think to Bloomberg that there was
rising sentiment that something was
going to happen on the on the regulation
front
White House or whatever.
>> Yeah, and we saw that this was this was
last week you had at least four people
in the admin say we're not against open
weights. We're against distillation and
at least I was reading into that of some
type of regulatory action around open
weights
and and then positioning it as we're
targeting this is this is like we're
hitting them hard. Yeah.
>> Um about you know push back and
restrictions and he's doing it under the
safety umbrella but
definitely Microsoft and Nvidia are
worried that
the White House or Congress is going to
do something on this front and that's
why
they took
>> very reasonable that he would have no
problem with like Gemma or llama or any
of the open source from like American
hyperscalers where if you find out that
they're distilling, you just walk across
the street and sue them. Uh and also
these big companies have huge huge I
mean they have safety teams, but also
just like huge incentives to not have a
safety incident happen on their watch
because you're trying to like catch up
to the frontier and then all of a sudden
you have a safety incident. That's going
to be really bad for your overall brand.
Uh and you have a different business to
protect, whether it's social networking
or uh Google Search. If all of a sudden
the Gemma model winds up being a thorn
in someone's side for a cybersecurity
reason or bio reason, uh that would be
uh really really bad. But uh
a foreign company that is just like
hurling it over here can kind of just be
like, "You guys deal with the
consequences potentially." So, I think
that's what what what Darius is worried
about. Uh what about um
the overall idea of like where where it
feels like we're sort of replaying the
Deep Seek moment, open source is going
to reduce cost. And so, uh that's a
reason to pull back on the AI trade
overall. How have you processed that?
>> It's almost a perfect analog. Uh people
are worried about Kimmy, yeah, but when
you actually read the technical paper
and their blog post, uh
this is not a tiny efficient model. This
is 2.8 trillion parameters. It's going
to require a ton of compute server. I
mean, we saw it the first day they put
it out that their servers got slammed.
Um even in the blog post, they say it's
best run on a kind of a
a server with 64 GPUs. So, big
superclusters that are networked well
and and that's perfectly runs great on
Nvidia. And if you remember, you know,
during the whole Deep Seek thing about a
year a year or so ago, uh the market
freaked out that, you know, Deep Seek
was going to was so efficient that it
will lead to a compute flood. But,
Deep Seek was an example of the
reasoning model that actually it was the
opposite. It created a ton of demand.
And I think the same thing is going to
happen with Kimmy, where uh when you
have more capable models that come out,
people find uses for them. And right
now, just like last year when reasoning
models took off, agentic AI and agents
are taking off right now, and the market
is kind of like not realizing that cuz
right now, just like last year when
reasoning models were taking off, right
now agentic AI is taking off. And the
next 6-9 months are going to be bigger
than anyone believes. And Sam is on the
record. Sam is on the record
over the weekend saying
at the YC thing again, like people don't
I don't know why people don't like
listen to you. It's on YouTube. That the
next 6 months it's going to be much more
dramatically better for AI than the last
2 years in terms of advanced
capabilities. And I heard you say RSI
before. I think it's going to be RSI.
People inside OpenAI, and definitely
Anthropic, Anthropic put a blog post on
this. RSI I think is a lot closer than
people think. And if RSI actually
happens in the next 3-6-9 months, that's
going to soak up insane amount of
compute. I mean, we had this exponential
ramp for reasoning, exponential ramp for
agentic, and then if RSI actually
happens, and I think sounds like both
frontier labs think it's going to happen
very soon. That's going to soak up an
unbelievable amount of compute as the AI
models, you know, use more compute to
self-develop and improve. And I think
that's one thing that people are
missing, that both Anthropic and OpenAI
are kind of winking that oh, it's
happening. Anytime I tweet something on
RSI, all these frontier AI people
>> [laughter]
>> like my tweet. So, I think that's good.
>> Uh what what is your what is your sort
of
framework around compute hoarding?
Because certainly certainly it is it has
been happening when you look at when you
look at you know,
like going back to the meta example,
right? They're not selling compute yet.
They're maybe
curious about it or or exploring some
deals. But they have all this compute
and they're betting on their own ability
to create the capability that will have
enough demand to
uh justify justify that. Do you just
think it there there there's so much
demand overall that it just, you know,
even if they're they're hoarding, it
just will leak out and it's okay?
>> so much demand overall. I mean, the SK
Hynix executive said uh during their IPO
run
um that their customers are asking five
to six times more than they're able to
serve. And they're going to double
capacity over the next five years, they
said. And their customers, and I I I'm
going to assume it sounded like Jensen,
um
are asking for five to six times more
than they're they're able to build. So,
there's overwhelming demand. You guys
were at the advanced AI uh
AI and D event. Lisa Su raised her CPU
gigantic CPU forecast.
Just three months ago it was 120 billion
for 2020 30. Three months later, they
raised it to 220 billion.
>> Yeah.
>> Like, she doesn't do that. She doesn't
do that.
>> You have that just on the ready?
>> I've got that ready. I can do whatever.
[laughter]
>> I mean
Like
>> Well, I just love this chart because he
called it
perfectly.
>> He actually did. It's crazy.
>> And CEOs don't don't, you know, raise
their TAMs by like these multiples in a
few months if they're not seeing insane
demand coming in.
>> Especially not public CEOs or serious
business leaders who've been running
like non-meme stocks for decades and are
like serious business
>> Everyone's freaking out that this is
like the dot-com bubble all over again.
They're under finding orders. But what
if these hyperscaler GPU cloud
businesses are amazing businesses? Like,
we're going to say like Anthony says,
like if you do inference,
it's 60 to 80% profit margins, right?
These are amazingly profitable
businesses as long as we keep growing
the next few years. And And again, just
like last year, we're at we're on this
exponential run right now over the next
two quarters, and the market isn't
seeing that. Everyone's freaking out
that oh no, we're spending too much. And
even uh Sam Altman
uh podcast came out today, and another
podcast is Sam Altman. Sam is out there.
He said that he regretted, you know,
pulling back on the compute purchases.
They made a mistake by uh not putting
the pedal to the metal, cuz now things
are taking off again. So,
like I I I I I don't I Amazon the CEO in
April, if you everyone read his annual
letter, Andy Jassy wrote. Yeah. He talks
about how free cash flow works. We're
not betting $200 on a hunch. We see the
demand. We know it's going to be
insanely profitable and free cash flow
positive in the medium-to-long term. So,
that's why we're investing $200 now, and
in in the year or two, we're going to
see insane amounts of free cash flow.
The thing that people are worried about
the right now. It takes time to build
out these data centers and fabs, and you
bet now it's going to happen in a couple
of years.
>> if you if you see uh
you see free cash flow, that is that
that assumes that uh like like the
revenues have to catch up, and then the
capex can't grow more exponentially. And
so, that means you have to see some sort
of plateauing. Maybe it's at the end of
the chart, maybe it's this 2030 range,
but there is a different world of just
like continued growth forever. And then
we sort of run out of money.
>> The the pushback I have there is that's
a static view, right? If they don't grow
revenue
>> Mhm.
>> for the next 3 years, yes, you can't do
that.
>> Yeah.
>> But, they're growing Azure is going 40%,
Google Cloud is going 80%, yeah. You
know, Amazon's growing
high uh double digits. So, if
if
if revenue is growing 40 to 80% this
year or next year and the year after,
that's more revenue you have, that's
more operating cash flow you have to
invest, right?
>> Yeah.
>> So, that's that's what people are
missing. And if this stuff
if the data centers you're building now,
you're spending all this now
generates
unbelievable free cash flow in 12 to 18
months because, you know, this AI is
actually engaging and re-architecting
all the workflows inside companies, and
you need to do the agentic AI coding
agents to make your product better cuz
if you don't if you don't iterate 100
different iterations of your product and
R&D
if you don't do AI, just like AT&T is
doing at the agentic advancing AI at
AMD. He's talked about they're putting
100 gen AI models into production.
They're burning a trillion tokens
a month, and then that's growing double
digit. The reason why they're doing that
is cuz, you know, you by using agentic
AI, you're providing a better customer
service, a better you have a better
product R&D, and you're helping your
companies make better products and
services. And if you don't incorporate
AI into your company
Verizon, your other company is going to
do is going to incorporate AI and then
disrupt you, and then you lose all your
revenue. So, everyone's worried about
the ROI. ROI is important, but you also
need return on revenue because
if you don't use AI, your your rival is
going to use AI to beat you in the
market.
>> Yeah, yeah. No, I I I think the
diffusion story is still even though we
got like sort of jitters by the token
maxing thing, just the actual usage of
AI across companies is still pretty
limited in terms of the amount of people
that are using it, the time that those
people are using it. Like, there
definitely is a San Francisco bubble of
startups where everyone is using AI a
lot, but if you just walk into a normal
business, a lot of people are like,
"Yeah, I got to check that out." which
is pretty interesting.
>> you some some context here, something
>> Yeah, Arra Garabedian Jared Sleeper of
Andreessen Horowitz saying enterprise
adoption disparity remains enormous and
he cited Ara saying
usage would 100 x if every company
adopted AI to the degree of the most
advanced companies.
>> Yeah, yeah, yeah, people like people
forget in the ramp in in the ramp data
like adopting AI can mean like having a
chat GPT pro account for someone which
is like not exactly the same as like
using codex and like coding agents and
stuff. Like it's important I think that
you know if I have someone on my team I
want them to be able to go and do a deep
research report but
that's like table
stakes. The question is like are you
actually speeding up anything that's
repetitive in your job and that
diffusion is just starting to take hold.
>> So so the total market size in terms of
IT and knowledge management in
corporations it's about 6 trillion
dollars, right? A year.
Uh the two main frontier AI model
companies open AI and Anthropic I'm
going to say I think this is roughly
accurate are doing 120 billion dollars
combined in ARR. You know, why can't
that go to 200, 300, 400 billion in the
next year or two? I mean they're growing
at exponential rates.
>> Yeah.
>> And we're taking off and the if the
market is 6 trillion dollars, right? Why
can't they grow to 200, 300, 400 billion
next couple years? I mean it's like just
do a little logic and rational
deduction.
>> Yeah.
>> Um this is definitely possible and it's
happening right now and it's
accelerating and people aren't you know
they're just taking you know these big
headlines where we had this
you know 50 billion dollars from the
Financial Times and we find out it's
over 30 years. It's like on the
homepage.
>> Wait, wait, yeah, yeah, okay, I wanted
to ask you about this. Nvidia revealed
its tenant for 50 billion dollar data
center that will use its chips. Explain
what what is actually going on here?
>> So the Financial Times is put on their
homepage today that Nvidia is going to
backstop a lease for a data center in
Texas for $50 billion. And I saw that, I
was like, "Oh my gosh. Oh,
that doesn't sound good."
>> Yeah. Yeah.
No, it literally sounds like they're
buying their own chips. Like, it sounds
like the most bad thing you could do.
>> Yes. [laughter] Then they actually read
the article, like, halfway down the
article. It's like, a 15-year lease,
uh, and it's only $50 billion if they
renew the lease after 15 years.
>> Okay.
>> So, it's like over 30 years if they
renew it. Then, if you think about that,
you're like, "Wait a minute. 50 billion
divide by 30, if they renew it."
>> Okay. Yeah, Nvidia's 15-year lease
commitment for the Texas site is worth
basically 20 billion, and renewal
options would take the total value to 50
billion over 30 years, according to Hut
8.
>> Okay, but
what do you think they're What What are
their plans for the site? Is this
they
are going to have some Like, what What
do you expect them?
>> So, so, my my point is this is a
billion, you know, whatever, a billion
or $2 billion a year, right? It's a
non-story. But, it's a it's a big
headline, sensational headline on the
homepage.
>> Yeah, and also and also it's not that
it's
it's not like you're taking a $2 billion
loss every year. It's you are the
tenant, and then you are also renting
that out, so hopefully you're making
profit.
>> It's a rounding error. It's like, you
know,
they're doing 320 billion run rate a
year now. That's going to go to 400, 500
billion next year. And we're talking
about something that might be a billion,
you know, like, this is not a story,
but, you know, this is how people run
with the sensationalized headlines, and
people panic and freak out.
>> they just wanted to say the biggest
number. Yeah.
>> That's exactly the point. And And we're
going to see what happens with this Wall
Street Journal article. Um, both OpenAI
and Nvidia are not commenting so far.
Uh, we'll see.
>> But, take us through the rumor.
Rumor mill time.
>> a rumor. It's the Wall Street Journal
and other uh people reporting that.
Yeah, Nvidia is in talks with Open AI to
backstop SoftBank up to 250 billion, you
know, billion dollars. We don't know the
details and I don't want to speculate
and comment, but let's actually see the
details before we I I I think the market
had a really big negative reaction
yesterday
>> Oh,
>> uh to this story.
Uh because everyone I mean, Jim Cramer
was telling his audience like sell
everything at the open today because AI
and data centers dot com uh you know, it
was insane. It's just Let Let Let's see
the actual deal and then metrics and
then numbers before we panic and freak
out.
>> Yeah.
Yeah, that Yeah, yeah. Yeah, that makes
sense.
So
>> Yeah, honestly, when you say freak out
and sell everything, sell your dollars,
sell your
sell your house, sell your stocks, then
I'll freak out. But, until then, today I
feel I feel okay.
>> I mean, I just see the fundamentals. I
see the CEO of AMD expanding her TAM,
you know, dramatically in just over the
last 3 months. I see RSI on the horizon
like every AI researcher is like, "Oh my
god, this is going to happen. We have to
get there sooner." And then I see, you
know, the obvious use case of
uh agentic AI where you have to
re-architect your workflows internally.
Every company has to do this. So,
everything is taking off. You see like
um
You see uh when the president of Korea
came to San Francisco area last week,
you know, they had like a day in the
valley.
Instantly, Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang,
Qualcomm CEO Hock Tan, Dario, you know,
Sam Altman are there, right?
You know, do a little logic deduction.
What Why are they there like crazy? Cuz
they need HBM memory and they're dying
to have it.
So, if you think about that, that means
there's insane demand and HBM memory is
in in
in shortage and there's tremendous
demand for it, right?
>> Talk about the Oh, sorry. Talk about the
Nvidia CUDA mode. It feels like a big
piece of AMD's advanced AI event was
maybe the CUDA mode isn't as much of an
issue anymore in the age of agentic AI.
You can have an AI agent write you the
software that you need to use any chip
and that creates less pricing power for
Nvidia, but there's another world where
you're not really
like
Nvidia doesn't necessarily need a mode
because everything's just growing so
fast that they're still growing. But how
have you interpreted the processing of
like the potential death of the CUDA
mode?
>> So, AMD is out of it. Kimmy wrote like a
couple paragraphs in their blog post
about how they created a GPU kernel all
that. So, everyone, you know, gets
scared or whatever.
It it's
we'll see what it's like in real life.
You know, this is just you know, AMD is
incentivized to say, "Oh, CUDA's not a
problem anymore."
CUDA's been a tremendous mode and I
think it continues to be a mode. And the
reason why is
it's super reliable. All the bugs have
been optimized and fixed and that comes
from hitting the software, you know,
millions of times and billions of times,
right? Like you don't know if, you know,
if if you use cloud code or Kimmy that
what they figure out using their
training data is going to work in the
real world, right? They could talk about
one little piece that does well. Let's
see how it actually works.
>> Yeah.
>> But Nvidia's
big mode is
its scale, its co-design of actually
working through the networking, the CPU,
the GPU and how everything works
together. And the other big thing is
their balance sheet and their ability to
uh get supply commitments from, you
know, I
I I said this before um
optical startups are like upset because
Nvidia secured all the supply for all
the optical components. Same thing with
TSMC wafers, same thing with HBM memory.
So, Nvidia is using their size and
gorilla and be able to prepay and get
components that are in shortage. So,
they become the dominant, you know, over
the next year or two, you're going to
see Nvidia able to add tons of revenue
because they were able to lock up all
the supply components. That's another
thing that people don't really talk
about is their supply chain and their
ability to work with partners and secure
secure component inventory.
>> Is there still energy fud that we would
run into an energy bottleneck before we
run into a chip bottleneck?
>> So, so Jensen said this last week on a
Bloomberg interview that there are a lot
of bottlenecks including um
data center shell, power, and all those
things, uh components, um energy,
whatever. So, all those things that
sounds really bad, right? And then right
after that he said, "I think we have the
chip industry has enough supply to
double their revenue every year."
Basically implying Nvidia has enough
supply
uh for for energy and all that stuff. No
one is pricing that in. So, everyone
talks about bottlenecks. Nvidia CEO just
basically told you on Friday that they
have enough
uh
enough supply chain and all that
bottleneck stuff to double revenue every
year. No one, you know, Nvidia's revenue
uh
estimates for next year are a lot lower
than double, I'll tell you that.
>> Do you think the market
uh
prices in just how much of almost every
important AI company in every category
Nvidia actually owns?
Like it it feels like every single like
we're constantly focused on who's going
to raise CapEx next and and and and
where is this quarter coming in. And it
feels like in two or three years people
will look at Nvidia's balance sheet and
be like, wait, they have what what I
imagine then will be, you know,
could could end up being a trillion
dollar plus of just like ownership in
all of these great companies, which
again just goes back to the advantages
of that early scale while they're, you
know, while while all these companies
are trying to compete away Nvidia's
margins and all these different things,
they've been able to accumulate again
positions in in in all of these
incredible companies. I mean, we saw the
SSI news uh yesterday is a great example
of that.
Um but but how do you look how do you
see it?
>> So, I I think look at Jensen's history
in investing in these companies and
CoreWeave and see how much money they
made. Uh they just bought stake in uh
the optical companies Lumentum and
Coherent. Um
Jensen is enabling the future cuz he
sees this overwhelming tidal of demand
and he needs these companies to be able
to build up their supply chain uh and to
give uh
supplies and chips to to Nvidia. So,
they can actually ramp very hard. Um you
know, everyone's freaking out that this
is vendor financing. What if
hyperscale GPU cloud is so profitable
and these companies need capital to
build up that supply so they can uh
serve the GPU cloud uh services over the
next year or two.
Maybe Jensen sees that coming like he
did with all these other companies like
CoreWeave.
And uh that's why he's investing in
these companies to be able to expand
their ability to make the components uh
the industry needs. So, I I think you're
exactly right. In in a year, two, three
years, uh Nvidia's going to have like
all these stakes in these companies and
it's going to look like uh he was a good
investor um
cuz he has been in the past.
I mean, I
think about Melano.
>> a leather jacket for like five grand and
sell it for a million dollars. I don't
know what else you need to see.
>> I mean, I think think about that one.
>> secret bidder? Did you win that?
>> No, I did
>> We got to get you a jacket.
Uh, the real the real question is
how long until someone distills a jacket
and open sources it you can get a dupe
of a Jensen jacket for two bucks. That's
what I want. Anyway, thank you so much
for coming on the show. Jordy, you got
anything else?
>> Uh, this was great.
>> Yeah, this was great. Thanks so much.
>> Thanks for Thanks for putting up with
all of our jokes.
>> Yeah.
>> Hopefully this this becomes the lucky
charm for the markets.
>> Yes, I agree. [laughter]
>> I I agree.
>> I agree.
>> We'll talk to you
>> is in. Great to see you, Tay.
>> Have a good rest of your week.
Ask follow-up questions or revisit key timestamps.
The speaker, Take-Two, discusses the current negative sentiment in the AI market, attributing it to geopolitical events and FUD spread by media. He addresses concerns about Meta's AI investments, clarifying that Meta is fully committed to AI, investing in open-source models, and dramatically raising CapEx. He then covers Nvidia's strategy to unite the tech industry against Anthropic regarding open-source AI regulations, and debunks the idea that models like Kimmy will reduce compute demand, arguing instead for exponential growth driven by agentic AI and potential Recursive Self-Improvement (RSI). Take-Two emphasizes the overwhelming demand for compute, citing AMD's increased forecasts and executives regretting pulling back on purchases. He also highlights Nvidia's strategic advantages through its robust supply chain control and investments in other AI companies, dismissing FUD around vendor financing and energy bottlenecks.
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