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7 Years of Professional Trading Advice in 13 Minutes

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7 Years of Professional Trading Advice in 13 Minutes

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356 segments

0:00

Most traders don't need a new setup.

0:02

They need to stop trading five of them.

0:04

I've been trading full-time since 2018

0:06

and I've been profitable every year

0:08

except for my first year. Almost

0:10

everything in that time that actually

0:12

moved the needle was subtraction.

0:14

Something I stopped doing, stopped

0:16

watching, or trade I stopped taking. So,

0:19

this is seven lessons in about 10

0:21

minutes. There's no indicator in here,

0:24

no pattern you haven't seen. Most of

0:26

these are going to sound simpler than

0:28

you want them to be. One thing before we

0:30

start. Number six is the one almost

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nobody actually does and it's the one

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that changed my trading the most as a

0:38

developing trader.

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All right, let's get into it. Number

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one, pick one setup and trade it until

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it bores you. Most developing traders

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aren't losing because their strategy is

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broken. They're losing because they have

0:51

eight strategies and about 20 trades of

0:53

experience in each one. You can't get

0:56

better at something you only do

0:57

occasionally. All you get is a slightly

0:59

bigger pile of random data.

1:02

When you trade the same setup over and

1:04

over, something changes that you can't

1:06

shortcut. You stop asking, "Is this the

1:08

setup?" and you start noticing how this

1:10

one is a little different from the last

1:12

40.

1:14

That's where the money actually is, in

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the nuance. And nuance only grows on top

1:19

of repetition.

1:21

Here's the test. If I asked you right

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now to describe your setup, the exact

1:26

trigger, the exact stop, the exact

1:28

reason you'd pass on the one that looks

1:30

close,

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could you do it in two sentences without

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thinking about it? If you can't, you

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don't have a setup, you have a

1:38

preference.

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So, pick one, trade it a few hundred

1:42

times. Everything else can wait. Number

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two, your best trades are going to feel

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unimpressive.

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There's this expectation that a great

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trade feels great. That it's obvious,

1:54

exciting, some moment of clarity where

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you just know and go all in.

1:59

That's not what it is. The trades that

2:01

pay me are the ones where the setup

2:03

shows up exactly the way it's supposed

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to. I take it exactly the way I always

2:09

take it and it does roughly what it

2:11

usually does.

2:13

There's no story attached. Nothing to

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screenshot and post about on X. It's the

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same trade I took last Tuesday or that

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same A trade I took last month. The

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trades that feel exciting are usually

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the ones where something is already off.

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The stock's moving too fast. I'm chasing

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it. I'm in it because I have FOMO. It's

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hard to control risk.

2:32

Excitement and being on the edge of your

2:34

seat is almost always a signal that

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you've drifted off your plan and

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something just isn't right. So, if your

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trading starts to feel boring, that's

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not a problem you need to fix.

2:45

That's usually what it looks like when

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things are working and I'm trading well.

2:49

Traders who need it to feel exciting end

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up paying the market for entertainment

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and the market charges a lot for that.

2:56

Number three,

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size is what ends and blows up accounts,

3:00

not being wrong. Being wrong doesn't

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blow people up.

3:05

Every trader is wrong about a trade

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almost every day. That's the job. I

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would say most traders I know have

3:12

between a 40 and 60% win rate. What

3:15

blows up trading accounts is being wrong

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with size you picked emotionally and

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then refusing to take the loss because

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the loss got too big to take.

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That's the actual sequence every time

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for traders that blow their account.

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Size too big, can't take the stop,

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position turns into decision about money

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instead of a decision about the chart.

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And at that point, you're not even

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trading anymore. You're negotiating with

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yourself. A few years ago, we had an

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FOMC press conference and the market

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ripped and closed on highs on high

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volume.

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The next morning, I went to buy the dip

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because obviously the trend was going to

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continue and it didn't.

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The chart was telling me that pretty

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clearly, and I just wasn't interested in

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hearing it because I was too big to be

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wrong.

4:00

So, I didn't take the stop. I sat there

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telling myself it just needed one more

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candle to come back. And I said that

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about four times on the way down.

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That was the worst day I'd had up to

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that point. Here's the practical

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version. Your size is right when you

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could watch the trade go against you and

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not feel too much because you planned to

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risk that amount. If you're staring at

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the P&L, if your stomach is involved one

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way or another, if you catch yourself

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hoping, you're too big. Cut it in half.

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Keep going until the trade kind of feels

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boring.

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If it's one of your very best setups,

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then it's okay to feel a little

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uncomfortable. We actually want that in

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order to grow as traders. For me, that

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happens maybe two to three times a

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month.

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And yeah, you know, you'll make less

4:49

money when you're trading less size.

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You're supposed to make less money than

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you want as a developing trader.

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You're in the part of your career where

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you're buying information and stats, not

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really income. Number four, set a daily

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stop and treat it as a hard rule, not a

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guideline.

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Not a number you renegotiate at 11:00

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a.m. because you've got a good reason. A

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number you decide when you're calm and

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honor it when you're not because the

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version of you sitting at your daily

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stop is not the same person who set it.

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That guy is frustrated. He's convinced

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the next one gets it back, and he has a

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genuinely persuasive argument for why

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today is the exception. He's wrong

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basically every time, and he's very

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convincing.

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That's the whole point of a rule. It

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doesn't require your judgment. Your

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judgment is the thing that's compromised

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in that moment. That's why that daily

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stop exists. I use a fixed dollar

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amount. If you lose that amount during

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the trading day, you shut it down. At a

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professional trading firm, if you go

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over your risk limit, there's a very

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good chance you're fired. I've seen it

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happen.

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That's how seriously it gets taken. And

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if I make two times that daily stop in a

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day, or four times that daily stop in a

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month, I've earned the right to bump up

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my daily stop. Performance moves that

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number. Nothing else does. Number five,

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a good trade can still lose, and a bad

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trade can still pay you.

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Simple to say, genuinely hard to live

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with, because your brain grades on

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outcome, and the market pays on

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probability.

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Every setup you have is a distribution.

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If something works six times out of 10,

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that means four times out of 10 it

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doesn't. And those four are not

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mistakes. They're the cost of the six

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trades that made you money. You don't

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get the winners without them. There's no

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version of this where you keep the good

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outcomes and filter out the bad ones.

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And here's the damage that does when you

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grade on outcome. You take a clean loss

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on a stock that say gapped up and faded,

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and you decide the setup's broken. So,

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you add a rule, uh no more gappers over

7:01

20%. Feels responsible. Feels like you

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learned something that day. Except now,

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a decent chunk of your best trades were

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gappers over 20%, and you just deleted

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them. You didn't fix the setup, you cut

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a piece out to avoid one loss that was

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never a mistake in the first place. Do

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that four or five times over a couple

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months, and you've got strategies with

7:21

so many rules bolted on that it barely

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triggers anymore. That's how traders

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take something that worked and ruin it

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without ever noticing, and then say,

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"That trade setup doesn't work for me

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anymore." So, separate the two

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questions. Did I make a good decision,

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and did it work?

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Those are different questions, and only

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one of them is a question you should be

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asking yourself. Number six, this is

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what I told you about from the start.

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Review the charts of good trades, not

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just your bad trades. Everybody reviews

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losers and it feels productive.

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Um it also feels like punishment, which

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is why people do it for about a week and

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quit. But the bigger issue is what it

8:01

teaches you. Reviewing your losses only

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tells you what to avoid. It never tells

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you what to look for.

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Good trades are where your edge lives.

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When you pull up 30 charts of trades

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that worked and put them next to each

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other,

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things show up that you cannot see in

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real time. Time of day, what the market

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was doing, what the stock did the 10

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minutes before the entry trigger, what

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the best ones looked like before they

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were obviously the best ones. And here's

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the part that most people get wrong

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about this. It does not have to be your

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trade.

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That's the unlock. Your own winners are

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a tiny sample. If you're taking a few

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trades a day, it'll be years before

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you've seen enough of them for patterns

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to be obvious. But the market gives you

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a great trade almost every single day,

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whether you were in it or not.

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There's a stock in play every session.

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Somebody called the clean move on it.

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You don't need to have been the one

9:00

holding it to learn what made it work.

9:04

Some of the best study I've ever done

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was on setups I've missed.

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The exact thing I trade, it set up

9:11

perfectly and I wasn't in it.

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That one stings and that's precisely why

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it teaches you something.

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You're not defending a decision, so you

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can actually look at it. So here's the

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process work and I'd argue this is the

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highest return on time of anything a

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developing trader could do.

9:29

Every day, pick the trade of the day,

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the cleanest move on the most in play

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stock. Doesn't matter if you traded it.

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Hold the chart up, mark it up, and go

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through the whole thing. Where was the

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entry?

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What made that the entry and not 30

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seconds earlier or a couple minutes

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earlier? Where was the stop? Where did

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it get uncomfortable? Where would you

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have taken profits and where should you

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have?

9:52

What did the volume look like? Et

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cetera.

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Do that for many months and years. I

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still do it almost every day and

10:00

something shifts. You've now seen 100

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clean versions of what a good setup

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looks like and you know the nuances.

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That's how a setup starts being

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something you recognize on site.

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That's how you stop hesitating to take

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trades.

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Take screenshots. Keep them somewhere

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you'll actually open them again. Go

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through them on a Sunday. This might be

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the least interesting thing in this

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video and it did more for me than

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anything else on the list. Number seven,

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and this is the one people argue with me

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about. Almost nothing I do is original

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and that's fine. My setups aren't mine.

10:37

My process isn't mine.

10:39

Uh every piece of it came from somebody

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who was already doing better than I was.

10:43

I copied it and then adjusted it until

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it fit how I actually operate.

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That's the whole job. That's it. There's

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this instinct especially around like

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year one or two to build something from

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scratch and make it yours. To have your

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own trade.

11:00

Uh and it's an expensive instinct.

11:03

You'll spend two years rediscovering

11:05

something a profitable trader would have

11:06

handed you in about 20 minutes. The

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close cousin of that is the opinion

11:11

you've already formed about yourself.

11:13

I'm not a scalper. I don't have the

11:15

personality for that type of momentum

11:17

trading. That style isn't for me. You

11:20

almost certainly formed that from a very

11:22

small sample of bad execution and you

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didn't test the strategy. You tested

11:27

yourself doing something unfamiliar

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badly which is what every trader looks

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like at first. I promise you that. Which

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brings up the thing sitting underneath

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all of this. Who you're around sets your

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ceiling.

11:40

If the only traders you talk to are as

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as stuck as you are, you'll keep trading

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like they do. Find people who are better

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than you and pay attention to what they

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do differently. Not what they buy, what

11:51

they do differently. That's the fastest

11:54

item on this list and it costs nothing

11:56

except your ego. So, 7 years,

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seven lessons, trade one setup until it

12:02

bores you, stop expecting your best

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trades to feel exciting, size down until

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you can actually follow the plan and the

12:09

chart, set a daily stop and do not

12:12

negotiate with it. Judge the decision,

12:15

not the outcome, review your winners and

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stop trying to reinvent the wheel.

12:20

Notice what is not on that list. A new

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indicator,

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um a new pattern, no secret setting in

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your trading software, no magic watch

12:29

list, nothing you need to go learn this

12:32

weekend so you could start over again on

12:34

Monday. Most of what made me better was

12:36

not something I added, it was something

12:38

I removed. That is the part most traders

12:41

do not want to hear because adding

12:43

something feels productive. Removing

12:45

something feels like, you know, you're

12:47

doing less.

12:49

But trading usually does not reward

12:50

more. It rewards repeatability.

12:53

Repeatable setups, repeatable risk,

12:56

repeatable review, repeatable decisions.

12:59

7 years in, my trading did not get

13:01

better because I got smarter. Got better

13:03

because I got narrower and I studied

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more.

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So, take at least one thing from this

13:08

video and actually do it for the next

13:10

month. Pick the one thing that would

13:12

clean up the most damage in your trading

13:14

right now and start there.

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