Science Corner Special! David Friedberg, Cleo Abram, Alex Filippenko, and Keller Rinaudo Cliffton
1865 segments
Good morning.
Where are my besties? They are not here.
What does that mean?
Science corner.
I have a guest host because my besties
abandoned me for Science Corner. Let's
see who it is.
>> Leo, you're one of the fastest growing
channels on YouTube right now.
>> Former box journalist that left to go
independent on YouTube. She went from 0
to 5 million subscribers in just 3
years.
>> I don't know many other YouTube creators
who are going to go to those lengths.
>> There's a lot of very lucrative
fear-mongering going on. That's why I
want to bring a more optimistic point of
view into the conversation to help
people imagine what could go right.
That's why I went independent.
>> Ladies and gentlemen, please welcome
Cleo Abram.
[Music]
Welcome. Thank you. Thanks for being
here.
>> Thanks for having me.
>> Grab a seat. You were here all day
yesterday.
>> Yeah.
>> How was it?
>> Having a great time. This is my first
All-In Summit. I'm so excited to be
here.
>> Welcome. So, Cleo, you have 6 million
subscribers on your YouTube channel. We
have under a million. Thank you for
having us on your show.
>> Welcome.
How did you do it? What happened? So,
you you were at Vox before.
>> I was. Yeah.
>> And you were an independent director. I
mean, you were doing other projects.
Tell us how you set up this channel on
YouTube, why you did it, and how did it
get so big so fast?
>> Yeah. Huge if True seems to me to be a
bit of a microcosm of this big shift
that we're in with media generally right
now. I was at a media company um and
making what we call explainer
journalism. So taking complicated issues
and making them understandable both to
me and to millions of people. And I went
independent to start this show because
there was something that I felt like I
was missing when I looked out into my
media diet. I really wanted to find a
show that was optimistic that helped me
see where were the people that are
working on hard problems, making them
better every day in a way that I could
understand and I could participate in.
So, I left the media company where I
was, started this show, and had the
opportunity because of what YouTube
offers to reach a global audience very
quickly and find out, oh my god, I'm not
alone. Oh my god, there are millions of
people that also want this kind of show.
And YouTube made that bet that if you
allow anyone to create their best
creative work, the most the widest
audience will watch. And so YouTube has
become in the last 18 months, I think,
the most watched streaming platform on
televisions. So, we're in the middle of
this big moment of change in media and
how media gets made. Um, and I I don't
think most people know that it's really
happening. They know that YouTube shows
can get big, but they don't really
understand this shift that we're in. And
by the way, the shift is also very
exciting for streamers because they're
looking at this and they're saying, you
know, a Netflix of the world, I used to
make a Netflix show as well, can look at
this incredible new wealth of creativity
and IP and say, "Oh my god, who do we
want to work with to give, you know,
upfront
capital to make something that's even
bigger?"
something you and I have talked about
because if you're on Netflix today and
we're going to talk with Neil and Ari
today,
>> you can if you're an independent
director, you go to Netflix, they're
like, "Okay, we'll pay for your
production cost plus 10%." And it's like
quite different than what it used to be
like when you made friends, you could
make the show and then you could
eventually make like a VC. Like you can
make hundreds of millions of dollars if
it worked out and it became a a massive
show, but you're basically capped at
Netflix. But YouTube's quite different.
So there seems to be a financial or
economic incentive both creative freedom
but also this economic incentive to go
to YouTube. But then how does financing
happen? Like where can creators drive
the engine to fund and create new
content?
>> Well, most YouTubers have adfunded
businesses. And so what that requires is
you go out on your own as we did with
huge if true. We went independent. We
started this show. the show grows and
then you are able to get sponsors who in
turn fund better and better work and it
continues to scale. Um, the traditional
model of paying upfront for a show that
then the streamer owns offers something
very different and I think we're in an
interesting flexible moment of change
right now where a Netflix might say,
"Wow, we see a really exciting show on
YouTube. we want to allow that creator
to make something that is a version of
that IP that is bigger and we'll invest
in that upfront. And so what I think
we're seeing is for the same creator and
the same kind of IP, you can have a
really wonderful relationship between
the kind of show that you can make when
you can reach global audiences
immediately
>> and grow and see how far you can take it
with an advertising model. And then at
the same time, you might be able to take
that gem of an idea and say, "What would
I do if I had upfront capital?" So, I
think there's a really interesting way
in which these things all work together.
And some of the headlines make it seem
as as though this is, you know, an
antagonistic moment in media. I think
it's really great for everybody. I think
it's a really, really exciting. I'm also
the optimist, so of course I'm going to
say that.
>> Yeah. But I'm I'm actually curious to
hear what Neil thinks at YouTube. I know
you know him
>> because it opens up a window I think
right now for YouTube to suck up some of
the best content creators in the world
from the more traditional platforms
broadcast and streaming.
>> Yeah, it goes both ways.
>> Yeah. But so just talking about your
show um your show is so great because it
it really meets what I always say is
missing in media today, which is we've
got this deep sort of technimism.
Everyone thinks that technology always
has a catch. There's always something
bad emerging. Robots are going to kill
us all. AI is going to wipe out human
civilization. Nuclear power is going to
melt down and destroy neighborhoods.
Every point of technology has some
negative angle, but then that becomes
the cycle. You watch all the shows on
Netflix, you watch all the movies, Aaron
Brochovich, like the the ones that work,
the ones that seem to resonate, which
means that's what people truly kind of
want are the ones that talk about things
gone wrong. But your show is quite
different. And you talk about what if
things go right. Why do you think that
is resonating? And are we changing or is
it are you kind of capturing a a small
audience and the bigger one still sort
of technopessimistic?
>> Well, the best thing by far about making
this show is realizing that there are
millions of people out there that also
want that same kind of work. I mean, you
see it with Science Corner in so many
ways those are very similar in tone. And
I think from from my perspective when I
when I started this show, I really was
looking for a part of my media diet that
I wasn't getting anywhere else. And
that's what makes making something
yourself on YouTube so special. You're
creating something asking are there
millions of people out there like me?
And and the answer turns out to be yes.
With respect to optimistic science and
tech content specifically the reason why
I make it in the first place. We spend
months on these episodes. We travel all
around the world. We invest a huge
amount in the animations and the
technical explainers so that you can
understand without any background at all
quantum computing and the impacts
supersonic planes and how we're trying
to bring them back. Uh I was in a
zeroravity plane the other day trying to
explain the cutting edge of of gravity
research and theoretical physics. These
are things that millions of people can
understand if you explain them in the
right kinds of ways. And that's what we
try and do every day. And the reason why
we do that is because we genuinely
believe that when people see those
better futures, they'll help build them.
That's what I want to do. I'm not an
engineer. I'm not a scientist. I look
out at the world and I think, "Wow,
there are so many people working on hard
problems. I want to know how I can
participate." And so my hope is that's
what we're doing every day.
>> We used to have that after World War II.
>> I always tell people like uh the
Disneyland opened up in 1955. There's a
YouTube video called the Disney History
Institute. It's the channel and it shows
like what Tomorrowland was like when you
when Disney opened in 1955 and it was
all about like we're building this
better world with all of these crazy
technologies. Rockets to the moon,
plastic so we could all have cheap
furniture. Like there were all these
there was a crazy device that they had
in the kitchen called the microwave
where you could cook in 30 seconds so
you wouldn't have to like sit around and
cook for hours. But we've lost that. Um,
and I really hope that your content
resonates with more people and that we
get there again. So, Cleo's going to
join me this morning for two really fun
panels that we're going to have. Um, and
we're going to kick it off now.
We used to look up in the sky and wonder
at our place in the stars.
How thrilling must it be to truly
discover something or understand
something that no human on earth has
ever seen or understood? He was a member
of both the supernova cosmology project
and the high supernova search team to
discover that the universe is
accelerating. A leader in all of these
undertakings.
>> That's one of the big questions of
cosmology.
Ladies and gentlemen, please welcome
Alex Filipeno.
Wow.
Wow. This is so fantastic to see you all
here. Good morning, David. Uh, thank you
for inviting me to Science Corner. It's
such a pleasure. Most of you probably
don't know that in fact David was a
student of mine at UC Berkeley 28 years
ago and became an astrophysics major. In
fact, you know, so I feel like I had
some influence on him. I'll take some
credit. Uh, you know, uh, as Joe Sai
said yesterday, teachers want their
students to become more successful, to
become better than they are. Uh, and I
always knew that David would be very
successful in his career, but I didn't
know that he'd be quite this successful.
So, good good job, David. You know, I'd
also like to uh Yeah,
I'd also like to officially acknowledge
California's 175th birthday today,
California admission day. Uh so, yep, we
were told that yesterday and I looked it
up and it's true. So, you know,
California is be is beginning its uh
176th orbit around the sun. May may may
it be revolutionary, so to speak. Right.
Get it? Get it? Okay. Uh,
okay. Well, it's my pleasure to be uh
speaking today about the James Web Space
Telescope as just one example of an
amazing mission where humans are
pursuing science and exploring the
universe. It's an amazing device and uh
it's already brought us so many
interesting results. Now, it was
launched on Christmas Day 2021 aboard an
Aryan 5 rocket and it's a wonderful
example of how international
collaboration and cooperation in this
case between the US, Europe, and Canada,
can lead to incredible achievements in
very complex projects.
There are many comparisons with NASA and
issa's Hubble Space Telescope, which has
been serving us well for over three
decades. The primary one is that the web
has a much bigger mirror. And a mirror
can be thought of as a gigantic eyeball,
a collecting area that brings together
faint starlight from distant parts of
the universe. And so the bigger the
collecting area, the fainter the object
you can see. And web has six times the
collecting area of Hubble. So it's a
more powerful telescope.
Fundamentally, the web was designed to
explore our origins. Where did we come
from? How are we evolving? What's going
to happen far far in the future? How do
galaxies like the Milky Way galaxy form?
And how do they evolve with time? Now,
we know now that many galaxies merge
together like the group that you're
seeing here in a beautiful web image. By
the way, to the lower right of the word
time there, there's a star with a a
bunch of spikes. Ignore the spikes.
They're not beautiful. They're ugly,
okay? They're just a consequence of the
interaction of light with the telescope.
So, ignore the spikes. But here are a
bunch of merging galaxies. Now, the
first image NASA released publicly a
little over three years ago was of a
tiny part of the sky. Imagine a grain of
sand held at arms length. Imagine how
small that looks. Yet in that tiny patch
of the sky, there are thousands of
galaxies. These fuzzy things you see out
there, you can count them if you're if
you're interested. Over the whole sky,
we can see about a trillion galaxies, a
million million galaxies.
And some of them we see forming just a
few hundred million years after the
explosive birth of the universe, the
so-called big bang. And one of the
interesting aspects of this image is
that galaxies started forming and
evolving earlier than expected. And so
we're working on that interesting puzzle
right now.
How do stars like our sun form? Well,
they form in stellar nurseries. Giant
clouds of gas and dust. Fine little
particles that collect up as a result of
gravity. and the central densest regions
collapse and and form these stars. But
they're hidden from view when looked at
with most telescopes because we can't
peer through the dust. The web looking
at infrared wavelengths, heat
wavelengths is able to peer inside and
see newly formed stars and stars that
are still forming. We can also look at
discs of gas and dust around newly
forming stars. This is essentially the
mechanism by which our solar system
formed about 4 and a half billion years
ago. Debris around the newly formed sun
that collected gradually to form bigger
and bigger objects, planets.
All right. How about the death of stars?
This is a snapshot, a preview of the
sun's future in about 7 billion years
when the outer atmosphere will start
getting gently ejected off, leaving a
hot dying star in the middle that makes
the gases glow. The star, the fainter of
the two that you see there, looks faint
because there's dust, fine little
particles that have formed in the
ejected gases. These particles consist
of elements heavier than hydrogen and
helium that were cooked up in the
nuclear furnace of the star during its
life. These dust particles can later
form new stars, planets, and ultimately
life. And to get most of the heavy
elements, you need the explosions, the
cataclysmic disruptions of certain
varieties of stars at the end of their
lives. our sun won't explode in this
titanic way, but some do. And here's one
that we started studying about 40 years
ago. Analysis of the web data shows the
kinds of elements of which we are made.
The calcium in our bones, the phosphorus
in our DNA, the oxygen that we breathe,
the carbon in our cells, the iron in our
red blood cells. These elements were
created through nuclear reactions in
stars billions of years ago. And humans
understand that is that cosmic or what?
As Carl Sean used to say, we are made of
star stuff.
We can move closer to home and image
planets in our own solar system like
Neptune here with its moons and rings.
And those bright spots on Neptune are a
storm which has been developing. And so
you can monitor planetary storms and
come to a better understanding of
climate on Earth.
We can move to other stars and search
for planets orbiting them. So-called
exoplanets.
It turns out that nearly every star you
see in the sky has a collection of
planets around it. They're just really
hard to see here. To see it, the web
telescope had to place a disc in front
of the star where that little
five-pointed thing is in the circle,
revealing the exoplanet orbiting it. And
the hope is that through studies of the
atmospheres of these exoplanets, we will
find places where life could have arisen
and maybe even did arise independently
of life on Earth. And we don't have such
evidence yet. But once we do have
compelling evidence for life elsewhere,
it'll be one of the most monumental
discoveries in all of humanity.
Well, you could say this is all very
interesting, intellectually titillating,
but so what? Why spend national funds on
pure research of this type, not applied
research that will lead in the short
term to new gizmos, pacemakers, and
iPhones and things like that? Why should
we pursue this kind of research with
taxpayer money? It's a legitimate
question. Okay. So, let me give you
three reasons. The first is that of all
known animals, humans are the only ones
with the curiosity to ask complex
questions, abstract questions, questions
about their very origins. And we have
the intellectual capability to pursue
answers to those questions and the hands
with the posible thumb with which to
build machines like telescopes and
particle colliders to help us answer
those questions. If some subset of
humanity were to not do this, we would
be selling ourselves short as homo
sapiens. Now, you don't need many of us,
but it's good to have some. The second
point is that astronomy is a gateway
science. It's like the bug that bites
kids and gets them interested in STEM
fields. Most won't go on to become
astrophysicists. Okay? Again, that's an
okay thing. But they'll be more
motivated to pursue fields of science
and technology which will lead them to
careers that are more immediately
beneficial to society. computer science,
engineering, medical physics, applied
physics, those sorts of things. I see
this all the time as a board member of
the Shabbo Space and Science Center and
also at Lick Observatory in the hills
east of Silicon Valley where I conduct
much of my research and public outreach.
Kids love this stuff. Just like I and
some of my friends were inspired in our
youth by the American lunar landings.
What an amazing accomplishment that was.
We are on the moon. Wouldn't it be great
to contribute to this grand enterprise
and go boldly where no one has gone
before? It's just an an incredibly
inspiring uh moment and
the Hubble and web and things like that
are providing that moment for kids now.
And then there are the technological
spin-offs and unanticipated applications
like quantum physics for the latter.
Over a century ago, there were two
outstanding questions in physics. What
is the nature of light? And why are
atoms stable? And you could say, well,
as long as we know how to make light
bulbs and as long as the floor doesn't
collapse underneath me, who cares what
light really is and why atoms are
stable? You don't need to know, do you?
Well, physicists over a century ago like
Einstein, Schroinger, Heisenberg, Boore,
Plunk, they cared about the workings of
nature simply to satisfy their
curiosity.
No practical applications immediately in
sight. Fast forward a century, you
couldn't imagine today's world without
an understanding of quantum physics. One
example, lasers, a 13.5 billion dollar
industry in the US with innumerable
applications.
Computer chips. Moore's law with three
and even two nanometers per pixel. Now
we have the equivalent of half a billion
transistors on the head of a pin. That
is amazing. That's quantum mechanics,
folks. quantum quantum electronics. And
then specifically from something like
the web, lots of uh spin-offs, infrared
detectors, similar ones are now used in
medical imaging, night vision systems,
and environmental monitoring.
Cryogenetic engineering, you had to cool
down the telescope. This led to advances
in cooling systems now used in quantum
computing, uh superconducting
electronics, medical imaging, and so on.
And as just one other example in many
precision optics and materials segmented
goldcoated mirrors and deployment
mechanisms for the web led to
innovations in robotics metrology and u
high precision manufacturing. So those
are just some of the spin-offs from the
web itself. So I hope I've convinced you
that spending some small amount of money
on research of this type is exciting, is
important, extends our grand vision as
pioneers of the universe exploring our
origins. And to give you just a sense of
scale, over a 10 bill o over 10 years,
the $10 billion cost of the web was one
$6 hamburger per US taxpayer per year.
That's what you contributed to the web.
Thank you very much. I hope that you
feel it was worth it, okay, to give up
this one hamburger. Now, listen. Um, if
you're interested in this sort of stuff,
I give much longer talks with more
details to corporate groups and others.
Just contact me if you're interested.
Thank you so so much for being here.
[Music]
>> Thanks, Alex.
>> All right. Good to see you. Grab a seat.
So, Alex, you are one of the world's
greatest scientists and science
communicators. So, David and I have
prepared a set of rapid fire questions
for you.
>> I'll give rapid fire answers
>> based on what our audience might have
seen in headlines or might be
understanding and want to know more
about about not just James Webb but
generally.
>> Yes. I just gave one example of web
time. Yeah.
>> Mhm.
>> Yeah. So, one of the places I want to
start is searching for life on
exoplanets. I think many people might
understand that James Webb is doing that
but might not fully understand how and
what the implications might be. So as a
way to understand this if we were
looking at Earth from 100 light years
away.
>> Yeah.
>> What would we see and how would we
understand that as life?
>> Yeah. Yeah. So what you want to find is
some sort of chemical disequilibrium.
Now that sounds fancy but what do I
mean? In the case of the atmosphere of
Earth, the simultaneous presence of
oxygen and methane is very curious
because methane oxidizes. That is, it
reacts with oxygen very quickly. And so,
you wouldn't expect any methane in the
atmosphere unless there were some more
or less continuous source of that
methane. And although methane can be
produced through chemical means having
nothing to do with biology, it's also
produced by biology. uh you know Carl
Sean called it boine flatulence right uh
so it's the decay of uh of biological
organisms and so if we were to find that
in another exoplanet atmosphere that
wouldn't be absolutely definitive but it
would be sort of a a flash point wow we
better study that planet more because
that's one that could have life yeah
>> and we're seeing that
>> yeah we're beginning to see that we've
not seen methane and oxygen in any other
uh planetary atmosphere yet but Um uh
certainly there there are interesting
signs of of elements that are reported
by the web through these kinds of
atmospheric studies.
>> One of the other big discoveries with
the web was these early massive
galaxies.
>> Yeah. I mentioned the early massive
galaxies. Yeah.
>> And there was a paper that followed.
Yeah. You and I talked about this and
there's been a lot of social media and
nerdy YouTube videos. Yeah. about this
paper and the theory that these early
massive galaxies may actually disprove
the big bang theory by saying these
early massive galaxies are responsible
or account for what we see as what's
called the cosmic microwave background
radiation which may mean that the what
we assumed was coming from the early
universe from the big bang may actually
come from these galaxies and it's like
do we have it all wrong we may and these
papers are getting a lot of attention is
the b big big bang theory disproven
moving now with this discovery.
>> The the big bang theory is in on is on
very solid ground. There are many
details we don't understand. The basic
tenets, however, of the theory are just
three-fold. The universe long ago was
hot. It was dense and it was expanding.
Nothing in those studies
uh contradicts any of that. Uh as I
mentioned, the early formation of
galaxies is an interesting puzzle. It
means that our understanding of how
galaxies formed and evolved is still
incomplete. But that's part of the fun
of doing science. There's new things.
You know, the cosmic microwave
background radiation is the the
afterglow of the big bang. And it turns
out it uh agrees to very high precision
with a very single temperature. Meaning
that the universe everywhere was the
same temperature then expanded by the
same amount and we see see the same
temperature everywhere. There's no way
you can do that with galaxies forming at
a range of times and distances. They
would each contribute light that would
not give this so-called black body
thermal spectrum. And there are many
other details of the microwave
background, the spots and stuff that are
not at all addressed. So, a lot of these
theories, you know, as scientists, we
can dream up things and we just kind of
put them out there to be explored more.
But of course, the media likes to
highlight the the really snazzy sounding
things. And so sometimes, often the very
speculative ideas get way too much
attention. We're exploring them, but
they're probably wrong.
>> Yeah.
>> Okay.
>> Yeah. Okay.
>> So, I don't need to throw out what I
learned in high school.
>> No, no. The Big Bang is on very solid
ground.
>> What about the theories coming out?
We've been talking a little bit about
this um on whether or not we are inside
a black hole.
>> Oh yeah. Are we inside a black hole?
Yeah. So a black hole is a region of
space where matter is compressed so much
that nothing not even light can escape.
And it turns out that in a sense our
universe, if you look at the total
amount of matter, dark matter and dark
energy and all that stuff, visible
matter in the volume out to which we can
see, okay, that has uh about the right
value to make the universe as a whole,
wh
it resembling a black hole, h
that would mean that our universe is
finite. We don't actually know whether
it's finite or infinite. We actually
only know that it's much bigger than
what we can see. And mathematically
there is some correspondence between the
equations governing a black hole and
those governing the universe. But there
are some important differences like a
black hole is a physical structure
within our four space-time dimensions
like right here. Whereas applying that
to the whole universe is um it's a
qualitatively different idea. But there
are some mathematical correspondences
that um that that are useful and
interesting. I personally doubt that we
are uh a a giant black hole. Some people
say it's actually a black hole that was
given birth
from another universe. And for that
there's really no evidence. Um,
>> but Alex, one of the the many things
that blows my mind about astrophysics
and cosmology, the further out we look,
the faster objects are moving away from
us
>> to a point that at a certain distance
from us, the objects in whatever
direction we look are moving away from
us at nearly the speed of light or even
faster. And so that becomes the
observational limit of our ability to
see or ultimately experience our
universe. That there's this boundary
that without crossing the speed of
light,
>> we will never get to and we will never
see what's beyond it.
>> Right?
>> That's our observable universe.
>> That feels pretty up.
>> Well, you know, space can become really
big. Okay. And in fact, you know, good
student, you asked me the right
question.
>> You need some help?
>> Ah, thank you very much, my assistant.
Okay, so I've got these galaxies here.
They don't expand, by the way. They're
held together by by gravity in in the
case of real galaxies, but then the hose
between them expands. So, let's expand
it here. Try not to aim at your eyes or
David's eyes. That would be very bad
lawsuits and stuff. But anyway, from the
perspective of our galaxy here, the the
more distant ones, you know, with each
bit of space expanding can and do go
away faster than the speed of light. And
Einstein wouldn't wrap me on the
knuckles for that. Einstein simply said
that no material object or no
information can travel through a
pre-existing space faster than light.
But space itself expanding, especially
if it expands exponentially, which we
think it did early on in its existence,
it grows faster than the speed of light,
and you get a truly humongous universe,
maybe even an infinite universe. And
yeah, most of it we can't see, but there
are other independent volumes out there
where we could be having this
conversation right now or or you could
not like what I said and punch me in the
face, but then I would respond by p
punching you in the face. In other
words, all these possibilities could
occur in these parallel observable
universes beyond the observable part
that we can see. And it's freaky, but
this is the kind of stuff we get to
think about. And I'll ask you the
question I asked you on the phone the
other day, which is there's mathematics
that shows that the geometry may be
inverses inside of a black hole or some
some some things are reversed or
inverse. What's the right term?
>> Right.
>> Therefore, is the expanding universe
that we see our version of being inside
of a black hole which is effectively an
accelerating contraction towards the
singularity.
>> Yeah. So um what David is referring to
is that if you look at the mathematics
of a black hole from our perspective,
what we call space and time outside
reverse their meaning. Um time becomes
space and space becomes time in terms of
directionality. So for example, if
you're in a black hole, there's no way
you can avoid the so-called singularity
where you get squished into nothing
because it's in your future no matter
what you do. Now applying that as you
wanted to do to the whole universe. I
don't think that the correspondence is
such that the expansion that we see is
the reversal effect of um this um going
toward the singularity because uh well
because of some technical issues. Again
if you look at the mathematics there are
some interesting correspondences but
they shouldn't be taken too too
literally in most cases.
>> Okay.
>> Yeah. So the question I would be
wondering if I were in the audience
listening to we have a expanding
universe. It is uh potentially infinite.
My question would be so where is
everybody?
>> Yeah. So yeah where are they all the
fairmy paradox?
>> Is the great filter in front of us is
the question.
>> Yeah. I actually think the great filter
is in front of us. That's a an idea
where uh civilizations such as ours
rarely get past this point uh where they
can achieve interstellar travel easily
and stuff. Something happens either
intentionally or unintentionally or
through neglect they get destroyed. All
right. And uh I I I actually think that
first life at our level is very rare.
I'm not saying we're alone, okay? But
very rare. And the second punch of the
one-two punch is that there's almost
always a great filter. And so rarely do
civilizations reach interstellar
capability to the extent where they
colonize a galaxy. If it had happened
even once in our Milky Way, we would
easily see the aliens here. Not just the
sketchy UFO evidence, okay, that's been
presented. Doesn't reach the bar of
credibility and science, by the way. Uh,
but we would be the aliens more likely,
right? Because they would already have
colonized Earth and we would have been
the aliens. So, I think they're
>> makes sense to maybe not travel and just
transmit information back and forth and
maybe we just don't know how to see or
understand the information that's being
sent our way and we don't know how to
transmit it.
>> Yeah, certainly communication techniques
could be different. So, I I'm not saying
we know at all. And, you know, there
could even be this dark forest where
they're intentionally,
you know, uh not transmitting toward us
cuz they don't want us to know about
them. They're sort of maybe even
pursuing us and stuff going to kill us
before we kill them. Um these are all
possibilities you know but um I think
the most likely in my view is that the
what I said and also the vastness of
space means that we wouldn't be able to
communicate or or hear from um aliens
that were much farther away than you
know 100 or a thousand lighty years and
the galaxy is 100,000 light years in uh
space in in extent. So unless they
colonize the galaxy, if they're very
rare, we won't see them because the the
signals are too faint and they haven't
had a chance to to get here. You know, I
>> I want to give you an opportunity to
share with us uh what's going on with
respect to hiring graduate students and
funding research right now.
>> Yeah.
>> I've heard from lots of scientists uh
that NIH grants have been cut.
>> Yeah.
>> And it's affecting their ability to hire
and build out their labs and do some of
their research. are you seeing the same
today and maybe just give us a sense of
on the ground what's going on with
respect to what you're seeing in
funding.
>> Yeah. Uh the issue is a very serious
one. Um in a sense, you know, science is
is under attack to some degree,
intentionally or unintentionally, maybe
part of a a broader thing. Uh but it's
it's having an enormous effect. The
number of National Science Foundation
graduate fellowships, for example, was
cut in half this year. NASA funding has
been cut in half and I'm all for going
to the moon and Mars. But if all of the
remaining NASA funding goes toward those
ideals, then nothing will be left for
professors and their students and
postocs to analyze the great data that
the Hubble and Web and all that are are
giving us and and various space
telescopes are now in jeopardy of not
being launched. The Nancy Grace Roman
telescope and stuff. So graduate schools
are um now reluctant to to accept new
graduate students and to hire new
postocs because frankly we don't have
the funding with which to do so. And I'm
personally very worried about my own
research group. I'm not taking on any
new researchers until I personally can
fund my existing group. That's got to be
my my primary concern right now. and I
don't know how I'm going to do it, you
know, and others throughout my field and
even in a sense you could say more
immediately useful fields like NIH you
said, right? Cutting the funding there.
These are researchers who are going
doing things that are going to be good
for humanity soon, not these
unanticipated spin-offs. But the kind of
stuff I do should be supported as well.
>> Yeah. Well, um, you know, I was a
physics and math major. I don't know if
I would have gotten the math degree,
I'll be honest. But, um, I took Alex's
Astro 10 class cuz I was partying a
little bit too much that year and I'm
like, I got to take an easier class. I
heard it's a great 800 people in the
class. The most inspirational class I've
ever taken and every student that's
taken it says the same. And Alex became
nine times, 10 times, I don't know how
many times, the favorite professor at
Cal Berkeley. And I think you can all
understand why his contributions to
students and to science are profound.
So, please join me in thanking Alex.
>> Thank you. Thanks so much.
Regulators are now approving drone
deliveries.
>> There is one company that is huge in
this space. They're called Zipline.
>> Keller Renado Clifton is the co-founder
and CEO of Zipline, the world's largest
autonomous logistics and delivery
system.
>> We should get back to like building real
things in the real world.
>> What they've been showing is way more
advanced than anything from Google or
Amazon. What nerds are working on during
the weekends in their garages today are
what will be the giant companies of five
or 10 years from now.
>> Ladies and gentlemen, please welcome Zip
Lines Keller Ronaldo Clifton.
[Music]
[Applause]
[Music]
[Applause]
[Music]
Well, good morning everybody. So, David
was talking a little bit about
technesses. I hadn't heard that before,
but by a quick show of hands, how many
of you have read an article in the last
year about robots trying to kill you or
take your jobs?
Okay, so basically everybody, the cool
thing is today we get to talk about
robots that save lives. And I thought
it'd be cool to just take you back to
2016. Uh in in 2016, you know, we had
been our our backgrounds were in
automation and robotics. We had this
simple naive idea that it should be it
should be possible to build a new kind
of logistics system a fully automated
logistic system that would be 10 times
as fast half the cost and zero emission.
The first contract we signed was with
the government of Rwanda to deliver
blood transfusions primarily to moms
with postpartum hemorrhage um at about
21 different hospitals across the
country. And so I thought it'd be cool
to just show you this video. It's
actually a video I took on my iPhone. So
nothing nothing fancy but you can
actually see uh what we call zips that
this is the very first version of this
autonomous aircraft that we had built.
We were delivering using a really simple
paper parachute to a hospital called
Cubai which is in a rural part of
Rwanda. Here we were delivering I think
three units of packed red blood cells
and platelets. We could deliver to a
couple parking spaces um in a way that
was about 10 times as fast. Uh and you
can see the women in this in this video
are like what the hell did we just see?
which is funny. You know, I was taking
the video. I kind of looked up at them
and they were looking at me very
suspiciously. You know, we often try to
describe, it's a funny thing about what
we do. We try to describe uh what we're
going to do to either to doctors or to
nurses or hospital administrators and
they look at us like, you know, we're
completely crazy or on drugs.
You know, and so we have to do the first
delivery. Once we do that first
delivery, a doctor looked at me and
said, "It's as though Jesus Christ is
delivering blood from the sky." But
what's what's hilarious is that, you
know, you get about seven days the way,
you know, the way we work as humans, you
get about seven days of science fiction
amazement and then people are completely
bored of it. Like it's totally normal.
In fact, I had one nurse look at her
watch and then look at me and say, "It's
30 seconds late."
Which made me realize, you know, humans
go from science fiction to entitlement
in approximately 7 days, which is great.
That's what technology should do. you
know,
it should fade into the background like
let doctors and nurses do the work that
they were trained to do which is save
lives and logistics should just work.
That was always the vision. So, quick
tour of the distribution center. Uh, you
know, Zipline builds uh designs,
manufactures and operates these vehicles
completely from scratch. This is one of
our flight operators launching a zip.
Accelerates from zero
to about 100 km an hour in a third of a
second. From the moment the vehicle
leaves the end of that launcher, it's
fully autonomous. It will fly out up to
100 miles to make a delivery to a
hospital and then fly all the way back.
Why do we have to have a launcher like
that? Because we don't have runways,
obviously, and the vehicle has no
landing gear. So, taking off is one
thing. Landing is even a little bit more
complicated. We were inspired by
aircraft carriers. This vehicle, as it's
flying back,
We're aiming for a 1 centimeter tail
hook on the back of that aircraft. This
really only possible with autonomy and
you know robotic solutions that can be
far far more precise in controlling
these kinds of vehicles than humans. The
system at this point can recover an
aircraft about every 60 seconds and we
operate about 20 distribution centers uh
across eight countries. So people always
think like oh uh you know drone delivery
it's not really real. So I thought it'd
be cool to actually just show you a time
lapse. This is one of our distribution
centers. You can see it's 1:00 a.m. The
system operates 24/7, 365. They never
take a day off. It's, you know, 3:00
a.m. here. You're seeing fulfillment
operations where we're packing and
loading packages, getting them packed
into vehicles. Here you can see the
launcher and the recovery system with
like sunrise just happening in the back
at 5 or 6 a.m. Um, this is a second
distribution center, another fulfillment
center. And so this is all basically
both fulfillment centers across the
country of Rwanda, which is the smallest
country we operate in today. But the
cool thing is you can see that at 8 a.m.
every single one of these little
triangles on the map, this is what we
call the sky map, is an autonomous
aircraft going out making a life-saving
delivery of blood, vaccines,
transfusions, infusions, cancer
products, almost the entire public
healthcare supply chain. And by 10:00
a.m., there are 50 autonomous aircraft
out making deliveries simultaneously to
all of the 500 hospitals and health
facilities that we serve in the country.
So, I actually used to show this uh
video to investors and we would get to
the end of the presentation and they
would say, "Oh, I think my favorite
slide was that simulation of what this
could look like one day." And I got so
pissed off because it's like it's not a
simulation that happened yesterday. So,
we put we put the CCTV on the right hand
side so you can actually see the teams
doing this work so people understand
this is this is not like far future.
This is happening day in and day out in
a way that is saving lives.
And you know on that point it's not just
about making logistics more efficient.
It turns out that if you can deploy AI
and robotics infrastructure for
healthcare you can save a lot of lives.
The system has been able to reduce
maternal mortality as measured by the
University of Pennsylvania by 51% across
the hospitals we serve.
Had had you told us when we were
starting the company that we were going
to reduce maternal mortality by 5%. We
would have said hell yes we have to do
this. The a new study came out uh a
couple months ago actually showing a 60%
reduction in under five childhood
mortality due to malnutrition. One of
the new products we've begun delivering
in the last few years. And when this was
studied uh uh by a major global health
institution for the cost effectiveness
of delivering vaccine, it was found to
be the most cost effective way of
delivering vaccines to zero do children
ever studied. So, it turns out that, you
know, yeah, it's exciting.
People think about robotics as being
expensive or fancy or maybe solving
problems for rich people. It's not just
that. We can solve some of the most
important problems that we face as a
world. We can um we can make this
technology work for um for everybody.
So, you know, stepping back, Zip Lines
now surpassed 115 million commercial
autonomous miles. We serve about 5,000
hospitals and health facilities
globally, over 1.6 million deliveries
like that one you saw in that video. Um,
and zero safety incidents, which is
important, not just saving lives, but
safe for the communities that it serves.
It's actually become the largest
commercial autonomous system on Earth of
any kind, ground or air, based on those
flight miles. So, I now thought it'd be
kind of cool to just show you a bit
about how this technology is evolving,
how what we what we started doing in
2016 is evolving and into the next
generation technology and launching in
the US.
[Music]
[Music]
We play this.
[Music]
Wow, that was so cool.
>> We love the fun.
[Music]
So if you're like okay that's cool but
when can I use it? Uh the news is ve the
good news is very soon. So just to give
you a sense it's you know as we started
doing this focusing on healthcare
focusing on operating outside the US a
lot of the biggest brands in the US
started to get pretty excited and saying
hey we want teleportation from our
hospitals or our primary care facilities
or our stores or our restaurants
directly to customer homes. And so, not
only did a lot of the biggest health
care systems in the US um sign up to
start using Zipline, but we've also seen
these additional major verticals in food
and retail. Um we've been scaling
incredibly fast with Walmart over the
last 6 to9 months. We just launched
Chipotle along with a lot of other
amazing food partners over the last
month. I'll show you a little bit more
about what that looks like. One of the
kind of amazing things, you know, over
the last 3 months, the service has been
growing about uh between 20 and 30%
week-over- week. So it's more than
doubling flight volume every month. This
is a little bit startling. Uh we only
launched Dallas, which is kind of the
major metro we're scaling in in the US
right now in April. And uh by July, so
ju just just to give a sense the
customer behavior that we're seeing.
Customers are ordering three to four
times per week from Zipline. The service
has a net promoter score of 94. And I
was talking to a grandma a couple weeks
ago. Uh she's 78 years old. She's
ordered from Zipline 350 times in the
last nine months. We were we were doing
a little customer research and she's
showing me on her phone, you know, like
clicking around ordering everything she
needs for the day. She's double click,
you know, Face ID, Apple Pay. She's
like, "It's on its way. It'll be here in
8 minutes. This woman's living in the
future." But by by July, we were
actually sufficiently nervous about uh
you know, about the capacity of the
system. We we ended up turning off all
the demand generation marketing um
because we were trying to slow down
growth. So, you can see the impact that
turning off our marketing had on the
growth of the system.
which is approximately zero. And we were
trying to figure out why that is. And
basically, it just turns out that having
a robot deliver whatever you need to
your home in less than 10 minutes is
really good content for Tik Tok.
Um, a lot of our different customers
have been making tons and tons of Tik
Toks of of of receiving these deliveries
and a you know, a lot of these videos
have gone viral like they they get seen
8 10 12 million times. We're delivering
to universities, to offices, to hotels,
to town homes, to apartment buildings.
So, every time one person is getting a
delivery, there are 10 other people who
are like, "What the hell is that? And
how do I get it?"
Even cooler than that, uh, you know, as
we're launching new sites in Dallas, you
know, the first site that we launched in
April, it took us about two and a half
months to get to 100 deliveries a day,
which was kind of like the the, you
know, uh, break even point for the site.
Uh, the site that we launched two weeks
ago hit 100 deliveries a day in 5 days.
So, we're seeing the sites themselves
ramp way, way faster. And a big part of
that is that it's getting simpler and
simpler for us to build this
infrastructure. So, just for you to kind
of get a sense for what the
infrastructure looks like, you know, we
integrate right into the side of
hospitals, primary care facilities,
stores, restaurants, you basically can
just think of it like a magical portal.
Zipline is just building a magical
portal in the wall. And now any
healthcare worker or Walmart employee or
Chipotle employee can just pass whatever
they want through this magical portal
and it's teleported directly to the home
that it needs to go to. Um, we do this
uh for a lot of different kinds of
buildings. We also have what we call
zipping points. You can see there on the
bottom right. Zipping points can be
installed in 1 hour. So, if you're a
business and you want to access a
zipline, we show up, boop, drop a
zipping point. And now that business is
enabled with zipline, it can deliver in
this way. Just to give you a quick sense
for what this infrastructure looks like,
you know, we're now building these
sites. We're launching about one a week.
Um, by Q1 of next year, we expect to
accelerate to about one a day. But this
infrastructure is relatively quick to
build um and enables up to 500
deliveries a day from a site like this.
quickly. You know, one of the one of the
cool things is that customers are all
just using the Zipline app to order
these things. And when they are ordering
for the first time, you type in your
address. We actually show you a
satellite image of your home and you
tell us exactly where you want us to
deliver. You can pick the dinner plate
level area, whether it's in your
backyard, side of your house, your
parking lot, apartment buildings. We can
even deliver onto roofs. You can scroll
and see all the different brands that
are available on the app. Order whatever
you want. Um, and the average time of
delivery right now is 18 minutes. A lot
of deliveries happen in under 10
minutes. In fact, you know, we just
launched Chipotle 2 weeks ago. The first
delivery happened in under 7 minutes
from like the customer ordering to it
being delivered to their house. So, I I
think it's going to redefine what is
what is possible in terms of instant
delivery in people's minds. And just to
hint at something cool that we can't
announce just yet,
it, you know, we'll be adding a lot of
people's favorite brands to the service
very soon over the coming weeks. And you
know, I joked before, just last thought,
I had joked before about like this sense
of like science fiction to entitlement
in about 7 days. We do enjoy that
science that period of sci-fi amazement.
And you know, just to, you know, the
similar version of like Jesus Christ
delivering blood from the sky. It's
pretty cute to see families and and and
kids actually, you know, kids are
telling their parents like what do they
want to do for the weekend? They want to
go and watch the zipline, you know, the
zipline aircraft. And so we we do take
these pictures just when we're at the
sites of people like hanging out on the
hoods of their cars. Uh or, you know, a
mom with her kids sitting in her lap or
the kids like looking through the you
know, the window of the car just
watching the system operate. And that
brings me to my last kind of provocative
point, which is that,
you know, our parents had this
incredibly inspiring mission, right? The
United States was in the this
geopolitical race to get to the moon,
the space race, and it united all the
best engineers. It inspired us. It made
us dream with optimism about what the
future could represent. And we did
something impossible. We put men on the
moon in 9 years. Obviously, the US is in
a similar technological race today. It's
a race for AI and robotics. But what
does winning that race for the US really
mean? So I want to leave you all with
just a slightly provocative answer to
that question. But first, who knows what
city this is? Shout it out if you know.
>> Yes. Okay, good. There are nerds in the
audience. This is Wakanda. So Wakanda is
a fictional radically advanced uh
African city hiding in plain sight from
one of my favorite movies, Black
Panther. And the provocative idea is
that we can go build this in the real
world. Like I think that winning the AI
and robotics race for America isn't just
us building like exquisite AI technology
to serve, you know, the richest people
on the coast of this country. It's about
extending the reach and influence of the
United States. It's using AI and
robotics infrastructure to lift the rest
of the world up with us. Like these
countries want to be leaprogging into
the future. They want access to the best
technology that America has to offer.
And if we go and extend, we want these
countries building on US AI and robotics
infrastructure, not that of our
geopolitical adversaries. And if we can
do that, we can make the world a safer
place, a wealthier place. We could
potentially eliminate maternal mortality
and childhood mortality in a lot of
these countries. And in doing so, we can
secure US technological and
manufacturing leadership for the decade
to come. So, thank you all.
[Music]
[Applause]
[Music]
So, we want to do a little bit of time
travel with you today. We want to go
back to your origin story and then we
want to play it out into the Wakanda
future that you're imagining.
>> Cool.
>> So, taking it back to where you began,
why start in Rwanda?
>> Yeah. You know, it's funny. Everybody
makes this assumption that like the most
advanced technology in the world is
going to start in the United States and
then trickle its way out maybe to you
know and it'll start in the rich cities
right and then maybe it'll trickle
trickle its way to rural areas in the US
and then after years it might trickle
its way out to like developing
countries. I think that paradigm is
largely wrong and it has a lot to do
with you know which countries at least
over the last decade it had a lot to do
with which countries are hungry and
entrepreneurial and willing to move
super fast to build new kinds of
regulatory paradigms. Um, and Rwanda is
this, you know, it's kind of like the
Singapore of Africa. It moves incredibly
fast. It's very entrepreneurial. It's
kind of a startup country. And it it was
perfect for us to work with them. Um,
they wanted to take this risk on us when
we were 20 people. We were totally naive
nerds who had no idea what we were
talking about. In fact, I remember this
conversation with the Minister of Health
in 2016 where I was saying, "Oh, you
know, we're going to use autonomous
aircraft to deliver all the different
medical products in your health system."
And she looked at me and was like,
"Keller, shut up. Just do blood." And
she explained to me, you know, that 50%
of blood transfusions are going to moms
with postpartum hemorrhaging. 30% are
going toward kids with severe anemia due
to malaria. And she was like, just show
us that you can do that. And so it's
interesting like that was the best
advice the company ever received. And um
you know, we've really just been kind of
like following their lead for the last
eight years as we've developed the
technology from there.
>> The reduction in maternal mortality when
you showed that stat, I got goosebumps.
It's just incredible. Yeah. And by the
way, you know, I think a lot of times
people in the US think like, oh, you
know, those poor Africans like, uh, it
gets unbelievable that they have those
kinds of, you know, healthcare problems.
We have this exact same problems in the
US. You know, people in the audience may
not know, but, um, the US has the
highest rate of maternal mortality of
any developed country. Um, and you know,
rates for African-American women are
three times that, you know, the average.
I mean, we have a lot of challenges with
rural rural healthcare in this country.
So I I think honestly um people probably
think that these countries are more
different than they are. Almost every
health system is dealing with the same
kinds of challenges.
>> So you come to the United States, you
launch it here. Tell me about the first
period of launching in the US.
>> Yeah, we um we originally launched kind
of the the first version of the
technology, the fixedwing technology
that you could see in 2020. Um honestly,
it's it's shocking. I mean, we were
delivering like birthday cakes and
rotisserie chickens via just those like
paper parachutes. It's pretty unfancy,
but customers loved it. Um, they and and
this is kind of we were rapidly
iterating um to build something that we
thought would be like the future version
of logistics, which is ultimately
platform 2. It's the video I showed
today. And we we only launched platform
2 on January 15th. And then we really
only started scaling it in April or May.
So, this is all happening in real time.
A lot of those videos we showed were
just from yesterday or the day before.
What has it felt like?
>> Um, you know, it's stressful. Hardware
is incredibly hard. Um, you know, we
have been scaling a hardware product
while like the tariff craziness has been
going on through, you know, March and
April and May. Um, you know, building a
global supply chain. I mean, you know,
Zipline just put into perspective like
we designed the flight computer, all of
the avionics on the aircraft. We design
the aircraft itself, all the mechanical
um components, the primary structure and
then from a software perspective, it's
flight control algorithms, multi vehicle
deconliction, communications
architecture. We design, we we build
unmanned traffic management system that
we provide to the regulators like the
FAA and then we also design that app
that you saw which is our customer
ordering platform. So um you know all of
that and then you also have to figure
out supply chain and maintenance and
manufacturing and operations logistics
like all of it has to work for the end
customer to just have this magical
experience of like teleportation and um
you know I yeah there's no part of it
that doesn't feel desperate and
stressful as you're kind of scaling a
system at that level of of exponential
growth as you're launching in the US. Do
you have a sense, Keller? Are you going
to beat the unit cost to deliver with
delivery drivers today? And by how much?
Can you give us a sense on if I want
Chipotle, why would I go to the Zipline
ordering system or use Chipotle's app
and have Zipline kind of fulfill for me?
What's the cost difference going to be
percentage-wise, do you think, over
traditional food delivery?
>> Yeah. So I mean interestingly people may
not realize you know instant delivery
has grown incredibly fast like
especially through co but even before
there are now 5 12 billion instant
deliveries being done every year just in
the US and that's not like Amazon or UPS
that's just the instant deliveries and
we're using a 4,000 lb gas combustion
vehicle driven by a human to deliver
something to your home that weighs on
average 4 to 5 lb. So, you know, if
aliens were to land on the planet and
look at the way we're solving that
problem, they would conclude there's no
intelligent life on Earth. Like, this is
a bizarre solution. Um, I think, you
know, the reality is we have this new
demand and and the demand is vast.
People want things delivered quickly and
they want like to have more time with
their family rather than spending time
in traffic or like in a store. Um, but
we're using technology that's 100 years
old to solve that problem. So, I think
all you have to realize is that instead
of using a 4,000lb gas combustion
vehicle driven by a human, you should
use a 50 lb vehicle that is autonomous
and electric.
And that's kind of just reasoning from
like physics first principles. Like you
don't have to be, you know, a genius. As
soon as you've realized that, I think
you know something really fundamental
about the future that few people
actually understand. And so we think
it's it's very inevitable that um that
and by the way that if you were to just
extend the customer ordering behavior
that we see with um with our customers
today there would be 50 billion instant
deliveries happening in the US. Wow.
>> So this is kind of a
>> based on the order idea. Yeah. Basically
if you make the deliveries less
expensive 10 times as fast and just a
way better experience order a lot more.
Not that surprising. So, I think the the
reality is actually, you know, these
kinds of systems will yes, definitely be
less expensive than using a 4,000lb gas
combustion vehicle. Um, but I think more
importantly, the reason customers are
using them so much is it's just a way
better experience when you can have
something delivered in 7 minutes or 8
minutes or 12 minutes. Um,
>> does it need to be much cheaper?
>> Um, I think it will be naturally, but I
don't believe it needs to be. I mean,
it's the reason that like Whimo right
now is more expensive and people prefer
Whimo to to
>> What's the weight limit and then how
much of the market does that address?
>> Yeah. I mean, right now we the the
system is designed to deliver up to 8 lb
and 8 lb gets you like 95% of all
packages delivered by Amazon. I think
it's like 95% of food delivery orders.
So, suffice it to say, you're not going
to deliver flat screen TVs in this way
anytime soon, but the vast majority of
stuff actually fits and can be delivered
like this. So while this is all
happening, while zipline is exploding, I
think many Americans came to believe
that the the era of drone delivery had
somehow passed, that this wasn't a near
future that they were going to
experience. Why do you think that
misconception happened? And what should
all of the people in this audience go
out and say to the people who might ask
them what they've seen here?
>> Yeah. Well, it definitely didn't help
that the CEO of one of the largest
companies in the in the world went on 60
Minutes in 2013 and promised everybody
drone delivery in the next like, you
know, one or two years, right? Maybe
some of you guys saw that interview.
>> Who was it?
>> I don't even know what that interview
was.
>> Jeff from Amazon. Yeah. He was like
2013. He's like, "Oh, well, you know,
we'll be doing
Yeah. So, he I mean, they promised, you
know, they announced Amazon Prime and
they said by 2015, you know, it'll be
serving, you know, everybody in the US."
And um I think that that you know people
probably believed it right like and and
then I think people were really
disappointed when it didn't happen and
maybe you know similar trend that you
see hap happened with autonomous
vehicles you know autonomous cars which
is that like 2015 so many companies were
raising you know billions of dollars and
it was like right around the corner and
people could see it working for the
first time. But obviously it's a whole
decade later today that we actually now
see Whimo and robo taxi scaling
commercially. The reality is with these
kinds of technologies, I think you
always have like the bubble and and the
max hype and then you have the trough of
disillusionment and then you have the 8
to n years of the actual hard work of
making the technology work. And you
know, Zipline um launched in 2016. We've
spent 10 years driving the economics
down, driving the reliability up. You
you kind of saw that statistic of 115
million miles with zero safety
incidents. Um that's hard. It requires
time to get manufacturing technology uh
operations, maintenance right in a way
to achieve that. And um you know, but
the but the the good news is that uh I
think with with both autonomous cars and
with this technology, we're now you
know, we've now done the 10 years of
hard work and we now see it scaling in a
way that like just fundamentally
changing the way people live their
lives. I mean, when you when I talk to
that grandma or you like you talk to a
mom who's using Zipline every single
day, it's like they're getting hours
back a week to spend with their family
or their loved ones so they don't have
to spend stressing out about trying to
like get kids buckled into a car and
like drive to a car or and obviously
that's like, you know, that's that's the
retail use cases, let alone the
life-saving implications this has for
healthcare logistics.
>> What are the competitive barriers?
Google's had, I think, in X a drone
delivery. I don't know what the status
is. Amazon obviously has invested by the
way I thought it was like either Elon or
someone from Google or Jeff. Um and then
uh there have been a mtoan I think out
of China famously shown videos of
delivering food to the Great Wall with a
drone. How much advantage is Zipline
versus others and how quickly can they
catch up? Like help us understand how
hard the tech is? What did you have to
engineer to get the unit costs
advantages that you're having today and
how persistent will that be? I mean, you
know, I I think there are a lot of
people out there, you know, we saw over
the last 10 years so many companies or
teams, they would like buy a quadcopter
off the shelf and duct tape a Snickers
bar to the bottom of it and then
manually fly it a mile and they get
like, you know, Techrunch to write an
article about it and be like, "It's a
Kittyhawk moment. Drone delivery is
here." Um, and you know, we've seen that
like 50 times at this point. I think
people have kind of know that it's not
real. Um the you know the the trick is
designing a system that can operate 24/7
365 in a way that people can depend on
with their lives that works in all
weather that can be reliable and safe
and they can achieve hundreds of
millions or you know billions of
autonomous miles. um that's hard to do.
That takes time. And um you know, I
mean, Zipline uh has now spent a decade
scaling these systems. And and I think
the realization is there's no like
off-the-shelf hardware you can buy for
this because there's you can you can
look at like these cheap plastic
quadcopters that DJI makes refer to
China or you can look at like Predator
drones, but something in the middle
which is more automotive grade,
something that can do, for example, a
million miles just a single aircraft. um
that's hard and it kind of has to be
built from scratch. So we honestly don't
worry that I mean our competition is
motorcycles and cars. Like if we are
better than motorcycles and cars, I mean
I'm very confident someone is going to
build a multiundred billion dollar
company in automated logistics over the
next 5 to 10 years. Like it's so obvious
that this needs to exist. The demand is
like unbelievably vast. It's going to be
one of the biggest markets on earth. And
uh you know I think a lot of people are
excited about a lot of different kinds
of robotics but this is the area of
robotics that in my opinion is going to
scale the fastest and is like most ready
for prime time. You
>> want to talk about Wakanda?
>> I do. So just to jump ahead. Yeah.
>> If we were interviewing you here in 10
years you're back. What do you hope
you're saying about the impact of drone
delivery both on the golden billion but
also for everybody else? And to your
point earlier the relationship between
those two things and those two groups
might be closer than we think.
>> Yeah. the the thing that always really
inspired us, you know, you talk about
logistics. I mean, logistics is boring,
right? Like I mean, who wants to work in
logistics? It's incredibly boring. You
just do the same thing day after day,
just like doing the same deliveries. But
that's also what makes it great for
robotics and automation. And I think the
thing, the key thing to realize is the
golden billion that Cleo is talking
about, right? The richest billion people
on Earth. Like the go my assumption is
we're all in the golden billion. Like
our access to logistics is really good.
There are 7 billion people on earth who
are not in the golden billion whose
access either sucks or is non-existent.
And as a result of that, five and a half
million kids lose their lives every year
due to lack of access to basic medical
products. This is not like oh we have we
need some advanced therapy to it's like
no no we couldn't get them the basic
almost free drug that they needed to
save their life. You know we making
excuses for decades about why we can't
solve these problems. And so I think
like logistics is boring, but it's kind
of only boring when it's like working
well for you. And I think that, you
know, the the the thing that gets me so
excited about why does AI and robotics
matter? Why should we be applying it to
this industry? It's not just like make
people's lives better, give them new
kinds of economic opportunity, save them
time, you know, let them spend more time
with their kids. It's also because like
reducing the cost of logistics,
automating it, expanding it, um
improving the performance of these kinds
of systems is going to extend access to
logistics to 7 billion people on Earth
who don't have it today. And that is
going to save lives, increase economic
opportunity. I think it's going to make
the world a more stable place. And and
and so that's that's really our vision.
It's like um it's time to stop making
excuses. We should eliminate these
problems. And the thing that gets me
excited about, you know, you I mean I
know we're both kind of like solar punk
techno optimists, right? Um like that's
the future that I want to build that I
want to tell my kids about. And um you
know, if we can play a small part of it,
that would be a good life.
>> That's the future I think we all want to
be part of.
>> Amazing. Guys, please join me in
thanking Keller and Cleo. Did you guys
love Science Corner?
[Music]
[Applause]
Ask follow-up questions or revisit key timestamps.
The video features three engaging discussions: Cleo Abram, founder of "Huge if True," discusses her journey from traditional media to independent YouTube content, emphasizing an optimistic view on science and technology and YouTube's role in reaching global audiences. Next, astrophysicist Alex Filipenko presents the capabilities and early discoveries of the James Webb Space Telescope, explaining its contributions to understanding cosmic origins and defending the value of pure research, despite current funding challenges. Finally, Keller Rinaudo Clifton, CEO of Zipline, details how his autonomous drone delivery system, initially launched in Rwanda to dramatically reduce maternal and childhood mortality, is now rapidly expanding in the US for general retail and healthcare, envisioning a future where advanced robotics extends crucial logistics to billions globally.
Videos recently processed by our community