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Flying Cars Have Arrived! eVTOL Panel: Archer, Joby, Wisk | All-In Summit 2024

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Flying Cars Have Arrived! eVTOL Panel: Archer, Joby, Wisk | All-In Summit 2024

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1165 segments

0:00

for our next panel we are going to have

0:02

uh a quick introduction to each of the

0:04

three electric vertical takeoff and

0:06

Landing vehicle companies the evall

0:08

companies we'll see a video for uh

0:10

introducing Joby and then uh Adam from

0:13

Archer is going to introduce Archer and

0:15

then Brian from wi and then we're going

0:17

to have a conversation uh be back in a

0:19

minute

0:42

[Music]

1:17

[Music]

1:30

[Music]

1:58

w

2:02

I founded archer in 2018 to change the

2:04

way the world

2:06

moves Urban congestion isn't sustainable

2:09

this leaves the average American stuck

2:11

in traffic for dozens of hours per

2:15

year to combat that challenge we built

2:19

[Music]

2:26

midnight all electric aircraft

2:29

purpose-built to fly back-to-back trips

2:31

over congested

2:34

[Music]

2:37

cities midnight takes off vertically

2:40

like a helicopter then his propellers

2:42

transition down to fly like an airplane

2:44

it's designed to be piloted and carry

2:46

four passengers and can travel at speeds

2:49

up to 150

2:50

mph since 2018 we've made an incredible

2:53

amount of progress to bringing the

2:55

midnight aircraft to

2:58

Market our nearly 10,000 person team has

3:01

designed built and tested the key

3:03

enabling Technologies to bring electric

3:06

Aviation to Market this has enabled us

3:08

to raise nearly $1.5 billion to

3:13

get however our goal is the same since

3:16

day one to get to commercial

3:18

[Music]

3:23

launch our high volume manufacturing

3:25

facility in Georgia will open up later

3:27

this year and we have incredible

3:29

partners that are helping us bring this

3:30

Vision to

3:33

[Music]

3:35

life stellantis the owner of Jeep Ram

3:38

and Maserati has invested nearly $300

3:41

million to

3:43

date United Airlines has ordered up to

3:45

$1.5 billion of midnight aircraft and

3:48

with Southwest our goal is to offer

3:50

passengers 3-hour multimodal Journeys

3:53

across

3:53

[Music]

3:56

Cali we have an industry-leading

3:59

contract with Air Force and we recently

4:01

delivered our first aircraft as part of

4:02

that

4:03

contract in La we recently announced

4:06

plans for flight networks connecting

4:08

Sofi Stadium USC LAX and Beyond we can't

4:12

wait to bring midnight to a city near

4:14

Europe

4:16

[Applause]

4:18

[Music]

4:30

[Applause]

4:31

[Music]

4:36

[Applause]

4:43

Peter teal reminded us yesterday that

4:45

flying cars are the peak of the hardware

4:47

Revolution that never quite happened but

4:50

as you just saw we're closer than ever

4:52

to making it a reality the aircraft that

4:55

the three of our companies design take

4:57

off vertically like helicopters they do

4:59

a complex maneuver to transition onto

5:01

the wing into wingborne flight and Fly

5:04

Like an aircraft when the founder of our

5:06

company Larry Page first joined this

5:09

Mission the technologies that enable

5:12

these aircraft to fly were just starting

5:14

to become possible the team that I lead

5:17

has built the enabling Technologies in

5:20

electrification and autonomy that's

5:22

making this possible you see the prior

5:24

five generations of aircraft that we've

5:26

designed here on the screen behind me

5:28

and that iterative design build approach

5:30

has enabled us to get to the point where

5:32

we are building now Generation 6 which

5:34

is the first candidate for an fa

5:37

certification of a passenger autonomous

5:39

aircraft this aircraft is designed to

5:41

take advantage of all of the prior

5:43

technologies that we developed through

5:45

those prior iterations and to operate

5:48

without a pilot on board on those

5:50

missions there's two technology trends

5:53

that we are all uh in that we are all

5:56

using to create these aircraft Motors

5:59

and the the same simplification that's

6:00

coming to your cars and batteries and

6:03

the same advances that are coming to

6:05

your cars and also to your cell phones

6:07

and second autonomy and autonomy has a

6:11

lot of parts to it so we have to for the

6:13

first time in a commercially certifiable

6:16

way show how we can operate and

6:18

supervise an aircraft from the ground

6:21

display information in in a way that is

6:23

safe from a human factor standpoint to

6:25

supervise that aircraft to use sensors

6:28

on the airplane in the same way you

6:29

would for an autonomous ground vehicle

6:31

to create the software and the

6:33

computation to be able to then fly that

6:35

aircraft autonomously but when you make

6:37

robots people don't go away they change

6:39

what they're doing and so we use those

6:41

aircraft to actually do deployment

6:43

testing in networks here in Los Angeles

6:46

yeah last year we flew the first

6:48

electric Vall aircraft in the Los

6:50

Angeles area and we showed what's

6:54

possible with these aircraft and how

6:56

people can engage with them we are also

6:59

working on the human interface with air

7:01

traffic control because again even

7:03

though we have an autonomous aircraft

7:05

our aircraft still has to interface with

7:07

today's air traffic control system like

7:10

what you saw yesterday from weo we use

7:14

existing flying cars AKA helicopters

7:17

that are piloted to take that sensor

7:19

package and those computation uh

7:21

abilities and put them onto of a a

7:24

piloted helicopter to perfect the

7:26

algorithms that we use for doing things

7:28

like Det protecting and avoiding other

7:30

traffic in environments uh where there's

7:33

different lighting and where the

7:34

aircraft that you might collide with

7:36

potentially that you want to avoid is

7:38

above or below the Horizon we also have

7:41

to be able to fly these aircraft without

7:43

the presence of GPS as we see in

7:46

conflicts around the world today we

7:47

cannot rely on GPS to be able to fly an

7:51

autonomous aircraft so now once you have

7:53

that technology stack you need to turn

7:55

it into an actual airplane and all the

7:57

things that Peter talked about about

8:00

potentially being a bad industry to to

8:02

go into uh in the 9s are now becoming

8:04

ever more important the ability to uh do

8:07

aerodynamics to do mechanical

8:09

engineering to create these aircraft are

8:11

now more important than ever and uh by

8:14

the end of this year we'll be flying

8:16

this aircraft which will be the first

8:18

attempt at certifying a passenger

8:19

carrying autonomous aircraft so let's

8:22

bring the guys out and we'll talk about

8:23

it all right

8:31

well I think that there's a lot of

8:32

people that probably need an

8:35

introduction to Vall in a more basic way

8:37

before we talk about the technology

8:39

whether it's the actual vehicle itself

8:41

or whether it's the um the world's best

8:44

pilot if you will MH

8:48

um for the folks out here if they are

8:51

going to interact with these systems

8:54

whether autonomous or not what do you

8:57

think are going to be the biggest issues

9:00

that they are going to care about and

9:02

will want resolved before they see it in

9:04

their Community maybe Joe B if you want

9:05

to start yeah I think the number one

9:08

issue and you know for everybody when

9:10

you're getting in an aircraft is is this

9:12

going to be safe but then for both the

9:15

the passengers what they care about is

9:17

is something that's going to

9:18

dramatically change the way they they

9:21

move around their cities and save them

9:24

time and in order to do that you need to

9:25

have takeoff and landing locations that

9:27

are located both close to where you are

9:29

and close to where you want to go and so

9:33

priority uh 2 through n in people's

9:36

priority stack is about noise and making

9:38

an acoustic signature that's going to uh

9:41

get communities to see this as uh a a

9:45

real advantage and uh something that's

9:48

uh increases the value of uh of living

9:51

in that Community because you're you're

9:53

close to this new mode of

9:55

transportation um do you guys think that

9:58

when you see a thousand of these things

10:01

flying around let's let's just take a

10:03

place uh in Meno Park

10:06

California

10:08

um are they going to be forced to have

10:11

very specific sort of like air highways

10:14

that they have to adhere to or what is

10:16

the best thinking right now in terms of

10:18

how the regulatory bodies are going to

10:20

sort of enable you guys to actually fly

10:23

commercially as quickly as possible he

10:25

brand turn you if we if we just take a

10:29

step back the product exists they're

10:32

called helicopters and a helicopter is

10:33

actually way more complex than what

10:35

we're building we're actually building a

10:36

much more simplified version of what

10:38

exists it's safer it's fully redundant

10:41

and so it should Inspire confidence for

10:43

people to to want to come and take these

10:45

vehicles the way they'll start though is

10:47

going to be really slow if you think

10:49

about every major city in the world they

10:52

have hospitals those hospitals have

10:54

helicopters this product exists

10:56

everywhere so if you took all three of

10:58

us you took our most bullish estimates

11:00

that we have and you tripled them we

11:02

still would not even replace helicopters

11:04

so to get to the point where you're

11:05

asking thousands of vehicles in the air

11:07

over one city or even hundreds is pretty

11:09

far away we could all deploy tens of

11:12

thousands of vehicles we could the three

11:13

of us be a trillion dollar companies and

11:16

there still would not be thousand

11:18

hopefully there still would not be you

11:20

know thousands of vehicles in the air

11:23

but to make the product really really

11:26

great you do want liquidity you do want

11:28

a lot of vehicles in on dense routes so

11:32

you don't have to worry about is it

11:34

available is it not available like an

11:34

Uber right you just it's thumbs up it's

11:36

available or thumbs down it's not

11:38

available it doesn't matter what seat

11:39

you get it saves your time that's where

11:41

we're all trying to get but I think just

11:43

to frame it sorry Adam is it is it a

11:45

thing where it is like uber where

11:47

there's going to be a version where you

11:48

get in with people you don't know or you

11:49

think this is just like one person

11:51

Provisions it for themselves and then

11:53

they go from point A to point B no

11:54

absolutely the vision is uh you know a

11:58

service that's available for everyone

11:59

the good news is you can scale these

12:01

vehicles because they're just much more

12:03

simple than helicopters we don't have

12:05

all the limiting factors that

12:06

helicopters have so you can put a lot

12:07

more from the air you can push the

12:08

prices way down and make it very

12:10

affordable Bri it's also a dramatically

12:13

faster trip so you're you're in it for a

12:15

few minutes to get across La instead of

12:17

in in Uber where you might be sitting in

12:19

traffic for an hour or two right um

12:22

yesterday we heard from Teedra from the

12:25

CEO of weo their first launch city was

12:27

Phoenix the layout was good but mostly

12:30

it was really regulatorily um amenable

12:34

amenable um Brian what is the version of

12:38

Phoenix for Evol is there a city

12:41

somewhere that has said we want this now

12:44

come and help us figure this out yeah

12:45

Houston Houston is is where we're

12:47

working most specifically um and it's

12:50

not just because Woody lives there

12:51

either um but but seriously Houston is

12:54

um you know the the Airport network in

12:57

Houston is actually quite good

12:58

connecting couple of the airports around

13:01

uh the Houston area it turns out that

13:03

operating at airports initially is

13:05

actually quite a good place to start

13:06

because like I said you know these

13:08

aircraft they come with a footprint you

13:09

know they really come with like people

13:11

and operations and if you've ever seen

13:13

an airport tarmac area um it's you can't

13:16

just drop that in the middle of a city

13:17

on day one so starting at airports as an

13:20

initial operating area is quite good um

13:23

it turns out you know what you saw in

13:24

that video was from an airspace

13:26

integration standpoint and where we were

13:28

going on routes and so on um New Zealand

13:31

is has been incredibly Forward Thinking

13:33

in terms of how to evolve their airspace

13:35

Network so they have more um digital

13:38

Communications more of an ability to

13:40

integrate un crude aircraft with crude

13:42

aircraft in the same airspace and so

13:44

we've been doing quite a lot of work in

13:46

New Zealand on that front but hold on I

13:48

I mean I think it's to me super clear

13:51

this does not start in the US I really

13:52

think it starts internationally I think

13:54

the regulatory environment here both

13:57

both of us work in the UAE pretty

13:59

extensively I mean if I'm going to guess

14:02

just on the press that you put out Joe B

14:04

met the head of the um civil aviation

14:06

Authority in the UAE yesterday I'm

14:08

leaving tonight on a plane to go meet

14:09

him as well and so you know we are

14:11

targeting Abu Dhabi they've been

14:13

targeting Dubai and the reason is there

14:16

is a you know a very heavy support for

14:20

new innovation and the challenge like

14:22

the reason why I feel like all three of

14:23

us are up on stage here is probably

14:25

because of the the whole Woody video

14:27

that we just watched we all learned

14:29

about NASA as young kids and were

14:30

inspired by new things but the challenge

14:34

is the existing environment today makes

14:37

that very hard and these are companies

14:39

that were started in America with

14:41

American Engineers that have raised

14:43

capital from the American Venture

14:44

community that are listed on the

14:46

American stock exchanges yet we still

14:48

can't launch in America and that is

14:50

really challenging and I think part of

14:53

it is back to what Bill Gurley talked

14:55

about last year a regulatory capture the

14:57

walls are huge to climb and in fact the

15:00

more things go bad with the incumbents

15:02

the harder it is for us I don't think

15:03

that's done on purpose but that's very

15:05

challenging for us now I I I would I

15:07

would say that the amount of bipartisan

15:09

support on on both sides of the aisle in

15:12

Washington is off the charts the amount

15:14

of local support uh support with States

15:18

uh it the you know yesterday I was in

15:21

Montreal at the uh International civil

15:24

aviation uh Association conference uh

15:27

where they ConEd this is the first time

15:30

and they were convening 1800 people uh

15:33

to focus on uh Advanced Air mobility and

15:37

so this is really exciting to see how

15:40

much momentum there is and it's

15:41

imperative that the US continue to lead

15:44

Aviation is one of our most important

15:45

exports uh it's been vital to our

15:48

economy and it is really really

15:51

important that uh we we lean forward and

15:54

we make the the certification process

15:57

and just to double click on this for a

15:58

second I can see how Joe Ben and Adam

16:00

you guys Pure Play startups you know you

16:03

have to find the

16:05

Willing

16:07

parent um but you have the benefit of

16:10

Boeing mhm um and is that why your

16:12

answer was Houston is because they have

16:14

that I guess regulatory gravitas to be

16:18

able to go and help there or no you're

16:20

still mostly on your own trying to

16:21

figure no no yeah so we so the yeah the

16:23

Journey of our company was obviously you

16:25

know started by Larry started by Larry

16:27

became Kittyhawk turned into a joint

16:29

Venture and and uh and and eventually um

16:32

we sold the company to Boeing uh last

16:34

year and uh so we still operate as an

16:37

independent company a lot like the whmo

16:39

um Google relationship right now uh for

16:41

us the difference is we're really trying

16:44

to Pioneer the pathway to the

16:45

introduction of autonomous aircraft at

16:48

the same time and that's a longer

16:50

Journey so Joe Ben and Adam are are

16:52

going to be operating before us there's

16:54

no doubt because piloted aircraft are

16:56

coming before these uncrewed aircraft

16:59

um I think autonomy is key to the future

17:02

of aviation in the small airplane space

17:04

if you look at the the um the the the

17:07

causes of of incidents and the accident

17:10

rates in helicopters right now they're

17:11

just unacceptable and um and I think

17:14

that that can be solved by automation

17:16

I'm really passionate about that so for

17:18

us we're on a longer journey and the

17:20

question is then uh on that Journey um

17:23

how do we make sure that the US leads in

17:25

that and we're trying to Pioneer the

17:27

regulatory Pathway to ensure that it

17:29

happens here in the United States but

17:31

we're also working around the globe like

17:32

I mentioned in New Zealand where there

17:34

are Regulators who potentially want to

17:37

lean forward and innovate on airospace

17:39

or some other aspects of the problem

17:41

that we're trying to solve I mean Adam

17:42

Adam mentioned the concept of regulatory

17:44

capture but one of our besties Sky

17:46

Dayton who's on joby's board wrote this

17:48

great essay and one of the things that's

17:51

clear is that a lot of the pushback to

17:53

the vision that you have Brian actually

17:55

comes from the pilots unions themselves

17:58

right I I think it's a bit of a weird

18:00

set of incentives no do you want to just

18:01

talk about that for a second I think

18:02

it's less salacious than that and more

18:05

uh clinical I mean the the and I'll give

18:07

an example well so I have my vision for

18:09

the future is that we're going to have a

18:10

prolific amount of uncrewed small

18:12

aircraft that are operating doing that

18:14

kind of missions that we're just talking

18:15

about but that large C pilot large

18:18

aircraft are going to be piloted for

18:20

probably as far as the eye can see I

18:22

think the Practical aspect of it

18:24

honestly is that in 2023 here's a

18:26

statistic for you that just blows my

18:28

mind as a developer of airplanes in 2023

18:31

there were 30 million Global flights

18:33

carried billions of Passenger implements

18:36

number of people that got on board the

18:37

airplane um scheduled service you know

18:40

Airlines zero accidents zero what zero

18:45

in 2023 zero so so it's it's less

18:49

salacious than than uh there's a cabal

18:52

that's trying not to certificate things

18:55

there is a natural conservatism in the

18:57

system of holy

18:59

we've done it it's working don't change

19:02

it so when new technology shows up it I

19:05

I understand the perspective of a

19:07

regulator that's sitting on the other

19:08

side of that wall and it's saying man

19:11

this is kind of working um okay then

19:13

just to put you on the spot I mean I can

19:15

see you know when Joe Ben and Adam say

19:17

hey point A to point B instead of hours

19:19

in traffic you're there in 10 minutes if

19:21

there are really no pilot errors unlike

19:25

in cars where there's still far too many

19:27

unnecessary deaths

19:29

how do you measure the

19:31

incremental justification for the

19:33

investment let alone the reason to the

19:35

statistic that I just gave you is for

19:36

large aircraft scheduled air carriers if

19:39

you then look at the small airplane

19:40

Market or you look at helicopter markets

19:42

it is it is orders of magnitude it's

19:44

well it's Infinity more you know so but

19:46

it's it's it's way worse and so the

19:48

question is how do you bring the level

19:51

of safety of those large aircraft how do

19:53

you bring that same level of safety down

19:55

into the get rid of recreational pilot

19:56

you have to start you just have to start

19:58

I mean there is definitely this panel

20:00

exists in China guess what there's two

20:02

groups that are already certified there

20:04

they started that's how you do it you

20:06

have to get moving you have to set an

20:08

environment where we can all start

20:10

flying stuff when we can do it A to B

20:12

and when you're using a large aircraft

20:14

you're dividing the two pilots expense

20:17

amongst 300 seats or 100 seats and in

20:19

this case you would have a pilot on a

20:20

Joby flight with which really the

20:23

Pilot's not doing anything there's

20:25

they're not flying it so it's they're

20:27

there to make the passengers feel safer

20:31

is my understanding

20:33

yeah the pilot you know there there are

20:36

even with with what Brian's doing uh

20:39

with the incredible pioneering work on

20:41

um on autonomy you you still have

20:44

somebody on the ground who's uh making

20:47

sure that the weather is going to be

20:48

safe and uh lots of other operational

20:51

Logistics the benefit is you get to take

20:53

that person out of the aircraft and put

20:54

them on the ground so you get to put

20:56

another passenger in the aircraft um you

20:58

get a lot of operational flexibility uh

21:01

because you're the the you don't

21:03

necessarily have to have the pilot and

21:04

the plane at the same location at the

21:06

same time uh a pilot can over time begin

21:09

to operate multiple do the pilot do in

21:11

ajobi because my understanding is it's

21:13

automated so they're sitting there just

21:15

monitoring it they're making sure that

21:18

all of the operations are going to go

21:20

safely the pilot AR flying there's a

21:22

there's sticks right I

21:24

mean there is the option for the the the

21:27

pilot to fly fly with the sticks as well

21:29

so in an emergency situation they would

21:30

take over but it's autopilot essentially

21:33

there are a lot of a lot of computer

21:35

systems that are helping the pilot fly

21:37

and when one rotor goes down I mean one

21:41

of the great things about this is when

21:42

you have a

21:43

helicopter you know a rotor breaks you

21:47

die essentially we have layer on layer

21:49

of redundancy we have six six propellers

21:52

and each one's driven by separate motors

21:53

with each separate inverter with each a

21:55

separate battery pack and so it's just

21:57

you know the same thing with the flight

21:58

computers in the uh everything's

22:00

massively redundant what would it take

22:02

and that's what we did in big commercial

22:03

airlines which is why uh you get the

22:06

incredible safety that that Brian was

22:08

talking about yeah I mean we haven't had

22:09

a passenger death in the United States I

22:11

think the last one was 2009 and the last

22:13

three passenger jets that went down the

22:15

United States were all regional Jets

22:17

which we all know that there's a

22:18

collection of problems there um so what

22:21

would it take theoretically when you're

22:23

doing your you know edge cases what are

22:26

the edge cases that are the most

22:27

challenging in terms of

22:29

safety well so uh you know with our

22:34

initial certification we are not

22:36

certifying for flight in known icing for

22:38

example so if you if you live in the

22:41

North Northeast uh you know there will

22:44

be uh a few percent of the time where we

22:47

won't be able to offer service you'll

22:48

just ground them during ice conditions

22:50

you're not going to JFK when it's

22:52

snowing well when it's snowing you may

22:54

be able to go but if it's there's

22:55

certain conditions where where you get

22:58

heav icing in terms of concerns and

23:01

things that could make these go down

23:04

exactly so is there anything else though

23:05

that could you know what's like the

23:07

what's like the the wind speed or

23:08

gusting kind of condition Max and so on

23:11

uh so we're actually very tolerant to

23:13

that it was actually it was interesting

23:15

proba better than a wing than a winged

23:16

aircraft I would imagine right right

23:18

yeah and and so there's these these

23:19

folks at Nasa who are working on

23:21

Wildfire prevention yeah and they came

23:24

they've they came and did a not the

23:26

welfare prevention folks but NASA came

23:28

and did did an acoustic survey where

23:30

they put out uh a whole array of

23:31

microphones and we flew the aircraft in

23:34

Hover and transition uh overlight Etc

23:37

and measured the acoustic signature and

23:39

um showed that it was really low and

23:41

could fit in the environment in terms of

23:43

uh but yesterday I was having a

23:45

conversation with them on Wildfire

23:46

prevention they're like these kinds of

23:47

aircraft are going to be game changers

23:49

for for Wildfire because with

23:51

helicopters they can't handle really

23:52

turbulent conditions when you've got

23:54

lots of convection from the wildfire and

23:56

and you have six Motors we have six

23:58

rotors and so there's this thing called

24:00

Vortex ring state that uh affects

24:02

vertical takeoff and Landing aircraft

24:04

and you aren't going to have all six

24:06

rotors go into Vortex ring State at the

24:08

same time and you can also one of the

24:10

cool things they found out with the

24:11

Osprey is if you just tilt the rotors

24:12

forward that you can get very very

24:14

quickly get out of Vortex ring state so

24:16

basically these new new classes of

24:18

aircraft and what you can do with

24:20

electric propulsion and I I don't think

24:21

we've talked about that enough is is

24:23

what a GameChanger electric propulsion

24:24

is can you talk about the the acoustic

24:26

issue so give us some context for the

24:29

decibel tolerance where what and what

24:33

was you know in a city and give us a

24:35

comparison to stuff that exists today a

24:36

big truck diesel truck helicopter like

24:39

and what do we need to be at for this to

24:41

be ubiquitously accepted in cities and

24:44

then what's the technology needed to get

24:45

the acoustic breakthroughs needed yeah

24:47

so the background noise level in in

24:49

cities is around 65 DB and so we set

24:52

that as our threshold for this is the

24:54

level that we want uh want things you

24:57

know want aircraft to be below during

24:59

takeoff and Landing you want you don't

25:01

want to be Beyond background right we

25:03

want to be below 45 DB in overflight um

25:06

and and we've achieved both of those

25:07

goals uh you know you asked about other

25:10

things you know I think a garbage truck

25:11

is uh 80 or 90 DB every they're the

25:15

worst exactly the worst like every 10 DB

25:18

is an order of magnitude more noise

25:20

energy so it's uh you know a jet engine

25:23

is like 110 DB helicopters are between

25:26

80 and 100 DB uh the other thing about

25:29

helicopters that people find really

25:30

annoying is it's this low frequency

25:33

and that low frequency sound travels

25:35

long distance through the atmosphere and

25:38

so what's the tech needed like it shakes

25:40

buildings and really what was yeah

25:42

what's the tech needed to bring the

25:44

acoustic like how hard is well I mean we

25:46

you know when I when I started joy in

25:48

2009 uh so it's 15 uh 15 years ago uh

25:53

this week so it's like I've been working

25:55

on this a long time I've been dreaming

25:57

about it since I was a kid

26:01

um and it's it's incredible to see the

26:03

industry that we've built and uh and

26:06

again yesterday to see like thousands of

26:08

people gather just to focus on all of

26:10

the issues of bringing this to their

26:11

cities around the world so that that's

26:13

really exciting um

26:16

and the the you know the roll out and

26:19

and the impact that this is going to

26:20

have on cities is just really really

26:22

exciting so let me ask you guys you're

26:23

eff just you're spinning the propellers

26:26

slower that's what you're doing that's

26:27

the electric engine do that just create

26:29

lower noise that that gets you like 90%

26:31

of the benefit and then from there you

26:33

work to all the little efficiencies to

26:35

get that stuff out so let me ask you

26:37

guys about like the the convenience of

26:38

owning a car and like America kind of

26:41

popularized this idea that everyone

26:43

should own a car and then we all got a

26:44

car the benefit of a car is it's point

26:46

to point I can go from any point a to

26:47

any point B um how do you guys think

26:50

about the challenge of it's such a pain

26:53

in the ass to go to a port just like

26:55

it's a pain in the ass to go to a bus

26:56

station take a bus or you know Subway go

26:59

to a spot in New York it works where

27:00

things are dense enough but like in most

27:03

cities in the United States this is like

27:06

it is preferable to take a car because I

27:08

can do point A to point B and my

27:10

convenience which my time is always

27:12

faster taking a car how how do you kind

27:14

of think about the calculus of the

27:16

benefit here when I have to go to a port

27:18

to be able to take the vehicle to the to

27:19

the next Port I I think you know your

27:21

spot on I think of where we are today is

27:23

very similar to where uh the automotive

27:25

industry was was in the 1890s where it

27:28

was before we had the ability to mass

27:30

produce cars we we were building tens

27:32

and then hundreds of cars and uh that

27:36

didn't give the scale and so what we

27:37

were using cars for was taxis we are in

27:40

a similar mode today where we are going

27:42

to use these aircraft as taxis uh we

27:45

still need to save people time and so

27:47

there's only going to be select routes

27:48

where this is a game changer because of

27:50

the multimodal nature uh where you need

27:52

to uh and you may not have a takeoff and

27:55

Landing location exactly where you want

27:57

to leave from and go to but over time if

28:01

we can get the acoustic signature down

28:03

if we can make these aircraft even

28:04

quieter than they are today rather than

28:06

needing to go to a a dedicated ver port

28:09

to do this the dream is to eventually be

28:11

able to land them at your house Adam

28:13

let's talk about um propulsion for a

28:15

second energy density cost those

28:18

trade-offs speed these are all variables

28:20

that kind of just work opposing each

28:22

other um what were some design decisions

28:25

you guys made and um did you have to

28:29

remake some of those did you change your

28:30

mind at some point and just walk us

28:32

through that process the biggest

28:34

challenge I think of building these

28:36

aircraft is just the time it takes to do

28:39

it it is very expensive and it does not

28:42

fit any typical model meaning the

28:44

Venture guys don't like it and so

28:47

they're like sorry you want a billion

28:48

dollars UPF front to build this like

28:50

that's terrible you rejected me you

28:51

rejected me I don't think I met with you

28:54

uh like everybody rejected probably all

28:56

of us up here so it's not a typical you

29:00

know what I mean like Mom that's the

29:01

reality so there was this crazy period

29:04

of time in 2021 with the capital markets

29:06

opened up it was a dream scenario raise

29:09

a lot of money from the public markets

29:10

that was nuts so that allowed this to

29:12

happen and then from there it for for me

29:14

what we did was we said okay what is the

29:17

business case meaning we thought when we

29:19

looked at like what are these we call

29:20

them hero routes where there's a lot of

29:22

people doing these trips like Manhattan

29:24

to JFK it's like 30 million people go

29:27

from Manhattan to one of the three big

29:28

airports in New York okay so all we have

29:31

to do no brainer that's a no-brainer

29:32

yeah all we have to do is have a couple

29:35

around the city which already exist

29:36

there's downtown Wall Street Hort wests

29:38

side and just put them into the three

29:40

airports and that'll be an amazing thing

29:42

to start with okay so short routes 20 to

29:45

50 mile routes now let's design an

29:47

aircraft around that the fastest thing

29:49

we can do to get to Market so we don't

29:50

die before the investors decide nah

29:53

we're kind of like done with this one

29:54

now on to the next thing oh AI here

29:56

let's everybody go all in on AI and so

30:01

I'm just moving as fast as we can so

30:02

that was the biggest trade-off so it was

30:04

always what is the minimum thing we need

30:06

to do to get that done so you need to

30:08

look at speed range and payload payload

30:10

is definitely the hardest because

30:12

batteries are heavy and there's just

30:14

physics you're always fighting and then

30:16

speed the difference between these

30:17

planes want to fly around 120 mph you go

30:21

faster it's just more drag it just kills

30:23

your battery faster so you don't the

30:26

difference between 120 150 on a 10 Mile

30:28

flight doesn't really matter it's more

30:30

of how do you go at least that 20 to 50

30:33

mile route and go at least you know call

30:36

it 120 m per hour and do that as fast as

30:38

possible what kind of batteries what

30:39

kind of batteries did you guys choose

30:41

what lium ion cells commercial offthe

30:43

shelf stuff uh Molly cell makes you can

30:45

find the cells today there's millions of

30:47

them that are made and power tools and

30:50

supercars and pretty conventional what's

30:53

the range with the range of the aircraft

30:55

we're designing to go up to 100 miles

30:57

but the the real design is around back

30:59

to Rapid backtack 20 to 50 MP what do

31:02

you guys all need in terms of Battery

31:03

Technology improvement from where we sit

31:05

today or do you not and what's on the

31:08

horizon in terms of Battery Technology

31:09

improvements what does that unlock in

31:11

terms of range yeah so the batteries

31:12

that we're certifying our aircraft with

31:14

or have a specific energy of about 300

31:17

wat hours per kilogram to put that in

31:18

context when I started the company in in

31:21

2009 we had cells that had sufficient

31:24

specific power uh to do a vertical

31:27

takeoff but also so uh we're at about

31:29

170 W hours of kilogram so we've almost

31:31

doubled the specific energy in the cells

31:34

over the last 15 years um that we have

31:37

cells in our lab and then there's a

31:39

third dimension which really matters is

31:41

This Is The Life and uh so we have the

31:45

the cells we're uh taking the

31:47

certification are give us a uh 10,25 M

31:52

flights so our our kind of sweet spot is

31:55

is also in that uh in those shorter

31:58

range flights and we want to be able to

31:59

do a lot of flights between uh between

32:03

Replacements both for the environmental

32:05

impact of it but also from the economics

32:07

of replacing those battery packs and

32:09

when the the plane takes off that's a

32:12

lot of um energy usage the the wings

32:15

tilt forward and now you're flying more

32:17

like these ospre is as a plane the

32:19

energy goes way down the consumption and

32:22

then on Landing you got to be very

32:23

careful and use a lot more energy is

32:25

that correct yeah and there's there's uh

32:28

different trade-offs you can make

32:29

basically the more propulsors you have

32:31

uh the smaller each propulsor is and the

32:33

and the heavier you're disc loading and

32:35

the higher the amount of power you're

32:37

using in Hover the the harder you're

32:40

pulling on the batteries um the uh but

32:44

then more propulsors also gives you more

32:46

redundancy so there's this uh there's a

32:49

trade there breast tax when do you each

32:51

think we're going to pick um a quarter

32:54

in a year so you know fourth quarter

32:57

2025 second quarter 2026 you all have to

33:00

answer it uh you agreed backstage um and

33:04

Americans will be able to give money to

33:08

get in one of these not a test flight

33:11

you know in a major city in America um

33:14

to to when we all be able to use it uh

33:18

not just yours yeah these guys should

33:19

answer for themselves but I think

33:21

they'll get it done in uh in 2026 and

33:25

you should yell at it's different ah man

33:27

I don't um first quarter first quarter

33:30

26 I want to give him some heat we'll be

33:32

we'll be a couple years after that but

33:33

that's an incredible thing I mean

33:35

we're less you know a year plus away

33:38

that's yeah that's crazy now you should

33:40

um tell tell me how you feel about my

33:41

expectations

33:43

yeah I I think pretty clearly there's a

33:46

route to do this internationally next

33:48

year and so I think we'll launch with

33:50

passengers next year um he said in the

33:53

US I know I'll start there I'll start

33:55

there in in in 2025 job is to make sure

33:58

we have a safe I think probably fourth

34:00

quarter I think we have a my job is to

34:02

create a safe aircraft if Pete Budaj

34:05

called and said hey there's a way to do

34:07

this in the US I'm going to help cut

34:08

through all the red tape and we're going

34:10

to help you get it done like my phone's

34:11

on I'm ready call me I we'll find a way

34:14

to do it Pete why didn't we invite Pete

34:16

he seems Dynamic so he was actually yeah

34:18

we uh we nearly had him yeah very close

34:23

so I I think we're on a on a Time

34:27

timeline which we publicly announced to

34:30

uh to begin commercial Service uh in the

34:34

UAE next year um you think Q4 2025 as

34:38

well I I think that's it's likely back

34:40

end I think it's at the back end of next

34:42

year let me let

34:44

me we will begin non uh you know begin

34:49

operations before that but uh we will

34:51

not being to buy a buy a ticket have you

34:54

figured out the flight profile that

34:55

you're going to start with like it's

34:56

airport to X or something like that or

34:58

we have we have uh four ver ports that

35:00

are um uh that we're planning to build

35:03

in in Dubai and uh the RTA which is I

35:07

would like one from the airport to the

35:10

wind which opens in 2027 yeah from Dubai

35:13

to the new win it's a little far cuz

35:15

it's in rock so it's a little far away

35:17

there's a win in Dubai that's opening

35:19

opening a win that's we got to go we got

35:22

to

35:22

go oh kidding aside I want to talk to

35:26

you guys we talked yesterday with about

35:28

this you know he said it's taken longer

35:30

to get approval to launch Starship than

35:31

it did to take launch so this sort of

35:33

push on regulatory we're hearing over

35:35

and over again you work with the FAA

35:37

closely um can you just describe the

35:40

path to bring them along get the

35:43

certifications that you need um and how

35:46

much of a push or a pull that is in each

35:48

of your businesses yeah I mean I guess

35:49

I'll just start you know obviously um

35:51

from the autonomy standpoint

35:53

specifically you know we're really we're

35:55

trying to push the frontier and so

35:57

whenever whenever you're engaging with a

35:58

regulator no matter if it's Aviation or

36:00

if it's biotech or some other thing if

36:02

you're really really on the frontier it

36:04

means that that the regulator doesn't

36:07

necessarily understand the technology

36:09

any better than you do and so part of it

36:11

needs to be kind of a journey where

36:13

you're going together to really learn

36:15

how to make it safe at some point um you

36:18

need to be regulated you know there

36:19

there needs to be a process of you

36:21

putting forth um you know the engaging

36:23

in what what are the requirements you

36:25

putting forth here's how we're going to

36:26

meet those requirements and then as a

36:27

process I think that you know honestly

36:30

from my standpoint that actually works

36:33

okay um I just wish that it was a little

36:36

more responsive or engaging on some of

36:39

the like deep technical subjects that we

36:41

have to advance do they have the people

36:42

inside the that's part of the challenge

36:44

so part of the challenge is that is that

36:46

in aviation partially because of what

36:48

Peter teal said yesterday you know

36:50

there's sort of a generation of you know

36:51

if you went into Aviation when I went

36:53

into Aviation the demographics were

36:55

completely upside down people you know

36:57

people were retiring new people weren't

36:59

coming into the industry and so all many

37:01

of the experts in the fa that that have

37:03

regulated some of these systems that

37:05

have created really safe airplanes have

37:07

retired um there's a lot of new people

37:09

coming into the industry which is great

37:11

but um don't necessarily have the

37:13

expertise of having built some of the

37:14

systems that we're now building and so

37:16

there's some way that we almost need to

37:18

get people to come through the industry

37:20

and then I think this is a really

37:21

important point and it's countered to

37:24

what RFK Jr has been saying over and

37:26

over again and this is why I I push back

37:28

on him I'm sorry this is off topic there

37:31

there is a very important reason to have

37:33

people from industry become part of the

37:37

regulatory framework for regulating the

37:39

industry because if they don't they

37:41

don't know how and they're going to have

37:43

a a complete aversion to embracing

37:45

technological innovation that's why I

37:47

think it's important that there is a

37:48

rotation of people that are you know

37:51

consequentially not economically

37:52

motivated in some way but that

37:55

understand the technology and can

37:56

motivated but in that let me ask you

37:58

guys in markets where there is a

38:00

regulatory framework that allows for

38:02

Accelerated output of innovation let's

38:04

take China for an example um there's a

38:06

good ab test maybe underway right now

38:09

what companies are doing eval technology

38:11

in China how good are they and then

38:13

given the way that the Chinese

38:14

government can kind of step in and

38:16

accelerate outcomes are we going to see

38:18

and are we seeing uball and Technology

38:20

you know kind of coming to Market fast

38:22

and in a kind of accelerated way in

38:24

China like we're seeing with nuclear and

38:26

other tools that the government is a

38:27

priority in a mandate yeah I mean you

38:29

have you have ehang and autoflight and

38:31

they uhin and you know a bunch of them

38:33

are making great progress there's a lot

38:35

of enthusiasm in China the regulatory uh

38:38

pathway there is uh uh more forward

38:41

leaning I I think as as Adam pointed out

38:44

and uh I think you're going to see more

38:47

more rapid iter iteration I think the

38:49

good news here in the US is that the fa

38:51

is uh in the process of releasing

38:53

something called Mosaic which for

38:55

aircraft that are smaller than ours uh

38:58

aircraft with with like two passengers

39:00

in them more of a personal ownership

39:01

type of thing that's going to allow much

39:03

more uh rapid development and a lighter

39:06

a lighter touch from the fa just to put

39:09

this in context the fa has done I think

39:11

an incredible job and they've really

39:12

been leaning in when I went and first

39:14

talked to them in 2009 they they thought

39:17

this was like absolutely crazy like they

39:19

just did not think we were going to be

39:21

able to build an electric air aircraft

39:23

let alone one that could take off and

39:25

land vertically and which was quiet and

39:27

all these all these different dimensions

39:29

we then you know began working with them

39:31

regularly in 2015 uh began formal

39:33

certification 2018 had uh stage 4 G1 and

39:37

in 2020 G2 uh and and then G3 and now

39:42

we're working on stage four so it you

39:44

know with each uh you know we are

39:47

building momentum we are writing all the

39:49

rules uh it's very heavy lifting uh

39:54

and told me once he uh cuz has been kind

39:58

of the first through the through the

39:59

pipeline there and he said I feel like a

40:00

pipe cleaner for for how to certify

40:02

these things and uh I guess I there's

40:04

one thing I would just throw into the

40:05

regulatory like context just just

40:07

because I I think you're bringing up a

40:08

good point is it's not like these things

40:10

were sitting on the shelf and and a

40:12

regulator was sitting somewhere saying

40:14

you can't use that we have been on a

40:16

journey that we just all talked about

40:18

getting these things ready so they're

40:20

now just at the point where they're

40:22

ready and the question is can we take

40:25

that first step in the US to really get

40:27

it done and does the US do they approach

40:30

that from a culture of let's just try

40:33

something if we get it wrong we can

40:35

iterate it or it's is it more we must

40:38

get this right because there's all kinds

40:40

of consequences political or other it's

40:42

so much more simple than that they want

40:43

to do it the people at the top are

40:45

actually genuinely very excited former

40:48

fa administrator Billy Nolan stepped

40:50

down from his role joined Archer the new

40:52

one Mike Whitaker came from an e talk

40:55

company they were very excited to do it

40:57

the challeng is with probably most

40:59

regulatory you know setups is not a lot

41:02

of incentive it's not like there's a

41:03

downside to not doing it a lot of

41:05

disincentive to do it meaning if

41:06

something goes bad it's there's only

41:08

downside there and it's a slog and it's

41:10

hard like this is hard this is not easy

41:12

to go through all this there's the

41:14

incentives are not great and then on top

41:16

of all of it there's no policy saying

41:19

hey America needs to be Innovative we

41:21

need to go do this let's go and get it

41:22

why is there no mandate like it would be

41:24

great if some leader said

41:27

you guys need to get this done and we

41:30

need to have these things flying safely

41:31

in the next 36 months like how does that

41:35

happen in our current system I can

41:36

understand Happ Trump literally put out

41:38

a video on it he put out a video agenda

41:40

number whatever 39 or something like

41:42

that where he talked about building

41:43

future cities I'm guessing he went to

41:45

Dubai and then I'm sorry but is that

41:47

something Adam that we could change

41:49

through an executive order I think it's

41:51

culture you have to change meaning like

41:53

we will do this and break down all the

41:55

barriers to get it done because it's

41:57

it's not that hard like you can like

41:59

we've all laid out the rules to certify

42:01

like why can't you let us just go do the

42:02

tests and then if we do the tests you

42:04

check them off we're

42:05

good that if you're a bureaucrat if

42:08

you're working in one of these

42:09

organizations if it goes poorly you're

42:12

in big trouble if it goes well are you

42:15

well the SEC had you know this mandate

42:17

it's very similar to you know allow more

42:20

accredited investors sophisticated

42:21

investors allow people you know to to

42:23

take tests and to just allow more access

42:26

to private companies and invest which

42:27

would be good for a company and they and

42:29

they have slow walked it so I think

42:32

that's part of the problem is just to

42:34

build on what ad okay let's just say the

42:35

SEC doesn't do anything it or they do it

42:38

and they make a mistake nobody at the

42:39

SEC will get fired just like I I don't

42:42

think the culture is that if you know

42:44

something if a commercial airline has an

42:46

issue or for example in the 73 Max 737

42:49

Max issue did more people at Boeing get

42:51

fired did more people at the FAA get

42:53

fired or did nobody get fired nobody

42:55

Aviation Aviation is different on the

42:57

like in the comparison with the SEC as

42:59

an example like Aviation is different

43:00

like actually Aerospace is different and

43:02

and and I would just call out one thing

43:04

that I saw on the stage yesterday which

43:05

which really hit me if you saw elon's

43:07

face when he talked about the safety of

43:10

the astronaut like you saw his face he

43:12

was almost crying yes he was almost

43:13

crying and that's what Aerospace is all

43:16

about and so I there is a um the the

43:19

reason that the industry has been able

43:21

to get to that unbelievable statistic

43:23

that I just talked about is that it's

43:25

gone through all accidents it's gone

43:28

through terrible things that have

43:29

happened and have turned into the rules

43:31

that we are now all being regulated

43:33

towards what's happening now is that

43:35

we're showing up with new technology so

43:37

I'll give you an example like

43:38

regulations they currently say the pilot

43:40

shall do X and it says that you know 50

43:43

times Well we don't have a pilot and so

43:45

when we're showing up we have to kind of

43:46

rewrite what that is I understand why it

43:48

says the pilot shall do X it says that

43:50

because there were accidents in the past

43:52

that have now been regulated out of

43:53

existence but you're also looking at it

43:55

from the the negative point of view how

43:57

many lives could be saved if we got this

43:59

stuff into pick a country India or

44:02

Africa we could bring clean water and

44:03

medicine and supplies to people disaster

44:06

relief it doesn't cost $10,000 an hour

44:08

to fly a Blackhawk anymore into some

44:10

disaster relief situ situation costs

44:12

$500 an hour and we can send 50

44:14

immediately and they're always available

44:16

the uptime is super huge and so I

44:18

actually think you could save a lot of

44:19

lives too if you what about saving lives

44:22

here in the US we we lose 40,000 people

44:24

every year on the roads which is insane

44:26

uh and we fly almost as many miles as we

44:29

drive so like driving is more than

44:32

10,000 times more dangerous per

44:34

passenger mile than flying is so we can

44:37

actually by moving people into the air

44:39

for their daily Transportation make the

44:42

you know save thousands and tens of

44:44

thousands of lives but we need to get

44:46

the technology out there we need to

44:48

start learning I hope uh Peter teal had

44:50

it wrong and we are going to get flying

44:51

cars in the next couple of years and I

44:53

want to thank you all for being here

44:54

please join me in thaning our

44:57

than

Interactive Summary

This video features a discussion with leaders from three electric vertical takeoff and landing (eVTOL) companies: Archer, Joby, and Wisk. They discuss the current state of urban air mobility, the technological advancements in electric propulsion and autonomy that make these aircraft viable, and the challenges they face regarding regulation and public adoption. Despite the significant progress in testing and safety, the panelists highlight the difficulty of navigating the regulatory landscape in the United States compared to international markets, while emphasizing the potential for these aircraft to revolutionize transportation and save lives by replacing dangerous road travel with safer, more efficient air alternatives.

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