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Eric Weinstein: The State of American Science, Breakthrough Coverups, and the Danger of Physics

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Eric Weinstein: The State of American Science, Breakthrough Coverups, and the Danger of Physics

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2390 segments

0:00

We have become a nation when it

0:01

comes to science.

0:02

>> You were called a fringe scientist.

0:04

>> I [music] keep saying fringe.

0:05

>> Yeah.

0:06

>> I totally disagree with the narrative of

0:08

the field. I want to blow a giant pole

0:11

in the civil rights act. The stagnation

0:13

in physics may have led to the survival

0:15

of the human species. When we make this

0:17

jump, the world will become

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I'm [music] going

0:51

>> Eric Weinstein, mathematician,

0:53

physicist, economist, PhD in

0:55

mathematical physics from Harvard,

0:58

National Science Foundation postoc, O&R

1:00

fellow at Harvard, published a proposed

1:03

mathematical framework and speculative

1:05

unified field theory called geometric

1:08

unity in 2021, formerly with Theel

1:11

Capital, podcast host and guest. Welcome

1:15

to the all-in interview.

1:17

>> It's great to be here. Now, where are

1:18

the besties?

1:19

>> They declined the opportunity because

1:21

this is an extended science corner that

1:25

>> can't believe that Jason has turned tail

1:28

and and ran.

1:29

>> No, you and I. I mean, just for the

1:32

audience, you and I both happen to be in

1:34

DC right now. So, we're in a rented

1:37

studio doing this interview, but good

1:39

timing. What brings you to DC?

1:41

>> Uh, opportunity. I'm really excited.

1:43

I've meeting with the department of war

1:46

um and took the opportunity to stay a

1:48

couple extra days. Been talking to

1:50

director Katzios over at OSTP and the

1:53

White House science adviser. Fantastic

1:55

meeting. Been talking to Jay Badachari

1:57

who's an old friend over at NIH. About

2:00

to talk to Jim O'Neal who's hopefully

2:02

coming into NSF. Yeah.

2:04

>> And really just taking a look at the

2:07

first major proposal to reform American

2:11

science since Venavar Bush at the end of

2:13

World War II. So this is couldn't be

2:15

more exciting.

2:16

>> Did Katzios tell you that I just

2:17

interviewed him on this topic?

2:18

>> No.

2:19

>> Okay. Well, I did.

2:20

>> Okay.

2:20

>> You guys are old colleagues, right?

2:22

>> Yeah. Yeah. Michael's Michael's great.

2:24

And so he he that came up. He said, you

2:26

know, here I am in this new role. Yeah,

2:29

>> I guess I was sort of worried that this

2:31

report, you know, obviously he's filling

2:33

huge shoes and I was worried that it was

2:36

going to be a disaster and I was stunned

2:40

how how good it was. I mean, it wasn't

2:42

perfect, but never never is.

2:44

>> And then I told you that.

2:47

>> Mhm. and you said that well you and I

2:48

had been talking and that you had been

2:50

conveying a lot of these issues to him

2:52

and I feel like he's uh he's really

2:55

grown into this role trying to become a

2:57

student of the American science project

2:59

and I couldn't be happier at hearing him

3:03

say things like we know that we don't

3:04

know everything we're just at the

3:05

beginning we're just getting started so

3:07

it looks like a great blueprint

3:08

>> governmentdriven science has played a

3:11

fundamental role in the success of the

3:13

republic at least over the last hundred

3:14

years last 50 75

3:17

prior to that there's a argument to be

3:19

made in the in science and new golden

3:21

age that Kratzio published and that

3:23

others have been making I've heard you

3:24

make it that science has really stalled

3:25

in America. Can you make that case for

3:27

us now?

3:28

>> Well, it's a question of which science

3:30

has stalled. Um so one of the great

3:33

things about what Michael's saying is is

3:34

that science is a big place and it's not

3:37

being done in one way. So what I really

3:41

think is the biggest, if you wanted to

3:43

sort of fly over and give an idea of

3:46

what's what's at risk, it's the

3:48

absolutely courageous science that we

3:51

can afford to do as a rich, ruggedly

3:53

individualistic nation that no one else

3:56

can afford to do. And so more or less

3:59

when when I see us doing incremental

4:01

research and doing things that are

4:03

incredibly careful with low variance and

4:06

calling it excellence, I get depressed

4:08

because my feeling is is that what we

4:10

should be taking on is the bets no one

4:12

else can afford to take on. It's also

4:14

the case that our chief geopolitical

4:16

rivals, China,

4:18

>> has a problem with freedom. And quite

4:21

honestly, freedom is a weapon. It is a

4:24

uh serious advantage that we can afford

4:27

to look at ourselves and say we don't do

4:29

everything perfectly and we want to know

4:31

the truth. I want to know whether Fouchy

4:34

killed 10 million people. I should be

4:37

able to investigate that as a viologist,

4:39

as an epidemiologist. I I I should be

4:41

able to get answers and and go through

4:43

the process of justice. When we have a

4:46

situation in which our scientists are

4:48

hamstrung because the conclusion is

4:50

known ahead of time, we limit our own

4:53

ability to use cowboy science

4:56

to drive the rest of the world. And and

4:59

quite honestly, we're giving away our

5:01

biggest advantage, which is the middle

5:03

finger, the American ability to say

5:06

screw you to a supervisor who tells you

5:08

what is true and what isn't true. young

5:11

person should be able to say, "Hey, I

5:14

think my field is going in entirely the

5:16

wrong direction and I'm willing to bet

5:17

my career on it. Don't interfere." This

5:20

was always the biggest question for me

5:22

is where were all the skeptics? Where

5:25

were all the scientists that are

5:27

supposed to question the dogma during

5:29

the lockdowns, during COVID, during that

5:31

pandemic? And I talked to Katios about

5:33

this when we did our interview that if

5:36

everyone in the room agrees on

5:37

something, it's probably wrong. Like you

5:39

know there there has to be some degree

5:41

of skepticism but particularly because

5:43

the fundamental basis of science is to

5:45

ask questions, interrogate, generate

5:48

evidence, generate data and then draw

5:50

some you know conclusion and ask your

5:52

next question. But it's almost like the

5:55

asking questions stopped. Where did that

5:58

come from? It sounds like you're saying

5:59

it's because folks were hamstrung

6:01

socially. Was it economic? What is it

6:03

that happened that not just in this

6:06

pandemic but just broadly are we seeing

6:09

this happen more in these scientific

6:11

domains where everyone kind of aligns

6:13

around one thesis one dogma and you're

6:17

not going to get funding you're not

6:19

going to have friends you're not going

6:20

to get colleagues to work with you

6:21

you're going to get chastised if you ask

6:24

different questions or ask whether these

6:26

assumptions are correct

6:27

>> this is the question and let me just

6:29

answer it is is that we created the

6:31

scientific procariat

6:32

We created a world in which professors

6:35

cannot afford

6:37

to go against a consensus. Now the

6:39

problem is consensus because if

6:41

everybody agrees on something, you

6:43

shouldn't need a consensus. There's no

6:45

arithmetic consensus. Do we have an

6:48

arithmetic consensus that 2 + 3 equals

6:50

5? No, it just is.

6:53

When I hear the word consensus, I get

6:55

very, very nervous because a consensus

6:57

is usually an artificial agreement

6:59

achieved through pressure. the

7:02

Washington consensus is some sort of a

7:05

thing where we're all going to go in a

7:07

particular direction and if you don't go

7:08

in that direction you don't have a job.

7:11

So when you ask well what happens you

7:15

know my question is that the the uh Jay

7:19

Bacharia is a perfect example of what

7:21

should happen. You have a guy who has a

7:24

PhD in economics and an MD

7:28

and he went against it with the Great

7:29

Bington Declaration. Now he's the head

7:32

of NIH. I I knew Jay when he was called

7:34

a fringe epidemiologist by this loser

7:37

Francis Collins and you know his

7:40

sidekick who was probably our bioweapons

7:42

are Anthony Fouchy. You know, if I say

7:45

Anthony Fouchy was probably our

7:46

bioweapons are, that's going to strike

7:49

all these people, particularly on the

7:51

institutional left is, well, that's

7:53

conspiracy theory talk. So, my question

7:55

is, we signed a couple of uh agreements

7:57

in the 70s, the Geneva Convention and

8:00

Boweapons Treaty. We have a cryptic

8:02

system. Somehow we chose in that case a

8:06

mysterious Ukrainian uh British

8:08

zoologologist to receive huge amounts of

8:10

money through a hippie dippy charity

8:13

called the Ecoalth Alliance money from

8:15

like Ditra, the Defense Threat Reduction

8:17

Agency, the whole thing doesn't make any

8:19

sense. So if you start doing things

8:21

through covert operations, the problem

8:24

is is that scientists can see right

8:25

through covert operations.

8:28

If you have great tools, you know, if

8:30

you say, "I I wasn't at the scene of the

8:33

crime." I said, "Oh, well, but we have a

8:35

a hair follicle and I can pretty much

8:37

tell you you were at the scene of the

8:39

crime." That's how powerful science is.

8:42

So now you have this different problem

8:44

which is is that you've got all of these

8:45

Bminus policy people in Washington,

8:48

particularly in the covert community,

8:49

not the intelligence community, but the

8:51

covert community, inside the

8:52

intelligence community, who don't want

8:56

kick-ass independent scientists, because

8:58

they're telling stories and narratives

9:00

that are easily exploded. So right now,

9:03

we don't don't just have a problem with

9:05

good science, we have a problem with

9:06

good journalism,

9:08

>> right? They also have to fall in line

9:10

with the

9:11

>> the pride narrative.

9:13

>> Exactly. So there are times when you

9:15

when you have to, you know, when the US

9:17

went to war, Roosevelt was in a

9:19

wheelchair with these leg braces and

9:22

there was a general agreement that we

9:23

won't report on the state of the

9:26

president's health. Well, we had the

9:27

same thing with Biden. Biden was

9:29

undergoing some form of dementia.

9:32

Did anyone think to ask a leading

9:34

geriatric neurologist, look, examine his

9:37

gate, examine his speech patterns, and

9:38

tell us where he is he likely in his

9:41

cognitive trajectory. So, if you're

9:44

trying to to, you know, tell a lie

9:48

that's important structurally, you

9:50

really don't want scientists exploding

9:52

it. When we did the and I I'm I'm not

9:55

arguing with that. We shouldn't have

9:56

been honest about what we were doing at

9:59

a New Mexico boy school from 1940 to

10:02

1945 because science was creating the

10:04

most powerful weapon ever seen on planet

10:06

Earth.

10:07

>> For those not aware, that's the

10:08

Manhattan Project.

10:09

>> Absolutely.

10:10

>> So, what I'm trying to say is is that

10:12

right now, you're not taking those

10:14

people who stood up and making them the

10:17

president of a university or the

10:19

chairman of a department. You're not

10:20

giving them a chair. And I just gave a

10:22

talk on this at at uh Jordan Peterson's

10:24

ARC conference. You haven't reinserted

10:28

the tiny number of people who stood up.

10:30

You haven't rewarded them. My question

10:33

is where's my third home for standing

10:35

up?

10:36

>> Where's the ability to put my kids, you

10:38

know, I want to put three kids through

10:40

school. I want to participate in the

10:43

security and the prosperity that we

10:46

provide to everyone else. And this is

10:48

the the key issue. You've created the

10:50

American scientific procariat. That's

10:53

one of the reasons why you have, you

10:54

know, such strange political

10:56

affiliations where you don't have

10:58

balance in the professor. You've got

11:01

this incredibly dangerous situation

11:03

where we are not participating in

11:05

freedom. And I will say in particular

11:07

theoretical phys physics theoretical

11:09

physics is the only profession to have

11:12

lost free speech because of something

11:15

called restricted data where I am not

11:17

allowed to put pen to paper to write

11:19

down a physics equation if in any way it

11:22

affects nuclear weapons. Well try doing

11:24

really good physics in a way that

11:26

doesn't affect

11:28

you know hadrons and nucleons. It

11:30

impossible. So you have this threat,

11:34

right, that somehow um the law I'm not

11:37

even protected by the first amendment.

11:39

>> But I I want to go back to your point

11:40

about incentives. So when you say I want

11:44

to have a third home, what you're saying

11:46

just to I'm going to do the Eric

11:48

Weinstein translation here, but you're

11:51

saying as a professor, I have to fall in

11:55

line in order to gain tenure, in order

11:57

to get a grant, in order to get the the

12:00

chairmanship role or whatever the

12:02

fellowship I'm looking for. If I don't

12:04

fall in line, if I'm fringe, if I say

12:07

things that are nonconformist, is that

12:10

the right kind of way to

12:11

>> heterodox?

12:11

>> Heterodox,

12:12

>> if I choose to just go against the

12:14

orthodoxy, right? I believe that um it

12:18

was insane to take the idea of the Wuhan

12:22

Institute of Irology off the table when

12:24

it came to the origin of CO.

12:26

>> Right.

12:26

>> Okay. Insane. It was clear then. And

12:29

when you said that, you were called a

12:30

fringe scientist and you were chastised

12:33

and labeled an outcast and therefore you

12:36

lost access, you lost jobs, you lost

12:39

income. There was much that was left out

12:42

of the equation for you. Y

12:44

>> because you asked questions that were

12:46

heterodox.

12:48

>> I I came up with a set of equations in

12:50

differential geometry in 1987 and I was

12:55

uh really treated incredibly badly.

12:57

those equations took over my field in

12:59

1994 and there was never an attempt to

13:02

go back and say wait a minute we just

13:04

brutalize somebody who got things right

13:06

and very early and so you know by the

13:09

same token it's just a very simple

13:11

process you're not allowed to want

13:13

better for your life you're supposed to

13:14

be humble you know well true scientists

13:17

don't care about money true scientists

13:19

don't care about security the reward is

13:22

the work it's you know blah blah blah

13:23

blah blah it's all of this absolute dril

13:27

The fact is is that we are providing

13:29

your security. And I say third homes to

13:32

be deliberately provocative. I used to

13:34

say second homes and I'm done with that.

13:36

You're dealing with a level of

13:38

prosperity in a world in which the genie

13:42

coefficients are blowing out. It's

13:43

almost entirely due to the technology

13:47

that is derivative of science and the

13:49

scientists are not participating. So

13:50

what you're doing is you're creating a

13:53

collectivist mindset because we can't

13:55

get paid. We can't win. If we get things

13:59

right, we're out.

14:01

>> When did this change happen? Because did

14:03

we not value and prize heterodoxy,

14:07

hereticism, outlandish ideas. The origin

14:11

of science, the origin of great

14:12

innovation, which arguably America is

14:14

still the global leader in today, arises

14:16

from what initially seems heretical.

14:18

seems like an idea that is far-fetched,

14:21

unrealistic, not going to happen. But

14:24

all it takes is one out of 10 of those

14:26

things to be true and ultimately the

14:29

envelope is pushed forward and we find

14:31

ourselves in a new frontier,

14:33

>> right?

14:34

>> Science should follow the same formula

14:36

as entrepreneurship in the sense

14:38

technological or industrial kind of

14:40

entrepreneurship roughly. Yeah. But

14:42

where did things change and why is this

14:45

just the natural course of you know Ted

14:48

Kazinski the uniomber wrote this

14:50

manifesto where he talked about over

14:51

socialization. Is that ultimately what

14:54

happened here? Is it social media played

14:55

a role? Is it just that this is the

14:57

saturation of social systems over time?

15:00

>> Yeah. This

15:00

>> or was there a deliberate external

15:02

effort?

15:02

>> The one thing you didn't uh recite in

15:04

that list of things. You didn't you

15:06

didn't mention my being in in the

15:09

physics department I guess uh at Hebrew

15:12

University

15:14

MIT

15:15

uh post-docctoral fellowship but the the

15:18

most important one is that I was the

15:20

co-chair co-PI with Richard Freeman of

15:22

the science and engineering workforce

15:24

project at Harvard in the economics

15:27

department because I was worried that we

15:29

were we had been losing this and there's

15:31

a very crisp answer to this and between

15:33

1965 and 75 everything went wrong.

15:37

Right. And and it's basically from the

15:38

beginning of the Medicare Act of 65 to a

15:43

controversy over something called man a

15:45

course of study in 1975 that ushered in

15:48

peer review and the control. But if you

15:51

wanted to really pinpoint it, it really

15:54

65 69 to 71 is particularly brutal. And

15:58

what happened was the MIT physics

16:01

department, I think in 1969 in the

16:03

spring, walked out in protest of the

16:05

Vietnam War, including people who had

16:07

been part of the Manhattan Project.

16:10

>> And the government took one look at this

16:12

and said, "Okay, you are wobbly. We

16:14

can't trust you. We have a we have a

16:16

very complicated, cryptic agreement with

16:19

our physicists in particular. You are

16:22

the most dangerous, most deadly, most

16:24

intelligent, most successful group along

16:26

with the mathematicians and we've relied

16:29

on you and now we can't trust you

16:31

because you're not you're not rowing uh

16:34

in the same direction that the country

16:35

is rowing with the with the war because

16:37

you're joining the protest movement.

16:39

What happened was is that immediately

16:42

the MIT instrument laboratory, which I

16:45

think was a where lots of government

16:47

money was being funneled through,

16:48

>> was taken outside the university and

16:51

turned into Draper Labs.

16:53

And the Mansfield amendment in 6971,

16:57

named after Mike Mansfield of of

16:58

Montana, said, "Okay, the military can

17:02

no longer fund blue sky research inside

17:05

of our university system unless it has a

17:08

direct military uh express military

17:11

purpose." That was the disaster because

17:14

what the military had done is they said,

17:16

"Look, we want you guys fat and happy

17:19

doing blue sky research, which is what

17:22

you think you should be doing. We trust

17:24

you guys. We just want to know that

17:26

you're there for us when we need you."

17:29

So, the military was our best friend.

17:31

Now that was uncomfortable because quite

17:33

honestly you have a huge paniply of

17:35

different ideas inside of high energy

17:40

highly dynamic science project. If you

17:43

don't have communists and fascists in

17:45

the same department having tea together

17:47

something has gone wrong

17:48

>> because scientists are very extreme. And

17:51

Ted Kazinski, you know, wrote a

17:53

marvelous story, for example, called

17:56

Ship of Fools about a bunch of people

17:58

overly concerned about political

17:59

correctness on a ship that then, you

18:02

know, runs into an iceberg because

18:03

nobody's actually paying attention to

18:04

the writing of the ship. They're having

18:05

questions about

18:06

>> I didn't even know this.

18:07

>> Oh, yeah. Yeah. Yeah. Everybody should

18:09

should read it. Now, of course, I'm not

18:11

>> I'm not pushing people to uh a mass

18:14

murderer. Uh you know, how however

18:17

>> it's heretical to acknowledge Ted

18:19

Kazinski, by Well, but the point is is

18:21

that

18:22

>> scientists are weirdos,

18:25

>> or at least many scientists are weirdos.

18:27

And if you're not going to deal with

18:29

truly dangerous minds, I don't even know

18:32

why you're suiting up for the science

18:34

game. So, where do those minds go

18:38

if they're not enabled or allowed into

18:43

the institutions, the establishment, the

18:45

machinery of science in America? Are

18:47

they still around or their brains just

18:49

blunted out and they're only allowed to

18:51

say certain things or are we taking

18:52

great scientists and reprogramming them

18:55

and missing all the alpha? I mean, what?

18:57

>> Yeah. Yeah. You're you're missing you're

18:58

missing the alpha. And it's funny that

19:00

you should say that because that makes

19:02

it like alpha male or the uh alpha in

19:05

investment theory, right?

19:07

>> Both works.

19:07

>> Yeah. I'm a I also do freestyle raps.

19:10

Really? Yeah. No. Well, sometimes. Okay.

19:12

We'll talk later about that.

19:13

>> Yeah. Cool. Um, well, mostly what you're

19:16

doing is you're spaying and neutering uh

19:18

your best minds. Uh, but the other thing

19:21

is is look at Palmer Lucky.

19:24

Okay, that guy looks to me like a

19:26

scientist.

19:28

He's a reverend. He's got a crazy shirt

19:31

and he builds things that kill people.

19:32

>> Yeah.

19:33

>> Right now, if he was in a physics

19:35

department, um, he could not easily be

19:38

that guy. But if you wanted somebody

19:41

who's in still in science, who looks to

19:43

me like a great scientist, I would point

19:44

you to Nema Arani Hamemed. Incredibly

19:47

charismatic, brilliant as the day is

19:49

long, completely uncompromising, did not

19:52

go in for the string theory fat at a

19:54

deep level, even though he's sympathetic

19:55

to many aspects of it.

19:57

>> Do you guys even know that he's there?

20:00

He's the best of us currently, and he's

20:02

still not that old, you know. Um, my

20:05

feeling is that there's pretty much been

20:10

a giant decrease in our effectiveness.

20:14

And I know why. When you kick Jim Watson

20:17

out of Cold Spring Harbor, which he

20:19

built,

20:21

what are you doing? Do you know that

20:23

Mark Tashnney uh is in his mid 80s? uh

20:28

guy who wrote a genetic switch on fage

20:30

lambda, one of the most brilliant,

20:32

irreverent people. You know, at some

20:34

point, I think I sent a journalist to

20:35

him and the journalist came back with

20:36

his tail between the leads and said that

20:38

that that guy's insane.

20:40

>> Well, Eric Lander was the White House uh

20:44

science adviser, Katzios's role. I think

20:46

his picture isn't up on the wall because

20:49

he's sort of an uncompromising,

20:51

difficult to deal with guy. And my

20:53

feeling, I hate to say, this is tough. M

20:55

>> you know if you ever saw the movie

20:57

Whiplash

20:58

>> love it. One of my favorites.

20:59

>> Okay. Well, there's a reason that that

21:01

guy has the best band. He you know he's

21:03

not handing out tissues. And I I don't

21:05

mean to be mean about I don't want a

21:07

brutal place, but like this stuff is

21:10

pretty unforgiving.

21:11

>> What's the solution to morass

21:15

stagnation? What do we do here to try

21:18

and catch up again? What do we do here

21:20

to to restructure? Or is it about

21:23

institutions? Is it about funding? Is it

21:25

about people? Is it reprogramming? I

21:27

mean, how do you get out of the social

21:28

circuit that's fully programmed?

21:30

>> Great question. I mean, really great

21:32

question. Let's just be provocative and

21:34

throw some stuff out. National interest

21:36

waiverss. I want to blow a giant hole in

21:40

the Civil Rights Act so that we can have

21:43

teams that are not constantly afraid of

21:45

HR.

21:45

>> What does the Civil Rights Act do that

21:48

makes it difficult for individuals to do

21:50

what they need? Well, you know, you

21:52

>> science,

21:52

>> my closest friend uh from college, we

21:57

have a group of three, two Jews and a

21:59

Muslim.

21:59

>> Mhm.

22:00

>> And the Muslim is constantly teasing the

22:02

Jews about, you know, you guys know all

22:05

the banks of the newspapers and we, you

22:07

know, joke with him about him being a

22:09

terrorist. Now, that is not a model I

22:11

can explain to anybody, but we've been,

22:15

you know, incredibly close uh since

22:19

1982. My claim is is that you don't

22:22

understand how high agency people

22:26

actually form tight cohesive social

22:28

units.

22:30

>> If you have the HR department saying,

22:32

you know, Eric, I understand you you are

22:34

making an inappropriate joke,

22:36

>> screw off. Get out of here. Who are you

22:39

and what are you doing in my lab? Let me

22:41

call security. Why do I need a note from

22:44

my mommy and daddy to to do everything?

22:47

I'm not saying be horrible. I'm saying

22:49

you don't know enough about the culture

22:51

of greatness

22:53

to be my HR department. That's sort of

22:56

what I'm saying. So like I'm just

22:57

throwing out a provocative idea which by

23:00

the way I'm a Democrat. I'm sort of a

23:02

Democrat from the JFK school rather than

23:05

I I don't think I would join.

23:06

>> I don't know I don't know what you would

23:07

be today.

23:08

>> Well I'm I'm staying in the party. I'm a

23:10

nail house Democrat. You know the nail

23:12

house is the house that you build a mall

23:14

around because the person won't sell.

23:15

>> Yes. I'm not I'm not leaving the party.

23:18

Um, but my party has gone insane. My

23:20

feeling is if we were really who we say

23:24

we are, we'd be making common cause with

23:27

the Republicans I met with and saying,

23:29

"Let's get on with it and reform the

23:31

system together." And if you want to

23:34

brag about how you made America great

23:36

without us, you can go screw yourself.

23:37

Um, my feeling is that I'd rather work

23:39

with you, make America great, and then

23:41

fight over the credit later. That's how

23:43

you work in a war, you know. So my my

23:46

first recommendation is

23:47

>> throw out the Civil Rights Act.

23:48

>> No, not throw it out. Poke holes in it

23:51

because you like the intent of it. It's

23:53

the letter that's arbitrageed against

23:56

the the intent which creates the sort of

23:58

collectivist thinking. You can't do

24:01

great work without hyperindividualism

24:04

and without rugged hyperindividualism.

24:06

And so my feeling is is that that's not

24:09

an Einrandian thing. That's not a

24:11

conservative thing. it. The issue is is

24:14

that I'm I consider myself left of

24:17

center and there's no one more

24:19

individualistic than I am. And so what

24:22

you need is I need not to have peer

24:25

review. Peer review is a fake story that

24:28

was retconed into science. It is no, you

24:31

can look it up on Google engrams, put

24:33

quote space peer review space close

24:36

quote, and you'll notice that there's

24:39

really no mention of it before 1965.

24:42

And the reason for that is that the

24:44

Medicare act made the government the

24:46

major payer for medical procedures. The

24:48

government said, "Well, why are we

24:49

paying for all this stuff?" Well, the

24:52

doctors said, "We don't want you

24:55

having oversight over our

24:56

decisionmaking." So, our peer we will

24:58

peer review each other. It started in a

25:00

Utah clinic. And then it wasn't until

25:03

1975

25:05

when fiscal and social conservatives

25:08

attacked the NSF over something called

25:11

man a course of study or makos. Now some

25:14

for some reason the NSF

25:18

grouped in anthropology as a science. I

25:21

I think that's a mistake. I think what

25:23

we really need is we really need very

25:25

hard sciences separated. And my feeling

25:28

is the weaker scientists should go form

25:30

their own organization and stop using

25:32

our credit card

25:33

>> because they're destroying our credit

25:36

limit.

25:36

>> Those are social sciences and soft

25:39

sciences versus hard scientists where

25:41

there's an industrial end point.

25:43

>> Well, it's not a question of an

25:44

industrial endpoint. I mean, I think

25:46

that's another thing that's really

25:47

screwed up is that science has become

25:50

synonymized with biomedical, which it

25:52

isn't.

25:52

>> Yeah. and science has become uh in the

25:55

conservative mind something that the the

25:57

market can do well when it's like did

26:00

did no one take econ 101 because the you

26:02

know on the first day of school they're

26:04

supposed to tell you that markets work

26:05

really well as long as you're not in a

26:07

category called market failure and if

26:09

you miss that day you say well markets

26:11

are perfect and they can price

26:12

everything but anything that's uh

26:15

inexhaustible and inexcludable which is

26:17

exactly the definition of science can't

26:19

be priced by a market unless you create

26:21

an artificial market So, I can't tell

26:23

you how dispiriting, you know, this is,

26:25

if I've been kind to the Republicans.

26:27

Here's a place where I'm going to be

26:28

cruel. You can't have morons who do not

26:32

understand that markets cannot see

26:34

everything. There's a reason that we pay

26:36

taxes for an army. And it's a technical

26:38

reason. It's not a we think that's a

26:41

good thing. It's that if market if you

26:44

could make the army uh exhaustable and

26:47

excludable, you wouldn't need to pay for

26:49

it with taxes. So that your tax dollar

26:52

has to be used for things that the

26:54

market can't reach. Homatopy theory is a

26:57

great case. When I say homotopy theory

26:59

in these science discussions, people

27:00

say, "Well, what is that?" And my my my

27:03

response is, "Well, you don't know. It's

27:05

an incredibly important part of

27:07

mathematics, pure mathematics. I don't

27:09

know that it has any industrial

27:11

applications." But you go after homatopy

27:14

theory and you're you're pulling out a

27:15

Jenga block from an incredibly important

27:18

ecosystem that you don't understand. So

27:21

my my feeling about this is I'm going to

27:23

inject a PhD perspective into this

27:26

conversation because the what the PhDs

27:29

are doing wrong is that they're staying

27:30

out. Trump to them has cooties. They

27:33

don't want Trump cies so they don't show

27:35

up.

27:36

>> Yeah. And now, okay, well, if if they

27:38

are not going to explain to you why we

27:40

need homatopy theory and we need to tax

27:42

people and to pay for it,

27:45

>> the administration's not hearing what

27:47

they need to be hearing and the people

27:48

that are supposed to be saying it are

27:50

not showing up to the administration.

27:52

>> That's right. And it's completely

27:53

dysfunctional and quite honestly,

27:55

>> by the way, the statistic I gave Cratios

27:57

is uh Nature did a survey of 2,000

27:59

scientists, their readers. Nature being

28:02

a scientific journal that's widely read

28:04

and by the scientific community and six

28:07

>> by the way not peer reviewed until the

28:08

70s

28:09

>> right and six% of the readers pled uh

28:14

voted for President Trump 85% or

28:18

something Kla Harris and then there was

28:20

an undecided group but I think it speaks

28:23

to your point like Trump is deemed to be

28:26

so anti-science the institution of Trump

28:29

is deemed to be anti-science that there

28:31

doesn't even want to be an engagement.

28:33

>> Assume that you detest Trump. Okay.

28:36

Assume that you think Trump is the

28:37

devil. I just met with Michael Katzios.

28:42

Great. I I wanted that role. I put my

28:44

hat into the ring for that uh for that

28:47

role. I didn't think I would get it

28:49

because I wasn't willing to pledge

28:50

sufficient loyalty to Donald Trump.

28:52

Happened to go to Michael Katzio. I was

28:54

very nervous because he he's not coming

28:55

from a PhD background.

28:58

What a what an unbelievable growth in

29:00

that role. The guy understands. I don't

29:03

know all sorts of things. I'm here to

29:04

learn. Tell me what I need to know. And

29:06

if no one shows up to do that toutelage,

29:08

you're going to you boy, do you deserve

29:10

exactly what you got because I think

29:11

Michael is trying to do absolutely the

29:13

right thing. I know Jim O'Neal very well

29:15

from the Peter Teal universe coming in

29:17

at NSF. Jay Bodacharia. Absolute gem. If

29:21

you can't work with these people, is

29:24

that their problem or is that your

29:27

problem?

29:27

>> So, arguably this and sorry, let me just

29:30

go back to talk about markets and I I'll

29:33

make a libertarian argument. If markets

29:35

work well for driving economic value and

29:39

those who are good at that participate

29:40

meaningfully in that value creation,

29:43

there will be wealthy people and those

29:45

wealthy people will see the value of

29:48

mathematics, the value of pure physics,

29:50

the value of astrophysics and cosmology

29:53

and they'll fund it. Jim Simons, didn't

29:55

he fund quite a lot of research?

29:57

>> Jim was a genius with detailed knowledge

30:01

of pure mathematics. Mhm.

30:03

>> So if you have, you know, Yuri Milner is

30:06

a guy who has a background in quantum

30:08

chromodnamics,

30:10

>> if you have more of those people,

30:12

>> and there are point is, and I'm not

30:14

trying to argue with you about it, but

30:15

my point is, shouldn't the market work

30:17

regardless that they'll see the value of

30:20

the science that you're identifying?

30:22

They'll identify it. Capital will flow

30:25

to that research, it will get funded

30:26

somehow. There's a lot of independent

30:29

institutions out there that get capital.

30:31

and is or is that not sufficient for the

30:34

landscape? And I'll also state like you

30:36

know one of the uh statistics that I

30:38

brought up with Katzios which he

30:40

published in his book is that over time

30:43

we have seen a significant decline in

30:47

the effectiveness of dollars deployed

30:49

against scientific research in the US an

30:52

80fold decline in return on every dollar

30:54

invested in government research. So, I

30:57

just want to throw those two points out

30:59

there, like is there not private market

31:00

capital that will find its way to solve

31:01

these problems? And isn't the government

31:03

getting worse over time at deploying

31:05

capital and driving returns? And I might

31:07

be giving you a a te-ball here. So,

31:09

>> I guess or or I feel like I should have

31:11

I should have gotten high on cannabis uh

31:13

in order to even take that question on.

31:16

>> I don't believe any of that first point.

31:18

Um and and it's I knew Jim Simons

31:21

decently well. Uh Jim

31:25

was the kind of guy who could do that.

31:28

But even he didn't understand. My last

31:30

conversation with Jim Simons, I was

31:32

trying to explain to him how the churn

31:35

Simons uh transgression interpreted as

31:38

an action functional is the only rival

31:40

to Einstein Hilbert. um and that

31:43

effectively he will find um if he if he

31:47

pursues this that churn Simons and

31:49

Einstein Hilbert are on an equal playing

31:51

field as daughters of the ultimate

31:53

theory.

31:54

>> Uh he didn't know that. So partially the

31:57

issue is is that it is so difficult in

31:59

my area to know what's going on in the

32:03

adjacent area. I just got off the phone

32:05

before the podcast with my good friend

32:07

Edward Frankle who does uh algebraic

32:12

geometry whereas I would do differential

32:14

geometry. It's very difficult for us to

32:17

communicate even though those fields are

32:19

adjacent to each other. So yes, if you

32:22

happen to have an algebraic geometer

32:24

who's a billionaire, uh, and one who's a

32:27

representation theorist, another one

32:29

who's, uh, interested in, um, oh, I

32:33

don't know, category theory, you could

32:35

do it that way, but this is completely

32:37

insane. So,

32:38

>> okay, so government should fund

32:40

>> government has to be the basic funer of

32:43

these things.

32:44

>> The next part of this,

32:45

>> we need to have the right people

32:46

representing the decisions on where we

32:49

should be funding, what we should be

32:50

funding. Correct. And that's what we did

32:52

previously is that we sort of had slush

32:53

funds and they're very good people had

32:57

money. Somebody years ago I was at a

33:00

conference in Bereva um on physics and

33:04

people were talking about where they

33:06

were going to get their next job and

33:07

this old guy comes up to us and said I

33:09

just pity all of you. There was an

33:10

American and I said in what way? He said

33:13

you know I never applied for a job in my

33:15

life. He said sorry what do what do you

33:18

mean? He says, "If you were any good and

33:20

you needed a job, you talked to one of

33:23

the people who was high up in the field

33:26

and they got on the phone and by the

33:28

time they got off the phone, you had a

33:29

job where you needed to be."

33:31

>> And so my claim is is that when you have

33:36

administrator types come in and say,

33:38

"What we need is KPIs.

33:41

Uh we need to to drive this on a data we

33:44

I'm data driven. I want to know what the

33:46

translation is.

33:49

Do do you even know what ROI is

33:52

or is it just what you can measure?

33:54

>> Yeah.

33:55

>> And so my claim is a lot of what you

33:58

want is you want these people on

34:00

retainer so whenever you have a real

34:02

problem you call up the Jason's and it's

34:05

stocked with the most terrifying

34:07

intellects you can imagine and we can

34:09

get to work and we can solve your

34:10

problems.

34:12

But if you're saying, "Well, why should

34:14

my taxpayer dollars uh, you know, go do

34:17

whatever you find interesting?" Well, if

34:19

I can pursue what I find interesting,

34:22

and when you call me up,

34:25

I'm going to be very friendly to helping

34:28

my own country, my own nation, I'm going

34:29

to feel positive about that. If you tell

34:32

me you should work on this because this

34:34

thing is what drives the ROI, my feeling

34:36

is, do you just not understand science?

34:38

Do you imagine that your technology

34:40

mindset

34:42

is the same thing as my scientific

34:44

mindset. You want to get paid. I mean, I

34:46

I've spent a lot of time in Silicon

34:47

Valley. I'm not nearly interested as

34:50

interested in having a new McLaren as

34:54

whether my name is going to be discussed

34:55

10,000 years from now if humans are

34:58

still around. And I I say that because,

35:00

you know, Jim Watson just died. My good

35:03

friends Isidor Singer, Raul Bot are are

35:06

now dead. Those are people whose

35:08

contributions will be discussed 10,000

35:10

years from now.

35:12

>> Can you say that about almost anyone

35:15

you know who's doing software as a

35:17

service? Uh hard to say. You know, as I

35:20

used to say, um what's the difference

35:23

between uh Grecia Pearlman and Ron

35:25

Pearlman? And so in the modern era, the

35:28

question is who's Greca Pearlman? And

35:30

you know, a thousand years from now,

35:31

it's who's Ron Pearlman. So my feeling

35:34

is is that we have our own toys that we

35:38

we care about. We care about our

35:40

history. We care about different things.

35:43

It's it's not unreasonable to want to do

35:46

and to want to be able to check into a

35:47

Four Seasons uh and to fly business

35:50

class, but we don't need a corporate

35:52

jet. Like that's your stuff. So treat

35:57

scientists like the rock stars that they

36:01

should be will be. Otherwise, you're

36:03

going to lose them. You're going to lose

36:05

that talent. You're going to lose that

36:06

moment.

36:13

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36:15

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36:17

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36:19

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36:22

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36:28

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36:32

states, the Conservation Fund is proving

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36:37

benefit communities and nature. Learn

36:39

more at conservationfund.org.

36:45

>> When you say slush funds, the way the

36:48

funding process works in the modern era

36:50

is grants. you you apply for a grant

36:53

with a very specific set of objectives

36:55

and that's what the capital is going to

36:56

be used for. And to your point earlier,

36:59

grants are typically approved if they're

37:02

lower beta, which means more predictable

37:05

in terms of the outcome.

37:06

>> So, so we're appropriating modern

37:08

portfolio theory to science.

37:10

>> To science.

37:10

>> Love it.

37:11

>> Yes. Well, I mean, that's the way it

37:12

it's been operating is my argument. Or

37:14

has it not been? And does that not miss

37:16

the opportunity to take crazy high beta

37:19

bets and not just bet on the idea but

37:23

bet on the person. So

37:25

>> crazy high beta bet.

37:26

>> Yeah.

37:27

>> Let's do an example.

37:28

>> Yes.

37:28

>> Imagine that I have a 1% chance of

37:32

curing all cancer,

37:34

>> right?

37:34

>> Should you hire me?

37:36

>> Well,

37:37

99% failure is pretty expensive. But the

37:42

benefit of killing curing all cancer

37:45

um the government is incredibly rich and

37:48

when you're incredibly rich you can

37:50

afford to take different bets to

37:53

maximize your outcomes. The problem is

37:55

is that the government co-invested

37:58

through things that are poorer than it.

38:00

>> So each department says you know we

38:02

can't really afford we don't get that

38:04

many appointments. So, we're going to go

38:06

with somebody who has a very high

38:07

probability of succeeding at a very

38:09

modest

38:11

outcome and then we're going to start

38:12

lying about how important that is.

38:14

You'll notice that if you ask people,

38:16

"How's your field doing?" Everybody

38:17

says, "It's never been a better time to

38:19

be a particle theorist." Well, it's a

38:21

terrible time to be a particle theorist,

38:23

right? And and we can't say that. And

38:25

and it's funny because again in

38:27

portfolio theory, if you have a balanced

38:31

portfolio and part of it starts

38:32

succeeding and part of it failing, what

38:35

you usually do is you take money out of

38:37

the thing that's succeeding and put it

38:39

into the thing that's failing because

38:40

otherwise you get too much concentration

38:42

in the portfolio. Nobody's ever thought

38:44

about any of this stuff. And so what you

38:47

have is you have people who don't even

38:48

understand modern portfolio theory and

38:51

don't understand market failure

38:53

designing things. It's really important

38:56

to know basic

38:59

market theory and we don't.

39:01

>> Yeah. So if we fix that do we fund

39:03

individuals versus ideas? You know this

39:06

is the other kind of

39:07

>> say more.

39:08

>> So the whole story I I gave this example

39:10

to Katzio. Stuart Butterfield worked on

39:13

this project for a couple years. He was

39:14

down to three million bucks. All the VCs

39:16

put money in started nearly failed. And

39:18

he calls him up. He called up Ben

39:19

Horowitz. He just told the story

39:20

recently. He said, "Hey, should I give

39:21

the money back? This project didn't

39:23

work. But by the way, we've been doing a

39:25

intra company communication tool for our

39:27

engineering team. Maybe I could pivot

39:29

into that." He's like, "Yeah, keep the

39:30

money. Do that. I trust you."

39:32

>> Yeah.

39:32

>> You pivoted it, turned it into Slack,

39:34

sold it for $30 billion.

39:36

>> The idea being that you back the person,

39:39

not the idea. that the the great people,

39:41

the great entrepreneurs continuously

39:43

evolve, continuously build, continuously

39:45

pivot. I mean, here you are with Zuck

39:47

reinventing that company again and again

39:49

and again. And if you find the

39:51

upandcomers, is there a way to kind of

39:53

find the individual that are emerging in

39:55

their fields?

39:55

>> Oh, yeah. But

39:56

>> and you fund them for a period of time

39:58

and you say or is this a portfolio

39:59

theory again where you say some bets are

40:02

on an idea, some bets are on people and

40:05

you know the people bets should be

40:07

long-term and fully funded,

40:08

>> right?

40:10

I'll give you the magic formula that

40:13

gives you an idea of how difficult this

40:16

is and how tricky you have to be. Tell

40:18

me who the established leaders of of a

40:22

field will block but will not short

40:27

fund that guy.

40:28

>> Mhm.

40:28

>> For now

40:30

>> because if you're not willing I mean if

40:32

you I I'll say this with my own uh main

40:35

theory. If you are willing to short

40:40

either geometric marginalism or more

40:42

importantly geometric unity, I want to

40:44

dance with you.

40:45

>> Mhm.

40:46

>> Because I want to take your house. I

40:48

want to take your retirement. It would

40:50

be my absolute pleasure to destroy you

40:52

in the market.

40:53

>> Mhm.

40:54

>> But that's not what happens. It's like,

40:55

well, we want to block him, but we know

40:58

that he knows a lot of stuff. Yeah.

41:00

>> And we know that we haven't really read

41:02

it. And you know, there's something

41:04

about somebody saying, "Look, you're

41:05

99.9999%

41:08

uh going to fail." And I say, "Care care

41:12

to formalize that?"

41:13

>> Mhm.

41:14

>> You know, let's have Well, why? I'll bet

41:16

you $100 that by next year you haven't

41:18

gotten full acceptance in the That's not

41:20

what you said. You said that you'd be

41:24

willing to put up your house to win a

41:26

dollar from me, and I want to do that at

41:29

size, you know. So my feeling is come at

41:33

me baby that would be fun.

41:35

>> And let me tell you something. He also

41:37

listened for things that no one is

41:38

willing to say. I I am on record as

41:42

saying that the the smartest man in the

41:44

world today is Edward Whitten.

41:46

Brilliant.

41:47

>> Mhm.

41:47

>> Unbelievable. The guy drove theoretical

41:50

physics off the road and off a cliff 42

41:55

years ago.

41:57

>> Nobody else is willing to say it.

41:58

>> Mhm.

41:59

So the question is is the one person who

42:02

noticed that nobody's gone to Stockholm

42:07

[laughter]

42:07

that the standard model has not changed

42:10

the recent conference uh in string

42:12

theory supposedly the only game in town

42:14

in fundamental physics.

42:17

Go to strings 2026 website. There's a

42:20

list of all the talks. There's a search

42:22

engine. Put in these following words.

42:24

Electron, Hadron, Higs, Leptton.

42:31

There's no physics in this. They're not

42:33

talking about anything that could hurt a

42:36

foe. They're not talking about the

42:37

physical world. I was at arguably the

42:41

world's

42:42

leading physics institute.

42:46

And I said, "Who are the smartest people

42:48

here?" And it was I was given three

42:50

names. Two of them were pure theorists.

42:53

I talked deeply with both of them. When

42:55

I got to the point about how to advance

42:58

the standard model, which is our notion

43:00

of all the particles you see in the in

43:02

this room,

43:04

both of them said, "I have no interest

43:07

in the physical world." And I said,

43:09

"Well, you're the two leading professors

43:11

at our major, our most expansive

43:14

theoretical physics institute, and

43:16

neither of you care about the physical

43:18

world." just openly expressed

43:22

this is madness and you know I give

43:26

talks at physics departments and I I've

43:28

now started non-ooperation with the

43:31

departments who've asked me to come and

43:33

talk

43:34

but will technically deny me a talk. So

43:38

for example, I've given talk a talk at

43:40

the University of Texas Austin, but I'm

43:43

I'm not allowed to say that the talk

43:45

occurred in the physics department.

43:48

>> Really?

43:48

>> Yeah. I gave a talk at the Perimeter

43:50

Institute in the Skyrim.

43:52

It is not a talk. Eric is answering

43:54

questions. I gave a talk at the

43:56

University of Chicago in the

43:59

>> This is because your talk and your

44:01

persona is viewed to be fringe and

44:03

outlandish.

44:04

>> You keep saying fringe. Yeah,

44:06

>> I totally disagree with the narrative of

44:08

the field.

44:10

>> I just out and out say that when physics

44:13

in 1983 physics made sense in 1984 it

44:17

did not. It was very stark and it was

44:19

like overnight more or less three people

44:21

Leonard Suskin, David Gross and Edward

44:23

Whitten drove the field in a totally

44:26

different direction and now the

44:29

achievement of this has not been any

44:31

advance in our knowledge of the physical

44:33

world but it has been something that no

44:36

one knew was possible. You take the

44:38

field in which Edward Teller and Jay

44:41

Robert Oenheimer and Richard Fineman and

44:45

Stannislov Ulam created the most

44:47

terrifying weapons from SU3 cross U1

44:51

gauge theory and you've made it safe. It

44:54

is now safe to do physics with your

44:56

geopolitical rivals. You can invite your

44:58

friends from China to come and become

45:00

graduate students in your department and

45:02

you will fill their heads with things

45:05

about ads CFT that couldn't hurt a fly

45:08

because there's no physics in it. So the

45:11

question is

45:13

did I

45:15

is this a secret program?

45:16

>> Go back to 1983. Wait, so we drove off a

45:19

cliff in 1983 and the question is did

45:22

someone say, "Hey, let's drive this off

45:23

a cliff."

45:24

>> Well, this happened before. Do you do

45:25

you think that there is some

45:28

community subgroup

45:31

set of assets

45:33

set of projects that are happening

45:35

somewhere on Earth that are making

45:38

advances in physics and have been for

45:40

the last 50 years?

45:42

>> Great that you asked that question. That

45:44

would be crazy, wouldn't it, David? Can

45:46

you imagine if there was like a secret

45:48

place that was making advances in an

45:50

important field of physics and people

45:53

who were studying physics outside of

45:54

that place were being stymied?

45:56

>> I would find it hard that it would be

45:58

kept secret.

45:59

>> Okay. What happened in 1940

46:03

is that something that you've never

46:05

heard of called the reference committee

46:06

was established inside of the National

46:08

Research Council.

46:10

So when the neutron was first

46:12

hypothesized in 1911 by Rutherford, it

46:16

was then discovered in the early 30s, a

46:18

woman named Lee Mitner came up with the

46:20

concept of the chain reaction which was

46:22

then proven by Fairmy at the University

46:24

of Chicago with something called Chicago

46:27

pile one.

46:29

Thereafter, a guy named Wright uh briti

46:33

t formed something called the uh

46:36

reference committee inside the national

46:38

research council so that if you

46:39

submitted a paper on chain reaction

46:41

physics to a journal, it got shunted

46:45

into the national research council and

46:47

they would return it to you saying

46:49

unfortunately you know these results are

46:51

really preliminary.

46:53

um we don't see this as being uh at the

46:56

level of the journal. Please revise,

46:58

etc., etc.

47:00

Okay, now you've resubmitted it. It's

47:03

still not going. You don't know that

47:04

this thing exists. This is how people

47:06

outside of the Manhattan Project,

47:08

outside of the white badges, treated

47:10

their colleagues who weren't allowed

47:12

inside the Manhattan Project. So let's

47:16

at least agree that from 1940 to 1945

47:21

there was a review process which

47:23

destroyed the ability to earn a living

47:27

if you were doing chain reaction physics

47:29

and you weren't invited into the secret

47:31

group.

47:31

>> Yes.

47:32

>> Okay. The question isn't is that nuts?

47:34

It's clearly not nuts because I know

47:36

that this actually existed and happened.

47:38

Question is did it happen once or more

47:41

than once? If it happened more than

47:43

once, the question is, what is the

47:45

analog of the boys school in New Mexico?

47:48

What is the analog of the white badges?

47:50

What is the analog of the reference

47:52

committee?

47:53

>> And you have a theory?

47:54

>> Yeah.

47:54

>> Okay.

47:55

>> If it's happening, I've said that the

47:57

leading candidate would be Renaissance

47:59

Technologies on Long Island.

48:01

>> I've heard you say this.

48:02

>> Yeah.

48:02

>> But surely there's

48:04

>> Let's look at the cover story.

48:05

>> Okay. The cover story would be, you

48:08

know, we are so good at trading that we

48:11

don't even allow people who know markets

48:13

into our firm. We only hire people in

48:16

directly relevant subjects of physics,

48:19

like particle theorists, like

48:21

differential geometers,

48:23

like machine learning experts. And we

48:26

have a very strange thing that we have a

48:28

very close relationship with the Brook

48:29

Haven National Laboratory. And by the

48:32

way, there's a middling university right

48:34

next door

48:36

who happens to be absolutely world class

48:40

historically in the exact subjects that

48:43

would be relevant to doing next level

48:46

physics.

48:47

Okay. So you multiple fields medalists

48:50

and US News and World Report never ranks

48:53

this as like one of our great

48:55

facilities. Even though if if you look

48:56

at the people have passed through State

48:58

University of New York at Stonybrook,

48:59

it's unbelievable. Yeah, to me that

49:03

looks like Fort me when it was still no

49:06

such agency collecting way too many

49:08

number theorists.

49:09

>> But Eric, people have come out of that

49:10

place, that workplace. I know one or two

49:12

of them and there are no such stories.

49:16

At some point you would envision that

49:18

some number of them, some small

49:20

percentage of them would

49:22

>> leak some information or some set of

49:24

facts if that were to be true about some

49:26

of this advanced physics work going on

49:29

or there would be probably more

49:31

innumerable returns realized from that

49:34

than perhaps there have been.

49:36

>> I'm not saying that I know that that's

49:38

true. My point was, and I tried I tried

49:41

to be careful. If you said, "Eric, that

49:44

sounds preposterous because to be

49:46

entirely honest, the concept of Los

49:47

Alamos, which was published in 1944 by a

49:51

journalist named Jack Raper in a

49:52

Cleveland newspaper, he he broke the

49:55

story.

49:58

>> Nothing happened because what he said

49:59

was crazy. He said, "There is a secret

50:01

city with a mayor who's supposed to be

50:04

the next Einstein

50:06

working on a doomsday weapon." and the

50:08

town is so secretive that nobody knows

50:11

what's going on inside it. So my claim

50:14

is is that I'm doing the Jack Raper

50:16

thing and you're doing the what happened

50:18

to Jack Raper. Well, clearly there's

50:21

only one person saying that and he's

50:22

nuts.

50:23

>> Well, in that in both cases, I could

50:25

show up and start asking questions and

50:27

interrogate and see if I can find

50:28

something.

50:29

>> Again, I'm not saying that Renaissance

50:31

Technologies is that. I am saying you

50:33

have a secure campus with a story that

50:35

makes no sense. Yeah,

50:37

>> you know markets. Do you have any idea

50:39

how much the medallion fund

50:40

>> Oh, yeah. Yeah, I know. Cuz again, my

50:42

friends who were there, they get to

50:44

leave their money there and then the

50:46

returns continue.

50:47

>> They get to leave their money there is

50:49

not what happens.

50:50

>> Okay.

50:50

>> They closed the fund to all but internal

50:53

money.

50:53

>> Yes. Yes. That's what I mean.

50:54

>> You know, another interesting story,

50:56

>> but if you leave the firm, you get to

50:59

your capital can stay in the medallion

51:01

fund. So my claim to you is Jeffrey

51:04

Epstein had a story which is that he

51:06

only accepted a billion dollars or more

51:08

invested with him if you gave him power

51:10

of attorney. These things tend to have

51:13

some reason that no person outside has

51:16

money and gets to ask questions. Right?

51:20

>> So Jeffrey Epstein did not run a hedge

51:22

fund. He told me that he ran a

51:24

multistrategy FX hedge fund and that he

51:27

needed a 727

51:29

because it had a trading for and he

51:31

filled it with yeshiva students because

51:33

they were the only ones you could trust.

51:35

He was extremely specific about using

51:38

trend following, mean reversion and

51:40

carry is the three strategy. I think he

51:43

didn't say he said he didn't do any

51:44

gamma trading uh you know or or options

51:47

trading.

51:49

That was a lot. It was a cover story

51:51

that that was burned and then he became

51:53

disgraced financeier and then he became

51:56

tax expert Jeffrey Epstein. You're

51:58

looking at a fake world with cover

52:01

stories that fail over. If you remember

52:03

the old get smart wine, would you

52:05

believe,

52:07

you know, a thousand special agents are

52:09

going to swarm this? I find that very

52:11

difficult to believe.

52:12

>> Uh 100 policemen,

52:14

>> you know, not not true, Miss Maxwell.

52:16

Two two boy scouts with a slingshot.

52:19

This is fake.

52:21

And my claim is I don't know what's

52:23

going on at Renaissance, but Jim Simons

52:26

is an absolute genius. Hardly

52:28

distinguished in that. We have many. And

52:31

I don't know anybody who's ever gotten

52:33

close to these returns. I don't know any

52:36

information about what that thing

52:37

actually did, does claims to do.

52:40

>> Yeah. And I'm saying it has very close

52:42

relationships with a talent pool Stony

52:45

Brook which is not acknowledged and then

52:47

and a national lab.

52:49

>> Go back to 8384.

52:50

>> Yeah.

52:52

>> And assume we did not go into this

52:55

quantum universe that we

52:57

>> not quantum quantum gravity universe.

52:59

>> Quantum gravity universe, right?

53:00

>> And we're in a different universe where

53:04

we have a sense what does that physics

53:06

look like today? If we progress physics,

53:08

help an audience that's a generalist

53:10

audience understand a little bit about

53:13

what it means that if physics didn't

53:15

stall out and

53:18

before I do that, let me just ask this

53:19

question. Some would argue that physics

53:22

has played an important role and maybe

53:24

it's not fundamental and you could that

53:26

might be your answer here in advancing

53:28

things like semiconductor manufacturing

53:30

technology, advanced lithography,

53:33

material science. We've we've made

53:35

tremendous progress in our capacity to

53:38

drive compute and that's led to this

53:40

moment today where we have these tools

53:41

that we call AI,

53:42

>> right?

53:43

>> And all of the underlying advancements

53:45

in

53:47

chemistry, material science, physics got

53:49

us to this moment today. Yeah.

53:50

>> And that we have made progress and it

53:52

has been applied. And that would be one

53:54

argument.

53:55

>> And so maybe tell me why that that kind

53:58

of misses the point. and then we can

54:00

talk a little bit about kind of what

54:02

would the world look like today if we

54:03

didn't go off track in 1983 84.

54:05

>> Great question. Let me try to engage

54:07

that and then feel free to redirect me

54:09

if I'm not answering the question. In

54:11

the theory we have of which I'm going to

54:15

call it the the frontier model which

54:17

combines general relativity and the

54:19

standard model of particle theory.

54:22

We know certain things that we can't

54:24

use. We found out that there were three

54:27

veence quarks inside of every proton and

54:30

every neutron. And nobody has ever

54:32

pulled a veilance quark out of a proton

54:34

or a neutron in isolation. Something

54:36

called infrared slavery. Uh and screw

54:39

the woke for not saying we can't say the

54:41

word slavery. Infrared slavery. Deal

54:43

with it, boys. Um you have a situation

54:46

in which there is no industrial

54:47

application. We've known about it since

54:49

1968.

54:51

So sometimes you don't get to use

54:53

something for an extraordinarily

54:56

long period of time. But what happens if

54:59

some advancements maybe we're never

55:01

going to pull a quark out of a proton?

55:03

Maybe it's impossible.

55:06

What if there are other things we might

55:07

be able to do had physics actually

55:09

advanced? So for example in the mid

55:12

1970s the two gentlemen called Abdul

55:15

Salam and I forget Pat's first name put

55:19

forward the uh Patis Salam model. I

55:23

believe that the petis salam model will

55:25

be found to be the correct first order

55:28

grand unification above where we are.

55:31

Problem is is that it has something

55:33

called SU4 rather than SU3. And the SU3

55:37

is what generates the force that keeps

55:40

all those protons from running away from

55:42

each other inside of a nucleus because

55:44

obviously like charges are want to

55:46

repel. That's why we were able to take

55:48

out two Japanese cities in 1945 is that

55:51

we got control of the strong force and

55:53

then that allowed us to use the

55:55

electromagnetic force to generate

55:57

completely destructive um power but it

56:00

didn't destroy protons and neutrons.

56:04

What happens when you have SU4 is that

56:07

you see that the electron and the

56:10

nutrino are the fourth color that we

56:13

associate with the up quark and down

56:16

quark which make up protons and

56:17

neutrons.

56:19

You could have a weapon that rotates up

56:22

quarks and down quarks into the lighter

56:24

lepttons that disintegrate matter.

56:27

>> You could have dark chemistry. Dark is

56:29

not the right concept. It's really

56:31

decoupled matter. Dark matter is

56:34

decoupled matter.

56:36

Nutrinos are essentially dark matter.

56:39

They're barely detectable. In fact,

56:41

>> they don't interact.

56:42

>> Well, they do,

56:43

>> but very very weak.

56:45

>> Very, very weak. Only through the

56:47

gravitational and weak forces, which are

56:48

the two incredibly weak ones. And

56:50

gravity's so weak, it's not worth enough

56:52

nutrinos concentrated, you can

56:54

>> Well, but here's another here's a here's

56:56

a possibility. If you rotate a nutrino

56:59

into some charged particle, you can send

57:02

it through the earth.

57:03

>> Just explain what you mean by when you

57:04

say rotate. What does that mean? So this

57:07

these nutrinos are these subatomic

57:08

particles. They don't really interact

57:11

well. But what does it mean to rotate

57:12

them?

57:12

>> Well, let's take

57:13

>> and and I think a large amount of the

57:15

energy produced in the sun is neutrinos

57:17

that

57:18

>> actually come out like if you actually

57:20

>> you and I are being irdiated

57:22

>> by nutrinos

57:22

>> by billions of nutrinos. And the only

57:24

reason that we're not dead is that, you

57:27

know, imagine

57:28

>> they don't interact with our atoms.

57:29

>> Well, they barely interact. Once once in

57:31

a blue moon they do.

57:32

>> So, you know, at night the sun is

57:34

streaming this through the earth. It's

57:36

passing through all.

57:37

>> Yeah.

57:38

>> But it when it gets to us, it goes it it

57:40

keeps going. You know, you can shoot it

57:41

through I forget what it is a light year

57:44

of lead and you know, you very rarely

57:47

interact. What happens with the rotation

57:49

is in this sort of internal sense. So

57:52

it's kind of metaphor of rotation in

57:54

this abstract place

57:58

>> which leads to a neutron. If I put a

58:00

neutron on the table and we just sit

58:01

there and watch with a half life of

58:03

something like 17 minutes I forget it'll

58:05

turn into a proton and this is called

58:08

beta decay because what came out is that

58:11

people saw

58:13

an electron scream out of the neutron

58:16

and that's why a neutral particle became

58:18

positive because the negiveness went off

58:20

in the electron. So just to be clear for

58:22

the audience, a neutron can turn into a

58:24

proton and release an electron in at the

58:26

same time.

58:27

>> Yeah. But that turned out to be the

58:28

wrong model because what it really did

58:31

is is that you

58:33

>> there were three quarks inside of it and

58:36

one of the down quarks. So a neutron is

58:39

down down up. So a down quark

58:42

let off something called a W minus which

58:46

is a force particle not a matter

58:48

particle. and then that thing decayed

58:50

into an electron and something else. The

58:53

only reason we determined that there was

58:54

something else going on. It's a little

58:56

bit like accounting. If you have a

58:58

really good accounting system and you

59:00

notice that uh the envelope from the

59:03

till is a little light,

59:05

>> you say, okay, according to conservation

59:07

principles, somebody has been messing

59:09

with the money till

59:11

>> and that turned out to be the nutrino.

59:13

And so what happens is is that a nutrino

59:15

and an electron have the same

59:17

relationship as an up and a down quark

59:19

and you can transmute them using these W

59:23

uh W particles. The danger of this is

59:26

that when you have more force particles

59:28

than we know currently

59:31

things that are to all intents and

59:33

purposes stable now might not be stable

59:35

in that new regime. So you could

59:37

disintegrate a mountain potentially if

59:39

SU5

59:41

uh is present. SU4 is more stable than

59:44

the SU5. I don't think SU5 is relevant.

59:48

But what I'm saying is if you think

59:50

about physics, think about boom, vroom,

59:53

and zoom as an easy way to keep track of

59:56

why this is our most terrifying and most

59:59

amazing subject. Boom is weaponry,

60:02

vroom is energy, and zoom is propulsion,

60:05

computation, and all the cool stuff that

60:07

we get to do. So if you want to think

60:10

about it, you've been denied

60:13

for, let's say, the standard model got

60:15

finalized more or lessif 53 years ago.

60:18

For 53 years, you've been denied new

60:21

boom, vroom, and zoom. And potentially

60:25

the stagnation in physics may have led

60:27

to the survival of the human species

60:30

because the boom is so terrifying. I

60:33

can't tell you whether that's true or

60:35

not, but it means that you don't have

60:37

any room and zoom from the new stuff

60:40

that could have occurred. And so, we

60:42

have to be honest. I want I want the the

60:45

zoom in particular. We could probably

60:50

make the case that no one on earth got

60:54

there and everyone has aligned around

60:57

the distraction,

61:00

the disinterest and the pursuit

61:03

because of that absolute risk. Because

61:06

if someone did actually make

61:07

advancements

61:09

and they could access the bigger boom,

61:11

>> yeah,

61:12

>> it would be game over already. I mean,

61:14

there's no such thing as more absolute

61:16

power that would give an individual or a

61:19

group the ability to leverage that in

61:21

some way to their kind of infinite will.

61:24

And

61:24

>> I don't I don't agree with this at all.

61:26

>> Great. Okay.

61:27

>> So, I spent

61:29

two years indoors

61:32

beingounded to be vaccinated

61:36

because of four amino acids

61:40

being spliced into spike protein of

61:42

corona virus.

61:45

Now, my guess is that that's pretty

61:47

easy, right? Think about it. You need 12

61:50

nucleotides to code for four amino acids

61:54

at the exact right place in spike

61:56

protein and that's enough to shut down

62:00

Earth.

62:02

These are this is high lever science.

62:04

And my claim is before we decide that

62:06

what we want is let's get back to

62:09

kicking ass and taking names, let us at

62:11

least pause and say most people are

62:16

ignorant of how much power is present

62:19

with a little bit of scientific

62:20

knowledge. which is a marvelous scene in

62:22

Breaking Bad where the protagonist named

62:25

Heisenberg takes what appears to be

62:27

crystal meth and throws it uh in the

62:30

office of a psychopath named Tuco

62:33

and

62:35

Tuco says well like what the hell was

62:36

that that caused that massive explosion

62:38

I forget whether it was lead aside or

62:39

mercury fulminate or one of these

62:41

extremely volatile compounds

62:43

do you have any idea how easy it is to

62:46

make black powder I I I asked modern

62:49

audiences nobody knows that it's 75%

62:52

salt peter, 10% sulfur, and 15%

62:54

charcoal. The anarchist cookbook

62:58

has gone out of discussion. The power of

63:01

science, the leverage of science is so

63:03

profound that we should at least ask the

63:06

question, what if you had nuclear

63:08

weapons that didn't require centrifuge?

63:13

What if there are easy things to do

63:16

that high school students could do? You

63:18

you remember this guy who scavenged the

63:19

amaresium and smoke detectors to build a

63:22

working reactor and I think it was

63:24

Brooklyn.

63:24

>> Yeah.

63:25

>> Okay. Well, nobody thought collect 218

63:29

smoke detectors and you can have a

63:30

working nuclear reactor.

63:32

>> Yeah. So my claim is that if you want to

63:34

think about Walter White as a paradigm,

63:36

you have to go back to something called

63:38

the United States versus progress the

63:40

progressive magazine in which the teller

63:43

Ulam design for thermonuclear weapon was

63:47

put forward by a publication

63:50

and the government said no no this is

63:52

restricted data. We need prior

63:54

injunction. This is the most dangerous

63:55

piece of geometry. This is Stan Ulum's

63:58

work. And the whole idea is that if

64:00

you're going to use a fision device

64:03

chemical shell compresses sub uh

64:07

critical file material to create a

64:10

detonator out of an atomic bomb. How do

64:12

you get that to compress a rod or

64:14

something into a fusion device? The only

64:16

thing that can reach that tertiary stage

64:18

fast enough is light. you have to figure

64:20

out the geometry because it's the the

64:24

detonator is going to rip apart the

64:26

entire assembly if it doesn't get now

64:28

that secret got published and the only

64:30

reason the government didn't go after

64:33

um Howard what is it Morland is that we

64:37

stupidly declassified all sorts of

64:39

pieces and shards of this and he went to

64:42

the Los Alamos library and he pieced it

64:44

together so

64:47

my claim is if you don't know the story

64:50

of John Aristotle Phillips, the

64:52

substandard

64:54

um physicist who in his Princeton PhD

64:57

thesis as the Princeton mascot said,

64:59

"Look, I'm not very good, Freeman Dyson.

65:01

I want to use the fact that I'm not very

65:02

good to do something amazing. Tell me

65:05

whether or not you will let me come up

65:08

with a plan for an atomic bomb." And

65:10

Freeman Dyson said, "I will give you no

65:11

help, but I'll tell you whether it will

65:13

work." So the substandard physicist put

65:16

together this and he submitted his

65:17

junior thesis

65:19

and I forget whether it's page 24 but

65:22

that that thesis is not in the library

65:24

and the government removed the page that

65:26

has the plan. The fact is that this

65:28

stuff is readily present

65:32

and we've never seen an atomic weapon

65:34

used since 1945 mostly if we don't use

65:40

this power.

65:42

But if it turns out that it's easy to

65:44

do, then and by the way, if the US fails

65:47

with Iran, you're going to see a

65:49

proliferation of countries

65:52

acquiring nukes because we trusted the

65:55

US. But you've got this. You are the

65:57

world's policemen. Petrol dollars aren't

65:59

petro dollars. They're violence dollars.

66:02

The US was supposed to have the violence

66:04

needed to secure the oil, and the oil

66:07

backs the money. We're watching the

66:09

disintegration of that regime in real

66:11

time as the US goes through its Suez

66:13

moment,

66:14

right? You know, whe whether you think

66:16

Donald Trump should have gone in to Iran

66:19

or not, and I I happen to think that he

66:21

was courageous and did something that we

66:23

should have done in 1981 or ' 82 or

66:26

something. We have to win. We we have to

66:30

win because if you have a world that

66:32

decides that there is no world's

66:34

policeman,

66:36

everybody's going to want their own

66:37

nuke.

66:39

And you can go back to the Tom Lair song

66:41

called Who's Next? And you'll you'll

66:43

you'll find that more or less you're

66:44

going to have a world in which you can't

66:46

figure out the game theory because it's

66:47

no longer diatic. It's multipolar.

66:50

>> Imagine a world beyond nukes.

66:52

>> Sure.

66:52

>> What does that world look like? So what

66:54

else is there beyond the boundaries of

66:56

what at this point is almost a 80 year

66:59

old technology?

67:00

>> Sure.

67:01

>> And again I go back to the 83 story.

67:04

We're making advancements. Did we stop

67:06

making advancements? And is someone else

67:07

is China going to make these

67:08

advancements? And what does that look

67:09

like? Is that what UAPs unidentified

67:13

aerial phenomena are? Because you've

67:15

recently made comments that you were a

67:17

deep skeptic on UAPs but now you you

67:20

have a view that maybe there's something

67:22

there. Oh, there's definitely something

67:23

there there.

67:24

>> Okay,

67:24

>> that's something there. There, by the

67:26

way, maybe China. It may be us. It may

67:28

be a fake story, but there's definitely

67:30

something there

67:31

>> based on the videos and the first person

67:34

accounts.

67:35

>> It's not the videos. I I've never cared

67:38

about the videos.

67:39

>> I've talked to too many smart, sober

67:41

people, too many similar stories.

67:44

>> There are definitely special access

67:46

programs. Yeah.

67:47

>> That are all about this. Yeah. The only

67:49

thing that we learn from uh that that

67:52

works for to keep secrets is

67:54

compartmentalization.

67:56

And so we are so compartmentalized that

67:59

almost no one can piece the story

68:01

together. It may be that the the

68:04

so-called stove piping is such that we

68:06

can't figure out what we know because we

68:09

can't talk to each other.

68:12

If you want to know what's possible, I

68:14

could freak you out and it would be

68:16

super cool and super frightening. One

68:18

thing is is that I'm worried about

68:20

multi-temporal adversaries,

68:23

>> time traveling,

68:24

>> times travel,

68:26

>> times,

68:26

>> everybody says time travel because they

68:28

think that time can only be

68:29

one-dimensional. But imagine, for

68:31

example, that you put a giant gun on a

68:34

rail car. The rail car can only move in

68:37

one dimension. Now, somebody puts a

68:41

giant gun on something like a tank and

68:43

you go to the Bonavville Salt Flats.

68:44

Now, you can move in two dimensions. Now

68:46

you put it on an A-10 warthog and you

68:48

can move in three. Those are all spatial

68:50

dimensions. Why do you think there's an

68:53

arrow of time? It's because you believe

68:55

time can only be one-dimensional. I

68:57

don't think time is one-dimensional.

69:00

And I if you meet an adversary who has

69:02

access to multi- time, it's like you're

69:05

trying to compete with them with an A-10

69:07

Warthog and you've got your only gun on

69:09

a on a track except with time rather

69:13

than with space. if I could sneak up

69:15

behind you in time knowing your intent.

69:18

I mean, this is terrifying stuff to me.

69:20

And it's also like I would love to have

69:22

this over our adversaries,

69:25

but I don't want to meet anybody who

69:27

knows how to do this kind of stuff, not

69:29

on a level playing field. Let me say

69:30

another one. The solar system is an

69:33

escape room. And Elon is focused was

69:36

focused on Mars. I said that Mars is a

69:38

red herring. It's a mcguffin. Tonight,

69:40

it's focused on the moon. He is our only

69:44

adult so far as I can tell uh crazy and

69:46

mad as he is and he uses that to

69:50

motivate engineers because Mars is

69:52

barely doable. These are the only rocks

69:54

that are potentially habitable. It's not

69:56

enough diversity if we have this much

69:58

power in this these few spheres with

70:01

which we could put atmosphere. So assume

70:02

that you could put atmospheres on the

70:04

Mars and on the moon and you could get

70:06

back and forth between them with

70:07

chemical rockets. You'd have three

70:09

places to screw up. We need tens of

70:12

thousands, if not millions of places

70:14

before we figure out how to civilize

70:16

ourselves. So, we have to get out of

70:17

here. It's too expensive to leave the

70:20

solar system. So, my claim is that in an

70:24

Einsteinian world, you're never going

70:27

to. If Einstein is left to be in force,

70:31

the speed of light is too brutal. So,

70:33

you go to Alpha Century, four light

70:34

years away, you come back, you do it at

70:36

nearly the speed of light.

70:39

Everything is eight years advanced by

70:41

the time you get back home. Nobody wants

70:42

to do that. And that's just the first

70:44

star.

70:45

My claim is is that we have been too

70:48

long in Einstein's prison. General

70:51

relativity really begins in 1913. It's

70:54

really due to Grossman and Einstein, not

70:56

just Einstein alone. I don't know why we

70:57

say that. Uh it's not really Einstein

70:59

Hilbert. It's really Einstein Grossman.

71:02

But more or less since 1915 1917, the

71:05

equations haven't moved. They're going

71:07

to break because of what's happening in

71:10

southern Arizona. Tit Peak has this

71:12

object called Desi, the dark energy

71:15

spectroscopic instrument. And I believe

71:17

that it is going to show that the

71:19

cosmological constant times the metric,

71:22

which is how we encode dark energy into

71:23

the equation, is going to break because

71:25

it's not constant. The only reason that

71:28

you have lambda times the metric which

71:30

is this term

71:32

is the product rule. If you take a

71:34

derivative called divergence,

71:38

you have to take the derivative of

71:40

lambda times the metric left alone plus

71:42

lambda* the derivative of the metric.

71:44

The derivative of the metric has to

71:45

vanish. That term is the only possible

71:49

term that can go there because of

71:50

something called love locks theorem. If

71:52

you're within general relativity, you're

71:54

trying to do this geometrically.

71:56

My claim is is that that's going to

71:58

break. We're going to get to five sigma

72:00

if we aren't there already. I haven't

72:01

kept up with the news. And then we're

72:04

going to realize that the dark energy,

72:05

the most important generally

72:08

>> makes up 60 70 80% of our universe.

72:12

>> We have the wrong formula for it.

72:14

>> We have no contemplation of what it is.

72:17

>> Well, I I'm focused on saying I have a

72:21

candidate formula and I think everybody

72:22

who has one should come forward. where

72:24

we should hold a conference and say who

72:27

wins, who's who's got the best idea. We

72:29

can't just have Ed Whitten patting

72:30

himself on the back saying, "Well,

72:32

string theory is the only game in town."

72:33

It's like 42 years later,

72:37

come on. This this is preposterous.

72:39

Getting back to policy, give me some

72:41

money and get rid of these people. I

72:44

don't want them reviewing anything that

72:45

I'm doing. Give me somebody competent to

72:47

talk to.

72:48

>> So, sorry, let me just go back. The dark

72:50

energy

72:52

measurement, which we're going to end up

72:54

having a very high accurate estimation,

72:56

>> right,

72:57

>> tells us that the general theory of

73:00

relativity and the equations associated

73:02

with it are wrong because of the

73:06

relationship that we see between matter

73:08

and rotation and movement. And so

73:10

there's something off about that. And

73:12

that

73:13

>> we know that general relativity is not

73:14

the last. We know general relativity is

73:17

wrong.

73:18

>> It is a view. It is a derivative.

73:20

>> It is the map and not the territory. It

73:22

is a great great model. Whoever comes

73:25

next has to recover it. But there is no

73:29

initial singularity due to the big bang.

73:32

Nor is there a singularity in the in the

73:34

center of a black hole called the

73:35

Schwarz singularity.

73:38

That's that's where our ignorance shows.

73:40

We have two singularities we can't get

73:42

rid of inside the theory. So you have to

73:44

go outside of it. But the thing is it's

73:46

so perfect.

73:47

>> Yeah. that nobody can figure out, you

73:50

know, sort of in the first four seconds

73:53

of a physics talk, you say, "Let X13 be

73:56

a space-time manifold." Well, okay, it's

73:58

over.

73:59

>> Yeah,

73:59

>> that's the sarcophagus, and you're

74:01

already in an Einsteinian frame of

74:03

thought. And so, we know that it's

74:04

wrong, and nobody can figure out how to

74:08

make it wrong.

74:10

And that is what keeps us stuck here.

74:13

There's a marvelous demonstration around

74:16

2003 at a TED talk of this guy showing a

74:21

surface and he's got some sort of

74:24

display and he does this and suddenly

74:27

everything enlarges and then he does

74:29

this and everything gets smaller and

74:31

this is the beginning of a multi-touch

74:33

gesture called pinch to zoom that we all

74:35

use.

74:36

My claim is is that we don't realize

74:39

that pinch to zoom is probably built

74:41

into the thing that we're confusing for

74:43

spaceime.

74:44

So we don't know to do this

74:47

and when you do that you change the

74:50

distances. So you don't need to break

74:51

the speed of light. So this is just

74:54

again you're asking somebody who can't

74:57

come in to the physics establishment who

75:00

is in the physics. I am in the physics

75:02

establishment. This is we're in some

75:05

sort of crazy world in which people who

75:08

have radical ideas

75:11

can't do the radical ideas inside of the

75:14

institutions. Like a radical idea is is

75:17

that male and female are mostly

75:19

determined by the SRY complex on the Y

75:23

chromosome. If I say that I can't be in

75:26

a meeting because I'm a bigot. Okay? I

75:30

can't be in a physics department because

75:32

I don't I think Ed Whitten drove the

75:35

field off of cliff.

75:38

Nobody said nobody else is saying it.

75:39

Clearly the one person who's saying that

75:41

has to be wrong.

75:42

>> Yeah.

75:42

>> Now this is the whole thing is that I

75:44

have the first uh first paper I think on

75:48

the danger posed by mortgage back

75:49

securities. I think I was the only

75:53

person to loudly say you don't know

75:54

whether Biden's going to make it to

75:55

November. And I think I said loudly, I

75:57

think this is four years of dimension

75:59

dimension.

76:01

When people say something different, do

76:03

you do you force them back into this

76:05

consensus? Well, that's what nations do.

76:08

And we have become a nation when it

76:10

comes to science.

76:11

>> Talk about China.

76:13

>> Yeah.

76:13

>> From what you know, is China thinking

76:16

differently about physics? Is China

76:19

trying to recast the paths? Is China

76:23

trying to invite innovative ideiation

76:26

amongst their scientific community or

76:28

are others I mean it seems like the west

76:30

is probably clumped together. Is China

76:32

different? Is anywhere different?

76:34

>> Yeah, let's let's talk about that. First

76:36

of all, France is historically the

76:38

world's greatest mathemat mathematical

76:41

country. China where we're always taught

76:44

to be, you know, so scared of the

76:45

Chinese in math couldn't buy a base hit

76:49

until very recently. Now, what they're

76:51

doing is is that they're looking at us

76:53

with our absolutely ridiculous

76:56

collectivist fictions

76:59

and they're they're they're siling up to

77:02

our best people and they're saying, "Are

77:03

you sure you wouldn't want to be free?

77:05

You sure you wouldn't want to get paid?

77:07

Come over to China. Taste the freedom.

77:09

Get paid. Have fun."

77:10

>> Right?

77:11

>> And our people are going there.

77:13

>> American scientists are going to China.

77:15

American scientists, Russian scientists,

77:19

all sorts of scientists are going to

77:22

China for some prestige, some money, and

77:26

some freedom.

77:29

And we are going to train them up and

77:30

they are going to be frighteningly good

77:32

up until the point that that freedom

77:36

involves Tibet, Tianan Square, and

77:39

Taiwan. Are they going to rethink some

77:46

of these thoughts on the path we're

77:50

taking in physics? Are they going to be

77:52

fundamental in how they rethink things?

77:54

[snorts]

77:55

>> Let me tell you what I really believe on

77:56

that.

77:56

>> Yes,

77:57

>> the AIs are going to change soon. Right

78:02

now the AIS are trained on a corpus that

78:05

privileges things like cell nature and

78:07

science as the prestige journals of

78:09

biology or in mathematics it would be

78:11

the invention and the annals and the

78:13

journal of the American math society.

78:16

These are where the narratives of the

78:18

fields are held. Okay. The trash can is

78:21

also a corpus.

78:24

Take all of the ideas that have been poo

78:27

pooed and laughed at and call that the

78:30

trash can corpus, the TC corpus.

78:35

The AIS are going to start reading all

78:37

of the things that our quote leading

78:40

physicists have laughed at.

78:43

Look out.

78:44

>> That's where the discovery and the

78:45

reinvention is going to happen.

78:47

China is going to have a private model

78:49

and they're going to say assume that the

78:53

completely failed the most failed theory

78:55

in the history of modern physics string

78:57

theory and something called M theory and

78:59

quantum gravity

79:01

assume for the moment that it's a red

79:05

herring meant to distract us.

79:08

It's not our leading theory. It hasn't

79:09

been our leading theory for 42 years. It

79:12

can't that the dog can't hunt.

79:15

What was it meant to stop us from

79:17

seeing?

79:18

>> And the AI will get there.

79:19

>> The AI will get there.

79:21

>> And when the AI gets there, we have

79:24

>> everyone who has an AI that can do this.

79:27

Again, I'm I'm saying completely radical

79:29

things because quite honestly, that's

79:31

what we're supposed to be doing. We're

79:33

supposed to have John vonman's and

79:36

Richard Fineman's and Paul Dox and all

79:40

of these characters and we don't have

79:42

any of them. So, I'm trying to say what

79:44

this sounds like. You're all wrong and

79:46

I'm right. And don't tell me that I'm

79:48

arrogant or that I'm conceited or that

79:50

real scientists are humble or if you

79:52

understand something, you can explain it

79:54

to a 5-year-old. That's all nonsense.

79:56

What I'm trying to say is string theory

79:59

has not been our leading theory for 42

80:01

years. It has never been the only game

80:03

in town. And just the way Jeffrey

80:06

Epstein was never a hedge fund manager.

80:08

We're not allowed to say this. I don't

80:10

know why. I want to know is there

80:12

somebody over at CIA and the science and

80:14

technology directorate who would like to

80:16

have that conversation? Is there anybody

80:18

over at the Department of Energy who

80:20

would be interested in not having this

80:22

conversation right now? You and I are

80:23

having a conversation with our friends,

80:24

the Chinese and the North Koreans and

80:26

the Russians. Why are we doing this?

80:30

Are are you so confident that I'm wrong

80:33

given this obviously huge amount of

80:35

knowledge that most people have never

80:37

heard? Well, I I think the question is

80:41

can you really distinguish

80:43

and can you really cage the AI? I mean

80:47

at the end of the day

80:48

>> say more.

80:49

>> So if the rate of progress with AI is

80:51

such that and the ubiquity of access and

80:54

the corpus to your point of knowledge

80:58

and non-nowledge

80:59

>> right

81:00

>> is apparent to everyone. the AI can be

81:04

directed from anywhere and it's probably

81:06

a conversation about what does humanity

81:08

look like

81:11

and I think that's a conversation with

81:13

humanity not with nation states per se.

81:16

>> Well, I think what I'm trying to get at

81:17

is my model of the AI

81:20

is it is insane to have pushed out the

81:23

AI as a commercial product. It's just

81:25

funny. Let me imagine the scene from

81:28

silence.

81:29

>> It's just matrices and linear algebra. I

81:31

mean,

81:31

>> yeah, it's just inner products.

81:32

>> Mhm.

81:33

>> There's a scene in Silence of the Lambs

81:37

where Hannibal Lectar is wheeled out on

81:38

a gurnie in a straight jacket with a

81:41

crazy mask and there's all these people

81:44

around because he's so dangerous, but

81:45

he's very, very intelligent.

81:48

That's what I think Anthropic

81:50

is doing. Here's your new employee,

81:53

Hannibal Lectar. He's a consultant.

81:55

You've hired Hannibal Lectar from a

81:58

temporary agency. And the harness that

82:01

is supposed to keep you from hurting

82:03

yourself is all the people around him,

82:05

the mask and the straight bear. And

82:07

we've decided that this military

82:09

research project is something you need

82:11

in your home. It's like telling people,

82:13

look, the second amendment just says the

82:15

right to keep and bear arms. We have

82:17

this thing we haven't used called the

82:18

Davy Crockett, a soldier launched

82:20

personal nuke. Why isn't it available at

82:23

Kmart with a waiting period?

82:24

>> Yeah. Well, it's been distilled at this

82:27

point. I don't know if that's a relevant

82:29

point anymore because models have been

82:31

distilled or the model development's

82:34

been commoditized and it's been open

82:36

weight released and it's out there now.

82:38

So models are there, models are here.

82:40

>> Yep.

82:41

>> And to your point, maybe those models

82:42

get pointed at the path of discover

82:45

novel physics and look at strange texts

82:48

and ideas and and rethink everything.

82:50

>> It's going to be a hell of a ride.

82:51

>> It's going to be a hell of a ride. Yeah.

82:53

I just want to hear your your one

82:54

assessment because I I I wonder if this

82:57

is a glimmer. What what do you think

82:59

UAPs are today? Is that really the first

83:04

window in what's happening? If there's

83:05

something there, the question for you is

83:07

what do you think today UAPs are?

83:10

>> Let's answer that question, but I want

83:13

to take let's do it in a debugger and

83:14

we'll step through it line by line of

83:16

the code as it executes. I look at you,

83:19

I'm on a podcast. My first thought is I

83:22

know what risks I'm running. If I say

83:25

what I think, I can tell you which

83:27

colleagues will not open their doors to

83:29

me. No, I'm not kidding.

83:31

>> When I took a job with Peter Teal, let's

83:33

imagine that there are only about 125

83:36

people I can speak to about my work. I

83:39

would say 30% of the doors closed to me

83:41

just by virtue of the fact that I work

83:43

with Peter Teal. And I don't think he's

83:44

the devil and he's a close personal

83:46

friend. Now you're asking me the

83:48

question of how many of the remaining

83:50

doors would you like to close? Eric,

83:52

it's not just a question. I know how

83:54

these people think and I know how

83:56

terrified they are. Let's answer it

83:58

anyway. If general relativity is really

84:00

the last word, I think that these UAP

84:03

UFO things are nation states

84:06

experimental weapons system.

84:09

I think that there's been some

84:11

breakthrough particularly in the 1970s.

84:14

No, sorry, in the 60s. There's a 1971

84:17

Australian intelligence document where

84:20

Australia, which was the testing ground

84:22

for nukes that of the of the United

84:25

Kingdom, started seeing all these UAPs

84:27

near their nuclear test just the way we

84:29

see them near ours.

84:32

And the Australians revealed that all of

84:34

our best people, not all of our best

84:36

people, many of our best people and many

84:38

of our top institutions

84:40

were doing anti-gravity, technically

84:42

gravity shielding research. And the

84:45

cover story was the golden age of

84:47

general relativity where suddenly

84:48

general relativity was hot from the

84:50

early 50s to the late 60s early 70s.

84:54

The claim from the se that 71 document

84:57

is no no the only reason everybody went

84:59

towards gravity is that there were there

85:02

was interest in gravity shielding

85:04

anti-gravity etc etc.

85:06

I don't believe general relativity is

85:08

the last word. I believe pinch to zoom

85:10

exists. There's another multi-touch

85:12

gesture called shear to tilt and that

85:14

means that we can leave our solar

85:15

system. Okay, that's great news because

85:17

it means we can survive. The implication

85:20

is if we can leave everyone else can

85:22

come and given the size of the universe

85:25

we the odds that we are the most

85:26

advanced

85:28

life form is laughable. There's no point

85:31

in worrying about them. So if we can

85:33

leave, I think they're here and I think

85:35

we can leave.

85:37

And I think the thing the scenario to

85:41

worry about is North Sentinel Island

85:43

that

85:44

everybody who lives on North Sentinel

85:46

Island is considered a citizen of India

85:48

and they don't know the word India.

85:51

They're an uncontacted people who don't

85:53

know that they're part of something

85:54

larger that watches them that does not

85:57

allow people to land.

85:59

But if they started sending out radio

86:01

signals and then they started letting

86:03

off nukes on that tiny little island,

86:06

India would not have this paternalistic

86:10

attitude towards its primitive tribe. So

86:13

my concern is that when we let off a

86:16

nuke in 1945

86:19

or when Italy became very good at

86:21

quantum theory with Fermy and I forget

86:24

what the name of the the atomic boys and

86:26

there was this magenta

86:29

incident under Mussolini. Somehow UAPs

86:32

are very tied

86:35

to nukes. And I believe that a nuke is

86:38

the sign that you become advanced enough

86:40

that the next thing you figure out how

86:42

to do is to leave and traverse through

86:45

propulsion. We don't realize that yet

86:47

because we've never seen that happen.

86:50

But my claim is is that almost every

86:52

civilization before it gets to using the

86:55

profound propulsion game which is these

86:59

multi-touch gestures

87:01

first lets off a nuke and that we

87:03

alerted whatever India is in this

87:06

analogy we're almost ready to come out

87:09

and we're so pathetically

87:12

unevolved that we are a danger to any

87:15

other civilization

87:18

if there's so much power in the next

87:20

theory, which I I believe geometric

87:21

unity is the next theory. Now, that will

87:25

cause a certain percentage of your

87:26

audience to say, "Oh, it's just

87:27

self-promotion." As opposed to, "No, no,

87:30

no, that's what you're supposed to do.

87:31

If you have a theory,

87:33

you talk about Yes. I think I think that

87:36

there are all sorts of things that you

87:37

can do. I think there's multi-temporal

87:40

movement. I think that there's dark

87:42

chemistry. I think that there's dark

87:43

light.

87:45

I think that there are two other

87:49

families of chyro matter left to

87:52

discover at a luminous level. Spin three

87:54

halves matter exists. I believe that SU4

87:58

cross SU2 SU2 is the next grand unified

88:02

theory that we'll find. There is so much

88:05

more to do

88:07

that when we make this jump,

88:11

the world will become unrecognizable.

88:14

And I believe that there are other life

88:17

forms in the universe and that they can

88:19

come and they can visit. And I don't

88:20

think that that's preposterous. I think

88:22

that we are an uncontacted people. On

88:25

that note, I think we have more to talk

88:27

about in the future. This has been a

88:29

truly unique, fascinating, and I think

88:33

for a lot of people in our audience,

88:35

this is not a typical conversation. But

88:38

I I just want to highlight the

88:40

importance of hearing what you have to

88:43

say.

88:44

Because I think it's very important that

88:46

even if something seems not apparent,

88:49

particularly when things seem unlikely

88:51

or when things seem outlandish or

88:53

heretical or whatever term you might

88:55

want to put onto things, it's valuable

88:57

to to take that in. It's definitely a

88:59

lot to kind of think about the paths

89:00

ahead and I'd love to talk more.

89:02

>> I'd love to do that. I'd love to do it

89:04

with your friends and I also just want

89:06

to say thanks for having me. it it's

89:08

time for America to lead because there's

89:11

no other nation I trust like I trust our

89:14

people to take care of uh of this

89:19

planet. We should make common cause with

89:22

our rivals as fast as we can because the

89:26

danger of getting to the next level of

89:28

leverage in a contested situation is

89:32

overwhelming. M

89:33

>> it's very important we went in the

89:35

Persian Gulf and it's very important

89:36

that the scientific community recognizes

89:38

that despite their feelings about Donald

89:40

Trump. We've got four or five

89:42

individuals with the science portfolio

89:45

who are much much better than the PhDs

89:48

think and before you turn up your nose

89:50

at this consider doing what I did which

89:53

is to come for a few days to Washington

89:55

DC and utter the dangerous words how can

89:58

I help?

90:15

I'm going all in. [music]

Interactive Summary

This interview features mathematician and physicist Eric Weinstein discussing the stagnation of American science and his critique of the current academic and government research ecosystem. Weinstein argues that modern science has been hampered by 'peer review' systems and a collectivist consensus that suppresses heterodox thought and innovation. He proposes reform by incentivizing courageous, high-beta scientific bets, re-evaluating the role of government-driven research, and potentially challenging certain legal frameworks to foster intellectual freedom. The conversation also explores speculative topics including dark matter, the state of theoretical physics since the 1980s, the possibility of advanced propulsion, and the implications of AI on scientific discovery.

Suggested questions

4 ready-made prompts