HomeVideos

Sergey Brin | All-In Summit 2024

Now Playing

Sergey Brin | All-In Summit 2024

Transcript

507 segments

0:00

they wondered if there was a better way

0:01

to find information on the web on

0:03

September 15th 1997 they registered

0:06

Google as a website one of the greatest

0:09

entrepreneurs of our times someone who

0:13

really wanted to think outside the box

0:14

if that sounds like it's impossible

0:16

let's try it he took a backseat in

0:18

recent years to other Google leaders

0:20

Brin is now back helping Google's

0:22

efforts in artificial intelligence I

0:24

feel lucky uh that I fell into doing

0:27

something um that I feel really matter

0:30

you know getting people

0:33

[Music]

0:34

[Applause]

0:36

[Music]

0:45

[Applause]

0:47

information no introduction needed

0:50

welcome I I just agreed to this last

0:53

minute as you know I don't know where

0:54

you pulled up that clip so fast you guys

0:56

team is amazing kind of amazing this is

0:58

kind of amazing yeah

1:00

I thought Serge Ser just well he asked

1:04

to come check out the conference and I

1:06

was like definitely like come hang out I

1:08

didn't actually understand to be

1:10

perfectly honest I thought you guys just

1:12

kind of had a podcast and like a little

1:14

get together or something but yeah this

1:17

kind of mind-blowing congratulations

1:19

thank you well I'm glad you came out I'm

1:22

feeling a little bit shy but yeah wow

1:24

but thanks for agreeing to chat for a

1:26

little bit we're going to talk for a

1:27

little bit so this was not on the

1:28

schedule um but uh I thought it'd be

1:31

great to talk to you given where you sit

1:35

in the world as AI is on the brink of

1:39

and is actively changing the world

1:41

obviously um you know you founded Google

1:43

with Larry in 1998 and um you know

1:46

recently it's been reported that you've

1:48

kind of spent a lot more time at Google

1:50

working on AI I thought maybe and and a

1:53

lot of Industry analysts and pundits

1:55

have been kind of arguing that llms and

1:57

conversational AI tools are kind of an

1:59

ex Potential Threat to Google search

2:01

that's that's one of the and I think a

2:02

lot of those people don't build

2:03

businesses or they have competitive

2:05

Investments but you know we'll leave

2:07

that to the side um but there's this big

2:09

kind of narrative on what's going to

2:10

happen to Google and and where's Google

2:12

sitting with AI and I know you're

2:13

spending a lot of time on it so thanks

2:14

for coming to talk about it how much

2:16

time are you spending at Google what are

2:17

you working on yeah um honestly like

2:20

pretty much every day I mean like I'm

2:21

missing today which is you know one of

2:24

the one of the reasons I was a little

2:25

reluctant but I'm glad I came um but

2:30

I think as a computer

2:32

scientist I've never seen anything as

2:35

exciting as all of the AI progress

2:38

that's happened the last few

2:40

years thanks um no but it's it's kind of

2:45

mindblowing when I went to grad school

2:47

in the 9s you know AI was like kind of

2:51

like a footnote in the curriculum almost

2:54

like you like oh maybe you have to do

2:56

this one little test on AI we tried all

2:58

these different things they don't really

2:59

work that's it that's all you need to

3:01

know um and then somehow miraculously

3:05

all these people who are working on

3:06

neural Nets which was one of the big

3:09

discarded uh approaches to AI in like

3:12

the' 60s 7s and so forth um just started

3:16

to make progress a little bit more

3:17

compute a little more data a few clever

3:21

algorithms um and the thing that's

3:24

happened in this last decade or so is

3:28

just amazing as a computer scientist

3:31

like every month um you know well all of

3:35

you I'm sure use all of the AI tools out

3:37

there but like every month there's like

3:39

a new amazing capability and I'm like

3:41

probably you know doubly wowed as

3:43

everybody else is that computers can do

3:46

this um and

3:48

so yeah for me I really got back into

3:51

the technical work um because I just

3:54

don't want to miss out on this um as a

3:58

computer scientist is an extension of

4:00

search or a rewriting of how people

4:04

retrieve

4:05

information I mean I just think that the

4:07

AI touches so many different elements of

4:12

day-to-day life and sure search is one

4:14

of them uh but it kind of covers

4:17

everything um for example programming

4:21

itself right like the way that I think

4:23

about

4:24

it is very different now like you know

4:28

writing code from scratch feels really

4:30

hard compared to just asking the AI to

4:33

do it right um yeah sorry um so what do

4:38

you do then um actually I've written a

4:40

little bit of code myself just for Just

4:43

for kicks just for fun uh and then

4:46

sometimes I've had the AI write the code

4:48

for me um uh which was which was fun um

4:53

I mean just one example I wanted to see

4:56

how good our AI models were at Sudoku

5:00

so I had the AI model itself write a

5:02

bunch of code that would automatically

5:03

generate Sudoku puzzles and then feed

5:06

them to the AI itself and then score it

5:09

and so forth right um but it could just

5:11

write that code and I was like talking

5:14

to the engineers about it and you know

5:17

whatever we had some debate back and

5:18

forth like I came back half an hour

5:19

later it's done and they they were kind

5:22

of impressed because they don't honestly

5:23

use the AI tools for their own coding as

5:25

much as I think they ought to right um

5:29

so that's interesting example because

5:31

maybe there's a model that does Sudoku

5:33

really well maybe there's a model that

5:36

like answers information questions for

5:38

me about facts on the in the world maybe

5:41

there's an AI model that designs houses

5:44

um a lot of people are working towards

5:47

these ginormous general purpose llms is

5:51

that where the world goes some people I

5:53

think refer I don't know who wrote this

5:54

recently said there's a God model like

5:55

there's going to be a god model and

5:56

that's why everyone's investing so much

5:58

is if you can build the god model

6:00

you're done you got AGI whatever terms

6:02

you want to use there's this one thing

6:05

to rule them all or is the reality of AI

6:08

that there are lots of smaller models

6:10

that do application specific things

6:12

maybe work together like in an agent

6:14

system like what's the what what what is

6:16

the evolution of model development and

6:18

the how models are ultimately used to do

6:20

all these cool things um yeah I mean I

6:24

think like if you looked 10 15 years ago

6:28

there were different AI techniques that

6:30

were used for different problems

6:32

altogether like uh you know the chess

6:34

playing AI was very different than image

6:37

generation which was you know very

6:40

different um than like recently the

6:42

graph neural net at Google that like

6:44

outperformed every physics forecasting

6:47

model I don't know if you know this but

6:48

you guys publish this pretty aesome

6:50

embarassed I but it was like a totally

6:53

different Arch it was a different system

6:54

it was trained differently and it ended

6:56

up in that particular so there

6:58

historically there have been different

7:00

systems and even recently um like the

7:04

international math Olympiad that we

7:06

participated in we got um silver metal

7:09

as an AI actually one point away from

7:11

gold um but we actually had three

7:14

different AI models in there there was

7:16

one very uh formal theorem proving model

7:19

that actually did basically the best

7:21

there was one uh specific to Geometry

7:24

problems believe it or not that was just

7:25

a special kind of AI uh and then there

7:27

was a general purpose language model

7:30

um but uh since then we've tried to take

7:33

the learnings from that that was just a

7:35

couple months ago uh and triy to infuse

7:38

some of the sort of knowledge and

7:40

ability from the formal prover into our

7:42

general language models um that's still

7:45

working progress but I do think the

7:48

trend is to have a more unified model I

7:52

don't know if I'd call a god model uh

7:55

but to have certainly sort of shared

7:58

architectures and and ultimately even

8:01

shared

8:02

models um right so if that's true you

8:06

need a lot of compute to train and

8:09

develop that model that big

8:12

model uh yeah yeah I mean you definitely

8:15

need a lot of compute I I think like

8:17

I've I've read

8:19

some articles out there that just like

8:22

extrapolate they're like you know it's

8:24

like 100 megawatt and a gwatt and 10

8:26

gwatt and 100 gwatt and I don't know if

8:28

I'm quite a believer in you know that

8:31

level of

8:32

extrapolation um partly because

8:36

also the algorithmic improvements that

8:38

have come over the course of the last

8:40

few years uh maybe are actually even

8:44

outpacing the increased compute that's

8:46

put into these

8:48

models so is it irrational the buildout

8:52

that's happening everyone talking about

8:55

the Nvidia Revenue the Nvidia profit the

8:58

Nvidia market cap supporting all of what

9:01

people call the hyperscalers and the

9:02

growth of the infrastructure needed to

9:04

build these very large scale models

9:06

using the techniques of today is this

9:09

irrational or is it rational because if

9:10

it works it's so big that it doesn't

9:13

matter how much you well first of all

9:14

I'm not like an economist or like a

9:16

market Watcher the way that you guys

9:18

very carefully um watch companies so I

9:20

just want to disclaim my abilities in

9:22

the space um I think that I know uh for

9:28

us we're kind of building out compute as

9:29

quickly as we can and we just have a

9:31

huge amount of demand I mean for example

9:33

our Cloud customers just want a huge

9:36

amount of tpus gpus you name it um you

9:41

know we just can't we have to turn down

9:42

customers uh because we just don't have

9:45

the compute available uh and we use it

9:47

internally to train our own models to

9:49

serve our own models and so forth

9:51

so I guess I think there are very good

9:54

reasons that companies are currently

9:56

building out comput at a fast pace um I

9:59

just don't know that I would look at the

10:04

training Trends and extrapolate three

10:06

orders of magnitude ahe just blindly

10:08

from where we are today but the

10:10

Enterprise demand is there out there you

10:12

know I mean they they want to do lots of

10:14

other things for example running

10:16

inference on all these AI models

10:18

applying them to all these um new

10:21

applications um yeah there doesn't seem

10:24

to

10:25

be uh a limit right now

10:29

and where have you seen the greatest

10:32

success surprising success in the

10:35

application of models whether it's in

10:38

robotics or biology what are you like

10:40

seeing that you're like wow this is

10:41

really working and where are things

10:43

going to be more challenging and take

10:45

longer than I think some people might be

10:48

expecting um yeah I mean uh now that you

10:52

mentioned those well I I would say in

10:54

biology you know we've had Alpha fold

10:56

for quite a while um and I'm not

10:59

personally a biologist but when I talk

11:01

to biologists out there like everybody

11:03

uses it and it's more recent uh variants

11:07

um uh and that is I guess a different

11:10

kind of AI but like I said I do think

11:12

all these things tend to

11:14

converge um you know

11:18

robotics for the most part I see in this

11:21

sort of wow stage like wow you could

11:24

make a robot do that with just you know

11:27

this general purpose language model or

11:29

just a little bit of fine tuning this

11:30

way or that and it's like

11:34

amazing uh but maybe

11:36

not for the most part yet at the level

11:40

of robustness that would make it like

11:42

day-to-day useful but you see a line of

11:44

sight to

11:45

it

11:47

um yeah yeah I mean it would be it's I

11:50

don't see any particular Google the

11:52

robotics business and then spun it out

11:55

or sold it we've had like had aot five

11:58

or six robotics businesses they just

12:00

weren't the timing wasn't right yeah um

12:03

yeah unfortunately I don't know I guess

12:05

yeah I think that was just a little too

12:07

early to be perfectly honest I mean

12:09

there was like Boston Dynamics um what

12:11

was called um start stamp I don't even

12:14

remember all the ones we had anyway

12:17

we've had like five or six

12:18

embarrassingly yeah um but they're very

12:22

cool um and they very

12:25

impressive

12:27

um it yeah it just feels kind of silly

12:30

having done all of that

12:32

work uh and seeing now how capable these

12:36

General language models are that include

12:38

for example vision and image and they

12:39

multimodal and they can understand the

12:42

scene and everything and not having had

12:44

that at the time uh yeah it just feels

12:47

like you were sort of on a treadmill

12:50

that wasn't going to get anywhere

12:51

without the modern AI technology you

12:54

spend a lot of time on core technology

12:56

do you also spend a lot of time on

12:57

product visioning where things going and

13:00

what like the human computer interaction

13:03

modalities are going to be in the future

13:04

in a world of AI everywhere like what's

13:07

our life going to be like I mean I guess

13:09

there's water cooler chitchat about

13:12

things like

13:13

that um sh care to share

13:17

any

13:20

I um trying to think of things that

13:23

aren't embarrassing um struggling but uh

13:26

friends I I guess it's like just really

13:31

hard

13:33

to you know just forecast like you know

13:36

to think five years out because you know

13:38

based on the base technical capability

13:40

of the AI is what enables the

13:43

applications um and then sometimes you

13:45

know somebody will just whip up a little

13:47

demo that you just didn't think

13:50

about

13:51

um and it'll be kind of mind-blowing

13:55

yeah um uh and uh and of course then

13:59

from demo to actually making it real in

14:01

production so forth takes time um I

14:04

don't know if you've played with like uh

14:05

the Astra model but it's just sort of

14:08

live video and audio and you can chat

14:10

with the AI about what's going on in

14:12

your environment you'll give me access

14:14

right uh yeah I'll get well once I have

14:16

access um I mean I'm I'm sort of

14:20

sometimes the slowest to get some of

14:22

these

14:23

things um but it's um yeah there's like

14:26

a moment of wow

14:30

uh and you're like oh my God this is

14:33

amazing and then you're like okay well

14:36

it does a correctly like 90% of the time

14:39

but am I really like is that then worth

14:42

it if 10% of the time it's kind to make

14:43

a mistake or taking too long or

14:46

whatever and then you have to work work

14:48

work work work work work to get to

14:50

Perfect all those things make it

14:51

responsive make it available whatever

14:53

and then you actually end up with

14:56

something kind of amazing I heard a

14:58

story

15:00

that you went in you were on site I

15:03

should have mentioned this to you before

15:04

you came on stage see if you were cool

15:05

about talking about here we are um and

15:08

there like a bunch of Engineers showed

15:09

you that you could like use AI to write

15:11

code and it was like well we haven't

15:13

pushed it in Gemini yet um because we

15:15

want to make sure it doesn't make

15:17

mistakes and there was this like

15:18

hesitation culturally at Google to do

15:20

that and you were like no if it writes

15:22

code push it and you really and a lot of

15:24

people have told me this story because

15:25

they said and um or you know I've heard

15:28

this that it was really important to

15:30

hear that from you the founder in being

15:33

really clear that Google's conservatism

15:36

you know can't rule the day today and we

15:39

need to kind of see Google push the

15:41

envelope is that accurate is that kind

15:43

of huh how you've spent some time or I

15:45

don't remember the specific in just to

15:47

be honest but uh but I'm not

15:51

surprised um I mean I guess that's the

15:53

question for me is like as Google's

15:54

gotten so big there's more to lose

15:59

I think there's like this um yeah I

16:02

think there's a little bit of fearful I

16:04

mean language models to begin with like

16:06

we invented them basically with a

16:08

Transformer paper that was um whatever

16:10

six eight years ago something like that

16:13

um and uh oh no one by the way is back

16:15

at Google now which is awesome Cong um

16:19

and um yeah we were we were too timid uh

16:22

to deploy them um and you know for a lot

16:26

of good reasons like whatever they some

16:28

make mist mistakes they say embarrassing

16:30

things whatever you know um they're you

16:34

know sometimes they're just like kind of

16:36

embarrassing how dumb they are even

16:37

today's like latest and greatest things

16:40

like make really stupid mistakes people

16:43

would never make um and at the same

16:47

time like they're incredibly powerful

16:50

and they can help you do things you

16:52

never would have done and um you know

16:55

like I've like programmed really

16:57

complicated things with my kid like

16:59

they'll just program it because they

17:00

just ask the AI using all these really

17:03

complicated apis and all kinds of things

17:05

that would take like a month to like

17:08

learn so I just think that that

17:10

capability is

17:12

Magic

17:14

and uh you need to be willing to have

17:17

some

17:18

embarrassments uh and take some risks

17:21

and um and I think we've gotten better

17:23

at that and well you guys have probably

17:25

seen some more

17:26

embarrassments um but you're comfor

17:29

I have super voting you're still like I

17:31

mean you're comfortable with the

17:32

embarrassments at this St it's so to do

17:35

this like I mean not not particular on

17:38

the basis of my stock but I I um but as

17:40

a you know I mean but am I comfortable

17:43

um I mean I guess I just think of it is

17:48

this something magical we're giving the

17:52

world yeah and I think as long as we

17:54

communicate it properly like saying like

17:56

look this thing is amazing

17:59

and we'll periodically get stuff really

18:02

wrong uh then I think we should put it

18:07

out there and let people experiment and

18:09

see what new ways they find to use it um

18:12

I just don't think this is the

18:14

technology you want to just kind of keep

18:16

close to the chest and hidden until it's

18:18

like

18:19

perfect do you think that there's so

18:21

many places that AI can affect the world

18:24

and so much value to be created that

18:27

it's not really a race between Google

18:29

and meta and Amazon like people frame

18:32

these things as kind of a race is there

18:34

just so much value to be created that

18:35

you're working on a lot of different

18:37

opportunities and it's not really about

18:39

who builds the the model that score the

18:42

llm that scores the best that there's so

18:44

much more to it I mean how do you kind

18:45

of think

18:46

about um the world out there and

18:49

Google's place in it I mean I I think

18:52

it's very

18:54

helpful to have competition in the sense

18:57

that all these guys are vying and um we

19:00

just we were number one for on olysis

19:02

for a couple weeks by the way uh just

19:04

now and I think we're last time I

19:06

checked we're still beat the Top Model

19:08

there's just some El stuff so you do

19:09

care yeah yeah not

19:13

saying not but um uh and uh um and I you

19:18

know we've come a long way since um you

19:21

know a couple whatever years ago um chat

19:24

GPT launched or and we were quite a ways

19:27

behind uh I'm really pleased with all

19:29

the progress we made so we definitely

19:31

pay attention I mean I think it's great

19:34

that there are all these AI companies

19:36

out there be it uh US Open AI anthropic

19:41

um you name it there's um mistol it's

19:45

it's a I mean it's a big fast moving

19:47

field but I guess your question is yeah

19:50

I mean I think there's tremendous

19:52

value uh to humanity and I I think if

19:55

you think

19:57

back uh you know like when I was in

20:00

college let's say and there wasn't

20:02

really a proper internet or like web the

20:05

way that we know it today like the

20:07

amount of effort it would take to get

20:08

basic information the amount of effort

20:11

it would take to communicate with people

20:14

you know before cell phones and things

20:17

um like we've gained so much

20:20

capability uh ac across the world uh but

20:24

the sort of the new AI is another big

20:27

capability

20:29

uh and pretty much everybody in the

20:30

world can get access to it in one form

20:32

or another these days and I think it's

20:34

super exciting it's awesome uh sorry we

20:37

have so such limited time Sergey thank

20:39

you so much for joining us please join

20:40

me in thanking Sergey thank

20:42

[Applause]

20:44

you thanks yeah

Interactive Summary

Sergey Brin, co-founder of Google, joins the podcast to discuss his return to active involvement at Google, focusing specifically on the rapidly evolving field of artificial intelligence. He reflects on the recent progress in AI, noting that as a computer scientist, he finds these developments more exciting than anything he has previously witnessed. Brin shares his perspective on the necessity of moving past organizational conservatism, embracing the potential for "magic" in these technologies despite the risks of occasional errors, and the healthy role of competition in driving innovation across the industry.

Suggested questions

3 ready-made prompts