Ezra Klein: This Is How Democrats Win
753 segments
Inside the Democratic Party, in its back
rooms and its group chats and its
conferences and its online flame wars,
an increasingly bitter debate has taken
hold over what the party needs to do to
become capable of beating back Trumpism.
Do Democrats need to become more
populist, more [music] moderate, more
socialist?
Do they need to embrace the abundance
agenda? [music] Do they need to produce
more vertical video?
The answer is yes, they do. All of them.
But none of them in particular. The
Democratic Party does not need to choose
to be one thing. It needs to choose to
[music] be more things.
In a few days, there will be elections
for mayor of New York City, for governor
of New Jersey, and for governor of
Virginia. As of now, Democrats are
leading in all these races. These aren't
unusual leads in what have become
reliably Democratic states. You can
imagine a world
>> where the violence and corruption of
Donald Trump's first nine months in
office,
>> you gambling with World War II,
>> had led to a collapse in support for him
and his party. We'll see what election
day actually brings. But we do not look
to be in that world. [music]
That's all the more true if you look a
year out to the midterms. Democrats are
leading by about 2 and a half points. At
about this time in 2017, [music]
Democrats were up by about 10 points.
Democrats have another problem. They're
going to need to overcome [music] the
chain of redistricting Republicans are
setting off across the country.
>> There may be more of a pad here for
Republicans
>> and the Senate. The Senate is even
harder for Democrats. They will need to
flip four seats in the 2026 [music]
midterms to win back the Senate. That'
mean winning in Maine and North
Carolina. No easy task. And then winning
[music] at least two seats in states
that Donald Trump won by 10 points or
more. The map for Democrats wasn't
always this [music] daunting. Go back to
2010 and 10 of those states had
Democratic senators. Today, none of them
do. Most of those states seem barely in
reach for Democrats.
There's no arguing with this fact. The
number of places in which Democratic
Party is competitive has shrunk. In
American politics, power is not decided
by a popular vote. In [snorts] the
electoral college, in the House of
Representatives, and particularly in the
Senate, it is aortioned by place. This
is the problem for Democrats. They don't
just need to win more people, they need
to win more places. And that requires a
different kind of thinking. [music] If
Zoran Mandani wins the New York City
mayor's race and Rob Sand wins the Iowa
governor's race next year,
>> the Democratic and Republican parties
don't solve enough problems to deserve
their little shared monopoly.
>> Did the Democratic party just move left
or right? [music] Neither. It got
bigger. It found a way to represent more
kinds of people in more kinds of places.
That is a spirit it needs to [music]
embrace. not moderation,
not progressivism, but in the classic
political sense of the term
representation.
In 1962, Bernard Crick published this
strange little book called In Defense of
Politics. Politics for Crick is
something precious and specific. It
quote arises from accepting the fact of
the simultaneous existence of different
groups, hence different interests and
different traditions within a
territorial unit under common rule. I
know that's a a mouthful, but that fact
of difference he is pointing out. The
reality of difference is not always
accepted. There are other forms of
social order like tyranny or oligarchy
that actively suppress it. But to
practice politics as Crick defines it is
to accept the reality of difference.
[music] That is to say, it is to accept
the reality of other people, of how
different other people are from you.
Politics involves genuine relationships
with people who are genuinely other
people, not tasks set for our redemption
or objects for our philanthropy.
Genuine relationships with people who
are genuinely other people.
I love that line because the endless
fantasy in politics is persuasion
without representation. You elect us to
represent you and where we disagree, we
will explain to you why you are wrong.
The result of that politics tends to be
neither persuasion nor representation.
People know when you're not listening to
them and they know how to respond. They
stop [music] listening to you. They vote
for people who they feel do listen to
them. I'm not a pessimist on the
possibility of persuasion, but I believe
it is rare, maybe impossible outside a
context of mutual respect. And if I were
to say where the Democratic Party went
most wrong over the last decade, it's
there. In too many places, Democrats
sought persuasion without
representation. And so, they got
neither. I've spent much of the last
year talking to the kinds of voters
Democrats lament losing. I feel I end up
having the same conversation over and
over again. They sometimes tell me about
issues where the Democratic Party
departed from them. But they first
describe a more fundamental feeling of
alienation. The Democratic Party, they
came to believe, doesn't like them. Many
of these people voted for Democrats
until a few years ago. They didn't feel
their fundamental beliefs had changed,
but they began to feel like deplorables.
They began to feel unwanted. 250 million
people are not garbage. I can tell you
who the real garbage is, but we won't
say that.
>> When I'd push on the experiences they
had, when [music] I would ask which
Democrats were they talking about, what
exactly had happened, I often found they
were reacting to a a cultural vibe as
much or more than a flesh and blood
party. They had felt something change.
And I knew they were right because
something had changed. It had changed on
the left. It had [music] changed on the
right. But it was diffuse. It wasn't any
one person or any one moment or any one
policy. The structure of American life
changed in a way that has made the
genuine relationships of politics much
harder to maintain. [music] I believe
the first party that figures out its way
out of this trap will be the one able to
build a majority in this era.
When I grew up in a Republican county an
hour south of Los Angeles, my family
subscribed to the Los Angeles Times and
to the extent I heard political
commentary, it was on local radio.
>> 2005 was a tough year for public
California state and local taxes are
>> Good afternoon, Senator McClintto. Good
afternoon, Senator Seinberg.
>> Now, the New York Times is the largest
[music] newspaper by subscribers in
California. And a young
politicallyincclined kid [music] like I
was will listen to podcasts like
>> Welcome to Pod Save America. I'm John
Favro.
>> I'm John Love.
>> I'm Tommy Vtor. On today's show, we'll
talk about Donald Trump's latest musings
about doing away with the Constitution
to become president for life.
>> Trump. President Trump. Um Trump.
>> Talk me through your evolution on Trump.
>> Sure. That kid's political sensibility
will be less distinctly Californian and
more relentlessly national. For decades,
we have been losing local media and
migrating to national media. And that
has meant politics everywhere is losing
its local character and reflecting
national divisions. Then there is the
astonishing amount of money politicians
need and the places they go to find it.
In the 1970s, the Supreme Court decided
money was speech.
>> The expenditure limitations are
violative of first amendment guarantees
and they are unconstitutional.
campaigns became more expensive and
candidates often need a whole lot more
money than what they can raise in their
own states and districts. That means
exciting donors who are much further to
the left or [music] right than the
public and winning over interest groups
that seek their support on policy. Money
can polarize. Money can corrupt, but
either way, it pulls candidates away
[music] from their own constituents.
That was all true when I moved to
Washington to cover politics in 2005.
But then something else changed. [music]
>> What we're going to do is get rid of all
these buttons and just make a giant
screen.
>> 800 million Facebook users are coming to
grips with change this week. It features
scrolling news feeds and snazzier
pictures
>> by showing you older tweets it thinks
you care about right on top of your
current feed.
>> We're not going to touch the phones.
>> Can't touch it no matter what happens.
>> It is. It's a serious problem.
>> It really is.
>> How much time do you spend doing this?
[music] The average smartphone user
scrolls the equivalent of 78 miles a
year. That's three marathons. [music]
>> We all know this changed politics, but
for all the words that have been spilled
on it, I think we still miss how
fundamentally it has altered the
day-to-day work of politics. Since the
2024 election, there's been a lot of
talk on the Democratic side about the
power of the so-called groups.
>> There are interest [music] groups. There
were a lot of advocacy groups, a lot of
parts of the Democratic party that
really thought things were fine.
>> They're more extreme than many of their
constituents.
>> The progressive advocacy organizations
and nonprofits that have arguably pushed
Democrats to the left. I've used that
term before. I've talked about the
groups, [music] but I think it is
imprecise. The real thing we're talking
about here is what might be called the
professional political classes. [music]
The people in the groups are the same
people who staff or drive all the other
parts of progressive politics. One year
you're with a nonprofit, then you're
[music] on a campaign, then you're in
the White House, then you're back at a
group. You're followed on X or Blue Sky
by left-leaning journalists like me, by
producers at MSNBC, [music] or by
breaking news reporters at Politico.
It's not a bunch of groups. It's a
professional community that exists
largely online. And so that professional
community's culture and its attention
[music]
is governed not by its own values or
goals, but by the decisions of the
corporations and oligarchs [music]
who own the social media platforms, who
design them to further their own profits
or their own politics. The conversations
[music] pulsing across these platforms
are shaped not by civic values, but by
the hacks that keep people scrolling.
Nuanced [music] opinions get compressed
into viral slogans. Attention collects
around the loudest and most
controversial voices. [music] And the
algorithms, they love conflict and
inspiration and outrage and anger.
[music]
Everything is always turned up to 11.
Social media has thrown everyone
involved at every level of politics
[music] in every place into the same
algorithmic thunderdome. It collapsed
[music] distance and profession and time
because no matter where we are or when
we are, we can always be online
together. We always know what our most
online peers [music] are thinking. They
come to set the culture of their
respective political classes. And there
is nothing that most of us fear like
being [music] out of step with our
peers.
This has affected the Democratic and
Republican parties in different ways.
Let me start with the Democrats. From
2012 to 2024, [music]
Democrats moved sharply left on
virtually every issue. They often did so
believing they were finally representing
communities that had long suffered from
too little representation. This was what
they were told by the online voices and
by the professional groups that claimed
to represent [music] those communities.
But it went wrong. Democrats became more
uncompromising on immigration and lost
support among Hispanic voters. They move
left on guns and student loans and
climate and lost ground with young
voters. They move left on race and lost
[music] ground with black voters. They
move left on education and lost ground
with Asian-American voters. They move
left on economics [music] and lost
ground with workingclass voters. The
only major group [music] where Democrats
saw improvement across that whole
12-year period was college educated
white voters.
>> [music]
>> If you judged democratic politics
expressively by what it was saying,
[music]
it stood in solidarity with the
struggling and the marginalized as never
before. If you judged it
consequentially, [music] it was breaking
faith with those it had vowed to
represent and protect. Online, politics
is expressive. You need to say what will
win favor with the highly online [music]
voices that dominate your side of the
algorithm. offline. You need to win
elections.
>> I sued EPA and I'll [music] take dead
aim at the capp trade bill
[music] because it's bad for West
Virginia.
>> Yes, that was Mansion shooting the capp
trade bill that Democrats have been
trying to pass with a rifle. But Mansion
12 years later was the key vote to pass
the Inflation Reduction Act, the single
largest green energy investment in
American history. this is a great day
because this is a balanced bill.
>> Expressively to progressives, Mansion
[music] was just a constant irritant.
Consequentially, he was the Democrat's
most remarkable overperformer. He made
their majority [music] possible by
winning elections. No Democrat should
have been able to win.
>> In a state that the president in the
previous election won by 42 points, the
opposite [cheering] party wins. Never
happened. Never happened.
The most important question the party
needed to be asking in that era was
where do they find more Joe [music]
Mansions? How do they make more Joe
Mansions possible?
But today's Democratic party,
particularly its [music] online culture,
has taken forms of disagreement and
difference it once held inside its tent
and pushed them outside.
>> West Virginia's most prominent Democrat
changed his registration to independent
today. There are very fewer and fewer
people like you in the Senate. I mean,
is that
>> a lot of my colleagues say, "Thank God."
>> Yes, they would. Including some in your
former party.
>> Oh, many in my former party. [laughter]
>> In [music] 2010, when the Affordable
Care Act passed, the crucial vote in the
Senate came from Ben Nelson, a pro-life
Democrat.
>> After winning fresh concessions to limit
the availability of abortions,
>> but I would have not voted for this bill
and would not vote for this bill without
those provisions. There were then
roughly 40 pro-life Democrats serving in
[music] the House. Crafting compromises
across these disagreements was hard, but
Democrats were able to pass Obamacare,
[music] which expanded reproductive
health coverage and remains the greatest
Democratic policy accomplishment of the
21st century.
>> We are done. [cheering]
That same Democratic party with all of
its internal disagreements, it had the
votes to confirm Supreme Court justices
who [music] would and did in their time
protect Row.
I've been in a debate recently about
whether Democrats should run pro-life
candidates in red states in much the way
that Republicans run pro-choice
candidates like Susan Collins and Larry
Hogan in blue [music] states. I think I
was taken aback to hear people say in
response to this argument that I just
wanted to throw reproductive rights
overboard. So, I want to say [music]
this clearly.
No, I don't. I thought past episodes
I've done on abortion, episodes I've
done in the context of what my own
family has been through should have
shown that. But what I want [music] is a
Democratic party big enough and strong
enough to protect reproductive rights.
And I feel our politics on this have
failed because they have failed. We
cannot protect or restore [music]
reproductive freedom if the coalition
that cares about that [music] cannot
compete in more places. But this point
is not about any [music] one issue. It's
about a broader approach to politics.
Different places have different politics
and to win in them, politicians have to
represent the people who live in them.
That means representing views Democrats
now find to be [music] anathema on
immigration or guns or trade or climate
or trans rights. But one worry I have
about Democrats right [music] now is
that they do not want to confront how
much of the country truly deeply
disagrees with them. Polls show that the
percentage of voters saying the
Democratic party is too liberal
increased sharply between 2012 and 2024.
The percentage of voters saying the
Republican party is too conservative
[music] fell during that same period.
Even now, after the aggression and the
[music] outrages and the violations of
Trump's second administration, that gap
has not [music] fully closed.
I would like to believe that all
Democrats need to do to win back these
voters is embrace an agenda I'm already
comfortable with. Economic populism or
abundance [music]
or both. But I don't think it's true. A
study by the Center for Working-Class
[music] Politics found that in key
Rusfeld states, when you attached the
Democratic label to a candidate running
on an economic populist platform, that
candidate lost 11 to 16 [music] points
in support. That's how Sherid Brown,
once one of the strongest economic
populists in the party, lost his Ohio
Senate seat to a Republican car dealer
who had to settle more than a dozen
lawsuits for wage theft.
Jared Golden is a Democrat from Maine.
In 2024, he edged out a victory in a
district Donald Trump won by nearly 10
points. Working [music] with Republicans
to secure the border and standing with
law enforcement against defunding the
police. I'm Jared Golden and I approve
this [music] message because you deserve
a congressman as independent as you.
>> No other Democrat in Congress, not one,
has survived in such a proTrump
district. He is declaring victory,
admitting it was his toughest election
yet.
>> Now, in what strikes me as an absolutely
insane turn of events, Golden is facing
a primary challenge. Golden even said he
was okay with Donald Trump becoming
[music] president again.
>> Instead of learning from Democrats like
Golden, Democrats who are successfully
representing voters [music]
who are otherwise moving towards Donald
Trump, some progressives want to purge
him
>> because we can do better than bad and
worse. I don't think the Democratic
Party should just move right. [music] It
is good in my view that AOC and Zoran
Mandani run as Democrats and that Bernie
Sanders has become a leader in the
Democratic party. It is good that you
can be an outandout [music] Democratic
socialist in today's Democratic party.
But what happened over the past 15 years
is the Democratic Party [music]
made room on its left and closed down on
its right for all the talk of a Democrat
should learn from Sanders or Mamdani.
[music] And it should learn things from
Sanders and Mamdani. There should be at
least as much talk of what they should
learn from Joe Mansion or Jared Golden
or Marie Gusen Perez.
>> People are valid in their anger
and it's it is a fool's errand to try to
talk somebody out of their [music]
feelings.
That is not that's not a good idea. But
you also can affirm the validity of
their feelings and also
present a productive strategy for
resolving
some of those
the drivers of of of that anger or that
fear
>> or Sarah McBride.
>> You can't foster social change if you
don't have a conversation. You can't
change people if you exclude them. And I
will just say you can't have absolutism
on the left or the right
without authoritarianism.
Right? The fact that we have real
disagreements, the fact that we [music]
have difficult conversations, the fact
that we have painful conversations is
not a a a bug of democracy. It's a
feature of democracy.
And yes, that is hard and and difficult.
But again, how can we expect that the
process of overcoming marginalization is
going to be fair? The Democratic Party
should be seeking more, not less
internal disagreement. It should treat
that disagreement as more welcome. It
should be looking for a gut level
affinity with more of this country.
Moderating on this or that issue is more
straightforward than finding ways
[music] to radiate respect and interest
in people who disagree with you and
people you've come to feel far away
from. [music] It is the building of
genuine relationships in politics, not
the taking of positions [music] that is
truly hard.
But that's also the part that is
beautiful. It's [music] a privilege to
do that work, not a concession.
We are more able to admit complexity and
extend generosity when we see others as
part of our community. Working to widen
that circle of empathy, [music]
to widen our circle of belonging is both
morally and politically [music] good.
Whatever the problems are on the left,
there is something truly frightening
brewing on the right.
>> Putting aside the tribal interest for
the corporate interest, that's
absolutely the case. And that's the only
way the country's going to stay
together. Exactly. That's my concern
>> and I absolutely agree with you. I would
say though that
the main challenge to that, a big
challenge to that is organized jewelry
in America.
>> Paul Gracia, President Donald Trump's
nominee to lead the Office of Special
Counsel, not a small job, said on a text
thread leaked to Politico that he had a
quote Nazi streak. A separate text
thread of young Republican leaders
leaked to Politico had messages about
sending enemies to the gas chambers and
one saying quote I love Hitler
and Gracia had to withdraw his
nomination but Vice President JD Vance
has dismissed coverage of the young
Republicans messages as pearl clutching
and I really don't want us to grow up in
a country where a kid telling a stupid
joke telling a very offensive stupid
joke is caused to ruin their lives.
>> Look, I don't want to ruin anybody's
life either. But these were recent
statements by adults who are vying for
leadership in political organizations
with official ties [music] to the
Republican party.
There is no rule of civic generosity or
political practice that Trumpism has not
broken. And for many I know on the left,
it's [music] created a sense that there
is no sense in trying to appeal to the
median voter. No sense in moderation.
[cheering]
no sense in any of the old rules of
politics.
Look at how extreme the right has
become. Yet, they have thrived in this
telling Trump understands what the
Democrats don't. Nothing matters anymore
except detention.
But a few things are wrong with that.
Trump did moderate the Republican party
in crucial areas. Medicare, [music]
Social Security, trade. And the simple
truth is Democrats can't win the [music]
way Trump and the Republicans do. Trump
and the Republicans lead a coalition
built on overwhelming strength in rural
counties. America's placebased politics
gives rural places disproportionate
[music]
political power. Trump and Republicans
can hold power with a smaller coalition
than Democrats can.
And then [music] there's this. Democrats
shouldn't want to win the way
Republicans do. [music] This country
could break. The abyss is dark and it is
deep. And America, like other countries,
has fallen into it before and can again.
I see [music] the simple fact of a free
and fair politics as much more of an
achievement, something much more
precious and difficult to preserve. I no
[music] longer take it or the habits of
citizenship or politics that preserve it
for granted. [music] We cannot trust
that providence or some innate American
exceptionalism [music]
protects us from calamity. It doesn't.
Over [music]
the past year, I have found myself
obsessively reading histories of
liberalism, looking for something, even
though I didn't know exactly what.
Illberalism is winning right now.
But there's nothing unusual about that.
By modern standards, virtually every
past society was illiberal.
That we now call them illiberal. that
exclusion and domination and state
suppression have been made strange
enough to demand a label. That is the
unlikely achievement. [music]
But how did liberalism do it? For most
of my life, when I called myself a
liberal, I [music] meant basically
someone who believed in universal
healthcare and the right to form a union
and racial equality and social security.
But in its oldest forms, liberalism was
built on a virtue that we rarely talk
about today. To the ancient [music]
Romans, being free required more than a
republican constitution. It also
required citizens who practice
liberalas, [music]
which referred to a noble and generous
way of thinking and acting [music]
towards one's fellow citizens. The word
liberalas became liberality. Liberality
proposed, it demanded [music]
a different way of relating across
disagreement and division. It flowered
into [music] religious tolerance when
that idea was truly radical.
It built towards liberalism's great
insight. [music] Liberalism's first
idea. Conflict of interests and beliefs
was to the liberal mind inescapable.
[snorts] If tamed and turned to
competition [music] in a stable
political order, conflict could
nevertheless bear fruit as argument,
[music] experiment, and exchange. Today,
finding ways to turn our disagreements
[music]
into exchange, into something fruitful
rather than something destructive
seems almost fanciful. I saw a poll a
few weeks ago that struck me. It asked
Americans what they thought the top
problem facing the country was. Number
one was the economy. This is what I
expected. But number two wasn't
immigration or inflation or democracy or
even Donald Trump. It was political
division. In that same poll, 64% of the
country said they think we're too
divided to solve our problems anymore.
[music] They're not wrong. Right now,
the project of America feels to many
impossible. And not just on the left. I
hear it every time JD Vance or Steven
Miller [music] speaks. I hear it when
Trump says,
>> "I hate my opponent
and I don't want the best for them. I'm
sorry."
>> When I hear that, I hear something
scary. But I also hear an opening, an
opportunity.
I keep coming back to something Craig
writes. The moral consensus of a free
state is not something mysteriously
prior [music] to or above politics.
It is the activity, the civilizing
activity of politics itself,
something to be valued almost as a pearl
[music] beyond price.
In America, for all our sins, our
injustice, our oppression,
a freer state emerged through the
practice of [music] politics. It did not
do so painlessly. It did not do so
[music] bloodlessly, but it did happen.
And for a time, it gave us confidence in
ourselves and in our system.
It showed what could emerge from genuine
relationships between [music] people who
are genuinely other people.
And I think it [music] still could again
[music]
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Ask follow-up questions or revisit key timestamps.
The video discusses the current challenges faced by the Democratic Party in the United States, arguing that it needs to move beyond internal divisions and focus on genuine representation and relationship-building across the country. The speaker critiques the influence of online culture, nationalized media, and the professional political class, suggesting that these factors have pushed the party into an 'algorithmic thunderdome' that prioritizes performative politics over actual engagement with diverse voters. The core argument is that the party must embrace internal disagreement as a feature of democracy, look to represent people in places they have lost touch with, and recover the liberal tradition of 'liberality'—a generous way of relating across difference—to build a lasting majority and preserve the democratic order.
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