Michael Bilello Talks US-Canada Booze Ban | Bloomberg Talks
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[music]
>> Bloomberg Audio Studios. Podcasts,
radio, news.
>> All right, we're speaking this morning
about the somewhat surprise collapse of
the US Canada trade talks. This
tit-for-tat tariff debate have hit a lot
of American producers hard including
American liquor companies and distillers
who usually sell quite a bit of product
across the northern border.
>> Helping us distill
all of this, I said groaning at my own
comment, we have Michael [laughter]
Felilo, president CEO of the American
Whiskey Association. Michael, great to
have you with us here.
I want to just ask you about the state
of play. We don't have to get into the
granular details here cuz we don't
really know a whole lot about what
happened with with the talks, but what
when you look at the the business that
you represent, what has the last year
plus meant for them not having access as
they had before to the the Canadian
market?
>> Yeah, good morning. Thanks for having
me. Obviously, we didn't get the
breakthrough we were all hoping for this
morning. So for American whiskey
producers, this remains unfinished
business. As you pointed out, for a year
and a half now, American whiskey has all
been basically shut out from most of the
provinces in Canada. And this is
something that affects the entire
American whiskey supply chain. So not
just the distillers, but all the way
down to the coopers and also the the
grain farmers. So obviously, we were
hoping for a breakthrough. We were
hoping for a deal. We were hoping to
regain access to the Canadian market.
Then we were hoping that the provinces
would align with the federal government
and allow us to have access at the
shelves. And we were really looking
forward to reconnecting with our
Canadian consumer. But obviously, that's
not happening.
>> How big of a part of the business is
this that you're losing? Either in a
percentage or a dollar amount. Like how
big of a hunk of what you would usually
sell is not there at the moment?
>> Well, I'll point to the White House
figures that were shared. So in 2024,
when the provincial restrictions went in
effect, you had a market that was about
$203 million.
When you when you measure that from
March of 2024 when it went into effect
in December, when you look at the same
year-over-year comparison, it was down
to 60 million. So, roughly a 70%
decrease in US spirit exports to Canada.
And by the way, American whiskey is
about over a billion-dollar export for
the US economy. So,
at the same time, by the way, American
whiskey and US spirits exports grew by
about 2 and 1/2% everywhere else except
Canada. So, to put things in
perspective,
this this prohibit prohibit American
whiskey on those those shelves really
did have an impact on the category, but
also US spirits in general.
>> Mike, let me just ask you about the
quality of conversation you've been
having, you know, with American
leadership, Canadian leadership all all
through this.
I I imagine, you know, many groups
affected by these tariffs have been
trying to bend the ear of the White
House and the US trade representative
likely trying to do the same thing with
their Canadian counterparts.
How engaged have you been in the
process? What have those conversations
been like?
>> Well, I can say what's really special
about the spirits industry is globally
we are very connected. We see this as
one ecosystem. So, we are all about fair
market access, competition. We want the
world's whiskeys to compete, but we
really do focus on market access and
fair competition. So, as an industry,
we've always been very united and
aligned on what we're looking for
globally in terms of of trade policy.
When we look at the the the Trump
administration and our counterparts in
Canada, we're obviously equally engaged
on both sides, and we were always taking
part in constructive conversations and
and making sure parties were aligned and
the impact
was was known and understood on both
sides. Cuz remember something, the
United States and Canada, we are part of
the same North American hospitality
ecosystem. So, this didn't just have an
impact on the US side, it also impacted
the Canadian side of things. So, again,
the industry always connected, always
sharing information. We were always
focused on market access. Uh and then
for both the US government and the
Canadian government, they've always been
engaged and really, you know, looking at
the the trade officials and the people
who are really doing the hard work
behind the scenes, those lines were
open, communication was flowing. We
received good indications yesterday that
there was progress being made. So,
obviously, to learn about this uh late
last night or early this morning was
really unfortunate.
>> Michael, it seems to me like you have
two problems. You have the actual policy
issue, but then you have a branding
issue now. We had a producer who was
recently in Canada and was telling us
all of the shops are labeling
Canadian-made products, and there is
still this impetus to buy Canadian. Even
if you get these products back on the
shelves, Canadians are really annoyed.
They're very mad. Do you think you have
some work to do on the PR front to try
to convince those folks to buy American
products when they are kind of furious
about how this all went down?
>> Yeah, a really astute observation. So,
essentially, when you're not on a shelf
for a year and a half, right? You're out
of sight, out of mind. So, from a
marketing uh and branding uh uh
scenario, that's not the best place to
be in. Yeah, it's it's one of those
things where, you know, there's a
three-step process that we're really
focused on here. One was gaining market
access to Canada. And obviously, that's
what we were hoping the negotiations
between President Trump and Prime
Minister Carney would result in. Step
two then, because the provinces control
the liquor boards and really the
shelves, we were hoping step two uh
would result in the provincial
authorities to align with the federal
government and give us access to those
shelves. And then step three, which is
the point you just made, is reconnecting
and reuniting with the Canadian
consumer. And that's probably about
50/50 right now. Like, we've heard from
Canadian consumers, a lot of the bourbon
enthusiasts, who were very excited to be
able to go to the stores this morning
and purchase a bottle of American
bourbon or American whiskey in in
general. But then obviously, there's
also a group out there of Canadians who
are really annoyed, disappointed, and
frustrated with the relationship with
the United States. And And that's
understandable as well. So, all we
continue to advocate for is access to
the Canadian market, uh access to the
shelves, and the ability to reunite with
the Canadian consumer. And to your
point, we know it's going to take some
time, but Canadians should have the
choice uh to choose American whiskey.
And we want all American whiskeys to
compete there. But, the fact of the
matter is, we haven't been able to
compete cuz we've been kept out of the
competition altogether.
>> Picking up on this last question,
Christina has been out to Kentucky
recently, done a piece on on the bourbon
industry. I I'm curious what's sort of
the history and symbolism here, and how
you think about it in the context of
this. Look, so many products are subject
to these tariffs now. Why is it you
think that American whiskey's been
singled out in the way in which it has?
Why does it carry such symbolic value or
significance in the context of this
trade war?
>> American whiskey is a quintessential
American product, right? We're
celebrating the America's 250th. We look
at George Washington, not only one of
our, you know, great American president,
but also a great American distiller. And
this is a product that has a long supply
chain, right? Again, it starts with
American farmers who grow American
grain. Then it goes to uh lumber, right?
And coopers, the the the uh the the
industry that makes the barrels. And
then you have the distillers. So, this
is a symbolic American product. When you
look at what American whiskey makes up
in this larger US-Canadian trade deal,
it's it's very minuscule. It's it's it's
not a lot.
>> Mhm.
>> Uh but, the symbology here, right? It
became a symbol of the trade tension. It
became the symbol of the dispute. You
know, there was perfectly good whiskey
being uh poured out into the streets,
which which is a total sin, in my
opinion. So, it became symbolic. It
became a symbol of the trade tension and
the dispute. But, I believe it can
become a symbol of uh reparation, that
we can get back to to normal.
>> All right, Michael, great to speak with
you. And And we're hoping for better
days ahead. That's Michael Balelo of the
American Whiskey Association joining us
here on this Saturday morning.
>> Thank you so much.
Ask follow-up questions or revisit key timestamps.
This segment discusses the economic and symbolic impact of the collapse of US-Canada trade talks on the American whiskey industry. Michael Balelo, President and CEO of the American Whiskey Association, highlights how American whiskey has been effectively shut out of the Canadian market for over a year, resulting in a 70% decrease in exports. He explains that while the industry is deeply connected and advocate for fair market access, the brand has unfortunately become a symbol of trade tensions. Looking ahead, the focus remains on regaining access and reconnecting with Canadian consumers despite potential consumer frustrations.
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