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SOFI & Robinhood Investors BEWARE— Don't Make This Mistake!

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SOFI & Robinhood Investors BEWARE— Don't Make This Mistake!

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513 segments

0:00

Take your beer goggles off right now and

0:02

I don't want you making this crucial

0:04

mistake on SoFi and Robin Hood. SoFi

0:06

right now is like a dead fish. It's

0:08

going sideways. But Anthony Nodto is

0:11

signaling something very different to

0:12

the market and I trust my shares of SoFi

0:15

in Anthony's hands. Check out the stock

0:18

right now. It's trading for $18.78.

0:21

But did you know that Anthony Notto on

0:23

June 16 bought 13,888

0:26

shares on the open market at an average

0:29

price of $186,

0:31

investing roughly a4 million, including

0:34

all of his purchases this year, he has

0:36

bought approximately 130,000 shares in

0:39

2026 at an average cost of 1729,

0:43

spending nearly $2.5 million of his own

0:46

capital. He now owns roughly 12 million

0:48

shares of SoFi, making him one of the

0:50

biggest and largest shareholders of the

0:52

entire company. Now, Anthony isn't just

0:55

talking about SoFi. He keeps buying his

0:57

own company. This is why when I look at

0:59

the stock trading for $18.78

1:02

and a market cap of $24 billion, I

1:06

believe, folks that we're looking here

1:08

at over $30 billion company that's going

1:10

to be sitting there in the next 6 to 12

1:12

months because when the stock rips, it

1:15

rips hard. And that's the mistake that I

1:17

don't be making specifically on SoFi and

1:19

it's also a mistake that I don't should

1:21

be making on Robin Hood. Now, Anthony

1:23

Nota has repeatedly said that he

1:24

believes AI and blockchain are the next

1:26

two technology super cycles. And when we

1:29

look at the past earnings quarter, SoFi

1:31

has reported a record quarter. The next

1:34

earnings date that they have is the end

1:35

of July. Now, for Q1 2026, adjusted net

1:39

revenue reached $1.1 billion, up 41%

1:42

year-over-year. Net income climbed to

1:44

167 million. Adjust EBIDA hit a record

1:48

of 340 million. and management

1:50

reaffirmed that fullear guidance of

1:52

roughly 4.655 billion in revenue with

1:55

about 825 million in adjusted net

1:57

income. Now guys, my belief, okay,

1:59

Henry's opinion, I'm not a financial

2:01

adviser or anything like that. I'm not

2:02

registered for anything, but my opinion

2:05

is SoFi is a $25 plus stock in 6 to 12

2:09

months. And the simple reason for that

2:10

is not only that they keep beating

2:12

earnings and they keep growing, it's

2:14

simply that they're likely to continue

2:15

to do so. and that is eventually going

2:17

to make their stock very cheap. Sofi has

2:20

a very powerful financial matrix. Once

2:22

you're in their financial matrix, it's

2:24

like child support and if you don't pay,

2:26

you are going to jail. Their growth

2:28

strategy revolves around the member

2:30

flywheel. So, they start off with one

2:32

product that's like a student loan. Then

2:34

they offer personalized cross sales. So,

2:36

credit cards, investing, and you know,

2:38

home loans. That is exactly what

2:40

increases their LTV or lifetime value of

2:42

their customers at no extra acquisition

2:45

cost. So, you see what's going on is

2:46

that SoFi is able to acquire customers

2:49

for very cheap with an entry product and

2:51

then they're building a relationship and

2:53

selling high-V value products from

2:55

there. So, upselling is built into the

2:57

UX via smart nudges, reminders, and

3:00

pre-approved offers. SoFi isn't just

3:02

another bank stock. It's building the

3:04

operating system for modern money while

3:06

already cranking out billions in revenue

3:08

and rapidly rising profits. So, that's

3:10

the main reason why I like SoFi. But

3:12

also, I talked about marketing before.

3:14

They have a very low CAC or customer

3:16

acquisition. SoFi uses referral rewards,

3:19

sponsorships, partnerships, SEO heavy

3:22

content marketing and all of this leads

3:24

to lower CAC than traditional banks

3:27

especially for digital native users. So

3:30

SoFi's assets have grown faster

3:32

literally than JP Morgan, Bank of

3:34

America over the last 5 years. And this

3:36

is only really the beginning. More

3:38

millennials are going to SoFi. SoFi is

3:41

acquiring way more customers because

3:42

they have stronger marketing and they

3:44

are building better business because

3:46

they have a higher profit margin and

3:48

they're able to cross-ell and upsell

3:50

current customers. So they do have some

3:52

competition and they're actually

3:53

competing with Robin Hood which is the

3:55

second stock we're going to be talking

3:56

about in this video. But basically

3:57

SoFi's sales and monetization strategy

4:00

is second to none, especially in the

4:01

banking industry where everything is

4:03

super old. When I used to work at

4:04

Goldman Sachs, it literally felt like,

4:06

you know, I was there in 2016, but it

4:08

literally felt like I was working at a

4:09

company that was in the early 2000s. So,

4:11

keep in mind, SoFi has a really strong

4:14

upselling engine. A student loan user

4:16

gets nudged into something like opening

4:18

a checking account. Then they're

4:19

preapproved and they have personal

4:21

loans. Then they have more spending with

4:23

SoFi and they adopt more product. Maybe

4:25

they become investing customers. SoFi is

4:27

incredibly datadriven and that is the

4:29

most important thing that I look for in

4:31

businesses. Part of my degree was in

4:33

finance and business analytics. Business

4:35

analytics is important because companies

4:37

that make datadriven decisions make more

4:39

money. So whenever they are using AI or

4:42

data analytics, that means a company is

4:44

going to be improving in making smarter

4:46

decisions in the future as well. With

4:48

end-to-end data like checking, credit

4:50

card loans, investing, SoFi can predict

4:52

financial needs, time offers precisely,

4:55

and automate re-engagement such as email

4:57

marketing. So they're able to generate

4:59

more money from their current customers

5:01

by squeezing out more products from

5:03

them. They also have software like

5:05

economics. So once a platform is built,

5:07

each and every single new user is

5:09

essentially not that much money for them

5:11

to maintain. It's very very low. That's

5:14

because SoFi essentially has a very high

5:16

fixed cost and not that high variable

5:18

cost. So adding more customers doesn't

5:20

really cost them that much, which really

5:22

helps them scale their business. Now

5:24

they also make a lot of money from

5:25

deposit spreads. So they earn interest

5:27

on customer cash and they pay out less

5:30

and less of that as time goes on. So

5:32

that spread is extremely high margin and

5:34

it's only growing and becoming better.

5:36

Now they also have interchange and fees.

5:38

So this is like debits, credit cards,

5:40

brokerage margin, subscription all stack

5:42

on top of the same user. Now in terms of

5:44

their cross-ell flywheel, CAC is really

5:47

just paid once, but revenue compounds

5:49

with every single new product per

5:50

member. That's why I'm so bullish on

5:52

SoFi stock. So, the incremental margin

5:54

that they make on each additional active

5:56

user is very huge, and that's going down

5:58

to their profit margin. What I see

6:00

happening with their stock doesn't make

6:01

any sense. I mean, the stock's at

6:03

$18.78.

6:05

Over the last 6 months, the stock is

6:06

down 31%. It's been going sideways for

6:10

some time, which actually is not a bad

6:13

environment for an option seller now.

6:15

The highest long-term upside is really

6:17

SoFi technology. This is the part of

6:19

SoFi that I think Wall Street still

6:20

isn't fully appreciating. Most investors

6:22

look at lending, but I think the real

6:24

long-term optionality where they're

6:26

going to be making a lot of money is the

6:28

tech side of the business. Galileo has

6:31

now been brought together under SoFi

6:33

technology solutions, creating a

6:34

platform that powers financial

6:36

institutions behind the scenes rather

6:38

than competing with them directly. So

6:40

why I think this is such an enormous

6:42

upside? Well, banks, fintech, payment

6:44

companies, and digital wallets all need

6:46

modern banking infrastructure. They need

6:48

core banking systems, APIs, payment

6:51

processing, compliance tools, and

6:53

account management. Once a company

6:55

builds its entire business on your

6:57

infrastructure, switching becomes very

7:00

expensive and disruptive, similar to how

7:02

businesses rarely leave AWS once they're

7:05

deeply integrated. Today, this segment

7:08

is still much smaller than SoFi's

7:10

lending or financial service business,

7:12

which is exactly why I find this part of

7:14

their business so interesting. If

7:15

management executes, the business can

7:17

continue expanding globally while

7:19

benefiting from software-l like

7:21

economics. Every client adds recurring

7:23

revenue. Margins improve as customers

7:25

are added to the same platform. Now,

7:27

development costs are spread across

7:29

growing customer base, making each

7:31

additional customer more profitable than

7:34

the last one. To me, this isn't just

7:35

another fintech product. It's SoFi

7:37

building the infrastructure layer that

7:39

other financial companies rely on. And

7:41

that's where I see a lot of opportunity

7:43

for long-term upside. Now, of course,

7:45

their lifetime value is something that

7:46

I've talked about on this channel. If

7:48

you're subscribed, I've discussed LTV,

7:50

which is essentially how much a customer

7:52

is worth in the long term. I'm a

7:55

business person. I studied business in

7:57

college. And whenever I analyze a

7:58

company, I'm looking at their unit

8:01

economics, and I want to make sure

8:03

they're built around multiple product

8:05

users that continue to do more business

8:07

with that company. Whether it's a

8:09

restaurant like Chipotle, I want to see

8:10

the same store sales increasing. Or

8:12

whether it's SoFi, when they acquire a

8:14

customer, I want to see those customers

8:16

being cross-sold and them doing more

8:18

business via purchasing more products

8:21

and services. So a core insight that I

8:23

see with SoFi is that they may sell a

8:25

low CAC product like a checking account.

8:28

This is so genius because getting people

8:30

in the door is the hardest part. Now,

8:32

when I look at SoFi under $20, I think

8:34

that it is a steal because if you see

8:36

the amount of cross-selling into higher

8:38

revenue products like loans, credit

8:40

cards, investing in insurance referrals

8:42

that they do, it will literally blow

8:44

your mind. They do not pay a new CAC for

8:48

those second products. So, every

8:50

subsequent product is almost literally

8:52

pure incremental profit for them.

8:55

Meaning CAC is effectively diluted

8:57

across multiple revenue streams. I think

9:00

that's still not fully represented in

9:01

the stock and this company is going to

9:03

look much more attractive for Wall

9:05

Street and retail investors in the

9:07

following quarters. I'm literally

9:09

looking for 6 to 12 months for the stock

9:11

to be between 25 and $30 per share. I'm

9:14

very excited to continue to be a

9:16

shareholder. And if you're selling out

9:17

of SoFi, I think you're making a really

9:19

huge mistake. Now, let's go into the

9:21

second stock, which is Robin Hood. Robin

9:23

Hood, guys, a lot of people have made a

9:25

crucial mistake. I would say even more

9:28

mistake than SoFi because they got out

9:30

of Robin Hood exactly when the stock

9:32

started tanking right earlier this year

9:34

in February. In March, this stock was in

9:37

the $70 range and analysts were cutting

9:39

their price targets from, you know, 102

9:42

to 91. Another price target cut here

9:45

from 135 to 110, 102 to to 90, 95 to 85.

9:50

There's a whole lot of panic in the

9:51

market. But the truth is, Robin Hood has

9:53

been a stronger business as time has

9:56

gone on. Here's how Robin Hood really

9:58

makes money in 2026. The biggest

10:00

misconception is that Robin Hood simply

10:02

makes money every time someone buys a

10:03

stock. And that's literally only a small

10:05

fraction of the story because number one

10:07

is transaction revenue. Yeah, they still

10:10

have a really strong growth engine. And

10:11

that is one of their primary businesses,

10:13

which is transactionbased revenue

10:15

remains Robin Hood's largest business.

10:17

During Q4 2025 last year, transaction

10:20

revenue reached $776 million,

10:22

representing roughly 61% of total

10:24

revenue. That was the biggest

10:26

contributor. But now what I think is

10:28

going to happen is Robin Hood is going

10:29

to have so much more diversified income

10:32

streams. Now their main revenue driver

10:34

is option trading, crypto trading,

10:36

equity trading, and when markets become

10:38

more active, Robin Hood typically

10:40

benefits from higher trading volumes

10:41

across all three platforms. So, you see,

10:44

I like having Robin Hood in the

10:45

portfolio because if the market becomes

10:47

more volatile, Robin Hood is literally

10:49

making money off of other investors

10:51

emotions and them trading more. But

10:53

here's what I think investors are often

10:55

overlooking. And most likely, this is

10:57

the mistake that you are personally

10:58

making yourself. Robin Hood isn't

11:00

standing still. Management has expanding

11:02

the platform well beyond traditional

11:04

stock trading. Over the past few months,

11:06

they have rolled out products like Robin

11:09

Hood chain, tokenized US stocks for

11:11

international investors, expanded

11:13

perpetual futures across Europe,

11:15

continued growing Robin Hood Gold, and

11:17

broaden their crypto offering

11:19

internationally. The goal is very

11:20

simple. Give customers more reasons to

11:22

stay active inside of Robin Hood's

11:24

ecosystem instead of using multiple

11:26

financial apps. So, they want to take

11:28

your entire wallet and they want to own

11:30

it. And that is why I no longer view

11:32

Robin Hood as just a brokerage. It's

11:34

evolving into a broader financial

11:36

platform and every new product creates

11:38

another opportunity to increase revenue

11:40

from the same customer over time. So the

11:43

main driver is transactional revenue

11:46

which is essentially pay for order flow.

11:48

Every time you are trading guys, you are

11:50

making Robin Hood richer. One of Robin

11:52

Hood's biggest revenue streams is pay

11:55

for order flow. Instead of really

11:56

charging you a commission, which a lot

11:58

of people would be against, they went a

12:00

really unique route in their marketing.

12:02

They said that we are free. Okay. But

12:04

instead of charging you a commission

12:05

every time you place a trade, Robin Hood

12:07

routes many stock and option orders to

12:10

market makers who pay the company for

12:12

executing those trades. I used to work

12:14

at a market making firm in New York

12:16

City. This was over a decade ago and I

12:18

saw the amount of transaction volume

12:20

that they had. Okay. So, basically what

12:23

they're doing, these market makers on

12:24

Wall Street, they're making like a penny

12:26

or two pennies or three pennies per

12:28

trade, right? per contract or per, you

12:31

know, share. However, when you multiply

12:33

that by thousands and thousands of

12:35

contracts and thousands and thousands of

12:37

shares, well, those pennies start to add

12:39

up to hundreds of dollars. And when you

12:42

execute multiples of those trades in a

12:44

day, well, very quickly, a market maker

12:47

could make $3,000,

12:49

$20,000 and up depending on the volume

12:52

that they are basically providing for

12:54

the market because they're providing

12:56

either liquidity or they're buying

12:58

orderflow data and taking advantage of

13:00

the bid and ask spread. So, that is one

13:02

way that Robin Hood is also advertising

13:05

commissionfree investing. While really

13:07

guys, nothing is really free in life,

13:09

right? There's no one that is actually

13:11

doing things for free. There's always

13:12

like a secret motive. Okay, good or bad.

13:15

I don't know. But that's how Robin Hood

13:17

is making a lot of money. So, options

13:19

and crypto trading is the second major

13:21

driver. And these products tend to

13:23

generate significantly more revenue per

13:25

active trader than traditional stock

13:27

investing, which is one reason Robin

13:29

Hood continues investing heavily in

13:30

expanding its derivatives and crypto

13:32

offerings around the world. because

13:34

crypto and option traders are probably

13:36

going to be more active than just equity

13:38

traders and their margin is higher on

13:40

those type of customers. So why this

13:42

matters is this part of the Robin Hood

13:44

business is highly tied to investor

13:46

activity. When markets are volatile,

13:48

cryptos rallying or option trading picks

13:50

up, transaction revenue can accelerate

13:53

very quickly. On the flip side, whenever

13:55

the market is more boring and less

13:57

trading volume, well that's when Robin

13:59

Hood is not making as much transaction

14:00

revenue. That's why Robin Hood's

14:02

earnings can be more cyclical than

14:03

companies with primarily

14:05

subscription-based revenue or recurring

14:07

models. However, Robin Hood has a

14:09

recurring revenue model as well, which

14:11

I'm going to get into. So, don't get

14:13

impatient and don't make the mistake of

14:15

selling this stock even when it is up

14:18

from $70 to $111 because I see Robin

14:21

Hood still going to $140 plus per share

14:24

in 2027. One of those big reasons is

14:27

their net interest income, Robin Hood's

14:29

profit engine. While most investors are

14:31

focusing on trading activity, one of

14:33

Robin Hood's strongest businesses today

14:35

is net interest income. This has become

14:38

a major driver of both profitable and

14:40

more consistent earnings. In the first

14:42

quarter of 2026, net interest revenue

14:45

reached $359 million, up 24%

14:48

year-over-year, accounting for roughly

14:50

34% of Robin Hood's total business.

14:53

Robin Hood generates this massive

14:55

revenue from interest earned on

14:57

customers uninvested cash. Yeah, kind of

15:00

crazy, right? All the money that you're

15:02

not using in Robin Hood, they are using.

15:05

They are taking your cash and they are

15:07

making money off of it. Now, also margin

15:09

loans provided to investors using

15:11

leverage. This is another way that they

15:13

make money. Securities lending is

15:15

another area where Robin Hood just lends

15:16

shares held in customer accounts to

15:18

institutional traders. Cash management

15:21

and other banking relating products are

15:22

also ways that Robin Hood generates

15:24

money. Now unlike transaction revenue

15:26

which can fluctuate with trading

15:28

activity, net interest income provides

15:29

Robin Hood with a much more stable and

15:31

recurring revenue stream as more

15:33

customers fund their accounts, hold

15:35

larger cash balances, and use products

15:37

like margin and Robin Hood Gold. This

15:40

segment continues to strengthen the

15:41

company's financial foundation. That's

15:43

one reason I believe Robin Hood today is

15:45

becoming much more than just a trading

15:46

app. It's really evolving into a

15:48

diversified financial platform. One area

15:50

I think investors continue to

15:51

underestimate is Robin Hood Gold. This

15:53

isn't just a premium membership anymore.

15:55

It's actually locking you in

15:56

psychologically. So, whenever you pay $5

15:58

for Robin Hood Gold, man, they got you.

16:01

They got you. Because in the first

16:03

quarter of 2026, Robin Hood Gold

16:04

subscribers grew 36% year-over-year to

16:07

over 4.3 million members, while

16:10

subscription revenue increased 32%.

16:12

That's exactly the kind of prediction

16:14

recurring revenue investors are trying

16:16

to look at. They want something

16:18

predictable. Okay? Okay, so when an

16:19

investor wants predictable income, they

16:22

want to look for a company that has a

16:23

recurring revenue stream. So for a

16:25

monthly subscription, gold members

16:27

receive benefits like higher interest on

16:29

uninvested cash, professional research

16:31

and market data, larger instant

16:33

deposits, margin investing at

16:35

competitive rates. And really think

16:37

about Robin Hood as a building. A

16:39

customer might want to join just to buy

16:41

one stock or put in a little bit of

16:42

money, but eventually they upgrade into

16:44

gold. And when they upgrade it to gold,

16:46

they keep more cash in the platform,

16:48

start maybe trading options, and they

16:49

learn from, you know, your boy Uncle

16:51

Henry here. They start investing in

16:52

crypto. They start using margin. And,

16:54

you know, maybe they even open up a

16:56

retirement account. So, that's why I

16:57

believe Robin Hood is no longer just a

16:59

commission-free brokerage. It's evolving

17:00

into a complete financial ecosystem

17:02

where every new product increases

17:04

engagement, recurring revenue, and

17:05

long-term profitability. Management

17:07

continues shipping products at an

17:09

incredible pace. platform assets reached

17:11

record $37 billion and average revenue

17:14

per user continues to climb in the

17:16

latest quarter. Now, I'm running three

17:17

option strategies on both of these

17:19

stocks. I'm putting in my own money

17:21

behind these ideas. As you guys know, I

17:23

transparently share my portfolio on this

17:24

channel, and I don't just talk about

17:26

these stocks. If you like to follow

17:28

every trade that I make on SoFi, on

17:30

Robin Hood, as well as others, and the

17:31

rest of my portfolio in real time, along

17:33

with our live market calls and

17:35

educational sessions, come join inside

17:37

of the Discord. The link is in the top

17:39

of the description and I'd love to show

17:40

you all the trades that I'm personally

17:42

making. Thanks for watching and I'll see

17:44

you in the next one.

Interactive Summary

The video analyzes investment opportunities in SoFi and Robin Hood, emphasizing that both companies are evolving beyond their initial services into comprehensive financial ecosystems. The host highlights SoFi's strong growth, its effective member flywheel strategy, and the significant internal investments by CEO Anthony Noto as reasons for bullishness. Similarly, the video defends Robin Hood, detailing its revenue diversification beyond simple transaction fees into net interest income and subscription-based models like Robin Hood Gold, arguing that investors often misjudge the company's long-term potential.

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