The stock market crash coming our way could wipe 50% off share prices
428 segments
Oh, all right, guys. You know, let's uh
grab a drink. I don't know. Grab
whatever makes you feel better. Let's
talk about the market. Let's go through
my portfolio. I'm going to open up my
Rob Moon app. And you know what? I'm not
so much planned for this video. I just
want to kind of go over the hardships
many of us are facing so we can kind of
understand what's going on and what we
can potentially do about it. Here's my
portfolio. It's at 3.7 million and I
have lost Let's see what my one week is.
I'm down 4%. I'm down $156,000.
[sighs]
That sucks. That sucks. That's probably
one of my worst performances whole year.
This is really tough. But hey, is my
portfolio doing really bad compared to
where the market's at? Oh no. Let's see
what the S&P 500 is down. SPY.
Let's see what we have for the one week.
One week is down 1%. So, I'm actually
doing pretty bad. I'm doing really,
really bad. And why am I making this
video and why is this on video
unplanned? Well, I just want to give you
the honest truth, the raw truth of
what's going on in my portfolio and see
what we can learn from it. Here's some
of the positions that I have. I have
options. Obviously, my channel is mainly
about options. I've been trading for
over 12 years and
looks like option trading is uh fairly
risky. That's what it looks like. But
let's do some analysis here on what's
actually going on. Um we can see one of
my biggest losses actually Google. And
[laughter] I'm going to need a sip for
this one.
It's water, by the way. I don't drink. I
don't smoke. We're here just to make
some money. Google down $91,000 and I'm
actually running a sell put strategy on
Google and boy oh boy is Google
detracting in my portfolio.
It's one of the biggest pain points in
the portfolio but other than that it's
pretty pretty stable. All right, so my
biggest position is actually Walmart in
my community. We have done pretty well
on Walmart. When I opened up Walmart a
while ago it was what $71 per share.
We've been holding it. And every time I
have my Monday and Wednesday calls, I
say, "Guys, we don't have to be sexy. We
don't have to chase AI stocks. I know
there's a lot of YouTubers getting lots
of views on YouTube on some AI stocks
that are really hot, but guys, that's
fine. We can have a portion of our
portfolio in something that's hot. Let's
have a bigger portion and what's more
stable." All right. Right. So, I'm a fan
of stability and I'd argue that my
portfolio, although down for the week
4%, which is sucks, is actually pretty
decent compared to um just a lot of
these tech stocks that are down like
double digits. Just crazy crashes in the
market. So much money is being wiped
out. And I'm not going to give you a
whole kind of spiel on why that's
happening or or what's why they're
losing so much. I'm sure you've already
watched other YouTube videos. This is
more so on how I'm managing my own
portfolio and sharing with you how I
view this. So I'm opening up my
portfolio just to look at it myself
first time today because it's a Friday
and I had Monday and Wednesday coaching
calls and on Friday I like to not look
at the portfolio because I have noticed
and I studied finance. The more you look
at your portfolio and the more you try
to trade the worse results you end up
getting because you overtrade and you do
too much and you end up panic selling.
So, I see some of my positions down, but
I'm man, I'm not doing anything about it
because there's nothing to do about it.
I have highquality companies. For
example, Walmart as the first one here.
I'm up 47,000. I mean, not long ago, I
was up over $500 something,000 on it,
but I'm not making any changes.
Actually, it's interesting. I have a
covered call at 110 and now it's out of
the money. Wow. It's out of the money
now. 7% down on Walmart. insane. But
yeah, Walmart hasn't been a huge
detracting factor in the community at
all. Walmart has been pretty stable.
Let's kind of go through more of the
positions that I have. Amazon. Now,
Amazon, I have $650,000.
So, that's a pretty large position, of
course, and I'm actually up on the
position, doing pretty well. 33K on the
options as well. So, this is this is
actually one of my better positions I'm
very happy with. I'm going to continue
to hold Amazon. Keep going here into
Palunteer. Palanteer 123. I think
Palanteer is cheap. 9 days left, guys,
until Palanteer has their Q2 earnings.
So, I bought Palunteer IPO and I'm still
holding it. I've had Palunteer IPO in my
Roth IRA, which my personal Roth IRA, I
started with like 10K is now at 100K.
It's a really small Roth IRA that I
have, nothing huge, but pounds here did
really well if you're an early investor.
And I want to just say like if you're
late, if you're late to the party and
you know you just started investing
recently, you're a beginner or maybe
you've been investing for a while, you
started putting more money to work
recently and the market pulled back and
you're feeling a lot of pain. I feel
you. We're all feeling pain together and
that's fine. The market's not supposed
to get all of us wealthy overnight. That
doesn't happen. It's supposed to take
time and if you do the smart moves, if
you have the proper asset allocation, if
you have the proper risk management,
it's not really a problem. I'm not so
concerned here being down 4% because I
know I'm going to make it back. I know
I'm going to make back in a pretty short
amount of time. Honestly, as long as the
market doesn't crash, of course, there's
a risk the market crashes further, but
I'm not going to watch a ton of videos
and try to like predict the future or,
you know, just read the news all the
time. It's not going to help, right?
Stock market goes up longterm. That's
all you have to know. Don't try to
predict anything short term. If you guys
are like watching a ton of videos and
you're trying to see what's going on in
Korea, which is which is crazy actually,
genuinely crazy how a lot of people had
a margin call in Korea because they all
bet on their two biggest stocks, right?
They have two stocks in their stock
market essentially that makes up like
67% of their market. But, you know,
we're not going to be in that position
if we're not being dumb about it. If we
have 10 to 15 stocks, which is what I
teach, I teach having a diversified
portfolio and then selling options for
premium. If you have that and the
market's down, we're all down together.
It's not like, okay, if you're down an
unreasonable amount versus the market,
that's a you problem. That means you've
done something wrong. But if you're down
a couple percentage points and the
market's down a couple percentage
points, that's normal. That's just
correlation. Everyone's going to be
down. So, I'm not concerned. you
shouldn't be concerned about that and
there's hope that you're going to do
pretty well in the near future. So, I'm
kind of trying to be your your therapist
here in a way to say don't overtrade and
don't panic and don't sell. Honestly,
buy the dip. If you have cash, buy the
dip. It's that simple. Just buy the dip
in high quality companies. I like
Palance here a lot. 9 days left here.
Great. Looks great to me that in 9 days
they're going to report earnings and I
think they're going to absolutely crush.
So over the last 3 months the stock is
down and they actually had a really huge
bounce from $17 per share. I told my
members to buy. They bought. So we're
happy with Palance here. 122 it's down a
little bit. We're not, you know, happy
today, but we're happy overall and we're
going to be happy here long term. So got
a whole lot of SoFi. 10,500 shares of
SoFi down 48k in the position, but I've
generated so much premium I' I've lost
track at this point. You see the total
return I have on options 8,200.
I've literally sold so many covered
calls. I don't know what I clicked
there, but I've literally sold so many
covered calls on SoFi that um I might
very well be breaking even on this
specific position. And I've already
taken profit on SoFi multiple times. So,
I'm going to guess I'm probably
somewhere around break even on SoFi. So,
again, like I'm not super concerned
because what's going to happen with
SoFi, mark my words, 3 months from now,
hey, maybe it's at $17.50 has done
nothing. Well, that's fine because I'm
an option seller. When I collect premium
and I sell options like this 19 covered
call, I'm up 64% on it. I have $4,620 to
go. So in August, if SoFi is trading for
like $17 per share, fine. Sure. I don't
have to hit a home run. The whole point
is I'm not trying to take my portfolio
to some astronomically high amount by
taking on crazy amounts of risk. I'm
just looking to outperform the market.
That's my personal goal. I'm looking for
something that's stable, for something
that's consistent, and I want to beat
the market because obviously like if I
just invest in S&P 500 or ETFs or
dividend stocks, I want to be able to
beat that, right? because I'm actively
I'm actively trading. I'm not that
active, but I'm doing, you know, weekly
trades and monthly trades in my
community and I am, you know, we can say
actively trading, right? I'm not crazy
actively trading, but I am actively
trading. So, my goal is to to beat the
market and I've been able to do that for
a very significant amount of time. Maybe
it was a little bit easier before. I
don't know. I think there's going to be
plenty of opportunities to be honest.
So, I just want to share that if you're
feeling down right now, if you're
feeling bad, like there's hope. Just
because the market is down shortterm
doesn't mean anything. You know how
people's emotions are like a roller
coaster? You guys literally know that.
Like every time the market pulls down,
everyone's like, "Oh, this time's
different and the market's crashing and
stocks are overvalued." Guys, the
market's not really overvalued. The PE
ratio of the S&P 500 is pretty
reasonable. So, we're not really
overvalued. So, whenever we see like a
downswing, unless the PE ratio is like
20 30% overvalued, which it's not, then
any pullback is really just an
opportunity. So yeah, that's SoFi.
Google is really difficult because
Google just had negative cash flow for
their first um time like really like I
want to say ever, but it's not ever, but
it's like the first negative cash flow
they've had I think in a decade. Don't
quote me on that, but it's like around
like a decade or so. It's because of all
their AI spending. They spent so much
money on AI um and data centers and
stuff like that. So, the stock is down
to 319 and I've given back a significant
amount of my gains. I have a,000 shares.
I have a $319,000 market value. But when
Google was trading here for $400 per
share, I was like $80,000 richer. But
I'm not complaining. I still think
Google's going to be $400 again. And I
can't time the market. I don't want to
be like Michael Bur who predicts 27 of
the last three crashes, right? It's a
funny joke. You get it? He He predicted
27, but only three happened, right? So,
don't listen to the bears. All the bears
are like, "Oh, this time's different.
There's going to be a market crash." No,
no, no, no, no, no, no, no. Bears make
money. They can make money if they're
good at timing. But bulls also make
money, and that's much more stable to be
bull.
So, I'd rather be a bull. Um, oh, let me
go back to Google. So, Google, we see
the 370 put option is super in the
money. Super in the money. And I've been
selling options. Um, and by the way, I'm
not a financial adviser cuz what I'm
going to say is going to be kind of
risky. So, I'm not a financial adviser.
This is just educational purposes only.
But I personally use margin. Okay? I
like margin. And I've been also using it
with my one-on-one students. I have
one-on-one students who basically
message me. They have my phone number.
They can message me anytime they want
and we fill up their portfolio. We
allocate their capital and I'm there to
support them throughout their journey.
And I'll be honest with you, a lot of
the times I like to use partners. I like
to sell puts on margin just like this
because I don't actually personally have
the cash to take assignment here. Okay?
And I'm not going to go too deep into
detail here, but I'm just letting you
know that this position right here is
pretty dang massive. It is it is very
massive. like I need to take a sip of
water here and I want you to just
calculate the math. Just just do the
math right now. All right. So, what is
the math that you did? Well, one
contract of Google is $37,000.
That means that 10 contracts is 370K. I
sold 40 puts here. Okay. So, that's what
that's like 600 1.2 mil and then 70 * 4
is 280. So, it's like 1,480,000
that I personally don't have. So, I'm
doing something risky, but I've been
doing this for over a decade and just
going to manage this as it approaches
September 18. I know exactly what to do.
So, if I'm on $1.5 million that I don't
even have that's above my market value,
like above my portfolio value, and I'm
not really that concerned, you know,
it's really a confidence thing. It's
understanding what you're doing. The
market being down is not really the
issue. It's how you manage the market
being down. And by the way, I've seen
some comments like, "Oh, Henry's, you
know, wrong all the time and stuff." But
I take money out of my portfolio
consistently on a monthly basis because
I use it for living expenses and I
travel. You guys have seen throughout
the years my background changes a lot
cuz I'm traveling. I'm donating money.
I'm Yeah, I'm spending a good amount of
money to to, you know, have a decent
lifestyle and my portfolio has been very
stable. Anyways, not to ramble on. I
don't want to waste any time here. I'm
not concerned that I might get assigned
here because I know how to manage this.
Okay, that's the whole kind of story I'm
trying to get at. Um, all right. So,
let's go into the next kind of stocks
that I have. I have really small
positions on some of these, so I'm not
going to go into that. But, I will go to
Meta because Meta is a pretty I would
say larger Yeah, it is a large position.
It's like 8% of my total kind of
portfolio here. So, it's a it's a big
position for me. I'm down $16,000 and I
have a couple of long call options. And
actually my call options were doing
pretty well last time I checked. Let me
go into the 600 call option here. 600
call option. Okay. Yeah. No, no, this
one was the one that was down. The 580
I'm up on. Oo, but it eroded a lot as
well. So anyways, I've given back a good
amount because I was up significantly on
this position even just a couple days
ago for my Wednesday coaching session.
And now just taking a look at things,
man. Pretty difficult. Pretty difficult,
huh? NBIS. This is uh actually $200 per
share I think is fair value. So I kind
of like it here, but it has the craziest
implied volatility ever. Has like
literally insane volatility. That's a
good thing for an option seller again.
So I think there's a lot of opportunity
with NBIS. I ran oo I ran down 20% in
the month. I have negative 15% and then
I have some covered calls which are
down. Honestly, this is probably one of
the more difficult times that I've seen
other than co such a big market. I
honestly call it pretty much like a
crash specifically because all these AI
stocks are crashing. But again, I'm not
too concerned. Anyways, here's kind of
like the moral of the story. Don't be
too concerned with the stock market. If
I have $1.5 million in Google exposure
that I don't even have cash to buy and
I'm not even concerned, I have SoFi, I
have Palanteer, I have a lot of the
stocks I talk about on this channel. I
haven't sold any of the stocks and I'm
very confident that I'm going to be
fine. I have no concerns. I'm $1.5
million at more risk than probably
anyone watching my video right now. So,
don't be concerned. Just have a
long-term perspective. Buy the right
stocks. If you need more support, I
don't know, message me, email me, join
my Discord. I'd be happy to support you.
But honestly, it's not about watching
more videos or taking more action. It's
actually about doing less. So, hope that
helps. And thanks for watching. If you
enjoyed this video, subscribe and I'll
see you in the next one.
Ask follow-up questions or revisit key timestamps.
The video creator provides an honest, raw look at his personal portfolio during a difficult market week where he experienced a 4% decline. Despite the losses and the risks associated with his heavy use of margin and options trading, he remains calm and confident in his long-term strategy. He emphasizes the importance of avoiding panic, resisting the urge to overtrade, and focusing on holding high-quality, stable companies rather than chasing volatile AI trends.
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