The $1/Hour Robot Is Coming: Four Industry Leaders Explain What’s Next
2140 segments
Hey everybody, it's your boy Jay Cal.
I'm here in Paris, [music] France at a
conference called Machina. It's
basically AI in the real world. [music]
[music]
Pardon my robot.
Thanks for tuning in and uh let's get
started. I'm going all in.
>> Apploven started with an $8 domain and
no VC funding and became one of the
largest ad platforms in the world. Now
that same engine powers AppL ads for
e-commerce. Your ads run inside mobile
games reaching over a billion people
with full screen distraction-free
attention. The platform finds buyers and
optimizes for profit. You set the
target, it does the rest. One cookware
brand went from$4 million to $16
million, turned profitable, and is on
pace for 80 million this year. Visit
apploven.com/allin
to launch your first campaign today.
[music]
>> All right, everybody. Our interviews
with the number one companies in
robotics today continue here in Paris.
Really excited to have Dr. Peter
Funkhouser on the program. You're the
co-founder and CEO of Anyotics. Uh you
make the ENM mo. Get it? A lot of you
have puns. Uh but you've been working in
this uh space for close to 20 years. The
company's been around for 10. First five
years kind of a research lab. Last 5
years your what do you call these dog
based robots?
>> Well, it's an inspection solution,
right? It's about data collection and
understanding in critical
infrastructure.
>> But the form factor is
>> a four-legged robot or a dog as you We
like to call it a dog Obot, but
>> why did that dog format become the
standard? You're not the only person
making it. There's many people making it
now.
Why did that one become the first one to
hit, you know, relative scale and for a
deployment?
>> Yeah, in nature, you know, a lot of
animals have four legs, so there's a
reason to that. So, for sure, you have a
great mobility. You can climb stairs.
You can go anywhere a person can go. So
dexterity and balance,
>> mobility, right? Balance, but also
stability. Four legs if you wide
footprint, a lot of footooth holes hold
on to because we work in nasty
environments, slippery floors, there's,
you know, rainforming, this snow falling
down, grass growing. So four legs is a
real good format.
>> Well, now this is a silly question, but
why don't we make cenotars
for the human versions when people are
making the Optimus, the Neo, the Atlas
from Boston Dynamics, those standup
robots.
with two legs. The concern is they're
always going to fall over. They
constantly fall over in demos and if
they fall over, they're going to break
somebody's ankle. Why not put four legs
on those?
>> You could absolutely. And it really
depends on the use case. If you need to
work, bring, you know, I don't know, in
a coffee shop, bring it to there's
narrower spaces, right? You want to work
in eye level. Maybe a humanoid is
better. In the facility that we work for
leg stability, there's enough space to
go around. Yeah. It's the perfect
format.
>> I don't buy I think all the cafes should
have are they were they cenotars in uh
Greek mythology.
>> It's a century.
I think that should be the new standard.
You found a really effective first use
case which is inspecting
really important infrastructure and now
you have thousands of these hundreds of
these for hundreds for deployed over the
last five years.
>> Yeah.
>> These are expensive. They're low
hundreds of thousands of dollars to buy
them. Yeah.
>> And to operate them, I'm assuming tens
of thousands a year in service
contracts.
>> So, they're not for home use.
>> These are industrial and they have a lot
of sensors on them. So, if you were
going to inspect, I don't know, a
pipeline with natural gas in it.
>> Right.
>> These things can go out in any weather
and they can sense things on that
pipeline that a human can't. Correct.
>> Yeah, that's right. For us, it's not
about labor replacement, right? It's
what can we do better? What can we do?
Super human. Inspection is a great
example. Our eyes and ears don't
perceive all the signals. Micro gas
leakages, temperature equipment
overheating with the cameras on the
robot, thermal cameras, acoustic, you
know, microphones, gas concentrations
and all of that. We pack it full of
sensors and AI and you can go way beyond
what a human can do. So, the monetary
benefit is avoiding downtime. These
assets, if they stop, they lose revenues
in hundreds of thousands per hour. So
every minute, every hour we can save
them essentially pays for the robots. So
that's why we can afford having really
expensive sensors, really expensive GPUs
on top of a robot.
>> Yeah, these have seriously powerful
compute on them,
>> right?
>> And they have to have a significant
amount of battery power then. So these
things can do a mission of what? An hour
or two?
>> Two hours an hour docking station to
come back charge. But they do this over
and over. Some of our customers run
these missions 40 times a day. 14
>> 14 five four because they're interested
in a specific point when the electric
arc furnace goes up. They want to know
in that minute what's happening.
>> Too dangerous to send in a person.
Thermal cameras burned. They need a
robot that right at that moment.
>> Got it. And they have to charge not hot
swapping the batteries.
>> No, you want hands-free autonomy. Nobody
should even be bothered that there's a
robot. They don't care about the robot.
Actually, they don't even want the
robot. They want the data. They want the
insights. The robot is a means to an end
to collect the data precisely. At what
point can you offload the very um power
hungry compute
>> and put it in the cloud?
>> We also do that. There's always two
parts. There's parts that need to run
real time on the robot because you also
cannot guarantee connectivity, obstacle
avoidance, data quality, making sure you
have the right thing. If you upload a
blurry image to the cloud, it's too
late.
>> But in the cloud, of course, you do
contextual analysis, historic downtime
analysis, etc.
>> Are people asking for these to be able
to operate for 24 hours yet or 12 hours?
No, for sure. So the maximum is in the I
8 hour range. So it has enough time for
charging. If you need to go beyond that,
that's rare. There's diminishing returns
to more frequently do it. But you have
to manage. They do it manually today,
maybe once or twice a day. And they get
eight, 15, 20 times now, right? So it's
already the frequency goes massively up.
>> Yeah.
>> Without putting people into harm's way,
plus the quality is so much higher.
>> What's the most fascinating science
fiction uh deployment you have currently
with these? Yeah. I mean, what's really
exciting any anything offshore, right?
People fly out with helicopters. Every
helicopter flight costs in the tens of
thousands. So, but if you're offshore,
it's very tricky, right? It needs to
work. There's almost no people around.
It needs to be fly.
>> These are oil rigs.
>> Oil and and wind energy offshore as
well.
>> Ah, yes.
>> But wait a second. These things don't
operate in the water. So, how do they
work with windmills in the ocean?
>> There's windmills around hundreds of
them. They come together to a
transformer station. Ah
>> that transforms to AC to DC before it
trans and that's a manned facility
typically a big converter. This is where
the robot operates.
>> Got it. Can they operate like in severe
conditions like the Antarctic and stuff
like that and have you deployed them
there yet?
>> Well in Norway for sure. So that's - 20°
in deserts plus 40 50 60°. Right. So
that's exactly the point where you want
to send in a robot. temperatures, dust,
humidity, but most importantly, we have
a robot now that goes into explosive
atmospheres where there's, you know, in
oil and gas and chemicals, methane in
the air. You're not allowed to, you
know, create a spark. So, we built a
special robot that's guaranteed not to
create a spark.
>> This is where you don't want to have
people, but for a machine, that's a
perfect case, right? Dangerous
environment. This is where we're sending
robots in.
>> That's fascinating. So if you're in the
Peran basin and something's leaking,
>> that is one of the most dangerous these
oil rigs and gas leaks. This is where
people seriously die.
>> Yes. And you don't want you want to know
when it's happening, but you don't want
to create a problem. So that's a perfect
case.
>> I mean, I'm going to keep going sci-fi,
but dropping these things into the
bottom of the ocean seems like a
no-brainer at some point.
>> Well, there's submarines, right? We we
don't do that right now, but I agree,
right? Robots should work in
environments where people shouldn't be
dangerous, remotes, right? boring
repetitive task. This is what we
>> that's a different form factor right
now. But there are people creating on
the surface and then under the surface
slightly under the surface, right,
robots that are doing essentially not
inspections but monitoring systems for
obviously the military. Um well, if
you're out there inspecting and there's
a gas leak
and it's dangerous to
um send humans out there, when are you
going to put some uh equipment on these
to fix the goddamn leak while you're out
there? And that must be the holy grail,
is it not?
>> Yeah. Once you can detect a problem,
customer ask, can you solve it? Can you
fix it? Can you turn? Not today. You
know, in a demo, yes. But in reality
getting to 99.9% reliability in
explosive atmosphere that's still in
development first step is closed levers
open cabinets eventually you want to
have by manual manipulation maybe three
four arms to fix the machine right
that's still you know AI will help us
there still a lot of work ahead of us so
a lot of the demos you see of humanoids
folding laundry that's a very controlled
environment once you're outdoor in a
hail storm right um freezing
temperatures it's different also for
perception but eventually we foresee the
future that this will be solved
>> what percentage of Your robot is sourced
from China.
>> Zero. So that's
>> 0%.
>> Yeah.
>> And is that because in the EU and Norway
it's banned or that's a choice?
>> That happened just historically that we
source locally and you get chips from
the US etc. And for some of our
customers it's important and we built a
lot ourselves right because we started
10 years ago. So a lot of the
architecture nowadays you get cheaper
components around the globe. So it's
about being smart where you get
components from, which one are active,
which one are just metals. Um, so for
sure it's a it's a hard world to
navigate, but tapping into the
commoditization of certain hardware that
makes sense for us costwise.
>> Who's specializing in that outside of
China now? Is it Vietnam, India, Taiwan?
Where can you source like the actuators
and and a lot of this
>> for sure? China is number one pushing.
There's good companies in Europe, right?
In the US as well. So these three
regions for sure if it's just about
labor assembly you can go elsewhere as
well but you want to get the core
expertise somebody who builds that
component.
>> Got it. And how do you look at China
now? They've been stealing the IP. I'm
assuming they've stolen yours already.
Um and certainly other people's IP is
being stolen at scale in China and
they're building robots that are going
to be 80% cheaper and they're going to
try to deploy them to the same customer
base. I am certain. How are you thinking
about the threat of Chinese robotics?
>> If you look at the robot from China
today, that device is a piece of
hardware that can walk beautifully.
Great engineering. Love it. Do back
flips. Yeah. But they're not solving the
problem. Our customers don't compare a
platform to the full solution that we
have. Do you need autonomy, inspection,
intelligence, the workflow integration,
so much more, right? It's just a
hardware difference.
>> So the harness, the wrapper, the
services around it, they're not
providing that.
>> And then the trust in the data, right?
We call very sensitive data. We have ISO
certification for cyber security, all
these topics, right? So that's how we
compete.
>> So you might not want to send the
nuclear power plants latest uh data to
the Chinese Communist Party. You're
saying
>> you don't want to have 15 cameras in
your critical infrastructure that
somebody else controls.
>> Yeah, I'm being a bit facicious, but uh
>> it's happening today. Yeah,
>> but it's there's data leakage. Talk to
me about military applications.
>> Yeah,
>> NATO is uh having to arm itself. I
apologize on behalf of the United States
uh for our stance with NATO, but you
guys have to pay up and pay your fair
share. You've agreed to do that, but I
think there's a perception in Europe,
you can tell me if I'm wrong, and in
NATO that you may have to go it maybe
without the United States. You may need
to build your own military uh products
and services.
Do you not need to be in the military
space? And do you not to take the same
applications and build military
applications? But are you doing that
yet?
>> Yeah. So I think there's a
responsibility in Europe to build
technologies to be able to in
>> you believe that personally.
>> Yes. However, for any botics we built
and we went down one track there's
tremendous poll. So today we're not
doing it not intend to do it right and
it's also a different product at that
stage probably right. It sounds very
easy just take four legs and do military
you need to go a couple of steps for
what exactly you're doing different
communications different autonomy. So
we're not doing it but I mean I think
there's a responsibility to do it for
others. Is it never say never for you uh
or is it you're dead set on like you
have a mission you're not going to build
military product
>> for us today the mission is clear we
started with non-military this is where
we're headed
>> got it but if the EU asks you and you
>> ask I mean we get you know requests but
it's also honest truth are we solving
actually the problem just shipping a
robot to the military doesn't solve the
problem yet we really need to go deep so
you would need a different team to do
that our team
>> really you need a different team
>> well seems Like you could do the same
team and build military applications.
>> No, autonomy is very different, right?
So for example, we do autonomy. You have
time to set up a robot and it does
inspections all of that. In military,
it's about millisecond being in right
remote control human in the loop.
Different communications, different
autonomy. Then everything on top
application software very different.
>> Yes, you could lose a four-legged robot
to also go into a house.
>> That's about it, right? The rest is
different.
>> How do you think about robots that are
armed? Clearly, China has done
demonstrations of these same type of,
you know, four-legged robots with guns
on them. And obviously with AI, these
Terminator scenarios are here.
>> Yeah,
>> they're being built in China already.
Yeah,
>> we've seen drones on the battlefield in
Ukraine. Norway is not far away from
Russia. It's
>> it's not that close, but it's not that
far away either. How do you think about
the fact that communist countries are
building these robots that have weapons
on them?
>> Yeah,
>> I personally don't like it. I hate it. I
think it's concerned, right? I mean, as
an engineer, you should have pride,
right, to build technology for good.
Defense is one part. The active attack,
putting a gun on it, it's just risky.
These technologies getting mature, but
they're not that mature that you would
put somebody else in in harm's way.
>> Yeah, it is. the enemy we're going to be
faced is going to do this and we need to
monitor it. What is the buzz inside the
industry about this? When you're out
with other people in the industry,
>> you know, what do you know that we don't
know about what's happening in those
authoritarian countries with robotics
and the military?
>> I think these are all very early tests.
If I look at those videos, these are
demonstrations. Got it.
>> I've not seen these types of robot act
drones. Yes, Ukraine. that came out of
necessity that that was a mature
category that was used in robotics.
Actually to the people I speak to I mean
four years ago we wrote a letter
together with our friends at Boston
Dynamics and others right who condemn
the weaponization of robots for exactly
that reason that
>> as engineers we don't want to see it
being used and we think it's just
dangerous and risky and stupid.
>> Yeah. All right. Listen, continued
success. All right everybody, really
excited to have Bert Borick here. He is
the founder and CEO of 1X. If you know
1X, they make the Neo. The Neo is a
household robot. You've sold a lot of
pre-orders and you guaranteed people
this would make it and would ship in
2026 into their homes. What does it
cost? And are you going to hit your
self-imposed deadline?
>> You got to keep your promises. Okay.
>> So, we will ship in 2026.
>> Okay.
>> Now, expectation managing here. It'll be
slow in the beginning. We want to do it
right. Yes. But there will be a handful
of customers that get their Neo in 2026
and I'm so excited and I can't wait.
>> What is the cost of the Neo?
>> So that's an interesting one because it
depends a bit. Um I mean when we
launched the pre-order we had two
different payment models. You had a kind
of like early adopter upfront full
payment um and then we had a
subscription fee and the product of
course is going through a lot of
development. So how this subscription
model will look and these things are
kind of like still evolving
>> and we want to figure that out also a
bit together with our customers in the
beginning but another big one now is we
haven't really announced this yet but uh
I've dripped it in a bit
>> which is we are going to allow a lot of
people to build on Neo so we are also
launching Neo as a platform
>> yes I'm thinking app store of such or a
skill store so if I have it in my home
and I want to make a salad you as a
hacker could make the salad salad skill
and I can buy and subscribe to your
salad skill. Yeah,
>> that will be part of it. But to me, NEO
and 1X is about so much more than just
consumer, right? So consumer is an
incredibly important market, but 1X has
always been about how do we create an
abundance of labor across society
through these humanoids. And I sincerely
believe that we have a platform now
which is so uniquely capable and so well
situated that allowing people to build
on this will open up how to use Neo
across all of our society not just in
homes right
>> but it will also benefit the consumer
because this will mean there will be
more things developed on Neo and part of
that will be an app store targeted
towards consumer which we're very
excited about but also it will just be
in general how do you create a bigger
ecosystem that can just accelerate the
autonomy and accelerate the path to
actually having a fully autonomous agent
at home that can do it.
>> What was the pre-order? 20K or
something. I'm trying to remember.
>> So, we have we haven't given out
official numbers, but it's pretty
significant. We s we sold out the first
10K in uh the first few days.
>> Oh, so people put a deposit down for
that. They'll have the ability to fully
uh so sort of like the Tesla $500
deposit or 500 a month, a,000 a month,
something in that range. Yeah, 500 a
month.
>> 500 a month. So, this is for, if I were
to think of a parallel Google glasses or
the Vision Pro. This is for high-end
folks who are the Vanguard, who are the
earliest of the early adopters. Yeah,
>> 100%. I mean, we tried to be very
transparent about this. Getting a home
humanoid in 2026 is going to be rough
around the edges,
>> right? They're going to fall.
>> They're going to fall, right? Uh but I
am very happy to say that I think we
will actually be able to ship something
that's very close to full autonomy
>> which we did not want to promise when we
launched this because it was too early
but and I I'm not going to fully promise
it yet but the way it's trending now it
looks like we will be able to ship an
experience that is fully autonomous
>> and that is still quite useful. Now, if
you want everything to just work out of
the box day one, then there will be some
teleoperation involved or some guidance
of the system. But a thing that really
excites me these days is that we're
seeing the path now to actually shipping
something that if you want it, it can be
a fully autonomous experience
>> and it's getting pretty darn good. The
tea operating is fascinating to me. I
don't know if you saw this, but in New
York there was a chicken sandwich shop.
couldn't find um a cashier. So, they
hired somebody in Manila in the
Philippines for, you know, $3 an hour,
which is a huge salary for a for a
cashier in the Philippines. And they had
her on a Zoom call. They just popped up
Zoom, acted it themselves,
>> and you could order and if you had a
customer service issue, you just talked
to her and she was like, "Hey, I'm right
here."
>> That is in some ways what you'll be able
to do with your robot. You'll have
somebody in the Philippines who you'll
be able to tap into who'll be able to
turn it on and when you say, "Hey, pour
me a glass of orange juice." That person
will be able to remotely do that task.
Is is that what I'm envisioning here
correctly or incorrectly?
>> I think it will all happen. So so so
back to how the platform works, right?
So let me just back up and spend like
two minutes on that. So if you think
about Neo as a platform, so if you want
to build your orange shop around this
orange juice shop that okay, you buy a
bunch of Neos, you get Neos, you get the
robot operating system with like the
fleet management and all that. You also
get the data collection equipment which
is gloves that have the same tactile
sensors as Neos, the same vision system,
and you can gather data in your shop,
>> right? fine-tune our model with within
our system where we kind of like we do
all the cap dense captioning of the data
for we you like we do all that you fine
tune your model you deploy this and you
get this working and now you have a
fully automated shop and you're very
happy that's one path
maybe that doesn't quite work so you say
ah I'm going to have someone intervene
sometimes in tallyop and then your data
gets better that's one way of doing it
right there's many ways of gathering
data
>> or maybe you're just saying like you
know what this is super complicated I
just want it fully talked. That's also
fine. Depends on how you want to apply
this.
>> Um, and the platform goes all the way
from like these kind of like developers
that just want to automate their
workflow all the way to the more
foundation labs that want to deploy
their models. So there's also a world
where you can run someone else's model
on Neo. We're going to allow that, I
think. Uh,
>> so you're going to be an open platform.
You'll be in a way headless to the
knowledge inside of it. You'll be able
to plug in if OpenAI has a world model
or Claude or some of the other
independent world models, they'll be
able to be plugged in. Yeah,
>> 100%. Now, I sincerely believe that our
model will be the best one.
>> Sure.
>> And I believe in competition. So, if we
that actually control everything from
the manufacturing all the way up to the
product can't make the best model, then
we kind of failed.
>> Yeah.
>> Uh but will we allow other people's to
build on this? 100%. And one of the big
reasons for this is that currently if
you look at where this where the field
is, there is no one general model that
solves everything for robotics. It's not
there yet,
>> right? And if we are stuck in our
customers kind of like backyards helping
them integrate towards ERP solutions and
everything else the next couple years,
we are not going to get there. What we
want to do is to work on the general
problem. How do we solve embodied AGI so
we can actually create an abundance of
labor? And
>> this requires us to focus on the general
problem and then allow other people to
also help apply what is available today
and to help build the ecosystem. Right?
If we get this enormous robotics
ecosystem, we all benefit.
>> Yeah. And I could see some applications
where one TA operator, let's say this
was a convenience store robot that just
help you carry stuff out to your car.
That might only happen once every hour.
You could have one tea operator or maybe
you have 10 of them that are monitoring
30 40 Neos and they control them
remotely and help people move the
groceries to their car. Yeah,
>> personally actually I'm I'm like I have
a use case for Neo. Okay,
>> in Talop, which is I'm part of the time
in Norway, mostly in San Francisco area
now, but part of the time in Norway and
I'm also kind of like conventions like
this, right? And when I'm out traveling,
I want to be able to be present and run
my company through Neo.
>> Yes.
>> Put the hat on Neo. I am Neo. And that's
actually pretty magical. And you can I
can go around. I can pick up the parts.
I can look at the parts. I can talk to
people. I can be in the meetings. Right.
And so that's one application of
teleoperation that I think actually will
never go away. Like no matter how good
your autonomy is, that will still be
there.
>> Yeah. Your avatar at your factory in
Shenzhen.
>> 100%.
>> Yeah. And you know there are other
applications like this where
remote power stations where there's no
one within like an hour of driving. You
have a robot standing in the closet and
something goes wrong and you go out and
you like flip the old switches and you
do the things
>> like you're likely not going to automate
that because it's kind of like a one-off
thing that happens every few months.
Right.
>> Right. So,
>> but it's worth having that robot in that
space out in the middle of the forest
near, you know, those power lines or
power converters. They can go out
within, you know, minutes and and work.
>> Essentially like what used to be called
like expert in place, like this concept
of like you can take the world's best
expert and tell teleport them to
anywhere in the world to help solve a
situation
>> like a surgeon. Yeah.
>> Yeah. It's it's super useful. I do think
that what we've experienced over the
last year is first of all that
Neo has become so capable especially
with the new hands that teleoperation
does not fully use the hardware like
you're not able to get the tele
operation to be good enough to fully
utilize the hardware.
>> Uh so the fidelity of the hand is
greater than a teller operator is able
to leverage.
>> Yes. Right. The teleoperator will not
feel the same as the robot is feeling
for example. Right. then you need to
build full haptic systems and they're
going to slow you down and be slow and
clunky and like so we're increasingly
seeing that gathering data with humans
just wearing the sensors of the robot in
as transparent a manner as possible. So
like they should not disturb what you
are doing right that's the most useful
data to solve kind of baseline dexterity
on the robot but even more importantly
the big bet that we made which is this
decade long bet in 1x is if you get the
robot to be similar enough to a human
then you can train on all of the
available video data out there of
humans.
>> Yes.
>> And we're starting to see some very good
proof that this is actually working
incredibly well. And that's the reason
we started the WX World Model Lab
because we now finally have the scaling
loss on that. And we're seeing that this
>> take us inside that take us inside the
lab. You are you having people in
factories wear glasses, wear your hands,
and do their tasks over and over again?
Are you working with the micro ones of
the world to go do you know real world
stuff and outsourcing like unique
proprietary data that you can have that
other companies don't? How does the
world model get built at scale?
>> So so so first of all yes we do that and
if you but that's not the main point. So
I think ultimately it's very simple
right the model is going to be as good
as the data.
>> Yeah. And if you think about the data
pyramid then on the top you have like
tele operation data very high quality
small fine tuned data set where actually
what we do is you will have the operator
try to do the task very well and very
fast and they will often fail and then
just try again and then we pick the good
samples where they did the task as good
as a human would right
>> you don't need a lot of that data it's
just to align your model then you have
the data which is what you're talking
about with like put the sensors on the
human go and gather data.
>> Yeah,
>> you have more of that and it's very
close to the robot but it's not the
robot. The telea is the robot. This is
not the robot but it's close.
>> Then you have egocentric video from
humans point of view. So that is further
away from the robot but it's still quite
close because the robot hands is the
same as human hands and like it looks
the same and so it's quite close.
>> And then you have general video data.
>> Yes.
>> Of the world. or the world in general
and of people, right? And because Neo is
so similar to a human, we can actually
utilize all of that data. Now, the
bottom layer in the pyramid, which is
this video data, general video data is
absolutely
ludicrously immense compared to anything
else.
>> It's YouTube, it's everything. So if you
look at what is needed to actually
achieve true intelligence,
>> you need multiple orders of magnitude
more data than anyone is even close to
collecting over the next few years with
egocentric data or with this sensor
data.
>> Got it?
>> And all of the major breakthroughs that
we've seen as far as I'm aware of in AI
have been because someone figured out
how to use a huge new data source that
previously we were not able to use. you
unlock some new set of data and now your
model capability greatly improves.
>> Well, you've got a lot of people out
there trying to find data like that is
like one of the
>> gonna take years. So, it's it's like a
catch 22. So, our big bet is you have to
be able to utilize the general video
data out there.
>> Yeah.
>> And the only way to do that is you have
to care about every single tiny detail
of the robot to be as close to human as
possible. Like you know like the flesh
and tissue and skin Yeah.
>> is highly nonlinear. So like how much
force for it to deform? What's the
friction?
>> Like what is the impact energy when
touching the table?
>> And people have different size hands. I
mean literally in the NBA there's a
wingspan as a concept and people with a
wide wingspan, longer arms than the
average person get paid 20% more for
having that extra two or three inches of
wingspan. It's pretty fascinating when
you think about it.
>> That that's a really good way of saying
it. Wingspan. We've always we've always
called it for the the the gorilla
coefficient. Yes. Long arms.
>> Yeah.
>> Yeah. If you
>> But but anyway, yeah. So, my point is,
yes, we do all of these things, but
ultimately what differentiates 1X from
all of the other robotics companies is
that we are all in on pre-training our
own models on this video data on the
internet.
>> Yes.
>> And that our cross embodiment is not
another robot. Our cross embodiment is
the human.
>> And we want to be as close to that as
possible because that solves the catch
22. In the end, all the data will be
robotics data because a robotic data has
it has the actions, it has the tactile,
it has the forces, it's better. But the
only way to get all of that data is to
create a base model that is good enough
that you can deploy all these robots
across society and they will do useful
things that people pay for and also
gather the data. When do the robots
become recursive in nature and they are
teaching themselves, building themselves
and like we're seeing with large
language models now where people
creating agents instead of giving it
prompts and instructions we're now
starting to say well here are the goals
here's a loop you are one agent that you
know identifies for a business potential
customers okay you're the agent that
does customer success and here's what
that looks like you're the agent that uh
you know does pricing of products and
those agents start working in concert.
We're starting to see that in knowledge
work. When does that come to robotics
where you don't have to actually worry
about making the robots better? They're
sentient enough to use a word. Perhaps
not accurate, but they know what their
mission is. You've given them the goal.
Hey, you're working in a Michelin
starred restaurant. your goal is to make
the most delightful food with this level
of fidelity and perfection. Um, and here
are the outcomes. And it says, "Okay,
I've just got to get better at, you
know, uh, poaching these eggs to to
really be great at this."
>> It's kind of sci-fi.
>> No, no, it's not sci-fi. It's actually
something we think a lot about, but it's
also incredibly hard to answer because,
you know,
>> the development now is going like this
and you're here on the curve. So when
you asked me a year ago, I was way more
bearish on how long far along we would
be today on the AI
>> and like every time I kind of sample
things have moved faster than I think.
So it's easy to get like carried away,
right? But I think if I try to answer it
broadly, I am extremely sure that we're
less than a decade away from hard
takeoff. And when I say hard takeoff, I
mean robots building the robots, the
data centers, the chip fabs, doing the
mining and refining.
actually a true abundance of labor, a
self-sufficient system that is just
>> under 10 years.
>> Under 10 years, my current bet would be
3 years.
>> Got it.
>> But like if it takes 10 like in the in
the history of humanity, right? It's
still like a blip. It doesn't really
matter. That gets back to like what is
1x, right? Because
>> and you call this the industry term hard
launch or
>> hard takeoff.
>> Hard takeover.
>> Takeoff. Not take over. We're going to
do it right. So it's going to be hard
take off. Hard takeover. Yes.
>> But you know
I've heard the term right this is a
industry term
>> RG and you can't really get this without
the physical part right like the digital
intelligence can never create its own
substrate you need the physical part
>> right
>> and I think also this is going to have
>> incredible impact on humanity with
respect to for example progressing
science right
>> like a lot of the demand that we're
seeing now on our platform is people who
want to automate lab work
>> because if your if your AI model can't
actually build and carry out his
experiments and observe the results. How
are they going to progress science?
Right.
>> So all of these things will happen in
the coming years as AI becomes physical
and exact timeline is a bit hard but
it's years not decades.
>> Yeah. I mean, if you if you believe it's
three, and I know you're an optimist,
you have to be to do what you're doing,
a crazy optimist for sure, and you think
the outer, you know, uh, estimate is 10,
you know, we'll we'll we'll be fine with
five, six or seven, uh, burnt, you've
got to catch a flight. This is amazing.
Continued success. If people want to
order a Neo and give you $500 a month to
be part of this absolute lunacy that
you're doing, what do they do? How do
they get in?
Well, you go to our website and you
order a Neo.
>> That's it. It's that simple. That It's
2026. It should be that simple.
>> It It kind of should, right? If you can
order a Tesla online, you can order a
Neo online.
>> Transparent pricing.
>> I like it. Yeah.
>> Uh Burn continued success.
[music]
>> In your world, the exact words matter.
The number on the diligence call, the
commitment in the board meeting. Plaude
captures a conversation and turns it
into searchable intelligence you can
pull up in seconds. Ask Plaude a
question and get the answer with no
receipt. Stop scrolling recordings or
trusting your memory. Capture the
conversation. Keep the signal. That's
Plaude. Learn more at plaude.ai.
[music]
>> All right, everybody. We're really
lucky. We have Amanda McMaster here. Not
McMasters. McMaster.
>> Just McMaster. No.
>> Just McMaster. No McMasters. Uh, you're
the interim CEO of Boston Dynamics, the
OG, the original robotics company. The
robots we've seen for decades doing back
flips, doing kung fu, getting kicked and
beaten, and getting back up. We have
been having a hard time remembering
who owns this company now because it was
an independent company, venturebacked,
then Sergey and Larry bought it. It was
part of Google, then it got sold. I
think Masayoshi owned it at some point,
but I believe Hyundai owns it now.
>> That's correct.
>> Did I get that whole history correct?
>> You did. You nailed it.
>> Okay. So, apparently I read way too much
industry news, but now you're in charge
of this.
>> Yes.
>> It's changed hands many times and you
went from being essentially one of one
really in humanoid robotics to one of
many. We're here at this uh Machina
Summit in Paris and you see many
contemporaries now. So, what is Boston
Dynamics working on now? Is it still a
research project or are you going into
the real world and applying these
robots? Because I think you guys got
there early, but you have to now deal
with fierce competition. Yeah.
>> Yeah, we are big on deploying robots.
So, it's no longer an AI lab experiment.
It's not a research and development
company anymore. We're now focused on um
real world deployment. So, we started
with our spot robot, which many people
know. That's our mobile quadroed um in
industrial
>> famously in uh Black Mirror chasing
people down, not yours.
>> Oh, you can own it, right? There's
always going to be a dystopian version
and a utopian version. You're obviously
pursuing the utopian, but that is a
really cool robot that has been for
deployed.
>> Yes, it has been deployed in real
customer sites. It's pre providing
really customer value. Um at this point
we have over 500 customers over 46
countries. Wow. Um it is the um it is
the mobile um autonomous robot that's
used more than any other on the planet
right now.
>> Wow. So it is the most deployed and most
utilized.
>> Yes. So real
>> why and who's what is the number one use
case for it? Like is it security? Is it
inspections? What do people use that dog
format for?
>> Yes.
>> Or pony. What do you like to call it?
Pony dog.
>> We like to think of as a dog. I mean, I
think it moves like that. But, um, you
know, we're using this, uh, the
customers are finding a lot of value in
industrial inspection. So, they're using
it for both, you know, acoustic um,
gauge reading, vibration detection. So,
assets that, you know, if they have
expensive assets in their facility and
they want to monitor them, this allows
for them to do that. Now, it can do that
during the day and then it can do
security perimeter work at night. Um, so
the answer is yes, we do all of that.
And, um, and the real inflection point
was customer ROI, right? We want
customers to find value in this to do
really useful work. It's not just about
yes, it's cute and it dances, but it's
long past dancing at this point. It's
now doing real work. And um and
customers need to see your ROI in under
two years.
>> And those inspections, if they were even
being done, were being done by humans.
>> Yes,
>> humans, as we all know, being them are
fallible. We make mistakes. And these
ones were just out there now as little
puppies running around a water treatment
facility, a bridge, whatever it happens
to be, infrastructure pipelines.
>> And it can record many different
sensors, video, obviously, vibrations,
all radar, I'm assuming, all different
tie acoustics you mentioned.
>> Y
>> what do those robots cost? What's the
range of the hardware cost? And then
what's your business model with these?
People buy them and rent the brain. They
rent it by the hour. What do you think
of as the CEO will be the business model
and what is the business model with
these hundreds or dozens of customers
deploying hundreds of these?
>> Yeah, so we um we we went with a capex
model to start with spot. Um we'll be
doing a probably a robot as a service
model likely with Atlas. Um we
understand with the humanoid form factor
folks may want to spin up at different
times and then and have the ability to
to do decrease um with spot it's been
pretty effective in capex. Um it's the
way these industrial customers think
about industrial tools. So they
generally want to spend capex for this.
Um it depends on their configuration.
You know it ranges anywhere between you
know $100,000 for the base robot all the
way up to 300,000 oneear fully loaded
with services integration deploy. It's
the price of a Tesla to a Ferrari
depending on how you equip it.
>> But what people need to understand is
the lifespan of these is greater than 5
years I would think. Like these are
you're known for industrial. So if it
can run I'm assuming you can run 20
hours a day, 22 hours a day with
charging.
>> Yep. So we're we're at um we think about
in terms of meanime between intervention
and we're um at over 3,000 hours. So
only only a couple times a year does a
human have to be involved and it has a
charging station. So, battery runs for
about 90 minutes. Um, usually we'd have
two, comes back, sits down and charges,
and the next one can take over.
>> Does it automatically swap the batteries
or
>> It just sits down onto its charging
part. Perfect.
>> Yeah.
>> Uh, Atlas has swappable batteries,
though.
>> Yes. But that the hot swap is a human
has to do it.
>> No. Uh, Atlas does it itself.
>> Oh, it does it.
>> So, Atlas will have two batteries. So,
it turns it torso around and you replace
one and put it with the other one. It
always has a backup. So, battery life's
not
>> perfect. So, for the humanoid one, it
can do it itself. Obviously, the dog
gets charged. So, realistically, they
could be in the field for close to 24
hours, maybe 18,
>> 20.
>> And so, that puts the operations at a
couple of dollars an hour. And has that
changed how people look at the use case,
the dramatic lowering of cost, cuz I'm
assuming union workers inspecting, you
know, pipelines, they're getting paid
40, 50, 60 bucks an hour fully baked
with their benefits, their pension,
whatever else. it it's quite expensive.
>> We haven't necessarily looked at labor
replacement for spot. Um while while
that is a metric you might look at. We
thought about you know how do we bring
spots in there to augment human labor.
One humans weren't doing the task even
if they were tasked with it they weren't
actually doing it. And two like we're
just trying to figure out ways that
humans can do more you know knowledge
worker tasks as opposed to going and
doing inspection. So yes one of the
metrics a customer might look might look
like for ROI is is labor replacement.
We're leaning more into how much do we
save you? So we found an air leak in
your facility and that was a would have
been $3 million a day at one time.
>> Yeah. The outcomes matter.
>> Yes. So what is the value that we're
driving?
>> But it's is it still delicate in the
industry to talk about labor
replacement. So you have to be very
thoughtful about that in this moment of
time.
>> And let's be honest. I mean there's
going to be an element of labor
replacement for this as a metric because
it's easy. You know how many bodies are
in the world and how can you imagine a
total addressable market relative to
that. I just don't think it's the only
conversation we should be having, right?
Just an element of it.
>> And hopefully we're getting rid of the
the dangerous jobs and the ones people
might find um oppressive.
>> Yeah.
>> Uh
>> dull, dirty, dirty, dangerous.
>> Dull, dirty, dangerous.
>> Yeah. We don't want that hurting their
body.
>> Yeah. We We only get one human body.
Yeah.
>> Uh the Atlas, how do you think about
onboard compute versus remote when you
put the amount of brains? Uh my
understanding is you have the brains on
the robot.
>> Yep.
>> That means crazy battery drain. What do
you think about the option of having,
you know, the uh brains in the cloud and
having these be more lightweight if
they're in an area that has extremely
high speed Wi-Fi, etc. And do you offer
that yet or is it all, hey, you got to
have a robot with a lot of brains on it
cuz that's what the customers want. And
that seems to be a paradigm shift that's
occurring now.
>> Yeah.
>> So, how do you gro that or how should we
think about it?
>> We think about two brains, right? It's
my simplified version of telling the
stories. There's two brains. Okay.
There's the the brain that controls the
physicality of the robot, which is what
Boston Dynamics is known for. Know the
dynamic movement, reliability, the way
it manipulates things in the world that
lives on the robot. The reasoning layer
that under that gives you the semantic
understanding of its environment that
can be in the cloud. That's things that
we might partner with Google Deepine or
we may partner with other AR partners or
who will build some of this oursel and
then the wrapper around all of that is
the very specific information that a
particular customer needs around their
own workflows. You know the way that
they think about the um the job
processes that they have and the tools
that exist in their facility and how
this robot will interact with it. That's
going to live somewhere in between. So
it could be on on robot if you needed it
to. It could be in the cloud. Um we'll
figure out the wrapper for that. What
percentage of the robot is built in the
United States or outside of China and
Taiwan today?
>> 100% of the robots.
>> 100%. So there's no issue with the
sovereignty of robots in the United
States. We're seeing a lot of cheap
robots coming out of China.
>> Yeah.
>> Your personal opinion as the CEO of this
company and as an American, under any
circumstances, should we allow humanoid
robotics from China in the United
States?
>> No.
>> No. Why?
>> It's not safe. Right. We've already
we've already heard um about leaks that
are happening with some of the
quadripeds that you're seeing um in the
United States and it's being back
channelled back to China. Listen, we we
have seen what happens if we let China
win in the semiconductor space. You
know, we can't do that with robotics.
So, we need to have a concerted effort
to protect our IP to um make sure that
we are bringing manufacturing of of this
ecosystem into the United States or into
our allied countries. And that means
that we need to take our national
robotic strategy. We're lucky enough
that we get to sit at the table in some
of these discussions. Um I'm hoping that
more companies in the US join us um in
in taking taking up this mission.
>> Yeah, we have to be pretty serious about
this. It's an existential issue because
these
>> not only do we have to win this, we have
to make sure that the rest of the world
uses our platform rather than China's.
How do you think about the military
application of these? Obviously military
is uh you know the the the field has
been changed with drones in a way and at
a velocity no pun intended that I don't
think anybody anticipated because of
what's happened in Ukraine and now we
see in the Middle East with the war with
Iran. How do you think about Atlas and
Spot in the battlefield? Where are they
at in terms of deployment uh in the
military? Yeah. So, we've been we've
been pretty public about the fact that
we have an anti-weaponization stance. Um
but listen, um I think that um for what
we're trying to do right now um in
industrial use cases, it's a distraction
for our business, you know.
>> So, focus.
>> It's focused.
>> It's not philosophical.
>> It's I mean, it depends on who you ask
in there. As the CFO CEO, you know, I'm
going to look at this and say I'm all
about focus right now. We need to be
focused on the markets that we think
we're going to win in. Um, and certainly
we have great ties with the government
and we're happy to do any
non-weaponization work with them. Um,
and we do do that today.
>> Okay. So, you'll have them in or you do
have them in the field. Maybe if it had
to go collect a soldier or bring a med
pack, you'd be okay with that. Disarming
a bomb, you're okay with that.
>> EOD, we EOD is one of, you know,
explosive ordinance disposal is
something that's a great use case for
robots.
>> And you're doing that currently.
>> We do that currently. So, we're okay
with that. Um, what we don't want is
Terminator robots, right? It's
>> not good for the market,
>> but China's building them. So if China's
building them and we don't,
>> right?
>> You're kind of obligated if you're
Boston Dynamics to build them. So if
China puts these into the field, will
you build them to protect America?
>> I think that's a tough that's a tough
question and I think we're going to have
to answer it when the time comes and
hopefully it never comes.
>> The time is going to come. I can assure
you.
>> And I can assure you what your answer
will be when President Trump calls. You
will say, "Sir, yes, sir." or else your
company will be nationalized. I mean,
this is the reality of it. I mean, I'm
being a little facicious and playful
with you. But
>> they're going to deploy these and
they're going to deploy them and they
already have shown.
>> You've seen them put AK-47s on these.
>> Yes. Not on our robots. Not on yours, on
theirs.
>> Yes. And on And listen, it's terrifying.
Terrifying.
>> I think, listen, I know that we have the
best robot and the most capable robot in
the world. You know, if and when that
time came that we had to make a tough
decision, we would make the right one.
Um, but today we don't have to make that
decision. So, I'm going to keep everyone
focused on the application space that
makes a lot of sense for us to make
money. And
>> I'm going to tell you a secret.
>> Don't tell anybody.
>> The CIA, the FBI, and the Department of
War have many of your robots with many
weapons attached to them currently.
>> Don't tell anybody. All right. Listen, I
know you got to go. Continued success.
This is such an important American
company and uh I hope you take the job
and become full-time. I know you're
interim right now. Interim right now.
>> Uh so I I wish you great luck with it.
If people want to come work at Boston
Dynamics,
>> please tell
>> where are you based?
>> Um so we're in Waltham, so right outside
of Boston. Um but we're open to some
remote work and um we're considering
coming to the West Coast. So
>> I was about to say, you know, I mean, I
know it's in the name Boston Dynamics,
but I assume with all that talent
accumulating in the Bay Area, you're
going to need to pop up a a space there.
Yeah.
>> Yeah, we're consistent.
>> All right. Listen, continued success.
Thank you so much. All right, everybody.
Our next guest is Professor Jonathan
Hurst. He's the co-founder and chief
robotic officer or chief robot officer
at Agility Robotics. You have a PhD
>> in robotics
>> from 2008.
>> Yeah.
>> So, you've been at this for over 20
years.
>> Well over 20 years.
>> Things seem to have heated up
>> in the last 36 months. Maybe you could
for the audience at before we get into
your product line level set what you've
seen in the past 20 years.
>> Yeah.
>> And how the last two years compares to
the previous 20.
>> Yeah. I mean 20 years ago when we were
doing this, it really was an unknown in
industry, right? Robotics was more about
automation systems. Yeah.
>> And in the research community, we're
doing things like humanoid robots, like
autonomous, you know, mobile robots. uh
really trying to build the intelligence
and then build the hardware that can cap
be make it capable um and that's really
started to break through now into the
real world into having direct impact
beyond being a research topic and then
the universities have seen this demand
and this growth and people love robots
there's a lot of demand from students
who want to do it so the number of
programs has grown and it's just
exponentially growing very very exciting
very exciting
>> we've had a lot of false starts with
humanoid robot which you're specializing
in
>> and AI
>> and AI.
>> They call it the AI winters, you know,
human multiple ones.
>> This time is real
>> quite obviously. explain to the audience
why this time is different and why you
believe this time we're going to see
robotics and humanoid robotics
specifically deployed at a scale that I
think we can both agree will be maybe in
the next 20 30 years onetoone with
humans on the planet
>> very impactful
>> yeah why why is this time different
>> yeah well I would say generally it is
very easy to make a robot that looks
like a person
>> and that's why we've seen humanoid for
100 years in one. It's very hard to make
a robot that can do useful things in
human spaces.
>> And we're starting to see that today and
that's the difference. So even if it
doesn't look exactly like a human, but
maybe a little bit humanoid, but it's
doing useful work,
>> that's where the impact matters.
>> And because of large language models,
>> a lot of things have now become free.
When these robots look at a table here,
>> Yeah.
>> and you say, "What's on the table?" It
knows that's a phone. It knows this is
paper, tea, water. It probably knows how
many ounces are in each.
>> Yeah.
>> If it were sitting here 3 or 4 years
ago,
>> it wouldn't actually know
>> what was in the world. You would have to
program it in a very narrow way. Yeah.
>> Yeah. Perception was incredibly
difficult. And the fact that perception
is all but solved at this point is a
really, really huge inflection point. I
mean, you know, I said, yes, robots
doing useful things, but also people can
now see the future of generality. AI is
really enabling that much more broad um
you know context awareness for these
robots so people can see that this is
going to be useful gen generally doing
many useful things very soon.
>> So there's perception the robot has to
understand the world.
>> Yep. But then there always seemed to be
this blocker with getting the robot out
of a very confined narrow task like you
know in a factory
>> and I my perception is it was the
communication and the training level.
Maybe we can unpack that a bit because
my understanding was previously you
basically had to hardcode the robot if
you were going to make a cup of coffee.
We have a company I invested in Cafe X
and it is a robotic arm.
>> Mhm. makes a cup of coffee perfectly
every time, can draft a beer, all that
stuff, but it had to be manually coded.
Now, the instruction set because of
perception, because of language models,
having trained on every video on the
internet, every coffee recipe that also
seems to be for free. Am I wrong or
>> not yet? It's actually quite different.
So, language models, think of it like
it's a it's now becoming kind of a
commodity like the internet. It's
available to everybody. It's this
amazing rising tide. But these language
models are trained off of the entire
data on the internet and that data does
not exist for robot control. You know
what's the example for your robot of all
the torqus all the torque commands to
every motor given all the sensor input.
There's no training set of data. So you
have to generate and create that somehow
>> and there's a lot of different
approaches and ways people are are going
about this. And some of these AI tools
again think of AI not as a blackbox but
as a big tent of many different very
different useful computational tools
right in order to control a robot you
can do these things by learning from
demonstration you can give it you can
tellyoperate the robot start to train
from that data um you can give it
animation input or motion capture input
or any number of different things but
that's also got a real hard limit
because a person controlling a robot is
not really getting to what the robot can
do if if it were optimal and how its
behavior could work that of a robot
needs to practice
>> you And that's where you get into world
models and sim to real transfer and all
of these kinds of things.
>> And world models are the next frontier.
People are literally putting
>> gloves on humans
>> uh and
>> having them control robots remotely
>> to actually chop and make a salad to
pour water
>> and that's being done today by many
different companies. the the world
models will solve this problem
>> or
>> they are part of the part of the
solution. As with all of these things,
there is no silver bullet,
>> right?
>> So the world models, as I understand it,
are, you know, can you model an entire
warehouse and all of the physics of all
of the objects inside of it so that then
simulations of these robots can go
practice in the world model without
breaking things in the real world and
you know compress so you can do, you
know, a million iterations within days
and computationally and things like
that. But there's always a massive simto
toreal gap. Things aren't simulated
perfectly. And then you know as you pick
up something in the real world and the
there's wave dynamics and there's
condensation on the glass and the
dynamics of the robot are not perfectly
modeled. All these things are still very
very difficult. That takes real practice
in real life with robots in order to
>> Yeah. So,
>> is there going to be a singularity or a
crossing over moment where recursive
learning, just putting the robot in the
kitchen, Yeah. letting it make its own
mistakes and then saying do the next
test, do the next test, which is how we
taught it how to win at chess or go. We
didn't tell it like here's how to
castle. We just brute force it and said
try every computation and it was able to
figure it out. Now with these recursive
loops, what will get us there quicker?
Somebody builds a world model, says go
get recursive, puts the robots into a
kitchen, and you know, breaks a lot of
China. Or is it going to be these world
model companies very refinedly working
human alongside robot in a Michelin
starred, you know, kitchen to to make
that sule.
>> I mean, that's it's not a very
satisfying answer maybe, but it's all of
the tools. all of them, right? There's
not um a silver bullet at all here. I
don't believe that there's this
singularity. I do believe that things
are going to get better and better.
Think of it more like a snowball picking
up steam going down a hill. Got it?
>> But the reason that it's snowballing
like this is because people are putting
money and resources and engineering time
and engineering effort in as they
explore everything and start to figure
all of this stuff out.
>> All right. So,
>> but humans, for example, we've evolved
to learn. We are very good at learning
and it takes very little data to show us
how to do something. And then we
practice and practice and iterate.
Robots are not very good at learning
yet. Robots take so much more data, so
many more examples than a person. We're
still figuring out how to teach robots
how to learn. Um, but then one of the
benefits that robots have in the long
run is they've got Wi-Fi. You know, when
you learn how to play the violin, you
can't just load that to somebody else
and then they learn how to play the vi
know how to play the violin based on
your learnings. Robots will be
>> one robot learns to play violin. All
robots know how to play violin
>> or all robots of that type know how to
play the violin. Right. Yes.
>> And then minor variations for the next
type and the next piece of hardware.
>> So you are actually deploying your
product is called Digit. Digit is I
think 4.0. You're going to release 5.0.
You've got let's say dozens uh in
different applications out there in the
real world.
>> Give us an idea of what the forward
deploy looks like today
>> and where you think it will be in a year
or two. So today it's doing these sort
of multi-purpose workflows that are
still reasonably well scoped like
picking up bins and totes and carrying
them around. And the reason we do that
is because you need two arms to pick up
big things. You need this whole body
control to be dextrous in how you're
manipulating and moving those. You need
to be balancing to lift them to top of a
tall shelf in narrow space. So it kind
of justifies the form factor for this
one use case. But the real useful aspect
of a humanoid is its versatility. So
when we do the each picking and you know
fill a bin and carry it somewhere and
palletizing and depalitizing and are
expanding out into more and more use
cases is when it really starts to
escalate. And Digit V5 which is coming
out later this year is the first time
that a humanoid robot a robot which is
balancing can step out of a work cell
and does not need a physical barrier
between the robot and the person to
maintain safety in this warehouse. So
when Digit V5 is out there that's kind
of the scaling moment for us. Yeah, this
is a key moment that maybe people don't
appreciate, but if you've ever been to
one of Elon's factories or Toyota's
factories,
>> there are lines.
>> There's a line
>> and if you cross that line, the
>> everything shuts down.
>> Everything shuts down. And I I've taken
many of these tours with Elon and
>> they're like, "Seriously, please don't
cross that line cuz it's going to cost a
million dollars if you do at the Tesla
factory cuz it's it's cranking. We're
starting to feel comfortable enough that
these robots are not going to fall over
and break somebody's ankle.
>> Well, it's been a very very intentional
process over the past 2 or 3 years,
right?
>> Where you know, this is our experience
with Amazon when we deployed and the
robots are doing the task and they're
like great, you know, it it solves all
the R&D uh, you know, goals we had and
we're like, great, let's go deploy. And
they're like, oh no, no, we can't deploy
>> um because, you know, they they they're
not they don't they don't meet our
safety requirements. It's like, okay,
how do we meet that? Well, it turns out
that's super hard.
>> And so, it's been a bottom to top design
of this machine. Holistically, the whole
every system of the robot is touched to
figure out how to make it safe.
>> When we look at an industrial shrank
robot like yours,
>> bill of materials,
>> uh-huh.
>> Tens of thousands of dollars each. Yeah.
>> I mean, we're not discussing bills of
materials. We know that the costs are
coming down and down and down over time.
We'll be selling robots, you know, in
the vicinity of costs of cars and things
like that.
um the the real like what is the value
that they produce is the question to ask
when you have a robot that's working 24
hours a day and has a 5year life you
know what's the value and it's quite a
lot
>> yeah it would be uh if we were to think
about it from first principles
>> they can reasonably run 20 22 hours a
day and then they have to charge and
just
>> that's right be so we take 20 hours a
day
>> 300 by the way 20 out of 24 hours for
our digit V5 robot on because of the
very fast charge it generation that's
gone in this battery.
>> Yeah. So we get we have 20 hours 365
days a year, you know, now you're in
that 78,000 hours a year. Let's put it
at 8,000 5 years 40,000 hours of work.
>> It adds up.
>> Yeah. And people tend to think these
things are going to cost 20, 30,
$40,000.
>> They will at some point.
>> Yeah.
>> It's going to need to go through the
scaling and have 100,000 robots out
there before that actually is real.
>> So that's a dollar an hour. These people
are being paid in factories currently
$40 an hour.
>> Yeah.
>> Maybe in uh some other countries $10 an
hour, but let's put it at 20 bucks an
hour. You've got 90% compression in cost
at some point when these things hit the
market, which gives you plenty of room
to charge an Amazon or Toyota, other
partners on an hourly basis. Is that the
current plan to charge per hour of
utilization? You own the robot. They
>> We do both. We do a capex for customers
that prefer that. We also do robot as a
service for customers that prefer that.
It's really lower barrier to entry and
lower risk for them.
>> What's the price of a robot per hour?
>> We're not talking about that right now.
But I will say like as obviously as the
robots get better and better and better
at what they do, their value goes up and
up and up.
>> And that's at the same time that the
costs to build the robot are going down.
And the value for these robots is really
set by the human labor and what does it
cost to pay people to do these jobs. So
it's a very inelastic price for a very
long time.
>> So between a a bill of materials, tens
of thousands of dollars, currently
people in factories getting paid 20, 30
or $40 per hour in the Western
Hemisphere in the modern world,
>> which is a pretty big market.
>> Yeah, pretty big market. Plenty of room
for you to save them money and for you
to make enough profit,
>> build an actual business, you know,
>> to build an actual business. Yeah. So
let's take the conversation to what do
you think the time frame is if I were to
ask you in Amazon factories or if we
want to take Amazon out because they're
a partner don't want to get you in
trouble but an Amazon or Target like
company
>> at what point will the majority of
workers in a factory be robotic when
will that flip happen to 51%
knowing what you know Jonathan
>> I mean already in a lot of these
applications the majority of the workers
are robots.
>> Sure.
>> Right. There's a lot of AMRs, there's a
lot of conveyor belts, there's a lot of
industrial robot arms and that's not
changing. That's continuing to grow.
Sure. And this is just a new form of
automation like all of the others that's
uh helping to increase and build that
productivity.
>> So like how do you know how do we in the
United States anyway, how do we build
our GDP? It's not a growing population.
No,
>> it's increased efficiency and
capability. And the only way we could do
that is more and more
>> especially not with the anti-immigration
vibes we have in the in the country
right now or even in the western
hemisphere. Um
>> well let me phrase the question another
way. At what point if there were a
million people working in factories
sorting packages does it go down to
500,000? Is that a three, four, five
year?
>> I think we've already done that,
>> right? But looking for and but with
these new
>> it's going to just continue. You know,
someday there's going to be an
autonomous truck that drives up and have
a completely lights out autonomous
package sortation factory and then you
know an autonomous truck leaving again.
And at that point, it's probably
specialty automation doing those things
because it's just 24/7 doing it. And a
humanoid doesn't make sense. It's not
the most efficient thing for that
specific task. A humanoid is useful for
walking into human environments doing
human workflows. So by the time this one
factory is entirely automated, there's
also a whole bunch of other factories
that still are, you know, legacy and
still, you know, need automation where
humans were. But then we're also working
now in retail and grocery stores and
hospitals and construction sites and
delivering packages to your front door,
which is a forever human environment,
right? Print yards, uh, and that kind of
thing.
>> That's going to be an interesting one.
>> Yeah.
>> Because it's fairly obvious to anybody
who has even looked at the latest
generation of humanoid robots that the
factories are going lights out. Most
people are incapable at this point of
imagining
a Whimo robo taxi, an Uber self-driving
car,
>> and a robot getting out.
>> Yeah.
>> And bringing the packages to your
doorstep.
>> That's going to happen.
>> Absolutely. Going back.
>> Are you working with
>> folks on that? You don't have to say
who, but
>> you know what? That was one of our very
first use cases that we explored with
Ford. And there's a nice video online of
our very first digit robot getting out
of a vehicle, walking up to someone's
front porch and dropping a package
there, stairs and everything. So, we
could do that like this was seven years
ago, something like that.
>> Uh, but I don't think it's the best
first use case or the best first market.
So, it's on our road map for sure.
>> But such a big market for deploying with
what we're doing right now. We're going
to start there. How do you when when you
look at applications,
we know applications that seem obvious
to us not being in the industry, but
knowing what you know over two or three
decades, what do you think is a a use
case or two that are nonobvious, but
that would be incredibly world positive?
>> I don't know what to say what's not
obvious. I mean, just picking up stuff
and putting them somewhere else
>> is such a huge use case that frees
people from the classic 3Ds of robotics,
the dull, dirty, dangerous kind of
stuff.
>> Dull, dirty, and dangerous.
>> The 3Ds of robotics.
>> And I really hope that we look, you
know, like our children look back on now
and look at some of the jobs that people
are doing today that I really think of
as robot jobs the same way we look back
on like coal miners in the 1900s and
say, "I can't believe people did that
work." And you know the number of roles
and things that people do today are so
much better. The quality of life is so
much better. The jobs that people have
today that you couldn't have imagined in
1900 often are just so much better. I
think that that's how the future is
going to look for us.
>> You're still a professor of robotics.
>> Yes.
>> You have hundreds of people in this
graduate program or over 100.
>> Yes, we do.
>> Mhm. For young people who are listening
to this, who are worried about their
future and careers,
>> this seems like an incredible career
path.
>> It's a massive opportunity. We live in a
time of change. Anytime there's a time
of change like this, students coming out
have an advantage because all the people
who have this 20, 30 year career and how
know how the way things were done, they
have to learn how the way, you know, the
way things are coming up now, too. Yeah.
>> So students have an advantage and it's
hard to predict exactly all the things
that people you know the way the careers
are going to look in 10 years but if
students just build some of the core
skill sets around engineering it's going
to be applicable and use form.
>> So there's the PhD mast's version of
robotics. Is there another version that
is let's say a little more generation
tool belt bluecollar the equivalent of
being an electrician or working on HVAC
or a carpenter or a contractor?
>> Yes, absolutely.
>> What is that and what will that be?
>> Robot operators assembling and building
robots. The robots can't assemble all
themselves yet, you know. So, there's a
lot of manufacturing and and again, you
know, robot operations and deployments.
There's a lot
>> maintenance clanker clanker maintenance.
>> Absolutely. Is clanker a derogatory
term?
>> I don't know. It's a Disney, you know,
trademark term. So,
>> Oh, is it really?
>> Probably.
>> Probably. Final question. I think we're
of the same Gen X. You, you know,
General Grievous from the Star Wars
characters.
>> You trained in the Jedi dark arts by
Count Dooku,
>> right?
>> Able to yield three or four six
lightsabers at a time.
>> Is the half serious question. Why not
have four or six arms facing all
directions?
>> It's a good question.
>> So, I would say that, you know, as we
think about the first principles of what
how to make the simplest possible robot
to do the task, right? One arm is not
quite enough to pick up big things. You
can only pick up small things. Two arms
now you can pick up big things. Adding a
third arm, it's hard to see the
>> enough utility to make it worth fitting
it in.
>> And then, you know, go to four to five.
There's a lot to coordinate and a lot of
extra complexity. But what else does it
make you do? I don't know. Maybe we'll
see that, but it's going to have to be
driven by a real need.
>> All right. Favorite robot in science
fiction history.
>> Probably Wall-E
>> and Eve. I love kind of that vision of
these robots just continuing to try and
build and create and do what they were
designed to do.
>> I love Baymax, too. Baymax is pretty
fantastic.
>> Wait, wait. Who's Who's Baymax?
>> Baymax from uh what is it? San Francio
from uh
>> Oh, yes, of course. Um I do know who
this robot that's very clearly there to
help. And I I love how they kind of show
that it it does what it's programmed to
do. I mean, at one point they remove all
its memory and it turns red and now it's
dangerous. Well, that's very real. You
know, your software, you have to have
the safeguards in place. You got to have
the estop on these things.
>> So, you think about the prime
directives.
>> Yeah. Basically, yeah.
>> How do you make sure that these things
going through kind of the industrial
safety process to make sure that boy
there's a supervisory circuit, there's a
a estop on every robot, all of these
things that make make the robots, they
could just really never harm a human.
Jonathan, I know you're hiring. Agility
Robotics is the company. Uh, and if
people are looking for a gig,
>> fun place to work.
>> Agility is great. And we have location
in Salem, Oregon, where where the we
started, where I am. Uh, we have a uh
new facility we're opening in Fremont,
California, which is just a beautiful
place. And that's where we're doing a
lot of robot behavior development. So,
there will be robots working all day
long, and you can come in and be working
on. And we have a Pittsburgh location as
well.
>> Oh, right. Right by Carnegie Melon.
>> Amazing. Yeah. three great centers. Uh
so if you're a young person or you're in
the robotics field, pretty great place
to work. And uh if you're worried a
little bit about your future, go get a
PhD or a masters in robotics. Skate to
where the puck is going, folks.
>> Right.
>> Great to have met you and thank you for
sharing all your knowledge.
>> Thank you.
>> [music]
>> I'm going all in.
Ask follow-up questions or revisit key timestamps.
The video features an exploration of the current state of robotics, focusing on industrial applications, the evolution of AI-driven autonomy, and the future of human-robot collaboration. Experts from Anybotics, 1X, Boston Dynamics, and Agility Robotics discuss the shift from research labs to real-world industrial deployments, the role of specialized hardware like four-legged and humanoid robots, and the ethical considerations of military applications. The conversation highlights how advancements in sensor technology, compute, and world models are accelerating the path toward 'hard takeoff' in robotics, with a focus on solving dangerous or repetitive human tasks.
Videos recently processed by our community