SOFI & Robinhood Investors BEWARE— Don't Make This Mistake!
513 segments
Take your beer goggles off right now and
I don't want you making this crucial
mistake on SoFi and Robin Hood. SoFi
right now is like a dead fish. It's
going sideways. But Anthony Nodto is
signaling something very different to
the market and I trust my shares of SoFi
in Anthony's hands. Check out the stock
right now. It's trading for $18.78.
But did you know that Anthony Notto on
June 16 bought 13,888
shares on the open market at an average
price of $186,
investing roughly a4 million, including
all of his purchases this year, he has
bought approximately 130,000 shares in
2026 at an average cost of 1729,
spending nearly $2.5 million of his own
capital. He now owns roughly 12 million
shares of SoFi, making him one of the
biggest and largest shareholders of the
entire company. Now, Anthony isn't just
talking about SoFi. He keeps buying his
own company. This is why when I look at
the stock trading for $18.78
and a market cap of $24 billion, I
believe, folks that we're looking here
at over $30 billion company that's going
to be sitting there in the next 6 to 12
months because when the stock rips, it
rips hard. And that's the mistake that I
don't be making specifically on SoFi and
it's also a mistake that I don't should
be making on Robin Hood. Now, Anthony
Nota has repeatedly said that he
believes AI and blockchain are the next
two technology super cycles. And when we
look at the past earnings quarter, SoFi
has reported a record quarter. The next
earnings date that they have is the end
of July. Now, for Q1 2026, adjusted net
revenue reached $1.1 billion, up 41%
year-over-year. Net income climbed to
167 million. Adjust EBIDA hit a record
of 340 million. and management
reaffirmed that fullear guidance of
roughly 4.655 billion in revenue with
about 825 million in adjusted net
income. Now guys, my belief, okay,
Henry's opinion, I'm not a financial
adviser or anything like that. I'm not
registered for anything, but my opinion
is SoFi is a $25 plus stock in 6 to 12
months. And the simple reason for that
is not only that they keep beating
earnings and they keep growing, it's
simply that they're likely to continue
to do so. and that is eventually going
to make their stock very cheap. Sofi has
a very powerful financial matrix. Once
you're in their financial matrix, it's
like child support and if you don't pay,
you are going to jail. Their growth
strategy revolves around the member
flywheel. So, they start off with one
product that's like a student loan. Then
they offer personalized cross sales. So,
credit cards, investing, and you know,
home loans. That is exactly what
increases their LTV or lifetime value of
their customers at no extra acquisition
cost. So, you see what's going on is
that SoFi is able to acquire customers
for very cheap with an entry product and
then they're building a relationship and
selling high-V value products from
there. So, upselling is built into the
UX via smart nudges, reminders, and
pre-approved offers. SoFi isn't just
another bank stock. It's building the
operating system for modern money while
already cranking out billions in revenue
and rapidly rising profits. So, that's
the main reason why I like SoFi. But
also, I talked about marketing before.
They have a very low CAC or customer
acquisition. SoFi uses referral rewards,
sponsorships, partnerships, SEO heavy
content marketing and all of this leads
to lower CAC than traditional banks
especially for digital native users. So
SoFi's assets have grown faster
literally than JP Morgan, Bank of
America over the last 5 years. And this
is only really the beginning. More
millennials are going to SoFi. SoFi is
acquiring way more customers because
they have stronger marketing and they
are building better business because
they have a higher profit margin and
they're able to cross-ell and upsell
current customers. So they do have some
competition and they're actually
competing with Robin Hood which is the
second stock we're going to be talking
about in this video. But basically
SoFi's sales and monetization strategy
is second to none, especially in the
banking industry where everything is
super old. When I used to work at
Goldman Sachs, it literally felt like,
you know, I was there in 2016, but it
literally felt like I was working at a
company that was in the early 2000s. So,
keep in mind, SoFi has a really strong
upselling engine. A student loan user
gets nudged into something like opening
a checking account. Then they're
preapproved and they have personal
loans. Then they have more spending with
SoFi and they adopt more product. Maybe
they become investing customers. SoFi is
incredibly datadriven and that is the
most important thing that I look for in
businesses. Part of my degree was in
finance and business analytics. Business
analytics is important because companies
that make datadriven decisions make more
money. So whenever they are using AI or
data analytics, that means a company is
going to be improving in making smarter
decisions in the future as well. With
end-to-end data like checking, credit
card loans, investing, SoFi can predict
financial needs, time offers precisely,
and automate re-engagement such as email
marketing. So they're able to generate
more money from their current customers
by squeezing out more products from
them. They also have software like
economics. So once a platform is built,
each and every single new user is
essentially not that much money for them
to maintain. It's very very low. That's
because SoFi essentially has a very high
fixed cost and not that high variable
cost. So adding more customers doesn't
really cost them that much, which really
helps them scale their business. Now
they also make a lot of money from
deposit spreads. So they earn interest
on customer cash and they pay out less
and less of that as time goes on. So
that spread is extremely high margin and
it's only growing and becoming better.
Now they also have interchange and fees.
So this is like debits, credit cards,
brokerage margin, subscription all stack
on top of the same user. Now in terms of
their cross-ell flywheel, CAC is really
just paid once, but revenue compounds
with every single new product per
member. That's why I'm so bullish on
SoFi stock. So, the incremental margin
that they make on each additional active
user is very huge, and that's going down
to their profit margin. What I see
happening with their stock doesn't make
any sense. I mean, the stock's at
$18.78.
Over the last 6 months, the stock is
down 31%. It's been going sideways for
some time, which actually is not a bad
environment for an option seller now.
The highest long-term upside is really
SoFi technology. This is the part of
SoFi that I think Wall Street still
isn't fully appreciating. Most investors
look at lending, but I think the real
long-term optionality where they're
going to be making a lot of money is the
tech side of the business. Galileo has
now been brought together under SoFi
technology solutions, creating a
platform that powers financial
institutions behind the scenes rather
than competing with them directly. So
why I think this is such an enormous
upside? Well, banks, fintech, payment
companies, and digital wallets all need
modern banking infrastructure. They need
core banking systems, APIs, payment
processing, compliance tools, and
account management. Once a company
builds its entire business on your
infrastructure, switching becomes very
expensive and disruptive, similar to how
businesses rarely leave AWS once they're
deeply integrated. Today, this segment
is still much smaller than SoFi's
lending or financial service business,
which is exactly why I find this part of
their business so interesting. If
management executes, the business can
continue expanding globally while
benefiting from software-l like
economics. Every client adds recurring
revenue. Margins improve as customers
are added to the same platform. Now,
development costs are spread across
growing customer base, making each
additional customer more profitable than
the last one. To me, this isn't just
another fintech product. It's SoFi
building the infrastructure layer that
other financial companies rely on. And
that's where I see a lot of opportunity
for long-term upside. Now, of course,
their lifetime value is something that
I've talked about on this channel. If
you're subscribed, I've discussed LTV,
which is essentially how much a customer
is worth in the long term. I'm a
business person. I studied business in
college. And whenever I analyze a
company, I'm looking at their unit
economics, and I want to make sure
they're built around multiple product
users that continue to do more business
with that company. Whether it's a
restaurant like Chipotle, I want to see
the same store sales increasing. Or
whether it's SoFi, when they acquire a
customer, I want to see those customers
being cross-sold and them doing more
business via purchasing more products
and services. So a core insight that I
see with SoFi is that they may sell a
low CAC product like a checking account.
This is so genius because getting people
in the door is the hardest part. Now,
when I look at SoFi under $20, I think
that it is a steal because if you see
the amount of cross-selling into higher
revenue products like loans, credit
cards, investing in insurance referrals
that they do, it will literally blow
your mind. They do not pay a new CAC for
those second products. So, every
subsequent product is almost literally
pure incremental profit for them.
Meaning CAC is effectively diluted
across multiple revenue streams. I think
that's still not fully represented in
the stock and this company is going to
look much more attractive for Wall
Street and retail investors in the
following quarters. I'm literally
looking for 6 to 12 months for the stock
to be between 25 and $30 per share. I'm
very excited to continue to be a
shareholder. And if you're selling out
of SoFi, I think you're making a really
huge mistake. Now, let's go into the
second stock, which is Robin Hood. Robin
Hood, guys, a lot of people have made a
crucial mistake. I would say even more
mistake than SoFi because they got out
of Robin Hood exactly when the stock
started tanking right earlier this year
in February. In March, this stock was in
the $70 range and analysts were cutting
their price targets from, you know, 102
to 91. Another price target cut here
from 135 to 110, 102 to to 90, 95 to 85.
There's a whole lot of panic in the
market. But the truth is, Robin Hood has
been a stronger business as time has
gone on. Here's how Robin Hood really
makes money in 2026. The biggest
misconception is that Robin Hood simply
makes money every time someone buys a
stock. And that's literally only a small
fraction of the story because number one
is transaction revenue. Yeah, they still
have a really strong growth engine. And
that is one of their primary businesses,
which is transactionbased revenue
remains Robin Hood's largest business.
During Q4 2025 last year, transaction
revenue reached $776 million,
representing roughly 61% of total
revenue. That was the biggest
contributor. But now what I think is
going to happen is Robin Hood is going
to have so much more diversified income
streams. Now their main revenue driver
is option trading, crypto trading,
equity trading, and when markets become
more active, Robin Hood typically
benefits from higher trading volumes
across all three platforms. So, you see,
I like having Robin Hood in the
portfolio because if the market becomes
more volatile, Robin Hood is literally
making money off of other investors
emotions and them trading more. But
here's what I think investors are often
overlooking. And most likely, this is
the mistake that you are personally
making yourself. Robin Hood isn't
standing still. Management has expanding
the platform well beyond traditional
stock trading. Over the past few months,
they have rolled out products like Robin
Hood chain, tokenized US stocks for
international investors, expanded
perpetual futures across Europe,
continued growing Robin Hood Gold, and
broaden their crypto offering
internationally. The goal is very
simple. Give customers more reasons to
stay active inside of Robin Hood's
ecosystem instead of using multiple
financial apps. So, they want to take
your entire wallet and they want to own
it. And that is why I no longer view
Robin Hood as just a brokerage. It's
evolving into a broader financial
platform and every new product creates
another opportunity to increase revenue
from the same customer over time. So the
main driver is transactional revenue
which is essentially pay for order flow.
Every time you are trading guys, you are
making Robin Hood richer. One of Robin
Hood's biggest revenue streams is pay
for order flow. Instead of really
charging you a commission, which a lot
of people would be against, they went a
really unique route in their marketing.
They said that we are free. Okay. But
instead of charging you a commission
every time you place a trade, Robin Hood
routes many stock and option orders to
market makers who pay the company for
executing those trades. I used to work
at a market making firm in New York
City. This was over a decade ago and I
saw the amount of transaction volume
that they had. Okay. So, basically what
they're doing, these market makers on
Wall Street, they're making like a penny
or two pennies or three pennies per
trade, right? per contract or per, you
know, share. However, when you multiply
that by thousands and thousands of
contracts and thousands and thousands of
shares, well, those pennies start to add
up to hundreds of dollars. And when you
execute multiples of those trades in a
day, well, very quickly, a market maker
could make $3,000,
$20,000 and up depending on the volume
that they are basically providing for
the market because they're providing
either liquidity or they're buying
orderflow data and taking advantage of
the bid and ask spread. So, that is one
way that Robin Hood is also advertising
commissionfree investing. While really
guys, nothing is really free in life,
right? There's no one that is actually
doing things for free. There's always
like a secret motive. Okay, good or bad.
I don't know. But that's how Robin Hood
is making a lot of money. So, options
and crypto trading is the second major
driver. And these products tend to
generate significantly more revenue per
active trader than traditional stock
investing, which is one reason Robin
Hood continues investing heavily in
expanding its derivatives and crypto
offerings around the world. because
crypto and option traders are probably
going to be more active than just equity
traders and their margin is higher on
those type of customers. So why this
matters is this part of the Robin Hood
business is highly tied to investor
activity. When markets are volatile,
cryptos rallying or option trading picks
up, transaction revenue can accelerate
very quickly. On the flip side, whenever
the market is more boring and less
trading volume, well that's when Robin
Hood is not making as much transaction
revenue. That's why Robin Hood's
earnings can be more cyclical than
companies with primarily
subscription-based revenue or recurring
models. However, Robin Hood has a
recurring revenue model as well, which
I'm going to get into. So, don't get
impatient and don't make the mistake of
selling this stock even when it is up
from $70 to $111 because I see Robin
Hood still going to $140 plus per share
in 2027. One of those big reasons is
their net interest income, Robin Hood's
profit engine. While most investors are
focusing on trading activity, one of
Robin Hood's strongest businesses today
is net interest income. This has become
a major driver of both profitable and
more consistent earnings. In the first
quarter of 2026, net interest revenue
reached $359 million, up 24%
year-over-year, accounting for roughly
34% of Robin Hood's total business.
Robin Hood generates this massive
revenue from interest earned on
customers uninvested cash. Yeah, kind of
crazy, right? All the money that you're
not using in Robin Hood, they are using.
They are taking your cash and they are
making money off of it. Now, also margin
loans provided to investors using
leverage. This is another way that they
make money. Securities lending is
another area where Robin Hood just lends
shares held in customer accounts to
institutional traders. Cash management
and other banking relating products are
also ways that Robin Hood generates
money. Now unlike transaction revenue
which can fluctuate with trading
activity, net interest income provides
Robin Hood with a much more stable and
recurring revenue stream as more
customers fund their accounts, hold
larger cash balances, and use products
like margin and Robin Hood Gold. This
segment continues to strengthen the
company's financial foundation. That's
one reason I believe Robin Hood today is
becoming much more than just a trading
app. It's really evolving into a
diversified financial platform. One area
I think investors continue to
underestimate is Robin Hood Gold. This
isn't just a premium membership anymore.
It's actually locking you in
psychologically. So, whenever you pay $5
for Robin Hood Gold, man, they got you.
They got you. Because in the first
quarter of 2026, Robin Hood Gold
subscribers grew 36% year-over-year to
over 4.3 million members, while
subscription revenue increased 32%.
That's exactly the kind of prediction
recurring revenue investors are trying
to look at. They want something
predictable. Okay? Okay, so when an
investor wants predictable income, they
want to look for a company that has a
recurring revenue stream. So for a
monthly subscription, gold members
receive benefits like higher interest on
uninvested cash, professional research
and market data, larger instant
deposits, margin investing at
competitive rates. And really think
about Robin Hood as a building. A
customer might want to join just to buy
one stock or put in a little bit of
money, but eventually they upgrade into
gold. And when they upgrade it to gold,
they keep more cash in the platform,
start maybe trading options, and they
learn from, you know, your boy Uncle
Henry here. They start investing in
crypto. They start using margin. And,
you know, maybe they even open up a
retirement account. So, that's why I
believe Robin Hood is no longer just a
commission-free brokerage. It's evolving
into a complete financial ecosystem
where every new product increases
engagement, recurring revenue, and
long-term profitability. Management
continues shipping products at an
incredible pace. platform assets reached
record $37 billion and average revenue
per user continues to climb in the
latest quarter. Now, I'm running three
option strategies on both of these
stocks. I'm putting in my own money
behind these ideas. As you guys know, I
transparently share my portfolio on this
channel, and I don't just talk about
these stocks. If you like to follow
every trade that I make on SoFi, on
Robin Hood, as well as others, and the
rest of my portfolio in real time, along
with our live market calls and
educational sessions, come join inside
of the Discord. The link is in the top
of the description and I'd love to show
you all the trades that I'm personally
making. Thanks for watching and I'll see
you in the next one.
Ask follow-up questions or revisit key timestamps.
The video analyzes investment opportunities in SoFi and Robin Hood, emphasizing that both companies are evolving beyond their initial services into comprehensive financial ecosystems. The host highlights SoFi's strong growth, its effective member flywheel strategy, and the significant internal investments by CEO Anthony Noto as reasons for bullishness. Similarly, the video defends Robin Hood, detailing its revenue diversification beyond simple transaction fees into net interest income and subscription-based models like Robin Hood Gold, arguing that investors often misjudge the company's long-term potential.
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