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Michael Bilello Talks US-Canada Booze Ban | Bloomberg Talks

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Michael Bilello Talks US-Canada Booze Ban | Bloomberg Talks

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245 segments

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[music]

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>> Bloomberg Audio Studios. Podcasts,

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radio, news.

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>> All right, we're speaking this morning

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about the somewhat surprise collapse of

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the US Canada trade talks. This

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tit-for-tat tariff debate have hit a lot

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of American producers hard including

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American liquor companies and distillers

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who usually sell quite a bit of product

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across the northern border.

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>> Helping us distill

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all of this, I said groaning at my own

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comment, we have Michael [laughter]

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Felilo, president CEO of the American

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Whiskey Association. Michael, great to

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have you with us here.

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I want to just ask you about the state

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of play. We don't have to get into the

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granular details here cuz we don't

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really know a whole lot about what

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happened with with the talks, but what

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when you look at the the business that

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you represent, what has the last year

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plus meant for them not having access as

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they had before to the the Canadian

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market?

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>> Yeah, good morning. Thanks for having

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me. Obviously, we didn't get the

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breakthrough we were all hoping for this

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morning. So for American whiskey

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producers, this remains unfinished

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business. As you pointed out, for a year

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and a half now, American whiskey has all

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been basically shut out from most of the

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provinces in Canada. And this is

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something that affects the entire

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American whiskey supply chain. So not

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just the distillers, but all the way

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down to the coopers and also the the

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grain farmers. So obviously, we were

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hoping for a breakthrough. We were

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hoping for a deal. We were hoping to

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regain access to the Canadian market.

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Then we were hoping that the provinces

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would align with the federal government

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and allow us to have access at the

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shelves. And we were really looking

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forward to reconnecting with our

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Canadian consumer. But obviously, that's

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not happening.

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>> How big of a part of the business is

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this that you're losing? Either in a

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percentage or a dollar amount. Like how

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big of a hunk of what you would usually

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sell is not there at the moment?

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>> Well, I'll point to the White House

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figures that were shared. So in 2024,

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when the provincial restrictions went in

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effect, you had a market that was about

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$203 million.

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When you when you measure that from

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March of 2024 when it went into effect

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in December, when you look at the same

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year-over-year comparison, it was down

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to 60 million. So, roughly a 70%

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decrease in US spirit exports to Canada.

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And by the way, American whiskey is

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about over a billion-dollar export for

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the US economy. So,

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at the same time, by the way, American

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whiskey and US spirits exports grew by

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about 2 and 1/2% everywhere else except

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Canada. So, to put things in

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perspective,

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this this prohibit prohibit American

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whiskey on those those shelves really

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did have an impact on the category, but

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also US spirits in general.

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>> Mike, let me just ask you about the

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quality of conversation you've been

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having, you know, with American

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leadership, Canadian leadership all all

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through this.

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I I imagine, you know, many groups

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affected by these tariffs have been

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trying to bend the ear of the White

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House and the US trade representative

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likely trying to do the same thing with

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their Canadian counterparts.

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How engaged have you been in the

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process? What have those conversations

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been like?

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>> Well, I can say what's really special

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about the spirits industry is globally

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we are very connected. We see this as

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one ecosystem. So, we are all about fair

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market access, competition. We want the

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world's whiskeys to compete, but we

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really do focus on market access and

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fair competition. So, as an industry,

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we've always been very united and

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aligned on what we're looking for

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globally in terms of of trade policy.

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When we look at the the the Trump

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administration and our counterparts in

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Canada, we're obviously equally engaged

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on both sides, and we were always taking

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part in constructive conversations and

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and making sure parties were aligned and

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the impact

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was was known and understood on both

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sides. Cuz remember something, the

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United States and Canada, we are part of

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the same North American hospitality

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ecosystem. So, this didn't just have an

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impact on the US side, it also impacted

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the Canadian side of things. So, again,

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the industry always connected, always

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sharing information. We were always

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focused on market access. Uh and then

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for both the US government and the

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Canadian government, they've always been

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engaged and really, you know, looking at

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the the trade officials and the people

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who are really doing the hard work

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behind the scenes, those lines were

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open, communication was flowing. We

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received good indications yesterday that

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there was progress being made. So,

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obviously, to learn about this uh late

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last night or early this morning was

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really unfortunate.

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>> Michael, it seems to me like you have

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two problems. You have the actual policy

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issue, but then you have a branding

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issue now. We had a producer who was

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recently in Canada and was telling us

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all of the shops are labeling

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Canadian-made products, and there is

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still this impetus to buy Canadian. Even

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if you get these products back on the

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shelves, Canadians are really annoyed.

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They're very mad. Do you think you have

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some work to do on the PR front to try

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to convince those folks to buy American

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products when they are kind of furious

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about how this all went down?

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>> Yeah, a really astute observation. So,

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essentially, when you're not on a shelf

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for a year and a half, right? You're out

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of sight, out of mind. So, from a

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marketing uh and branding uh uh

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scenario, that's not the best place to

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be in. Yeah, it's it's one of those

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things where, you know, there's a

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three-step process that we're really

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focused on here. One was gaining market

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access to Canada. And obviously, that's

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what we were hoping the negotiations

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between President Trump and Prime

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Minister Carney would result in. Step

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two then, because the provinces control

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the liquor boards and really the

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shelves, we were hoping step two uh

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would result in the provincial

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authorities to align with the federal

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government and give us access to those

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shelves. And then step three, which is

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the point you just made, is reconnecting

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and reuniting with the Canadian

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consumer. And that's probably about

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50/50 right now. Like, we've heard from

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Canadian consumers, a lot of the bourbon

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enthusiasts, who were very excited to be

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able to go to the stores this morning

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and purchase a bottle of American

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bourbon or American whiskey in in

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general. But then obviously, there's

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also a group out there of Canadians who

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are really annoyed, disappointed, and

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frustrated with the relationship with

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the United States. And And that's

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understandable as well. So, all we

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continue to advocate for is access to

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the Canadian market, uh access to the

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shelves, and the ability to reunite with

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the Canadian consumer. And to your

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point, we know it's going to take some

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time, but Canadians should have the

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choice uh to choose American whiskey.

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And we want all American whiskeys to

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compete there. But, the fact of the

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matter is, we haven't been able to

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compete cuz we've been kept out of the

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competition altogether.

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>> Picking up on this last question,

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Christina has been out to Kentucky

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recently, done a piece on on the bourbon

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industry. I I'm curious what's sort of

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the history and symbolism here, and how

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you think about it in the context of

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this. Look, so many products are subject

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to these tariffs now. Why is it you

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think that American whiskey's been

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singled out in the way in which it has?

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Why does it carry such symbolic value or

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significance in the context of this

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trade war?

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>> American whiskey is a quintessential

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American product, right? We're

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celebrating the America's 250th. We look

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at George Washington, not only one of

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our, you know, great American president,

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but also a great American distiller. And

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this is a product that has a long supply

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chain, right? Again, it starts with

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American farmers who grow American

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grain. Then it goes to uh lumber, right?

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And coopers, the the the uh the the

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industry that makes the barrels. And

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then you have the distillers. So, this

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is a symbolic American product. When you

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look at what American whiskey makes up

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in this larger US-Canadian trade deal,

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it's it's very minuscule. It's it's it's

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not a lot.

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>> Mhm.

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>> Uh but, the symbology here, right? It

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became a symbol of the trade tension. It

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became the symbol of the dispute. You

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know, there was perfectly good whiskey

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being uh poured out into the streets,

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which which is a total sin, in my

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opinion. So, it became symbolic. It

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became a symbol of the trade tension and

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the dispute. But, I believe it can

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become a symbol of uh reparation, that

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we can get back to to normal.

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>> All right, Michael, great to speak with

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you. And And we're hoping for better

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days ahead. That's Michael Balelo of the

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American Whiskey Association joining us

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here on this Saturday morning.

7:40

>> Thank you so much.

Interactive Summary

This segment discusses the economic and symbolic impact of the collapse of US-Canada trade talks on the American whiskey industry. Michael Balelo, President and CEO of the American Whiskey Association, highlights how American whiskey has been effectively shut out of the Canadian market for over a year, resulting in a 70% decrease in exports. He explains that while the industry is deeply connected and advocate for fair market access, the brand has unfortunately become a symbol of trade tensions. Looking ahead, the focus remains on regaining access and reconnecting with Canadian consumers despite potential consumer frustrations.

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