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Path of Exile 2 - Chancing SIX Tabs of Belts

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Path of Exile 2 - Chancing SIX Tabs of Belts

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317 segments

0:00

Everyone, and a welcome to another

0:02

Chancing video, a real Chancing video

0:06

with a belts today. We haven't had one

0:08

of these in a couple weeks, so I thought

0:10

it was time to potentially throw away

0:13

another 100 divines. And today, we have

0:15

something we've never done before

0:17

technically, because we're going in with

0:20

utility belts today. I have 450 of these

0:24

prepared, and I mean, we already know

0:27

I'm not greedy. So, we can just take a

0:28

look at the stash tabs. Now, I have a

0:30

stash tab for Mageblood one and

0:33

Mageblood's two, three, and four. Again,

0:35

you just just a couple of those. I'm not

0:37

greedy. And because of my lack of stash

0:39

tab space, I also have a few more in

0:41

here. So, we're going to get through all

0:43

of these. So, we have six tabs worth of

0:46

utility belts, and then I have 18 more

0:48

in my inventory, which brings us to 450.

0:52

And before we get started, of course, we

0:54

will take a look at the write-down,

0:56

because the cost for this it's 85

0:59

divines. I am including the gold cost,

1:02

3.5

1:03

million gold to exchange divines into

1:07

exalts, so I could buy these utility

1:10

belts at 50 exalts a piece. It is not

1:13

cheap. And then, of course, we have

1:14

450,000 gold for the chance orbs. These

1:18

are 1,000 gold a piece. So, the gold

1:21

cost does add quite a bit of value.

1:23

Again, this is like seven castaways

1:25

worth of gold. That's the standard that

1:28

I use when calculating the gold cost.

1:30

So, my total input is about 85 divines.

1:34

I guess technically 70 if we're not

1:36

including the gold cost. But, what we're

1:38

looking for is a Mageblood value in

1:41

divines, 600.

1:44

So, we'll see if we can't get one of

1:45

these today. And then, of course, you

1:47

can see down here I have my Chancing

1:49

stats. Now, this is from like 0.4, 0.3,

1:54

and the glory days when we could chance

1:57

a head hunter every 150 belts.

2:00

Unfortunately, those days are behind us

2:03

because if we just scroll down here, my

2:06

new chancing stats for 0.5, we are over

2:09

600 belts and nothing. It's honestly

2:12

probably like a one in maybe 5,000

2:17

to chance a Mageblood if I had to guess.

2:21

I hope it's not even lower, but I think

2:23

that's enough talking. I think we can

2:25

get into this. Let's get rid of these

2:26

first couple in my inventory so I can

2:29

withdraw a couple more orbs of chance.

2:31

All right, chance orbs at the ready. The

2:34

first couple, come on, let's just just

2:38

just give me a Mageblood and then I can

2:39

just bulk sell the rest of these bolts.

2:42

Bolts? These belts.

2:44

Come on.

2:46

Wait for it.

2:49

We're stockpiling RNG right now. That's

2:52

fine. Let me withdraw a couple more of

2:54

these and now it is time. Chance orbs at

2:59

the ready. We go side to side. Going up

3:01

and down doesn't seem to be working. The

3:03

first hit. That's not a bad start. That

3:06

is not a bad start. We take that. All

3:08

right, the RNG is ramping. Going side to

3:11

side seems to be working.

3:14

Okay, let's speed this up. We actually

3:16

have quite a few belts to get through

3:18

today. Oh no, what's going on? Okay,

3:20

there's the second hit. I back to back.

3:23

Wait a minute. You know what? I think

3:25

we're going to do it today. That's I'm

3:26

just going to say it. I'm saying it

3:27

right now. I think I think we're going

3:29

to do it.

3:31

Come on.

3:33

I'm feeling lucky.

3:38

Okay, three hits. We take that.

3:41

A fourth?

3:42

Oh, yeah.

3:44

Wait a minute.

3:46

Five?

3:47

Chancing might have been shadow buffed.

3:53

More back-to-backs. Wait. Wait a minute.

4:00

It's not looking bad. Not yet. We have

4:02

five more tabs to get through. And that

4:05

was seven hits. Maybe we can get another

4:08

seven hits on this page. You know, lucky

4:10

sevens. Okay, going side to side does

4:13

seem to be working. We continue. We'll

4:15

start from the middle, the top

4:17

middle-ish.

4:19

Come on. Another seven hits.

4:23

Wait a minute.

4:25

It was going Okay, maybe starting from

4:26

the middle isn't working. Let's Let's go

4:28

from the bottom, side to side. Okay,

4:31

back-to-back again.

4:33

Wait a minute. Come on.

4:36

Maybe can we get Can we get three in a

4:37

row, maybe?

4:39

Come on. No, that that might be

4:42

Okay, there's another one.

4:44

Okay, there's three.

4:46

Four. Okay, three more. Lucky sevens.

4:49

Lucky sevens.

4:52

We have a couple more belts up here.

4:54

Five. So, back-to-back. Wait a minute.

4:58

Okay, come on. Three in a row. Bang.

5:02

Unlucky.

5:04

Okay, we need one more. We need one more

5:07

hit. Lucky sevens. Come on.

5:11

Please. Don't do it.

5:13

No. The RNG is gone. GG. Now, I need 2

5:18

minutes to reload these tabs.

5:21

Unfortunately, we cannot just chance

5:23

items that are in a guild stash tab. So,

5:26

I will be right back. All right, we are

5:29

back with a round two. Lucky sevens.

5:32

Come on. Where's the jackpot? Let's

5:35

start from the top this time.

5:38

And we're off.

5:40

Chance orbs at the ready.

5:43

Another hit.

5:47

Come on. Just

5:49

just be a Mage blood. It is okay.

5:52

It is okay to be a Mage blood. You don't

5:54

You don't have to be shy.

5:57

There's four hits. Wait a minute.

6:03

What if we just keep going right to

6:05

left? Maybe that is the uh the secret

6:07

formula that we're looking for.

6:12

Oh, no. Okay, that doesn't seem to be

6:14

working. Let's go left to right.

6:17

Oh, no.

6:20

Okay, so we got seven hits the first

6:21

time on the first page. We got uh six

6:24

hits on the second page. And now we're

6:26

down to five hits on the third page. I'm

6:29

going to be honest, I don't like where

6:30

this is going. Let's uh instead of going

6:32

down, what if we went up? All right, I

6:36

like that idea. Let's see. We'll go from

6:39

the bottom this time. We continue going

6:41

left to right. I think the RNG was a

6:43

little bit better going left to right.

6:46

Oh, there's one.

6:49

All right, come on. Where are the

6:51

back-to-backs? There's two.

6:57

Hey, come on. A couple more. There's

6:58

three. Just every other row.

7:02

That's something.

7:04

Okay, wait. We're ramping. There's four.

7:08

Five. Wait a minute.

7:13

Come on. Seven is the mark to beat.

7:17

Okay, come on. Last two rows.

7:21

Come on. Six.

7:24

I don't like where the RNG is going. I'm

7:25

going to be completely honest. [music]

7:27

But, we're not done yet. We have two

7:30

pages left. So, once again, I will be

7:33

right back while I reload these two

7:36

tabs. I have returned with the last two

7:40

tabs. Mage blood, please. I'm asking

7:44

nicely now. I think maybe going side to

7:46

side isn't working. I think we might

7:48

need to mix this up. Okay, from the

7:50

bottom right.

7:54

Come on, let's get a little freaky with

7:56

this.

7:57

And then and then we'll go this way.

8:02

Wait a minute. There's a hit. Come on,

8:04

seven is the mark to beat.

8:10

Let's go this way. I think the RNG has

8:13

gotten worse.

8:15

Okay, we might we might just keep going

8:17

side to side. It's looking It's looking

8:19

real bad right now.

8:21

Wait a minute. There's another hit.

8:23

It's not over yet. Look at how nice this

8:26

looks though. I think we will continue

8:28

going this way.

8:33

It's looking a lot worse though. I'm

8:36

going to be honest. Okay, there's three

8:37

hits.

8:40

The number of hits per page seems to be

8:43

decreasing the longer we do this.

8:46

So, we started at seven.

8:49

And then we got six.

8:51

And then we got two fives. And now we're

8:54

down to three hits

8:56

for this page, which means

8:59

we're going to probably get one hit for

9:01

this page and it's going to be the

9:03

Mageblood. You know what? I think it's

9:06

time we take out old reliable. We go

9:09

from the bottom. We go straight up.

9:13

It worked last league.

9:15

Here we go. Finish strong.

9:21

Wait, the RNG's It's just getting worse

9:23

every page. Why?

9:27

We continue.

9:30

Please, not like this.

9:33

Wait, there's a back-to-back.

9:35

Wait a minute, the three peat. Where are

9:38

you?

9:39

One second.

9:41

Where are you?

9:43

Right there. Bang.

9:46

Unfortunate.

9:48

We continue.

9:50

It's been a while since we've gotten a

9:52

back-to-back though. We take that.

9:57

Okay, we're down to we're two hits on

10:00

this page. It's not over yet though.

10:04

The last 24

10:06

belts.

10:09

The RNG has just gotten Wait a minute,

10:12

there's three hits. Okay, it's not It

10:15

hasn't gotten worse. Well, it has gotten

10:18

progressively worse. Seven hits to six

10:21

to two fives and we're currently at two

10:24

threes. What is the secret recipe? What

10:27

is the Krabby Patty secret formula to

10:29

making this work? Side to side doesn't

10:31

work. Diagonally doesn't work. Up and

10:34

down doesn't work. What is left? Maybe

10:36

we just get a little freaky with it. You

10:38

just right there. This one, maybe this

10:41

one. Just just everywhere. It doesn't

10:45

matter.

10:46

Wait for it. Three hits.

10:50

It's not looking good. It is not looking

10:52

good. The RNG just progressively got

10:55

worse and worse and worse, but we're not

10:58

done yet. I never lose. Maybe you've

11:01

forgotten. I have a couple more belts

11:03

that I've been picking up. So, we need a

11:05

couple Omen's of the Ancients. We'll go

11:08

to this tab. We'll activate these. Now,

11:10

these are all belts that I've picking

11:12

up. Come on.

11:14

There's a couple hits. Some Soul

11:17

Tethers.

11:18

Not the utility belts.

11:21

Come on.

11:22

It's not over. One second, let's put

11:25

these away.

11:26

Two belts left. Bang.

11:30

Why? It's always the last belt is a hit,

11:34

but it's never the hit we want it to be.

11:36

But, we're not done yet. Remember, I've

11:39

never lost before in my life. Fact, by

11:43

the way. We have one belt left, which

11:46

was donated to me, and this is going to

11:49

be the big hit. Wait for it.

11:57

One second, let me put on my reading

11:58

glasses. I'm having a hard time seeing.

12:00

Uh

12:01

Where did Where did my mage blood go?

12:03

Interesting. Maybe that was like a

12:05

visual glitch or something. I'll try to

12:07

submit like a lost item claim or

12:08

something. GGG, I just lost 450 utility

12:11

belts. Could you restore them, please?

12:13

Do we think that would work? But, we're

12:15

not done yet. We have one final thing

12:18

left to try. I'm about to invent new

12:21

tech. We just withdraw all of these.

12:24

Almost a full tab of hits, though.

12:27

That's not bad. 29 hits. Let's just

12:29

reforge these into a mage blood. It's

12:31

that easy. Bang. All right, that's fine.

12:36

This works. 100% it does.

12:39

Just you wait.

12:41

Believe.

12:43

Please.

12:45

Come on.

12:47

Come on. Imagine like you could reforge

12:51

an item into another into another

12:53

completely different item. We just have

12:55

to believe. Come on, GGG. Tell me Tell

12:59

me this is possible.

13:01

Wait for it.

13:03

Come on. I'm seeing not a lot of head

13:05

hunters. And by head hunters, I mean

13:07

mage bloods.

13:10

Come on. Believe.

13:14

We have just enough for one more. The

13:16

last belt.

13:18

Is that a Is that One second, is that a

13:20

Is that a mage blood? I don't think it

13:21

is. Well, we can plug this into the uh

13:25

into the right down. Let's see. Mage

13:28

We got second, we got zero of these. The

13:31

total output was second, what It looks

13:34

like zero divines, unfortunately. We can

13:37

add our belts to the chancing stats. So,

13:40

we've now done 606

13:43

of these now. We are over 1,000 belts

13:45

dry. It's not looking good, but again,

13:47

we know going into this the chance is

13:50

like 1 in 5,000. We do this for fun. We

13:53

might get one more of these videos in

13:56

another couple weeks when I feel like

13:58

buying another 600 belts and losing

14:00

another 100 div. But for now, I think we

14:04

are just about done for today. So, as

14:06

always everyone, take care.

Interactive Summary

The video documents an attempt to obtain a Mageblood unique belt in Path of Exile by chancing 450 utility belts. The creator tracks their process, experiments with different chancing patterns, and discusses the high investment cost versus the slim odds, ultimately concluding the attempt without success while adding the results to their ongoing dry-streak statistics.

Suggested questions

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