Eric Weinstein: The State of American Science, Breakthrough Coverups, and the Danger of Physics
2390 segments
We have become a nation when it
comes to science.
>> You were called a fringe scientist.
>> I [music] keep saying fringe.
>> Yeah.
>> I totally disagree with the narrative of
the field. I want to blow a giant pole
in the civil rights act. The stagnation
in physics may have led to the survival
of the human species. When we make this
jump, the world will become
unrecognizable. I'm going all in.
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I'm [music] going
>> Eric Weinstein, mathematician,
physicist, economist, PhD in
mathematical physics from Harvard,
National Science Foundation postoc, O&R
fellow at Harvard, published a proposed
mathematical framework and speculative
unified field theory called geometric
unity in 2021, formerly with Theel
Capital, podcast host and guest. Welcome
to the all-in interview.
>> It's great to be here. Now, where are
the besties?
>> They declined the opportunity because
this is an extended science corner that
>> can't believe that Jason has turned tail
and and ran.
>> No, you and I. I mean, just for the
audience, you and I both happen to be in
DC right now. So, we're in a rented
studio doing this interview, but good
timing. What brings you to DC?
>> Uh, opportunity. I'm really excited.
I've meeting with the department of war
um and took the opportunity to stay a
couple extra days. Been talking to
director Katzios over at OSTP and the
White House science adviser. Fantastic
meeting. Been talking to Jay Badachari
who's an old friend over at NIH. About
to talk to Jim O'Neal who's hopefully
coming into NSF. Yeah.
>> And really just taking a look at the
first major proposal to reform American
science since Venavar Bush at the end of
World War II. So this is couldn't be
more exciting.
>> Did Katzios tell you that I just
interviewed him on this topic?
>> No.
>> Okay. Well, I did.
>> Okay.
>> You guys are old colleagues, right?
>> Yeah. Yeah. Michael's Michael's great.
And so he he that came up. He said, you
know, here I am in this new role. Yeah,
>> I guess I was sort of worried that this
report, you know, obviously he's filling
huge shoes and I was worried that it was
going to be a disaster and I was stunned
how how good it was. I mean, it wasn't
perfect, but never never is.
>> And then I told you that.
>> Mhm. and you said that well you and I
had been talking and that you had been
conveying a lot of these issues to him
and I feel like he's uh he's really
grown into this role trying to become a
student of the American science project
and I couldn't be happier at hearing him
say things like we know that we don't
know everything we're just at the
beginning we're just getting started so
it looks like a great blueprint
>> governmentdriven science has played a
fundamental role in the success of the
republic at least over the last hundred
years last 50 75
prior to that there's a argument to be
made in the in science and new golden
age that Kratzio published and that
others have been making I've heard you
make it that science has really stalled
in America. Can you make that case for
us now?
>> Well, it's a question of which science
has stalled. Um so one of the great
things about what Michael's saying is is
that science is a big place and it's not
being done in one way. So what I really
think is the biggest, if you wanted to
sort of fly over and give an idea of
what's what's at risk, it's the
absolutely courageous science that we
can afford to do as a rich, ruggedly
individualistic nation that no one else
can afford to do. And so more or less
when when I see us doing incremental
research and doing things that are
incredibly careful with low variance and
calling it excellence, I get depressed
because my feeling is is that what we
should be taking on is the bets no one
else can afford to take on. It's also
the case that our chief geopolitical
rivals, China,
>> has a problem with freedom. And quite
honestly, freedom is a weapon. It is a
uh serious advantage that we can afford
to look at ourselves and say we don't do
everything perfectly and we want to know
the truth. I want to know whether Fouchy
killed 10 million people. I should be
able to investigate that as a viologist,
as an epidemiologist. I I I should be
able to get answers and and go through
the process of justice. When we have a
situation in which our scientists are
hamstrung because the conclusion is
known ahead of time, we limit our own
ability to use cowboy science
to drive the rest of the world. And and
quite honestly, we're giving away our
biggest advantage, which is the middle
finger, the American ability to say
screw you to a supervisor who tells you
what is true and what isn't true. young
person should be able to say, "Hey, I
think my field is going in entirely the
wrong direction and I'm willing to bet
my career on it. Don't interfere." This
was always the biggest question for me
is where were all the skeptics? Where
were all the scientists that are
supposed to question the dogma during
the lockdowns, during COVID, during that
pandemic? And I talked to Katios about
this when we did our interview that if
everyone in the room agrees on
something, it's probably wrong. Like you
know there there has to be some degree
of skepticism but particularly because
the fundamental basis of science is to
ask questions, interrogate, generate
evidence, generate data and then draw
some you know conclusion and ask your
next question. But it's almost like the
asking questions stopped. Where did that
come from? It sounds like you're saying
it's because folks were hamstrung
socially. Was it economic? What is it
that happened that not just in this
pandemic but just broadly are we seeing
this happen more in these scientific
domains where everyone kind of aligns
around one thesis one dogma and you're
not going to get funding you're not
going to have friends you're not going
to get colleagues to work with you
you're going to get chastised if you ask
different questions or ask whether these
assumptions are correct
>> this is the question and let me just
answer it is is that we created the
scientific procariat
We created a world in which professors
cannot afford
to go against a consensus. Now the
problem is consensus because if
everybody agrees on something, you
shouldn't need a consensus. There's no
arithmetic consensus. Do we have an
arithmetic consensus that 2 + 3 equals
5? No, it just is.
When I hear the word consensus, I get
very, very nervous because a consensus
is usually an artificial agreement
achieved through pressure. the
Washington consensus is some sort of a
thing where we're all going to go in a
particular direction and if you don't go
in that direction you don't have a job.
So when you ask well what happens you
know my question is that the the uh Jay
Bacharia is a perfect example of what
should happen. You have a guy who has a
PhD in economics and an MD
and he went against it with the Great
Bington Declaration. Now he's the head
of NIH. I I knew Jay when he was called
a fringe epidemiologist by this loser
Francis Collins and you know his
sidekick who was probably our bioweapons
are Anthony Fouchy. You know, if I say
Anthony Fouchy was probably our
bioweapons are, that's going to strike
all these people, particularly on the
institutional left is, well, that's
conspiracy theory talk. So, my question
is, we signed a couple of uh agreements
in the 70s, the Geneva Convention and
Boweapons Treaty. We have a cryptic
system. Somehow we chose in that case a
mysterious Ukrainian uh British
zoologologist to receive huge amounts of
money through a hippie dippy charity
called the Ecoalth Alliance money from
like Ditra, the Defense Threat Reduction
Agency, the whole thing doesn't make any
sense. So if you start doing things
through covert operations, the problem
is is that scientists can see right
through covert operations.
If you have great tools, you know, if
you say, "I I wasn't at the scene of the
crime." I said, "Oh, well, but we have a
a hair follicle and I can pretty much
tell you you were at the scene of the
crime." That's how powerful science is.
So now you have this different problem
which is is that you've got all of these
Bminus policy people in Washington,
particularly in the covert community,
not the intelligence community, but the
covert community, inside the
intelligence community, who don't want
kick-ass independent scientists, because
they're telling stories and narratives
that are easily exploded. So right now,
we don't don't just have a problem with
good science, we have a problem with
good journalism,
>> right? They also have to fall in line
with the
>> the pride narrative.
>> Exactly. So there are times when you
when you have to, you know, when the US
went to war, Roosevelt was in a
wheelchair with these leg braces and
there was a general agreement that we
won't report on the state of the
president's health. Well, we had the
same thing with Biden. Biden was
undergoing some form of dementia.
Did anyone think to ask a leading
geriatric neurologist, look, examine his
gate, examine his speech patterns, and
tell us where he is he likely in his
cognitive trajectory. So, if you're
trying to to, you know, tell a lie
that's important structurally, you
really don't want scientists exploding
it. When we did the and I I'm I'm not
arguing with that. We shouldn't have
been honest about what we were doing at
a New Mexico boy school from 1940 to
1945 because science was creating the
most powerful weapon ever seen on planet
Earth.
>> For those not aware, that's the
Manhattan Project.
>> Absolutely.
>> So, what I'm trying to say is is that
right now, you're not taking those
people who stood up and making them the
president of a university or the
chairman of a department. You're not
giving them a chair. And I just gave a
talk on this at at uh Jordan Peterson's
ARC conference. You haven't reinserted
the tiny number of people who stood up.
You haven't rewarded them. My question
is where's my third home for standing
up?
>> Where's the ability to put my kids, you
know, I want to put three kids through
school. I want to participate in the
security and the prosperity that we
provide to everyone else. And this is
the the key issue. You've created the
American scientific procariat. That's
one of the reasons why you have, you
know, such strange political
affiliations where you don't have
balance in the professor. You've got
this incredibly dangerous situation
where we are not participating in
freedom. And I will say in particular
theoretical phys physics theoretical
physics is the only profession to have
lost free speech because of something
called restricted data where I am not
allowed to put pen to paper to write
down a physics equation if in any way it
affects nuclear weapons. Well try doing
really good physics in a way that
doesn't affect
you know hadrons and nucleons. It
impossible. So you have this threat,
right, that somehow um the law I'm not
even protected by the first amendment.
>> But I I want to go back to your point
about incentives. So when you say I want
to have a third home, what you're saying
just to I'm going to do the Eric
Weinstein translation here, but you're
saying as a professor, I have to fall in
line in order to gain tenure, in order
to get a grant, in order to get the the
chairmanship role or whatever the
fellowship I'm looking for. If I don't
fall in line, if I'm fringe, if I say
things that are nonconformist, is that
the right kind of way to
>> heterodox?
>> Heterodox,
>> if I choose to just go against the
orthodoxy, right? I believe that um it
was insane to take the idea of the Wuhan
Institute of Irology off the table when
it came to the origin of CO.
>> Right.
>> Okay. Insane. It was clear then. And
when you said that, you were called a
fringe scientist and you were chastised
and labeled an outcast and therefore you
lost access, you lost jobs, you lost
income. There was much that was left out
of the equation for you. Y
>> because you asked questions that were
heterodox.
>> I I came up with a set of equations in
differential geometry in 1987 and I was
uh really treated incredibly badly.
those equations took over my field in
1994 and there was never an attempt to
go back and say wait a minute we just
brutalize somebody who got things right
and very early and so you know by the
same token it's just a very simple
process you're not allowed to want
better for your life you're supposed to
be humble you know well true scientists
don't care about money true scientists
don't care about security the reward is
the work it's you know blah blah blah
blah blah it's all of this absolute dril
The fact is is that we are providing
your security. And I say third homes to
be deliberately provocative. I used to
say second homes and I'm done with that.
You're dealing with a level of
prosperity in a world in which the genie
coefficients are blowing out. It's
almost entirely due to the technology
that is derivative of science and the
scientists are not participating. So
what you're doing is you're creating a
collectivist mindset because we can't
get paid. We can't win. If we get things
right, we're out.
>> When did this change happen? Because did
we not value and prize heterodoxy,
hereticism, outlandish ideas. The origin
of science, the origin of great
innovation, which arguably America is
still the global leader in today, arises
from what initially seems heretical.
seems like an idea that is far-fetched,
unrealistic, not going to happen. But
all it takes is one out of 10 of those
things to be true and ultimately the
envelope is pushed forward and we find
ourselves in a new frontier,
>> right?
>> Science should follow the same formula
as entrepreneurship in the sense
technological or industrial kind of
entrepreneurship roughly. Yeah. But
where did things change and why is this
just the natural course of you know Ted
Kazinski the uniomber wrote this
manifesto where he talked about over
socialization. Is that ultimately what
happened here? Is it social media played
a role? Is it just that this is the
saturation of social systems over time?
>> Yeah. This
>> or was there a deliberate external
effort?
>> The one thing you didn't uh recite in
that list of things. You didn't you
didn't mention my being in in the
physics department I guess uh at Hebrew
University
MIT
uh post-docctoral fellowship but the the
most important one is that I was the
co-chair co-PI with Richard Freeman of
the science and engineering workforce
project at Harvard in the economics
department because I was worried that we
were we had been losing this and there's
a very crisp answer to this and between
1965 and 75 everything went wrong.
Right. And and it's basically from the
beginning of the Medicare Act of 65 to a
controversy over something called man a
course of study in 1975 that ushered in
peer review and the control. But if you
wanted to really pinpoint it, it really
65 69 to 71 is particularly brutal. And
what happened was the MIT physics
department, I think in 1969 in the
spring, walked out in protest of the
Vietnam War, including people who had
been part of the Manhattan Project.
>> And the government took one look at this
and said, "Okay, you are wobbly. We
can't trust you. We have a we have a
very complicated, cryptic agreement with
our physicists in particular. You are
the most dangerous, most deadly, most
intelligent, most successful group along
with the mathematicians and we've relied
on you and now we can't trust you
because you're not you're not rowing uh
in the same direction that the country
is rowing with the with the war because
you're joining the protest movement.
What happened was is that immediately
the MIT instrument laboratory, which I
think was a where lots of government
money was being funneled through,
>> was taken outside the university and
turned into Draper Labs.
And the Mansfield amendment in 6971,
named after Mike Mansfield of of
Montana, said, "Okay, the military can
no longer fund blue sky research inside
of our university system unless it has a
direct military uh express military
purpose." That was the disaster because
what the military had done is they said,
"Look, we want you guys fat and happy
doing blue sky research, which is what
you think you should be doing. We trust
you guys. We just want to know that
you're there for us when we need you."
So, the military was our best friend.
Now that was uncomfortable because quite
honestly you have a huge paniply of
different ideas inside of high energy
highly dynamic science project. If you
don't have communists and fascists in
the same department having tea together
something has gone wrong
>> because scientists are very extreme. And
Ted Kazinski, you know, wrote a
marvelous story, for example, called
Ship of Fools about a bunch of people
overly concerned about political
correctness on a ship that then, you
know, runs into an iceberg because
nobody's actually paying attention to
the writing of the ship. They're having
questions about
>> I didn't even know this.
>> Oh, yeah. Yeah. Yeah. Everybody should
should read it. Now, of course, I'm not
>> I'm not pushing people to uh a mass
murderer. Uh you know, how however
>> it's heretical to acknowledge Ted
Kazinski, by Well, but the point is is
that
>> scientists are weirdos,
>> or at least many scientists are weirdos.
And if you're not going to deal with
truly dangerous minds, I don't even know
why you're suiting up for the science
game. So, where do those minds go
if they're not enabled or allowed into
the institutions, the establishment, the
machinery of science in America? Are
they still around or their brains just
blunted out and they're only allowed to
say certain things or are we taking
great scientists and reprogramming them
and missing all the alpha? I mean, what?
>> Yeah. Yeah. You're you're missing you're
missing the alpha. And it's funny that
you should say that because that makes
it like alpha male or the uh alpha in
investment theory, right?
>> Both works.
>> Yeah. I'm a I also do freestyle raps.
Really? Yeah. No. Well, sometimes. Okay.
We'll talk later about that.
>> Yeah. Cool. Um, well, mostly what you're
doing is you're spaying and neutering uh
your best minds. Uh, but the other thing
is is look at Palmer Lucky.
Okay, that guy looks to me like a
scientist.
He's a reverend. He's got a crazy shirt
and he builds things that kill people.
>> Yeah.
>> Right now, if he was in a physics
department, um, he could not easily be
that guy. But if you wanted somebody
who's in still in science, who looks to
me like a great scientist, I would point
you to Nema Arani Hamemed. Incredibly
charismatic, brilliant as the day is
long, completely uncompromising, did not
go in for the string theory fat at a
deep level, even though he's sympathetic
to many aspects of it.
>> Do you guys even know that he's there?
He's the best of us currently, and he's
still not that old, you know. Um, my
feeling is that there's pretty much been
a giant decrease in our effectiveness.
And I know why. When you kick Jim Watson
out of Cold Spring Harbor, which he
built,
what are you doing? Do you know that
Mark Tashnney uh is in his mid 80s? uh
guy who wrote a genetic switch on fage
lambda, one of the most brilliant,
irreverent people. You know, at some
point, I think I sent a journalist to
him and the journalist came back with
his tail between the leads and said that
that that guy's insane.
>> Well, Eric Lander was the White House uh
science adviser, Katzios's role. I think
his picture isn't up on the wall because
he's sort of an uncompromising,
difficult to deal with guy. And my
feeling, I hate to say, this is tough. M
>> you know if you ever saw the movie
Whiplash
>> love it. One of my favorites.
>> Okay. Well, there's a reason that that
guy has the best band. He you know he's
not handing out tissues. And I I don't
mean to be mean about I don't want a
brutal place, but like this stuff is
pretty unforgiving.
>> What's the solution to morass
stagnation? What do we do here to try
and catch up again? What do we do here
to to restructure? Or is it about
institutions? Is it about funding? Is it
about people? Is it reprogramming? I
mean, how do you get out of the social
circuit that's fully programmed?
>> Great question. I mean, really great
question. Let's just be provocative and
throw some stuff out. National interest
waiverss. I want to blow a giant hole in
the Civil Rights Act so that we can have
teams that are not constantly afraid of
HR.
>> What does the Civil Rights Act do that
makes it difficult for individuals to do
what they need? Well, you know, you
>> science,
>> my closest friend uh from college, we
have a group of three, two Jews and a
Muslim.
>> Mhm.
>> And the Muslim is constantly teasing the
Jews about, you know, you guys know all
the banks of the newspapers and we, you
know, joke with him about him being a
terrorist. Now, that is not a model I
can explain to anybody, but we've been,
you know, incredibly close uh since
1982. My claim is is that you don't
understand how high agency people
actually form tight cohesive social
units.
>> If you have the HR department saying,
you know, Eric, I understand you you are
making an inappropriate joke,
>> screw off. Get out of here. Who are you
and what are you doing in my lab? Let me
call security. Why do I need a note from
my mommy and daddy to to do everything?
I'm not saying be horrible. I'm saying
you don't know enough about the culture
of greatness
to be my HR department. That's sort of
what I'm saying. So like I'm just
throwing out a provocative idea which by
the way I'm a Democrat. I'm sort of a
Democrat from the JFK school rather than
I I don't think I would join.
>> I don't know I don't know what you would
be today.
>> Well I'm I'm staying in the party. I'm a
nail house Democrat. You know the nail
house is the house that you build a mall
around because the person won't sell.
>> Yes. I'm not I'm not leaving the party.
Um, but my party has gone insane. My
feeling is if we were really who we say
we are, we'd be making common cause with
the Republicans I met with and saying,
"Let's get on with it and reform the
system together." And if you want to
brag about how you made America great
without us, you can go screw yourself.
Um, my feeling is that I'd rather work
with you, make America great, and then
fight over the credit later. That's how
you work in a war, you know. So my my
first recommendation is
>> throw out the Civil Rights Act.
>> No, not throw it out. Poke holes in it
because you like the intent of it. It's
the letter that's arbitrageed against
the the intent which creates the sort of
collectivist thinking. You can't do
great work without hyperindividualism
and without rugged hyperindividualism.
And so my feeling is is that that's not
an Einrandian thing. That's not a
conservative thing. it. The issue is is
that I'm I consider myself left of
center and there's no one more
individualistic than I am. And so what
you need is I need not to have peer
review. Peer review is a fake story that
was retconed into science. It is no, you
can look it up on Google engrams, put
quote space peer review space close
quote, and you'll notice that there's
really no mention of it before 1965.
And the reason for that is that the
Medicare act made the government the
major payer for medical procedures. The
government said, "Well, why are we
paying for all this stuff?" Well, the
doctors said, "We don't want you
having oversight over our
decisionmaking." So, our peer we will
peer review each other. It started in a
Utah clinic. And then it wasn't until
1975
when fiscal and social conservatives
attacked the NSF over something called
man a course of study or makos. Now some
for some reason the NSF
grouped in anthropology as a science. I
I think that's a mistake. I think what
we really need is we really need very
hard sciences separated. And my feeling
is the weaker scientists should go form
their own organization and stop using
our credit card
>> because they're destroying our credit
limit.
>> Those are social sciences and soft
sciences versus hard scientists where
there's an industrial end point.
>> Well, it's not a question of an
industrial endpoint. I mean, I think
that's another thing that's really
screwed up is that science has become
synonymized with biomedical, which it
isn't.
>> Yeah. and science has become uh in the
conservative mind something that the the
market can do well when it's like did
did no one take econ 101 because the you
know on the first day of school they're
supposed to tell you that markets work
really well as long as you're not in a
category called market failure and if
you miss that day you say well markets
are perfect and they can price
everything but anything that's uh
inexhaustible and inexcludable which is
exactly the definition of science can't
be priced by a market unless you create
an artificial market So, I can't tell
you how dispiriting, you know, this is,
if I've been kind to the Republicans.
Here's a place where I'm going to be
cruel. You can't have morons who do not
understand that markets cannot see
everything. There's a reason that we pay
taxes for an army. And it's a technical
reason. It's not a we think that's a
good thing. It's that if market if you
could make the army uh exhaustable and
excludable, you wouldn't need to pay for
it with taxes. So that your tax dollar
has to be used for things that the
market can't reach. Homatopy theory is a
great case. When I say homotopy theory
in these science discussions, people
say, "Well, what is that?" And my my my
response is, "Well, you don't know. It's
an incredibly important part of
mathematics, pure mathematics. I don't
know that it has any industrial
applications." But you go after homatopy
theory and you're you're pulling out a
Jenga block from an incredibly important
ecosystem that you don't understand. So
my my feeling about this is I'm going to
inject a PhD perspective into this
conversation because the what the PhDs
are doing wrong is that they're staying
out. Trump to them has cooties. They
don't want Trump cies so they don't show
up.
>> Yeah. And now, okay, well, if if they
are not going to explain to you why we
need homatopy theory and we need to tax
people and to pay for it,
>> the administration's not hearing what
they need to be hearing and the people
that are supposed to be saying it are
not showing up to the administration.
>> That's right. And it's completely
dysfunctional and quite honestly,
>> by the way, the statistic I gave Cratios
is uh Nature did a survey of 2,000
scientists, their readers. Nature being
a scientific journal that's widely read
and by the scientific community and six
>> by the way not peer reviewed until the
70s
>> right and six% of the readers pled uh
voted for President Trump 85% or
something Kla Harris and then there was
an undecided group but I think it speaks
to your point like Trump is deemed to be
so anti-science the institution of Trump
is deemed to be anti-science that there
doesn't even want to be an engagement.
>> Assume that you detest Trump. Okay.
Assume that you think Trump is the
devil. I just met with Michael Katzios.
Great. I I wanted that role. I put my
hat into the ring for that uh for that
role. I didn't think I would get it
because I wasn't willing to pledge
sufficient loyalty to Donald Trump.
Happened to go to Michael Katzio. I was
very nervous because he he's not coming
from a PhD background.
What a what an unbelievable growth in
that role. The guy understands. I don't
know all sorts of things. I'm here to
learn. Tell me what I need to know. And
if no one shows up to do that toutelage,
you're going to you boy, do you deserve
exactly what you got because I think
Michael is trying to do absolutely the
right thing. I know Jim O'Neal very well
from the Peter Teal universe coming in
at NSF. Jay Bodacharia. Absolute gem. If
you can't work with these people, is
that their problem or is that your
problem?
>> So, arguably this and sorry, let me just
go back to talk about markets and I I'll
make a libertarian argument. If markets
work well for driving economic value and
those who are good at that participate
meaningfully in that value creation,
there will be wealthy people and those
wealthy people will see the value of
mathematics, the value of pure physics,
the value of astrophysics and cosmology
and they'll fund it. Jim Simons, didn't
he fund quite a lot of research?
>> Jim was a genius with detailed knowledge
of pure mathematics. Mhm.
>> So if you have, you know, Yuri Milner is
a guy who has a background in quantum
chromodnamics,
>> if you have more of those people,
>> and there are point is, and I'm not
trying to argue with you about it, but
my point is, shouldn't the market work
regardless that they'll see the value of
the science that you're identifying?
They'll identify it. Capital will flow
to that research, it will get funded
somehow. There's a lot of independent
institutions out there that get capital.
and is or is that not sufficient for the
landscape? And I'll also state like you
know one of the uh statistics that I
brought up with Katzios which he
published in his book is that over time
we have seen a significant decline in
the effectiveness of dollars deployed
against scientific research in the US an
80fold decline in return on every dollar
invested in government research. So, I
just want to throw those two points out
there, like is there not private market
capital that will find its way to solve
these problems? And isn't the government
getting worse over time at deploying
capital and driving returns? And I might
be giving you a a te-ball here. So,
>> I guess or or I feel like I should have
I should have gotten high on cannabis uh
in order to even take that question on.
>> I don't believe any of that first point.
Um and and it's I knew Jim Simons
decently well. Uh Jim
was the kind of guy who could do that.
But even he didn't understand. My last
conversation with Jim Simons, I was
trying to explain to him how the churn
Simons uh transgression interpreted as
an action functional is the only rival
to Einstein Hilbert. um and that
effectively he will find um if he if he
pursues this that churn Simons and
Einstein Hilbert are on an equal playing
field as daughters of the ultimate
theory.
>> Uh he didn't know that. So partially the
issue is is that it is so difficult in
my area to know what's going on in the
adjacent area. I just got off the phone
before the podcast with my good friend
Edward Frankle who does uh algebraic
geometry whereas I would do differential
geometry. It's very difficult for us to
communicate even though those fields are
adjacent to each other. So yes, if you
happen to have an algebraic geometer
who's a billionaire, uh, and one who's a
representation theorist, another one
who's, uh, interested in, um, oh, I
don't know, category theory, you could
do it that way, but this is completely
insane. So,
>> okay, so government should fund
>> government has to be the basic funer of
these things.
>> The next part of this,
>> we need to have the right people
representing the decisions on where we
should be funding, what we should be
funding. Correct. And that's what we did
previously is that we sort of had slush
funds and they're very good people had
money. Somebody years ago I was at a
conference in Bereva um on physics and
people were talking about where they
were going to get their next job and
this old guy comes up to us and said I
just pity all of you. There was an
American and I said in what way? He said
you know I never applied for a job in my
life. He said sorry what do what do you
mean? He says, "If you were any good and
you needed a job, you talked to one of
the people who was high up in the field
and they got on the phone and by the
time they got off the phone, you had a
job where you needed to be."
>> And so my claim is is that when you have
administrator types come in and say,
"What we need is KPIs.
Uh we need to to drive this on a data we
I'm data driven. I want to know what the
translation is.
Do do you even know what ROI is
or is it just what you can measure?
>> Yeah.
>> And so my claim is a lot of what you
want is you want these people on
retainer so whenever you have a real
problem you call up the Jason's and it's
stocked with the most terrifying
intellects you can imagine and we can
get to work and we can solve your
problems.
But if you're saying, "Well, why should
my taxpayer dollars uh, you know, go do
whatever you find interesting?" Well, if
I can pursue what I find interesting,
and when you call me up,
I'm going to be very friendly to helping
my own country, my own nation, I'm going
to feel positive about that. If you tell
me you should work on this because this
thing is what drives the ROI, my feeling
is, do you just not understand science?
Do you imagine that your technology
mindset
is the same thing as my scientific
mindset. You want to get paid. I mean, I
I've spent a lot of time in Silicon
Valley. I'm not nearly interested as
interested in having a new McLaren as
whether my name is going to be discussed
10,000 years from now if humans are
still around. And I I say that because,
you know, Jim Watson just died. My good
friends Isidor Singer, Raul Bot are are
now dead. Those are people whose
contributions will be discussed 10,000
years from now.
>> Can you say that about almost anyone
you know who's doing software as a
service? Uh hard to say. You know, as I
used to say, um what's the difference
between uh Grecia Pearlman and Ron
Pearlman? And so in the modern era, the
question is who's Greca Pearlman? And
you know, a thousand years from now,
it's who's Ron Pearlman. So my feeling
is is that we have our own toys that we
we care about. We care about our
history. We care about different things.
It's it's not unreasonable to want to do
and to want to be able to check into a
Four Seasons uh and to fly business
class, but we don't need a corporate
jet. Like that's your stuff. So treat
scientists like the rock stars that they
should be will be. Otherwise, you're
going to lose them. You're going to lose
that talent. You're going to lose that
moment.
>> Protecting nature is often labeled
anti-growth. The Conservation Fund
disagrees. They believe protecting land,
wildlife, and outdoor access goes
handinhand with economic opportunity.
For 40 years, they've moved with market
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more at conservationfund.org.
>> When you say slush funds, the way the
funding process works in the modern era
is grants. you you apply for a grant
with a very specific set of objectives
and that's what the capital is going to
be used for. And to your point earlier,
grants are typically approved if they're
lower beta, which means more predictable
in terms of the outcome.
>> So, so we're appropriating modern
portfolio theory to science.
>> To science.
>> Love it.
>> Yes. Well, I mean, that's the way it
it's been operating is my argument. Or
has it not been? And does that not miss
the opportunity to take crazy high beta
bets and not just bet on the idea but
bet on the person. So
>> crazy high beta bet.
>> Yeah.
>> Let's do an example.
>> Yes.
>> Imagine that I have a 1% chance of
curing all cancer,
>> right?
>> Should you hire me?
>> Well,
99% failure is pretty expensive. But the
benefit of killing curing all cancer
um the government is incredibly rich and
when you're incredibly rich you can
afford to take different bets to
maximize your outcomes. The problem is
is that the government co-invested
through things that are poorer than it.
>> So each department says you know we
can't really afford we don't get that
many appointments. So, we're going to go
with somebody who has a very high
probability of succeeding at a very
modest
outcome and then we're going to start
lying about how important that is.
You'll notice that if you ask people,
"How's your field doing?" Everybody
says, "It's never been a better time to
be a particle theorist." Well, it's a
terrible time to be a particle theorist,
right? And and we can't say that. And
and it's funny because again in
portfolio theory, if you have a balanced
portfolio and part of it starts
succeeding and part of it failing, what
you usually do is you take money out of
the thing that's succeeding and put it
into the thing that's failing because
otherwise you get too much concentration
in the portfolio. Nobody's ever thought
about any of this stuff. And so what you
have is you have people who don't even
understand modern portfolio theory and
don't understand market failure
designing things. It's really important
to know basic
market theory and we don't.
>> Yeah. So if we fix that do we fund
individuals versus ideas? You know this
is the other kind of
>> say more.
>> So the whole story I I gave this example
to Katzio. Stuart Butterfield worked on
this project for a couple years. He was
down to three million bucks. All the VCs
put money in started nearly failed. And
he calls him up. He called up Ben
Horowitz. He just told the story
recently. He said, "Hey, should I give
the money back? This project didn't
work. But by the way, we've been doing a
intra company communication tool for our
engineering team. Maybe I could pivot
into that." He's like, "Yeah, keep the
money. Do that. I trust you."
>> Yeah.
>> You pivoted it, turned it into Slack,
sold it for $30 billion.
>> The idea being that you back the person,
not the idea. that the the great people,
the great entrepreneurs continuously
evolve, continuously build, continuously
pivot. I mean, here you are with Zuck
reinventing that company again and again
and again. And if you find the
upandcomers, is there a way to kind of
find the individual that are emerging in
their fields?
>> Oh, yeah. But
>> and you fund them for a period of time
and you say or is this a portfolio
theory again where you say some bets are
on an idea, some bets are on people and
you know the people bets should be
long-term and fully funded,
>> right?
I'll give you the magic formula that
gives you an idea of how difficult this
is and how tricky you have to be. Tell
me who the established leaders of of a
field will block but will not short
fund that guy.
>> Mhm.
>> For now
>> because if you're not willing I mean if
you I I'll say this with my own uh main
theory. If you are willing to short
either geometric marginalism or more
importantly geometric unity, I want to
dance with you.
>> Mhm.
>> Because I want to take your house. I
want to take your retirement. It would
be my absolute pleasure to destroy you
in the market.
>> Mhm.
>> But that's not what happens. It's like,
well, we want to block him, but we know
that he knows a lot of stuff. Yeah.
>> And we know that we haven't really read
it. And you know, there's something
about somebody saying, "Look, you're
99.9999%
uh going to fail." And I say, "Care care
to formalize that?"
>> Mhm.
>> You know, let's have Well, why? I'll bet
you $100 that by next year you haven't
gotten full acceptance in the That's not
what you said. You said that you'd be
willing to put up your house to win a
dollar from me, and I want to do that at
size, you know. So my feeling is come at
me baby that would be fun.
>> And let me tell you something. He also
listened for things that no one is
willing to say. I I am on record as
saying that the the smartest man in the
world today is Edward Whitten.
Brilliant.
>> Mhm.
>> Unbelievable. The guy drove theoretical
physics off the road and off a cliff 42
years ago.
>> Nobody else is willing to say it.
>> Mhm.
So the question is is the one person who
noticed that nobody's gone to Stockholm
[laughter]
that the standard model has not changed
the recent conference uh in string
theory supposedly the only game in town
in fundamental physics.
Go to strings 2026 website. There's a
list of all the talks. There's a search
engine. Put in these following words.
Electron, Hadron, Higs, Leptton.
There's no physics in this. They're not
talking about anything that could hurt a
foe. They're not talking about the
physical world. I was at arguably the
world's
leading physics institute.
And I said, "Who are the smartest people
here?" And it was I was given three
names. Two of them were pure theorists.
I talked deeply with both of them. When
I got to the point about how to advance
the standard model, which is our notion
of all the particles you see in the in
this room,
both of them said, "I have no interest
in the physical world." And I said,
"Well, you're the two leading professors
at our major, our most expansive
theoretical physics institute, and
neither of you care about the physical
world." just openly expressed
this is madness and you know I give
talks at physics departments and I I've
now started non-ooperation with the
departments who've asked me to come and
talk
but will technically deny me a talk. So
for example, I've given talk a talk at
the University of Texas Austin, but I'm
I'm not allowed to say that the talk
occurred in the physics department.
>> Really?
>> Yeah. I gave a talk at the Perimeter
Institute in the Skyrim.
It is not a talk. Eric is answering
questions. I gave a talk at the
University of Chicago in the
>> This is because your talk and your
persona is viewed to be fringe and
outlandish.
>> You keep saying fringe. Yeah,
>> I totally disagree with the narrative of
the field.
>> I just out and out say that when physics
in 1983 physics made sense in 1984 it
did not. It was very stark and it was
like overnight more or less three people
Leonard Suskin, David Gross and Edward
Whitten drove the field in a totally
different direction and now the
achievement of this has not been any
advance in our knowledge of the physical
world but it has been something that no
one knew was possible. You take the
field in which Edward Teller and Jay
Robert Oenheimer and Richard Fineman and
Stannislov Ulam created the most
terrifying weapons from SU3 cross U1
gauge theory and you've made it safe. It
is now safe to do physics with your
geopolitical rivals. You can invite your
friends from China to come and become
graduate students in your department and
you will fill their heads with things
about ads CFT that couldn't hurt a fly
because there's no physics in it. So the
question is
did I
is this a secret program?
>> Go back to 1983. Wait, so we drove off a
cliff in 1983 and the question is did
someone say, "Hey, let's drive this off
a cliff."
>> Well, this happened before. Do you do
you think that there is some
community subgroup
set of assets
set of projects that are happening
somewhere on Earth that are making
advances in physics and have been for
the last 50 years?
>> Great that you asked that question. That
would be crazy, wouldn't it, David? Can
you imagine if there was like a secret
place that was making advances in an
important field of physics and people
who were studying physics outside of
that place were being stymied?
>> I would find it hard that it would be
kept secret.
>> Okay. What happened in 1940
is that something that you've never
heard of called the reference committee
was established inside of the National
Research Council.
So when the neutron was first
hypothesized in 1911 by Rutherford, it
was then discovered in the early 30s, a
woman named Lee Mitner came up with the
concept of the chain reaction which was
then proven by Fairmy at the University
of Chicago with something called Chicago
pile one.
Thereafter, a guy named Wright uh briti
t formed something called the uh
reference committee inside the national
research council so that if you
submitted a paper on chain reaction
physics to a journal, it got shunted
into the national research council and
they would return it to you saying
unfortunately you know these results are
really preliminary.
um we don't see this as being uh at the
level of the journal. Please revise,
etc., etc.
Okay, now you've resubmitted it. It's
still not going. You don't know that
this thing exists. This is how people
outside of the Manhattan Project,
outside of the white badges, treated
their colleagues who weren't allowed
inside the Manhattan Project. So let's
at least agree that from 1940 to 1945
there was a review process which
destroyed the ability to earn a living
if you were doing chain reaction physics
and you weren't invited into the secret
group.
>> Yes.
>> Okay. The question isn't is that nuts?
It's clearly not nuts because I know
that this actually existed and happened.
Question is did it happen once or more
than once? If it happened more than
once, the question is, what is the
analog of the boys school in New Mexico?
What is the analog of the white badges?
What is the analog of the reference
committee?
>> And you have a theory?
>> Yeah.
>> Okay.
>> If it's happening, I've said that the
leading candidate would be Renaissance
Technologies on Long Island.
>> I've heard you say this.
>> Yeah.
>> But surely there's
>> Let's look at the cover story.
>> Okay. The cover story would be, you
know, we are so good at trading that we
don't even allow people who know markets
into our firm. We only hire people in
directly relevant subjects of physics,
like particle theorists, like
differential geometers,
like machine learning experts. And we
have a very strange thing that we have a
very close relationship with the Brook
Haven National Laboratory. And by the
way, there's a middling university right
next door
who happens to be absolutely world class
historically in the exact subjects that
would be relevant to doing next level
physics.
Okay. So you multiple fields medalists
and US News and World Report never ranks
this as like one of our great
facilities. Even though if if you look
at the people have passed through State
University of New York at Stonybrook,
it's unbelievable. Yeah, to me that
looks like Fort me when it was still no
such agency collecting way too many
number theorists.
>> But Eric, people have come out of that
place, that workplace. I know one or two
of them and there are no such stories.
At some point you would envision that
some number of them, some small
percentage of them would
>> leak some information or some set of
facts if that were to be true about some
of this advanced physics work going on
or there would be probably more
innumerable returns realized from that
than perhaps there have been.
>> I'm not saying that I know that that's
true. My point was, and I tried I tried
to be careful. If you said, "Eric, that
sounds preposterous because to be
entirely honest, the concept of Los
Alamos, which was published in 1944 by a
journalist named Jack Raper in a
Cleveland newspaper, he he broke the
story.
>> Nothing happened because what he said
was crazy. He said, "There is a secret
city with a mayor who's supposed to be
the next Einstein
working on a doomsday weapon." and the
town is so secretive that nobody knows
what's going on inside it. So my claim
is is that I'm doing the Jack Raper
thing and you're doing the what happened
to Jack Raper. Well, clearly there's
only one person saying that and he's
nuts.
>> Well, in that in both cases, I could
show up and start asking questions and
interrogate and see if I can find
something.
>> Again, I'm not saying that Renaissance
Technologies is that. I am saying you
have a secure campus with a story that
makes no sense. Yeah,
>> you know markets. Do you have any idea
how much the medallion fund
>> Oh, yeah. Yeah, I know. Cuz again, my
friends who were there, they get to
leave their money there and then the
returns continue.
>> They get to leave their money there is
not what happens.
>> Okay.
>> They closed the fund to all but internal
money.
>> Yes. Yes. That's what I mean.
>> You know, another interesting story,
>> but if you leave the firm, you get to
your capital can stay in the medallion
fund. So my claim to you is Jeffrey
Epstein had a story which is that he
only accepted a billion dollars or more
invested with him if you gave him power
of attorney. These things tend to have
some reason that no person outside has
money and gets to ask questions. Right?
>> So Jeffrey Epstein did not run a hedge
fund. He told me that he ran a
multistrategy FX hedge fund and that he
needed a 727
because it had a trading for and he
filled it with yeshiva students because
they were the only ones you could trust.
He was extremely specific about using
trend following, mean reversion and
carry is the three strategy. I think he
didn't say he said he didn't do any
gamma trading uh you know or or options
trading.
That was a lot. It was a cover story
that that was burned and then he became
disgraced financeier and then he became
tax expert Jeffrey Epstein. You're
looking at a fake world with cover
stories that fail over. If you remember
the old get smart wine, would you
believe,
you know, a thousand special agents are
going to swarm this? I find that very
difficult to believe.
>> Uh 100 policemen,
>> you know, not not true, Miss Maxwell.
Two two boy scouts with a slingshot.
This is fake.
And my claim is I don't know what's
going on at Renaissance, but Jim Simons
is an absolute genius. Hardly
distinguished in that. We have many. And
I don't know anybody who's ever gotten
close to these returns. I don't know any
information about what that thing
actually did, does claims to do.
>> Yeah. And I'm saying it has very close
relationships with a talent pool Stony
Brook which is not acknowledged and then
and a national lab.
>> Go back to 8384.
>> Yeah.
>> And assume we did not go into this
quantum universe that we
>> not quantum quantum gravity universe.
>> Quantum gravity universe, right?
>> And we're in a different universe where
we have a sense what does that physics
look like today? If we progress physics,
help an audience that's a generalist
audience understand a little bit about
what it means that if physics didn't
stall out and
before I do that, let me just ask this
question. Some would argue that physics
has played an important role and maybe
it's not fundamental and you could that
might be your answer here in advancing
things like semiconductor manufacturing
technology, advanced lithography,
material science. We've we've made
tremendous progress in our capacity to
drive compute and that's led to this
moment today where we have these tools
that we call AI,
>> right?
>> And all of the underlying advancements
in
chemistry, material science, physics got
us to this moment today. Yeah.
>> And that we have made progress and it
has been applied. And that would be one
argument.
>> And so maybe tell me why that that kind
of misses the point. and then we can
talk a little bit about kind of what
would the world look like today if we
didn't go off track in 1983 84.
>> Great question. Let me try to engage
that and then feel free to redirect me
if I'm not answering the question. In
the theory we have of which I'm going to
call it the the frontier model which
combines general relativity and the
standard model of particle theory.
We know certain things that we can't
use. We found out that there were three
veence quarks inside of every proton and
every neutron. And nobody has ever
pulled a veilance quark out of a proton
or a neutron in isolation. Something
called infrared slavery. Uh and screw
the woke for not saying we can't say the
word slavery. Infrared slavery. Deal
with it, boys. Um you have a situation
in which there is no industrial
application. We've known about it since
1968.
So sometimes you don't get to use
something for an extraordinarily
long period of time. But what happens if
some advancements maybe we're never
going to pull a quark out of a proton?
Maybe it's impossible.
What if there are other things we might
be able to do had physics actually
advanced? So for example in the mid
1970s the two gentlemen called Abdul
Salam and I forget Pat's first name put
forward the uh Patis Salam model. I
believe that the petis salam model will
be found to be the correct first order
grand unification above where we are.
Problem is is that it has something
called SU4 rather than SU3. And the SU3
is what generates the force that keeps
all those protons from running away from
each other inside of a nucleus because
obviously like charges are want to
repel. That's why we were able to take
out two Japanese cities in 1945 is that
we got control of the strong force and
then that allowed us to use the
electromagnetic force to generate
completely destructive um power but it
didn't destroy protons and neutrons.
What happens when you have SU4 is that
you see that the electron and the
nutrino are the fourth color that we
associate with the up quark and down
quark which make up protons and
neutrons.
You could have a weapon that rotates up
quarks and down quarks into the lighter
lepttons that disintegrate matter.
>> You could have dark chemistry. Dark is
not the right concept. It's really
decoupled matter. Dark matter is
decoupled matter.
Nutrinos are essentially dark matter.
They're barely detectable. In fact,
>> they don't interact.
>> Well, they do,
>> but very very weak.
>> Very, very weak. Only through the
gravitational and weak forces, which are
the two incredibly weak ones. And
gravity's so weak, it's not worth enough
nutrinos concentrated, you can
>> Well, but here's another here's a here's
a possibility. If you rotate a nutrino
into some charged particle, you can send
it through the earth.
>> Just explain what you mean by when you
say rotate. What does that mean? So this
these nutrinos are these subatomic
particles. They don't really interact
well. But what does it mean to rotate
them?
>> Well, let's take
>> and and I think a large amount of the
energy produced in the sun is neutrinos
that
>> actually come out like if you actually
>> you and I are being irdiated
>> by nutrinos
>> by billions of nutrinos. And the only
reason that we're not dead is that, you
know, imagine
>> they don't interact with our atoms.
>> Well, they barely interact. Once once in
a blue moon they do.
>> So, you know, at night the sun is
streaming this through the earth. It's
passing through all.
>> Yeah.
>> But it when it gets to us, it goes it it
keeps going. You know, you can shoot it
through I forget what it is a light year
of lead and you know, you very rarely
interact. What happens with the rotation
is in this sort of internal sense. So
it's kind of metaphor of rotation in
this abstract place
>> which leads to a neutron. If I put a
neutron on the table and we just sit
there and watch with a half life of
something like 17 minutes I forget it'll
turn into a proton and this is called
beta decay because what came out is that
people saw
an electron scream out of the neutron
and that's why a neutral particle became
positive because the negiveness went off
in the electron. So just to be clear for
the audience, a neutron can turn into a
proton and release an electron in at the
same time.
>> Yeah. But that turned out to be the
wrong model because what it really did
is is that you
>> there were three quarks inside of it and
one of the down quarks. So a neutron is
down down up. So a down quark
let off something called a W minus which
is a force particle not a matter
particle. and then that thing decayed
into an electron and something else. The
only reason we determined that there was
something else going on. It's a little
bit like accounting. If you have a
really good accounting system and you
notice that uh the envelope from the
till is a little light,
>> you say, okay, according to conservation
principles, somebody has been messing
with the money till
>> and that turned out to be the nutrino.
And so what happens is is that a nutrino
and an electron have the same
relationship as an up and a down quark
and you can transmute them using these W
uh W particles. The danger of this is
that when you have more force particles
than we know currently
things that are to all intents and
purposes stable now might not be stable
in that new regime. So you could
disintegrate a mountain potentially if
SU5
uh is present. SU4 is more stable than
the SU5. I don't think SU5 is relevant.
But what I'm saying is if you think
about physics, think about boom, vroom,
and zoom as an easy way to keep track of
why this is our most terrifying and most
amazing subject. Boom is weaponry,
vroom is energy, and zoom is propulsion,
computation, and all the cool stuff that
we get to do. So if you want to think
about it, you've been denied
for, let's say, the standard model got
finalized more or lessif 53 years ago.
For 53 years, you've been denied new
boom, vroom, and zoom. And potentially
the stagnation in physics may have led
to the survival of the human species
because the boom is so terrifying. I
can't tell you whether that's true or
not, but it means that you don't have
any room and zoom from the new stuff
that could have occurred. And so, we
have to be honest. I want I want the the
zoom in particular. We could probably
make the case that no one on earth got
there and everyone has aligned around
the distraction,
the disinterest and the pursuit
because of that absolute risk. Because
if someone did actually make
advancements
and they could access the bigger boom,
>> yeah,
>> it would be game over already. I mean,
there's no such thing as more absolute
power that would give an individual or a
group the ability to leverage that in
some way to their kind of infinite will.
And
>> I don't I don't agree with this at all.
>> Great. Okay.
>> So, I spent
two years indoors
beingounded to be vaccinated
because of four amino acids
being spliced into spike protein of
corona virus.
Now, my guess is that that's pretty
easy, right? Think about it. You need 12
nucleotides to code for four amino acids
at the exact right place in spike
protein and that's enough to shut down
Earth.
These are this is high lever science.
And my claim is before we decide that
what we want is let's get back to
kicking ass and taking names, let us at
least pause and say most people are
ignorant of how much power is present
with a little bit of scientific
knowledge. which is a marvelous scene in
Breaking Bad where the protagonist named
Heisenberg takes what appears to be
crystal meth and throws it uh in the
office of a psychopath named Tuco
and
Tuco says well like what the hell was
that that caused that massive explosion
I forget whether it was lead aside or
mercury fulminate or one of these
extremely volatile compounds
do you have any idea how easy it is to
make black powder I I I asked modern
audiences nobody knows that it's 75%
salt peter, 10% sulfur, and 15%
charcoal. The anarchist cookbook
has gone out of discussion. The power of
science, the leverage of science is so
profound that we should at least ask the
question, what if you had nuclear
weapons that didn't require centrifuge?
What if there are easy things to do
that high school students could do? You
you remember this guy who scavenged the
amaresium and smoke detectors to build a
working reactor and I think it was
Brooklyn.
>> Yeah.
>> Okay. Well, nobody thought collect 218
smoke detectors and you can have a
working nuclear reactor.
>> Yeah. So my claim is that if you want to
think about Walter White as a paradigm,
you have to go back to something called
the United States versus progress the
progressive magazine in which the teller
Ulam design for thermonuclear weapon was
put forward by a publication
and the government said no no this is
restricted data. We need prior
injunction. This is the most dangerous
piece of geometry. This is Stan Ulum's
work. And the whole idea is that if
you're going to use a fision device
chemical shell compresses sub uh
critical file material to create a
detonator out of an atomic bomb. How do
you get that to compress a rod or
something into a fusion device? The only
thing that can reach that tertiary stage
fast enough is light. you have to figure
out the geometry because it's the the
detonator is going to rip apart the
entire assembly if it doesn't get now
that secret got published and the only
reason the government didn't go after
um Howard what is it Morland is that we
stupidly declassified all sorts of
pieces and shards of this and he went to
the Los Alamos library and he pieced it
together so
my claim is if you don't know the story
of John Aristotle Phillips, the
substandard
um physicist who in his Princeton PhD
thesis as the Princeton mascot said,
"Look, I'm not very good, Freeman Dyson.
I want to use the fact that I'm not very
good to do something amazing. Tell me
whether or not you will let me come up
with a plan for an atomic bomb." And
Freeman Dyson said, "I will give you no
help, but I'll tell you whether it will
work." So the substandard physicist put
together this and he submitted his
junior thesis
and I forget whether it's page 24 but
that that thesis is not in the library
and the government removed the page that
has the plan. The fact is that this
stuff is readily present
and we've never seen an atomic weapon
used since 1945 mostly if we don't use
this power.
But if it turns out that it's easy to
do, then and by the way, if the US fails
with Iran, you're going to see a
proliferation of countries
acquiring nukes because we trusted the
US. But you've got this. You are the
world's policemen. Petrol dollars aren't
petro dollars. They're violence dollars.
The US was supposed to have the violence
needed to secure the oil, and the oil
backs the money. We're watching the
disintegration of that regime in real
time as the US goes through its Suez
moment,
right? You know, whe whether you think
Donald Trump should have gone in to Iran
or not, and I I happen to think that he
was courageous and did something that we
should have done in 1981 or ' 82 or
something. We have to win. We we have to
win because if you have a world that
decides that there is no world's
policeman,
everybody's going to want their own
nuke.
And you can go back to the Tom Lair song
called Who's Next? And you'll you'll
you'll find that more or less you're
going to have a world in which you can't
figure out the game theory because it's
no longer diatic. It's multipolar.
>> Imagine a world beyond nukes.
>> Sure.
>> What does that world look like? So what
else is there beyond the boundaries of
what at this point is almost a 80 year
old technology?
>> Sure.
>> And again I go back to the 83 story.
We're making advancements. Did we stop
making advancements? And is someone else
is China going to make these
advancements? And what does that look
like? Is that what UAPs unidentified
aerial phenomena are? Because you've
recently made comments that you were a
deep skeptic on UAPs but now you you
have a view that maybe there's something
there. Oh, there's definitely something
there there.
>> Okay,
>> that's something there. There, by the
way, maybe China. It may be us. It may
be a fake story, but there's definitely
something there
>> based on the videos and the first person
accounts.
>> It's not the videos. I I've never cared
about the videos.
>> I've talked to too many smart, sober
people, too many similar stories.
>> There are definitely special access
programs. Yeah.
>> That are all about this. Yeah. The only
thing that we learn from uh that that
works for to keep secrets is
compartmentalization.
And so we are so compartmentalized that
almost no one can piece the story
together. It may be that the the
so-called stove piping is such that we
can't figure out what we know because we
can't talk to each other.
If you want to know what's possible, I
could freak you out and it would be
super cool and super frightening. One
thing is is that I'm worried about
multi-temporal adversaries,
>> time traveling,
>> times travel,
>> times,
>> everybody says time travel because they
think that time can only be
one-dimensional. But imagine, for
example, that you put a giant gun on a
rail car. The rail car can only move in
one dimension. Now, somebody puts a
giant gun on something like a tank and
you go to the Bonavville Salt Flats.
Now, you can move in two dimensions. Now
you put it on an A-10 warthog and you
can move in three. Those are all spatial
dimensions. Why do you think there's an
arrow of time? It's because you believe
time can only be one-dimensional. I
don't think time is one-dimensional.
And I if you meet an adversary who has
access to multi- time, it's like you're
trying to compete with them with an A-10
Warthog and you've got your only gun on
a on a track except with time rather
than with space. if I could sneak up
behind you in time knowing your intent.
I mean, this is terrifying stuff to me.
And it's also like I would love to have
this over our adversaries,
but I don't want to meet anybody who
knows how to do this kind of stuff, not
on a level playing field. Let me say
another one. The solar system is an
escape room. And Elon is focused was
focused on Mars. I said that Mars is a
red herring. It's a mcguffin. Tonight,
it's focused on the moon. He is our only
adult so far as I can tell uh crazy and
mad as he is and he uses that to
motivate engineers because Mars is
barely doable. These are the only rocks
that are potentially habitable. It's not
enough diversity if we have this much
power in this these few spheres with
which we could put atmosphere. So assume
that you could put atmospheres on the
Mars and on the moon and you could get
back and forth between them with
chemical rockets. You'd have three
places to screw up. We need tens of
thousands, if not millions of places
before we figure out how to civilize
ourselves. So, we have to get out of
here. It's too expensive to leave the
solar system. So, my claim is that in an
Einsteinian world, you're never going
to. If Einstein is left to be in force,
the speed of light is too brutal. So,
you go to Alpha Century, four light
years away, you come back, you do it at
nearly the speed of light.
Everything is eight years advanced by
the time you get back home. Nobody wants
to do that. And that's just the first
star.
My claim is is that we have been too
long in Einstein's prison. General
relativity really begins in 1913. It's
really due to Grossman and Einstein, not
just Einstein alone. I don't know why we
say that. Uh it's not really Einstein
Hilbert. It's really Einstein Grossman.
But more or less since 1915 1917, the
equations haven't moved. They're going
to break because of what's happening in
southern Arizona. Tit Peak has this
object called Desi, the dark energy
spectroscopic instrument. And I believe
that it is going to show that the
cosmological constant times the metric,
which is how we encode dark energy into
the equation, is going to break because
it's not constant. The only reason that
you have lambda times the metric which
is this term
is the product rule. If you take a
derivative called divergence,
you have to take the derivative of
lambda times the metric left alone plus
lambda* the derivative of the metric.
The derivative of the metric has to
vanish. That term is the only possible
term that can go there because of
something called love locks theorem. If
you're within general relativity, you're
trying to do this geometrically.
My claim is is that that's going to
break. We're going to get to five sigma
if we aren't there already. I haven't
kept up with the news. And then we're
going to realize that the dark energy,
the most important generally
>> makes up 60 70 80% of our universe.
>> We have the wrong formula for it.
>> We have no contemplation of what it is.
>> Well, I I'm focused on saying I have a
candidate formula and I think everybody
who has one should come forward. where
we should hold a conference and say who
wins, who's who's got the best idea. We
can't just have Ed Whitten patting
himself on the back saying, "Well,
string theory is the only game in town."
It's like 42 years later,
come on. This this is preposterous.
Getting back to policy, give me some
money and get rid of these people. I
don't want them reviewing anything that
I'm doing. Give me somebody competent to
talk to.
>> So, sorry, let me just go back. The dark
energy
measurement, which we're going to end up
having a very high accurate estimation,
>> right,
>> tells us that the general theory of
relativity and the equations associated
with it are wrong because of the
relationship that we see between matter
and rotation and movement. And so
there's something off about that. And
that
>> we know that general relativity is not
the last. We know general relativity is
wrong.
>> It is a view. It is a derivative.
>> It is the map and not the territory. It
is a great great model. Whoever comes
next has to recover it. But there is no
initial singularity due to the big bang.
Nor is there a singularity in the in the
center of a black hole called the
Schwarz singularity.
That's that's where our ignorance shows.
We have two singularities we can't get
rid of inside the theory. So you have to
go outside of it. But the thing is it's
so perfect.
>> Yeah. that nobody can figure out, you
know, sort of in the first four seconds
of a physics talk, you say, "Let X13 be
a space-time manifold." Well, okay, it's
over.
>> Yeah,
>> that's the sarcophagus, and you're
already in an Einsteinian frame of
thought. And so, we know that it's
wrong, and nobody can figure out how to
make it wrong.
And that is what keeps us stuck here.
There's a marvelous demonstration around
2003 at a TED talk of this guy showing a
surface and he's got some sort of
display and he does this and suddenly
everything enlarges and then he does
this and everything gets smaller and
this is the beginning of a multi-touch
gesture called pinch to zoom that we all
use.
My claim is is that we don't realize
that pinch to zoom is probably built
into the thing that we're confusing for
spaceime.
So we don't know to do this
and when you do that you change the
distances. So you don't need to break
the speed of light. So this is just
again you're asking somebody who can't
come in to the physics establishment who
is in the physics. I am in the physics
establishment. This is we're in some
sort of crazy world in which people who
have radical ideas
can't do the radical ideas inside of the
institutions. Like a radical idea is is
that male and female are mostly
determined by the SRY complex on the Y
chromosome. If I say that I can't be in
a meeting because I'm a bigot. Okay? I
can't be in a physics department because
I don't I think Ed Whitten drove the
field off of cliff.
Nobody said nobody else is saying it.
Clearly the one person who's saying that
has to be wrong.
>> Yeah.
>> Now this is the whole thing is that I
have the first uh first paper I think on
the danger posed by mortgage back
securities. I think I was the only
person to loudly say you don't know
whether Biden's going to make it to
November. And I think I said loudly, I
think this is four years of dimension
dimension.
When people say something different, do
you do you force them back into this
consensus? Well, that's what nations do.
And we have become a nation when it
comes to science.
>> Talk about China.
>> Yeah.
>> From what you know, is China thinking
differently about physics? Is China
trying to recast the paths? Is China
trying to invite innovative ideiation
amongst their scientific community or
are others I mean it seems like the west
is probably clumped together. Is China
different? Is anywhere different?
>> Yeah, let's let's talk about that. First
of all, France is historically the
world's greatest mathemat mathematical
country. China where we're always taught
to be, you know, so scared of the
Chinese in math couldn't buy a base hit
until very recently. Now, what they're
doing is is that they're looking at us
with our absolutely ridiculous
collectivist fictions
and they're they're they're siling up to
our best people and they're saying, "Are
you sure you wouldn't want to be free?
You sure you wouldn't want to get paid?
Come over to China. Taste the freedom.
Get paid. Have fun."
>> Right?
>> And our people are going there.
>> American scientists are going to China.
American scientists, Russian scientists,
all sorts of scientists are going to
China for some prestige, some money, and
some freedom.
And we are going to train them up and
they are going to be frighteningly good
up until the point that that freedom
involves Tibet, Tianan Square, and
Taiwan. Are they going to rethink some
of these thoughts on the path we're
taking in physics? Are they going to be
fundamental in how they rethink things?
[snorts]
>> Let me tell you what I really believe on
that.
>> Yes,
>> the AIs are going to change soon. Right
now the AIS are trained on a corpus that
privileges things like cell nature and
science as the prestige journals of
biology or in mathematics it would be
the invention and the annals and the
journal of the American math society.
These are where the narratives of the
fields are held. Okay. The trash can is
also a corpus.
Take all of the ideas that have been poo
pooed and laughed at and call that the
trash can corpus, the TC corpus.
The AIS are going to start reading all
of the things that our quote leading
physicists have laughed at.
Look out.
>> That's where the discovery and the
reinvention is going to happen.
China is going to have a private model
and they're going to say assume that the
completely failed the most failed theory
in the history of modern physics string
theory and something called M theory and
quantum gravity
assume for the moment that it's a red
herring meant to distract us.
It's not our leading theory. It hasn't
been our leading theory for 42 years. It
can't that the dog can't hunt.
What was it meant to stop us from
seeing?
>> And the AI will get there.
>> The AI will get there.
>> And when the AI gets there, we have
>> everyone who has an AI that can do this.
Again, I'm I'm saying completely radical
things because quite honestly, that's
what we're supposed to be doing. We're
supposed to have John vonman's and
Richard Fineman's and Paul Dox and all
of these characters and we don't have
any of them. So, I'm trying to say what
this sounds like. You're all wrong and
I'm right. And don't tell me that I'm
arrogant or that I'm conceited or that
real scientists are humble or if you
understand something, you can explain it
to a 5-year-old. That's all nonsense.
What I'm trying to say is string theory
has not been our leading theory for 42
years. It has never been the only game
in town. And just the way Jeffrey
Epstein was never a hedge fund manager.
We're not allowed to say this. I don't
know why. I want to know is there
somebody over at CIA and the science and
technology directorate who would like to
have that conversation? Is there anybody
over at the Department of Energy who
would be interested in not having this
conversation right now? You and I are
having a conversation with our friends,
the Chinese and the North Koreans and
the Russians. Why are we doing this?
Are are you so confident that I'm wrong
given this obviously huge amount of
knowledge that most people have never
heard? Well, I I think the question is
can you really distinguish
and can you really cage the AI? I mean
at the end of the day
>> say more.
>> So if the rate of progress with AI is
such that and the ubiquity of access and
the corpus to your point of knowledge
and non-nowledge
>> right
>> is apparent to everyone. the AI can be
directed from anywhere and it's probably
a conversation about what does humanity
look like
and I think that's a conversation with
humanity not with nation states per se.
>> Well, I think what I'm trying to get at
is my model of the AI
is it is insane to have pushed out the
AI as a commercial product. It's just
funny. Let me imagine the scene from
silence.
>> It's just matrices and linear algebra. I
mean,
>> yeah, it's just inner products.
>> Mhm.
>> There's a scene in Silence of the Lambs
where Hannibal Lectar is wheeled out on
a gurnie in a straight jacket with a
crazy mask and there's all these people
around because he's so dangerous, but
he's very, very intelligent.
That's what I think Anthropic
is doing. Here's your new employee,
Hannibal Lectar. He's a consultant.
You've hired Hannibal Lectar from a
temporary agency. And the harness that
is supposed to keep you from hurting
yourself is all the people around him,
the mask and the straight bear. And
we've decided that this military
research project is something you need
in your home. It's like telling people,
look, the second amendment just says the
right to keep and bear arms. We have
this thing we haven't used called the
Davy Crockett, a soldier launched
personal nuke. Why isn't it available at
Kmart with a waiting period?
>> Yeah. Well, it's been distilled at this
point. I don't know if that's a relevant
point anymore because models have been
distilled or the model development's
been commoditized and it's been open
weight released and it's out there now.
So models are there, models are here.
>> Yep.
>> And to your point, maybe those models
get pointed at the path of discover
novel physics and look at strange texts
and ideas and and rethink everything.
>> It's going to be a hell of a ride.
>> It's going to be a hell of a ride. Yeah.
I just want to hear your your one
assessment because I I I wonder if this
is a glimmer. What what do you think
UAPs are today? Is that really the first
window in what's happening? If there's
something there, the question for you is
what do you think today UAPs are?
>> Let's answer that question, but I want
to take let's do it in a debugger and
we'll step through it line by line of
the code as it executes. I look at you,
I'm on a podcast. My first thought is I
know what risks I'm running. If I say
what I think, I can tell you which
colleagues will not open their doors to
me. No, I'm not kidding.
>> When I took a job with Peter Teal, let's
imagine that there are only about 125
people I can speak to about my work. I
would say 30% of the doors closed to me
just by virtue of the fact that I work
with Peter Teal. And I don't think he's
the devil and he's a close personal
friend. Now you're asking me the
question of how many of the remaining
doors would you like to close? Eric,
it's not just a question. I know how
these people think and I know how
terrified they are. Let's answer it
anyway. If general relativity is really
the last word, I think that these UAP
UFO things are nation states
experimental weapons system.
I think that there's been some
breakthrough particularly in the 1970s.
No, sorry, in the 60s. There's a 1971
Australian intelligence document where
Australia, which was the testing ground
for nukes that of the of the United
Kingdom, started seeing all these UAPs
near their nuclear test just the way we
see them near ours.
And the Australians revealed that all of
our best people, not all of our best
people, many of our best people and many
of our top institutions
were doing anti-gravity, technically
gravity shielding research. And the
cover story was the golden age of
general relativity where suddenly
general relativity was hot from the
early 50s to the late 60s early 70s.
The claim from the se that 71 document
is no no the only reason everybody went
towards gravity is that there were there
was interest in gravity shielding
anti-gravity etc etc.
I don't believe general relativity is
the last word. I believe pinch to zoom
exists. There's another multi-touch
gesture called shear to tilt and that
means that we can leave our solar
system. Okay, that's great news because
it means we can survive. The implication
is if we can leave everyone else can
come and given the size of the universe
we the odds that we are the most
advanced
life form is laughable. There's no point
in worrying about them. So if we can
leave, I think they're here and I think
we can leave.
And I think the thing the scenario to
worry about is North Sentinel Island
that
everybody who lives on North Sentinel
Island is considered a citizen of India
and they don't know the word India.
They're an uncontacted people who don't
know that they're part of something
larger that watches them that does not
allow people to land.
But if they started sending out radio
signals and then they started letting
off nukes on that tiny little island,
India would not have this paternalistic
attitude towards its primitive tribe. So
my concern is that when we let off a
nuke in 1945
or when Italy became very good at
quantum theory with Fermy and I forget
what the name of the the atomic boys and
there was this magenta
incident under Mussolini. Somehow UAPs
are very tied
to nukes. And I believe that a nuke is
the sign that you become advanced enough
that the next thing you figure out how
to do is to leave and traverse through
propulsion. We don't realize that yet
because we've never seen that happen.
But my claim is is that almost every
civilization before it gets to using the
profound propulsion game which is these
multi-touch gestures
first lets off a nuke and that we
alerted whatever India is in this
analogy we're almost ready to come out
and we're so pathetically
unevolved that we are a danger to any
other civilization
if there's so much power in the next
theory, which I I believe geometric
unity is the next theory. Now, that will
cause a certain percentage of your
audience to say, "Oh, it's just
self-promotion." As opposed to, "No, no,
no, that's what you're supposed to do.
If you have a theory,
you talk about Yes. I think I think that
there are all sorts of things that you
can do. I think there's multi-temporal
movement. I think that there's dark
chemistry. I think that there's dark
light.
I think that there are two other
families of chyro matter left to
discover at a luminous level. Spin three
halves matter exists. I believe that SU4
cross SU2 SU2 is the next grand unified
theory that we'll find. There is so much
more to do
that when we make this jump,
the world will become unrecognizable.
And I believe that there are other life
forms in the universe and that they can
come and they can visit. And I don't
think that that's preposterous. I think
that we are an uncontacted people. On
that note, I think we have more to talk
about in the future. This has been a
truly unique, fascinating, and I think
for a lot of people in our audience,
this is not a typical conversation. But
I I just want to highlight the
importance of hearing what you have to
say.
Because I think it's very important that
even if something seems not apparent,
particularly when things seem unlikely
or when things seem outlandish or
heretical or whatever term you might
want to put onto things, it's valuable
to to take that in. It's definitely a
lot to kind of think about the paths
ahead and I'd love to talk more.
>> I'd love to do that. I'd love to do it
with your friends and I also just want
to say thanks for having me. it it's
time for America to lead because there's
no other nation I trust like I trust our
people to take care of uh of this
planet. We should make common cause with
our rivals as fast as we can because the
danger of getting to the next level of
leverage in a contested situation is
overwhelming. M
>> it's very important we went in the
Persian Gulf and it's very important
that the scientific community recognizes
that despite their feelings about Donald
Trump. We've got four or five
individuals with the science portfolio
who are much much better than the PhDs
think and before you turn up your nose
at this consider doing what I did which
is to come for a few days to Washington
DC and utter the dangerous words how can
I help?
I'm going all in. [music]
Ask follow-up questions or revisit key timestamps.
This interview features mathematician and physicist Eric Weinstein discussing the stagnation of American science and his critique of the current academic and government research ecosystem. Weinstein argues that modern science has been hampered by 'peer review' systems and a collectivist consensus that suppresses heterodox thought and innovation. He proposes reform by incentivizing courageous, high-beta scientific bets, re-evaluating the role of government-driven research, and potentially challenging certain legal frameworks to foster intellectual freedom. The conversation also explores speculative topics including dark matter, the state of theoretical physics since the 1980s, the possibility of advanced propulsion, and the implications of AI on scientific discovery.
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