"다음 돈벌이는 여기다" (제프 베조스)
1228 segments
Well,
you know, what we're trying to do is
build all the infrastructure so that
there can be a completely dynamic space
economy. Today, the cost of admission to
space is still very high. If you look
back at what I witnessed in the internet
space over the last, you know, two and a
half decades, you saw an environment
where because all this infrastructure
existed, global networks and so on and
so on, very small companies could build
very large enterprises. You know, two
kids in a dorm room could build a giant
company. We want space to be like that.
You want space to be this dynamic
entrepreneurial place where two kids in
a dorm room can build an incredible
space company. And and that's that is
going to happen.
You know, so the the job of a company
like Blue Origin is to help build the
road to space, that heavy infrastructure
so that many other companies can do
incredible things.
>> And there's so many resources in space.
>> What have you learned since and how does
the path forward look?
>> Well, let me start by saying that was a
rough moment. Nobody likes that. It was
a gut punch for the whole team. But
what we've learned since then is we got
really lucky.
The some of the long lead items on the
launch infrastructure were preserved.
For example, the propellant tank farm,
all the liquid hydrogen, liquefied
natural gas, liquid oxygen, all those
tanks. Those are, you know, very long
lead items and and they were fortunately
undamaged. The booster
we had a booster in the integration
facility which is right there at the
launch pad and various pieces of
shrapnel missed the boosters. There was
a lot of good luck in that incident. You
know, in the big picture, kind of what
you're saying, God knows how to
appropriately price his goods and space
travel is hard and it's worth it. And
so, you know, we By the way, by the end
of that incident, by the end of the day
that that incident occurred, within 24
hours, completely spontaneously, the
Blue Origin team, and this is a team of
just incredible people, they were making
themselves t-shirts that say, "It's
worth it."
>> And I think the other thing is that
we're busily rebuilding it. We we got
lucky in another way. There was a
construction crew just down the road and
And we brought in 400 pieces of heavy
equipment, uh brought in uh construction
workers that were working 24/7, and so
the pad has now been cleared of all the
debris. It's It's amazing how quickly
that's happened, and just yesterday we
started the reconstruction, and uh I
think you've said it best, we're going
to fly this year.
>> Yeah, we'll fly before the end of the
year.
>> Yeah, awesome. Awesome.
>> I I think what you said about your team
uh is very meaningful. And then I look
back at my my time at NASA, and you
know, the highlights, of course, are
successful space flights, but when you
look at the setbacks, the way you
respond to them, you find out what your
team is made of, right? You don't find
out necessarily in the good times, but
in those times that are a little bit
tougher, and you guys have gotten got a
great team and a lot of support from
NASA on this, and it sounds great
>> and moving forward.
>> Jeff, I want to pick up on something you
you you said um about that it's worth
it. It's kind of like you're now, even
though this happened, you're doubling
down on it's worth it. When others might
not have continued, right? You could
also have decided not to move forward.
Share with us your vision and why it is
worth it to you.
>> Well, uh you know, what we're trying to
do is build all the infrastructure so
that there can be a completely dynamic
space economy. Uh today, the cost of a
mission to space is still very high. If
you look back at what I witnessed in the
internet space over the last, you know,
2 and 1/2 decades, you saw an
environment where, because all this
infrastructure existed, the global
networks and so on and so on, very small
companies could build very large
enterprises. You know, two kids in a
dorm room could build a giant company.
We want space to be like that. We want
space to be this dynamic,
entrepreneurial place where two kids in
a dorm room can build an incredible
space company. And And that's That is
going to happen. Uh you know, so the
the job of a company like Blue Origin is
build the road to space, that heavy
infrastructure, so that many other
companies can do incredible things. And
there's so many resources in space.
You're seeing that now with, you know,
Leo constellations and
uh the potentials for orbital compute.
Uh we have the moon as a gift, it's
right there. Uh and so we're we're
working on all these things. We're We're
We are uh we're building a lunar lander.
We are
uh building a uh
working on in situ resource projects, so
we're learning how to build uh solar
cells out of lunar regolith and and
there are many other initiatives that
we're undertaking, but all of them are
focused on building this infrastructure.
So, there going to be dynamism in the
space economy.
>> Yeah, so this is this is all great news
and I'm so grateful you guys are moving
forward. Learn with you. These are not
things you'd want to have happen when
you have an anomaly, when you have a
setback, but it's a
>> They're unavoidable.
>> They're going to happen, right? They're
going to happen. You don't want them to
happen, but when they do happen, it's
how you react to it.
>> It's how you you get you get gives you a
chance to gives the whole team a chance
to show everyone who we are and what
we're made of.
>> Right.
Looking back years from now, I think
>> And I think the the team at Blue is the
most missionary team I've ever worked
for because you know, we've you've been
part of this, but we've explored every
planet. We've we've we've been to the
deepest parts of the solar system and
and this is the good one. All right,
this is the planet you want to be on.
It's it's beautiful. And as we build
this infrastructure, you can move
polluting industry into space and you
can turn you know, every every place on
Earth like the parks in this city, this
beautiful city here and and we could
support three times the population on
the on this planet.
>> And that's that's the long-term goal.
That's what we're trying to do.
>> That's why it's worth it.
>> That's why it's worth
>> Okay. All right. So, so Jeff, you
mentioned earlier about the space
economy and I think to some of us that
might be kind of like a
like a science fiction. We might hear
that it's like almost like science
fiction. Is it real? You know, is that
is that something that we that is that
is for real? Um but sitting where you
sit, what evidence do you see every day
that convinces you that the demand for
access to space is real and
accelerating?
>> Well, there's uh
this is a great question.
The evidence right now is very obvious.
If you look at demand for launch, demand
for launch is insatiable right now. We
have a tremendous backlog already on our
books for launch. Every space launch
company has tremendous backlog. We are
supply constrained. We are not demand
constrained. And uh
you know, it's being driven by uh
communications with Leo constellations.
It's being driven by national security
missions and it's being driven in the
future by things like orbital compute
and and lunar and lunar resources and
NASA programs to return to the moon this
time to stay. There's just a tremendous
amount of demand for launch.
>> I think it was sort of underestimated at
some point when we years ago when the
government our government was looking
for what they would need. I think it
would is it fair to say they
underestimated what the real demand
would be?
>> 100% I think people underestimated it
tremendously.
>> Yeah and I think there might be an
element to it. I think in some ways
>> It's like if you build it they will
come.
>> You know that if people if you can't get
to a place you can't even imagine what
you would do there. But now that you've
increased the access I even my my
students at Columbia have flown an
experiment on one of the new Shepard
rockets. That would have been
impossible.
>> Even you know seven years ago this is a
few years ago they did this but you
imagine even thinking that when we were
students or in the not too distant
>> a circle too. If you if if launch is
very very expensive then the satellites
have to have really long lifetimes and
they have to be very exquisite.
>> And so
>> But if the launch starts to get cheaper
then the satellites get cheaper and if
the satellites get cheaper there's more
demand for launch. If there's more
demand for launch then you get more
practice with launch and launch gets
cheaper.
>> So there is a virtuous circle there.
Once you get it spinning in the right
direction that's where we want to go.
>> And you had this vision it's not that
you can count on that happening but you
were confident of course that this would
>> You know it's going to happen you just
don't know the exact timing. So you get
you get out there and you get ready. And
you know by getting reusable rockets you
lower the costs cuz
these boosters want to be reused they're
they're expensive and when we land them
then we can reuse them many many many
times.
>> And these as you said these
constellations want to be gigantic. You
know
especially communications it's people
are insatiable on how much bandwidth
they want to use. I when I had a 300
baud modem I wanted to use all of it.
When I had a gigabit in my home I wanted
to use all of it. And when I go all the
way
these constellations want to be very
very large.
>> Okay guys I think we're going to cut to
the tape now for real. All right we had
a little setback but here we go. Let's
roll the shot. [laughter]
>> Today's launch NG-2 we have two goals.
This first is to safely deploy the
payload which is NASA's ESCAPADE which
is heading out on a mission to Mars.
>> And the second is [music] to land the
booster for the first time.
>> NASA's new ESCAPADE mission will help us
understand Mars's climate history using
two spacecraft in orbit for the first
time.
>> It's 2 at flight level.
Autopilot enabled.
>> All right, at 9 minutes is when we're
expecting the first stage to touch
[music] down on Jacqueline.
We've got it, Mr. Landing Bird.
Great shot from the booster.
>> [cheering]
>> Congratulations, ESCAPADE. Both blue and
gold have
successfully [cheering]
deployed. We have successfully landed
the booster, and we have successfully
deployed the satellites for ESCAPADE.
>> So, when you're doing hard things, you
also get great moments like that.
>> Yeah, that's awesome. Yeah.
>> That Then you said when I said it was a
launch, it's also the landing, which
amazes me. That's not out in the ocean,
right on on the uh the recovery ship.
Amazing.
>> And this is a very large vehicle. That
this vehicle will take 45 metric tons to
Leo. It'll take the the variant we're
working on right now, the 9x4 variant,
will take over 70 metric tons to Leo.
This this is a super heavy class
booster. And to watch it land like that
on an ocean going platform is
is awe-inspiring. And the team is is
rightly very proud of it.
>> And the ocean doesn't always cooperate.
That thing moves.
>> No, it's The ocean is highly
uncooperative.
>> So, to be able to do that like that is
so impressive. So,
>> All right, Dave. This is all incredibly
ambitious. And uh the question is, cuz
you're the CEO here, what what keeps you
up at night when you think about all
this stuff coming together, the the
whole operation, the uh the
manufacturing, the talent pipeline,
getting getting the right people in, the
supply chain, all this coming together.
What what is it that's foremost on your
mind with this? Or is it everything
combined?
>> There is a little bit of everything. I I
I've only been doing aerospace for 2 and
1/2 years. I'm traditionally trained in
consumer electronics. But I I think
people underestimate how hard it is to
build a rocket. Uh these these are
incredibly complicated vehicles, pushing
pushing the boundaries of what, you
know, physics allows. And uh and so to
see success like this and and see how
space is becoming more normal is is
amazing. But to build one off of
anything, whether that would be an
engine or it would be a rocket, that
that doesn't really keep me up at night
much. It it What the hard part is is
building the machine that builds the
machines. You really want to That takes
a lot of time and a lot of thought. And
that's the factories that are pushing
these out. Because you don't want it to
meet the vision that Jeff talked about.
You don't want to build just one rocket.
We want to build We want to fly 100
times a year. And that means 100 second
stages. That means uh that means
hundreds of engines. And so building our
engine factory in Huntsville and our uh
rocket factory down in Orlando and
getting those to rate, which includes
the supply chain, that includes the raw
materials, and heavy vertical
integration is how you build that
machine. And we we're making a huge
amount of progress. Uh but you can
always get better.
>> So, we're We're now building a BE-4
engine. This is our the heavy uh you
know, the
oxidizer uh every 4 days coming off the
line now at BE-4 engine. So, rate
manufacturing is critical to this. You
know, space travel is a solved problem
for
you know, six decades. We're not trying
to invent space travel, we're trying to
make it cost-effective. And that's the
key. That's why you need reusability as
Dave was saying and why you need rate
manufacturing. And so, it really is
about being world-class manufacturers
and Dave and the team are are crushing
that. They're doing an amazing job.
>> When when Dave uh visited us at at
Columbia where I'm on the faculty, that
was a talked about the manufacturing. I
do want to mention something about your
pipeline. When you I don't know if you
knew this, but when we were looking for
someone to come speak, we had a CEO
lecture series and we did a poll within
our our student body and what if you can
listen hear from the the head of any
company, what would it be? And it was
Blue Origin came out number one. So,
thanks for accommodating us. So, I think
your pipeline is of of talent is uh is
excited to to come join and be a part of
this.
>> Yeah, I think people are underestimating
uh in even in the acade- academic world,
how much building physical things is
going to be valued moving forward,
right? And so, the so, uh we we spent
the last three decades uh with a not
enough computer science majors, but I
think the pendulum's going to swing the
other way and I was so inspired seeing
this kids at Columbia and people that
know how to build real physical things
and understand how the complexities of
that and how to manufacture them.
They're going to they're going to be in
very high demand.
>> And and just to pick up a little bit
more on the on the engines, Jeff, um as
you know, the
I don't know if everyone knows it it was
mentioned earlier just a minute ago
about it. You do have separate
facilities. Most of your rockets are
built in Florida primarily, but you have
a whole an entirely separate facility in
Alabama. And now, I've ridden on rockets
that take you to space, but I've never
tried to build one. So, in your mind,
Jeff, what is what what is so difficult
about building rocket engines?
>> Well, rocket engines operate right at
the limit of physics. So, you know, the
internal combustion temperatures inside
of main combustion chamber of a rocket
are 5,000-6,000 degrees Fahrenheit. It's
beyond the melting points of any
materials. And so, the the complexities
of pressurizing those propellants in
high performance turbo pumps that have
to be very lightweight, of cooling those
materials with regenerative channels so
that they don't melt. This is just a
very challenging thing to do. And then,
so designing the engine is hard, and
then manufacturing it is hard, and
manufacturing at rate is hard. Um and
you know, I think we have a little clip
I could show you. We have our lunar
lander as an engine in it called the
BE-7, which is a relatively small
engine. It's 10,000 lb of thrust, and
that
the reliability of this engine is
paramount. And we just did the longest
engine test in history. Uh this is a
41-minute
engine test. This engine ran
continuously for 41 minutes. That beats
the record for the Space Shuttle main
engine, which they once tested 30 years
ago. They tested it for 36 minutes. So,
uh it's that's that and so that's a a
multi-decade record uh that the Blue
Origin team just beat with the BE-7
engine. But this is a very challenging
thing. These engines are very complex.
We have the BE-4 engine, which is the
one that uses liquefied natural gas and
liquid oxygen. Uses an ox-rich stage
combustion cycle. And then, our BE-3U
engine is our second stage engine. It's
liquid hydrogen and liquid oxygen. This
is the same basic architecture that was
used by the Apollo program. So, a
hydrocarbon booster stage and liquid
hydrogen upper stages. Liquid hydrogen
is a a complex fuel to use, but it's
much higher performing than hydrocarbon
fuels. The problem with liquid hydrogen
is that it's very voluminous. It's the
density of liquid hydrogen is very low.
That's why you really don't want to use
it on a booster stage. It gets the
booster stage would get too
volumetrically gigantic. But on a second
stage, it gives you tremendous
advantages. So, this is what the Apollo
Saturn V rocket did, and it's what we do
as well. To do
the the lunar landing with liquid
hydrogen has a further advantage, which
is that you look just a little ways into
the future when we have permanent lunar
settlements. This time we are going to
the moon to stay. I'm not going to
visit, we're going to stay. And when you
look at the materials available on the
moon, you have water ice in the
permanently shadowed craters on the near
the poles of the moon. And that can with
electrolysis be converted into liquid
oxygen and liquid hydrogen. So by using
liquid hydrogen as our lunar landing
fuel, one day in the not too distant
future, you'll be able to use in situ
materials on the surface of the moon to
refuel your lander.
>> Um let's talk more about the moon.
Right. So you guys have had this in your
game plan since the company was founded,
the moon. And lately we've been hearing
a lot about the moon. Artemis 2 was such
a huge success and really captured
everyone's attention. It's now like a a
global interest of going to the moon,
exploring the moon for various reasons.
Do you feel like everyone else in the
world is catching up to where you guys
have been for a while? How How does How
do you How do you feel about that?
>> Yeah, we've been we've been fixated on
not skipping any steps. I'm very excited
to see NASA and I think most of the
world recognize that we should go to the
moon first. We'll go to Mars and we'll
do all the other things, but the moon is
the first best step. And there are many
reasons for that, but it's kind of a
gift. It's so near Earth. We can get
there in 3 and 1/2 days. We can return
in 3 and 1/2 days. You can go anytime
you want. You don't have to wait for the
planetary alignment to be just right.
You can only go to Mars every 2 years or
so. And so there are a lot of advantages
to the moon. And then the moon's gravity
well is so much lower than the Earth
that when you get materials from the
moon, you can lift them off the moon
with 28 times less energy per kilogram
than is needed to lift something off the
Earth. And so that's a really valuable
thing if you are producing liquid
oxygen, for example, on the moon.
Lifting that into space is very easy
compared to lifting liquid oxygen off of
Earth. And so as we go about exploring
the solar system, which we will do, and
as we you know, we will we will build
colonies on Mars and so on, the moon is
an important first step. And when you
skip steps, it actually doesn't make you
faster.
>> Yeah, we and it's going to be an
incredible time over the next just the
next year. If you if you look at our
lunar road map, we call our team inside
of Blue Origin the lunar permanence
group for exactly what Jeff said. We
want to go there and we want to stay on
the moon. And just next year, early in
the year we'll fly our Mark 1 lander,
which is on the screen here. This is a
3-metric-tons-to-the-lunar-surface
vehicle. It'll be the big the largest
thing that has ever landed on the moon,
and that'll be our pathfinder mission.
And then mid-year, it was just announced
last week, Artemis 3 will happen. Luca
will be on that
on that flight, which will be great. Uh
and that's going to be a rendezvous
mission with our Mark 2 lander, which is
our human-rated lander. And we'll we'll
meet up at around 450 km in lower Earth
orbit, and we'll do some of 2 days of
entering into the vehicle. The vehicle
have full environmental controls, so
it'll have an equal system. And we'll
test that out for when we fly to the
moon the following year. And then later
in the year, we'll fly another Mark 1
lander. So these are coming off the
assembly line now. So we have a factory
that's building these. And that will
land NASA's VIPER rover late in the
year. So it's going to
the the cycle time to the moon, the
cadence to the moon is going to increase
very rapidly, and it's it's really
exciting.
>> And by the way, that VIPER rover is
going to go find
lunar water ice in those permanently
shadowed craters. So that's a very
exciting mission to we've seen it we've
we've seen it with various methods from
orbit and so on, but now we'll be able
to go look at it up close.
>> So it just kind of seems like the timing
has worked out pretty well. You guys
identified it now and the moon base
announcement from a from a couple months
ago.
>> You're right that the timing is good. I
would also tell you that this is so
early. You know, we as a species, as far
as space is concerned, we're we're just
still warming up, right? We haven't we
have not even begun. This is the
earliest earliest earliest.
>> And the idea that we've been to the moon
before, which we have, great
accomplishment, much different than what
we're doing now. It's the permanence of
what we're staying there. And I really
love what what you said about
>> And then when we went before, we pulled
it forward in time. We did it before we
were ready.
>> Yeah, it was pulled forward in time. And
uh of, you know, geopolitics and the
race with the Soviets and so on. And now
is the right time to really get into
>> Really get into and go to stay.
>> Yeah, we did it before by spending, you
know, the US spent almost 3% of GDP to
do it. And that's just not sustainable.
>> have those those types of resources.
>> sustainable.
>> Give me 3% of GDP, I'll give you fusion.
Okay?
>> [laughter]
>> So, I guess the the question here and I
we've already I think we know the
answer. Moon or Mars, Jeff?
>> Well, moon first.
>> Moon first and then
>> Moon first and then Mars and and
everywhere else, too. And we'll build
large, you know, O'Neill
very O'Neill style colonies in space as
well.
And and we'll build big, uh you know,
we'll use asteroids and near-Earth
objects and the moon and so on to build
compute in space and solar cells in
space and so on. And a lot of our
compute will be done in space. It's
it'll make more sense. And ultimately,
we even manufacture the chips that the
compute runs on. And then the answers
can just be beamed back to us here. And
this
planet, Dave said it before, but our
long-term vision, our dream is to that
all the polluting industry can be done
off Earth. If space travel gets reliable
enough and inexpensive enough and we can
get materials from asteroids and
near-Earth objects and the moon, then
this garden planet can be returned to
its pre-Industrial Revolution state.
This is the only way in which the world
is worse today than it [clears throat]
was 500 years ago. Everything is better
today.
The the you know, global illiteracy is
better than it was 500 years ago. Infant
mortality is better than it was. Global
poverty is better than it was.
Everything is is better and it keeps
getting better. And the one exception is
the natural world.
And we can actually have both.
>> We we go to space not necessarily just
for space, but for Earth.
>> Yes, you want to protect it. There's a
great quote, which I'm sure you've heard
from one of your fellow astronauts, Jim
Lovell,
>> Yeah.
>> when he went to the when he went to the
moon and he looked back on Earth. He
looked back at the Earth and he said, "I
realized you go to heaven when you're
born, not when you're die. That's cool.
>> I really love the way you describe the
moon as a gift. I've always thought of
it like our little brother or sister
that's always with us. If we're there
it's a and it's the right
sounds like you're saying we get there
we can go other places more quickly. Um
>> It's also been bombarded for some time.
>> What's that?
>> It's been bombarded for 4 and 1/2
billion years by every meteorite. And so
just under that surface is everything we
need to build the things that Jeff
talked about. Like every mineral is
there, water is there. We know this now.
>> And it's just it's going to be it's
going to be an incredible resource and
it's untouched
>> for billions of years. So it it really
is a I like that it's a gift for us to
explore and then use that as a launchpad
to go other places. All right, um let's
talk about uh some more about the
infrastructures stack that you're
developing. Um this is all about you
know the rockets and the vision for the
moon and
all these all these things that you guys
are into and you're going to need a lot
of talent and resources. But you know
you said that that that is really the
key is companies and we've talked about
a little bit already, companies that can
be these world-class manufacturers with
incredible vertical integration. Uh
they're the ones that are going to be
the leaders and Blue Origin is doing
that to set up this space economy
building that infrastructure. So when
you when you say that about building
that the infrastructure layer for the
space economy, what what does that mean
and what are the pieces of that stack
that you're developing?
>> Well, I think on the as you said on the
manufacturer I was very surprised coming
to company like Blue that you do have to
be incredibly vertically integrated in
this area. And
as an example, we have our own these
engines that Jeff talked about the you
know the they're running at just the
boundary of physics and high heat. So we
have a material science group that uh
literally invented new two new alloys.
We call them Cascadium and Reneurium.
And these are to coat these engines so
they can survive in these in these
applications. And then we take those
alloys and we put them into one of the
biggest additive manufacturing factories
in the world which which which Blue has
and we print these metals and literally
print an engine. And so it's part of the
infrastructure is inventing new
infrastructure that to to push the
boundaries of what we'll be able to do.
Again, to get to where we're just said,
which is lowering the cost. You know,
you could probably do this in the old
ways back in the Apollo era, but it does
take a lot of money in in this. And then
I I think the other place that we're
trying to invent is what are the
applications you want to put in space?
And so we have um we've announced two
different constellations, one called
Project Sunrise, the other one called
Terra Wave, that that get uh more
infrastructure into space. And uh I
think we can talk more about that as
well.
>> Yeah. Yeah, I was going to ask you about
Terra Wave and data
>> Terra Wave is a is a a a LEO comms uh
constellation that uh has very, very
high bandwidth and is optimized for uh
very demanding users, large enterprises,
hyperscalers, government institutions.
Uh includes very fast Earth-to-space
optical links. So it's a very
sophisticated network um and so we're
working on that. We're also working on
Project Sunrise, which is an orbital
compute. It'll These satellites will be
in sun-synchronous orbit.
Sun-synchronous orbit is an interesting
orbit where the satellites 99 plus
percent of the time are always in
sunlight. So they don't get eclipsed by
the Earth. You know, a typical orbit
around the Earth, you know, might be in
lower Earth orbit, might be, you know,
90 minutes or so, and half that time
you're in darkness. Uh and half that
time you're in in in sunlight. But in
the sun-synchronous orbit, you're in
daylight almost all the time, 99 plus
percent. And so your solar cells are
working for you the whole time.
Uh and so there are a lot of questions
about orbital data centers and can it
really work? And people get worried
about heat rejection and things like
this. All of these physics problems are
easily solvable. Uh heat rejection is
not a real problem. It's All these
questions are really about cost. And the
cost So the cost of production of the
solar cells, the cost of production of
the satellites, and the cost of launch
uh will eventually the lines will cross,
and eventually orbital compute will be
uh a better option than terrestrial
compute. We don't know exactly when that
will be, but we're going to work on We
have to work on it now so that we're
ready for those two lines to cross.
>> We're already very reliant on the
connectivity we get every day from
space, and this is a way to to grow it.
>> Yeah, and this is going to there's going
to be many of these constellations. I
was just going to say
>> Yeah, there there and you know, just
just the first phase of Terra Wave is
5,000 plus satellites in Leo and then
another 100 satellites out in mid-Earth
orbit orbit at MEO and so you you start
thinking about the scale of these
constellations. They want to be
5, 10, 20,000 for each shell and and
they'll have different use cases. You
know, you have Starlink and you have
Amazon's Leo and those are very focused
on mostly on the consumer and great. You
can go anywhere now and and and get for
60 or 100 euro a year, you can or a
month, you can you can get great
connectivity. Similarly, our we're
focused on giving enterprises and
governments really, really high
bandwidth with high reliability and and
there'll be 10 more ideas for this and
this just goes back to why launch is so
constrained now because each one of
these constellations and quickly fill up
many, many, many launches, you know,
hundreds of launches and so
we we got to race to just get lower the
cost even further and get more rockets
in the air.
>> And Europe will have their own
constellations, other countries will
have their own constellations. It's just
it's just a very valuable thing to be
able to do. Even just talking about
communications constellations, the kind
of human appetite for comms is basically
you know,
insatiable.
>> I want to ask you about another project
that you have going. Recently, you broke
news of a new endeavor, Prometheus,
right? AI company and you've called it
that you're going to be developing
an artificial general engineer. So as
someone who tries to train real
engineers, I'm very excited about this
because I [laughter] think I think it's
a way that we're going to we can
incorporate that in education and and
train engineers to use this thing that
you're developing, Prometheus.
What can you tell us about that and the
importance of AI in engineering for Blue
Origin and for the world?
>> Yeah, Prometheus is building a set of
tools that's designed to empower
engineers to really invent and build
much, much faster. So if you think
about, you know, today there's a kind of
a dream build cycle. You know, you dream
of something and then depending on how
complicated it is, it may take a few
years to 10 years before you're really
producing it at rate and manufacturing
it. And if you take a step back, and
broadly civilizational wealth, all of
civilizational wealth is driven by
invention. 6,000 years ago, somebody
invented the plow and we all got
wealthier. And then much later, somebody
invented the steam engine and we all got
wealthier. And this cycle continues. And
if we can accelerate that cycle, that
dream build cycle, it will create real
productivity, real prosperity. And so
that's the idea behind Prometheus. And
it can't be done with uh traditional
large language models. They have a
place, but they aren't trained with the
right data to be able to do detailed
engineering. So uh the the analogy I
would give you is, you know, I could
read a thousand books. That's what LLMs
do today. They're trained on entire
corpus of humanity's knowledge. They
have scraped the entire internet and
they know everything that we've written
down in words and they're unbelievably
good at uh at symbol manipulation.
That's what large language models do.
But if I read a thousand books on how to
be a great gymnast, I would still be a
terrible gymnast.
And it's because it's a needs a
different kind of training data. And
that's what when you go to actually
design real physical objects, it's very
complicated and you can't do it just by
reading about it. And so we're building
a uh
a model that is very good at doing
engineering. And then that model becomes
the basis of a series of tools that will
make it easier for for people to to to
dramatically accelerate that build
dream. And so the goal would be, if
today you came to me and you said,
"Jeff, I need a new jet engine with 10%
more thrust." And even if I had built 50
jet engines already, so I would still
tell you that's going to be a 10-year
program. That's how long it takes to
build a modern, sophisticated jet engine
for a modern airliner. And to be by the
time you've tested it and set up the
factory and you're ready to produce it,
that's at least a 10-year program. And
so, can we at Prometheus build a set of
tools to make that be 5 years, and then
3 years, and then 2 years, and then 1
year? And if we can really accelerate
that dream build loop, it changes
everything.
>> And it's not necessarily
>> And it helps Blue Origin, too.
>> Yeah.
>> They They have to have it now. Dave
needs these tools.
>> Yeah. And it's not going to replace
people necessarily. It's going to be a
tool for engineers to use.
>> No, no, no. I I know there's a lot of
concern that many people have, including
many smart people, that AI is going to
make humans redundant and so on. I I
totally disagree with this point of
view, and I think, in fact, AI is going
to create a labor shortage, cuz it's
going to make it possible for people to
identify more problems. We have an
endless set of things to invent, and we
are only limited today. We are limited
not by our imaginations, but by what we
can actually do. I promise you, every
single person in this audience has had
an idea for a new business, or a new
product, or a new device that they wish
they could manufacture, and that idea
stayed in your head and went nowhere.
And the reason it stayed in your head
and went nowhere is because it's too
hard to do, and it wasn't worth it. And
if we can accelerate the dream build
loop, all of the ideas will then become
possible, and then we end up being
limited not by our capabilities, but by
our imaginations.
>> You can already see this with LLMs.
You can already see this somewhat with
vibe coding, right? You know, I I was
classically trained as a computer
scientist, but 3 years ago, I was a
terrible computer scientist. I got But
now, I can in just an afternoon write an
iOS app. And And And I have some ideas
for iOS apps, and and that That is is
one thing that LLMs can do very well,
cuz it is symbolic, and so they can code
very well. And then imagine the tools
that they're thinking about, bringing
that that I could, in an afternoon, do
that in the physical world. And, you
know, contemplate something, and
magically it comes off my 3D printer. I
I'm chomping at the bit. It's It's so
exciting.
>> Exciting future for us for all of us
here. Well, fellas, we've got a few
minutes left here. So, we've got a
couple last questions for you. Um you
guys know each other a long time. I
mean, I know you well enough to know you
guys are friends and trusted
>> We've worked together for, uh know,
almost two decades at Amazon.
>> Okay. So, and so you worked together at
Amazon. Are there any surprises or
differences on how working together at
Blue Origin, how's how's that been? Is
it What's that been like now on on this
new endeavor?
>> Uh I I don't see
a lot
but I there's some things that surprised
me. Uh Jeff is the most uh fair and
feeding tip for Jeff here that he's the
most tactically impatient person I've
ever met and the most strategically
patient person I've ever met. So, uh and
I know that's an oxymoron but it but it
it somehow works. And and and the the
thing that that was the same is at
Amazon Jeff was always the longest term
thinker in the room. There was no
question about it. He was the long-term
optimist in the room. And I when I came
to Blue, the vision is bigger than that.
It it's it it's it's it's he we've he
mentioned it. It's like we're trying to
help this planet and make and and make
space uh the new normal. So, that that
was one. And then I think the other
thing uh for me is uh I I've been in the
room a lot with Jeff and you know, he
always can find and help an idea. He
always can move it forward. And I and
certainly I thought that that superpower
was centered around e-commerce. I mean,
you invented Amazon. And uh I can tell
you now I've been here 2 and 1/2 years,
Jeff knows more about rockets and rocket
engines than he knows about e-commerce.
And that is stunning. [laughter]
>> Thank you, Dave. That's very nice.
Here's what I would say. There's a
There's a saying, some of you may have
heard it, maybe not. Um when you're
under 40, never hire your friends. When
you're over 40, only hire your friends.
There you go. And I could tell
I'm a very very lucky man with a
tremendous amount of gratitude that I
get to work with Dave, you know. Thank
you. That was awesome.
>> O- Okay, just a couple more to round out
here. Uh Jeff, you said that Blue Origin
will be the world's most decisive
company. Um how's that going? How are
things
>> It's going very well, especially since
Dave arrived. and very grateful for it.
Because decisiveness is about speed, and
speed matters in business. You know,
Amazon is a giant company, but we're
still we make decisions very quickly.
And this is something that you need to
be able to do. And I can tell you why
decisions get slow in especially in
large companies. And Blue is a pretty
big company at this point. You know, we
have 14, 15,000 people. It's not a small
company. And the reason is you start
making all decisions as if they're all
the same size. It's like
one-size-fits-all thinking. And you
know, if you have a one-size-fits-all
robe, it never fits. So and so there are
different decisions that should be made
in different ways. There are giant
decisions, which are consequential and
irreversible or almost irreversible.
Super hard to reverse. Those decisions
should be made slowly with great care.
And then there are other decisions,
which even if they're consequential,
they can be reversed. And those
decisions should be made by single
individuals who have good judgment. And
and so you have to remember that there
are these different kinds of decisions.
And speed of decision-making, if you go
if you When you go look at successful
companies, one of the reasons that small
companies can be so nimble is because a
small group of people can be so
decisive. And you know, a company with
100 people and a really good founder or
leader, they can touch every part of the
company, they can be involved in every
decision, and they can be incredibly
decisive and move fast. So that's an
important part of culture. And in
aerospace, you know, traditional
aerospace I think often suffers from
slow decision-making speed. And it's and
I know how aerospace gets there, but I
mean, you know, you're building things
that often have, you know, hazardous
operations, life-safety critical
missions. And so again, not every
decision is like that, though. So you
end up making every decision as if it's
life-safety critical. And then you're
going to move very slowly. That's not
going to lead to the results that you
want. You know, you know, we we want to
move humanity forward and into this next
age, and I think we're in the middle of
a bunch of golden ages right now, and I
want to see companies succeed in all of
them. Biotech, space is an incredible
opportunity, all the things that are
happening in AI. We live in the most
incredible moment. And every young
person right now should be so excited
that they are where they are now because
it's never been a better time to be an
entrepreneur, a better time to start a
company. There's so many possibilities.
>> In in the speak about what we used to do
in the space program with the government
where I'm familiar, we used to call it
we move at glacial speed.
>> [laughter]
>> And you guys move quick. Okay, I've got
we're we're we're close here. I've got a
question for each one of you left. Um,
Dave, uh, this is what goes through your
head when you when you hear Jeff say
that Blue and apparently you've said
this, Jeff, that Blue will eventually be
the best business you've ever been a
part of, even more successful than
Amazon. Now, I'm you know, I'm not a
business major, but Amazon's pretty
successful, so the pressure's on. What
goes through your head when you when you
hear that, Dave?
>> Yeah, it's a it's a clench up moment,
let's put it that
>> [laughter]
>> Yeah.
You know, it's a and I I I he mentioned
this before I took the job that he So,
this I think it got out publicly later,
but he he mentioned it and so this has
been and it is a tough comp, you know,
Amazon by almost any measure is one of
the world's, if not the world's most
successful company. And but I have to
tell you that I I'm an optimist by
general, but in general, but as the time
has gone by and been 2 years and I've
seen how fast the progress we're making
in space and how many opportunities that
are that we've talked about some of them
here that can happen in space. I think
I'm a believer now. And I was a skeptic
and so I'm sure of it. Yeah, it's going
to happen.
>> a giant industry with lots of winners
and literally hundreds and thousands of
winners. It's going to be very exciting
to watch it unfold.
>> Well, I'm very grateful for what you
guys have done devoting your your
talents, energy, entrepreneurship to
this space program. Well done. One last
question, Jeff, this one's for you. It's
about your lesson learned from your
grandfather on the importance of being
resourceful. You know, today we have AI
and a lot of technical help, a lot of
technology around us. Do you still think
resourcefulness carries the same weight
as it did when you heard that story from
your grandfather or even maybe more so
in today's world?
>> I think it's so important. It's
Mike knows some of these stories about
my grandfather because I told I told him
so this, why he's asking this question
but my grandfather when I knew him was a
rancher in South Texas and I spent all
my summers on my grandfather's ranch
from age 4 to 16 and
and eventually was able to help him and
we did everything on our own and like a
lot of people in rural areas you can't
call to repair something you know you
fix it yourself and so we repaired
bulldozers and took out the giant
transmission gears and fixed them and so
on but he even made his own veterinary
needles you know to stitch up the cattle
he would get a piece of wire and heat it
with a blowtorch and pound it flat and
drill a little hole in the end and
sharpen it some of the cattle even
survived. So [laughter]
this is a a very
good just
this this idea it's an attitude this
attitude this approach to life that any
problem is solvable it's a good starting
point and some problems may take a long
time to solve but I promise you if you
start with the opposite point of view
that the problem is not solvable that
will be a self-fulfilling prophecy.
>> And with that
where our time is up.
>> But thank you Mike.
>> Thank you very much thank you.
Ask follow-up questions or revisit key timestamps.
Jeff Bezos and Dave Limp discuss Blue Origin's mission to build the foundational infrastructure for a dynamic space economy. They emphasize the importance of reusability, rate manufacturing, and solving complex engineering challenges to reduce the cost of space access. The conversation covers their vision for the moon as a permanent settlement and launchpad, the development of new AI tools like 'Prometheus' to accelerate engineering, and the necessity of maintaining a fast-paced, decisive culture to turn ambitious dreams into reality.
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