The Sphere Play We Couldn't Ignore
382 segments
So Spear, dude, this is wild, guys. You
remember I was texting you guys and I
was like, "Hey, I read every single Tik
Tok comment on every single video the
first 72 hours when Wizard of Oz came
out." There were people all around the
world that were like, "I am going to
Vegas to see this show. This is the most
incredible thing ever. This is what
we've been waiting for." And I was like,
"Wait a second. Beer has not had a hit
show." Like that postcards from Earth
was a piece of junk. Well, it's it's a
well done nature film. The same way when
you go to the Omni, you're just going to
watch whatever documentary, but it's not
filling seats. But my concern, you
started sending me these videos from
that were people were taking from their
seats like, oh wow, the tornado and all
this. My concern was when they panned
over, there's a thousand empty seats and
empty seats. I didn't realize they were
only selling that like center section.
And so in the early videos, I was like,
"Well, yeah, it seems cooler than we
thought, but the videos themselves are
showing like a whole bunch of
emptiness." Dave, they're like selling
out every show and almost every single
review are people that are like, "This
is the greatest." So, what was really
unusual about this is that the previews,
like the people that didn't even see it
yet, were basically saying that this is
going to be the worst thing ever
because, you know, they basically cut up
The Wizard of Oz. They ruined a classic
film. They replaced everything with
digital. No, it's amazing. like all of
the behind the scenes stuff I've seen on
what it's actually incredible that they
took something that was shot in the 30s
>> watching the regular Wizard of Oz in
2025. It's not like anybody was going to
see this movie if not for this
production that they did at the sphere.
Okay. So, like I was a little bit
hesitant cuz I was like, "Oh, wait.
People hate this idea. It's
controversial." The second the reviews
started coming in, I was like, "Hold on.
This could be the biggest thing that has
ever happened to the spear in ways that
I don't think anybody is even thinking
about yet. Okay. I went all in on this
trade. I bought a massive amount of call
options.
>> And did you do that just after we we
talked about it? Because I know you
bought some stock right before we talked
about it, which what this box shows the
the 40% gain.
>> I went all in on that Monday, I believe,
uh right after the sphere had uh come
out that Friday. I I think I bought a
bunch on Friday and then I bought a
bunch more on Monday. This is like now
one of my top trades of the year. And
the reason why it's the perfect trade is
it is all this is exactly how social ARB
works. Regular people seeing something
extraordinary that has potential to have
a monstrously big impact on a publicly
traded company. And Spear is basically
just one thing. Now, we know they have
MSG network as well as part of that
company that they're trying to like spin
out and like get rid of, but for the
most part, everyone investing in this
company is essentially investing in the
ability of this one location in Vegas to
generate profit because the better that
this location does, the more likely the
company is to be able to franchise
both big and small versions of this
venue all around the world. Okay, so
this is the biggest thing that you could
ever have happen because it's not a
concert. If you do a concert there,
number one, it's really expensive,
right? Number two, you're very limited
on how often you can show that concert
because you actually have humans that
have to get on stage. Concerts have a
scaling problem that you just can't
duplicate it. Now, you can reuse the
graphics that you did in Vegas and and
do it in London and do it in Abu Dhabi.
You can do that and have a world tour,
>> right? But the artists are going to
perform, you know, maybe three, four
times a week, cops, something like that.
>> But a movie, a movie, you can just hit
replay. But hold on, understand this.
Yes, the concert has like more than
triple the number of people there cuz
they fill every seat, even on the sides.
But people are basically paying the same
amount of money to see a live concert as
they are a 75inut
film. People are paying $250
to $350 per ticket to see a 75 minute
film that can be replicated at an
infinite number of Spheres if they
actually had them. And you could do this
at 2:00 in the afternoon and again at
6:00 and again at 10:00. I mean, you
can't do three, four concerts a day.
It's actually unbelievable. And the fact
that they did this with an old piece of
content that was more or less worthless,
okay? Like they took content that
probably cost them very little in terms
of royalty. I don't know the exact
numbers on the royalty agreement. I'm
trying to get to the bottom of that now.
There are different estimates of it that
that you know, various analysts have.
They basically take a nothing piece of
content, add some AI, add some special
effects, apples dropping from the
ceiling, wind and little piece of paper
flying around during the tornado scene.
They use AI to make it fill the entire
screen, right? And have it be really
sharp. And all of a sudden, they're
generating what? 5,000 tickets at
hundreds of dollars a ticket multiple
times a day. This is extraordinary.
They're going to be running this show
for months and months and months and
months. What's even bigger? I know the
stock has almost doubled here. How much
is the stock up since? Like 30. It's
almost doubled, right?
>> Well, it's it it was up 40% since we
talked about it.
>> Yeah, it's basically doubled. Here's the
greatest part that nobody is really
talking about yet. Yes. This will help
them for the franchisee model that
they've been hoping for and wishing for
that everybody like didn't know if it
was going to actually happen. Are people
gonna actually spend a ton of their own
money to build these spheres all around
the world if there if the business model
is not proven? But now that they have a
proven business model, they can go out
and replicate this every year with a new
film. I'm just going to give you an
example.
>> Yeah, they need to start thinking about
what other nostalgic films
>> I will give you the best one right now.
The best one. And I've spoken to some
other people about this and everybody,
this seems to be the consensus of what
everyone's saying uh in comments on
TikTok. Everybody wants to see Charlie
in the Chocolate Factory done like this.
Okay. Like that is like seems to be the
number one the original.
>> Yeah. Things you can do that are real
visual and sensory, right? And you can
do cool things with especially like some
of the rooms that they go in with the
bubbles and smells and things.
>> Jordan, this is so big. So I think the
model that has been either discussed by
the company or at least analysts talking
about this is that the franchise model I
believe they would get like roughly like
a one-third cut. So you essentially have
all these people spending all the
upfront money, right? They spend all the
money, they build the stuff and they
just send them a copy of this, you know,
Wizard of Oz deal. They start showing it
and they get a third of it. It is such a
profitable model if you can start to
replicate it and if you could replicate
it with content as opposed to just
concerts. And by the way, the concerts
are still huge because Backstreet Boys,
people are paying $4 and $500 a seat to
see Backstreet Boys at the Sphere. Do
you realize how difficult it was for
Backstreet Boys to sell tickets prior to
being in the Sphere? Okay. They took a
band that could barely sell tickets,
stuck them in the Sphere, and for some
odd reason, I have no idea why, but
people are saying it's the greatest show
ever at the Sphere.
>> It's an experience. It's some It's
different. You've never seen the
projections. Like, put any band there.
The Eagles did well there.
>> Dave, they have cracked the code. And
this is all happening. People are so
confused. They're like, "But no one's
going to pay continue to pay that much."
I'm like, have you ever heard of what
people do in Las Vegas? They essentially
go there and they pay $300 $400 a seat
to see circ shows that have been around
for 20 years and they just keep doing it
again and again and again. And it's
probably the cheapest thing you're going
to do in Vegas as opposed to gambling
your money.
>> By the way, I don't want to hear this
about the price because people were
paying three to $6,000 to go see Taylor
Swift. So like if you really want to go
see somebody, like a few hundred bucks
is just what it is now. It seems like
>> if you want to have a towel and a place
to sit at the pool in Vegas, you're
going to be spending hundreds of
dollars.
>> Yes. And the bottom line is people have
nothing to do. They want things that
will kind of hit that dopamine, right?
Everyone has like a higher floor for
what it takes to to to to like get the
dopamine going. And the spear is hitting
our culture, I think, at the perfect
point in time. So people show up in
Vegas and they're like, "What are we
going to do? We want to do something
cool and new. We don't want to see
another CIR show, right? Like we don't
want to just see these random Vegas
shows that have been around forever. The
Spear offers something really unique.
It's the perfect amount of time, 75
minutes. And Jordan, I'm not talking
about the concerts. I'm just talking
about like the Wizard of Oz or whatever
the next one is that they do and the
next one after that and the hundred
after that because they're always going
to take this really cool nostalgic
content that we all all love and they're
going to reinvigorate it in a new way
for the new generation and for people
>> yeah really all you need you just need a
small team of people just thinking and
piling through old content and saying
like what is cool what could we make
really interesting
>> the actual production cost to make the
Wizard of Oz report saying that it was
$80 to $100 million and that likely in
included the rights and production and
enhancement and marketing and
adaptation, all of that stuff. So, $100
million all in to have a production
that's ready to hit repeat.
>> Nothing compared to what they're
generating from this. I was so excited
that looking back, I kind of regret not
going in larger. I went in large, but
this should have been my number one
trade of the year if I was thinking
clearly. We basically have been saying
this for two years. When they first
announced the spear, we're opening it
for the very first time. The outside of
it being so such a visible part of the
landscape in Las Vegas, we knew that it
was going to be a a visual thing that
was going to be shared on social media
when they had something big. Everybody's
going to know about it. And so we just
have to watch for those those shows that
are going to be unbelievable. Like
imagine a Taylor Swift there. That would
be that would be the next trigger point.
I don't know. You know, announcing that
you're going to have like Willy Wonka
come to the sphere is going to be
something that moves the stock up
another 50%.
>> Yeah, I think Taylor Swift might be too
big for the sphere.
>> No, no, Dave. Dave, you got it wrong. We
Taylor Swift is a oneand done. It would
be awesome because it would set the
stage for AAAS artist, but it almost
looks like they don't even need AAA
artists on the
>> The whole story has changed. It's now
about can now now that we have proven
that we can do something in this
location, our high visibility location,
let's let's clone it around the world
>> when you want better margins than you
would get out of like a Taylor Swift
show, right? Because she would demand
such of so much of the ticket price.
Jordan, getting to your point that you
made earlier, Spear has come out, I
think it was in their last earnings
perhaps, and they said that based on the
success of their filmed content, they
might start to transition more of the
showtimes from concerts to film content.
So, that tells you all you need to know.
As a social trader, I have this thesis
now that the first part of it is over.
Everybody knows the Wizard of Oz is a
huge deal. it's going to impact
earnings. If you go on to X, there's a
couple really good I'll call them like,
you know, re I guess retail analysts. A
one of them is a social AR trader that
follows our channel. He DM'd me today.
His name is Paris analyst on X. But
there's another guy that I sent y'all,
Kevin L. Mack, Mak. So Kevin L. Mack has
done a lot of work on Sphere. So, I
would definitely go on X and I would
pull up Kevin L. Mack, Mak, and read
through all of his analyst notes because
he's actually doing a really good job
looking under the covers of how this is
going to impact earnings. He's tracking
uh how many seats are being pre-sold
going into Q4. I don't know that either
of these guys have done a lot of work on
what this meaningfully means for the
next couple years because I actually
think this provides product market fit
that goes out years on Spear. I think
it's a massive gamecher for the entire
company. If they could just get rid of
that MSG network that is nothing but a
distraction and there are rumors that
that might actually happen that would be
a really big deal as well. So, part one
of the social arb trade is over. Uh,
part two is just beginning. I am not
selling my spear. I'm going to
transition from a highly levered call
options position, transition that slowly
into more of a long-term equity position
in Spear. Because every single time I
talked to someone about this, guys, I
were I was around a lot of investors the
past week. I was doing robot stuff and
not I don't think one person I spoke to
knew this was a publicly traded company.
I was like wait a second how does do
people not realize that Spear is a
publicly traded company? Is this like an
unknown thing for a lot of investors?
>> You should be hanging around with this
many people who don't watch your show. I
mean it's clear it's clear.
>> Did you say don't you even know who I am
>> and then storm out of the meeting?
>> The people I was hanging around are
like5 to$25 million check writers each.
So, I don't think they're watching a lot
of our show. Some of them do, actually.
>> You need to get business cards with the
show on it. These are the people who
should be watching us.
Ask follow-up questions or revisit key timestamps.
The video discusses the success of the Sphere in Las Vegas, specifically focusing on how the venue transformed from a struggling entertainment space into a profitable business model by utilizing immersive, nostalgic film productions like 'The Wizard of Oz'. The speakers highlight how this 'reproducible' model, which replaces expensive and logistically difficult live concerts with high-margin, scalable screenings, has significantly boosted the company's prospects and stock performance. They also discuss the potential for future nostalgic content and the long-term investment opportunity this represents as the company explores a franchise model for building similar venues globally.
Videos recently processed by our community