Era of Peace Is Over... UK Prepares for WAR With Russia
230 segments
The UK is moving onto a war footing— and Russia is the reason why. This isn’t just about troops or
weapons anymore. It’s about preparing the entire country for conflict. Behind the scenes, a Cold
War–era plan is being revived—updated for modern warfare, and built to keep Britain functioning
under sustained attack. It covers everything: infrastructure, supply chains, civilian response,
and how the state operates when normal rules no longer apply. At the center of it all is
a document most people have never heard of— The Government War Book. This comprehensive document
lays out exactly how the UK will deal with a new war against Russia – but not just for the nation’s
armed forces. It’s a strategy for building resilience across the entire society. Let’s
take a look at what this secret plan is all about, and how it fits into the growing preparations for
war against Russia. The revival of the Government War Book was revealed by the UK’s defense chief,
Air Chief Marshal Sir Richard Knighton, at the London Defense Conference in April 2026.
Asked in an interview about whether the UK was reviving the old government war book, he said: “I
think that's right.” He also described what that would look like. “NATO describes the transition
to conflict as a military component, but it also has a civilian component,” the defense chief said.
Civilians, he said, need to be aware that the relative peace the UK has enjoyed over the past
30 years is under increasing threat. During the Cold War, the UK considered its main threat to
be a Russian invasion or full-scale nuclear war. But times have changed, and so have the threats.
As Knighton explains, “That requires us to educate ourselves and help the population understand some
of those threats and help them understand what they can do to support the nation and potentially
support the armed forces.” That’s exactly what the new War Book is intended to do: build resilience
across the whole of society so that the UK will be able to prevail in a new conflict with Russia.
According to Knighton, the updated iteration draws on lessons from the Cold War but “in a
modern context, with a modern society, with modern infrastructure.” So, what does this plan entail?
Well, it’s still being drawn up, and like its predecessors, it’s likely to be highly classified.
But we can get a good idea of the framework from previous iterations. The original War Book emerged
during the First World War, and was maintained throughout the Twentieth Century. The primary
assumption throughout the Cold War period was that the main threat was an attack by the Soviet Union.
Nothing’s changed today, except the official name of the aggressor nation. Back in 2009, renowned
British historian Peter Hennessy convinced UK authorities to give him access to a Cold War-era
version of the plan. Hennessy – or to use his full title, Baron Hennessy of Nympsfield, FBA – has
been the Attlee Professor of Contemporary British History at Queen Mary University of London since
2001. He also serves as a crossbench peer in the UK’s House of Lords. Hennessy was amazed by the
contents, telling the BBC's Today program that “The surprise really is the width and magnitude
of it – 16 chapters to get the nation from a peacetime footing to a total war footing. It is
a remarkable enterprise.” Over those 16 chapters, the document gives precise plans and instructions
for the steps British officials would take both during the build-up to a confrontation and after
the bombs started falling. It covers these steps in mind-boggling detail, on the assumption that
they’d need to be implemented with as little as seven to 28 days’ notice. According to the plans,
the country would have been divided into 12 regions, each governed by cabinet ministers
with wide powers. They would be aided by senior military officers, chief constables, and judges
– all based in bunkers. Other senior figures would have retreated to a central government
shelter under the Cotswolds. From these protected positions, an entirely new system of local,
regional, and central government would be put in place. Parliament could vote on essentially
abolishing itself, replacing the centralized democratic government with a series of “Regional
Commissioners.” These were Ministers who would have absolute control over one of the now devolved
regions of the UK, including the power to approve death sentences. The volumes of the War Book in
the Archives at Kew also contain extensive files covering how to close motorways, how to draw
up stockpiles of food, and how to put in place wartime broadcasting arrangements. The documents
also describe in detail feeding arrangements, the necessity of maintaining large stockpiles of basic
foods, and give guidance to farmers on how to protect their herds from radiation. Extensive
supplies, stockpiles, and facilities were to be put in place to support the transition to war.
This included emergency feeding equipment to cover survivors, including basic foodstuffs held in 65
“buffer” depots nationwide. Most utility companies maintained war stocks. For example, British
Telecom, or BT, had emergency depots containing stockpiles of cables and poles that could be used
to reestablish communication networks. Many local BT exchanges also had on-site stores and food,
as well as emergency bricks to build a temporary fallout shelter. These formed part of an extensive
and highly resilient communication infrastructure put in place across the UK. This infrastructure
included hardened facilities, underground bunkers, microwave towers, and emergency networks designed
to bypass nuclear-devastated cities. The plans even went as far as the removal of art treasures
from London to Scotland, the emptying of hospitals of all but the most acutely ill, and blanket
information control – aka censorship. Indeed, as a former civil servant, Sir David Omand, who was
involved in the planning, recalls, “My favorite measure, the one which always aroused a lot of
debate … was the introduction of censorship for private correspondence. You can imagine that was
something that ministers would only agree to right at the very end when it was clear that war was
inevitable.” We could go on and on. The attention to detail in the War Book is truly astounding. Of
course, as the nature of warfare and the threats faced by the UK evolved over the years, so did the
War Book. Regular exercises based on the book were held every two years by senior civil servants like
Omand, bolstered by daily internal briefings and ongoing national preparedness schemes such as the
stockpiling of food and building materials for shelters. The process of maintaining, refining,
and implementing appropriate measures on the basis of the War Book continued for decades.
The measures in the War Book became part of the everyday fabric of British life. And then,
just like that, the Soviet Union crumbled, and the primary threat to the UK subsided into more or
less irrelevance. And with it went the UK’s focus on war preparedness. The headline numbers tell
the tale. In the 1950s, government spending on public health amounted to around 3 percent of GDP.
By 2020, it was around 12 percent. Conversely, defense spending fell from nearly 8 percent of
GDP in the mid-1950s to roughly 2.3 percent today. The result? From a military perspective, to use
the phrase coined by current UK Defense Secretary John Healey and his predecessor Ben Wallace,
the UK’s Armed Forces have been “hollowed out” by years of underfunding. At the peak of its powers,
the British Empire was the most powerful nation on the planet – a hegemon whose empire ruled over
a quarter of the world’s population and a quarter of its land area. The British Navy – the primary
means of projecting power globally – was larger than the next two largest navies combined. The
total size of the UK’s regular Armed Forces in 1990 was roughly 305,000 to 311,000 personnel,
not 150,000. Additionally, the force was not “half the size” of the 1980 force, which stood at around
327,000. It appears the script may have confused the size of the entire Armed Forces with that of
the British Army alone, which was roughly 152,000 personnel in 1990. To be sure, the UK is still
considered to be the sixth most powerful military in the world, behind the U.S., Russia, China,
India, and South Korea. Its nuclear arsenal, large network of global bases, array of advanced
weaponry, and enduring soft power mean that very few powers can compete despite its decline. Still,
the numbers make unpleasant reading. In the 1980s, the Army had more than 1,000 main
battle tanks. Today, it has about 200, of which perhaps half are serviceable. For reference,
Russia has already lost over 4,300 to date in Ukraine. The Royal Navy has taken a few (verbal)
shots from President Donald Trump, who described its two aircraft carriers – HMS Prince of Wales
and HMS Queen Elizabeth – as “toys” that are “too old” and “don't work.” UK Defense Minister Luke
Pollard dismissed Trump’s claims, saying, “No, we’ve got a strong Royal Navy.” But Trump does
have somewhat of a point. The Royal Navy is often said to have more admirals – 40 – than
warships – about 13. And although its two aircraft carriers are designed for 36 fighter jets,
neither has carried more than eighteen because of a shortage of suitable aircraft. Now, from the end
of the Cold War up until early 2022, outside of certain minority circles, the “hollowing out” of
the British armed forces was basically not much of a concern for the average Brit. Most seemed quite
happy with increased government spending on public health and other public services, even if that
came at the cost of what was euphemistically described as a “leaner military.” After all,
with a weakened Russia and the threat of terrorist attacks from Islamic jihadis largely contained,
imminent threats to British security had all but vanished. The meticulous planning in the War Books
was put on a shelf to gather dust, and the very idea of cultivating wartime resilience largely
disappeared from public and private discourse. The meticulous preparations painstakingly compiled,
rehearsed, and revised over decades had made the UK one of the nation's best-prepared for
conflict. But it didn’t matter anymore. Peacetime had arrived, and it was here to stay. Or at least
that’s how it seemed. Then Russia invaded Ukraine in February 2022, and the Russian threat cast its
ominous shadow over the British Isles once more. During the war, the UK has, of course,
been one of Ukraine’s most involved allies. From February 2022 until February 2026, the
UK has pledged at least £21.8 billion to Ukraine, worth around $29.5 billion. Almost 60 percent of
that – $17.66 billion – has been direct military aid, with a further $4.06 billion pledged annually
until 2030/31, or “for as long as it takes.” The UK has also trained over 62,000 Ukrainian
personnel in the UK under Operation INTERFLEX. A landmark battlefield technology sharing agreement
was signed in June 2025. And production of drones for Ukraine under joint ventures between Ukrainian
and British companies is growing. A partnership between Ukrainian company Skyeton and the UK’s
Prevail Partners aims to scale up production of Skyeton’s battle-tested Raybird drone at
Prevail’s UK-based facilities. Meanwhile, mass production of Ukrainian Octopus-100 interceptor
drones under another UK/Ukrainian joint venture called Project Octopus began in the UK in January
2026 at a new factory in Mildenhall. The facility, which is operated by the Ukrainian manufacturer
Ukrspecsystems UK, aims to produce thousands of drones per month. The first drones were
sent to Ukraine for testing in January 2026, with successful flights reported. Tired of seeing the
same stories and the same tired analysis on every military news channel? Here on the Military Show,
we dig deeper, putting the stories into context and explaining why they matter. Subscribe to the
channel so you always understand exactly what’s going on and why. Now, with the high level of
military involvement we’ve just outlined, not to mention the mountain of diplomatic, financial,
and humanitarian support that the UK has provided to Ukraine, it’s not surprising that the Russians
have taken a rather dim view of it all. In fact, Russia’s concerns about the UK seem to have
slipped into outright paranoia. In the aftermath of Ukraine’s audacious Operation Spiderweb in June
2025, Russia’s ambassador to the UK, Andrey Kelin, accused the UK of being involved in organizing the
multi-pronged attack on Russian strategic airfields. In an interview with Sky News,
he said that the success of the operation required access to “high-tech geospatial data” that only
the United States and the United Kingdom possess. The U.S. had denied involvement, he said – but
the UK hadn’t. “We know very well how involved London is, how deeply British troops are involved
in cooperation with Ukraine,” he added. A few months later, Russia’s SVR intelligence agency
went a step further, claiming that the UK was the world’s biggest “warmonger” and engaged in
actively undermining Trump’s attempts to negotiate peace. “It is time to expose them and send a clear
signal to the treacherous Albion and its elites: you will not succeed,” they stated threateningly.
Added to this increasingly aggressive Russian rhetoric are increasing reports of Russian “gray
warfare” or “hybrid warfare” operations across Europe and in the UK. These include cyberattacks,
economic pressure, disinformation campaigns, drone incursions, sabotage, and disruption
of infrastructure. Most recently, the UK accused Russia of conducting a covert submarine operation
threatening the UK’s undersea cables and pipes. According to British Secretary of State for
Defence John Healey, the operation lasted over a month, although no cables were ultimately damaged.
However, together with allies, the UK had tracked “every mile” of the deployment involving three
Russian submarines: an Akula-class and a pair of Main Directorate for Deep Sea Research, or GUGI,
surveillance subs. Other than a satellite image of the three ships leaving Russia’s Olenya port,
purportedly heading for British waters, no hard evidence has been presented to support the claims.
Russia dismissed the claim as “impossible to either believe or verify [… which] apparently,
is precisely its purpose.” Taken in isolation, they may have a point. But it’s not an isolated
incident. Incidents of potential or actual Russian sabotage of critical infrastructure, cyberattacks,
drone incursions, and similar “hybrid war” provocations certainly appear to be on the
increase. So, you can see why a growing number of European and British officials have convinced
themselves that once Russia is done in Ukraine, it will turn its aggressive intentions towards NATO.
And the warnings have become ever more frequent and stark as the war in Ukraine has developed.
For example, General Sir Roly Walker, Chief of the General Staff of the British Army, warned in
May 2025 that the threat to NATO is “real” and emphasized a “lack of time” in preparing for
future Russian aggression. Newly-appointed head of British intelligence agency MI6 Blaise Metreweli
described Russia as “aggressive, expansionist, and revisionist” in her first public speech in
December 2025, asserting that Putin seeks to subjugate Ukraine and harass NATO. Knighton
himself stated in December 2025 that the situation is “more dangerous than I have known during my
career.” He called for a “whole society” approach to defense in the face of growing uncertainty and
threats, highlighting an increased probability of Russia invading a NATO country. Now,
the revitalization of the War Book pulls that call firmly into reality. The UK has already taken
significant steps to overhaul its armed forces and bring them back to a state of wartime readiness as
quickly as possible. Defense spending is on the rise. Sir Keir Starmer’s government has committed
to an increase to 2.7 percent of GDP by 2027 – a total of around £270 billion, or $365 billion.
That will be followed by an increase to 3 percent “in the next parliament,” and 3.5 percent by 2035.
A New National Defense Strategy has been unveiled, which highlights Russia as the UK’s
primary threat. And a critical 10-year Defense Investment Plan is eagerly – or impatiently,
in many cases – awaited. On the military front, things are moving rapidly. But it’s not just the
military that needs to be geared up for war. War affects the entire country – government,
business, and ordinary people. And if the UK military is, by its own admission, not ready
for war at this point, British society is even more unprepared. That’s why the new War Book is
such an important step. It signals a fundamental change in posture – from defense to resilience.
The difference has far-reaching implications. Defense is about trying to stop threats,
while resilience assumes that some threats will land — and focuses on absorbing and recovering
from them. The War Books of the Cold War era considered two main threats – nuclear war and
an actual invasion of the UK by Russian forces. Measures to improve resilience were thus based
around these threats. Today’s War Book must counter an entirely new range of threats,
ranging from cyberwarfare and severed undersea communication cables to attacks by long-range
drone and missile swarms. According to Knighton, protecting critical national infrastructure such
as power stations and water supplies will be central to the new approach. “[…] When we
think about renewing our water infrastructure or electricity or transport infrastructure,
[we need] to think about the threat of action from an adversary that is above the threshold of war,
not just a hybrid threat," he said. “That requires us to educate ourselves and help the population
understand some of those threats and help them understand what they can do to support the nation
and potentially support the Armed Forces," he added. But perhaps most telling is his
remark that the process of building resilience “requires making some different choices and
different priorities.” The statement suggests that resilience might involve some fundamental
changes to life in the UK, including some that might be hard for many to swallow. It remains
to be seen whether the new War Book is quite as comprehensive as its predecessors. Perhaps AI
and other modern technologies can streamline what was, by all accounts, a time-consuming and costly
process. In addition to strengthening protection of critical infrastructure, the new plan is likely
to involve increasing domestic production capacity, especially in defense and energy.
Like in previous iterations of the War Book, much greater coordination between industry and
government will be required. More controversially, reserve and mobilization frameworks will almost
certainly need to be revised. Conscription may be considered. And perhaps most crucially,
mass public awareness campaigns about national security risks will be required. Along with them,
expect to see increasing information control and censorship. As Russia is currently discovering
with massive public outrage over Moscow’s blocking of the messenger app Telegram, even in wartime,
such measures don’t tend to go down well. But perhaps the most crucial change is psychological.
With the reimplementation of the War Book, the UK isn’t just preparing for war. In many senses,
it’s redefining what “security” means in the 21st century. Of course, the UK is far from alone in
adjusting to the new multi-layered global threat environment. Countries like Sweden, Finland,
and Germany have published emergency preparedness guides, advising citizens to stockpile food,
water, and medicine. France is preparing to release a new 30-page civil defense manual,
although officials insist it is not specifically related to war. Germany has also updated its
emergency preparedness recommendations, advising people to stockpile 10 days’ worth of essentials.
Poland has built border barriers and introduced firearm training in schools. And countries like
Lithuania and Estonia are conducting large-scale military and medical emergency exercises,
preparing hospitals for wartime, and stockpiling critical medical supplies. While few seem to have
gone as far as the UK’s War Book, the shift to a new model of defense posturing across Europe
is clear. In this new model, war isn’t an event but a condition. The frontline isn’t a place but
a system. And the participants aren’t just soldiers but the whole of society. And that
changes everything, because once a nation changes its headspace in this way, it doesn’t easily
reverse. Now, if you’re living in a large UK city, starting to panic about the imminent prospect of
war with Russia – don’t. Preparing for war doesn’t necessarily mean it’s going to happen. As the
Latin maxim goes, “Si vis pacem, para bellum”. If you want peace, prepare for war. It’s not that the
UK and the other European nations starting to get serious about defense and resilience, expecting
war imminently. At this point, there’s as much evidence that the cacophony of warnings about an
imminent Russian attack is motivated by lucrative defense procurement contracts as genuine Russian
intent. War may be imminent, or it may not. What resilience-enhancing moves like the dusting
off the War Book really signal is that the UK no longer assumes that peace is stable and reliable.
Given the growing tensions and military flare-ups around the world, it would be naïve to assume
otherwise. And when a nation – especially one as powerful as the UK – stops assuming stability,
it starts behaving differently. It starts building resilience – systematically and at scale. The
reintroduction of the War Book indicates that the UK is emerging strongly from decades of military
slumber. No wonder the Russians are in such a flap. For more details on how that resilience is
being built into the UK’s defense forces, check out this video next. And thanks for watching.
Ask follow-up questions or revisit key timestamps.
The UK is reactivating its Government War Book, a comprehensive plan from the Cold War era, to prepare the entire nation for potential conflict with Russia. This updated strategy, revealed by Air Chief Marshal Sir Richard Knighton, goes beyond military preparations to encompass infrastructure, supply chains, and civilian response, aiming to build societal resilience. The original War Book, dating back to WWI and refined through the Cold War, outlined detailed steps for national functioning under sustained attack, including the division of the country into regions governed by ministers with broad powers, the potential abolition of Parliament in favor of Regional Commissioners, and extensive measures for food stockpiling, broadcasting, and infrastructure protection. While military spending has decreased significantly since the Cold War, recent geopolitical events, particularly Russia's invasion of Ukraine, have prompted a reassessment of national security. The UK has increased defense spending, developed a new National Defense Strategy identifying Russia as the primary threat, and is investing in military modernization. The new War Book focuses on resilience, acknowledging that some threats will inevitably materialize and emphasizing the need to absorb and recover from them, addressing modern threats like cyber warfare and drone attacks. This shift signifies a fundamental change in the UK's security posture, viewing war not as an event but as a condition, and involving the entire society. Many other European nations are also enhancing their emergency preparedness, indicating a broader European trend towards increased defense and resilience measures in response to a changing global threat environment.
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