TWO new prediction markets + a rumored Polymarket airdrop
173 segments
All right, we are back with the video
and we have some news today that I'm
going to cover. So, the first one is
Crypto.com that launches OG a new
prediction market experience.
Their interface looks like this. Place
your prediction and win. If your
prediction is right, you get a cash
payout available throughout the US. So,
different from poly market which is not
available in the US. This one is
available in the US trade, CFTC,
regulated sports, culture, politics, and
more throughout the US. No use limit.
Sharps, VIPs, analytical thinkers are
all encouraged, and winners won't be
banned. So, it's available to the US.
The UI looks pretty cool. And if we go
in on these, you can see we have the
probabilities
here as well. We can see the spread. So
according to Grock resolution and
payouts uh when the event concludes
contracts settle automatically
and um resolutions rely on trusted
official data sources
in for example NFL for sports results
government sports for economics
handled centrally by CDNA without user
disputes so it seems like it's different
from poly market where you can dispute
an outcome here they get it from
official sources and not the same way as
they do on poly market. It's a more
centralized approach which ensures quick
reliable settlements but lack
decentralized verification.
And then according to Grock upcoming
features OG plans to introduce margin
trading so borrowing to amplify bets via
crypto.com's licensed futures commission
merchant making it the first prediction
market with this option. So, so margin
trading with prediction markets is
something that is uh teased and
according to Grock it's US only
um with some KYC.
So this article says from Yahoo Finance
that says Coinbase opens prediction
markets in all 50 states and this is
from January 29 also relatively recent
uh news and we can go to uh uh to
Coinbase and we can see that they have
all kinds of different crypto
predictions here. We actually also have
a 15-minute market.
So, we can see Bitcoin up and down 15
minutes. So, this one was opened
February 12th at 1:30 p.m. which does
line up it does line up with
with uh Poly Market as well, which is uh
which starts uh
yeah 130. So, 130 and and 130. So, it
does seem like these 15-minute
prediction markets are in sync with each
other.
And uh let's take a look. So, on
Coinbase, the yes contract is at 35
cents and here on Poly Market is 32. So,
there's actually already quite a gap
between the yes on both of these as well
as the as well as the no. So yeah, yet
another opportunity to do do some kind
of crossmarket arbitrage which is
definitely high on my priority in terms
of of Raven. So I do definitely want to
add crossmarket
uh capabilities, cross venue
capabilities so we can do some some
arbitrage that way. Now um I haven't
really looked more into it in terms of
where Coinbase is available. I can see
that it is not available in in my area
but poly market isn't available in my
area anyway. So I think if they have an
API we should be able to do that. So
according to
Coinbase support here on Reddit there's
someone asking about API access to the
prediction markets and unfortunately he
says thanks for reaching out. Currently
Coinbase documents APIs for other
products and prediction markets are
available as an inapp feature.
So as an inapp feature meaning that uh
they don't have an API. We'll be sure to
share any updates is if developer access
become available in the future.
So yeah for now we do not have any um
API available. And then the last kind of
related news is polyarket that files a
poly trademark.
Uh so there's a lot of buzz going around
whether poly market will release an
airdrop of some kind of token blockise.
So the blockrise inc the parent company
of the popular decentralized prediction
market polyarket has filed trademark
applications for poli and poly token
name here sparking fresh speculations
that a token launch and airdrop are
imminent. According to filings with the
United States Patent and Trademark
Office, deprecation was submitted on
February 4th, 2026.
So, not long ago was it filed and um
what people have been talking about on X
is if they do some kind of an airdrop,
some kind of a token um most likely they
will be rewarding people with, you know,
that has actually volume. So they are
talking about creating market making
bots so they can get some kind of a
volume. But nobody really knows what to
do and and if they will do a token or if
they will do some any kind of airdrop.
So I would not do any kind of strategy
just for the sake of hoping to get some
kind of an an airdrop because I feel
like that is just uh a little bit silly.
But on the other hand, if you do have
profitable strategies or some kind of a
market making strategies, I do think
that this is just another potential
benefit uh trading on polar market
because you might actually be able to do
get some kind of a token airdrop, you
know, maybe later this year, but we
really don't know uh yet. It is just
speculation. We just see that they filed
trademark on poly and uh this po poly
symbol here. So with that said, if you
haven't already signed up for Raven, I
will highly suggest you to do that. It
is on raven.gg.
This is a no code strategy builder for
prediction markets that I'm building.
I'm building this in public on YouTube.
And uh you can scroll down all the down
uh here in the bottom and get early
access. So, if you place your email here
down below, I will send you an email
when Raven is about to launch for early
access. And of course, we also have our
Discord server,
which is uh which is this one here that
you can get access to for free. I'm
going to make sure to leave a link down
below. This server here is called Poly
Traders and it's everything that relates
to prediction markets building uh you
know bots for strategy and data
predictions.
It's about crypto and vibe coding
everything related to maybe a little bit
more technical side of trading or
prediction markets. There's a lot of
talk and discussions about specifically
trading bots. So again, yeah, I'll make
sure to leave a link down in the
description below. And with that said,
hope you're going to have a very nice
day and see you on the next video.
Ask follow-up questions or revisit key timestamps.
The video discusses recent developments in prediction markets, highlighting Crypto.com's launch of "OG," a new CFTC-regulated prediction market available in the US with a centralized resolution system and planned margin trading. Coinbase has expanded its prediction markets to all 50 states, offering crypto predictions, including 15-minute markets that show arbitrage opportunities with Poly Market, though Coinbase currently lacks a public API. Finally, Poly Market's trademark filings for "poly" and "poly token" have sparked speculation about a future token launch and airdrop, with the speaker advising caution against strategies based solely on this speculation.
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