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"다음 돈벌이는 여기다" (제프 베조스)

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"다음 돈벌이는 여기다" (제프 베조스)

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1228 segments

0:00

Well,

0:01

you know, what we're trying to do is

0:03

build all the infrastructure so that

0:04

there can be a completely dynamic space

0:06

economy. Today, the cost of admission to

0:09

space is still very high. If you look

0:10

back at what I witnessed in the internet

0:12

space over the last, you know, two and a

0:14

half decades, you saw an environment

0:16

where because all this infrastructure

0:17

existed, global networks and so on and

0:19

so on, very small companies could build

0:21

very large enterprises. You know, two

0:23

kids in a dorm room could build a giant

0:24

company. We want space to be like that.

0:26

You want space to be this dynamic

0:28

entrepreneurial place where two kids in

0:31

a dorm room can build an incredible

0:32

space company. And and that's that is

0:34

going to happen.

0:36

You know, so the the job of a company

0:38

like Blue Origin is to help build the

0:39

road to space, that heavy infrastructure

0:41

so that many other companies can do

0:43

incredible things.

0:44

>> And there's so many resources in space.

0:46

>> What have you learned since and how does

0:47

the path forward look?

0:48

>> Well, let me start by saying that was a

0:50

rough moment. Nobody likes that. It was

0:52

a gut punch for the whole team. But

0:55

what we've learned since then is we got

0:58

really lucky.

0:59

The some of the long lead items on the

1:02

launch infrastructure were preserved.

1:04

For example, the propellant tank farm,

1:06

all the liquid hydrogen, liquefied

1:08

natural gas, liquid oxygen, all those

1:09

tanks. Those are, you know, very long

1:11

lead items and and they were fortunately

1:12

undamaged. The booster

1:14

we had a booster in the integration

1:16

facility which is right there at the

1:17

launch pad and various pieces of

1:18

shrapnel missed the boosters. There was

1:20

a lot of good luck in that incident. You

1:22

know, in the big picture, kind of what

1:24

you're saying, God knows how to

1:25

appropriately price his goods and space

1:28

travel is hard and it's worth it. And

1:30

so, you know, we By the way, by the end

1:32

of that incident, by the end of the day

1:34

that that incident occurred, within 24

1:35

hours, completely spontaneously, the

1:37

Blue Origin team, and this is a team of

1:39

just incredible people, they were making

1:41

themselves t-shirts that say, "It's

1:43

worth it."

1:48

>> And I think the other thing is that

1:49

we're busily rebuilding it. We we got

1:51

lucky in another way. There was a

1:53

construction crew just down the road and

1:55

And we brought in 400 pieces of heavy

1:57

equipment, uh brought in uh construction

1:59

workers that were working 24/7, and so

2:01

the pad has now been cleared of all the

2:02

debris. It's It's amazing how quickly

2:04

that's happened, and just yesterday we

2:06

started the reconstruction, and uh I

2:07

think you've said it best, we're going

2:08

to fly this year.

2:09

>> Yeah, we'll fly before the end of the

2:10

year.

2:10

>> Yeah, awesome. Awesome.

2:12

>> I I think what you said about your team

2:14

uh is very meaningful. And then I look

2:15

back at my my time at NASA, and you

2:17

know, the highlights, of course, are

2:18

successful space flights, but when you

2:19

look at the setbacks, the way you

2:20

respond to them, you find out what your

2:22

team is made of, right? You don't find

2:23

out necessarily in the good times, but

2:24

in those times that are a little bit

2:25

tougher, and you guys have gotten got a

2:27

great team and a lot of support from

2:28

NASA on this, and it sounds great

2:29

>> and moving forward.

2:30

>> Jeff, I want to pick up on something you

2:31

you you said um about that it's worth

2:34

it. It's kind of like you're now, even

2:35

though this happened, you're doubling

2:36

down on it's worth it. When others might

2:39

not have continued, right? You could

2:40

also have decided not to move forward.

2:42

Share with us your vision and why it is

2:45

worth it to you.

2:46

>> Well, uh you know, what we're trying to

2:48

do is build all the infrastructure so

2:50

that there can be a completely dynamic

2:52

space economy. Uh today, the cost of a

2:54

mission to space is still very high. If

2:56

you look back at what I witnessed in the

2:58

internet space over the last, you know,

3:00

2 and 1/2 decades, you saw an

3:01

environment where, because all this

3:03

infrastructure existed, the global

3:04

networks and so on and so on, very small

3:06

companies could build very large

3:08

enterprises. You know, two kids in a

3:09

dorm room could build a giant company.

3:11

We want space to be like that. We want

3:13

space to be this dynamic,

3:14

entrepreneurial place where two kids in

3:17

a dorm room can build an incredible

3:18

space company. And And that's That is

3:20

going to happen. Uh you know, so the

3:23

the job of a company like Blue Origin is

3:25

build the road to space, that heavy

3:26

infrastructure, so that many other

3:28

companies can do incredible things. And

3:30

there's so many resources in space.

3:32

You're seeing that now with, you know,

3:33

Leo constellations and

3:35

uh the potentials for orbital compute.

3:37

Uh we have the moon as a gift, it's

3:39

right there. Uh and so we're we're

3:41

working on all these things. We're We're

3:42

We are uh we're building a lunar lander.

3:44

We are

3:46

uh building a uh

3:48

working on in situ resource projects, so

3:50

we're learning how to build uh solar

3:52

cells out of lunar regolith and and

3:54

there are many other initiatives that

3:55

we're undertaking, but all of them are

3:56

focused on building this infrastructure.

3:58

So, there going to be dynamism in the

3:59

space economy.

4:00

>> Yeah, so this is this is all great news

4:02

and I'm so grateful you guys are moving

4:04

forward. Learn with you. These are not

4:05

things you'd want to have happen when

4:06

you have an anomaly, when you have a

4:07

setback, but it's a

4:08

>> They're unavoidable.

4:09

>> They're going to happen, right? They're

4:11

going to happen. You don't want them to

4:11

happen, but when they do happen, it's

4:13

how you react to it.

4:14

>> It's how you you get you get gives you a

4:15

chance to gives the whole team a chance

4:17

to show everyone who we are and what

4:19

we're made of.

4:20

>> Right.

4:20

Looking back years from now, I think

4:22

>> And I think the the team at Blue is the

4:23

most missionary team I've ever worked

4:25

for because you know, we've you've been

4:26

part of this, but we've explored every

4:28

planet. We've we've we've been to the

4:30

deepest parts of the solar system and

4:31

and this is the good one. All right,

4:33

this is the planet you want to be on.

4:34

It's it's beautiful. And as we build

4:37

this infrastructure, you can move

4:39

polluting industry into space and you

4:41

can turn you know, every every place on

4:44

Earth like the parks in this city, this

4:46

beautiful city here and and we could

4:47

support three times the population on

4:49

the on this planet.

4:50

>> And that's that's the long-term goal.

4:51

That's what we're trying to do.

4:52

>> That's why it's worth it.

4:53

>> That's why it's worth

4:53

>> Okay. All right. So, so Jeff, you

4:56

mentioned earlier about the space

4:57

economy and I think to some of us that

4:59

might be kind of like a

5:01

like a science fiction. We might hear

5:02

that it's like almost like science

5:03

fiction. Is it real? You know, is that

5:05

is that something that we that is that

5:06

is for real? Um but sitting where you

5:08

sit, what evidence do you see every day

5:11

that convinces you that the demand for

5:14

access to space is real and

5:16

accelerating?

5:17

>> Well, there's uh

5:19

this is a great question.

5:20

The evidence right now is very obvious.

5:22

If you look at demand for launch, demand

5:25

for launch is insatiable right now. We

5:27

have a tremendous backlog already on our

5:29

books for launch. Every space launch

5:31

company has tremendous backlog. We are

5:33

supply constrained. We are not demand

5:36

constrained. And uh

5:38

you know, it's being driven by uh

5:41

communications with Leo constellations.

5:44

It's being driven by national security

5:45

missions and it's being driven in the

5:47

future by things like orbital compute

5:50

and and lunar and lunar resources and

5:52

NASA programs to return to the moon this

5:55

time to stay. There's just a tremendous

5:57

amount of demand for launch.

5:59

>> I think it was sort of underestimated at

6:02

some point when we years ago when the

6:04

government our government was looking

6:05

for what they would need. I think it

6:06

would is it fair to say they

6:07

underestimated what the real demand

6:09

would be?

6:09

>> 100% I think people underestimated it

6:11

tremendously.

6:12

>> Yeah and I think there might be an

6:13

element to it. I think in some ways

6:15

>> It's like if you build it they will

6:15

come.

6:16

>> You know that if people if you can't get

6:18

to a place you can't even imagine what

6:20

you would do there. But now that you've

6:21

increased the access I even my my

6:23

students at Columbia have flown an

6:25

experiment on one of the new Shepard

6:26

rockets. That would have been

6:27

impossible.

6:28

>> Even you know seven years ago this is a

6:29

few years ago they did this but you

6:30

imagine even thinking that when we were

6:32

students or in the not too distant

6:34

>> a circle too. If you if if launch is

6:36

very very expensive then the satellites

6:38

have to have really long lifetimes and

6:40

they have to be very exquisite.

6:41

>> And so

6:43

>> But if the launch starts to get cheaper

6:44

then the satellites get cheaper and if

6:45

the satellites get cheaper there's more

6:46

demand for launch. If there's more

6:48

demand for launch then you get more

6:49

practice with launch and launch gets

6:50

cheaper.

6:51

>> So there is a virtuous circle there.

6:53

Once you get it spinning in the right

6:54

direction that's where we want to go.

6:56

>> And you had this vision it's not that

6:57

you can count on that happening but you

6:58

were confident of course that this would

7:00

>> You know it's going to happen you just

7:01

don't know the exact timing. So you get

7:04

you get out there and you get ready. And

7:06

you know by getting reusable rockets you

7:07

lower the costs cuz

7:10

these boosters want to be reused they're

7:11

they're expensive and when we land them

7:13

then we can reuse them many many many

7:14

times.

7:15

>> And these as you said these

7:16

constellations want to be gigantic. You

7:18

know

7:19

especially communications it's people

7:20

are insatiable on how much bandwidth

7:22

they want to use. I when I had a 300

7:23

baud modem I wanted to use all of it.

7:25

When I had a gigabit in my home I wanted

7:26

to use all of it. And when I go all the

7:27

way

7:28

these constellations want to be very

7:29

very large.

7:30

>> Okay guys I think we're going to cut to

7:31

the tape now for real. All right we had

7:33

a little setback but here we go. Let's

7:34

roll the shot. [laughter]

7:36

>> Today's launch NG-2 we have two goals.

7:39

This first is to safely deploy the

7:41

payload which is NASA's ESCAPADE which

7:43

is heading out on a mission to Mars.

7:45

>> And the second is [music] to land the

7:46

booster for the first time.

7:51

>> NASA's new ESCAPADE mission will help us

7:53

understand Mars's climate history using

7:55

two spacecraft in orbit for the first

7:57

time.

7:58

>> It's 2 at flight level.

8:00

Autopilot enabled.

8:33

>> All right, at 9 minutes is when we're

8:35

expecting the first stage to touch

8:37

[music] down on Jacqueline.

8:45

We've got it, Mr. Landing Bird.

8:54

Great shot from the booster.

9:05

>> [cheering]

9:10

>> Congratulations, ESCAPADE. Both blue and

9:13

gold have

9:14

successfully [cheering]

9:15

deployed. We have successfully landed

9:17

the booster, and we have successfully

9:19

deployed the satellites for ESCAPADE.

9:27

>> So, when you're doing hard things, you

9:29

also get great moments like that.

9:30

>> Yeah, that's awesome. Yeah.

9:32

>> That Then you said when I said it was a

9:33

launch, it's also the landing, which

9:34

amazes me. That's not out in the ocean,

9:36

right on on the uh the recovery ship.

9:38

Amazing.

9:39

>> And this is a very large vehicle. That

9:40

this vehicle will take 45 metric tons to

9:43

Leo. It'll take the the variant we're

9:44

working on right now, the 9x4 variant,

9:46

will take over 70 metric tons to Leo.

9:48

This this is a super heavy class

9:50

booster. And to watch it land like that

9:51

on an ocean going platform is

9:53

is awe-inspiring. And the team is is

9:55

rightly very proud of it.

9:56

>> And the ocean doesn't always cooperate.

9:58

That thing moves.

9:58

>> No, it's The ocean is highly

9:59

uncooperative.

10:01

>> So, to be able to do that like that is

10:02

so impressive. So,

10:03

>> All right, Dave. This is all incredibly

10:04

ambitious. And uh the question is, cuz

10:07

you're the CEO here, what what keeps you

10:08

up at night when you think about all

10:10

this stuff coming together, the the

10:11

whole operation, the uh the

10:13

manufacturing, the talent pipeline,

10:15

getting getting the right people in, the

10:16

supply chain, all this coming together.

10:18

What what is it that's foremost on your

10:19

mind with this? Or is it everything

10:20

combined?

10:21

>> There is a little bit of everything. I I

10:22

I've only been doing aerospace for 2 and

10:24

1/2 years. I'm traditionally trained in

10:26

consumer electronics. But I I think

10:28

people underestimate how hard it is to

10:30

build a rocket. Uh these these are

10:32

incredibly complicated vehicles, pushing

10:35

pushing the boundaries of what, you

10:36

know, physics allows. And uh and so to

10:39

see success like this and and see how

10:41

space is becoming more normal is is

10:43

amazing. But to build one off of

10:45

anything, whether that would be an

10:46

engine or it would be a rocket, that

10:47

that doesn't really keep me up at night

10:49

much. It it What the hard part is is

10:51

building the machine that builds the

10:53

machines. You really want to That takes

10:55

a lot of time and a lot of thought. And

10:57

that's the factories that are pushing

10:59

these out. Because you don't want it to

11:00

meet the vision that Jeff talked about.

11:02

You don't want to build just one rocket.

11:04

We want to build We want to fly 100

11:06

times a year. And that means 100 second

11:08

stages. That means uh that means

11:10

hundreds of engines. And so building our

11:12

engine factory in Huntsville and our uh

11:14

rocket factory down in Orlando and

11:16

getting those to rate, which includes

11:18

the supply chain, that includes the raw

11:20

materials, and heavy vertical

11:22

integration is how you build that

11:23

machine. And we we're making a huge

11:25

amount of progress. Uh but you can

11:26

always get better.

11:27

>> So, we're We're now building a BE-4

11:29

engine. This is our the heavy uh you

11:31

know, the

11:32

oxidizer uh every 4 days coming off the

11:35

line now at BE-4 engine. So, rate

11:37

manufacturing is critical to this. You

11:40

know, space travel is a solved problem

11:42

for

11:43

you know, six decades. We're not trying

11:45

to invent space travel, we're trying to

11:47

make it cost-effective. And that's the

11:48

key. That's why you need reusability as

11:50

Dave was saying and why you need rate

11:51

manufacturing. And so, it really is

11:53

about being world-class manufacturers

11:55

and Dave and the team are are crushing

11:56

that. They're doing an amazing job.

11:58

>> When when Dave uh visited us at at

12:00

Columbia where I'm on the faculty, that

12:02

was a talked about the manufacturing. I

12:03

do want to mention something about your

12:04

pipeline. When you I don't know if you

12:05

knew this, but when we were looking for

12:07

someone to come speak, we had a CEO

12:08

lecture series and we did a poll within

12:10

our our student body and what if you can

12:13

listen hear from the the head of any

12:14

company, what would it be? And it was

12:15

Blue Origin came out number one. So,

12:17

thanks for accommodating us. So, I think

12:18

your pipeline is of of talent is uh is

12:20

excited to to come join and be a part of

12:21

this.

12:22

>> Yeah, I think people are underestimating

12:23

uh in even in the acade- academic world,

12:26

how much building physical things is

12:28

going to be valued moving forward,

12:30

right? And so, the so, uh we we spent

12:32

the last three decades uh with a not

12:34

enough computer science majors, but I

12:36

think the pendulum's going to swing the

12:37

other way and I was so inspired seeing

12:39

this kids at Columbia and people that

12:41

know how to build real physical things

12:43

and understand how the complexities of

12:45

that and how to manufacture them.

12:47

They're going to they're going to be in

12:48

very high demand.

12:50

>> And and just to pick up a little bit

12:51

more on the on the engines, Jeff, um as

12:53

you know, the

12:54

I don't know if everyone knows it it was

12:55

mentioned earlier just a minute ago

12:57

about it. You do have separate

12:57

facilities. Most of your rockets are

12:59

built in Florida primarily, but you have

13:01

a whole an entirely separate facility in

13:03

Alabama. And now, I've ridden on rockets

13:05

that take you to space, but I've never

13:06

tried to build one. So, in your mind,

13:09

Jeff, what is what what is so difficult

13:11

about building rocket engines?

13:12

>> Well, rocket engines operate right at

13:14

the limit of physics. So, you know, the

13:16

internal combustion temperatures inside

13:18

of main combustion chamber of a rocket

13:20

are 5,000-6,000 degrees Fahrenheit. It's

13:22

beyond the melting points of any

13:24

materials. And so, the the complexities

13:27

of pressurizing those propellants in

13:28

high performance turbo pumps that have

13:30

to be very lightweight, of cooling those

13:32

materials with regenerative channels so

13:34

that they don't melt. This is just a

13:35

very challenging thing to do. And then,

13:37

so designing the engine is hard, and

13:39

then manufacturing it is hard, and

13:41

manufacturing at rate is hard. Um and

13:44

you know, I think we have a little clip

13:45

I could show you. We have our lunar

13:47

lander as an engine in it called the

13:48

BE-7, which is a relatively small

13:51

engine. It's 10,000 lb of thrust, and

13:53

that

13:54

the reliability of this engine is

13:56

paramount. And we just did the longest

13:59

engine test in history. Uh this is a

14:02

41-minute

14:04

engine test. This engine ran

14:05

continuously for 41 minutes. That beats

14:08

the record for the Space Shuttle main

14:09

engine, which they once tested 30 years

14:11

ago. They tested it for 36 minutes. So,

14:14

uh it's that's that and so that's a a

14:16

multi-decade record uh that the Blue

14:19

Origin team just beat with the BE-7

14:21

engine. But this is a very challenging

14:23

thing. These engines are very complex.

14:25

We have the BE-4 engine, which is the

14:27

one that uses liquefied natural gas and

14:29

liquid oxygen. Uses an ox-rich stage

14:31

combustion cycle. And then, our BE-3U

14:33

engine is our second stage engine. It's

14:35

liquid hydrogen and liquid oxygen. This

14:37

is the same basic architecture that was

14:40

used by the Apollo program. So, a

14:41

hydrocarbon booster stage and liquid

14:44

hydrogen upper stages. Liquid hydrogen

14:46

is a a complex fuel to use, but it's

14:48

much higher performing than hydrocarbon

14:51

fuels. The problem with liquid hydrogen

14:53

is that it's very voluminous. It's the

14:55

density of liquid hydrogen is very low.

14:57

That's why you really don't want to use

14:59

it on a booster stage. It gets the

15:01

booster stage would get too

15:02

volumetrically gigantic. But on a second

15:05

stage, it gives you tremendous

15:06

advantages. So, this is what the Apollo

15:09

Saturn V rocket did, and it's what we do

15:12

as well. To do

15:14

the the lunar landing with liquid

15:15

hydrogen has a further advantage, which

15:17

is that you look just a little ways into

15:18

the future when we have permanent lunar

15:20

settlements. This time we are going to

15:22

the moon to stay. I'm not going to

15:24

visit, we're going to stay. And when you

15:27

look at the materials available on the

15:29

moon, you have water ice in the

15:32

permanently shadowed craters on the near

15:35

the poles of the moon. And that can with

15:37

electrolysis be converted into liquid

15:39

oxygen and liquid hydrogen. So by using

15:41

liquid hydrogen as our lunar landing

15:43

fuel, one day in the not too distant

15:45

future, you'll be able to use in situ

15:47

materials on the surface of the moon to

15:49

refuel your lander.

15:50

>> Um let's talk more about the moon.

15:52

Right. So you guys have had this in your

15:53

game plan since the company was founded,

15:55

the moon. And lately we've been hearing

15:57

a lot about the moon. Artemis 2 was such

15:58

a huge success and really captured

16:00

everyone's attention. It's now like a a

16:01

global interest of going to the moon,

16:04

exploring the moon for various reasons.

16:06

Do you feel like everyone else in the

16:07

world is catching up to where you guys

16:08

have been for a while? How How does How

16:10

do you How do you feel about that?

16:11

>> Yeah, we've been we've been fixated on

16:13

not skipping any steps. I'm very excited

16:16

to see NASA and I think most of the

16:18

world recognize that we should go to the

16:20

moon first. We'll go to Mars and we'll

16:22

do all the other things, but the moon is

16:24

the first best step. And there are many

16:26

reasons for that, but it's kind of a

16:27

gift. It's so near Earth. We can get

16:29

there in 3 and 1/2 days. We can return

16:31

in 3 and 1/2 days. You can go anytime

16:33

you want. You don't have to wait for the

16:35

planetary alignment to be just right.

16:37

You can only go to Mars every 2 years or

16:39

so. And so there are a lot of advantages

16:41

to the moon. And then the moon's gravity

16:43

well is so much lower than the Earth

16:45

that when you get materials from the

16:47

moon, you can lift them off the moon

16:48

with 28 times less energy per kilogram

16:51

than is needed to lift something off the

16:53

Earth. And so that's a really valuable

16:54

thing if you are producing liquid

16:56

oxygen, for example, on the moon.

16:58

Lifting that into space is very easy

16:59

compared to lifting liquid oxygen off of

17:01

Earth. And so as we go about exploring

17:03

the solar system, which we will do, and

17:05

as we you know, we will we will build

17:06

colonies on Mars and so on, the moon is

17:08

an important first step. And when you

17:10

skip steps, it actually doesn't make you

17:12

faster.

17:13

>> Yeah, we and it's going to be an

17:14

incredible time over the next just the

17:16

next year. If you if you look at our

17:18

lunar road map, we call our team inside

17:20

of Blue Origin the lunar permanence

17:22

group for exactly what Jeff said. We

17:24

want to go there and we want to stay on

17:25

the moon. And just next year, early in

17:27

the year we'll fly our Mark 1 lander,

17:29

which is on the screen here. This is a

17:31

3-metric-tons-to-the-lunar-surface

17:33

vehicle. It'll be the big the largest

17:35

thing that has ever landed on the moon,

17:36

and that'll be our pathfinder mission.

17:37

And then mid-year, it was just announced

17:39

last week, Artemis 3 will happen. Luca

17:42

will be on that

17:43

on that flight, which will be great. Uh

17:45

and that's going to be a rendezvous

17:47

mission with our Mark 2 lander, which is

17:48

our human-rated lander. And we'll we'll

17:50

meet up at around 450 km in lower Earth

17:54

orbit, and we'll do some of 2 days of

17:56

entering into the vehicle. The vehicle

17:58

have full environmental controls, so

18:00

it'll have an equal system. And we'll

18:01

test that out for when we fly to the

18:03

moon the following year. And then later

18:04

in the year, we'll fly another Mark 1

18:07

lander. So these are coming off the

18:08

assembly line now. So we have a factory

18:10

that's building these. And that will

18:11

land NASA's VIPER rover late in the

18:14

year. So it's going to

18:16

the the cycle time to the moon, the

18:17

cadence to the moon is going to increase

18:19

very rapidly, and it's it's really

18:21

exciting.

18:22

>> And by the way, that VIPER rover is

18:23

going to go find

18:25

lunar water ice in those permanently

18:27

shadowed craters. So that's a very

18:28

exciting mission to we've seen it we've

18:31

we've seen it with various methods from

18:33

orbit and so on, but now we'll be able

18:35

to go look at it up close.

18:36

>> So it just kind of seems like the timing

18:37

has worked out pretty well. You guys

18:39

identified it now and the moon base

18:40

announcement from a from a couple months

18:42

ago.

18:42

>> You're right that the timing is good. I

18:44

would also tell you that this is so

18:45

early. You know, we as a species, as far

18:48

as space is concerned, we're we're just

18:50

still warming up, right? We haven't we

18:52

have not even begun. This is the

18:53

earliest earliest earliest.

18:55

>> And the idea that we've been to the moon

18:57

before, which we have, great

18:58

accomplishment, much different than what

18:59

we're doing now. It's the permanence of

19:00

what we're staying there. And I really

19:02

love what what you said about

19:03

>> And then when we went before, we pulled

19:05

it forward in time. We did it before we

19:07

were ready.

19:08

>> Yeah, it was pulled forward in time. And

19:11

uh of, you know, geopolitics and the

19:13

race with the Soviets and so on. And now

19:15

is the right time to really get into

19:17

>> Really get into and go to stay.

19:18

>> Yeah, we did it before by spending, you

19:19

know, the US spent almost 3% of GDP to

19:22

do it. And that's just not sustainable.

19:23

>> have those those types of resources.

19:25

>> sustainable.

19:26

>> Give me 3% of GDP, I'll give you fusion.

19:28

Okay?

19:29

>> [laughter]

19:29

>> So, I guess the the question here and I

19:31

we've already I think we know the

19:32

answer. Moon or Mars, Jeff?

19:33

>> Well, moon first.

19:34

>> Moon first and then

19:35

>> Moon first and then Mars and and

19:36

everywhere else, too. And we'll build

19:37

large, you know, O'Neill

19:39

very O'Neill style colonies in space as

19:41

well.

19:42

And and we'll build big, uh you know,

19:45

we'll use asteroids and near-Earth

19:47

objects and the moon and so on to build

19:50

compute in space and solar cells in

19:52

space and so on. And a lot of our

19:54

compute will be done in space. It's

19:56

it'll make more sense. And ultimately,

19:57

we even manufacture the chips that the

19:59

compute runs on. And then the answers

20:01

can just be beamed back to us here. And

20:03

this

20:04

planet, Dave said it before, but our

20:06

long-term vision, our dream is to that

20:09

all the polluting industry can be done

20:11

off Earth. If space travel gets reliable

20:14

enough and inexpensive enough and we can

20:15

get materials from asteroids and

20:17

near-Earth objects and the moon, then

20:19

this garden planet can be returned to

20:22

its pre-Industrial Revolution state.

20:25

This is the only way in which the world

20:27

is worse today than it [clears throat]

20:28

was 500 years ago. Everything is better

20:30

today.

20:32

The the you know, global illiteracy is

20:34

better than it was 500 years ago. Infant

20:36

mortality is better than it was. Global

20:38

poverty is better than it was.

20:39

Everything is is better and it keeps

20:41

getting better. And the one exception is

20:43

the natural world.

20:44

And we can actually have both.

20:47

>> We we go to space not necessarily just

20:49

for space, but for Earth.

20:51

>> Yes, you want to protect it. There's a

20:52

great quote, which I'm sure you've heard

20:54

from one of your fellow astronauts, Jim

20:56

Lovell,

20:57

>> Yeah.

20:57

>> when he went to the when he went to the

20:59

moon and he looked back on Earth. He

21:01

looked back at the Earth and he said, "I

21:03

realized you go to heaven when you're

21:05

born, not when you're die. That's cool.

21:12

>> I really love the way you describe the

21:14

moon as a gift. I've always thought of

21:15

it like our little brother or sister

21:16

that's always with us. If we're there

21:18

it's a and it's the right

21:19

sounds like you're saying we get there

21:20

we can go other places more quickly. Um

21:22

>> It's also been bombarded for some time.

21:24

>> What's that?

21:24

>> It's been bombarded for 4 and 1/2

21:25

billion years by every meteorite. And so

21:28

just under that surface is everything we

21:30

need to build the things that Jeff

21:31

talked about. Like every mineral is

21:32

there, water is there. We know this now.

21:35

>> And it's just it's going to be it's

21:36

going to be an incredible resource and

21:37

it's untouched

21:38

>> for billions of years. So it it really

21:40

is a I like that it's a gift for us to

21:42

explore and then use that as a launchpad

21:44

to go other places. All right, um let's

21:46

talk about uh some more about the

21:48

infrastructures stack that you're

21:49

developing. Um this is all about you

21:51

know the rockets and the vision for the

21:53

moon and

21:54

all these all these things that you guys

21:55

are into and you're going to need a lot

21:56

of talent and resources. But you know

21:58

you said that that that is really the

21:59

key is companies and we've talked about

22:02

a little bit already, companies that can

22:03

be these world-class manufacturers with

22:06

incredible vertical integration. Uh

22:08

they're the ones that are going to be

22:09

the leaders and Blue Origin is doing

22:10

that to set up this space economy

22:12

building that infrastructure. So when

22:14

you when you say that about building

22:15

that the infrastructure layer for the

22:17

space economy, what what does that mean

22:19

and what are the pieces of that stack

22:20

that you're developing?

22:21

>> Well, I think on the as you said on the

22:23

manufacturer I was very surprised coming

22:25

to company like Blue that you do have to

22:27

be incredibly vertically integrated in

22:29

this area. And

22:31

as an example, we have our own these

22:32

engines that Jeff talked about the you

22:34

know the they're running at just the

22:35

boundary of physics and high heat. So we

22:37

have a material science group that uh

22:40

literally invented new two new alloys.

22:42

We call them Cascadium and Reneurium.

22:43

And these are to coat these engines so

22:44

they can survive in these in these

22:46

applications. And then we take those

22:48

alloys and we put them into one of the

22:49

biggest additive manufacturing factories

22:52

in the world which which which Blue has

22:53

and we print these metals and literally

22:55

print an engine. And so it's part of the

22:58

infrastructure is inventing new

23:00

infrastructure that to to push the

23:02

boundaries of what we'll be able to do.

23:03

Again, to get to where we're just said,

23:05

which is lowering the cost. You know,

23:06

you could probably do this in the old

23:08

ways back in the Apollo era, but it does

23:10

take a lot of money in in this. And then

23:12

I I think the other place that we're

23:13

trying to invent is what are the

23:15

applications you want to put in space?

23:16

And so we have um we've announced two

23:18

different constellations, one called

23:20

Project Sunrise, the other one called

23:21

Terra Wave, that that get uh more

23:23

infrastructure into space. And uh I

23:26

think we can talk more about that as

23:27

well.

23:28

>> Yeah. Yeah, I was going to ask you about

23:29

Terra Wave and data

23:30

>> Terra Wave is a is a a a LEO comms uh

23:33

constellation that uh has very, very

23:36

high bandwidth and is optimized for uh

23:39

very demanding users, large enterprises,

23:41

hyperscalers, government institutions.

23:43

Uh includes very fast Earth-to-space

23:46

optical links. So it's a very

23:47

sophisticated network um and so we're

23:50

working on that. We're also working on

23:52

Project Sunrise, which is an orbital

23:54

compute. It'll These satellites will be

23:56

in sun-synchronous orbit.

23:57

Sun-synchronous orbit is an interesting

23:59

orbit where the satellites 99 plus

24:02

percent of the time are always in

24:03

sunlight. So they don't get eclipsed by

24:05

the Earth. You know, a typical orbit

24:06

around the Earth, you know, might be in

24:08

lower Earth orbit, might be, you know,

24:09

90 minutes or so, and half that time

24:11

you're in darkness. Uh and half that

24:12

time you're in in in sunlight. But in

24:14

the sun-synchronous orbit, you're in

24:16

daylight almost all the time, 99 plus

24:18

percent. And so your solar cells are

24:20

working for you the whole time.

24:22

Uh and so there are a lot of questions

24:24

about orbital data centers and can it

24:26

really work? And people get worried

24:27

about heat rejection and things like

24:28

this. All of these physics problems are

24:30

easily solvable. Uh heat rejection is

24:32

not a real problem. It's All these

24:33

questions are really about cost. And the

24:35

cost So the cost of production of the

24:37

solar cells, the cost of production of

24:38

the satellites, and the cost of launch

24:41

uh will eventually the lines will cross,

24:43

and eventually orbital compute will be

24:45

uh a better option than terrestrial

24:47

compute. We don't know exactly when that

24:48

will be, but we're going to work on We

24:50

have to work on it now so that we're

24:51

ready for those two lines to cross.

24:53

>> We're already very reliant on the

24:55

connectivity we get every day from

24:56

space, and this is a way to to grow it.

24:58

>> Yeah, and this is going to there's going

24:59

to be many of these constellations. I

25:00

was just going to say

25:01

>> Yeah, there there and you know, just

25:03

just the first phase of Terra Wave is

25:05

5,000 plus satellites in Leo and then

25:07

another 100 satellites out in mid-Earth

25:09

orbit orbit at MEO and so you you start

25:13

thinking about the scale of these

25:14

constellations. They want to be

25:16

5, 10, 20,000 for each shell and and

25:20

they'll have different use cases. You

25:21

know, you have Starlink and you have

25:23

Amazon's Leo and those are very focused

25:24

on mostly on the consumer and great. You

25:27

can go anywhere now and and and get for

25:29

60 or 100 euro a year, you can or a

25:31

month, you can you can get great

25:32

connectivity. Similarly, our we're

25:34

focused on giving enterprises and

25:36

governments really, really high

25:38

bandwidth with high reliability and and

25:40

there'll be 10 more ideas for this and

25:41

this just goes back to why launch is so

25:43

constrained now because each one of

25:45

these constellations and quickly fill up

25:48

many, many, many launches, you know,

25:50

hundreds of launches and so

25:52

we we got to race to just get lower the

25:53

cost even further and get more rockets

25:55

in the air.

25:55

>> And Europe will have their own

25:57

constellations, other countries will

25:58

have their own constellations. It's just

26:01

it's just a very valuable thing to be

26:02

able to do. Even just talking about

26:04

communications constellations, the kind

26:06

of human appetite for comms is basically

26:09

you know,

26:10

insatiable.

26:11

>> I want to ask you about another project

26:13

that you have going. Recently, you broke

26:15

news of a new endeavor, Prometheus,

26:17

right? AI company and you've called it

26:20

that you're going to be developing

26:21

an artificial general engineer. So as

26:24

someone who tries to train real

26:25

engineers, I'm very excited about this

26:26

because I [laughter] think I think it's

26:28

a way that we're going to we can

26:29

incorporate that in education and and

26:31

train engineers to use this thing that

26:33

you're developing, Prometheus.

26:35

What can you tell us about that and the

26:36

importance of AI in engineering for Blue

26:38

Origin and for the world?

26:39

>> Yeah, Prometheus is building a set of

26:41

tools that's designed to empower

26:43

engineers to really invent and build

26:46

much, much faster. So if you think

26:49

about, you know, today there's a kind of

26:50

a dream build cycle. You know, you dream

26:53

of something and then depending on how

26:54

complicated it is, it may take a few

26:56

years to 10 years before you're really

26:58

producing it at rate and manufacturing

27:00

it. And if you take a step back, and

27:02

broadly civilizational wealth, all of

27:05

civilizational wealth is driven by

27:07

invention. 6,000 years ago, somebody

27:10

invented the plow and we all got

27:12

wealthier. And then much later, somebody

27:14

invented the steam engine and we all got

27:16

wealthier. And this cycle continues. And

27:18

if we can accelerate that cycle, that

27:20

dream build cycle, it will create real

27:22

productivity, real prosperity. And so

27:24

that's the idea behind Prometheus. And

27:26

it can't be done with uh traditional

27:28

large language models. They have a

27:30

place, but they aren't trained with the

27:31

right data to be able to do detailed

27:33

engineering. So uh the the analogy I

27:36

would give you is, you know, I could

27:37

read a thousand books. That's what LLMs

27:39

do today. They're trained on entire

27:41

corpus of humanity's knowledge. They

27:43

have scraped the entire internet and

27:45

they know everything that we've written

27:46

down in words and they're unbelievably

27:48

good at uh at symbol manipulation.

27:51

That's what large language models do.

27:52

But if I read a thousand books on how to

27:55

be a great gymnast, I would still be a

27:57

terrible gymnast.

27:58

And it's because it's a needs a

27:59

different kind of training data. And

28:01

that's what when you go to actually

28:03

design real physical objects, it's very

28:05

complicated and you can't do it just by

28:07

reading about it. And so we're building

28:09

a uh

28:10

a model that is very good at doing

28:13

engineering. And then that model becomes

28:15

the basis of a series of tools that will

28:17

make it easier for for people to to to

28:19

dramatically accelerate that build

28:21

dream. And so the goal would be, if

28:22

today you came to me and you said,

28:24

"Jeff, I need a new jet engine with 10%

28:26

more thrust." And even if I had built 50

28:28

jet engines already, so I would still

28:31

tell you that's going to be a 10-year

28:32

program. That's how long it takes to

28:34

build a modern, sophisticated jet engine

28:37

for a modern airliner. And to be by the

28:40

time you've tested it and set up the

28:41

factory and you're ready to produce it,

28:43

that's at least a 10-year program. And

28:45

so, can we at Prometheus build a set of

28:47

tools to make that be 5 years, and then

28:50

3 years, and then 2 years, and then 1

28:51

year? And if we can really accelerate

28:53

that dream build loop, it changes

28:55

everything.

28:55

>> And it's not necessarily

28:57

>> And it helps Blue Origin, too.

28:58

>> Yeah.

28:58

>> They They have to have it now. Dave

29:00

needs these tools.

29:00

>> Yeah. And it's not going to replace

29:02

people necessarily. It's going to be a

29:03

tool for engineers to use.

29:04

>> No, no, no. I I know there's a lot of

29:06

concern that many people have, including

29:09

many smart people, that AI is going to

29:11

make humans redundant and so on. I I

29:13

totally disagree with this point of

29:14

view, and I think, in fact, AI is going

29:16

to create a labor shortage, cuz it's

29:18

going to make it possible for people to

29:20

identify more problems. We have an

29:21

endless set of things to invent, and we

29:23

are only limited today. We are limited

29:26

not by our imaginations, but by what we

29:28

can actually do. I promise you, every

29:30

single person in this audience has had

29:32

an idea for a new business, or a new

29:34

product, or a new device that they wish

29:36

they could manufacture, and that idea

29:38

stayed in your head and went nowhere.

29:40

And the reason it stayed in your head

29:41

and went nowhere is because it's too

29:43

hard to do, and it wasn't worth it. And

29:44

if we can accelerate the dream build

29:46

loop, all of the ideas will then become

29:48

possible, and then we end up being

29:49

limited not by our capabilities, but by

29:51

our imaginations.

29:53

>> You can already see this with LLMs.

30:00

You can already see this somewhat with

30:01

vibe coding, right? You know, I I was

30:03

classically trained as a computer

30:04

scientist, but 3 years ago, I was a

30:06

terrible computer scientist. I got But

30:07

now, I can in just an afternoon write an

30:10

iOS app. And And And I have some ideas

30:12

for iOS apps, and and that That is is

30:15

one thing that LLMs can do very well,

30:16

cuz it is symbolic, and so they can code

30:18

very well. And then imagine the tools

30:20

that they're thinking about, bringing

30:21

that that I could, in an afternoon, do

30:24

that in the physical world. And, you

30:25

know, contemplate something, and

30:27

magically it comes off my 3D printer. I

30:29

I'm chomping at the bit. It's It's so

30:31

exciting.

30:31

>> Exciting future for us for all of us

30:32

here. Well, fellas, we've got a few

30:34

minutes left here. So, we've got a

30:35

couple last questions for you. Um you

30:37

guys know each other a long time. I

30:38

mean, I know you well enough to know you

30:39

guys are friends and trusted

30:40

>> We've worked together for, uh know,

30:41

almost two decades at Amazon.

30:43

>> Okay. So, and so you worked together at

30:45

Amazon. Are there any surprises or

30:47

differences on how working together at

30:49

Blue Origin, how's how's that been? Is

30:50

it What's that been like now on on this

30:51

new endeavor?

30:52

>> Uh I I don't see

30:54

a lot

30:55

but I there's some things that surprised

30:57

me. Uh Jeff is the most uh fair and

30:59

feeding tip for Jeff here that he's the

31:01

most tactically impatient person I've

31:02

ever met and the most strategically

31:04

patient person I've ever met. So, uh and

31:07

I know that's an oxymoron but it but it

31:09

it somehow works. And and and the the

31:11

thing that that was the same is at

31:13

Amazon Jeff was always the longest term

31:15

thinker in the room. There was no

31:16

question about it. He was the long-term

31:18

optimist in the room. And I when I came

31:20

to Blue, the vision is bigger than that.

31:22

It it's it it's it's it's he we've he

31:24

mentioned it. It's like we're trying to

31:26

help this planet and make and and make

31:28

space uh the new normal. So, that that

31:30

was one. And then I think the other

31:32

thing uh for me is uh I I've been in the

31:35

room a lot with Jeff and you know, he

31:37

always can find and help an idea. He

31:40

always can move it forward. And I and

31:42

certainly I thought that that superpower

31:43

was centered around e-commerce. I mean,

31:45

you invented Amazon. And uh I can tell

31:48

you now I've been here 2 and 1/2 years,

31:49

Jeff knows more about rockets and rocket

31:51

engines than he knows about e-commerce.

31:54

And that is stunning. [laughter]

31:56

>> Thank you, Dave. That's very nice.

31:58

Here's what I would say. There's a

31:59

There's a saying, some of you may have

32:01

heard it, maybe not. Um when you're

32:03

under 40, never hire your friends. When

32:05

you're over 40, only hire your friends.

32:08

There you go. And I could tell

32:13

I'm a very very lucky man with a

32:15

tremendous amount of gratitude that I

32:16

get to work with Dave, you know. Thank

32:18

you. That was awesome.

32:25

>> O- Okay, just a couple more to round out

32:26

here. Uh Jeff, you said that Blue Origin

32:29

will be the world's most decisive

32:31

company. Um how's that going? How are

32:33

things

32:34

>> It's going very well, especially since

32:35

Dave arrived. and very grateful for it.

32:37

Because decisiveness is about speed, and

32:39

speed matters in business. You know,

32:41

Amazon is a giant company, but we're

32:43

still we make decisions very quickly.

32:45

And this is something that you need to

32:47

be able to do. And I can tell you why

32:48

decisions get slow in especially in

32:50

large companies. And Blue is a pretty

32:51

big company at this point. You know, we

32:52

have 14, 15,000 people. It's not a small

32:55

company. And the reason is you start

32:57

making all decisions as if they're all

32:59

the same size. It's like

33:01

one-size-fits-all thinking. And you

33:02

know, if you have a one-size-fits-all

33:04

robe, it never fits. So and so there are

33:06

different decisions that should be made

33:07

in different ways. There are giant

33:09

decisions, which are consequential and

33:11

irreversible or almost irreversible.

33:13

Super hard to reverse. Those decisions

33:15

should be made slowly with great care.

33:17

And then there are other decisions,

33:19

which even if they're consequential,

33:21

they can be reversed. And those

33:22

decisions should be made by single

33:23

individuals who have good judgment. And

33:26

and so you have to remember that there

33:27

are these different kinds of decisions.

33:29

And speed of decision-making, if you go

33:31

if you When you go look at successful

33:33

companies, one of the reasons that small

33:34

companies can be so nimble is because a

33:36

small group of people can be so

33:37

decisive. And you know, a company with

33:39

100 people and a really good founder or

33:41

leader, they can touch every part of the

33:42

company, they can be involved in every

33:44

decision, and they can be incredibly

33:46

decisive and move fast. So that's an

33:47

important part of culture. And in

33:49

aerospace, you know, traditional

33:51

aerospace I think often suffers from

33:54

slow decision-making speed. And it's and

33:56

I know how aerospace gets there, but I

33:58

mean, you know, you're building things

33:59

that often have, you know, hazardous

34:01

operations, life-safety critical

34:02

missions. And so again, not every

34:05

decision is like that, though. So you

34:07

end up making every decision as if it's

34:09

life-safety critical. And then you're

34:11

going to move very slowly. That's not

34:13

going to lead to the results that you

34:14

want. You know, you know, we we want to

34:16

move humanity forward and into this next

34:19

age, and I think we're in the middle of

34:20

a bunch of golden ages right now, and I

34:22

want to see companies succeed in all of

34:23

them. Biotech, space is an incredible

34:25

opportunity, all the things that are

34:27

happening in AI. We live in the most

34:29

incredible moment. And every young

34:32

person right now should be so excited

34:34

that they are where they are now because

34:36

it's never been a better time to be an

34:38

entrepreneur, a better time to start a

34:39

company. There's so many possibilities.

34:42

>> In in the speak about what we used to do

34:44

in the space program with the government

34:45

where I'm familiar, we used to call it

34:46

we move at glacial speed.

34:48

>> [laughter]

34:48

>> And you guys move quick. Okay, I've got

34:50

we're we're we're close here. I've got a

34:51

question for each one of you left. Um,

34:54

Dave, uh, this is what goes through your

34:56

head when you when you hear Jeff say

34:58

that Blue and apparently you've said

35:00

this, Jeff, that Blue will eventually be

35:02

the best business you've ever been a

35:03

part of, even more successful than

35:05

Amazon. Now, I'm you know, I'm not a

35:06

business major, but Amazon's pretty

35:08

successful, so the pressure's on. What

35:09

goes through your head when you when you

35:10

hear that, Dave?

35:11

>> Yeah, it's a it's a clench up moment,

35:14

let's put it that

35:15

>> [laughter]

35:15

>> Yeah.

35:16

You know, it's a and I I I he mentioned

35:19

this before I took the job that he So,

35:20

this I think it got out publicly later,

35:22

but he he mentioned it and so this has

35:24

been and it is a tough comp, you know,

35:26

Amazon by almost any measure is one of

35:28

the world's, if not the world's most

35:29

successful company. And but I have to

35:31

tell you that I I'm an optimist by

35:33

general, but in general, but as the time

35:35

has gone by and been 2 years and I've

35:38

seen how fast the progress we're making

35:40

in space and how many opportunities that

35:42

are that we've talked about some of them

35:44

here that can happen in space. I think

35:47

I'm a believer now. And I was a skeptic

35:48

and so I'm sure of it. Yeah, it's going

35:50

to happen.

35:50

>> a giant industry with lots of winners

35:53

and literally hundreds and thousands of

35:55

winners. It's going to be very exciting

35:57

to watch it unfold.

35:58

>> Well, I'm very grateful for what you

36:00

guys have done devoting your your

36:01

talents, energy, entrepreneurship to

36:03

this space program. Well done. One last

36:05

question, Jeff, this one's for you. It's

36:07

about your lesson learned from your

36:08

grandfather on the importance of being

36:11

resourceful. You know, today we have AI

36:13

and a lot of technical help, a lot of

36:15

technology around us. Do you still think

36:17

resourcefulness carries the same weight

36:19

as it did when you heard that story from

36:20

your grandfather or even maybe more so

36:22

in today's world?

36:23

>> I think it's so important. It's

36:25

Mike knows some of these stories about

36:27

my grandfather because I told I told him

36:28

so this, why he's asking this question

36:30

but my grandfather when I knew him was a

36:31

rancher in South Texas and I spent all

36:35

my summers on my grandfather's ranch

36:37

from age 4 to 16 and

36:39

and eventually was able to help him and

36:41

we did everything on our own and like a

36:42

lot of people in rural areas you can't

36:45

call to repair something you know you

36:46

fix it yourself and so we repaired

36:48

bulldozers and took out the giant

36:49

transmission gears and fixed them and so

36:51

on but he even made his own veterinary

36:54

needles you know to stitch up the cattle

36:56

he would get a piece of wire and heat it

36:58

with a blowtorch and pound it flat and

37:00

drill a little hole in the end and

37:02

sharpen it some of the cattle even

37:03

survived. So [laughter]

37:05

this is a a very

37:08

good just

37:09

this this idea it's an attitude this

37:12

attitude this approach to life that any

37:14

problem is solvable it's a good starting

37:16

point and some problems may take a long

37:18

time to solve but I promise you if you

37:19

start with the opposite point of view

37:21

that the problem is not solvable that

37:22

will be a self-fulfilling prophecy.

37:25

>> And with that

37:26

where our time is up.

37:28

>> But thank you Mike.

37:29

>> Thank you very much thank you.

Interactive Summary

Jeff Bezos and Dave Limp discuss Blue Origin's mission to build the foundational infrastructure for a dynamic space economy. They emphasize the importance of reusability, rate manufacturing, and solving complex engineering challenges to reduce the cost of space access. The conversation covers their vision for the moon as a permanent settlement and launchpad, the development of new AI tools like 'Prometheus' to accelerate engineering, and the necessity of maintaining a fast-paced, decisive culture to turn ambitious dreams into reality.

Suggested questions

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