Fable Is Here, But Is It Actually Better? | Invest with AI Vibe Check
1065 segments
So, I got to admit that I was excited
when the government had banned Fable out
of the gates. I think they were all
things that that like Opus probably
could have done with a lot of steering.
But, Fable pretty much one shot at them.
>> Converting a 120-page
operating manual on
>> [music]
>> building a hedge fund style financial
model is getting like quite a bit
easier.
Welcome to the next episode of Invest
with AI, where we explore the
intersection of fundamental investing
and artificial intelligence.
>> [music]
>> We have a short duo episode today where
we'll do just a little bit around the
horn vibe check
on AI in investing. And one of the key
topics people are discussing these days
uh is the new launch of Fable. Okay, so
what uh what are the vibes on on Fable
by your assessment?
>> Yeah, great to be here. Uh great to see
you. So, I got to admit that I was
excited when the government had banned
Fable out of the gates. Uh not because I
believe in any paternalistic
intervention of any sorts, uh but I was
just like, "Shoot, I'm not ready."
Uh
and I think that you know with all the
hype on these like big expensive models,
I I got to be honest with you and I
wonder how you approach this is I don't
have a great set of evals.
And by evals, it is like, do I have a a
a complex task
or series of tasks
with a lot of good context that is hard
and that prior models have not fully
succeeded at. And so,
I don't have like a predetermined set of
evals, but I do have one thing that I
run pretty regularly with our whenever
new model comes out. And that's
basically I take I have a giant folder
of like everything my business has ever
done. So, you're talking like
uh 200 granola calls,
50 decks, MCP into my email,
um
different like surveys that people have
filled out, the recordings of all my
trainings, and I dumped that in and I
say,
"Build me a website.
Create a strategy uh document for me.
Create a presentation from scratch just
based on like all of these materials."
And
I got to say, the result was pretty
good. Like, the website was beautiful.
The deck was pretty good.
Um but most importantly, the strategy
doc, cuz that's where, you know, I'm
intimately connected with my business.
Like, I know it better than anyone else.
So, like, if someone's going to give me
a unique insight, I I can like, that's a
unique insight.
And I'll point here, and again, this is
not the most robust eval, but what I'll
say is
I had a call, a prospecting call with
someone that was not even really a
prospect, just kind of like half
networking, half biz dev, but they said
something to me that I was like, "Ooh,
that's very
That's like, I feel seen. Like, you you
saw something that I didn't see in my
own business, and it's one of those
things that's like a little
uncomfortable where I like where I know
I should pursue it, but I'm not pursuing
it. And there's like reasons why I'm not
pursuing it."
And it was just one like one minute
inside probably
10,000 minutes of phone calls.
And it jumped right on that one minute
and it's like, "You should be pushing so
much harder on this."
And that was again, I don't want to over
analyze this, but I had forgotten
that that was a very salient point when
they made it. And it was once. It didn't
happen five times, it happened once. And
the fact that it read through 10,000
minutes of calls
and was like, "This is the thing you
need to focus on."
was pretty shocking to me.
So, that's what I'll say on the like
formal eval side of things or the
closest thing I have a formal. Uh I had
it build a lot of things from scratch.
So, I had it build like a tool that any
client of mine can describe themselves
in a multi-step process. Like, I'm a
fundamental investor. This is what I
look at. This is my investment horizon.
And then it generates like 20 skills
that they can then copy and paste into
Claude.
And I had it use all the skills that I
had ever created for any of my clients,
but also comb like YouTube and GitHub
and like any public repository.
So, that was pretty cool. I think they
were all things that that like Opus
probably could have done with steering.
But, Fable pretty much one shotted them.
Now, I can't tell you about the price
cuz I'm on the subsidy still. So, like
it's hard to know like was that like
$500 worth of credits or 30? I I don't
know.
Probably closer to 500 than 30 if I had
to guess. Was it worth $500? Probably
not. Was it worth 30? Absol- so freaking
lutely.
>> Very very interesting.
Um
I agree so far that like the eval is
hard. Like, eval is hard. I have a few
that I still in the pipeline to run.
Like, simple things like the level two
you know, financial modeling tasks that
are just
you know, complex and heretofore the the
models haven't been able to
accomplish. Uh so, I'll sort of get to
those.
Been traveling a little bit.
Um
but I was I was running one where I was
trying to turn
um uh the process to identify signals
around good times to short an individual
stock.
And Fable did an amazing job of sort of
going back into the history of good
times to short that stock and created a
really coherent, you know, pattern
recognition engine that historically I
would have had would have had to steer
quite a bit. It would have taken me two
or three iterations to say, "Hey, no, it
doesn't you know, we're not worried
about a goodwill impairment or gap
earnings." These are sort of the things
that ultimately are triggers to
to stocks and I may have to feed that
in, you know, transcripts, etc. or my
own research and
it one shotted it, which was which was a
little bit scary. It sort of catch
catching that same fundamental dynamic
that you um, you just mentioned like
materiality or taste. Like what's the
what's the white right right right right
word for it?
Um,
>> Yeah, it's like incisive judgment.
>> Yeah. Yeah.
>> Like
>> Yeah, which is it's it's wild. Like I
guess we would need to bring some
experts in to explain exactly how
how they they cook that in. Um, but I am
start I am launching a new eval, which
is a real real-life eval. I'm taking 100
companies
and I'm running 100 earnings previews as
earnings season starts next week and I'm
going to basically give Fable
two tasks uh,
forecast revenue EBITDA and EPS
accurately and accurately forecast where
the stock's going to trade up or down on
the earnings print. So, that's a very
tight sandbox of
tight sandbox of judgment
and there's no hot there's no hiding
from that. I'm going to keep maybe I'll
maybe we'll talk about that, you know,
the results once earnings season's over.
I'll put some of that on Twitter.
Obviously,
but I thought that'd would fun I was
inspired I think the the talk in my
network
for the last week was this uh Thinking
Machines Bridgewater report where
uh the the researchers took a large
language model so it which had native
judgment in financial tasks in the high
40s, overlaid financial
sort of
a judgment layer financial expertise and
judgment tasks raise up to 75% like the
mid 70s.
Um that wasn't the most academically
rigorous report but I think
directionally was inspiring to a lot of
people thinking about this combination
of
human judgment with large language model
judgment that the combination could
drive better better results.
Um
and so I've taken a lot of time to
codify into my earnings preview process
the frameworks of judgment that lead to
my estimation of whether a stock will
trade up or down.
Things like setups and expectations and
buy-side whisper and business momentum
and guidance trajectory etc.
Um and so I'm excited to unleash that
unleash that with the Fable
uh model in this exercise. Um not I'd be
shocked if it does really well
um but I want to just at least kick this
off cuz then the iteration into version
2.0 and feeding that back I think is a
fun data set to start to start uh
building.
>> Can I ask so I hadn't seen that paper.
Um is it are they fine when you say
they're adding the judgment are they
fine-tuning the model with that or is it
in a skill or in a prompt? How is that
judgment being
uh incorporated into the
>> I don't know I don't I don't know the
specifics. I read it a you know read it
sort of relatively quickly and maybe we
need to try and get one of the authors
in that would be a that would be a fun
conversation.
But I think the the conclusion was they
they took this sort of codified
analytical judgment of the Bridgewater
team and overlay that on the large
language model approach.
And the com- combination the combination
was valuable. And sort of in a in a um
in a in a very few way, I've started to
see that, right? When I started to see,
okay, take this take this approach
almost train it out of think codify some
of the setup patterns that, you know,
I've traded in the past. It it's a quick
study. Like the models have been a quick
study on those patterns and and
following on the rails of those
those that that pattern recognition
power. There's been a few instances
where I'm like, "Huh, that was like
nailed it pretty pretty pretty
accurately." Not in a scientific way,
hence I want to start sort of doing this
in a in a broader subset to see if did I
just get lucky and heads flip you know,
head flipped on the coin twice in a row.
Um so I'm inferring skill, which is why
um my plan to do this in a more
systematic way in in the earnings prints
coming up starting next week.
>> That's cool. Wow. One thing I'll flag, I
know we advertise this pod- podcast as
not having the answers, but us just
talking through what we're what's on our
radars and um
someone
who knows a lot more about it LLMs than
I do had mentioned something called I
think it's called braintrust.dev
and it's
it's a platform for running evals.
And he had actually suggested
that that I do an exercise kind of like
the one you're describing. I'm not I'm
not close enough to fundamental equity
and investing to to do that. But he had
suggested that I do that using this
platform. So just putting it on your
radar to maybe check it out that that
there's actually like a structured
environment to run these evals and we
can run
>> Oh, that's interesting.
That's interesting.
Um
yeah, that's one of the one of the areas
in our work where we're really like I've
done a I've done evals a lot on vibes,
right? It's like, you know, you try you
you shoot you you shoot off a few
workflows. You're like, "Ah, this looks
good."
But the problem is even when you shot
off five things in Opus 4.8, like you
kind of like sometimes it works,
sometimes it doesn't. So, it's very hard
to scientifically measure vibes.
>> Totally.
>> One of the one of the things we're
trying to do with clients is create a
more scientific eval set of the various
MCP inputs, right? So, who are the
modeling MCP vendors? Let's create an
eval set so we can more scientifically
score some of those vendors on on
accuracy uh accuracy and capability. Uh
so, it's a I'd say that's like an work
in progress
work in work in progress on our on our
side, but yeah, good call out on the
brain trust I'll definitely take a take
a look at that.
>> Cool.
On my end, I'm a little late to the
game, but it's something that I'm having
a lot of fun with. So,
we're both Karpathy Andre Karpathy fan
boys
and probably, you know, like he drops a
banger of a tweet every 6 weeks and the
AI world like it realigns around this
new idea. So, maybe two or three tweet
cycles ago, so that might be, you know,
18 weeks ago,
he had something he called it kind of
this like self-updating
wiki, like a knowledge wiki.
And and I kind of didn't have time to
focus on it when it came out and I'll
circle back to the wiki with a very
common problem that many of my clients
are having right now. And that problem
is they've gotten really good at
co-work. Some are using code, you know,
and so now they've got good prompts,
they've got good skills, all that stuff.
They've connected their MCPs.
But let's say they've got an investment
and in this this like private equity
fund
they have an investment and there's 500
documents in that folder. Let's say
that's you know, the investment is I
don't know, Sweetgreen, right? So they
have this Sweetgreen
assuming it was private. They point it
to the Sweetgreen folder, they've got
500 documents in that folder.
And it's not even organized and so on.
And so if they want to ask questions
about it, they could be very tactical
questions like
you know, how has the store same sales
growth changed over quarter over
quarter? Or they could be more
qualitative questions like how should
this thesis how is this thesis being
informed by inflation? All right? Our
our tariffs, right?
So you point at Cork. Cork's Cork can't
go through 500 files, right? And so what
it does is it kind of
cherry-picks it and what it really does
is it does like basically like a lot of
like command F.
So like let's say you're doing tariffs,
it's going to do like command F on your
500 files and be like tariff, command F
uh inflation, command F and then it's
going to grab 17 files, pull them into
context and then try to answer your
question.
And it starts to break down more and
more as you have more and more
documents, more and more MCP. MCP breaks
down too because the context windows are
too small when you're dealing with like
huge volumes of data.
So that's the problem that people are
starting to have and it's even more
complicated by the fact that there's
PDFs, there's Excel files, there's you
know, 200-page, you know,
uh credit agreements and so on.
So here's where the Karpathy wiki comes
in is that the way this this works is it
says we're not going to we're we're
going to create a map
of your information, an an ontology
of your information. You might have hear
that word, people throwing that word
around.
And so what it does is it basically,
let's take it takes the 500 files
and one at a time
well, first it will convert it into
markdown.
And then it will basically read it.
And as it reads it, it kind of creates a
summary at the top with tags and
metadata.
And then it creates like links of ideas
inside
the text that it just read. So, if you
have something like, I don't know,
tariffs, right? It will just like find
all the references to tariffs.
Then you ingest the next file and it
does the same thing ex- with one
exception. As it finds tariffs, it then
looks in all the other files and says,
are there any references to tariffs in
the other files?
And then they start to link and you kind
of have this kind of like you could
think of it as kind of
like a private worldwide web, right?
Like a little little wiki a wiki, right?
And so what's cool about this is that
the LLM is doing the ingestion.
So, like taking the file, creating the
links. And then as you get new
information
it just keeps updating it. So, there's
this like self-improving process.
Now, I'm going to be honest with you
like
again, it's another one of these things
like hard to know if it's working versus
the naive approach, which is, you know,
just pointed at 500 at Fable.
But that being said
I I know that some clients have done
this like, you know, maybe like a
concentrated like a PE fund that's like
15 investments. They're like, we're
going to go through this process for our
15 investments. We're not going to look
at the 200 we passed on.
But we'll do the 15, we understand it
well, every analyst can kind of own
their name in the wiki. It's not like
your style of investing where the turn
over, you know, you're talking six-year
investment period, so you're not
flipping names and there's not data
you're responding to every second. It's
a little bit different. But what you
start to have is this knowledge graph
that is much easier for an LLM to
traverse
without blowing a ton of tokens and by
increasing the depth of accuracy.
So, early days early days in my own
exploration on it. I do have a few
clients that like I I don't want to say
like I brought it to them like they kind
of came up with it we like they came up
with themselves and we can compared
notes. You know, a lot of these a lot of
this is around this idea of like if you
can get all your files neatly organized
in markdown with good naming, good
metadata inside like a nice clean folder
structure that the LLM can go in and
read it much better. And so, you're
starting to see in again
I encourage everyone or I discourage
anyone from doing this like oh, we're
going to like do 20 years of data across
this like no, no. Pick like five names
and start. Pick one name and start. And
so, that's starting to happen and and
I'll be able to report back on the
progress. But I have seen some green
shoots that again, this is more in
private equity but it works.
>> It's It's interesting and I've heard
more about the same concept of
um
just making your file system more
legible to to the agents. How are How
are clients doing that? Is that a skill
that co-work or code x can go in and
organize like that even gives me hives
when I start to think about organize
like letting code x rip on my internal
files to make them
>> Oh, yeah.
>> legible or people just pressing the
button and hoping for the best?
>> Yeah, I mean I think like any of these
things you start with a little pilot.
And so, maybe you've got you know, the
sweet green folder with 500 files and
you'll say
uh find me all the financials and put
them in the financials folder and then
give it a descriptive file name.
And then you go in and you're like "Did
it do it?" You know, and as the analyst
you know, you know, sometimes an Excel
file is a client list. You're like, "I
hope it didn't take the client list and
put it in the models folder, right?" So,
you kind of have to do that testing, but
it's it's very good.
And so, uh so I So, then you can kind of
make this a more
robust process like
every time a PDF comes in, immediately
turn it convert it to markdown.
Right? That That I know a lot of groups
are doing that. Um and then add the
metadata while you're at it. So,
it's actually quite powerful The models
are very good at doing that. All right,
you could even do that with a Sonnet
model. You don't even need Opus um for
like the the the just like the the the
tagging and the cleaning and the moving
and so on.
Now, when you want to do it in, you
know, bigger batches or with more
complexity to it, more one-shotting, you
would use a a bigger model, but I would
say again like kind of start small, but
you I think you would be very surprised
that, you know, this is the file And
again, it all comes back to having good
skills. Like, this is the
naming convention that we use for our
files. Year year year month month day
day, you know, quarter, you know, if
it's a financial this.
Um
and then another advant- another thing
you do is like you literally have a
document that's like, "These are how the
folders are organized." So, you think
about the LM comes in, it reads this
kind of index document, and it's you're
asking a question that involves models,
then it's like, "Oh, let me read this."
And And this file says, "All of the
models live in the financials folder,
right?" Uh and so, it just saves the
model and saves the agent a lot of work
in like, "Where Where do the models
live? You know, do I need to open this
file?"
>> Yeah. Yeah. That makes uh that makes
sense. It's interesting we
I think we both have the same
fundamental rule. I call it the Karpathy
rule of wait for Andre to tweet
something and then trying trying to
through how it applies to our space. I
I've used that same Wiki knowledge Wiki
concept to build skills architectures.
And a lot of what I've been doing is is
really like the brain dump of everything
I know about a certain concept, putting
that into as deep of a
sort of knowledge pool as possible. And
then taking that same knowledge graph
concept to sort of to make it agent
legible for skills creation. Uh and
that's been quite slick uh from a
process perspective. It makes a lot of
the hard part actually is like compiling
compiling the knowledge.
Um
but converting uh you know, for example,
converting a 120-page
operating manual on building a hedge
fund style financial model,
taking that raw data into actual
operational skills architecture is
getting like quite a bit easier if you
take that interim interim step. Um
so that's been um
that's that's that's been fun.
One of the things I've been spending a
lot of time on is thinking about just
the the the um
uh the stack of agents. Like what's the
right Like we sort of had this concept
back last year like four to six pages is
the right
uh depth for a prompt, right? Because,
you know, a one-page prompt was probably
too thin, not descriptive enough, but an
eight-page prompt was just too much, and
anything in the middle
the large language model would lose
attention.
You know, that I'm curious your
perspective on this in skills building,
too. It's sort of trying to dial in
myself of like how thin is too thin or
how thick is too thick for a skill.
And um one of the concept I've been
using is a sort of like raw primitives,
almost like single-purpose skills,
single-purpose agents
that are composable into these
orchestrated pipelines.
And the sub-agents, like the ability of
a ramp skill to go pull in a dozen
different sub-agents,
individual skills into this workflow
pipeline.
I'm getting some really interesting
stuff out of that. Um that's sort of
composer composability
uh process which has been pretty
exciting to me so far. Exciting and my
wife would tell me I'm a nerd and then I
get excited about skill skill
composition, but it's a little bit of
like a breakthrough on my side of uh you
know, consistency and um
each of each individual piece is sort of
doing a much better job adhering to that
individual skill. Whereas, if I load
everything into one skill, it's like
things get lost in tran- things get lost
in translation.
>> And you know, I haven't spent as much
time on that. My skills do tend to be
pretty narrow just by default. But I
haven't like it's not been a design
choice, just kind of the way the puck
landed.
Um
but one thing you'll notice, I don't
know if you notice this on Fable,
but it does uh it's kind of
doing a lot of the sub agent work on
your behalf even without skills.
And so, for example, if you ask it to,
you know, create a
uh I don't know, create a
uh final memo, you could see it it's
like
uh I'm going to create a bunch of
different sub agents to read these
documents and then report back.
And one of the things that I'm just
starting to realize on sub agents is
that sub agents use their own context.
Right? So, they ring-fence their own
context window so they're not polluting
the context window of the larger thread.
And so, if you have these like very
discrete agents
driven by skills as you've just
described, you have this like really
efficient kind of context gathering
exercise
that then extracts the key information
up to the month, you know, the
orchestrator or the main thread.
Uh that then can kind of reassemble it
and uses like the heavy duty Intel, you
know, the fable, the open open style
intelligence. Now,
again, this is more through observation
than from things I've like consciously
architected myself, but I know that
people, you know, you know, I was a big
open claw person back in the day. Like
people who are using open claw were
thinking through this
6 months ago of like
>> Yeah.
>> when do you need [clears throat] to
close ring fence contacts, when you need
to feed contacts into the main chat.
Like this is why I always love talking
about open claws cuz they were 6 months
ahead of the conversation, whether it
worked or not, right?
>> Yeah. Yeah, no, it's interesting. It um
you know, like complicated Excel
modeling has been one of the areas
that's been quite disappointing um
with with AI and I've had to really
chunk things into individual steps.
And for whatever reason, AI in the Excel
wrapper just doesn't listen to my skill.
It doesn't follow directions well.
I asked a
I asked a um a contact about that and
they're working, we will bring him on.
Um
his firm is working on a sub agent
approach. And that's sort of like that's
very interesting to me. Like if I could
take a highly complex LBO model or hedge
fund style model,
it's just too much like it's too context
inefficient, token inefficient today
to do that in AI Excel system, but if
you can spawn 30 different sub agents,
one to go clean up the cash flow
statement, one to go build out the
interest schedule,
and then you bring in a fable on top of
that to assemble those analyses in,
um you know, deploying deterministic
code where it makes sense.
Um obviously the proof is in the
pudding, but conceptually that feels
like a really interesting engineering
approach
um
approach to this this this problem.
>> And again, I I don't know enough about
Fable, but it seems like it's trying to
do with all of that on the fly.
>> Yeah. Yeah.
>> Which would be crazy.
>> Yeah. Yeah, exactly. Exactly.
>> we're like talking about customizing
every sub-agent, but
again, we don't want to get, you know,
um, get in front of, you know, get in
front of the story, right? Or mislead.
But it's there are little breadcrumbs
that it has
the capability to do at least some of
that.
>> It makes sense. One one question I had,
um,
how are you seeing your clients think
about the tradeoffs between Claude Code
and Claude Co-work, which is really just
a different harness? Like where do you
find Like what do you find are the pros
and cons of that that that decision to
be?
>> It's It's funny you say that. Do my
clients freaking love Co-work.
Uh, and Co-work I don't I like Code, but
I'm kind of nerdy. I like the weirdness
about it. Um,
they love Co-work and I'll give you uh,
so so
and I teach Code if people want to learn
it, but now, even after I teach it,
they're like, "What's the difference
between Co-work?"
And there are some differences, but the
differences are actually like collapsing
for knowledge work. Like it they'd be
hard to notice. Like for coders, you
would know the difference. Like a coder
would never use Co-work.
But it's the blur the lines are being
more blurred. So a few things that are
pretty cool on on
on Co-work. One is the There's this
concept of living artifacts, live
artifacts,
where you can run a dashboard off of an
an Excel spreadsheet.
Uh, and as you change that Excel
spreadsheet, the dashboard changes.
Which is like one of the many one of the
main reasons why people were using
Co-work Claude Code anyway was to just
create more interactive visualizations
of data.
Uh
so, that like knocks out a problem.
Uh
another one is that Claude co-work
is pretty aggressive in solving problems
with code.
So, even like if it can't figure
something out, it might say like, "Can I
Can I write a Python script to do that?"
And it it didn't used to do that, or I
felt more constrained in the past on
that. So, it's getting a little bit more
aggressive, co-work.
Um
the other reason why people like co-work
is
the schedule tasks, right? That's kind
of how you trigger agentic workflows.
Um
they're so clean to run in co-work.
There's a You can use your mouse, you
could see the which ones ran, which ones
didn't want run, which ones need
approval. When you run schedule tasks in
code, it just goes into this black hole.
Like, it's like a it's like a There's a
markdown file that like, "Did your thing
run?" Like, you know, and so, the ease
of the user interface.
And then, this is something I actually
just learned the other day cuz you and I
don't get too deep into the infosec side
of things. Um we kind of assume that
people come to us once they've cleared
the infosec bar.
Uh information security for those
unfamiliar with the acronym.
But, one thing I just recently learned
is that So, what Claude co-work does
is it actually creates a virtual
machine. So, you can think of this like
a disposable desktop. And so,
it's actually really hard to blow up
your computer cuz you're actually using
a copy of your desktop. And I don't know
exactly which cloud it lives on.
But, with co-work with Claude code,
you're actually giving it root access.
So, it's not a copy, like this
cloud-based copy, it's the real shebang.
It's your computer, right? And so what
I've heard from IT departments is that
especially if the gap is converging in
what they can do, they're like, "I don't
want to give, you know, Brett root
access when he's not even a coder.
I just want him to be able to use the
cool features of Co-work in this like
virtual machine environment that's much
safer." So I didn't actually know this
distinction until like a couple days
ago, but
even since then it's come up twice
already.
>> Interesting. Interesting.
Um
Yeah, and if you know, if you if you can
sort of get the same power of Cloud Code
through the the Co-work wrapper and has
a few of these bells and whistles that's
sort of causing people. Do you lose any
of the flexibility? Like do you have
more flexibility in Cloud Code to build
dashboards or is there anything that
Co-work is constraining constraining of?
>> Yeah, I for knowledge work per se, no.
But if you want to
like,
you know, some some of the things people
want to do is like build these like more
complex data scrapers
where you need like a heavier build of
code. I think that I I
I could be wrong on this, but basically
in coding there you you can like there's
these open-source libraries that's like,
"Oh, if I want to run a scraper, there's
like 5,000 people have created scraper
tools on GitHub open-source
and you could just go grab one. You
don't have to like rebuild the scraper,
right? Uh I don't think Co-work has the
ability to grab those packages
for the security reason. So I think the
more you want to reuse like more
traditional coding components,
then you'd want to shift to code, but
again, you'd have to really have more of
a coding use case than a research
knowledge work use case.
>> Yeah, so the develop like it's more more
developer-minded.
Person who's going to use Claude Code
and the more just end-user who's
working with files and building, you
know, PDFs and
uh is
Excel spreadsheets is more living in
Claude Co- Claude Co-work. But the
distinction distinction is is
compressing anyways from a community.
>> Definitely compressing.
>> Yeah, okay.
>> And I've got some pretty technical
clients that know how to use code and
they're just like,
"I can't be bothered. I just use
Co-work. It just it does what I need it
to do." And I to be honest, I'm falling
more and more in that category. Like,
let me use my mouse more, show me more
things on the screen.
Um and then just today they announced
that
they're going to improve the mobile
capability of Co-work. And so like the
schedule tasks
used to only run if your computer was
on.
>> Yeah.
>> And apparently now they're going to run
if your like laptops off. So they're
moving some of the those powers to the
cloud.
So the the announce it's not out yet,
but they announced it this morning.
>> Oh, interesting. Interesting. Okay,
great.
Uh any last any last thoughts on on on
Vibe Check? Like what are how are people
feeling about AI adoption in in finance
right now?
>> I think I I feel like I'm encountering a
little bit more
I wouldn't say frustration,
but I think the skepticism
level has gone up like
15% in the past quarter.
>> Interesting. What
What are What are the pushbacks? Yeah,
sorry. What are the pushbacks on that?
>> I think one is
the we're spending so much time
babysitting the AI when we could have
just done it ourselves. That's one.
And I feel like after 18 months or so,
they're like, "Oh, we thought we would
have like kind of left that period,
but we're still in it." I don't know if
you saw Glean had this report called
bots, they called bot sitting.
It's the invisible work in just like
updating your contacts, like checking
for hallucinations, reprompting, you
know, I think they It's like, I don't
know, it's like 30% of your AI time is
bot sitting, right? So, you're actually
[snorts] only 70% more effective. So, I
think there's a little bit of that.
And and then the cost the cost side of
things. Just like,
is this worth the money?
And I think,
you know, you're definitely seeing token
budgets, you know,
Co-work is great. It uses a lot of
tokens. I don't think it's I think to
make it so friendly to non-coders, it
probably,
you know, I saw the analogy is probably
taking a blowtorch to light a cigarette,
you know, a few times.
Uh
so, there's definitely
a little bit of that. And I think a few
people have said, "Look, like, they're
like, "Look, if I'm really honest, I
didn't notice a difference between Opus
4.5, 4.6, 4.8. I'm not sure if I'm going
to notice a difference with Fable.
I'm not sure if that's like a user
error, and I put myself in that category
as well, like I'm not pushing this hard
enough.
Or it's the reality that there is some
kind of plateau for the types of things
that we're doing, right? Synthesizing
documents, writing reports, analyzing
data. That's an open I I
No one's issuing a verdict on that, but
there's a little bit more like,
I'm really honest, I don't know if it's
really got if AI, like the models,
have gotten that much better in the past
3 months, 6 months.
>> Yeah. Yeah.
It's interesting. I think um
you know, the the the the public market
like
you know, most of the clients we work
with are you know, scaled public market
investors that have a tight coverage
area. And so chatbots were just like did
not hit
you know, effective product market fit
for that. They're great for generalist
firms that want to get up to speed and
do you know, research quickly.
I think many of my clients are probably
only in the last three to five months
like getting really serious about
implementation.
So they're probably later on that curve
than some of your clients who are more
in the private market space have been at
this a little bit little bit um
longer. This concept of a digital twin
sort of overlaying the entire process
like a digital analyst uh is something
that we've been we've been scoping
um and really was a little bit science
fiction until
>> Mhm.
>> very very very recently.
Um
So the vibes, you know, the vibes on
those conversations I think have gotten
quite exciting and maybe that hits the
same wall at some point. Um it's easy to
have hope and and build prototypes. It's
another to actually deploy these things
to to uh the effect of better
decision-making.
Um
>> Yeah.
>> that's the hill we will we will all work
to climb and hopefully bring in some
some more guests to uh help inform that
inform that climb.
>> Yeah.
I'm excited.
This is a good vibe check.
>> Good vibe check. Uh
great great great to connect K and we
will be back we'll be back next next
week with another guest and maybe next
month with another vibe check. We'll
we'll we'll sort of monitor the vibes
and bring those vibes back back to you.
So thanks everyone for us know in the
comments. Yeah, let us know in the
comments if what you think of these vibe
checks, what kind of things you want us
to cover in future ones.
>> That sounds great. Sounds great. All
right. See everyone soon.
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This episode of Invest with AI explores the practical applications and limitations of the new Fable model in financial contexts. The hosts discuss their personal experiences using AI to build business strategies, conduct earnings previews, and organize data using knowledge wikis. They also compare Claude Code and Claude Co-work as tools for knowledge work, noting that while skepticism about AI's immediate impact has grown, the development of specialized agentic workflows and 'digital twin' concepts remains a promising area for financial decision-making.
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