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Hank Green Faces AI Backlash, OpenAI Math Advances, Million-Dollar Solo Firms | Diet TBPN

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Hank Green Faces AI Backlash, OpenAI Math Advances, Million-Dollar Solo Firms | Diet TBPN

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1021 segments

0:01

Let's get into the show. What happened

0:03

over the weekend? Did anything happen

0:04

over the weekend, John?

0:05

>> There were a couple things.

0:07

The big debate that I was tracking, sort

0:09

of outside of tech, but tech adjacent,

0:11

was the cancellation of Hank Green, the

0:13

YouTube creator. Not quite a

0:15

cancellation, more just some backlash.

0:18

Hard to always put a

0:20

a proper sizing on a mob when a mob

0:23

comes after a creator. But, Hank Green,

0:26

the YouTuber and really media

0:29

entrepreneur, he's grown a huge business

0:32

which we can sort of go into. Is getting

0:34

pilloried on social media over using

0:37

chat GPT for research. Very

0:40

controversial these days. Only a billion

0:42

people do it.

0:44

>> [laughter]

0:44

>> But, yeah, it's the number one app in

0:46

the app store, but he's getting he's

0:48

getting a lot of backlash from certain

0:49

members of his audience. I don't want to

0:50

characterize the whole audience as being

0:52

part of this, but

0:53

it's a very silly silly situation.

0:55

>> of people.

0:56

>> It seems like that.

0:58

It's always hard to tell. I mean,

0:59

thousands of people that are liking a

1:00

post about it. There's like maybe dozens

1:02

of posts. I don't really know how to put

1:04

how to put a scale on these things. But,

1:06

Hank Green is definitely going through

1:08

it, having to sort of apologize or

1:10

qualify or sort of,

1:12

you know, state that he will adjust

1:14

things in the future. It's just sort of

1:16

interesting to hear how he went through

1:17

this process, what he says is going to

1:20

change, and where the backlash is coming

1:22

from because there's a lot of

1:23

misunderstandings about it. And what's

1:25

interesting is that he is a science and

1:26

education creator, and science and

1:28

education are potentially the most

1:31

affected by AI right now. And so, it's a

1:34

real challenge to simultaneously

1:37

say, "I'm going to cover math. I'm going

1:39

to cover science, but I'm not going to

1:42

touch AI. That AI stuff's bad." Because,

1:44

as we also saw over the weekend, AI is

1:46

making a bunch of advancements on math.

1:48

We've been seeing this for a while, but

1:49

the latest version

1:50

of the story comes from Noam Brown,

1:52

polynomial. Over at OpenAI, he says an

1:54

an internal version of Astra, OpenAI's

1:56

next major model family, solved 10 major

2:00

open problems in mathematics, quantum

2:02

complexity, and theoretical computer

2:04

science. The achievements are so so

2:07

extreme at this point that I don't even

2:09

think it's worth us trying to break them

2:10

down like we did that with the uh uh the

2:12

human distant problem.

2:14

>> Tyler is going to run a 5K here in the

2:16

Ultra Dome to do a little victory lap

2:19

for the research team.

2:20

>> But not everyone is impressed

2:22

>> Tyler.

2:22

>> with it because Gary Marcus says, "Wake

2:25

me when Astra solves a significant

2:27

open-world problem that doesn't revolve

2:29

around formal verification." And uh of

2:32

course, Daniel E F Eath says, "The

2:34

goalposts are on a completely separate

2:36

planet." Uh it is a good point.

2:38

Obviously, AI is doing better in

2:40

formally verifiable tasks. Uh at the

2:43

same time, still impressive because

2:45

there's a lot of things that are useful

2:47

and verifiable. Like, "Did this drug

2:49

cure your cancer or not?" Or "Did this

2:51

job get done or not?" Like, we've been

2:53

using these recommender systems for lots

2:55

of things. They're very valuable all

2:56

over. But it is funny. Uh the the debate

2:59

over is this AGI, is this ASI, those

3:02

terms will always be vague.

3:03

>> Going back to Hank.

3:04

>> Yes.

3:05

>> So, all he did was admit that he used

3:09

some sort of AI tool for research.

3:11

>> Yes. So, I will take you a little bit

3:13

more through it. So, uh Hank Green, he's

3:15

an OG YouTuber. He joined YouTube in

3:17

2007. I think less than 2 years after

3:20

the platform actually launched. Uh and

3:22

he grew he got a lot of views, but he

3:24

also built a huge audience and uh

3:26

created a real media company around it.

3:28

So, he has uh Vlogbrothers, a uh like a

3:30

vlog channel, then he has Crash Course,

3:32

which is a really really huge

3:35

educational channel. Uh he runs VidCon,

3:38

which is basically the the premier

3:41

conference around YouTube and the

3:44

creator economy. I've been I think once

3:46

or twice. Uh it's a lot of fun. And uh

3:49

over the last 20 years, he's become one

3:50

of the most trusted educational creators

3:53

in the platform. He's also just like he

3:54

gets the vibe of YouTube very well cuz

3:56

he's been been around it so long. Never

3:58

really stepped back fully, but always

4:01

been, you know, solid audience there. Um

4:03

so last last Wednesday he published an

4:05

episode of a show called Ask Hank

4:08

Anything. And it's an interesting

4:09

concept for a show. So he brings on a

4:11

guest

4:12

but then instead of just doing the

4:14

interview, tell me your life story, ask

4:16

the ask the guest a whole bunch of

4:17

things, the guest brings questions for

4:20

him about science or whatever they they

4:22

they have a real long conversation. And

4:24

if there's something in the show that he

4:27

can't answer on the fly or he's not

4:28

prepped for, he will go do the research

4:31

and then get the actual answer and then

4:33

cut that into the final episode. So

4:35

you'll be watching them hang out,

4:37

they'll talk about some odd

4:39

thing. He was talking about this Have

4:41

you heard this Kiki and Booba thing?

4:43

There's like two words that

4:46

the one is Basically there's two shapes.

4:48

One's like a fluffy cloud, the other's

4:49

like a spiky

4:51

spiky like star essentially. And if you

4:53

ask people generally, which one would

4:56

you assign the word Kiki to and which

4:58

one would you assign the word Booba to,

5:00

people always pick Booba is the cloud

5:03

and Kiki is the spiky one. And it's like

5:05

the sound of the word has a shape to it

5:08

even and this is just something in our

5:09

language that shows up all over the

5:11

place. So he's like telling the story of

5:12

this like just somebody ran a science

5:14

experiment, they, you know, put a bunch

5:16

of people here, they pulled a bunch of

5:17

people, they put together this result,

5:19

and this is what happened. And so he

5:21

needs to compile all of that quickly

5:23

because you get off the show, you have

5:24

your rest of your job, but then you have

5:25

to go answer these questions and have

5:27

all the information. And of course he

5:29

uses all sorts of research tools. Um

5:32

but he was accused specifically of using

5:34

ChatGPT to write the script, which is

5:36

interesting because

5:38

after the episode went up, manager Jojo

5:40

posted a clip of him from the episode

5:42

and accused him of using ChatGPT to

5:43

write the script. The key line is Hank

5:46

saying, quote I appreciate the pushback.

5:49

That's sort of an AI phrase, but that

5:51

wasn't one of the really trigger AI

5:54

phrases like you're absolutely right or

5:56

it's not this it's that. I appreciate

5:58

the pushback is something that the AI

6:00

models say occasionally, but you

6:02

wouldn't think it would make it into a

6:03

script, but that's why people jumped on

6:05

it. They were like wow, he was so

6:06

careless that he left in a turn of

6:10

phrase that was the model talking to him

6:12

about I appreciate the pushback. That's

6:13

not what happens. He's actually

6:15

responding to the guest pushing back on

6:18

him and about this concept and then he

6:20

answers it. But

6:22

um

6:23

uh he was just talking to but it's but

6:24

it feels out of out of place because

6:26

he's talking to the camera at that point

6:28

even though in the video he's talking to

6:31

the guest after the fact. The way it's

6:33

edited is him direct to camera. So him

6:36

saying I appreciate the pushback to the

6:38

camera. What is this? Beans? I don't

6:40

know. Uh

6:41

but him him saying that I appreciate the

6:43

pushback uh feels a little weird when

6:45

you just watch it, but it makes sense in

6:47

the context of the longer video. Um so

6:50

uh the headlines proliferated over the

6:51

weekend to the tune of Hank Green

6:53

accidentally reads AI prompt feedback

6:55

left in his script. Uh Hank has to not

6:58

has to deny this, but he goes on to

7:00

admit that he does use ChatGPT for

7:02

research. Dun dun dun. Uh this did not

7:05

land well. People don't like the idea of

7:08

him using ChatGPT for research.

7:10

Uh and [snorts] clearly it's just a

7:11

small subset of his audience that

7:13

actually takes the time to flame online

7:15

about AI usage, but uh it is a there's

7:18

still dozens of posts, maybe hundreds of

7:20

posts about how AI cannot be used for

7:23

research because it hallucinates or it

7:25

removes some key human element of the

7:27

process of learning, something like

7:29

that. Uh it's very odd for anyone who's

7:31

used modern models because uh there's a

7:33

lot that AI can't do well uh yet, but uh

7:36

pulling a bunch of links and quotes

7:38

together from across the internet is

7:39

something that it's pretty good at.

7:41

Um, and it's definitely reliable for

7:45

that. Uh, and so Hank clarified the

7:48

script was not written by AI. He was

7:50

just going on ChatGPT and saying like,

7:51

"Hey, where where did this original

7:53

research come from?" And pull up the

7:54

paper. Download the PDF. Crunch it all

7:56

together for me. You know, pull some

7:57

quotes from it. Change this into a

7:59

different format. I want it in this

8:01

units instead of that units. The those

8:03

types of questions. He still said that

8:05

he has not been happy with how he's been

8:07

using AI and may wind up publishing less

8:10

as a result. He feels like he's a little

8:11

on a little bit of a treadmill because

8:13

he's more productive with AI, but then

8:14

he posts more and then that's a feedback

8:16

loop. And of course, like at this point

8:18

in time he's like built his career over

8:19

20 years. He has a very sustainable

8:21

business. He probably doesn't need to be

8:23

on on as much of a treadmill as perhaps

8:25

an early stage creator might be. It

8:27

doesn't feel like it's total audience

8:28

capture, but there is this interesting

8:30

opportunity here that I was sort of just

8:33

identifying.

8:35

Uh, like AI is clearly this wedge issue.

8:36

Billions of people use AI and get value

8:38

from it, but at the same time it's

8:39

deeply unpopular and there's lots of

8:41

people who like to post angrily online

8:43

about how AI is bad for a variety of

8:45

reasons. But education and science in

8:48

particular are going to be intertwined

8:50

with AI for the foreseeable future. Like

8:53

every advancement in science is going to

8:55

be AI enabled. And so if you're a

8:57

science educator and you constantly have

8:59

to be dancing around AI and be like,

9:01

"Oh, yes, like they solved this math

9:02

problem, but I don't like it because AI

9:04

was used." Well, you're going to wind up

9:06

just not being able to talk about math

9:09

or science or whatever's happening

9:11

because you're you're constantly doing

9:13

this dance around AI. Um, and so that's

9:15

fine. There's that audience that will

9:17

love that. Uh, but there's also an

9:19

opportunity for a new audience that's

9:21

maybe a little bit more nuanced about

9:24

this and maybe just yeah, it's fine that

9:26

you use that for doing research. As long

9:28

as the script sounds good, I'm fine or

9:30

as long as you are clear about your

9:33

policy. Which is odd because that's what

9:35

he he was always clear. He's just still

9:37

got attacked and had to go on this

9:38

defensive. I I believe he has like a

9:40

published policy around how him and his

9:43

employees at his media company can use

9:45

AI or do use AI or don't in various

9:48

scenarios. But this was the first time

9:49

I've seen a like real backlash to just

9:52

pulling that up on a chat GPT. A lot of

9:55

people in tech I think we're getting

9:56

like sort of whiplash from from watching

10:00

all of these arguments pile up. Someone

10:02

put together a cool chart here of uh the

10:04

good arguments and the bad arguments

10:06

from the pro AI crowd and the anti AI

10:08

crowd. So an example of a good argument

10:11

around this from the pro AI crowd would

10:13

be AI is a powerful and capable tool.

10:16

And then uh like a bad argument from the

10:18

anti AI crowd would be AI is useless in

10:20

re in research {slash} in general. Um

10:23

but there were bad arguments that were

10:26

put forth by pro AI people. Uh something

10:28

like you use you use data centers. Like

10:31

Hank uses data centers. And it's like

10:33

yes,

10:34

YouTube is hosted on a data center in

10:36

>> Yes, so are you to write this comment.

10:38

>> Yes, but that's not that the the actual

10:41

like data center that's required to host

10:43

an online comment is wildly different

10:46

than a massive gen AI system like

10:48

cooking tons of tokens and actually uh

10:51

setting the GPUs on fire, right? Uh and

10:53

then a good argument, the best argument

10:54

from the anti AI crowd was said that AI

10:57

usage in science communication reduces

11:00

trust at least a little, which is which

11:02

is interesting. I mean uh yeah, you do

11:03

have to check these things. And we do

11:04

see tons of examples of people actually

11:07

leaking uh you know, AI phrases and and

11:10

weird AI like hallucinations into

11:12

scientific research. There was that

11:14

example of There was some PDF that was

11:16

scanned and there was a word on in one

11:19

column and a word in another column that

11:22

got bled together when the document was

11:24

imported and then a whole bunch of

11:26

a whole bunch of scientific research

11:28

started referencing this phrase that

11:30

doesn't exist and just came from

11:32

basically a hallucination or like a a

11:33

quirk of the optical character

11:35

recognition. So, anyway, uh they

11:38

canceled my goat for using LLMs to

11:40

search papers that he would need to read

11:42

to make his videos. They want him to use

11:44

Google search like a caveman in big

11:47

2026. That about sums it up.

11:49

>> is I don't Can you Can you even turn off

11:51

AI mode in Google now? Maybe

11:53

>> think you can. I think you can. You

11:55

could use DuckDuckGo.

11:57

>> I don't think that has AI yet. We'll

11:59

see.

11:59

>> Brian Loevern on X is sharing a

12:02

heartbreaking essay by a mathematician

12:04

last week for this most recent news

12:07

drop. So, this was before Noam Brown

12:09

>> Yeah.

12:09

>> uh showed uh the recent breakthroughs by

12:12

Astra. Said, "There is nothing I can do.

12:15

There may be nothing you can do. I have

12:16

no prescriptions, policy

12:18

recommendations, or coherent call to

12:20

action. I just want to be honest and

12:21

open about my emotional and spiritual

12:23

response. I want to feel seen. I want

12:25

folks like me to feel seen. I need the

12:28

architects of our new mathematical

12:30

paradigm to look me in the eyes and

12:31

acknowledge our shared humanity and soul

12:34

before they deliver the coup de grâce. I

12:37

need most of all for us to understand

12:39

what we are really doing."

12:40

>> The dark night of mathematics, Kerwin

12:43

Hampshire, mathematician researcher from

12:44

the University of Auckland, who recently

12:46

authored the viral essay. Studied in

12:49

mathematics. Interesting. I I It feels

12:51

like um I would be surprised if if

12:54

mathematical education goes away. It

12:56

feels like a lot of these problems

12:59

should be interesting to apply, but I

13:02

understand that's a different That's

13:03

That's a completely different

13:04

discipline. It will be interesting to

13:06

see what happens next because there are

13:09

more advanced problems, the the the the

13:12

Millennium Prize problems, P versus NP,

13:14

Navier-Stokes, right? Uh there there are

13:17

a number of problems that are still

13:19

unsolved. What happens when they're all

13:21

solved? Do we create new problems? Where

13:23

do we go from there? Do we start

13:24

applying them in different ways? What do

13:26

you think, Tyler?

13:27

>> Yeah, I mean obviously like

13:28

>> Got have advice for mathematicians?

13:30

>> I think it's so so in this article

13:31

article he says like mathematicians are

13:33

paid to like

13:33

>> 21 year old podcaster has advice for

13:38

>> [laughter]

13:38

>> Exactly. Like so he [clears throat] says

13:39

like mathematicians are are paid to

13:40

solve theorems which like obviously I'm

13:42

not in academia but like it seems like

13:43

that it's like kind of their job but

13:45

also it's like You're in a university

13:47

right? It's like to teach it.

13:48

>> Yeah, I mean there's plenty of there's

13:49

plenty of math professors that they sort

13:51

of try and solve theorems but also

13:53

mostly teach and you know don't solve

13:55

that many theorems or

13:56

>> Yeah, and also like presumably if you

13:58

can solve all these conjectures like

14:00

there's going to be new questions that

14:01

open up. This is like the entire history

14:03

of all science right?

14:04

>> Yeah, it will be interesting to see the

14:06

application of this stuff because it's

14:07

so abstract at this point and and and

14:10

it's it feels like it's very everyone's

14:12

saying like okay based on this like this

14:14

is going to like flood through material

14:16

science and flood through chemistry and

14:19

biology and that would be awesome.

14:22

Everyone would love you know oh all of a

14:24

sudden like the electric cars have twice

14:25

as much range because we solved some

14:27

fundamental thing.

14:29

It'll be interesting to see where the

14:31

new bottlenecks are. There of course

14:33

will be always. Math professors hate AI

14:36

for one simple trick. Just scale scale

14:39

scale I suppose.

14:40

>> It's time.

14:40

>> What?

14:41

>> It's time to talk about the rise of one

14:44

person one dollar companies. Wall Street

14:46

Journal is saying AI tools make it

14:49

easier for founders to get started alone

14:50

and many stay that way as they grow. Ben

14:54

Broca launched a company last December

14:55

that offers AI tools to entrepreneurs.

14:57

>> That name's familiar. We had him on the

14:59

show.

14:59

>> already added 10,000 paying customers

15:02

and is on track to bring in 10 million

15:05

in revenue this year. One thing he

15:07

hasn't added any other employees. The 40

15:09

year old is part of a class of

15:10

entrepreneurs who are launching and

15:12

often running new companies on their

15:13

own. Artificial intelligence tools

15:14

answer Broca's emails, help write and

15:16

debug code, field requests from

15:18

customers, sign up new subscribers and

15:20

grant refunds when issues arise. Broca

15:23

relishes his ability to make whatever

15:24

decisions he wants on his own, often

15:26

from his sun-drenched Sausalito,

15:28

California living room. I think

15:29

compromises make lukewarm results, he

15:32

said. Once upon a time, running a

15:33

business of a certain size required a

15:35

team. AI is turning that assumption

15:37

upside down, and more aspiring

15:38

entrepreneurs are going it alone. An

15:40

analysis by the payments company Stripe,

15:43

Tyler,

15:44

look up Stripe, shows there are

15:45

thousands of solo operators on the

15:47

company's platform that are generating

15:49

over 1 million in revenue, with their

15:51

ranks doubling between 2023 and 2025.

15:53

>> That's pretty crazy. So, this is on

15:55

Pulsea, right?

15:56

>> No. No, no, no, no, no.

15:57

>> Oh, on Stripe.

15:58

>> Definitely not.

15:59

>> Okay.

16:00

>> This is just Stripe.

16:01

>> Okay.

16:01

>> Um the number of solo, I'm sure I I

16:04

would be curious if Pulsea has any

16:05

companies that do more than, you know,

16:08

>> a thousand

16:09

>> a thousand dollars a month.

16:10

>> you're looking at the

16:11

>> cuz cuz to be honest, cuz to be honest,

16:13

like I actually do think success for

16:15

Pulsea is like just making back a dollar

16:17

like even a dollar more than you're

16:19

spending on on Pulsea, right? Because

16:22

>> who's been demoing different AI systems,

16:26

Fable and Soul and Kimmi, and saying

16:29

like go make me money is the basically

16:31

the only prompt, and he lets it cook for

16:33

like a week, and

16:35

he'll be on like a 200 months $200 a

16:37

month subscription, see if it can make 6

16:39

cents, see if it can make $10, and he's

16:41

getting closer every time, and he of

16:44

course has to do some things, set up API

16:47

keys, and do little things, but it's an

16:48

interesting experiment.

16:50

>> Ben Awad, you should go check it out.

16:51

>> So, the number of solo operators,

16:53

according to Stripe, also crossing the

16:55

$10 million threshold nearly tripled in

16:57

that same span. In the past, people

17:00

without business contract contacts or

17:02

particular savvy might not have known

17:03

how to get their ideas off the ground.

17:05

Now, AI can be a built-in business

17:06

partner.

17:07

>> Yeah, we How does How does Stripe know

17:10

if you're a solo operator? Like, if

17:11

you're because if you're a podcaster and

17:14

you set up a Stripe account to accept

17:16

money from advertisers, you could be

17:18

having a million dollars move through

17:20

there, but if you hire an editor or not,

17:22

that doesn't necessarily show up in

17:23

Stripe. So, they must do some sort of

17:24

polling and ask

17:26

>> Yeah, I think I think in your account at

17:28

some point you say how many employees

17:30

you have.

17:30

>> Okay, and if you say yeah, I just got

17:32

one.

17:32

>> But, I guess one question I have with

17:34

the data one question I have with the

17:35

data is like what if you just set up

17:37

your Stripe account and it's like how

17:38

many employees do you have and you just

17:40

>> One, and then you wind up adding people

17:41

and you don't go and update. Yeah,

17:43

possible.

17:43

>> Yeah, because they don't have the the

17:45

payroll. I I don't know how I don't know

17:47

how they would have visibility into into

17:49

payroll, especially like individual

17:52

employees.

17:53

>> Yeah, yeah.

17:53

>> Um they do have a sense for how many

17:55

people obviously are like added to your

17:57

account, but sometimes it's like whose

17:58

account if you add your CPA, you know.

18:02

>> and that's a contractor, not an

18:03

employee. Yeah.

18:04

>> AI's ability to handle various

18:05

administrative tasks makes it

18:06

potentially useful for launching solo

18:07

businesses in many fields, but the

18:09

technology's ability to handle key tasks

18:11

in tech like coding make that field a

18:12

particular hotspot. Among all

18:14

industries, new business applications in

18:16

the information sector

18:17

>> have seen the biggest percentage

18:18

increase nearly 45% over the past year,

18:20

yeah. Uh at the same time, the rate of

18:22

information sector applicants saying

18:24

they plan to hire workers has

18:25

experienced the sharpest decline of any

18:27

measured industry. This census data set

18:29

doesn't track solo operated businesses,

18:31

but the numbers broadly show in tech and

18:33

beyond that applications are flat among

18:35

businesses likely to hire workers, but

18:37

generally rising elsewhere. Economists

18:39

say that's a strong sign that solo

18:41

operators are in the upswing. Wow.

18:45

>> Yeah, that chart is really up into the

18:47

left. Uh new business formation, this is

18:49

in the information sector in particular.

18:52

So,

18:52

>> Tyler, update.

18:53

>> Okay, so so they basically calculate the

18:55

number of like solopreneurs based on how

18:57

many people have like there's like

18:59

special plugins or platforms that are

19:00

directly for like the solopreneur.

19:03

So, they basically use that to like get

19:05

a proxy of the general like percentage

19:07

of solo people on Stripe.

19:09

>> On Stripe. Oh, they They like a special

19:11

flow for solopreneur. Interesting.

19:13

>> Yes. Oh,

19:14

cool. So, they say that they are almost

19:16

certainly underestimating number.

19:18

>> Hey, Julian Weisser, I know him.

19:20

Says the bar is getting the bar for

19:22

getting started has never been lower,

19:24

said Julian Weisser, who runs a San

19:26

Francisco-based accelerator for solo

19:28

founders working in tech. The

19:29

accelerator, which offers founders seed

19:31

money in mentorship in exchange for an

19:33

equity stake, attracted 4,500 applicants

19:36

for 10 slots made available in its most

19:39

recent cycle. Nearly five times the

19:41

number it drew when it launched last

19:43

May. Now, he's been growing this a lot,

19:45

but that that is staggering. A lot of

19:47

people want to do be uh solopreneurs. Uh

19:49

going it alone with AI can still be

19:51

surprisingly expensive. Brokus said he

19:54

was losing money on many customers'

19:55

accounts while paying to access

19:57

Anthropic's cloud to run his clients'

19:58

requests. That AI company, as well as

20:01

others, charge based on usage. He has

20:02

since switched to free open-source

20:04

models from China.

20:05

Uh Brokus says he has raised $30 million

20:08

from investors and at the same time has

20:10

saved millions in salary since he hasn't

20:12

needed a team of software engineers.

20:13

Another risk, if it's easy for one

20:15

entrepreneur to launch an AI-assisted

20:16

business, copying them can be easy, too.

20:18

This creates anxiety for founders like

20:20

Troy Johnston, who runs an AI-assisted

20:22

business alone in Orlando, Florida.

20:24

Everybody has the sword, and we all have

20:26

the ability to unsheathe Excalibur now.

20:29

Johnston, what a [laughter] great quote

20:31

for the journal.

20:33

I love it.

20:34

Uh he's 40. He used an AI He used AI to

20:37

code an app that helps people get the

20:39

most out of credit benefits. Huh, it's

20:42

interesting. Pick pick which card you

20:45

want to use cuz you might have multiple

20:46

cards, one that's good for dining, and

20:48

you build an app for that. There's been

20:49

a few apps that do that. The Points Guy

20:52

had a whole blog around it, a whole

20:54

media company around it, still does, but

20:56

um

20:57

uh

20:58

interesting to sort of like, yeah, go

21:00

and go and actually write code that. A

21:01

lot of these things it's like you could

21:02

probably just use the models themselves

21:05

for this. Uh just have a thread that

21:08

says, "Hey, these are the cards I have.

21:09

Go pull all of the data. When I'm about

21:11

to buy something, let me know." But, at

21:13

the same time, there might be some value

21:14

for something new uh with a deeper

21:16

integration somewhere. Uh the company

21:18

makes around $3,000 a month in profit

21:20

with no employees and continuing to

21:21

grow. What a run for John Troy Johnston.

21:25

>> Great story.

21:26

>> Who loves King Arthur-related metaphors

21:29

for business. What one-person businesses

21:31

will mean for the labor market remains

21:32

to be seen. Polling has shown that

21:33

Americans are worried that AI will

21:35

replace jobs, and top economists are

21:36

wrestling with that possibility, too.

21:38

But, AI is also creating lots of new

21:39

jobs, and the Go to Alone entrepreneurs

21:41

show the technology can both open doors

21:43

and limit unemployment opportunities.

21:45

"If everyone's hiring less, but you get

21:47

four four times more firms, what does

21:49

that do to head count?" said Rembrand

21:51

Koning, an associate professor at

21:53

Harvard Business School who studies

21:54

entrepreneurship. He co-authored his

21:55

recent study that found that among

21:57

50,000 startups the researchers

21:59

examined, those focused on AI tended to

22:01

operate with 25% fewer employees.

22:05

>> It's interesting, because haven't we

22:06

seen that that that that the ramp data

22:08

that said that AI AI-adopting companies

22:11

were hiring faster? But, maybe they

22:13

still operate lower operational head

22:16

count, but hiring faster because of

22:18

higher and growth. There's like three

22:20

different factors that are going on

22:21

here, sort of mixing all together. Uh

22:23

Koning, the professor, also believes in

22:25

a soft believes a soft hiring

22:27

environment that has left some people

22:29

mired in long job searches has

22:31

encouraged more to try their hand at

22:32

launching businesses. That makes sense.

22:34

>> Some founders say different motives.

22:35

It's a perfect storm of post-pandemic

22:37

burnout and a reevaluation of one's

22:39

priorities, and also booming AI and a

22:42

sense of what's possible, said Samir

22:43

Madhavan, 39, who lives in

22:45

Breinigsville, PA. Two years ago,

22:47

Madhavan decided to leave the corporate

22:48

job he'd worked at at Verizon for almost

22:50

two decades to start a solo coaching and

22:52

consulting business. He had been seeing

22:54

social media posts touting the ease and

22:56

virtues of AI, which he liked to chart

22:59

uh which he used to chart a business

23:00

plan and help with marketing. It was

23:02

like my chief of staff, second in

23:04

command. The business ultimately petered

23:06

out within months though, and Amode is

23:07

back to full-time corporate role at with

23:09

a utility company. For Claire Vo,

23:11

uh 41, AI helped turn her passing

23:14

impulse into a business. She was working

23:17

full-time as a tech executive when she

23:19

tapped AI in late 2023 to help code an

23:22

app that would help manage documentation

23:25

and design for new products with

23:26

customers ranging from financial

23:28

services to healthcare firms. "I was

23:30

copying and pasting from ChatGPT," said

23:32

Vo, who lives in San Francisco. Uh she

23:35

put her app online for $1 a month. Wow,

23:37

that is cheap. Uh and within weeks

23:39

people

23:40

>> I thought we didn't know how to make

23:41

apps that cheap anymore.

23:42

>> I mean, it is a subscription at least,

23:44

not one-time, but uh she put it online

23:46

for $1 a month and within weeks people

23:47

downloaded thousands of times. Nearly 3

23:50

years later, Vo's company, which she ran

23:51

solo for 9 months before hiring an

23:53

engineer, now has 100,000 users and is

23:57

on track to make seven figures in profit

23:58

this year. Wow. That's remarkable at a

24:01

dollar a month. That's crazy. AI handles

24:03

the company's marketing, sales, and

24:04

customer support. "While AI is a

24:06

shortcut," Vo said her network and

24:08

credibility in the industry were key. "I

24:09

think people over-index how on how easy

24:12

AI is and under-index on how much I did

24:15

to get to this point," she said. She's

24:17

still

24:18

>> Yeah, I I just want to see I want

24:20

[snorts] to see five companies that

24:24

make more money from their business than

24:27

they give Pulsia every month.

24:29

>> Yes. Uh so So, Pulsia has has some

24:31

public dashboards for how much people

24:33

are spending or something like that.

24:35

>> Yeah, so right now you can see all the

24:36

different things that the companies on

24:38

Pulsia are doing or at least some of

24:39

them.

24:40

Right now, so far today, companies on

24:43

Pulsia Pulsia have spent $373.

24:46

>> Is that today?

24:47

>> On ads.

24:48

>> Today?

24:48

>> Yeah.

24:49

>> Oh, well, it's still morning.

24:50

>> It's still morning, so we're we're

24:51

pacing. We're only about I don't know

24:53

what time zone this is in. But yeah, the

24:55

the the big question is like is any of

24:57

this stuff actually working or is it

25:00

more like kind of a video game

25:02

effectively?

25:03

>> Yeah.

25:04

>> That

25:05

people just enjoy like watching the

25:07

machine hum, but there's not really much

25:10

happening.

25:10

>> I mean that was the thing for Midjourney

25:12

and Suno I think in in many ways. Like

25:15

Midjourney

25:16

when it launched people were like

25:18

>> Totally. I mean

25:19

No.

25:20

>> Okay. Hear me out.

25:22

>> Okay, I'll hear you out.

25:23

>> Okay, when Midjourney launched

25:24

>> Get the steal man.

25:25

>> When when Midjourney launched people

25:26

were like this is going to take artists'

25:29

jobs. And it was like, okay, so if that

25:32

plays out then I'm going to go to the

25:34

MoMA and there's going to be a show for

25:36

someone that just prompted Midjourney

25:38

and the highest auction at Christie's is

25:40

going to be some Midjourney artist and

25:42

that's not really what happened. Like

25:44

people aren't using Midjourney to make

25:47

fine art, but people love Midjourney.

25:50

Like they love the activity of going on

25:52

Midjourney and generating and prompting

25:55

and getting an image back and then and

25:57

then maybe they send it to their

25:57

friends, maybe they use it a little bit,

25:59

but it's not exactly the same of like

26:02

the process of becoming a fine artist.

26:05

It's more like they're enjoying the

26:07

process of just making. It's more like

26:10

just having a guitar that you just like

26:11

to practice and noodle on versus like

26:13

actually being a touring artist. And so

26:16

like that's certainly my experience with

26:18

the Suno is it's fun to try and make a

26:20

song and then listen to it and then be

26:22

like wrestling with the thing and and

26:25

And it's possible that I could be the

26:26

same activity for like, okay, I'm going

26:29

to go build an online business, see if I

26:31

can get something out, but it's not

26:33

really like a job. It's more of like an

26:35

entertainment product. I don't know.

26:37

>> What do you think?

26:37

>> Yeah, I mean you could easily see it

26:38

turning into like Ender's Game scenario

26:40

where it's like game and then it's like,

26:41

oh, that was actually a real business

26:42

you were starting and they're you know

26:44

>> You offshored the last job.

26:47

>> [laughter]

26:48

>> You sent all you sent all the labor

26:50

overseas.

26:51

You rolled up the entire HVAC industry.

26:54

That wasn't a simulation.

26:56

>> Mark Zuckerberg was answering questions

26:58

about his AI strategy on the latest Meta

27:01

earnings call and Ben Thompson wrote

27:04

about what Meta's position is in AI, how

27:08

they're grappling with a few things.

27:10

There was a bunch of interesting points

27:11

in this Stratechery update. One I wanted

27:14

to call out was what Ben Thompson

27:15

thought the best moment on the call was

27:17

when an analyst asked him why the

27:19

company can't just use other models.

27:21

Like, why can't you just do the Apple

27:23

thing? Do nothing, win. Like, partner

27:25

with one of the labs, do some license

27:27

agreement. If you need an image model,

27:29

you get an image model. If you need a

27:30

text model, you get a text model. If you

27:31

need to speed up your programmers or

27:34

your your your engineers,

27:37

hire the best coding agent and negotiate

27:39

with them, right? Um And here's how Mark

27:42

Zuckerberg answered it. He said,

27:44

"I can take the open-source question.

27:45

Let's see. So, basically, the question

27:46

is, do we think that because there are

27:49

some open weight models that we can just

27:52

rely on those? I mean, right now, the

27:54

open-source models are not as strong as

27:56

the frontier models, good point. So, no

27:59

is the basic answer. Meta needs to be on

28:01

the frontier with their intelligence

28:03

that they use, so they have to be there.

28:05

There's also just always the perpetual

28:07

both policy debate and and question

28:10

around other companies' actions and

28:11

whether that's a thing a company like

28:14

Meta can rely on. So, if you're using

28:17

Chinese open source and there's some

28:18

regulatory risk, it seems like that's

28:19

sort of what he's getting at is these

28:21

things might not rely they might not be

28:23

available all all the time. And then

28:25

also, some of these companies, they

28:26

might be open source for a few years and

28:27

then go closed source and then start

28:28

charging you an arm and a leg. So, you

28:30

don't want to be in a place where you

28:32

become super dependent and then all of a

28:34

sudden get get, you know, hurt once

28:36

you're, you know,

28:39

super dependent on a particular product.

28:40

So, he says,

28:42

"And I think that's very tricky. So, on

28:44

both fronts, we believe we're going to

28:45

be able to do better work, and we think

28:48

that there's some risk in that reliance,

28:50

I don't believe that's the right thing

28:52

to do.

28:53

So,

28:54

uh that

28:55

felt like not a great answer to me uh in

28:59

the sense that uh the the Apple approach

29:01

seems to be working so well. Uh then he

29:03

goes on to explain some of the history

29:05

of Meta, and it's very very interesting.

29:06

He says, "I think that we're a company

29:08

that if you look at Meta from take a

29:10

step back on this, a lot of people view

29:12

the surface layer uh uh of we build some

29:14

social media apps and we have an ad

29:16

business. We are really a full-stack

29:17

technology company. We we build our own

29:20

data centers, our own infrastructure,

29:21

our own chips, our own low-level

29:23

software. When we get when we got

29:25

started, he says, "My background in

29:27

engineering, I wrote a lot of the

29:29

systems code. A lot of the reason why

29:31

Facebook worked was because it actually

29:35

it just worked, which is a crazy thing

29:37

to say based on the history." But he but

29:39

he makes a really good point. He says he

29:40

says, "Like it literally worked when

29:42

other social networks did not work fast

29:45

and efficiently. And I think we just

29:47

have the ability to build things that

29:49

can be more personalized, more

29:50

optimized, more efficient. Some

29:52

qualitative experiences are just not

29:54

even possible for others to build

29:56

because we go all the way down the

29:58

stack. And it just seems to me pretty

30:00

clear that having kind of sovereignty

30:02

over building your own models is going

30:04

to be an important part of that stack

30:06

going forward, which is why it's

30:07

important for Meta." And so, that that

30:08

was very interesting that that was a

30:10

differentiator in the early days that uh

30:12

certain other competitor sites would

30:14

just be slower. They wouldn't be able to

30:16

launch new features quickly. And by

30:18

vertically integrating all up and down

30:20

the tech stack, they were able to do

30:22

things very aggressively. This is the uh

30:25

the Reels uh thing. They built two extra

30:27

data centers to be able to do the Reels

30:29

algorithm, because if they didn't have

30:31

that compute capacity, they could not

30:34

have launched a competitor to TikTok on

30:36

any normal time frame because it was

30:39

actually a compute-intensive project,

30:41

not just a design. People see, "Oh, they

30:44

just put a new button there and there's

30:45

some videos." But it's like behind those

30:47

videos is a massive recommender system

30:49

that is very computationally intensive

30:51

and stores a lot of data, and you can't

30:53

just spin that up for 3 billion users or

30:56

however many billions of users they have

30:58

on a on a dime if you don't have the

31:00

infrastructure, if you're not actually

31:01

vertically integrated. So, there's a

31:02

whole bunch of other things where in

31:04

terms of personalization, understanding

31:07

the user, delivering a really class

31:10

experience, they sort of do need to

31:12

bring it in-house, but investors are

31:14

very upset about this. They're They're

31:16

not very happy because Ben Thompson

31:17

called it calls it the financial tail

31:19

wagging the dog and says that they have

31:22

to sort of double spend right now. He

31:24

makes a good point about this. They're

31:25

double paying The company right now is

31:27

basically double paying for

31:28

infrastructure without a clear path to

31:30

monetization.

31:31

And to make matters worse, it's

31:33

improving monetization story lost a bit

31:35

of its luster. So, they're both renting

31:38

AI compute, paying a bunch of money for

31:40

new researchers, and then also spending

31:43

all the capex for the next data center.

31:44

So, all of that needs to come together

31:47

in this in this moment to actually

31:49

deliver. And the investors are starting

31:51

to ask all these questions about what

31:53

the what the strategy is, but Zuck's

31:55

sticking with it. He's not He's not

31:57

backing down. But we'll see.

31:59

>> Yeah, tough position to be in when

32:01

capital markets don't have a ton of

32:03

faith. And you just see that in in

32:06

the stock price,

32:08

the the company broadly. Right, there's

32:10

a lot of infighting, frustration around

32:12

just how MSL is treated versus the rest

32:14

of the company, which is paying for MSL.

32:17

So, Zuck is uh

32:20

is at war with fighting a war with

32:22

multiple fronts.

32:24

>> It is. It's a big war. Let's go to this

32:25

Paul Graham post.

32:28

He had such a wild experience. He

32:31

bought a book. It was awful. Didn't want

32:34

it on my shelves, but I couldn't throw

32:36

it away. So, it sat on a table near the

32:39

door.

32:39

>> I know someone that will rip it apart,

32:43

feed it to a machine,

32:45

>> [laughter]

32:45

>> and burn it.

32:48

I know someone. I don't know them

32:49

personally, but I know they they would

32:52

they would love to to take this off your

32:55

hands.

32:57

>> Rushing to an appointment this morning,

32:58

I grabbed it to read it. First mistake.

33:01

Then went to breakfast and had nothing

33:03

else. So I spent the morning reading the

33:04

worst book I own.

33:07

>> [laughter]

33:07

>> It's such a funny such a funny like

33:10

just like I don't know. But say it feels

33:12

like a Curb Your Enthusiasm episode or

33:14

something like that. Anyway, thank you

33:16

so much for tuning in to TV B N today.

33:18

We'll see you tomorrow at 11:00 a.m.

33:19

Pacific.

33:21

Leave us 5 stars on Apple Podcasts and

33:22

Spotify. Sign up for our newsletter

33:24

tvbn.com. Goodbye.

Interactive Summary

The discussion covers several key impacts of AI. Firstly, YouTube creator Hank Green faced significant backlash for using ChatGPT for research in his educational videos, highlighting a broader societal debate about AI's role in content creation and education, especially regarding trust and potential misinformation. Secondly, OpenAI's Astra model reportedly achieved major breakthroughs by solving 10 open problems in mathematics, quantum complexity, and theoretical computer science, leading to discussions about the future of human mathematicians and the nature of AI's problem-solving capabilities. Thirdly, the conversation delves into the rise of one-person companies, empowered by AI tools that handle various administrative and technical tasks, enabling entrepreneurs like Ben Broca and Claire Vo to generate substantial revenue without hiring employees. Stripe data indicates a surge in such solo ventures, particularly in the information sector, raising questions about AI's impact on the labor market. Finally, Mark Zuckerberg's rationale for Meta's full-stack AI strategy is examined; he argues that building in-house frontier AI models and vertically integrating infrastructure is essential for Meta to maintain competitiveness, personalization, and efficiency, despite investor concerns about the significant 'double spending' on infrastructure without immediate monetization.

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