AI’s Smartest Investor is Betting on This Energy Stock (High Growth)
492 segments
There are life-changing returns being
made investing in the AI market right
now. And when it comes to investing in
AI, there's seemingly nobody better than
Leopold Aschenbrenner, who is a fund
manager who has taken the investing
world literally by storm. This guy's
only 24 years old, and he has managed to
really figure out, predict where the AI
bottlenecks are, and investing in those
companies ahead of massive runs. Now,
what we're going to do today is I want
to talk about a specific stock that he
has recently just purchased. It's
actually one of his core positions, and
he announced this in his recent 13F
filing. I've done a deep dive into this
company, and I will reveal the position
that he's actually acquiring, and
actually look into what he might be
seeing with this company. For those
unfamiliar with Leopold Aschenbrenner,
he has become one of the most closely
watched investors in the AI space. After
his time at OpenAI, he went to launch
Situational Awareness LP, which is a
fund that has attracted enormous amounts
of attention from investors for its
AI-focused investment strategy and rapid
growth. Here's Leopold Aschenbrenner's
performance from Q4 2024, his 13F
filings, and as you can see, his AUM has
absolutely exploded, and now it's over
$13 billion.
What really put Leopold on the map was
his ability to identify major AI
infrastructure trends before they became
mainstream. So, back in 2024, right, he
published a series of essays arguing
that the market was dramatically
underestimating both the scale of AI
investments that was coming, and also
the speed at which artificial
intelligence and general intelligence
could develop. AGI is basically his
biggest prediction because he says that
by 2027, which is only next year, that
AGI is going to be a thing. And for
those that don't know, that basically
means artificial general intelligence.
Since then, several of his highest
conviction investments have delivered
exceptional returns. Companies like
SanDisk, Bloom Energy, they have become
standout winners as investors began to
recognize the same bottlenecks that
Leopold had been highlighting for
literally years. So, he was super early
on a lot of these trends. And that
brings us to the company that we're
going to be discussing today, which is
Bloom Energy. If you follow Leopold's
investment philosophy, you'll know that
he spent a lot of time thinking about
bottlenecks. And right now, few
bottlenecks are more important than
energy. As AI data centers continue
expanding, the demand for reliable
electricity is exploding, making energy
infrastructure one of the most critical
pieces of the entire AI story. Bloom
isn't a typical AI stock, but the
indirect profit they're making is
actually very powerful.
>> And this one is really fascinating
because it's not really a traditional AI
stock at all. Bloom Energy does not make
GPUs. It does not build AI models. Well,
it does not run a chatbot. Bloom makes
fuel cell systems that can generate
power on site. And that might sound
boring until you understand one
important thing. The biggest bottleneck
in AI, entire AI, might not be chips.
Right now, it might seem like chips are
really important, but it's not going to
be chips forever. The real bottleneck is
likely electricity. Power. How much
electricity can AI data centers and all
these demands actually consume? It's
enormous. And the bottleneck is clearly
electricity. So, because AI data centers
are basically giant electricity-eating
machines, and that's kind of unfortunate
for the environment and other things,
but here as investors, you know,
financially, they are electricity-eating
machines. And the economy, GDP,
governments, politicians, etc., they
want to expand this technology, right?
So, if you look at the bottleneck, the
grid, it cannot move fast enough. You
cannot have really enough land to power
these big, huge energy costs. So, at the
end of the day, you can have customers.
You can have tons of demand. You can
have tons of chips. But if you cannot
get enough energy, if you cannot get
enough power, none of that really
matters. That is why Bloom is really
important right now. So, I see why
Leopold has this as a major position in
his fund. Bloom is becoming a way for AI
data centers to bring their own power.
And recently, the story changed because
Bloom is starting to get real data
center traction. We've seen partnerships
and projects tied to companies like
Coreweave, Oracle, Brookfield, and
Nebius. The stock has moved like
investors just suddenly realized, wait,
power is not a a issue. Power is the
main issue. Power is the AI trade. The
biggest reason investors are excited is
that Bloom could become one of the key
solutions for time to power. That phrase
matters. Not just cheap power, not just
clean power, which matters. Time to
power. If a company can get a data
center running one or two years faster
because it uses on-site power instead of
waiting, you know, forever for a grid
upgrade, that is incredibly valuable.
Time is money. You might not make a lot
of money on, you know, a small amount of
capital, but a data center it can be,
you know, hundred million plus dollars,
right? So, when you have one or two
years that's faster and you put an
interest rate on that like 15%, that's
tens of millions of dollars, right? Not
to mention cash flows come sooner. So,
cash today is more valuable than cash
tomorrow. So, the biggest reason
investors are skeptical, though, is also
kind of obvious. Fuel cells have
disappointed investors before and the
industry has had some, you know, hype
cycles. The technology can be very
expensive and a lot of Bloom systems
still depend on natural gas. Even if
fuel cells are cleaner than
alternatives, this is not some magical
carbon-free solution in every case. So,
when I was looking into Bloom Energy, I
know it's very popular in terms of
retail investors right now, but really
to me, there is also a scale question.
It is one thing to power a smaller site,
it's another thing to power enormous AI
campuses that need hundreds of megawatts
or even gigawatts over time. So, the
bull case is that Bloom Energy becomes
the picks and shovels power provider for
AI data centers and that very well may
happen to some degree and the CEO
Sridhar is huge part of the story. His
background is actually amazing. So,
before Bloom, he worked in technology
connected to producing oxygen on Mars.
He was a professor, he worked with NASA
and then he co-founded Bloom to bring
fuel cell power generation to basically
worldwide. So, I think that, you know,
great mission, great background. I
really like to look into CEOs, that's
very important. So, I think that Bloom
Energy is a really interesting pick
within Leopold's portfolio and I'm
considering I'm going to do some further
research into how much of a position
size I want to enter into my portfolio.
So, this is really a great founder
market fit story. That's also what I
like about Bloom because Bloom is not
some company that pivoted into AI last
week. It has spent decades building a
very specific energy technology. AI just
created the urgency that they finally
make the business model work at scale.
So, what has to go right here for Bloom
Energy and, you know, why is Leopold
likely holding the stock? Well, data
centers need to keep demand fast,
reliable, and on-site power. Bloom needs
to prove it can deploy at a much larger
scale. Margins need to hold up and
customers need to decide that paying for
Bloom systems is worth it because the
alternative is waiting too long for grid
power. So, let's talk about kind of what
could go wrong. But, one of my goals
here at Invest with Henry and what I do
in my one-on-one coaching is, you know,
it's pretty simple to look at option
strategies. It's pretty simple to really
understand which companies could
benefit. But, it's another thing to
really understand risk management, how
much to have in certain positions, when
to cut positions, and saving money is
just as important as making money. So,
that's really what I focus on. So,
here's one of the things that I looked
into with Bloom and what could go wrong.
And there's kind of a lot. Natural gas
turbines could be cheaper. Utilities
could speed up grid connections. Smaller
modular nuclear could become a long-term
competitor. Battery storage could
improve. Local communities could still
push back. And if Bloom cannot deliver
at scale, customers that really need it
to be at bigger scales, well, the story
could break down. So, the market might
be missing that Bloom is not only
competing on energy cost, it is also
competing on speed, which right now does
look very positive. So, overall, I see
again, Leopold has this as a major play
because it has a lot of volatility,
which means that it may have asymmetric
upside. If a data center owner can
generate revenue sooner because Bloom
helps the site organize and get energy
faster, then the economics are not just
about cents per kilowatt-hour. They're
also about time. So, there's two really
big factors working here. The biggest
competitors are GE Vernova, Siemens
Energy, Caterpillar, Cummins, uh Doosan
Fuel Cell, Plug Power, um Ballard, and
there is other competitors. Bloom's
advantage is modular on-site deployment.
So, it can be installed closer to the
load. It can reduce dependency on the
grid queues, and it can be positioned as
a lower water, lower emission
alternative to some traditional power
setups. So, what does Leopold see here?
What would make Bloom a monster winner?
What would make this opportunity so big
that can help him go from 1 billion to
5.5 billion once? Can he, you know,
basically, turn his fund from 5.5
billion now into 20 billion, right? How
does he do that again? And why is he
looking at Bloom? Well, if on-site power
becomes standard for AI campuses, and
Bloom becomes one of the default
vendors, that would turn Bloom from a
clean energy turnaround story into a
core AI infrastructure company. Simple
as that. And that asymmetric upside
would yield investors a very, very
handsome profit. So, check this out.
Over the last 6 months, Bloom is up
270%.
Now, seeing a stock go up is one thing.
Obviously, Bloom Energy has gone up a
lot. It was probably a very risky bet
because many investors didn't really
understand this company, and this
company has very significant volatility.
But, the more important question is, why
did Leopold see this opportunity before
the rest of Wall Street? How did he do
it? I mean, is he like Nancy Pelosi or
something? Well, sort of kind of. I
mean, this guy definitely has some
information that us regular investors
probably don't have, allegedly. Not
really sure, but I think from a research
angle, what Leopold noticed is that
everyone was focused on the sexy part of
AI. Everyone was essentially chasing
Nvidia or the next model or the next
chatbot or whatever the next
breakthrough would be. But, if you're a
Meta, Microsoft, Amazon, or OpenAI,
well, eventually, if you think about
those big companies, then he realized
that they were going to run into a very
practical problem, right? Where are you
actually going to put all of these GPUs?
You can order these chips, you can raise
the capital, you can hire engineers. I
mean, there's lots of engineers for
hire, but you can't magically just snap
your fingers and create 500 megawatts of
electricity, right? So all these
hyperscalers, yeah, they're buying GPUs,
they're investing money, and video is
making tons of revenue, but what else is
like the problem? And the practical
problem is electricity. So what I think
Leopold understood is that Wall Street
was acting as if power would simply show
up if needed. He basically looked at the
problem, he was like, "There is a
problem here that we're going to get
into that nobody's really realizing
here, right?" So in reality, utilities,
they move very slowly, right? So permits
take years, transmission lines take
years, substations, those take years.
The grid was designed for a very
different world, okay? So utility
companies, they're not meant to adapt
very fast, and they can't just increase
the amount of electricity that they can
produce overnight, and that doesn't even
happen in weeks or months, either. So
meanwhile, AI companies are trying to
deploy capacity in weeks and months,
right? Because that's kind of like, you
know, slow scaling, like kind of like
the old world. Now, with this AI
revolution and AI momentum, companies
need electricity, and that is a demand
that was not really foreseen into the
future, right? We have this new AI
machine, which only 4 years ago, ChatGPT
was pretty much a thing. So right now,
what's happening is Leopold noticed that
the bottleneck is going to be
electricity. So that's the mismatch and
timing opportunity. If a data center
operator can generate power on site and
avoid waiting several years for utility
upgrades, that solution suddenly becomes
worth a lot more money than investors
might have initially thought of. So the
market was focused on who would build
intelligence, but Mr. Aschenbrenner
Leopold has basically appeared to have a
different thought process, and he was
asking a different question. And the
question was, who is going to power all
of these GPUs? The question that you're
probably wondering, though, this is like
an even bigger question, is whether Mr.
Leopold was early or whether he is still
early, right? because as an investor,
you're thinking, "Does this opportunity
still make sense?" And to be honest,
well, Bloom Energy is no longer some
hidden stock. It's obviously up like
hundreds of percent over the last 6
months. This company has ballooned in
value. A lot of investors have realized
that this is probably a smart play, or
maybe many investors just piggybacking
off of one of the best AI investors, you
know, potentially of all time. I mean,
this guy's only 24 years old and what he
did with his fund is absolutely insane.
I mean, this guy's way younger than, you
know, Mr. Uncle Henry right here and
he's got me blown out of the water
completely. So, looking at Bloom Energy,
I've done a lot of research and this
market cap is under a hundred billion
dollars. So, the big question is, does
Mr. Aschauer Brenner still see an
opportunity here? Does he still think
that this company could still go up? And
I think a lot of investors right now are
looking at the chart and saying, most
likely I missed it. But, I don't think
Leopold is buying Bloom because of what
happened over the last six months. The
stock is up a lot, but it's probably not
that short-term folk, right? As we seen
in his 13F filing most recently, he
still has a really large stake in this
company. He's most likely buying it
because of what he believes could happen
over the next five years. I haven't
really seen this guy going in and out of
stocks like dramatically like short-term
trading. I actually see Leopold making
long-term bets on bottlenecks, which is
what I really like because as an
investor, if we're actually looking to
learn how to make smarter choices, then
it's really going to be from someone
that has more of a long-term kind of
plan versus someone that's in and out.
Because if someone's in and out, that's
not really a repeatable process that we
can even learn from. So, if he's right
about AI infrastructure spending, which
I personal opinion is I think AI
spending is only going to go up, then
you can see Bloom Energy is most likely
still in the very early innings. Most of
the data centers that will be built for
the AI revolution haven't really even
been structured yet. A lot of them are
still going to be built. So, many of the
largest projects are still in the
planning stages. That means that
electricity demand is only going to go
up one way, which is probably up. So, in
other words, Bloom stock may be up
hundreds of percent, but the actual AI
power build out may only really be
getting started, right? Five years from
now, we might see a lot of these AI
stocks that Leopold has in his
portfolio. And by the way, if you want
to see his top five holdings, that's a
video that I recently made. I'll link it
down below or at the end of this video.
But, if I look at a lot of those
companies, it makes a lot of sense
because AI build out is still pretty
much in the process. The risk though, of
course, is that expectations have become
extremely high and the stock is no
longer cheap, which I'll be honest with
you, it does not look cheap. Investors
now understand the AI power story, the
future returns will likely depend very
much so on Bloom actually delivering the
growth the market is expecting. So,
Bloom is not really an undiscovered
stock, but I still think investors are
going to be discovering it over the next
6 months, 12 months, and 5 years. And
right now, Leopold has a really massive
stake in Bloom Energy. So, is Bloom
still a buy in, you know, my opinion?
Well, my view is that the easy money has
already been made. So, if you're looking
for that, you're probably too late. But,
going from the hidden idea to a
recognized AI infrastructure play does
not make this overvalued either. So,
this is not an overvalued stock. Maybe
the biggest gains have already happened,
but it doesn't mean that attractive
gains can't happen over the next, you
know, 12 months to, you know, 24 months,
for example. So, it doesn't necessarily
mean that the opportunity is over
either. And, you know, Leopold is
currently holding a lot of shares. So,
the real question isn't whether Bloom
Energy is up, you know, 270% in the last
6 months. The real question is whether
AI power demand is going to be five
times larger than investors currently
expect, right? Because the market is an
expectations game. So, if Leopold is
right about that, then Bloom then Bloom
could still have significant upside
ahead despite the run that we have
already seen. Personally, I think Bloom
Energy has moved from a speculative AI
infrastructure bet into an execution
story. So, right now, we're going to
have to see Bloom Energy actually
execute. And that next chapter will be
driven by investors discovering the
company. It will be actually driven by
whether management can continue
converting this AI demand into real
revenue, real cash flow, and, you know,
hopefully lots of earnings on the
downstream for Bloom Energy. If you want
to see how I'm trading Bloom and how I'm
using my momentum indicators to get into
stocks and when I believe they're a good
time to purchase these stocks, you can
check out the first link in the
description. And if you want to see the
top five holdings that Leopold
Aschenbrenner has, then you can check
out this video right here that I
recently made.
Ask follow-up questions or revisit key timestamps.
Leopold Aschenbrenner, a 24-year-old former OpenAI employee and fund manager of Situational Awareness LP, has become a prominent figure in AI investing by identifying infrastructure bottlenecks. His fund, which has grown to over $13 billion, holds a significant position in Bloom Energy. Although Bloom is not a traditional AI stock, it addresses the critical bottleneck of electricity for AI data centers through on-site fuel cell systems. The video explores Bloom's 'time to power' advantage, the background of its CEO Sridhar, and why Aschenbrenner views this as a long-term play despite the stock's recent 270% price surge.
Videos recently processed by our community