Elon Musk | All-In Summit 2024
1504 segments
[Applause]
the greatest
entrepreneur this generation Elon
Musk hey
guys grab my
stuff sit there I'm going to yep I'm
going to take this all
right do this thanks for taking the
time how um how you doing brother
you keep him
busy yeah I
mean it's rarely a slow
week I mean in the world as well yeah I
mean any given week I me it just seems
like the things getting nuttier it it
it's definitely a simulation we've
agreed on this at this
point I mean well look if if we are in
some alien Netflix series I think the
ratings are high yes ratings are High um
how are the um uh the the freedom of
speech Wars going um this is a uh you've
been you've been at War for two years
now yes uh the price of freedom of
speech is not cheap is it I think it's
like 44 billion something like that just
numbers give her give or take a billion
yeah round numbers yeah yeah um it's uh
it's it's pretty nutty there there is
like this weird movement to uh quell's
Free Speech uh kind of around the world
and um and this is something we should
be very concerned about uh you know you
have to ask like why was the first
amendment like a high priority was like
number one um One is because uh people
came from countries where if you spoke
freely you would be imprisoned or killed
and they were like well we would like to
not have that here um because that was
terrible and actually you know there's a
lot of places in the world right now if
you if you're critical of the government
you get imprisoned or killed right yeah
we'd like to not have that are you
concerned to
that I mean I supect this is a receptive
audience to that message
[Applause]
um you I I think we always thought that
the West Was the exception to that that
we knew there were authoritarian places
around the world but we thought that in
the west we'd have freedom of speech and
we've seen like you said it seems like a
global movement in brit you've got
teenagers being put in prison for memes
opposing it's like you like to you like
to Facebook post throw him in the prison
yeah people have got an actual you know
prison for for like like obscure
comments on social media not even [ __ ]
posting yet like not even yeah it's
crazy P got thrown in prison recently
I'm like that was pretty about I was
like what is the massive crime that
right pav in France and then of course
we got Brazil with judge
Voldemort that that one seems like the
one that impacts you the most can you
what's the latest on
that well we I guess we're we are trying
to figure out uh is there
some reasonable solution in Brazil
uh the you know the concern uh I mean I
want to just make sure that this is
framed correctly um and uh you know
funny memes aside I the the the nature
of the concern was
that least at at excorp we had the
perception that um we were being asked
to do things that violated Brazilian law
so obviously we cannot as an American
company impose American laws and values
on on other countries um that uh you
know we wouldn't get very far if we did
that um but but we do you know think
that uh if if a country's law laws are a
particular way and we're being asked to
what we we think we think we're being
asked to break them then and and be
silent about it then obviously that is
no good so so I just want to be clear
thetime sometimes comes across as uh
elon's trying to just be a crazy
whatever billionaire and demand
outrageous things from other countries
and
um you know well that is
true
um in
addition there are um other things uh
that that I think are you know valid
which is like we we we obviously can't
uh you know I think any given thing that
we do at excorp we've got to be able to
explain in the light of day and and not
feel that it was dishonorable or you
know we we we did the wrong thing you
know uh so we don't we that that that
that was the that that's the nature of
the concern so we actually are in uh
sort of discussions with uh the you know
judicial authorities in in Brazil to try
to you know run this to ground like
uh what What's actually going on like if
if we're being asked to break the law
Brazilian law then that's that that
obviously should not be should not sit
well with the Brazilian Judiciary and if
we're not and we're mistaken we'd like
to understand how we are mistaken I
think that's a that's a pretty
reasonable uh position I'm a bit
concerned as your friend that you're
going to go to one of these countries
and I'm going to wake up one day and
you're going to get arrested and like
I'm going to have to to go bail you out
or something like this is feels very
acute like yes I mean it's not a joke
now like they're literally saying like
you know it's not just Biden saying like
we have to look into that guy now it's
become quite literal like this I who was
the guy who just wrote the um was it the
guardian piece about like oh yeah yeah
there have been three articles and I
think in the past three weeks Robert
Reich but it wasn't just him it was like
three different articles three different
articles it doesn't that's a trend
that calling for me to be imprisoned
right in the in the guardian you know
guardian of what what are they Pro
exactly guardian of I don't know
authoritarianism yeah guardian of uh
yeah yeah censorship censorship but but
the premise here is that you bought this
thing this online Forum this
communication platform and you're
allowing people to use it to express
themselves therefore you have to be
jailed I don't understand the logic here
right um there's what do you think
they're actually afraid of at this
point what's the motivation here I mean
I think the if somebody's a if
somebody's sort of trying to push a
false premise on the world then and then
that that and that premise can be
undermined with public dialogue then
they will be opposed to public Dialogue
on that premise because they wish that
false premise to Prevail right um so
that's I think you know the the issue
there is uh if they don't like the truth
uh you know then we want to suppress it
so now the you know the the sort of the
what what we're trying to do with excorp
uh is uh I distinguish that from my son
who's also called X yes
uh you have you have parental
goals everything's just called X
basically it's very difficult
disambiguation the sun yeah everything
um
so what what we're trying to do is
simply adhere to the uh you know the the
laws in a in a country um so so if
something is illegal in the United
States or if it's illegal in you know
Europe or Brazil or or wherever it might
be uh then then we will take it down or
we'll suspend the account because we
we're not you know there to make the
laws we but but if speech is not legal
then then what are we doing okay now
we're injecting ourselves in as as a
sensor and and where does it stop and
who
decides so and where where does that
path lead I think it leads to a bad
place uh so if the people if in a
country want the laws to be different
they should make the laws different but
otherwise we're going to obey the law in
each jurisdiction right and some of
these Europe that's it it's it's not
more complicated there we're not we're
not trying to FL out the law we going to
be clear about that but we're we're
trying to adhere to the law and if the
laws change we will change and if if the
laws don't change we we won't we're just
literally trying to adhere to the law
it's pretty pretty straightforward there
are some very
straightforward if somebody doesn't
thinks we're not adhering to the law
well they can file a lawsuit Bingo also
very straightforward I mean there are
European countries that don't want
people to promote Nazi propaganda yes
they have some sensitivity to it well
it's it is illegal and it is illegal
in those countries if somebody puts that
up you take it down yes but they
typically file something and say take
this down no in some cases it is just um
obviously illegal like you don't need to
file a lawsuit for you know if something
is just you know unequivocally illegal
we can literally read the law this
violates the law you know anyone anyone
can see that like you know you don't
need like if if somebody is stealing you
don't need let me check the law on that
okay oh no they're they're stealing
Frisco let's talk so we had we had JD
Vance here this morning he did a great
job um and you know one of the things is
there's this image on X of like
basically like you
Bobby uh Trump and JD are like the
Avengers I guess and then there's
another meme where you're in front of a
desk where it says d g the department of
governmental efficiency yes yes I posted
that one tell us about I I made it using
grock the gro image generator
and I posted it tell us about it to my
profile seek for
efficiency um how how do you do
it well I mean
I I think with great difficulty uh but
you know look it's been a long time
since there was a serious effort to
reduce the size of government and to um
remove absurd regulations yeah and you
know the last time there was a really
concered effort on that front was Reagan
in the early ' 80s so we're 40 years
away from um a a a a serious effort to
remove um you know not regulations that
don't serve the greater good and and
reduce the size of government and I
think it's just if we don't do that then
what's what what's happening is that we
get regulations and laws accumulating
every year until eventually everything's
illegal uh and that's why we can't get
uh major infrastructure projects done in
the United States like if you look at
the absurdity of the California highs
speed rail I think they theyve spent $7
billion and have A600 put segment that
doesn't actually have rail in
it I mean your tax dollars at work I
mean yeah what are we doing that's an
expense of 600 feet of concrete you know
um and and I mean I think it's like if
you know uh I realize sometimes I'm
perhaps a little optimistic with
schedules but
uh you
know I mean I wouldn't be doing the
things I'm doing if I was uh you know
not an an optimist uh so but but but but
at the current Trend you know California
High Street rail might finish sometime
next
Century maybe probably not we're just
we'll have teleportation by that time so
yeah
exactly AI do everything at that point
so so so so
I think you really think of um you know
the the United States and many countries
it's it's arguably worse than the EU as
being like galiva tied down by a million
little strings and like any one given
regulation is not is not that bad but
you've got a million of them and um or
Millions actually and and and then
eventually you just can't get anything
done and and this is a this is a massive
tax on the on the consumer on the people
uh it's just they don't they don't
realize that there's this this massive
tax in the form of irrational
regulations um I'm going I'll give you a
recent uh example that that you know is
is just insane um is that uh like SpaceX
was fined by the EPA
$140,000 for um they claimed dumping uh
portable water on the ground drinking
water so and we're like uh this is that
star base and and we're like it's we're
in a TR tropical uh thunderstorm region
um that stuff comes from the Sky all the
time and
um and there was no actual harm done you
know it was just water to cool the the
the Launchpad during uh liftoff and um
there's zero harm done like and they're
like they agree yes there's zero harm
done we're like okay so there's no harm
done and um you want us to pay $140,000
fine it's like yes because you didn't
have a
pmit okay we didn't know there was a
ponent needed for zero har fresh water
being on the ground in a place that
where fresh water full from the sky all
the
time got it next to the ocean next to
the ocean cuz there's a little bit of
water there too yeah I mean sometimes it
rain so much the the roads are flooded
so we're like you
know how does this make any sense yeah
and and then they're like then then they
were like well we're not going to
process any more of your any more of
your applications for launch for
Starship launch unless you pay this
$140,000 they just ransomed us and we're
like okay so we paid $140,000 but it was
a it's like this is no good I mean at
this rate we're never going to get to
Mars I mean that's
the that's the confounding part here
yeah is we're acting against our own
self-interest you know when you look at
we do have to make putting aside fresh
water but hey you know there the rocket
makes a lot of noise so I'm I'm certain
there's some complaints about noise once
in a while but sometimes you want to
have a party or you want to make
progress and there's a little bit of
noise therefore you know we we trade off
a little bit of noise for massive
progress or even fun so like when did we
stop being able to make those tradeoffs
but talk about the difference between
California and Texas uh where you and I
now reside um Texas you were able to
build the gigafactory I remember when
you got the plot of land and then it
seemed like it was less than two years
when you had the party to open it yeah
from start of construction um to
completion uh was 14 months 14 14 months
is there anywhere on the planet that
would go faster is like China faster
than that uh China was 11 months got it
so Texas China 11 and 14 months
California how many months and just to
give you a sense of size the Tesla
gigafactory in China is three times the
size of the Pentagon which was the
biggest building in America uh no there
are bigger buildings but the pentagon's
pretty big one yeah where it was the
biggest in units in units of Pentagon
it's like three okay three pentagons and
counting yeah got it in 14 months um the
just the just the regulatory approvals
in California would have taken two
years yeah so that's that's the issue
where where do you think the regulation
helps like for the people that will say
we need some checks and balances we
can't have some because for every good
actor like you there'll be a bad actor
so where is that line then yeah I mean I
have a sort of you
know in in sort of doing Su sensible
deregulation and um reduction in the
size of government the is is just like
be very public about it and say like
which of these rules do you if the
public is really excited about a rule
and wants to keep it we'll just keep it
and and here the thing about the rules
if if like if the rule is um you know
turns out to be a bad we'll just put it
right back okay and then you know
problem solved it's like it's easy to
add rules but we don't actually have a
process for getting rid of them that's
the issue there's no garbage collection
rul um when we were um watching you work
David and I and Antonio um in that first
month at Twitter which was all hands on
deck and you were doing zerob based
budgeting you really quickly got the
cost under control and then miraculously
everybody said this site will go down
and you added 50 more features so maybe
explain because this is the first time
yeah there like so many articles like
the that this this
Twitter is Dead Forever there's no way
it could possibly even continue at all
it was almost like the Press wasting for
you let's write theit here has the
orbituary uh they were all saying their
goodbyes on Twitter remember that yeah
yeah yeah they were all leaving and
saying their goodbyes cuz the site was
going to melt down and totally fail and
and uh all the journalists left yeah and
which is if you ever want to like hang
out with a bunch of Hall monitors oh my
God threads is amazing every time I go
over there and post they're like they
they're really triggered but yeah I mean
if you like being condemned repeatedly
then you know for reasons that make no
sense then threads is the way to go yeah
it's really it's it's the most miserable
place on Earth if Disney's the happiest
this is the anti- Disney but if we were
to go into government you went into the
Department of Education or Pi pick the
department you've worked with a lot of
them actually sure you can't go in there
in zero based budget okay we get it but
if you could just pair two three four 5%
of those organizations what kind of
impact would that
have yeah I mean I think we'd need to do
more than that I think ideally but
compounding every year 2 3% a year I
mean it would be better than what's
happening
now yeah I look I think we we um you
know
uh if if Trump wins and obviously I
suspect there are people with mixed
feelings about whether that should
happen but uh but if but we do have an
opportunity uh to do kind of a once- in
a-lifetime deregulation and reduction in
the size of government um because
because the other thing besides the
regulations um America is also going
bankrupt extremely quickly um and and
nobody seems everyone seems to be sort
of whistling past the graveyard on this
one um but they're all they're all
grabbing the silverware everyone's stuff
in their pockets and the silverware
before this the Titanic SS like well you
know the the defense department by
budget is a very big budget okay it's a
trillion dollars a year DOD Intel it's
Trill a trillion dollars um and interest
payments on the national debt just
exceeded the defense department budget
they're over a trillion dollar a year
just in interest and Rising we're we're
adding a trillion dollars to the net to
our debt which our you know kids and
grandkids are going to have to pay
somehow um
you know every every three months and
then soon it's going to be every two
months and then every month and then the
only thing we'll be able to pay his
interest yeah and and if if this it's
just you know it's just like a person at
scale that has racked up too much credit
card debt um and
uh this this is not this is not have a a
good
ending so we have to reduce the spending
let me ask one question cuz I've brought
this up a lot and the counterargument I
hear which I disagree with um but the
counter argument I hear from a lot of
politicians is if we reduce spending
because right now if you add up federal
state and local government spending it's
between 40 and 50% of GDP so nearly half
of our economy is supported by
government spending and nearly half of
people in the United States are
dependent directly or indirectly on
government checks and either through
contractors uh that that the government
pays or their employed by government um
entity so if you go in and you take to
harden acts too fast you will have
significant contraction job loss and
recession what's The Balancing Act Elon
just thinking realistically because I'm
100% on board with you the steps the
next set of steps however assume Trump
wins and you become the the chief uh doe
um uh dog uh like G
how how like yeah and I think the
challenge is how quickly can we yeah how
quickly can we go in how quickly can
things change and without
without I want that on my business card
yeah without all the L without all the
contraction and
job yeah so so I guess how do you really
address it when so much of the economy
and so many people's jobs and
livelihoods are dependent on government
spending well I mean I I do think it's
it's it's sort of um
you know it's it's false dichotomy it's
not like no government spending is going
to happen um you really have to say like
is it the right level um and just
remember that that you know any any
given person if they are doing things in
a less efficient organization versus
more efficient organization their
contribution to the economy their net
output of goods and services will reduce
um I mean you've got a couple of clear
examples between uh East Germany and
West Germany North Korea and South Korea
um I mean North Korea they're starving
uh South Korea it's like amazing it's
the future the compounding effect of
productivity gains yeah yeah it's night
and day yeah um and so in the north
North Korea you've got 100% government
um and in South Korea you've got
probably I don't know 40% government
it's not zero yeah U and yet you've got
a standard of living that is probably 10
times higher in South Korea at least at
least exactly um uh and then East and
West Germany um in West Germany uh you
had just thinking in terms of cars I
mean you had BMW Porsche Audi Mercedes
um and and East Germany which is a
random line on a map um you you the the
car only car you could get was a a
trabant which is basically a lawn mower
with a shell on it um and it was
extremely unsafe and you there's a
20-year
wait so you like you know put your kid
on the list as soon as they're conceived
um they're conceived and and even then
only I think um you know quarter of
people maybe got got this lousy car and
the same so so that's just an
interesting example of like basically
the same people different operating
system and and it's not like uh West
Germany was some you know you know a
capitalist uh Heaven it was it's quite
socialist actually so uh so when you
look you know probably it was half half
government in West Germany and 100%
government in East Germany and again
gain sort of a five to like it call at
least a 5 to 10x standard of living
difference and even qualitatively vastly
better and and it's obviously you know
sometimes people have these amazingly in
this modern era this debate as to which
system is better well I'll tell you
which system is better um the one that
doesn't need to build the world to keep
people in okay that's that's how you can
tell
okay it's a dead giveaway spoiler alert
dead giveaway they climbing the wall to
get out
you have to build a barrier to keep
people in that is the bad system um
there wasn't West West berin that built
the wall okay they were like to you know
anyone who wants to flee West berin go
ahead um speaking of walls so it you
know and and and and if you look at sort
of the flux of boats from Cuba there's a
large number of boats from Cuba and
there's a bunch of free boats that you
anyone can take to to to Cuba
there's like hey wow an abandoned boat I
could use this boat to go to Cuba where
they have communism awesome Yes um and
and and yet nobody nobody picks up those
boats and and does it amazing um so
given this a lot of thought yeah wait so
your point is jobs will be created if we
cut government spending in half jobs
will be created fast enough to make up
for right just to count yes obviously
you know I'm not suggesting that that
people you know um have like immediately
tfed you know tossed out with with with
no severance and and you know can't now
can't pay their mortgage they need to
see some reasonable offramp uh where
yeah yeah um so reasonable offramp where
you know they're still um you know
earning they're still receiving money
but have like I don't know a year or two
to to f to find jobs in the private
sector which they will find and then
they will be in a different operating
system um again you can see the
difference East Germany was incorporated
into West Germany living standards in
East Germany uh Rose
dramatically um so in four years if you
could shrink the side size of the
government with Trump what would be a
good Target just in terms of like
ballpark I mean are you trying to get me
assassinated before this even happens no
no pick AO number I mean you know
there's that old phrase go postal I mean
it's like they might yeah on me so we'll
keep the post office I I'm going to need
a all the security details guys yes I
mean this year a number of disg granted
workers for former government employees
is you know
quite a scary number I mean I might not
make it you know I was saying low low
digits every year for four years would
be palatable yeah and I like your idea
the thing is that if if it's not done uh
like if you have a once once in a
lifetime or once in a generation
opportunity and you don't take Serious
action and and then you have four years
to get it done and then and if it
doesn't get done then how serious is
Trump about this like you've talked to
him about it yeah yeah I think he is
very serious about it got it um and no I
I think actually the reality is that if
we get rid of nonsense regulations and
shift people from the government sector
to the private sector we will have
immense
Prosperity um and and I think we will
have a golden age in this country and
it'll be
fantastic can we uh can we talk about
SP um you have a bunch of critical
Milestones coming up um yeah in fact
there's an important a very exciting
launch
um that is may be happening tonight so
if if that the weather is is holding up
then I'm going to leave here head to
Cape canaval uh for the um the the PO
stor Mission which is a private Mission
so funded by Derek um DED isman and he's
um awesome guy and and there this will
be the first time uh the first private
first first commercial space walk um and
and'll be at at the highest altitude uh
since Apollo so it's the furthest from
Earth that anyone's
gone um
yeah and you what comes after that let's
assume that's successful and I sure hope
so
man um no
pressure
um yeah we you know Absolut you know
Astron prior astral safety is man if I
had like all all all the wishes I could
save up that would be the one to to put
on so you know space is dangerous um so
the
the yeah the next
Milestone after that would be the next
flight of Starship um which um you know
Starship is next five Starship is ready
to fly we are waiting for regulatory
approval you know yeah it it it it
really should not be possible to both a
giant rocket faster than the paper can
move from one desk to
[Applause]
another that stamp was really hard
approved yeah you ever see that movie
zootopia you ever see that movie
zootopia there's like a
sloth in for the approval yeah
accidentally tell a joke and and I was
like oh no this is good here we go going
to take a long time sorry sorry um but
yeah
zootopia you know you know the funny
thing is like so I went to the
DMV about I don't know a year later
after zootopia and to get my whatever
license renewal and the guy in in an
exercise of incredible self- awareness
had the sloth from zootopia in his um in
his cube in in in his Cube and he was
actually Swift
yeah with the with the Mandate beat the
sloth yeah yeah no personal agency
personal agency no I mean some people
like think the you know the government
is um more confident than it than it is
I'm not saying that there aren't
confident people in the government
they're just in an operating system that
is inefficient um once you move them to
a more efficient operating system they
their output is dramatically greater as
we've seen examp you know when East
Germany was reintegrated to into with
West Germany and and and the same people
um were vastly more prosperous uh with a
basically half capitalist uh operating
system
so um but I
mean for a lot of people their like the
maybe most direct experience with the
government is the DMV um and and then
the important thing to remember is the
the government is the DMV at
scale right that's the government got
the mental picture how much do you want
to scale it
yeah yeah sorry can you go back to
chat's um uh question on Star so you you
announced just the other day Starship
going to Mars in two years and by the
way huh yeah yeah yeah yeah yeah and
then four years for a
crude uh aspirational launch in the next
window and how much is the government
involved I'm not saying like say you
watch by these not you know uh but these
uh but it based on our current progress
where with with Starship We were able to
successfully reach oval of velocity
twice uh we were able to achieve soft
Landings of the the booster and the ship
in water uh and that's despite the ship
having you know half its flaps cooked
off um you can see the video on the X
platform it's quite exciting um so you
know we we we think we'll be able to
have to launch reliably and repeatedly
and quite quickly um and the the the
fundamental Holy Grail breakthrough for
rocketry for to what the fundamental
breakthrough that is needed for life to
become multiplanetary is a rapidly
reusable reliable rocket
R for the pirate somehow um throw a
pirate in there um the so with Starship
is the first rocket design
where success is one of the possible out
with full
reusability um so you know for any given
project you have to say this is the
circle to write diagram um has a circle
and is Success the success dot in the
circle um is is success in the set of
possible outcomes that's uh you know
sounds pretty obvious but there are
often projects where that that is
success is not in the set of possible
outcomes um and so so
Starship not only is fully full
reusability in the set of possible
outcomes it it is being proven with each
launch um and and and I'm confident it
will succeed it's simply a matter of
time and you know if if we can get some
improvement in the speed of Regulation
we we could actually move a lot faster
um uh so that would that would be very
helpful and and in fact if if this if
not if something isn't done about um
reducing regul and and sort of speeding
up approvals and to be clear I'm not
talking about anything unsafe it's
simply the processing of the safe thing
can be done at a as as fast as the
rocket is built not slower then uh then
then we could become a space buring
civilization and a multiplet species
ultimate and be out there among the
stars in the future and
there's you know it's it's just very
like it's incredibly important that we
have things that that we find inspiring
that you look to the Future and say the
future is going to be better than the
past things to look forward to and like
like kids are a
good a good way to assess this like what
a kids fired up about and if you can say
you know you you could you know you
could be an Astron on Mars you you could
maybe one day uh go beyond the solar
system um we could make Star Trek
Starfleet Academy real um that is an
exciting future that is
inspiring um you know just I mean you
need things that move your heart right
um
yeah [ __ ] yeah [ __ ] yeah let's do it I
mean it like like life can't just be
about soling one miserable problem after
another there's got to be things that
you look forward to as well yeah uh and
and do do you think you might have to
move it to a different jurisdiction and
to move faster I've always wondered if
like it's rocket technology is
considered an advanced weapons
technology so we can't just go do it you
know in another country yes in it yeah
interesting and if we don't do it other
countries could do it I mean they're so
far behind us but theoretically there's
a national
security you know justification here if
if somebody can put their thinking caps
on like do we want to have this
technology that you're building the
team's working so hard on stolen by
other countries and then you know maybe
they don't have as much red tape I I
wish people were trying to steal it um
so that no no one's trying to steal it
it's just
too this just it's too crazy
basically um and that's for you yeah
it's way too crazy El what do you think
um is going on that led to
boing building the St line the way that
they did they were able to get it up
but not complete but can't complete they
can't finish can't finish and you're
going to have to go up and
finish um
um well I mean I think Boeing is a
company that is you they actually do so
much business with the government they
have sort of impedance matched to the
government so they're they're like
basically one notch away from the
government maybe two they're not far
from the government from an efficiency
standpoint because they derive so much
of the revenue from the government um
and a lot of people think well SpaceX is
super dependent on the government and
actually no most of our revenue is
commercial um
so
um and and and and
there's been I think at least up until
perhaps recently because they have a new
CEO who actually shows up in the factory
yeah um and the the the CEO before that
I think had a degree in accounting and
and never went to the factory and didn't
know how airplanes
flew um so I think if you are in charge
of a company that makes airplanes fly
and a spacecraft go to Orit you need to
know it can't be a total mystery as to
how they work
yeah
so you know I'm like sure if somebody's
like running cocoa Pepsi and and they're
like great at marketing or whatever uh
that's that's fine because you know it's
it's not a sort of Technology dependent
business um you know or if they're
running a you know financial consulting
and their degrees in accounting that
makes sense um but I think uh you know
if you if you're the Cavalry Captain you
should know how to ride a horse pretty
basic yeah
yeah great it's like it's disconcerting
if the Cavalry Captain just falls off
the horse you
know he's scar
team I'm sorry I'm scared of hces gets
on backwards I'm like
oops um sh shifting gears to AI uh Peter
was here earlier and he was talking
about how so far the only company to
really make money off AI is NVIDIA with
the chips um do you have a sense yet of
where you think the big applications
will be from AI is it going to be an
enabling self-driving is it going to be
enabling robots is it transforming
Industries I mean it's still I think
early in terms of where the big business
impact is going to be do you have a
sense
yet I I mean I think I think they that
they the spending on AI probably runs
ahead of I mean does run ahead of the
revenue right now that's there's no
question about that um but the rate of
improvement of AI is faster than any
technology I've ever seen by far
and and and it
it's I mean like the for example the
touring test used to be a thing now you
know your basic uh open source random
llm writing on a freaking Raspberry Pi
probably could uh you know beat the
touring test
um so
there's I I I think actually
like like the the good future of AI is
one of immense Prosperity
where there is an age of abundance no
shortage of goods and
services everyone can have whatever they
want unless except for things we
artificially Define to be scarce like
some special
artwork um but but anything that is a
manufactured good or provided Service uh
will I think with the Adent of AI plus
robotics that the cost of goods and
services will be
will Trend to zero like I'm not saying
it be actually zero but it'll
be it every everyone will be able to
have anything they want uh that that's
the good future of course and you know
in my view that's probably 80% likely so
look on the bright
side only 20% 20% probability of
annihilation nothing
um is is the 20% like what does that
look like I don't know man I mean
frankly I do have to go engage in some
degree of of deliberate suspension of
disbelief with respect to AI in order to
sleep well um and even then um because I
I I I think the actual issue the the
most likely issue is like well how do we
find meaning in a world where AI can do
everything we can do a bit better that
that is that is perhaps the bigger
challenge um
although you know at this point I know
more and more people who are retired and
they seem to enjoy that life
so uh but I think that that may be maybe
there'll be some crisis of meaning like
because the computer can do everything
you can do but better so maybe that'll
be a challenge um but but really uh you
know you need you need the sort of end
factors you need the the autonomous cars
and
you need the sort of humanoid robots or
your general purpose robots um but once
you have general purpose humanoid robots
um and autonomous
vehicles uh you really you you you can
build anything um and and and this I
think that there's no actual limit to
the size of the economy I mean there
obviously you know the mass of Earth you
know like that one limit um but the you
know the economy is is really just the
average productivity per person times
number of people that's the economy and
if you if you've got humanoid robots
that can do you know where there's no
real limit on the number of humanoid
robots um and and they they can operate
very intelligently then then there's no
actual limit to the economy in there's
no meaningful limit to the economy you
guys just turned on Colossus which is
like the largest private cluster I guess
of gpus anywhere is that it's it's the
it's the most powerful supercomputer of
any kind um which sort of speaks to what
David said and kind of what Peter said
which is a lot of the kind of economic
value so far of ai ai is entirely gone
to Nvidia but there are people with
Alternatives and you're actually one
with an alternative now you have a very
specific case because Dojo is really
about images and large images huge
video um yeah I mean the the the Tesla
problem is different from the
um you know the sort of llm problem uh
the nature of the intelligence actually
is actually and
and the what what matters in the AI is
is different um to to the point you just
made which is that in the in tales's
case the context uh length is very long
so we've got gigabytes of context G
context Windows yeah yeah you've got you
know sort of uh we just bringing it up
kind of billions of tokens of context NY
amount of context because you've got um
seven seven cameras and if if you've got
several you know let's say you've got a
minute of several high high def cameras
then that's gigabytes so you need to
compress so the Tesla problem is you got
to compress a gigantic context um into
the the pixels that are that actually
matter um
and you know and and and condense that
over a time so you've got in both uh the
time Dimension the space Dimension
you've got to compress the pixels u in
space and the pixels over in time
um and and and then and then have that
inference done on a tiny computer
relatively speaking a small you know a
few hundred watt uh it's a Tesla
designed AI inference computer uh which
is by still the best there isn't a
better thing we could buy from suppliers
so the Tesla designed AI inference
computer that's in the cars is better
than anything we could buy from any
supplier just by the way that's kind of
a by way the the Tesla ai ai CHP team is
extremely good you guys in the design
there is a technical paper and there was
a deck that somebody on your team from
Tesla published and it was stunning to
me you designed your own transport
control like layer over ethernet you're
like ah ethernet's not good enough for
us you have this TT Coe or something and
you're like oh we're just going to
reinvent ethernet and like string these
chips it's pretty incredible stuff
that's happening over there yeah um no
the team the the Tesla chip design team
is extremely extremely good um so um but
is there a world where for example other
people over time that need you know some
sort of like video use case or image use
case theoretically you know you'd say oh
why not you know I have some extra
Cycles over here so which should kind of
make you a competitor of Nvidia it's not
intentionally per se
but um yeah I mean
the you know this training and inference
and we we do have you know two those two
projects at T we've got Dojo which is
the the training computer uh and then um
you know our inference chip which is in
every every car inference computer um so
and Dojo we've only had Dojo one Dojo 2
is um you know should be we should have
Dojo 2 in volume towards the end of next
year um and and that that that will be
we think sort of comparable to uh the
sort of a b200 typ type system a
training system um and um you know so
there's I guess there's some potential
for for that to be used as a service um
and but like
you Dojo is is just kind of like I mean
we're I guess I guess I have like some
improved confidence in Dojo
um but I think we won't really know how
good Dojo is until probably version
three like usually takes three major
iterations on a technology for it to be
to be excellent um and we'll only have
the second major iteration next year um
the third iteration I don't know maybe
late you know 26 or something like that
how's the uh how's the Optimus project
going I remember when we talked last um
and you said this publicly that it's in
doing some light testing inside the
factory
um so it's actually being useful what's
the build of materials and when you know
for something like that at scale so when
you start making it like you're making
the model three now and there's a
million of them coming off the factory
line what would the would they cost 20
30 $40,000 you think yeah I mean what I
mean I've discovered really that you
know anything made in sufficient volume
will ASM totically approach the cost of
its of its uh
materials so now there's there's I
should say the there's some some things
are constrained by the cost of
intellectual property and like paying
for patents and stuff so a lot of you
know what what's in a a chip is like
paying paying royalties um and
depreciation of the chip faab so but the
actual modal cost of the chips is very
low um so so so Optimus it obviously is
humanoid robot it it is it weighs much
less than it's much smaller than a car
um so the you could expect that in high
volume uh and and i' said you also
probably need three three production
versions of Optimus so you need to
refine the design three at least three
major times and and then you need scale
production
to sort of the million unit plus per
year
level and I think at that point the cost
the the you know the labor materials on
Optimus is probably not much more than
10,000
yeah and that's a decade long journey
maybe basically think of it like Optimus
will cost less than um a a small car
right
so at at scale volume with three major
iterations of technology and and so if a
small car you know costs $225,000 you
know it's it's probably like I don't
know $220,000 for for an Optimus for a
humanoid robot that can be your your
body like a combination of R2D2 and c3p
a bit
better I mean you know that's I honestly
I think people are going to get really
attached to their humanoid robot because
I mean like you look at sort of watch
Star Wars and it's like R2D2 and see3 I
love those guys um you know they're
awesome um and their personality and and
I mean and all all R2 could do is just
beef at you could couldn't speak English
um c3p to translate the beeps you know
so you're in year two of that if you did
two or three years per iteration or
something it's a decade long journey for
this to hit some sort of scale I I would
say m major iterations are less than two
years so okay um it's probably on the
order of five five years yeah
uh maybe six to get to a million units a
year and at that price point everybody
can afford one on planet Earth I mean
it's going to be that one: one two: one
what do you think ultimately if we're
sitting here in 30 years the number of
robotss on the planet versus Humans yeah
I think the number of robots will vastly
exceed the number of humans vastly yeah
vastly exceed I mean you have to say
like who who would not want their robot
buddy everyone wants a robot buddy
um you know this is like it especially
if it can you know you know it can take
care of your your take your dog for a
walk it could you know mo mow the lawn
it could watch your kids uh it could you
know like it could it could teach your
kids it could it could we could also
send it to Mars we could send a lot of
robots to Mars to do the work needed to
yeah make it a colonized planet for you
Mars is already the robot Planet there's
like a whole bunch of you know robots
like Rovers and Rob helicopter yes only
robots um so yeah the no I I think the
the sort of useful humanoid
robot opportunity is the single biggest
opportunity
ever
um because if you assume like that I
mean the I think the ratio of humanoid
robots to humans is going to be at least
2 to one maybe 3 to one because
everybody every everybody will want one
and then there'll be a bunch of robots
that you don't see that are making goods
and services and you think it's a
general one generalized robot that then
learns how to do different tasks or yeah
hey um I mean we are a
generalized yeah we're a generalized
robot we're just made of meat you know
uh we're a meat General meat yeah I mean
operating my meat puppet you know um so
um yeah we are
actually and by the way it turns out
like as we're designing Optimus we sort
of learn more and more about why humans
are shaped the way they're shaped and
you know and why we have five fingers
and why your little finger is smaller
than you know your index finger uh you
know you know obviously why you have
opposable thumbs but also why for
example your the muscles the major
muscles that operate your hand are
actually in your forearm and and your
fingers are primarily operated like um
your the muscles that actuate your
fingers um are located the vast majority
of the of your finger strength is
actually coming from your
forearm um and your fingers are being
operated by tendons little
strings that that's and so the current
current version of the Optimus hand uh
has the actuators in the hand and has
only 11 degrees of freedom so it can't
it's not as doesn't have all the degrees
of freedom of human hand which has
depending on how you count it roughly 25
degrees of freedom um and
uh and and and and it's also like not
strong enough in certain ways because
the actuators have to fit in the hand um
so the Next Generation Optimus hand uh
which we have in Prototype form
uh the the actuators have moved to the
forearm just like a human and they
operate the the fingers through cables
just like a human hand and uh and then
the next Generation had has 22 degrees
of
freedom um which we think
is enough to do almost anything that a
human can do
um and presumably I think it was written
that X and Tesla may work together and
you know provide services but my
immedate thought went to oh if you just
provide a grock to the robot then the
robot has a personality and can process
oh yeah voice and video and images and
all of that stuff as the uh as we wrap
here U I think uh you know everybody
talks about all the projects you're
working on but um people don't know you
have a great sense of humor that's not
true oh you do you do um people don't
see it but I would say one of I know for
me the funniest week of my life or one
of the funniest was when you did SNL and
we got and you you I got to tag along
maybe you saw it um maybe behind the
scenes like some of your funniest
Recollections of that chaotic insane
week when we laughed for 12 hours a day
it was a little terrorizing on the first
couple of days but yeah I was I was bit
worried the beginning there because
frankly nothing was funny um day one was
rough rough um yeah so I mean
it's like a rule but can't you guys just
say it just say the stuff that got on
the cutting some the funniest skits were
the ones that didn't let you do that's
what I'm saying can you just say there
were a couple of funny ones yeah that
they didn't let you you can say it so
that he doesn't get I mean how much time
do we have here well we should just give
one or two because it
was in your mind which one do we regret
most not getting on
air you really want to hear that I I
mean I mean it was a little I see it was
a little
funny
okay here we go all right here we go
guys all right so one of the things that
um I think everyone's been sort of
wondering this whole time is is Saturday
night Saturday Night Live actually live
like live live live live or do they have
like a delay or like just in case you
know there's a wardrobe malfunction or
something like that uh is it like a you
knowu 5sec delay what's really going on
but there's a there's a way to test this
right we came out the way there's a way
to test this um which is we don't tell
them what's going on as I I W on and
says this is the script I throw it on
the ground we're going to find out
tonight right now it's Saturday if sat
night life is actually
live and the way that we're going to do
this is I'm going to take my [ __ ]
[Applause]
out this is the greatest pitch ever and
and if if if if you see my
[ __ ] you know it's
true and if you don't it's been a lie
it's been a lie all these years all
these years now this is we're going to
bust them right now and this we're
pitching this yeah yeah so ping this on
Zoom yeah ping this on zoom on like a
Monday after like yeah we're like kind
of hung over from the weekend and like
Ping thisi and and and it's h it's you
know Jason's on um and uh Mike and you
yeah and Mike uh you know got like you
know who my friends who I think are sort
of you know quite funny um you know uh
Jason's quite funny I think like like
Jason's the closest thing to Cartman
that exists in the real in real life
we have a joke that he's Butters and I'm
Cartman yeah so um and then my friend
Mike's Prett funny too so so we we come
in like like just like guns blazing guns
blazing with with like ideas and we
didn't realize like actually you know
that's not how it works and and and uh
that that it's normally like actors and
and they just get told what to do and
like oh right well you mean we can't
just like do funny things that we
thought of what there watching this and
on the zoom they're a
gas pitch yeah it's silence like so I'm
like and I'm like and I was like is this
thing working is this are we muted is is
our mic on they're like we hear you yeah
and then and then after a long silence
like Mike's Mike just says the word
crickets crickets and they're not
laughing they're going to not even going
to chugle like what's going on and then
Elon explains the punchline yes which is
exactly so there's more to it okay yes
that's just the
beginning so Elon says so so then I'm so
I'm like so so so so I said like I'm I'm
I'm going to I'm going to reach
[Laughter]
down into my pet into my pants and and I
stick my hand on my pants and I'm going
and I'm and I'm going to pull my co and
I tell this to the audience and the
audience is going to be like
go right and and and and and then and
and then and then and then I pull out a
a a baby
rooster you know yes and it's like okay
this is kind of PG you know it's like
that not that bad it's like it's this is
my tiny [ __ ]
and
and and it's like what do you think uh
and so then and do you think it's an ice
coock I mean I like it I pitch I'm like
and then Kate McKennon walks out yeah
exactly and I'm like oh no but you
haven't heard half of it Kate mcken
comes out yeah and she says Elon
expected you would have a bigger [ __ ]
yeah I like I I don't mean to disappoint
you Kate but yeah um but I I I hope you
like it anyway
um but Kate's got to come out with with
with her cat okay right uh so and Kate
says you see where you can see where
this is going and I say nice wow that's
that's a that's a that's a nice [ __ ]
you've got there
Kate wow that's amazing um it looks a
little wet was it raining
outside and then
um do you mind if I stroke your [ __ ] is
that cool it's like oh no Elon actually
can I hold your [ __ ] of course of course
Kate you definely hold my [ __ ] um and
and then you know we exchang and I think
just the audio version of this is pretty
good right um and and and um you know so
it's like wow you I really like um
stroking your [ __ ] and I was like
I and then you say I'm really enjoying
strug at your [ __ ] yes of course and um
yeah so you know they're looking at us
like oh my god what have we done
inviting these lunatics on the
program yeah they said they said like
well um it is uh it is Mother's
Day it's Mother's Day we might not want
to go with this one the mom's in the
audience and I'm like well that's a good
point well fair fair it might be a bit
uncomfortable for all the moms in the
audience maybe I don't know I don't know
maybe they'll dig it maybe they like it
uh so yeah that
was that's the um that's the that's the
that's the um cold open that didn't make
it we didn't get that on the air um but
uh we did fight for Doge yes and we got
Doge on the air Ian there's a bunch of
things that I said that were just not on
the script like they have these like Q
cards for what you're supposed to say
and I just didn't say it I just went off
off the rails yeah they didn't see that
coming yeah it's live well it's
live and uh so the Elon wanted to do
Doge this is the other one and he wanted
to do Doge on late night and he says um
Hey Jake Al can you um make sure oh yeah
so I want yeah I wanted to do the Doge
father like you sort of redo the you
know that scene from uh the the to
Godfather I mean you kind of need the
music to cue things
up you bring me on my daughter's
wedding listen you ask for Doge yeah you
got R and I give you Bitcoin but you
want do exactly you really got to set
the mood you have to have tuxedo
andice you got to have like
Mar you come to me on this day of my
Do's wedding
and you ask me for your private
keys are you even a friend you'll call
me the Dodge
father so b
b know so that has potential they had
great potential so they come to me and
I'm I'm talking to Colin um and Jo who's
got a great sense of humor and he's
amazing he loves Elon and he's like we
can't do it because of the law and stuff
like that and
the law and liability so I said it's
okay Elon called Comcast and he put in
an offer and they just accepted it we
just bought NBC so it's fine yeah and
Colin Joe looks at me I sold this so
good and he's like you're you're serious
I'm like yep we own NBC now yeah and
he's like okay well that kind of changes
things doesn't it I'm like absolutely
where're a go on on Doge yeah and then
he's like you're [ __ ] with me and I'm
I'm [ __ ] with
you or are we or are
we it was the greatest week of and that
like is like two of 10 stories yeah we
got yeah we got we'll save the other
eight yeah but it was and I was just so
happy for you to see you have a great
week of just joy and fun and letting go
cuz you were launching Rockets you're
dealing with so much [ __ ] in your
life to have those moments yeah to share
them and just laugh um it was just so
great and more of those moments I think
we got to we got to get you back on SNL
who wants them back on SNL one more time
all right ladies and gentlemen our
bestie Elon Musk
[Applause]
[Laughter]
[Applause]
Ask follow-up questions or revisit key timestamps.
In this conversation, Elon Musk discusses his perspective on various global challenges, including the importance of free speech, the need for governmental efficiency, and his optimism regarding technological advancements like AI and robotics. He highlights the impact of excessive regulations on progress and outlines his goals for SpaceX's Starship and the future of humanoid robots. Furthermore, the discussion touches on the lighthearted and chaotic experience of Musk's appearance on Saturday Night Live.
Videos recently processed by our community