HomeVideos

Bending Spoons Buys Airtable, OpenAI Hits Back at Apple, Spider-Man Ads in BMWs | Diet TBPN

Now Playing

Bending Spoons Buys Airtable, OpenAI Hits Back at Apple, Spider-Man Ads in BMWs | Diet TBPN

Transcript

906 segments

0:02

big deal. The big one that's tearing up

0:04

the timeline right now is that Air

0:06

Table, founded in 2012 and once valued

0:09

at 11.7 billion, is getting acquired by

0:13

Bending Spoons, founded in 2013 at 2.7

0:18

times ARR. Uh, once hot startup, now an

0:22

unfortunate victim of the SAS bust, says

0:25

DD Doss. Uh, it raised $1.4 4 billion

0:29

only to be sold for 1.285

0:32

billion enterprise value because they

0:35

had almost a billion dollars in cash on

0:37

the balance sheet. Uh and so the total

0:40

equity value was 2.25 billion equity

0:43

value. Uh just clearing the preference

0:45

stack. So uh early employees founders

0:48

probably got something. Later investors

0:51

probably got 1x their money back but

0:53

probably had it tied up for a few years.

0:55

So, not a good outcome, but there's some

0:58

interesting silver linings here.

1:00

Obviously, it's good for could be good

1:02

for bending spoons if they got a good

1:03

deal and they turn it into a a mammoth

1:06

cash machine. Also, there's some nuance

1:08

to where different pieces of the

1:10

business are going because they're sort

1:12

of dividing it up.

1:13

>> Really uh sort of exemplifies the

1:16

current moment where a company can sell

1:19

for over a billion dollars and

1:21

everyone's like, "Wow, that's

1:23

unfortunate."

1:24

>> Yeah. Yeah. Um and and a wakeup call to

1:27

the to the many maybe younger companies

1:30

that are at a lower revenue run rates

1:34

that are raising at much higher

1:35

valuations.

1:36

>> Yeah.

1:36

>> Uh and uh basically signaling to them

1:40

like you've you've got some uh many many

1:42

years of compounding to do.

1:44

>> Yeah. It's interesting.

1:46

There's a SAS apocalypse narrative which

1:47

is like these companies are going away.

1:50

Software won't exist. You'll just prompt

1:52

it. uh and I think there's a lot more

1:54

nuance to it than that. But one thing

1:57

that it does feel like the the

2:01

underwriting the financial trajectory of

2:03

these single point solutions SAS

2:06

products uh single player somewhat

2:09

sticky maybe not that sticky maybe

2:11

replaceable. Uh it's not that they're

2:13

going to zero. Bending Spoons wouldn't

2:15

be buying it if everyone was churning

2:17

and it was going to be a zero. But at

2:19

the same time you can't grow 20%. Yeah.

2:22

Yeah. But you can't underwrite it at 40x

2:25

revenue, 100x revenue anymore. And it

2:28

feels a little bit like what happened

2:29

with uh DTOC e-commerce. Honestly, there

2:32

was a moment where uh e-commerce brands

2:35

were venturebackable and you could and

2:38

you could underwrite them or they were

2:41

being underwritten similarly to venture

2:45

startups that had true moes, true

2:47

compounding advantages. they would get

2:49

the same multiple as a SpaceX or or an

2:52

AI company or or a social media company

2:54

and that never really made sense. It was

2:57

sort of a just a weird quirk in the

2:59

system for a couple years and then go

3:02

forward a few years when there were some

3:04

pullback. Some of the IPOs went out,

3:06

they didn't do that well. they traded

3:08

down. Um, and all of a sudden it was

3:10

like, okay, well, if we're doing if

3:12

we're doing, you know, in my case, like

3:13

food on the internet and we're going to

3:15

VC back a food company like, has Nestle

3:18

been disrupted? Like, no. And that would

3:20

or Unilver is Unilever trading down like

3:22

crazy because they're facing so much

3:24

pressure and uh that's usually what

3:26

happens when there truly is disruptive

3:28

innovation. Like you see this with uh I

3:30

saw some crazy post about how uh people

3:32

were bearish on Starlink uh for for a

3:34

while and the company that they were

3:35

competing with just went bankrupt and

3:36

and you see this with you know social

3:38

media came out and yes like the

3:40

newspaper and the internet actually the

3:42

newspaper stocks did actually trade

3:44

down. Uh that never happened in uh in

3:46

e-commerce DTOC e-commerce any of that

3:49

uh and and we're now in this new regime.

3:51

So I think that there's actually a

3:53

pretty safe path if you just build the

3:56

business if you're saying look I am in

3:58

this SAS uh industry it is going to be

4:00

more competitive going forward but I'm

4:02

setting myself up to have a reasonable

4:04

multiple so that uh at every point if

4:07

I'm trading at three times ARR I'm happy

4:10

because the cap table's set up for that

4:11

right

4:12

>> yeah one thing I will say is uh I

4:15

started using air table it was 2015

4:17

right so I probably started using it a

4:19

few years in but uh the product the way

4:22

that I use the product back then for my

4:23

for my first business uh I would 100%

4:26

just just vibe code a solution today

4:28

because I was using like very basic

4:30

dashboard functionality I wanted

4:32

dashboards that we could use internally

4:34

share externally now it'd be very quite

4:36

easy to just do all of that uh in codeex

4:39

or your favorite agent so I do think

4:41

that business is very much under under

4:43

threat over the long run but still has

4:46

sort of compounding uh that it can do

4:48

just given how how deep it into the

4:51

Fortune 500 and a long tale of small

4:54

businesses.

4:55

>> I'd be very interested to know what is,

4:57

you know, new user, new logo growth like

5:01

versus just expansion within an

5:03

organization because if you have some

5:06

company that's already sort of running

5:07

on Air Table, they're growing, so

5:08

they're adding seats, they're adding

5:10

functionality because they're sort of

5:11

bought in and they're not going to rip

5:12

it out. What does that growth rate look

5:14

like? uh versus um you know uh new

5:18

companies actually going and signing up

5:20

and saying like yes this is the best

5:22

tool for the job because you do get a

5:23

lot built for free up and like it's not

5:26

like they don't have access to AI agents

5:28

that can improve their systems like you

5:29

might be doing a lot of maintenance on

5:31

your vibe coded solution but at the same

5:33

time a lot of people especially in

5:35

smaller organizations were using this as

5:37

like just one small dashboarding tool

5:39

one small database uh that is sort of

5:42

replicable so interesting to see where

5:44

it goes. those and uh yeah just like an

5:48

an interesting data point in the SAS

5:50

apocalypse late stage growth like is it

5:53

a zombie corn what are you what term are

5:55

you using for it Jared Sleeper has some

5:57

more thoughts 480 million ARR growing

6:00

20% it's a unicorn exit many very

6:03

satisfied customers including Jared

6:05

Sleeper for years fantastic run never

6:07

underestimate how much VCs love products

6:09

that make quote everyone a builder the

6:12

wrinkle is that one player products are

6:14

higher churn was Air Table. I mean, I

6:16

feel like the whole pitch for Air Table

6:17

was that it was multiplayer, but maybe

6:20

that wasn't the way that people were

6:22

actually using it that often. A lot of

6:24

people would just be like, "Oh, yeah,

6:25

that that guy on the team is using Air

6:27

Table for that thing." But I mean,

6:30

certainly from very early on the

6:32

>> I think by one player he means that you

6:34

can it's more um like productled like so

6:37

one person at a company because I've

6:39

only used it in a team capacity, right?

6:41

But one player can sign up, start using

6:44

it, invite other people to the team.

6:46

>> Yeah.

6:46

>> But it's

6:47

>> it's an advantage because you're bottom

6:48

up. You can just ramp into the different

6:50

companies so quickly. But at the same

6:51

time, if you're not like going through

6:52

the CFO and being like there's a mandate

6:55

that we're using 200 seats at once.

6:58

>> Exactly. Yeah, it is a little different.

6:59

Uh three, his third point, uh gross

7:01

retention remains the single greatest

7:03

predictive variable of terminal value

7:06

for any business that doesn't have a

7:08

scale effect or network effect. It

7:10

dictates somewhat mathematically what

7:12

folks like bending spoons will pay.

7:14

Great to see employees get liquid, but

7:16

perhaps sad that some are learning about

7:18

liquidation preferences, SAS multiples

7:21

to their disappointment. So, of course,

7:23

if you had mentally marked your stock at

7:26

11 billion, but then this deal happens,

7:29

uh, the investors that put in that money

7:31

at 11 billion, they're going to get

7:32

their money back first, and then you're

7:34

going to have to fight for whatever's

7:35

left over, the scraps. Silicon Valley

7:37

can do a better job talking to employees

7:39

about what stock is worth in various

7:41

scenarios, but no one is incentivized to

7:43

do it. Well, I mean, you can also just

7:45

look it up. There's a whole bunch of

7:47

blog posts about it. You can ask JPT and

7:49

and get a whole deep dive on run this

7:50

whole scenario and play out every

7:52

possible uh option. Um, but yes, I I I

7:56

agree. No, no one likes to, you know,

7:57

oh, we're closing a big candidate. Let's

7:59

tell them about what's going to happen

8:00

if bending spoons comes in and you

8:02

destroy.

8:03

>> Let's tell them what happens if we get

8:04

our spoon bent. [laughter]

8:06

The bending spoons is emerging as the

8:08

constellation software of the proumer

8:11

high churn higher churn SAS is a

8:14

fascinating turn of events and a good

8:16

thing for prep stacks everywhere just

8:18

because there's more liquidity for

8:19

systems.

8:20

>> Well, it's a buyer of last resort.

8:22

>> Yeah. Whereas

8:24

>> like no founder no founder setting out,

8:26

hey, I want to be, you know, go on this

8:28

generational run

8:30

>> and then get my spoon bent. Um but uh

8:33

it's still it's still great because it

8:35

allows again it is real liquidity.

8:38

>> Yeah.

8:38

>> Uh this is a win. I think bending spoons

8:41

bending spoons will obviously end up I

8:44

would I would say like right sizing the

8:46

company. They're not going to continue

8:47

to run it the same way that it's been

8:48

run, but at least it allows everyone to

8:51

um get out and uh go on to do new

8:55

things.

8:55

>> Yeah. In an interesting twist, speaking

8:57

of getting out, uh Shield Monot shares

9:00

this about the Air Table acquisition.

9:02

They spun out their AI business, Hyper

9:04

Agent, prior to the acquisition. So, the

9:06

company lives on and likely some cash

9:08

with it. Probably can be recapitalized.

9:11

Uh seems seems like a fantastic outcome.

9:14

Shed the old business and focus on AI.

9:16

So, I would be very interested to see

9:18

who is going to be working at Hyper

9:20

Agent. Is this something where the

9:22

founders didn't want to uh exit the

9:24

business entirely and then just start

9:25

from scratch? They wanted to take a

9:27

whole bunch of the team with them and

9:28

they wanted a bunch of their resources

9:30

and learnings and so they were able to

9:31

package everything up and this will be

9:33

something that's very founder-ledd or

9:34

was this just okay that is a more

9:37

expensive piece of the business. Bending

9:38

spoons it's it's it's earlier in its

9:40

ramp. Maybe it's working, maybe it's

9:42

not. But that's not the business that's

9:44

bending spoons in. And so this is more

9:45

like a bending spoon.

9:46

>> Bending spoons. Look, we've had we've

9:48

had both founders on the show. Bending

9:51

Spoons is like, "Hey, let's take a great

9:53

product and just basically rightsize the

9:56

team, run it efficiently, and we're not

9:58

trying to get growth back to 200, 300% a

10:01

year."

10:02

>> Uh, Howie's been on the show. He talked

10:04

a bit about Hyper Agent. That's a

10:06

product that if they execute well can

10:08

grow 10x year over year, right? And so I

10:11

could imagine again leaving some of the

10:13

team to just continue running Air Table

10:15

indefinitely and then again like you

10:17

said taking some of the talent out and

10:18

saying like let's take another big

10:20

swing.

10:21

>> Liquidity is is uh laughing about the

10:23

fact that Bending Spoons has a very soft

10:26

friendly brand. Bending Spoons branding

10:28

very very simple and it just sounds like

10:31

such a simple name. It's not like

10:33

Cberous Capital and yet when they

10:35

negotiate they're presumably difficult

10:37

to negotiate with. I I don't know. I

10:39

mean, in a certain situation, you can be

10:41

very friendly and amicable and just sort

10:43

of say like, "Yeah, we're we're a buyer

10:44

at 2.7 ARR, you know, we're not going to

10:47

like screw you over here. We're just

10:48

going to give you this is a fair price.

10:50

Take it or leave it and you can take

10:51

it." You don't necessarily need to be

10:53

this like crazy werewolf of like a

10:54

shark, you know?

10:55

>> Yeah. There's just not there's just not

10:57

that many there's not that many buyers

10:59

for a company like Air Table.

11:00

>> Yeah. And a a just sort of in this in

11:03

this economy a slow growing

11:05

>> enterprise software business, right?

11:07

Mhm.

11:08

>> There are not that many buyers.

11:09

>> If Air Table had wanted to sell,

11:11

>> yeah,

11:12

>> in 2020, I'm sure they would have gotten

11:14

meaningfully more. They probably did

11:16

have offers at different points. You

11:18

could imagine Air Table,

11:19

>> you know, ending up at a, you know, a

11:21

sales force as an example. Um, but now,

11:24

uh, Luca is saying the buyer of last

11:27

resort is is like, um, maybe maybe

11:30

unfair.

11:31

>> Yeah. Just like a valuebased buyer.

11:33

>> Yeah. I don't know.

11:34

>> Yeah. [laughter]

11:35

Snap earnings happened and uh Evan

11:38

Spiegel was on CNBC talking to Sorcin uh

11:42

and it's a very interesting storyline

11:45

because people are obsessed with the

11:47

specs. I mean job completed in terms of

11:50

like getting more attention for the

11:51

company, but it's been sort of a wait

11:54

around the company because the question

11:56

is like okay is is everyone going to be

11:58

buying $2,200 smart glasses from you

12:01

anytime soon? uh when that's not really

12:03

the story. The story is actually like

12:05

the revenue growth, the profit, the

12:08

operating leverage, the coming back into

12:09

the business. So, I mean, overall, it

12:11

was a good quarter for Snap. Clear beat.

12:13

Uh revenue was up 19% year-over-year. Uh

12:16

with profitability and cash generation

12:19

rising even faster. So, that's that

12:21

operating leverage. They're growing

12:22

revenue faster than their growing costs

12:25

and so they're increasing their margins.

12:27

um advertising revenue grew 9% to 1

12:30

point roughly three billion in the

12:32

quarter. But the really interesting

12:34

number that uh was surprising to me was

12:36

they're making $316 million a quarter in

12:41

subscriptions and paid services up 85%.

12:45

So just subscribing and being a paid

12:49

power user, it's only 3% of the user

12:52

base, something like that, but that's

12:53

that's now a billion dollar line of

12:55

business. obviously very high margin uh

12:58

working really plays to the strengths of

13:00

what SNAP offers um and usage is up

13:03

globally but they're losing a step in

13:05

western markets so uh the North America

13:08

I think fell 7% and Europe fell 2% and

13:12

so that's not great for long-term ad

13:14

monetization because you want to be in

13:15

the the richer countries generally but

13:18

uh still revenue is accelerating they

13:20

are monetizing better and that's

13:21

probably an AI story it's just like a

13:23

boring AI story because it's like the ad

13:25

recommend recommendation system got a

13:26

little bit better. Nobody really cares.

13:28

People want to focus on specs, but

13:30

they're $2,200 and they're bulkier than

13:33

competing smart glasses.

13:34

>> Well, it felt like in that interview

13:36

Spiegel was talking about specs, but he

13:38

wasn't wearing them.

13:39

>> Yeah. Does he need to wear them all?

13:40

>> I think he kind of needs to wear them

13:41

all the time.

13:42

>> Wear them. I mean, you're going to hold

13:44

Apple to that. Tim Cook's got to wear

13:46

Vision Pro everywhere he goes. That'd be

13:48

hilarious.

13:48

>> No, but but the Vision Pro is not me.

13:50

>> Augmented reality. It's augmented

13:52

reality. It's meant to be worn 24/7 if

13:54

you're a serious person.

13:57

Let's actually pull up.

13:58

>> You should do a full show if you love

14:00

>> I could

14:00

>> Apple Vision Pro so much.

14:02

>> Not be a problem. Not

14:03

>> do the full show.

14:04

>> Okay.

14:04

>> Do the full show this Friday.

14:06

>> We'll we'll we'll test run it with

14:07

Tyler. Um

14:10

so, uh here here here's an interesting

14:12

tidbit. Specs, it feels like oh my god,

14:15

they're spending so much money. It's

14:17

like so crazy. I think the rough

14:19

estimate is like 300 million a year

14:22

which is a lot but it's only 5% of their

14:26

cost. It's like 20% of their overall R&D

14:29

budget maybe something like that. These

14:31

are very rough numbers but uh it's not

14:34

like it's not like if they just spun out

14:36

specs or cut cut specs and they were

14:38

just like we're not doing anything there

14:40

all of a sudden the business is like

14:41

wildly profitable. It's not that big of

14:44

a stone around the neck. It's more just

14:46

like a distraction and a question. And

14:49

it's also not great that on the earnings

14:51

call they asked, "How many pre-orders

14:53

have you sold?" And he sort of danced

14:55

around it and didn't really give a

14:56

straight answer on that because if it

14:58

was good, you'd probably be like, "Yeah,

14:59

we sold a lot of things." Yeah. Yeah.

15:01

Yeah. Yeah.

15:01

>> Okay. Let's play a little bit of Evan

15:03

Spiegel on CNBC. Uh I want to hear him

15:06

talk.

15:07

>> Snap reporting Q2 results after the bell

15:09

on Monday. They scored an earnings beat

15:11

with $1.6 billion in revenue. 19% higher

15:14

than just one year ago. And joining us

15:16

right now uh for more Snapsio Evan

15:18

Spiegel. He did not bring his glasses on

15:20

the set. But we're going to talk about

15:21

those glasses in just a minute because I

15:23

think that's been a big part of the

15:24

story. But um you beat uh across the

15:27

board, not just by the way on the

15:28

revenue piece, but on the margin piece,

15:30

which is what I think the market was

15:31

actually looking for.

15:32

>> Yeah. Well, first of all, thanks so much

15:33

for having me on, Andrew. It's such a

15:34

beautiful morning here uh in Aspen. It

15:36

was a great quarter uh for Snap and I

15:38

think what folks are seeing is that the

15:39

free cash flow in the business is really

15:41

starting to inflect which is allowing us

15:43

to offset dilution to strengthen our

15:44

balance sheet and of course to continue

15:46

investing in the future which is so

15:47

important to us.

15:48

>> Okay

15:50

pieces of that story I mentioned glasses

15:52

we'll get there in a second. I think

15:53

glasses I want to hear him talk about

15:54

>> glass about 2200 bucks right now. 2100

15:57

bucks is what they're going to come in.

15:58

>> 21.95.

15:58

>> Okay. So, the question I keep thinking

16:01

about is

16:02

>> how quickly those can come to market in

16:04

a way at a in a way and at a price point

16:07

that people buy them uh you know on mass

16:10

and how you think about the competition

16:12

coming from whatever you think Apple is

16:13

ultimately going to create whatever you

16:15

think Google is working on and whatever

16:16

you think Meta is going to do next.

16:19

Well, we've been working for more than

16:20

12 years to reinvent the computer and

16:22

make it feel I think today people are

16:24

spending more than seven hours on

16:25

average staring at screens. Specs

16:27

represent the opportunity to bring

16:29

computing into the world to make it a

16:30

shared experience and ultimately uh to

16:32

help you know bring all the productivity

16:34

gains we saw in desktop computing and

16:36

laptop computing to the real world and

16:37

to real world jobs which is the vast

16:39

majority of jobs about 60% uh of jobs.

16:42

So I I think this computing

16:44

transformation is incredibly exciting.

16:45

We're certainly the the leader in the

16:47

space. I think specs represent a a

16:48

totally new category, right? If you look

16:50

at the landscape today, you have very

16:52

bulky uh but capable headsets and then

16:54

you have very limited uh but lightweight

16:56

AI glasses and specs represent, you

16:59

know, the capability of some of these VR

17:01

headsets and in terms of the

17:02

immersiveness and the ability uh to

17:04

really have a full workstation

17:05

experience but with the wearability of

17:07

some of these lighterweight glasses

17:08

products.

17:08

>> But do you say to yourself Apple's going

17:10

to come and do the same thing and Meta

17:12

is going to go? I mean, so how do you

17:13

think about that given the cost of of

17:15

putting this all out there and the

17:16

amount of money that some of these big

17:18

companies can actually throw at this?

17:20

>> Yeah. Well, I think, you know, as we

17:21

look at the history of of innovation, I

17:23

I actually think one of the things that

17:24

helps power innovation are constraints,

17:26

right? And and one of the things that

17:27

makes Snap so unique is that we've been

17:28

so laser focused on specs for such a

17:31

long uh period of time. So, I think this

17:33

focus, our history uh of innovation, you

17:35

know, and our first mover advantage in

17:37

the space,

17:37

>> it feels like it should be a different

17:38

company. If if you want to be laser

17:40

focused, it feels like the benefit would

17:42

be like

17:43

>> do the Elon thing, start a separate

17:45

company that is laser focused on it. The

17:48

investors in that company are laser

17:50

focused on that. The employees

17:52

>> Yeah. Have a distribution deal with

17:53

Snap.

17:54

>> Yeah. You know, like like just just have

17:56

this like, you know, get we're good on

17:59

this video. Just get Snap to a really

18:02

polished oiled machine. You own all the

18:05

equity. You you you have the founder

18:07

control. It's your, you know, your your

18:09

your financial backs stop, your your

18:11

your credibility, uh, for to actually go

18:14

and truly laser focus because like it's

18:17

weird to be laser focused on a thing

18:20

that's not your core business and then

18:22

everyone's just constantly asking you

18:23

like, "We'd love for you to laser focus

18:25

on the main business that's making

18:27

millions of dollars every year." Like,

18:29

>> seems pretty solid.

18:30

>> Yeah, it's like making $6 billion. What

18:32

do you think, Tyler? Yeah, I mean

18:33

earlier this year they did spin off the

18:35

um AI video company and that seems like

18:37

much more related to the main like you

18:39

know chat app than the glasses, right?

18:41

>> Wait, what is the AI video company?

18:43

>> I think it's called domo. It was like

18:45

their internal uh generative video

18:48

>> uh team.

18:48

>> Interesting.

18:49

>> He was talking about enterprise use

18:51

cases for the glasses.

18:52

>> I mean

18:53

>> like workplace use cases. It's so hard

18:55

to imagine. It's it's as an independent

18:57

company you make a really great device.

18:59

I can imagine that company having its

19:01

own go to market motion saying, "Hey,

19:03

Amazon, yeah, we want you to use, you

19:05

know, our devices across your

19:07

workforce." And maybe they do a pilot.

19:08

Yeah. But trying to sell in like

19:10

Snapchat glasses into the enterprise.

19:13

Yeah.

19:13

>> Feels like just going to be a tough

19:15

sell.

19:15

>> Open AAI is firing back at Apple.

19:18

>> Uh, a little little glazy though. They

19:20

say Apple is one of the greatest

19:22

companies of all time. What a funny way

19:24

to kick off a a blog post. Firing back

19:27

at a lawsuit. Apple just cooked. Uh,

19:30

open AI just cooked.

19:31

>> Well, they say and built a reputation

19:32

for obsessing over the smallest details.

19:34

True. And then they go on to say maybe

19:37

there were some details that were

19:39

missed.

19:40

>> Yes. So, what what were the key things

19:42

that they said? They accused Apple

19:44

accused OpenAI of ignoring them. Turns

19:46

out the lawyers emailed the wrong Asian

19:48

guy because two Asian last names look

19:50

similar. Uh, they claimed you discussed

19:52

the allegations with OpenAI's general

19:54

counsel. They admitted that that

19:56

conversation never happened. Accused ex

19:59

an an ex employee of improperly

20:01

accessing files. They forgot to mention

20:03

Apple employees were allegedly asking

20:05

him to access those same files after he

20:07

left. So the there seemed to be some

20:09

scenario where like the guy had left but

20:11

he had so much internal knowledge that

20:13

someone at Apple was just like, "Hey,

20:14

like can you remind me where this thing

20:16

is or something?"

20:17

>> Yeah. When reading through the initial

20:20

complaint, Apple made it seem like the

20:23

employee or the former employee was just

20:26

running wild through his old laptop. Y

20:29

>> he had sent a message to someone at

20:31

Apple saying something to the effect,

20:33

I'm paraphrasing, but I still have

20:35

access to my computer, lol. But the

20:38

reason that in the text messages that

20:41

they shared, you can imagine the reason

20:43

that he was there and sending that

20:44

message. Why would he send the message

20:46

if he was doing something that he was

20:48

that was wrong or that he would feel

20:49

guilty of, right? He was helping

20:52

>> his former teammates. And they say,

20:54

"There's 10 other people I could ask

20:55

you, but you're the smartest or

20:57

something like that." Yeah.

20:58

>> Um and and so when you have all this

21:02

context, the story looks quite a lot

21:04

different.

21:04

>> Yeah. They're sharing a lot of text

21:06

messages. You can go read the blog post,

21:07

but there's like full back and forth IME

21:09

messages between Chong Leu and Apple

21:12

employees where Chang, whose last day at

21:15

Apple was January 22nd, 2026, is being

21:17

asked by his former colleagues to help

21:19

them locate files and information to

21:21

assist them with their Apple work. Uh,

21:23

note other individual names and Apple

21:25

confid confidential information has been

21:27

redacted. So certainly another another

21:29

wild uh

21:30

>> Yeah, I'm still I'm still just very

21:32

surprised that that Apple during the

21:35

middle of a, you know, a a year-long

21:38

talent raid

21:40

>> uh would know that someone significant

21:43

had quit and that would not go through

21:45

the process of actually

21:47

>> taking back their laptop and making sure

21:50

that um you know the the separation was

21:53

um really finalized. Yeah, people people

21:56

have been saying stories how

21:57

historically, you know, maybe call it 15

22:00

years ago, if you quit Apple, someone

22:03

would show up to your house immediately

22:05

and take back any prototypes that you

22:07

may have had or anything anything of the

22:09

sort.

22:09

>> Yeah.

22:10

>> Um

22:10

>> I'm excited for prediction markets to

22:12

get on this. Honestly, it was very

22:14

helpful during the uh the Elon Musk

22:17

OpenAI case. Uh currently, Khi has a few

22:20

here. Uh, will the OpenAI Johnny IVive

22:23

device have a screen? No. Is at 82%.

22:27

Um, when will OpenAI release Astra?

22:30

There's some dates here. What else are

22:33

they Will Open AAI increase the cost of

22:34

Chad GPT? No, at 87%. Uh, no market on

22:39

the Apple lawsuit because it's it's

22:41

still very early. There's not even like

22:42

a court date yet. Um, but we'll keep

22:44

tracking it because it's an interesting

22:46

story. Uh, is BMW forcing owners to

22:51

watch a Spider-Man brand new day promo

22:54

when they start their cars up? That's

22:56

the question. A lot of people were upset

22:58

about this. Jordy this morning is like,

23:00

"This is awful." Uh, there's some nuance

23:03

here. So BMW BMW owners are debating the

23:07

company's latest in-car promotion after

23:09

videos spread across X showing a

23:12

Spider-Man brand new day animation

23:14

appearing on their vehicles infotainment

23:16

screen at startup.

23:17

>> And the reason why this uh fake news

23:20

triggered me was back in the day in

23:22

college I was getting a Kindle and on

23:24

the checkout page it was like do you

23:26

want to save $10 and get the ad

23:29

supported Kindle? Mhm.

23:30

>> And as a college student, I was like,

23:31

hm, saving $10 sounds pretty nice. And

23:34

then I had to live with a Kindle that

23:36

would sit on my bedside table just

23:38

blaring ads in my face constantly. And

23:41

it wasn't like I would have actually

23:42

appreciated [laughter] ads.

23:43

>> Can't you just flip it upside down?

23:45

>> True. True. One

23:47

>> one simple. One simple trick.

23:48

>> Jordy hates this one.

23:49

>> One simple trick. But it wouldn't be ads

23:51

for like Spider-Man. It would be ads for

23:54

random books.

23:56

>> Right. Yeah. Books

23:57

>> that uh And the targeting wasn't good.

23:59

M.

23:59

>> So again, people don't like ads.

24:01

>> Target was good.

24:03

>> Um, anyways, what happened here, John?

24:04

>> Okay, so venture capitalist Shield Monot

24:06

wrote, "When you start a BMW, it shows

24:09

you an ad for Spider-Man really cheapens

24:12

the BMW in my opinion." A 16Z partner

24:15

Josh Elman added, "Of all the brands I

24:17

thought I might I thought might bombard

24:20

you with in-car ads on screen right when

24:23

you start the engine, I had BMW pretty

24:25

dang low on that list. Uh, this seems

24:28

the opposite of luxury and performance.

24:30

Is BMW a luxury brand? Thought they were

24:33

premium.

24:34

>> I Yeah, I think it's a premium brand.

24:36

>> Premium brand. Uh, even Paul Graham

24:37

weighed in though, uh, reposting Monot's

24:40

video and saying, "I'm never buying a

24:42

BMW. He's never buying a BMW." What

24:45

about an old BMW? They can't show you

24:47

ads in a E39.

24:48

>> Wait, but what what actually happened?

24:50

You have to opt into this.

24:51

>> Community notes added important context.

24:54

According to one note, the Spider-Man

24:56

promotion is an optional startup banner

24:59

available on compatible BMWs from July

25:01

27th through August 10th, 2026. The

25:04

banner does not automatically play a

25:07

full screen ad. Instead, owners must tap

25:10

it to launch a themed animation

25:11

featuring music and synchronized vehicle

25:13

lighting. BMW has offered similar

25:16

limited time startup experiences in the

25:17

past, including holiday themed

25:19

animations.

25:21

>> Very, very, very different. Uh, you can

25:23

just see the popup there. Surprise,

25:25

Spider-Man just dropped into your BMW.

25:28

And that's an ad.

25:29

>> If you press the button, you have to

25:31

actually turn it on. It It's not

25:33

>> Yes. Yes. But I'm saying there's a

25:34

banner ad.

25:36

>> Oh, there is a banner ad.

25:37

>> It's just a banner. Look at the video.

25:38

Start it over.

25:39

>> Uh, let's see. Let's Let's be the judge

25:41

of this.

25:42

>> Look at this banner. It's a banner.

25:44

>> Oh, okay.

25:45

>> You click the banner, then it plays an

25:47

ad.

25:47

>> So, it's a popup that you click.

25:50

>> Okay. And it's like, wait, what is this

25:51

popup? Why does my car have a popup

25:54

into a setting somewhere? There should

25:56

be an icon that's like promotions or

25:58

themes

25:59

>> that didn't look tucked in anywhere.

26:01

They're literally saying surprise a

26:03

Spider-Man ad. And [laughter] they're

26:05

not like they should just say, "Hey, we

26:07

have an ad for Spider-Man here

26:10

>> if you'd like one."

26:11

>> Okay, this is right on the line.

26:12

>> But this this is this is this crosses my

26:15

line.

26:16

>> This crosses your line

26:16

>> because you're like, "What does

26:17

Spider-Man do? What does what does

26:19

Spider-Man have to do with my car? And

26:22

then you click it and you get an ad for

26:23

Spider-Man.

26:24

>> Spider-Man's doing well, though. So, the

26:25

ads are working. So, [laughter] you

26:27

know, maybe the BMW show owner showed up

26:30

in droves because the new Spider-Man

26:32

movie scores Hollywood's second biggest

26:34

debut ever. That's actually huge. The

26:38

Sony film grossed $932

26:42

million through Sunday, topped only by

26:45

2019's Avengers Endgame. That is

26:48

massive. Did you realize that this movie

26:50

was making that much money?

26:52

>> I mean, if you had asked me an hour ago,

26:54

is there a new Spider-Man movie coming

26:56

out? I would say haven't heard of

26:58

anything.

27:00

>> Yeah, I I haven't seen that much energy

27:04

about it. I've been aware of it, but I

27:05

have not I've not seen like a massive

27:07

takeover. Um, but also I'm not driving

27:10

an ad supported BMW, so maybe that's the

27:12

problem. Uh, Spider-Man spun a massive

27:15

weekend for movie theaters, flouting

27:17

superhero fatigue and giving a major

27:19

boost to Hollywood summer block uh, box

27:21

office. Sony Pictures Spider-Man brand

27:23

new day open to an estimated 9.

27:25

>> We got some good ideas here in the chat.

27:27

>> Yeah. What what we got?

27:28

>> So, adup supported cars that get you

27:31

free self-driving where they the ads

27:34

take over the whole entertainment system

27:37

in the car. So, you're sitting there

27:38

relaxing. You know, the car is driving

27:40

itself, but then it's just blaring high

27:43

volume every

27:44

>> I'll take it a step further.

27:45

>> Every five minutes, one 30 second ad.

27:48

>> What if there was What if there was a

27:49

whole company dedicated to building

27:52

self-driving cars that was funded by an

27:55

advertising company, like a company that

27:57

just prints billions, hundreds of

27:59

billions of dollars in advertising, like

28:01

their DNA is advertising, and then they

28:03

go into the self-driving?

28:06

They would have a huge advantage in

28:07

terms of targeting.

28:08

>> Why has no one done this before?

28:09

>> Yeah. Or they could even have a video

28:12

platform where they're making a lot of

28:14

money running video ads and they could

28:15

take that video almost like a YouTube

28:18

Yeah. Exactly. So you could have like,

28:19

you know, a huge ad network, YouTube

28:22

ads, and then you could have a

28:23

self-driving car company, put them all

28:25

together. That's synergy, right?

28:26

>> And maybe you could spin the company out

28:28

at some point and raise some venture

28:29

capital, too.

28:30

>> Spin the company out.

28:33

>> [laughter]

28:34

>> They secretly still advertising. No, I

28:36

don't think Whimo will do crazy ads. I

28:38

think I don't know. Maybe

28:41

>> a major streaming executive just text a

28:44

major streaming executive just texted me

28:46

and says, "Okay, going to get Tuby to

28:48

build a car right now. [laughter]

28:51

>> You got to build a car. You got to do

28:55

SpaceX announces a new partnership with

28:57

Nvidia to design its Star Mind AI1

29:00

payload, bringing data center class

29:02

compute into orbit. Uh, that makes a lot

29:06

of sense. Let's find some actual

29:10

numbers.

29:10

>> So, uh, revenue was 7.81 billion versus

29:14

6.93 billion expected. Loss per share

29:18

was 9 cents. Um average analyst

29:21

estimated a loss of 26 cents. Uh revenue

29:25

jumped 92% from 4.1 billion a year

29:29

earlier. So huge. You know, you're even

29:33

at this scale still doubling the

29:34

revenue. And it's the first time Elon

29:37

Musk's reusable rocket maker will face

29:40

Wall Street in this capacity. And

29:41

investors are jittery. SpaceX stock has

29:44

dropped uh 16% since opening at $150 a

29:47

share on June 12th. And uh SpaceX lost

29:51

4.9 billion last year largely due to

29:53

heavy investments in artificial

29:55

intelligence which we've discussed. Uh

29:57

the company merged with Musk's XAI in

30:00

February. CNBC reports saying that at

30:03

the time the vision was to build data

30:05

centers in space but the launch [snorts]

30:06

business which counts uh on large

30:08

contracts from NASA is losing money.

30:11

Most of SpaceX revenue for the year and

30:12

its only source of profit came from its

30:14

connectivity segment uh which consists

30:16

of its Starlink internet service.

30:18

Starlink is sold directly to consumers.

30:20

Um so here's how SpaceX performed in the

30:23

three key segments. Uh for space they

30:26

brought in 962 million versus $835

30:31

million which was expected. So they beat

30:34

in space. On connectivity they brought

30:36

in 4.29 billion. So the Starlink

30:40

business is four more than four times

30:42

the size of the actual launch business.

30:44

They brought in 4.29 billion versus 3.8

30:47

83 billion that was expected. So they

30:49

beat there and on AI they brought in

30:52

2.56 billion versus 2.18 billion

30:56

expected. So beats across the board and

30:59

very interesting to see that the thing

31:01

that they started doing space of course

31:03

launching rockets uh is now their third

31:07

largest line of business. Connectivity

31:09

is of course bigger and also AI is

31:11

bigger.

31:12

>> Everything is computer John.

31:13

>> Everything is computer. That is a good

31:16

summation of it

31:17

>> and that's a good place to end our show.

Interactive Summary

The video discusses several key business and tech news items. First, it covers the acquisition of Airtable by Bending Spoons for 2.7 times ARR, highlighting it as a notable example of the "SAS bust" and a challenging outcome for later investors, though employees might have received some liquidity. A key point is the spin-out of Airtable's AI business, Hyper Agent, prior to the acquisition, allowing the founders to focus on AI. Second, Snap's Q2 earnings showed strong revenue growth and profitability, with a significant rise in subscription services, though user growth in Western markets declined. The debate around Snap's Spectacles (smart glasses) as a distraction versus a core investment is also explored. Third, OpenAI has fired back at Apple's lawsuit, accusing Apple of inaccuracies and misrepresenting facts regarding alleged data access by a former employee. Fourth, a controversy involving BMW displaying an optional Spider-Man ad on car startup screens drew criticism, but it was clarified to be an opt-in banner, not a forced full-screen ad. This coincides with the new Spider-Man movie's massive box office success. Finally, SpaceX's Q1 earnings revealed that its Starlink internet service (connectivity) and AI initiatives (merged with XAI) now generate more revenue than its traditional rocket launch business, showcasing a shift towards diversified revenue streams.

Suggested questions

8 ready-made prompts