My Best and Worst Stocks of 2024 Part 1 of 2
501 segments
all right so as 2024 draws to a close I
thought it'd be useful to share with you
in my portfolio what are the best stocks
that contributed the gains in my
portfolio and what are the worst
performing stocks that drag down my
gains this year and more importantly
what do I do with the uh best performing
stocks do I sell them to take profit do
I hold them and what do I do with the
worst performing stocks do I cut loss
and get out or do I buy more well let's
find out in this video
[Music]
all right so we' have got I think less
than three trading days left to the year
and I think for most of you who have
been invested in the US market you
should be seeing you know pretty good
gains In This Very bullish year
personally for me I've got several
portfolios and this is the main
portfolio that my uip subscribers my
students they look at is the one that I
show them every month of performance so
here to dat you can see that the per the
port folio is up
28.425o date 26.6 3% in terms of the
value of the performance for this
portfolio is up 1 Point uh close to 1.3
million us of gains for the year but
again remember that you know when you
look at someone who's able to grow their
portfolio not just me but you know many
other investors out there you know not
every stock goes up that year not every
stock performs uh that year all right so
in a portfolio you've got stocks that
perform and stocks that underperform so
I like to run through VI what are the
stocks that you know perform the best
for me this year and the ones that have
underperformed this year and uh let me
show you uh from this uh newsletter this
is a newsletter that I send to all my
students every month it's a monthly
investment newsletter so this the latest
December issue and I actually wrote
about it so let me talk a bit about it
so let me scroll down over here
and let me get to that section ah there
we are okay so so far uh year to date
and again there three days left my best
performing stocks for this year and
again some of them I bought quite a few
years ago all right so they have been
performing quite well but this year
palente here has been my best performer
it's up
36% uh that's uh in the first place uh
number two Nvidia in second place up
179% in third place meta platforms up
73% uh next 4et up 65% service now up
59% broadcom up 52% booking up 49%
Amazon up 43% and Salesforce up
39% uh so yeah this is my interactive
brokers platform you can see all the
stocks over there right and again some
of them like paler I didn't buy it this
year I bought it some time ago so my
average price for paler is about you
know $11 so right now at $83 it's up uh
almost eight times all right and like
again Nvidia as you guys have been
following me I bought it back in
2022 uh November and I bought Nvidia
initially at $15 this is the post spit
price I bought it $15 and then I did the
stupid thing of selling it at um
$48 yeah I sold it at $48 I was a bloody
idiot right and then I bought it back at
about
$550 if I'm not wrong 530 540 and now
it's $140 okay so you can see that my
average
price uh and I bought more along the way
my average price is $60 and so that is
like double but in actual fact I started
buying at $15 if I was not an idiot to
sell and buy it back I'm sure many of
you have done that idiotic thing as well
like me you know you know meta platforms
uh uh again uh I also bought a lot and
as you guys know I was stupid to sell
covered calls on half my position so
half got called away and uh if not for
that would have made a lot more money
right so these are the best performing
stocks in the portfolio so at the end of
every year I like to look at my best
performing stocks and to ask the
question what made them the best
performing stocks and so if you take a
look at you know these stocks I just
showed you what do you think they all
have in common take a closer look right
that's right they all are AI related
stocks which makes sense because we are
at the beginning of the AI Revolution
all right so pretty simple why they with
the best performing stocks now the next
question that then I would ask myself
would be okay so they've done very well
for the portfolio like pent here it's up
like almost eight times and Nvidia from
the time I bought it $15 is up again
about nine times right is it time to
take profit or should I hold and in fact
buy more now again bear in mind that I'm
talking uh from the perspective of an
investor and not a Trader Trader very
simple hit the profit Target we get out
hit the stop loss we get out but for
investor the whole idea is to let the
gains compound and compound and compound
over time so from investment perspective
the question I ask myself is this does
is this company still growing is it
still a great company does it still have
a strong economic mode and does it still
have a long Runway ahead and if the
answer is yes I don't sell I hold and in
fact I will buy even
more next year if the price
retraces near or below the intrinsic
value one of my students just posted uh
my pener position just hit 1,000% gain I
think she bought it about $8 and so
she's up like 10x and what you realize
is that many people they always dream
that I want to buy a stock that goes up
10x or 20x or or or 5x right and the
reason why many people can't achieve
that is not because they pick the wrong
stock it's not because they don't pick
the right stock but because for many
people they they have this overwhelming
temptation to take profit way before it
reaches 10x now ask yourself this
question you know most people they buy a
stock at $50 and if goes up 50% to $75
they say oh I'm going to get out before
I lose everything right or if it goes up
to 100% right from the $50 stock goes at
$100 they say 100% up they they take
profit so think about it if you want to
get that 10x stock like like banteer
that means you must resist you must
resist selling it when it's up 20% up
50% up 100% up 200% up 300% up 500% up
700% up 800% you're going to resist
selling which for most people is so
difficult because they think if I if I
don't sell it what if I lose everything
okay but that's the secret to
compounding your wealth you have to
resist selling as long as it's a again
it's a great company it's got a long
Runway and you know it's it's growing it
makes sense to keep holding a great
company but then some of you may say but
Adam isn't palen like way overvalued
right now you know I heard that one of
your rules is that even as a great
company if it's way overvalued you
should sell uh if it's way overvalued
you're right you know you're right okay
in fact let me give you some uh some
more information about that so I if you
look at palente yes it is very
overvalued currently based on its
current earnings and cash flow in fact
my latest intrinsic value for palen here
is about
$28 that's my intrinsic value and right
now is at freaking $84 right so it's
like way above the intrinsic value so
people say then Adam why aren't you
selling okay well let me explain myself
to you okay um now again like I said
shortterm is way overvalued and I won't
be surprised let me put this way I won't
be surprised if palente drops 50% or
even s i I'm not surprised but then
where why am I not selling because you
know palent is one of those companies
where after I really studied the
business in depth
I realized that there's no company quite
like it okay and I'm looking at where
palente here will be 10 years from now I
don't care where it'll be one year two
years three years from now if it drops
50% I don't care I'm see where it's
going to be 10 years from now and if you
understand what paler really does paler
basically offers an integrated ecosystem
and operating system for the AI world
right so to me you know palena could be
the next Apple of the mobile Revolution
the next Microsoft of the of the of the
OS Revolution right where AI agents data
and uh uh Global Information is built on
palenia platform on Enterprises all
around the world I'm not saying
guaranteed it's going to happen but it
could happen Okay so in other words if
you look at palent here right now
palen's market cap is about $190 billion
okay and if you look at Salesforce now
Salesforce is kind of like the leader in
customer relationship software and
Salesforce market cap is like 300
billion now could paler reach the market
cap of Salesforce eventually to be again
the the AI
leader like Salesforce is a CRM leader I
believe so which means that paler could
still increase 50% from here to
Salesforce market cap now Microsoft's
market cap is uh three trillion okay so
if palenia were to be the next Microsoft
of the AI world that could be another
10x now again we don't know if it's
going to happen right it could happen it
may not happen but I think it is a
possibility okay now having said that
let me let me put it this way right by
the way um I bought a lot of palant here
at about
$111 and I already actually sold half my
palent here okay I sold half of it at
about uh I think I sold it at about uh I
think $30 $40 yeah I I feel like
slapping myself now that I'm telling you
that right so I already s half my palen
so in other words my my position in
palen right now I've already made back
my cost so what you see in my portfolio
which is the paler is pure 100% profit
with zero risk so even if paler goes to
zero okay goes to zero and I lose
194,000 it's fine okay because I already
made back my profit by selling half of
my palena so what I have in palena right
now is the other half okay so I think
the question of whether you know if you
believe in a company should you sell or
not sell depends on your position you
know I one of my students who said to me
recently uh he said Adam right now I
only have one stock in my portfolio and
he said I put everything all into
palente and he bought it at like $10
right so 100% of his portfolio is in
palena and he said at watch I do and I
said well I can't give you a
recommendation or advice I'm not a
licensed adviser but I said to him I
said if I were you and I had 100% of my
portfolio in bent year I would sell
right now okay I would sell right now
I'll probably sell maybe 80% of my my
paler position I'll keep 20% I'll sell
80% and the other 80% I'll diversify
into the other great companies whether
Nvidia or meta or Google or or or or
broadcom and so and so for right you get
the point so whether one should sell or
not sell depends on their current
allocation but because for me palent
here is only 4% of my portfolio it
should be 8% stupid Adam stupid Adam for
selling but never mind but because it's
only 4% which is you know just not a
very big position okay it's okay for me
not not to sell I'm just going to hold
it all right then some people would say
but Adam you know why don't you do this
let me take out my drawing tool over
here they say Adam why don't you know
like palen is like up down up now it's
like all the way up right they say Adam
why don't you sell palenia right now
it's overpriced sell it okay and then
when it drops back down which it will
eventually right what goes up must come
down it's under value gain you buy it
back right plenty smart right and then
you write it up again right now why
don't I do this now of course it sounds
great in theory you know who doesn't
want to do this right but you know
something I used to do this before I
used to this many many times and by you
know you know trying to jump out when
it's too high and jump back in there
were many great stocks that I couldn't
get back in that to get back in I to pay
a much higher price and um and I'm going
to give you an example what happens
maybe not to you but it's happened to me
many many times right where the stock
goes up it comes down it goes up it
comes down it goes up and I say to
myself okay you know I'm going to take
profit here I buy back when it's lower
so what do I do
you know I sell it right there okay and
after I sell it the bastard keeps going
up right keeps going go oh okay and
then I tell myself okay I'll buy back
when it retrace the snakes and it keeps
going up and then when it does retrace
it retraces but not below the price I
got out yet so I'm not happy it's like I
got to buy it back at the price I sold
it right and then it's I'm waiting and
then it goes up and then I can never buy
it back and and I miss the big right
it's happened to be many many times I
don't know about you but it's happened
to you happened to be many many times
all right and I'll I'll share you one
stock I'll be I'll be using an example
in a short while another example that
has happened to me many many times is
the stock goes up comes down goes up
comes down goes up and I say to myself
okay I'm going to sell right buy it back
when it's lower so true enough I
sell and the moment I sell what happens
the price goes down and I go yeah I'm
good I'm so smart now
I got to buy it back but the question is
at what price do I buy it back right so
you say to yourself okay maybe you you
look at this trend line here wait for it
to hit the trend line you buy it back so
I'm waiting for it to hit the trend line
and suddenly it goes up and go but
never mind I can still buy it back below
where I sold it but then you say to
yourself but you know after a run up
usually there's a bit of a retracement
wait for the retracement Right
retracement comes you say but it keeps
it looks like it's going down going to
wait some more and the next thing you
know before you get a chance to buy it
in it shoots above your sell point and
again you don't feel like buying back
anymore and then it goes up and you are
gone I don't know about you but this has
happened to be many many many times in
the past and good example I can share
with you right here right now because I
did a screenshot of this is when I first
bought meta platforms before it was
known as
Facebook I bought it at $19 freaking
doll okay I bought it at
$19 and then when it went to uh $50 I
sold it and I thought I was a genius
whoa I made 100% of my money I'm so
smart no Adam you are freaking freaking
idiot okay CU after I sold at
$50 and I thought I'll buy back lower
again before I could buy it back it flew
and flew and flew and flew and never
never came back right and again by the
time I bought it back I bought it back
at a much higher price even when it
crashed all the way to $80 in 2022 and I
bought a lot there your way above what I
paid for it so because of this you know
I learned my lesson I realize that when
you identify a great business that
monopolizes a certain Niche whether is
it Nvidia or meta or Google or palena
that's kind of like having a great
product or service that monopolizes
Niche you want to hold on to it right
you want to hold on to it and let it
grow grow and compound and that is a
secret of being very very wealthy okay
so again
uh that's my basic lesson and the same
thing with Nvidia all right so again uh
my
Nvidia since I bought it at $15 it's up
like nine times and uh is am I selling
Nvidia no I'm not why because again I
think that
Nvidia again is a key player in the AI
Revolution on the hardware and the
software side and again we're just at
the early stages of the AI Revolution
now what do I mean by early stages I
talked about this during the black
Market event right that you know the AI
Revolution started on the 30th of
November 2022 so we are only two years
in this AI Revolution and just in two
years we started with generative AI
where it's like a chat box right you ask
a question it answers you text to text
generative Ai and then so fast we had
text to image where now you can create
images from prompts you can create
videos from prompts and then this year
is the year of AI agents where now they
are digital employees that can do an
entire task it's not just a chatbot you
have an AI agent that can create an
entire marketing campaign you have an AI
agent that can that can uh deal with a
customer just like a real life person so
I believe that in 2025 will be the year
where you know AI agents will go to the
next level and that's where paler would
be the you know kind of like the
operating system defecto platform for AI
agents in the future to uh match them
all together all right and then AI
autonomous robots are coming up so we're
just at the beginning yeah and again if
you compare this to the mobile
Revolution that started on the 9th of
January with the invention of the iPhone
and that mobile internet Revolution it
changed the world it changed our lives
and right now we are in the 17th year of
the mobile internet Revolution where
during this time apple is up
7,000 per that is
79 times your money 79 x your money it's
really really crazy right so again if
you take a look at the AI Revolution
which I believe will be even bigger than
the mobile internet Revolution where
only in year number two there's another
you know 10 15 years more to go and if
you think about it ever since the start
of this revolution palent here is up
again only nine times Nvidia is up like
only 10 times could it up another 50
times who knows right again as long as
it's a long Runway it's still growing
it's a great business out hold on to it
but again it depends on again your
allocation if I had 100% of my money in
in in again Nvidia yeah I would sell I
would sell to diversify so it's all
about allocation it's all about
allocation that's really very important
now uh talking about Nvidia my intrinsic
value for NVIDIA is
$130 so Nvidia is not that expensive
actually it is not cheap but it is not
crazy expensive it is slightly above the
intrinsic value of 130 and I did mention
in my previous video that I will be
hopefully want to adding more Nvidia
next year if it can retrace below 130 to
these support levels I like to add at
support levels in trenches and of course
the lower it goes the more happy I am
I've got a bigger margin of safety I buy
more the lower it goes and that's the
mindset of an investor all right now let
me talk about my work first performing
stocks of 2024 and what I intend to do
with them and I'll cover that in part
two of this video so stay tuned And
subscribe to be the first to be alerted
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online this is Adam coup and may the
markets be with you
Ask follow-up questions or revisit key timestamps.
As 2024 concludes, the speaker reviews their portfolio performance, highlighting the best-performing stocks, which are primarily AI-related companies like Palantir and Nvidia. The speaker discusses the philosophy of long-term investing, emphasizing the importance of holding onto great companies to achieve significant compound returns rather than attempting to time the market by selling high and buying back low. While acknowledging that some holdings like Palantir are currently overvalued, the speaker explains why they choose to hold based on the long-term potential of the AI revolution, while also stressing the critical role of portfolio allocation in risk management.
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