Chai Discovery's Bitter Lesson: Drug Design Is Another Scaling Problem
1638 segments
One of our big guiding principles is
just simplicity. Um so like when you
look at a model like let's say a Chai 1,
I think there are 23 distinct submodules
in Chai 1. Um and like when you're
trying to iterate on something like
that, it gets really hard cuz you're
like I kind of I need to understand each
of these submodules independently. I
need to understand all of their
behaviors, their dynamics, and like that
doesn't actually scale that well. Um so
like you can start to think, okay, how
do I simplify this? How do I identify
like what's what's really important? And
once you have that like kind of the
whole research process and like
identifying these types of scaling
directions uh becomes a lot simpler.
>> [music]
>> We're here with Josh and Matt, two of
the co-founders of Chai Discovery. Chai
is engineering molecules with AI. So
it's something of a foundation model lab
for biology. Sounds like a big idea, but
let me just start there. What is the big
idea?
>> Thanks for having us on on the show. Um
one of the exciting things we're trying
to do at Chai is to make the drug
discovery process like a little bit more
like engineering. And we've seen all the
work happening with LLMs for code
generation for instance, right? And that
works really well because code's a very
simple abstraction, right? Of like to to
kind of get across what you want to do.
Uh biology doesn't look like that today.
It's a lot of like trial and error.
Um I think if we go back to uh the early
days of uh of just like modern biotech,
right? A lot of the medicines that we
have today were kind of discovered quite
randomly. It was a bit serendipitous.
And what we're trying to do is allow us
to industrialize that process a little
bit more
uh and try to come up with the tools
that we'd need in order to have
abstraction layers the same way we have
that in code and in modern engineering
allows us to iterate really quickly and
try to bring that uh into into biology
and into drug discovery.
>> So So let me ask you a question on that
then. So there's And tell me if this is
a reasonable way to frame it. There's
almost this boundary between that which
can be engineered
and that which needs to be tested in the
real world.
And it feels like that boundary has been
moving over time. Like the the the
proportion of the drug development
process that can be engineered as
opposed to trial and error'd seems to be
increasing. Is that a reasonable way to
think about it? If so, can you talk
about like what specific developments
have pushed that boundary over time?
>> I think that's one way to think about
it. Um the way that we often uh look at
this is like the lab is is an important
part to to verify that what you're doing
is correct. And actually verification is
a very big theme in AI as well. If you
can evaluate that your model works, you
can verify it, then you can start to
hill climb that and you can make
progress on it. So I think the lab is a
very important part of this. And then
the question is how do we take drug
discovery and make it look a lot more
like drug design. So one of the reasons
why we call this field drug discovery is
we're often looking for a needle in a
haystack. We'll screen millions,
billions of molecules try to find one
that works. And if we can instead put in
what is like the dream state of the
molecule you want and then the model can
materialize that, that's going to be
really powerful. So it's not even a
question of like reducing lab testing. I
mean, maybe that happens as a result. I
actually might even take the opposite
side of the coin and we can talk about
that where maybe we'd actually do even
more lab testing cuz the ROI will
increase. The same way there's more
software engineers
or there's more demand for software
engineers now that they become more
productive, there might be more demand
for the lab.
But I think the key part is how do we
just change the paradigm here and how do
we we make it more design oriented?
>> Mhm.
Can we talk about what is state of the
art today?
And then maybe let's take a little trip
down memory lane. 5 years ago, 3 years
ago, 1 year ago. Like what have been
some of the major breakthroughs and like
how has state of the art changed over
the recent years?
>> Yeah, I think the the field has like
it's really evolved especially like over
the last decade. Um so it really wasn't
until like uh you can actually look
back. There's like this bi-annual
protein folding competition. So every 2
years uh
usually a bunch of academic groups would
compete in this protein folding
competition. What would happen is like
you kind of hold out these protein
targets that no one's ever seen before.
They never get deposited publicly. And
then all these groups compete so you can
predict the proteins the best. And like
really it wasn't until 2018 where you
started to see this like big step change
in in performance and then finally again
in like 2020 with AlphaFold 2. But
really like it was kind of like the
advent of deep learning that really like
kicked off this whole field. Um so at
first what you do
these are kind of like bring me back to
my original days in my advisor's lab. So
we worked on like one of the first
systems to do this with deep learning.
What we would try to do is predict like
the distances between amino acids in a
protein. And then we'd have some render
which then took in like these kind of
noisy incomplete looking distances and
then emitted some protein from that. Um
and what's pretty remarkable is that
with
relatively minimal information like you
could build a machine learning system
that could actually produce something
that really looks like a protein and for
the most part was was correct. Like
there are still pretty big gaps it
didn't quite have the resolution of like
what what we have today. Almost like
with the early image generation models
where it was like a little bit grainy a
little bit blurry and now it's like oh
my gosh like this is this is crazy high
definition images like in seconds. Uh so
we kind of like saw that same evolution
happen over time. So it started with
protein folding and then I guess once
that became more realizable
there were kind of these other sub
problems that people wanted to solve. So
now given a protein structure can I
design say like a sequence which might
fold to that? And that's getting closer
and closer to like the drug design
problem. So you're you're kind of like
now thinking okay
how do I start engineering proteins that
like match a certain shape or might
perform a specific function?
And so people kind of study that problem
independently and that was kind of like
2021 2022 time. And then kind of these
ideas began to merge together. It was
really like the advent of diffusion
models where we started to be able to
like, "Okay, I can now generate a
protein structure and a sequence kind of
simultaneously.
Um and I can start making these like
what we would call prompts more and more
realistic." So, I can now prompt these
models on a target that might have a
certain shape and I can say, "Hey, I
want to bind over here." Kind of like
add add more real-world constraints on
the problem.
>> What did you guys see in 2024 that made
you think that was the right time to
start the company?
>> Yeah, there were a lot of discussions
that went into it. I remember one of
these uh early discussions actually back
in Matt's house when we were uh you
know, Matt was was showing me some of
these results on like antibody antigen
like structure prediction. And we Matt
was just talking about protein folding.
Um but for for a long time people
thought that protein folding for
antibodies was just like too hard of a
problem. People were like there was not
enough data for for any in antibodies
like in the protein data bank for
instance to like solve this problem. And
people as a result thought that like
antibody design was going to be out of
reach. A lot of the work that people
even did on protein design in the early
days with deep learning, it wasn't
antibodies. It was uh these different
class of proteins called mini proteins,
um which are uh actually really
interesting in their own right, but
they're not what most of the uh drug
industry is is looking at. So, the holy
grail was whether we could design
antibody proteins on the computer,
especially ones that had all that
therapeutic function. And our thinking
was that if you couldn't predict what an
antibody looks like, how are you ever
going to design one?
>> Traditionally, people have thought like
like biology is scary. Um like there's
so much to know.
>> of biology.
>> I I am as well. Honestly, [laughter]
like
uh like my my background was was never
biology. I I studied like pure math and
started my PhD in uh theoretical
computer science. And it was only like
after my third year that I ended up
switching into like deep learning,
protein structure prediction, all of
this stuff. So, it was like totally new
field to me. Seemed insane, but like at
the end of the day, it's much simpler
and like the the problems are much more
like interconnected uh than one might
think. So, like
I think people like when they start
getting into the field, they're like,
"Oh man, what's an antibody? What's a
mini protein? What are These are all
just like sequences of amino acids." At
the end of the day, like these are just
like different types of prompts for the
model. Um but like in the same way where
you might like have a math problem that
goes into chat GBT, chat GBT can both
answer your math math problem and like
help you with your English homework. Uh
so like really we we have the same type
of thing going on with our models. Like
we just have some way of representing
these sequences of amino acids, then we
have a way of like designing, predicting
those as well. Um and I think like in
that lens, like things things become a
lot more clear.
>> And Matt, you mentioned your background
a little bit. Um Josh, talk a bit about
your background and then more broadly,
in order to pull this off, you have a
bunch of different disciplines that kind
of come together. So can you just talk a
bit about like your background and that
of some of the other core members of the
team and how these things all fit
together?
>> Yeah, I've been excited about AI and
biology uh since I was a kid. So I guess
I'm like Matt Matt, I didn't start with
like theoretical CS and get into that
way, but um I went to a high school with
a stem cell lab. So I was just always
excited about biology as a kid and I
grew up as a programmer. Um I uh I
really started my career at Open AI, so
it was on on the early team there. It
was a non-profit back then. So it was a
a pretty uh good time to be there. We
did GPT-1, GPT-2, scaling laws. Um and
it was uh the question was like if the
models can learn to speak English,
German, French, why can't they learn to
speak DNA and protein? Um and that was
kind of my research agenda since then. I
think that sort of intersects with
around the time like Matt got into the
field as well. And it was a uh I think
it was a pretty important time as well,
right? Because if you look at the kind
of methods that we were bringing in,
like there's been a lot of these, you
know, changes on the edges if you will,
right? And you know, Matt talked a bit
about the history of what's happened in
the fields here. Um but you know, it's
all about like how do we find like the
right deep learning architectures with
the right compute configuration and the
right model architectures this happen.
What are the right tasks to apply it to?
We're talking about how we even knew
that like, you know, 2024 is the right
time to start the company. As Matt was
saying, you know, these are all
different like kinds of amino acid
sequences and people thought that, you
know, antibody class of of problem was
going to be too hard and we started to
see the first signs of life that
actually this was starting to work. I
think a lot of it fueled by some of the
new architectures we're bringing to the
problems. I think it was diffusion
models back then.
>> The first time like anyone was able to
generate reasonable looking proteins
was the advent like of diffusion models.
So it was pretty crazy like there were a
bunch of generative modeling approaches
that like would kind of work if you if
you had a bunch of data. So like people
got these working for images. There were
like a bunch of tricks to make this
better and better along the way. Like
we've definitely borrowed a lot of those
ideas in our domain as well.
But it was really like once diffusion
models came around
>> And is there is there an intuition for
why diffusion models work?
>> Yeah, so diffusion is is not a one-step
process. So like I think kind of up
until this point like the the main
generative design paradigm was like
called variational autoencoders. And in
that case you're like saying I want to
just like compress my input
distribution. So like you you have some
like proteins you want to make these
look like kind of like fuzzy Gaussian
vectors. That task is just like really
hard. And maybe today if we tried like
super hard I think we'd crack it. But at
the time like I I think like it wasn't
really as developed enough to to work
for our problems. What turned out
working really well was just kind of
giving the model more time to think and
showing it like more examples like
here's like a slightly broken looking
protein. How do you make it better? And
you can kind of break that protein more
and more and more and you can make it
look more and more noisy, more and more
broken and teach the model just quick
little shortcuts. All right, here's how
I make it slightly better. You can just
keep asking over and over again. Make it
slightly better. Make it slightly
better. And kind of like breaking the
problem down to that scale worked really
really well for for biology.
>> Yeah, the make it slightly better
reminds me of a game that I like to play
with my daughters where we have chat GPT
give us a unicorn and then we make it
stronger. And we just keep telling it to
make it stronger. And by the time we're
done we have the strongest unicorn in
the world. So, about the same, right?
>> Yeah. That's uh
>> [laughter]
>> It's that easy.
>> Yeah.
>> Okay, maybe not the same.
>> Yeah. So, we feel like in this domain,
you need to assemble a kind of like a
quadrilingual group of people, like an
Avengers squad of chemistry people,
biologists, AI folks. And so, that's a
challenge. Um how have you guys gone
about finding people, convincing people
to join the team, and and who are your
superstars?
>> So, we've been really pragmatic about
this at Character. If you look at the
founding team, it was mostly AI
researchers. Um so, people who had uh
worked on either scaling models or
getting them to work in this domain.
But, really with each generation of
model, uh the kind of people we've
needed for the next milestone has has
changed. Uh or or I'd say probably has
expanded, right? Uh so, if you look at
Character 2, right? That's the point
when we started to bring in um some of
the most incredible like, you know,
antibody engineers and and scientists in
the world. Um
uh one of the scientists from Andy Andy
Young Actually, when we hired him, uh
people asked us if we had pivoted into
building a full-stack drug pipeline cuz
they're like, "You'd be crazy not
[laughter] to do that if like Andy
joined your team." Um but, uh I think
Andy has has enjoyed running more
antibody campaigns in the past couple of
months than he's probably run in his
whole whole career, uh which is very
cool to see. You have folks like Nathan
Rollins on the team. Like, Nathan was
actually homeschooled and then started
college very early on. So, he joined
like David Baker's lab who won the Nobel
Prize for protein design like when he
was 14, uh started his PhD when he was
18, and has so many creative ideas. On
our uh as the model started to get
better, we needed to build up a product
team uh because while the researchers
might get the models to point that
they're uh they're very powerful, you
need to build the right product
interfaces so that the models are
actually useful. Um and uh that's where
we started to bring on uh people who
have, you know, built some of the most
exciting products we know about today.
Uh like our co-founder Jack worked at
Stripe, Monaz who was one of the top 10
code contributors at Stripe, uh Neil who
ran his own cybersecurity company before
security started to become very
important as we deploy this to our big
partners. As as we started to scale up,
we brought in people uh who've
uh really done a lot of like the GPU
hacking, if you will, in order to like
scale up our systems that they they they
don't break when we're running them at
scale. We had an email from uh or a
Slack message from one of our
hyperscalers the other day uh where you
know we had a cluster, I think that had
some issue to it and they're like, "Oh,
like the GPUs got too hot. I think you
guys are running too many." And we're
like, "Isn't that the point?" Right?
That's probably I was like, "Good, we're
doing our job at least." Yeah, so like
how do you convince those people to
join? I think again a lot of it comes
back to uh the results and like a clear
need. We didn't hire antibody engineers
before in an antibody design model. Like
what are those folks going to do? We
were even I think worried when we
started that trend because for some of
the um next generation formats, the
complicated antibodies, like
multispecifics, like they didn't even
work with Chai too. Uh so it actually
took a couple of of uh weeks when some
of those people showed up before the
models could work at a point that they
could work on some of these interesting
case studies. Uh but fortunately
progress is fast enough to kind of bring
that online. So I think we're always
like evolving that team and going
forward you know, that next milestone.
We've got the team very small as a
result, too. Um so this way, you know,
everyone is a little bit like slightly
over capacity, I think, which means we
have to prioritize. It forces us to work
on the things that really matter most.
>> I think on the research side as well,
one of the founding engineers, Kevin Wu,
he had the first uh
I think it was the first protein
diffusion model like ever. Uh and that
speaks to Kevin's speed of execution.
Like he is a heck of an engineer and
like I think engineering has just always
been like important since day one. Um so
like really even our researchers,
they're all excellent engineers and like
we really care about building a
high-quality codebase. Like at the end
of the day, we are
technically like a software company.
We're we're AI researchers, we're we're
protein designers, we're we're a lot of
things, but uh our deliverable is some
piece of software. So we've kept that
like kept that bar really high while
also trying to like, you know, level
that with great research talent and
people that can actually like push the
frontiers of what's possible.
>> And you've had a number of it seems like
aha moments in the field. Like AlphaFold
was an aha, we can figure out how a
protein folds. And then the diffusion
models, aha, like we can generate
proteins. Um and it seems like your
latest models are a kind of another aha
moment. We're not only generating
molecules that look like proteins, but
they also have therapeutic properties.
Like they can bind really tightly.
Um they have really high hit rates. Can
you talk sort of about the quality of
the molecules that your models are
producing now and everything that sort
of went in to those models to make them
able to do that?
>> Yeah, if we look at the the quality of
the molecules that's coming out, it goes
back to, you know, one of the thesis
when we started the company that uh we
really wanted to focus in on this like
de novo generation of the molecules. If
you look at what a lot of the drug
discovery AI work was at the time, it
was about how do I take a molecule and
just make it a little bit better, right?
Which we just talked about in a sense,
but it was doing it with a lab in the
loop uh style, right? Where I take some
data, try to make it better that way.
And the the question uh
we started with is, well, can we
actually just like do all that on the
computer, right? Is there a way that the
there maybe there would be enough data
or we could collect enough data um so
that we could just zero-shot a molecule
that has a lot of these properties? So,
the first thing we needed to do to get
there um was to design molecules with
really high success rates. When we
started the company, the state of the
art for anybody design was about like a
0.1% binding rate. So, one in a thousand
of the molecules you design would
actually bind in the lab. Um so, first
of all, that means you have to screen a
lot of molecules to find some good ones.
It also means that like the gradient you
get on your process is actually quite
weak as well. So, for many targets you
won't get any hits. For the ones that,
you know, you do get some hits, you
won't have enough to actually see
whether you're having like the drug-like
properties. So, we really focused in on
how do we just make this process more
accurate? We got to uh with our chi-2
model about like a 15% success rate. Uh
so, now if you screen a a thousand
molecules, you're getting 150 back. Now,
you can get start to get some like
interesting statistics on the properties
of the molecules, right? And a lot of
allowed us to like iterate on that,
build the right evaluations around that
in the lab, and really try to hill climb
that as well. And we're getting to a
point now where we can actually bake in
a lot of these different properties from
the start into this engine. And then
maybe if you think about, you know, how
does this happen or like how are we
approaching this as well? And like why
do we think it's going to continue
improving?
>> Yeah, so like um honestly, I think Josh
and I were both surprised at how quickly
this worked. Um like when we were
originally budging this, we're like,
"Ah, maybe like 20% hit rate like 3 or 4
years." We're like really like a 1%
rate. We thought 1 in 100 would be
amazing. We're like, "This is going to
be you know, a groundbreaking thing." We
had a philosophy and like an approach
that we wanted to take and it just like
ended up working really well. And that
approach is like very similar to what's
worked in the rest of machine learning.
So, people kind of treat biology as this
like bespoke problem or like bespoke
field, but really it's like the same
principles as like self-driving LLMs.
>> Well, same principles, but one of the
things we've talked about before is how
you managed to find scaling laws.
And it's one thing to tokenize a string
of text. It's another thing to tokenize
biology.
Can you say a couple words about
without giving away any of the magic,
you know, can you just say a couple
words about that challenge and how you
guys solve that?
>> Yeah, so one thing that I really like
about Chai is like we're we're a very
bitter lesson pill company. So, like we
really believe in like scaling data,
scaling models, scaling compute. In
order to do that, obviously you you need
to identify scaling laws. Otherwise,
you're just kind of like wasting time
and resources. Um and I think like
without giving away too much, like one
of our big guiding principles is just
simplicity. Um so, like when you look at
a model like let's say a Chai 1, um so
like there are like I think there are 23
distinct submodules in Chai 1. Um and
like when you're trying to iterate on
something like that, it gets really
hard. Uh cuz you're like, I kind of need
to understand each of these submodules
independently. I need to understand all
of their behaviors, their dynamics, and
like that doesn't actually scale that
well. Um so, like you can start to
think, "Okay, how do I simplify this?
How do I identify I what's what's really
important?" Um and once you have that
like kind of the whole research process
and like identifying these types of
scaling directions uh becomes a lot
simpler.
>> One of the other things too that I think
is interesting about this is we take a
lot of these lessons from what's worked
in the rest of the deep learning space,
but as you're pointing out like the data
itself is different. Yeah. The models at
Chai are completely built from scratch.
We're not like fine-tuning GLAM or
something like that on some protein
data. We build everything from the
ground up. I think a lot of the company
building process though is is taking a
philosophy and actually sticking with it
and iterating on that and just having
some guiding principles. When you're
building like a blue sky research
company if you will, you know, Chai is
is almost like one of these neo labs,
right? Like we have this big AI problem
we're going after where as we make
progress on it, you know, that opens up
opportunity for for our customers. Um,
but if you're going to work on something
so open-ended that way, you need some
principles to guide you. And I think
we've done a very good job on like
tracking those principles in the
company, working on it. So a lot of the
things that Matt
>> Yeah, can you share them? What what are
the guiding principles?
>> So I think simplicity was one of the
ones that Matt mentioned. It's this like
bitter lesson pillness of like, you
know, scaling compute and data and and
models. Uh, it's being really rigorous.
Uh, that's something that's so important
in this space. You can fool yourself so
easily in biology. Like the error bars
in the wet lab are actually quite large
as well. Um, so it's actually a little
bit different than uh if you look at
like code generation for instance. If
you look at SWE bench, people are like,
oh, I like this is a maybe like a year
ago people like, oh, I got 16% and 17%
and 18%. I mean, in biology if if you're
like plus or minus 5% in your lab, like
that's all that might all be the same.
So it actually just means uh the bar is
really high in terms of the step changes
that you want to see with the models,
but you also need to be really honest
with yourself about whether you're
making progress or not. Um, so you could
come up with some fancy model that looks
like it works well on like one or two
new tasks, but it's very important to
show that that works more generally. Uh,
if you're actually trying to build a
product that can like bring the field
forward.
>> Yeah, and that's I think pretty
interesting because biology is one of
those inherently not so verifiable
domains. And you guys have been really
good at um, sort of showing your
progress to customers,
um, and to people like us who know very
little about biology. And so, can we
talk a little bit about the evals and
the verifiable part of of the model
progress? Like, how do you guys know
that your models are getting better?
>> Well, I would say first of all that, uh,
I actually think this is one of the more
verifiable domains. It's actually very
objective readout. If you look at
something even like CodeGen, right?
Like, maybe it's a verifiable task like,
did my code compile? Did it solve these
unit tests? But, how do you think about
the taste, right? Like, did I write some
really sloppy code that can't be
maintained? Like, what does that look
like? When we think about designing a
molecule in the lab, uh, we can actually
be quite specific about many of these
properties, right? So, maybe we get a
molecule that binds the target, but can
I manufacture it, right? That might be
your, you know, version of like some
tech debt, but you can measure that. Uh,
and I think those evals, again, actually
make this domain more verifiable. Maybe
it takes a little bit longer to validate
it, right? It's not like five seconds to
like get a readout and run a unit test.
You might have to spend a couple days, a
couple weeks in the lab to get that
readout, but at least you can be honest
with yourself.
>> Yeah. When we talk about progress and
how good the models are, there's like a
domain of targets in biology,
um, that you can, as you mentioned, sort
of address with traditional screening
methods. They take a long time. They're
very slow and rudimentary. Um, and then
there are targets that just aren't
addressable with the with existing
methods. They're not druggable for
whatever reason.
Um, and so, where are we in terms of
model progress in terms of, you know,
working on existing targets and
generating molecules faster? That's one
end of the spectrum. And on the other
end of the spectrum is unlocking novel
biology, new targets, and things that we
couldn't drug before.
>> This kind of goes back to like, uh, kind
of like our core modeling philosophy.
Um, so like, there there have actually
been like plenty of times where like,
man, if we had a 24th module, like we
can actually like unlock that new
target. Um, and we're like, is that
really something that we want to
maintain long term? Is this incremental
or is this like actually a compounding
improvement? Will this actually like
help us generalize to the the class of
like these this whole class of targets
that we we really can't hit. And so like
our our philosophy has been like, all
right, let's just like continue to focus
like identify your scaling laws. Like
there there comes a point where like if
the model is able to push loss down even
further, it has to understand like
something like very intrinsic about the
target that it's operating on. So like
one example we were talking about the
other day, Paul and I, maybe the way
that we're looking at like certain
glycosylation sites on proteins we're
like, "Oh, we might want to represent
them differently or something like
this." And we're like, "Well, even if we
didn't represent them, like there are
certain sequence motifs that will tell
the model like there should be a
glycosylation site here. And in order to
drive like loss down further, the model
should just like have to learn that." Uh
so there are like all these hidden
features of targets where like if you
really believe in scaling laws you can
believe the models will get there. Like
these types of targets like should just
unlock with better models. And of course
like you still have to take this very
seriously and like you still need all
the proper validation. Um you need to
like really challenge yourself and like
make sure that this is truly working.
But I think our approach has always been
like, you know, we with better models
like we we should be able to unlock a
lot of these targets.
>> One of the other interesting things is
if we look at we talked about like the
interdisciplinary nature of this. If we
look at the different teams at Chai,
what people will call hard target is
actually different in literally every
team. So on the science team it might
be, you know, like a undruggable GPCR
target no one's gotten something that
has like, you know, modulated that in a
functional way. On the ML research team
it'll be something like, "Oh, there's
like the the model just can't fold this
thing up. It doesn't know what it looks
like."
And then on the product team it might
look like, "Oh, I've got all these like,
you know, modifications like my
glycosylations and it's a membrane
protein. How do I represent that to the
user?"
And actually the fact that it's
different for each of these groups I
think is a feature rather than a bug.
And it means that if we want to make
like broad progress over here, everyone
is kind of pushing in parallel on these
different ways and and that means that
there's very smooth progress that we can
make all the time. And there's usually
not one bottleneck at Chai. It's not
like, "Oh, if we only had that one extra
module things would work." Or if we only
you know, like try to push this into the
product in some way, we can unlock it.
We're trying to build this unified
solution because at the end of the day,
the goal of the company is to build a
computer-aided design suite for
molecules. It's not to make one or two
molecules. It's not to get a pipeline of
like five interesting therapies that we
bring to market. It's to change the way
that medicines are discovered. And we're
if we're going to do that, we need to
work on all the hard targets regardless
of how you define hard.
>> Yeah. Say more about this idea of
computer-aided design suite for
molecules. What does that mean?
>> So at its core, it goes back to this
point about making biology look more
like an engineering discipline. So we're
not going and fishing something out of a
large library or doing a ton of trial
and error. You want to be able to
specify up front the principles that go
into designing your molecule and then
have an engine that can actually realize
that into some molecule that we're going
to go and create in the lab. And look,
you still might do some iteration on the
lab and and on your model because maybe
your hypothesis was wrong. But we want
to speed up is is actually again have
that computer-aided design suite so that
you can go from idea to testable
hypothesis very quickly. And if that
loop right now takes something like 9
months, I don't know, to go and like
discover your molecule versus if it
takes 9 weeks or it takes 9 days, you
know, each order of magnitude just
scales in a very big way the number of
ideas you can really sort through. And I
think that's ultimately how the field is
going to converge on on better
medicines. It really comes back to like
people sometimes talk about do we care
and you kind of noted on it's not like
do we care about like speed or do we
care about like the difficulty of the
targets? At some point they converge in
this way as well because a hard target
if we can like iterate through
hypothesis a lot faster, then maybe
it'll be easier to crack it.
>> If so if we can maybe detach ourselves
from the present reality and go far
enough into the future that we're not
thinking present forward, we're actually
thinking future back. 2035, 2040, 2100,
whatever whatever you want. What does
the industry look like? Like let's
imagine that computer-aided design suite
for molecules has become a standard.
Let's imagine a lot of innovation has
flowed downstream into some of the wet
lab parts of the process. Like, can you
paint the picture of what the industry
might look like 10 years from now?
>> Yeah, I think it's going to be a a
really exciting time. And we can look at
this on on a couple of angles. So, first
of all, the quality of the medicines
that we develop will hopefully go up.
There's a lot of molecules we put into
the clinic today that there is really
hard to discover a molecule. You find
something that's like 80% of the way
there. Maybe advance it anyways to like
hit my timelines. It's probably going to
benefit some patients. But then you get
beat, you know, a year later by someone
else. And it's it's really just not the
most efficient spend of resources in the
industry. You've got the kind of
diseases that are just too hard to go
after today. People have been trying to
drug Alzheimer's forever. And
unfortunately, you know, haven't made as
much progress as as we'd like. You have
things that just aren't economical to go
after today. Think about like
personalized medicines, rare diseases,
things where maybe the patient
population is going to be smaller. But
again, if we can iterate through these
ideas faster, if we can launch something
faster, if we can do it in a less
expensive way,
then those probably come into reach as
well. So, I think there's just so many
different axes
that that we're able to to push on. And
I think that means that the the future
is is really bright.
>> It used to be like, you either want to
be first in class or best in class.
Now it's like, you want to be last in
class cuz like you actually just want to
like be the final answer.
So, I think like a lot of what you'll
see is just like way more intentionality
in the types of drugs that you're
designing. Like, this drug will be super
specific to the disease of interest. It
won't have like certain interactions,
like certain negative interactions that
a lot of drugs today do. A lot of this
stuff is actually like you're able to
model most of this computationally.
Like, maybe not today, but there's
definitely a path towards getting there.
And I think that's like one of the most
exciting things for me.
>> Very cool. Can we talk about a business
model decision that you guys made?
Cuz I think a lot of times folks think
about Chai and Isomorphic in in same
neighborhood. Isomorphic is developing
drugs. You guys are enabling the
existing industry to develop drugs more
efficiently, better, faster, cheaper
than they have before. Why did you
decide to go down that path versus,
you know, the Isomorphic path?
>> Yeah, first of all, I think both of
these paths are are great and
they can they can create tremendous
value. We've always been really excited
about building infrastructure for the
industry. Our bet when we started to go
back to those results in Matt's house,
you know, a few years ago,
was that this is how most future drugs
are going to be discovered. And if
that's the case, somebody needs to go
and like build that infrastructure and
make it happen. I think part of this too
is a lot of our founding team,
like including Matt and I, had worked in
companies before where we had built
these full-stack drug pipelines, right?
And we were building AI models. We're
putting those drugs in the clinic.
Again, we're we're pretty bitter lesson
pill as well and our our thinking was as
the models get better, we want to be
spending more of the money making better
models as opposed to diverting those
resources into clinical trials and
things like that. And one of the
interesting things about our business
model is as the models get better,
actually wins us the right to continue
investing more in them, right? And you
have, you know, partnerships with with
these pharma companies that are that are
paying off today and allows us to
continue invest in it. So, it's it's a
much more, you know, scalable business
in that way. And I just think about the
ultimate impact that we can create for
the world is is a lot larger. We've
We've always wanted to just partner
broadly with the ecosystem. It goes back
to this point about fooling yourself in
biology. If you work on a small number
of drug targets, you might come up with
the most exquisite molecules, creating a
ton of value for the world by doing
that.
But, you might miss the forest for the
trees because maybe your model doesn't
generalize to the other 500 molecules
that people are going to make that year.
And if you go and and partner with
people, you just you just can't fool
yourself. Like, you look at our
partners, Eli Lilly, Novartis, Organics,
Pfizer, like these are not companies
that are, you know,
they they take this stuff for granted.
Like, you have to really deliver on
these partnerships for them to take you
seriously. And that means it can't just
work like some some time. Like, when we
ship models at Chai, they really have to
work, they have to deliver value to our
partners, and it's not like, oh, we made
some molecule, doesn't fully work, we're
going to have our our chemists like
clean it up a little bit. So, it's it's
almost a harder business to pull off. I
think that's one of the reasons why you
haven't seen it pursued many times. If
you work on a drug pipeline, again, like
there might be ways to fix things up
later. There will be the proof of like
what happens in the clinic, of course.
Um but uh when you have this partnering
based model, you have to be really
rigorous about your models. Your models
have to work really well because
otherwise those partners not going to
come easily. So, it's made our life
harder, I think in many ways, but I
think it's also the more rewarding path
if we can get it to work.
>> what have you learned? I mean, you know,
you're you're out of the lab, so to
speak, and in the real world, you know,
delivering real value for actual pharma
companies. What have you learned as you
start to work with these partners in
terms of any surprises in terms of how
their needs might have differed from
what you expected or how their level of
sophistication around this might be
different than what you expected. Have
you any surprises or any learnings from
working with these partners?
>> Yeah, so we went into these
partnerships. I think a lot of people
told us that like pharma doesn't know
how to use AI, these are not it's not
like a tech forward industry and things
like that. And to be honest, that hasn't
really been our experience. I think that
these are again, they're very rigorous
partners, very rigorous customers,
right? And they're they're going to to
to test every one of our claims, right,
before they start to deploy these
things. But when they see the data, they
go all in, right? Because pharma is an
innovation industry. Um and it's
interesting just to think about even the
whole economics of the pharma industry.
If you build a product in pharma, right?
Like like a drug, right? You only have
exclusivity on that drug uh for a
certain period of time, right? And you
have to continue to reinvest. Eli Lilly
is a trillion-dollar pharma company
right now. If they don't get more
blockbuster drugs, they will not be a
trillion-dollar pharma company forever.
Um and I think that forces these
companies to really be on their game of
adopting new technologies and deploying
them and trying to stay ahead. Pharma is
a very competitive arena. There's a lot
of people trying to bring these drugs to
patients with By the way, it's great
great for patients, but uh it means that
you have to be on top of your game here.
Uh and I think that means that um you
know, once you're through that door and
your models are working, we've seen like
an an upscale this adoption very quickly
and people thinking about how to use the
models in incredibly creative ways.
>> I really like the incentive structure
that it creates as well. Um like taking
more of the partnership model. As our
models get better, we get better results
to our customers and so on. Um so I
think like that's just like a nice like
nice side effect for us as well. Chai
has been like incredibly focused. Um and
like really as the models get better,
you can kind of like iterate on a better
model with better data and so on. So
like a lot of what we see and like a lot
of what our partners are using the model
for like generating, you know, binders,
antibodies, so on. Like we're also like
doing a lot of dog fooding in-house.
Like we have a whole science team that's
using the models and just trying to
understand what they can do. And a lot
of that comes back to like, okay, now
that like the model now that we've
unlocked use case X, like what type of
new data can we generate? How can we
make the model better that way? Um and
really like that's been the long-term
vision of Chai is like we never thought
of like we're going to build this one
model that's going to solve all of this.
Like we know that there just like uh in
other fields like there're going to be
multiple iterations of this model. And
as you get better and better models,
like you get this flywheel effect, I
guess.
>> Well, and you mentioned what data can we
generate? Can we touch on data for a
minute? You guys can't exactly just go
script the internet and have all the
data you need to build your models.
Where does the data come from? How does
it kind of compound over time? Can you
just say a word about
data as an input to your models?
>> Yeah, so uh I think like
the primary source of data or like the
the gold standard source of data is this
like protein database. Um so this is
like it it's actually just like ac- like
legit lab scientists like who since like
1970 have just been depositing crystal
structures of like proteins and other
molecules over time. Uh and like really
without that like structure prediction
and design wouldn't have been a thing.
Um so there are these uh so that's like
one source of structural data. When I
started in the field, I really took like
a structure-pilled approach. I was like
super interested in predicting
structure, like how do you think about a
machine learning model that can output
3D coordinates? Like that's that's not
doesn't look like an LLM, it doesn't
look like an image model. This is really
in its own class. Josh, interestingly,
was taking like the exact opposite
approach. Uh so, he he was like one of
the original authors on ESM, and that
was like a really like a seminal work in
understanding how to apply language
models to protein sequences. Uh what's
really cool about that work is if you
can train a language model to understand
protein sequences, what ends up
happening is it ends up kind of like
representing the 3D structure
internally. And there's like a really
interesting reason why this happens. So,
like in order to predict like missing
amino acids, so like same way that you'd
predict like next word in a sentence, I
want to predict next amino acid in a
protein. In order to do that
effectively, like you really need to
understand like, okay, what does the
amino acid's like immediate
microenvironment look like? Uh cuz that
kind of tells you, okay, what are like
the compatible amino acids with
everything surrounding it. And in order
to do that well, you need to understand
the protein's 3D shape. Um so, I was
taking like this this really
structure-based approach, and Josh was
even more bitter lesson-pilled than me.
He's like, "We're just going to like
look at the sequences, and this is just
going to emerge." Um so, yeah, the two
main sources of this data, again, like
protein database for structures, and
then like these massive massive, maybe
even like order of like trillions of
tokens, sequence databases. Um and what
you can do once you have really good
models is just run them on the sequence
databases to get new structures out. Um
so, again, like you have this
compounding effect. As your models get
better, they get more and more accurate
at predicting these structures, uh and
then you have more and more training
data for the next series of models.
>> So, nice people ask us at Chai about,
these days at Chai, like which which
paradigm are are you actually going
after? Like one of the things I love
about our team is that it's actually
just like neither. We're very pragmatic.
Like we want to solve the problem. We
don't really care is it a sequence
approach, is it a structure approach? In
practice, it's going to end up being
like both, of course. Um I think you'd
be surprised, but there there might even
be more like biological sequence tokens
on the internet than like English
language tokens.
Uh and a lot of that data is not that
useful. It might not be redundant. It
might be very noisy. But there's a lot
of data out there. There's a lot of art
and like bringing it together. And I
think also the exciting thing is as the
models have gotten into a point now
where we can design things in the lab,
write to new targets for instance, we
can actually use the models to generate
data as well. So there's a lot of
exhaust from like all the experiments
that we're doing at Chai, which also
helped to make the models even better.
So it's a similar kind of takeoff that
we saw with LLMs. Like when I was at
OpenAI, we worked on
reinforcement learning of like a GPT-1
architecture. Like did not work models
weren't like good enough. But once the
base model got good enough, then you
could start to do those kinds of
experiments. And And I think there's a
similar analogy that's starting to
happen in our world now as well, where
the models have reached a point where
there's actually like a renewed interest
in data and like how do we actually
bring the models into the loop on like
making that happen. I think that creates
another really like interesting cycle on
on compounding improvement of the
models.
>> Yeah. We're talking a bit about
compounding improvement in the models.
And you said something about how pharma
as an industry is an incredibly
competitive landscape.
And it's interesting cuz I think there's
been a renowned interest in using AI and
using
ML to generate proteins and molecules.
And so your arena has actually become
quite competitive.
And you guys have obviously done an
amazing job at staying at the frontier.
It's been the year of deployment for
you. You've locked up a number of pharma
partnerships that are making your models
better. But how do you guys think about
the competitive landscape
and staying at the front of the
frontier?
>> Well, first of all, I think it goes back
to like looking at the results and not
fooling yourself and being rigorous. So
one of the reasons why we do a lot of
evaluation of the models. We mainly do
it just to hill climb in the models
itself. I think if you look at many of
the capabilities that we've brought in
have kind of been like first in the
field. You look at our Chai 2 model,
right? Like getting to success rate of
the models that you didn't have to do
large library screening anymore to see
results.
Couple months later showing how we could
bring in a lot of these developability
properties we've talked about before
like manufacturability of the molecules.
So in in many cases we are pushing the
model forward and and trying to see
these these
emerge. And then we try to quickly like
lock those in. Like, how do we how do we
make those capabilities like even more
pronounced that they become production
ready and we can like ship them to our
customers. I think one of the one of the
things I like to tell the team is that
you know, it's not like we are
head-to-head like with other model
providers or something like that. We're
all of us I think are working against
nature. Like, nature's actually been a
pretty good baseline. People have done
drug discovery a certain way for a long
time. And you know, Matt talked about
how like maybe you don't want to add
like module 24 to the Chi model. But
people have added like module 240 to
like the existing wet lab protocols. And
they have been like tuned quite
considerably.
One of the scientists on our team, Andy
Young, was
he was one of the first people working
on yeast display at MIT actually like
two decades ago. And he's got 20 years
experience in like Pfizer and Genentech
like really honing in these methods. Has
a drug approval to his name and
antibodies. And I think you look at
someone like that and like, you know,
Andy knows how to make a good antibody
with existing tools. And and that is
actually the bar that we need to clear.
Now of course, I think the ceiling on AI
is going to be a lot higher than what
we've managed to do before. Otherwise,
what would be the point of of
doing this? We didn't start the company
just to make, you know, a 10 times
faster mouse, right? We started this to
make breakthrough medicines that that
weren't possible before.
But ultimately, that is the bar that we
needed to clear in order to get
adoption. I think we hit that inflection
point a couple months ago. That's why
you've seen a lot of these big pharma
announcements.
But now we just need to continue to hone
in on like making these things even
better.
>> For somebody who's listening who thinks,
"Wow, this sounds pretty cool. I wonder
what it would be like to work at Chi."
What is the best thing about working at
Chi? And what is the worst thing about
working at Chi?
>> Yeah, I can I can speak to some of this.
I'll think of this on the fly. The worst
thing
>> [laughter]
>> the So I think like the the best thing
is just like how actually like
mission-driven everybody is. Like
everyone is so dedicated to what they're
doing. I've worked at other companies.
Like the closest I've ever seen to this
is like maybe some of the guys in my PhD
lab. Um, but like everyone is just like
incredibly incredibly motivated. We all
work really hard. There's like an
obvious shared goal.
Um, and I think that's really rare to
see and I think this goes back to just
like the focus that we've had since the
beginning and like we've always had like
kind of a clear philosophy, a clear plan
on how things are going to get there,
how things are going to get better. And
really like everyone at Chai is very
bought into this. It's pretty amazing
just to see like the amount of
dedication that that everyone's putting
in. Uh, least favorite thing about Chai,
uh, not directly on top of dandelion
chocolate, maybe.
>> [laughter]
>> No.
>> Maybe the next office.
>> Yeah.
Uh, actually, so probably the least
favorite part now, uh, is just like
I guess it's getting things to work at
scale.
Um, and really I I didn't even know what
that meant. Actually, when we started
Chai, we had 128 GPUs and I was like,
this is like the most scale possible for
a lab. Like this is crazy. Uh, I came
from like, you know, my PhD group where
we there were four of us sharing eight
GPUs and I was like, I just felt GPU
rich. It was crazy. Um, so now like, you
know, at Chai like we have a lot more
infrastructure to maintain. We have a
lot more compute resources. Like
luckily, GPUs are parallelizable. Um,
but that also kind of brings up its own
set of problems. So just like how do you
keep a cluster healthy over time? How do
you get that large training run? So like
how do you keep that running for for
months on end? Um, and even when it does
die like how do you automatically resume
these things? How do you keep all of
your communication down? How do you
optimize the models and make the best
use of the resources that you have? So I
think these are a lot of problems that,
you know, they continuously pop up.
They're good problems to have, but I
think they're they're also really
difficult to solve. Um, yeah, and I I'm
just excited to work on this.
>> Yeah, we I remember one of the CEOs
that, uh, we worked with a couple times,
Frits van Slooten, had this line about
you either have the pain of failure or
the pain of growth. You'd much rather
have the pain of growth.
>> Yeah, [laughter] that's exactly right.
>> I think my favorite part is is probably
the results. Uh, and that that sounds a
bit cliché, but there's nothing like
It's It's working, right? And just like
knowing that you're, you know, uh I
think many of us in the company, right?
Like we've been working in AI for a long
time, right? There's all this experience
you built up. And And to know that
you're applying it to something that
really matters, like just even I think
just take Matt and and and I like we've
been working on this problem for like 10
years, right? And a couple of years ago
I'm looking at something like, "Yeah,
we're writing some cool papers. Like
everyone is like celebrating this. Are
we actually making the world better?
Like is this actually going to impact
some patients?" And I think now the
answer is like, "Actually, yes. Like we
have reached the point where this is
going to make a big difference in the
world." And every time you get one of
these breakthrough results, anytime
there's a new feature on the product
that makes our lives of our our
customers easier, whenever there's like
new lab results uh coming back uh from
the science team, it's just always so uh
honestly it's exhilarating to realize
like this is actually going to change
the world in a pretty profound way.
I think that's also then uh maybe it
comes to the least favorite side, right?
Like, you know, we're running the
company and it's like we have real
partners that are relying on this. And
like things have to work, right? And you
ship a new model generation. How do you
make sure that there's no bugs in that?
How do you make sure you don't have
regressions, right? This is no longer
just like a Again, the blue sky research
problem of like, "Oh, we got some cool
results and we move on." Uh we've had to
have really high priorities on like, you
know, having production-level code
bases. As the team grows, how do we make
sure that the code base is in a state
that more people can contribute to this.
So, um something that that one of our
other co-founders, Zach, likes to say is
that if you want to move fast in in the
long term, you sometimes have to just
move a little bit slower in in the short
term, right? And And make sure that you
are building something uh Again, that
goes back to that compounding idea. Goes
back to we don't add module 25 to make
the next thing work. Uh so, sometimes uh
you know, you're you're like so excited
to get to the next result and you just
want to jump into it, but uh we have
real partners, some of the biggest
companies in the world that are now
relying on us. Uh and it's important
that we we realize that, we take that
responsibility to heart, uh and we make
sure we're building systems that, you
know, continue continue to work.
>> I have a burning question. Why Why guys
called Chai Discovery?
>> Chemistry and AI. But we love chai tea
as well.
>> [laughter]
>> There's a lot of chai tea stuff in the
office. So yeah.
>> That's a good question. I didn't know
that
either.
>> Josh is the visionary. That was all him.
>> [laughter]
>> It is a very user-friendly name.
>> Yeah, we also wanted a name that like
like biotech companies have such
complicated names. We wanted something
that's going to be much simpler. We're
trying to build make this whole thing
simpler, right?
So we need a simple name to go along
with it.
>> Awesome. What are you guys most excited
about in the next 6 to 12 months?
>> I think for me it's just the deployments
that are happening. So we've announced a
couple of these these partnerships and
I'm really excited just to hear about
the results that our partners are
bringing online. It goes back to this
point of like making a real difference
and also why I'm
so happy to see how these partnerships
are going even, you know, posted the
agreement and as we're working with
these folks that models are not sitting
on a shelf somewhere. Like they're
actually being used on real programs.
People trying to approach devastating
diseases where, you know, if Chai could
give them a molecule that that works it
could really change the lives of
patients. So I'm really excited to see
how that goes. Just the pace of progress
here is is incredible but also just like
the pace of the models. Like a year ago
you could not zero shot a molecule and
like, you know, have a good sense that
your program was going to work. Like now
that's changed. Someone might zero shot
a molecule and be like I I think we're
going to bring this program to the
clinic now. And then a year later, you
know, they might even have some of those
first molecules going into patients. And
just the speed of that is is just
incredible and it's you know, sometimes
you get some shivers thinking about this
stuff like, okay, my model is going to
like Matt has some patents from our last
company about, you know, like just
generating the molecule on the computer
and these things are are now in patients
and just to think about the scale. Like
I don't know a few years from now, do we
have dozens? Do we have hundreds of like
Chai molecules going into people? It's a
bit mind-blowing to think about what
that might might look like for patients.
>> I think one of the things that like
again like what made Chai unique like
the dedication. Like people are like,
man, you work a lot. Um and like you
like aren't you burnt out or whatever.
It's like it's actually really easy and
like it's very motivating when you're
making progress. Seeing the progress
that we're making and just like thinking
man the next model is going to be even
better than the last. We identified this
new thing so on.
Um like that's so incredibly motivating.
For me it's more of just like what what
can we unlock next and like how do we
make these things more controllable and
like when someone comes to us with a
certain target instead of just like
hoping we get good affinity or something
like that, you know, can we actually
control this? Can we say like we want
exactly a 10 animal or binder or things
like that. Like there are a lot of
technical things that I think are we're
like kind of right on the brink of
solving. Um and for me it's like it's
really motivating just to like pin those
things down and just like get all of
this over the line and see kind of where
that leads to next.
>> Awesome. Matt, Josh, thank you for
Engineering Biology and thank you for
sharing your story with us today.
>> Thank you guys. Thanks for having us.
>> [music]
[music]
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Chai Discovery aims to transform drug discovery into an engineering discipline using AI, moving from trial-and-error to intentional design of molecules. Their core principle is simplicity, which they believe is crucial for scaling models and research. Building on breakthroughs like AlphaFold 2 and diffusion models, Chai's models can now generate protein structures and sequences with real-world constraints. Their Chai 2 model has increased molecule binding success rates from 0.1% to 15%, enabling *de novo* design of molecules with therapeutic properties. Chai operates on principles of rigor and scaling, building models from scratch and maintaining honesty in progress evaluation. Their business model involves partnering with pharma companies to provide this infrastructure, which ensures rigorous model validation and broad industry impact. Looking ahead, they envision a future where computer-aided design leads to higher-quality, highly specific drugs, addressing currently untreatable diseases and making personalized medicine economically viable.
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