HomeVideos

The UNTHINKABLE is About to Happen to Stocks #SOFI #HOOD #PLTR #NVDA

Now Playing

The UNTHINKABLE is About to Happen to Stocks #SOFI #HOOD #PLTR #NVDA

Transcript

471 segments

0:00

Guys, Palantir stock reported earnings

0:02

$146 per share in the aftermarket and

0:06

boy oh boy do I have a huge update for

0:08

you on SoFi, on Robinhood. Palantir at

0:12

146, man, this is going to be an awesome

0:15

video. Let's start off with SoFi. SoFi

0:17

reported earnings and I consider it very

0:19

good. EPS came around 12 cents versus 11

0:23

cents that was expected and adjusted net

0:25

revenue was 1.2 billion dollars up 40%

0:28

year-over-year. Net income

0:31

million. That was a whole record and

0:34

adjusted EBITDA was up 44%

0:37

year-over-year. Now, they raised their

0:38

2026 revenue outlook to $4.75 billion to

0:42

potentially $4.85 billion. They did not,

0:46

however, raise EPS guidance, which

0:48

really disappointed investors. Investors

0:50

want to see higher profit forecast, not

0:53

just higher revenue. So, I totally agree

0:54

with that. I understand investors, but

0:56

if you look at the stock price, we're

0:57

trading for $18 per share right now. The

0:59

stock has had a significant bump from

1:02

the low $15 level that we saw at the end

1:05

of July. And honestly, we have made

1:06

money hand over fist on SoFi despite it

1:10

going sideways and not really having the

1:12

craziest performance or being a high

1:14

momentum stock, we have done extremely

1:16

well by just selling options. Selling

1:18

options has been an extremely good

1:20

strategy on SoFi because it's been going

1:22

sideways and I don't mind some slow

1:24

growth in the short term if the end of

1:26

the tunnel is still really good. CEO

1:28

Anthony Noto said that SoFi is not

1:30

seeing meaningful deterioration in

1:32

credit quality or member behavior.

1:34

Delinquencies and underwriting trends

1:36

remained within expectations. So, the

1:39

consumer remains healthy. Personal loans

1:41

are still in high demand. Management

1:43

emphasized that they continue to see

1:44

strong borrowing demand while

1:46

maintaining their underwriting

1:48

standards, which drove to record $14.8

1:51

billion Now,

1:55

Now, consider their loan business

1:56

statistically exceptional, guys. Average

1:59

loan balance was about 25 to 26,000

2:02

dollars, and the average annual income

2:05

of someone borrowing or taking on a loan

2:07

was around 160,000 dollars. So, when

2:10

Anthony Noto said that they're

2:11

maintaining underwriting standards

2:13

despite strong demand, he meant they are

2:15

not lowering their credit standards to

2:17

generate more loans. They continue to

2:20

lend primarily to high-income borrowers,

2:23

high-FICO borrowers, and borrowers with

2:25

low expected default rates. I'm more

2:27

concerned with protecting money in my

2:29

community than hitting home runs and

2:31

looking like a Leopold Ashburner who

2:34

later pisses his pants and loses over 30

2:36

billion dollars. I'm proud to say that

2:38

I'm the best coach who's been on YouTube

2:40

for going on 7 years now, who puts my

2:42

students' portfolios' volatility first.

2:45

It's a very important metric that I

2:46

track. So, I'm glad to see SoFi in a

2:48

stable place within their business. Now,

2:50

the stock going sideways does not

2:52

concern me. I'm still bullish on SoFi

2:54

long-term, and I think this is going to

2:56

be a 25-dollar plus stock in the first

2:58

half of 2027. Now, looking over into

3:01

their record deposits, they had reached

3:03

45.5 billion dollars, up significantly

3:07

year-over-year. Deposits now fund about

3:09

93% of SoFi's funding needs, reducing

3:12

reliance on more expensive warehouse

3:14

financing, and supporting strong net

3:17

interest margins. So, if you think about

3:19

it, that says a lot about their brand.

3:21

Customers trust them. And I don't care

3:23

about the short-term stock performance

3:24

when the business is trusted and

3:26

growing. Student loans are accelerating.

3:28

Now, student loan origination reached a

3:30

record 2.7 billion dollars, up 170%

3:34

year-over-year, and that is showing that

3:36

there is a restart of the student loan

3:38

market continuing to benefit SoFi. Now,

3:41

guys, that's pretty crazy to me, but

3:43

really good for SoFi. I mean, option

3:45

trading with me, in my opinion, is

3:47

better than a whole entire university

3:48

degree, which doesn't even get you a job

3:50

nowadays. But young people are taking on

3:53

huge debt. It's still really surprising

3:55

that this is a growing business for

3:57

SoFi. But hey, that's a good thing for

4:00

the business and I actually think that

4:01

that trend may continue to happen. So,

4:04

that's one of the other reasons why I

4:06

think that SoFi is going to make a lot

4:08

more money is because all of the loans

4:10

that they're originating is a very high

4:11

profit margin business. It's a very

4:13

long-term thing because by the nature of

4:15

a loan, you're paying it back over many

4:18

many years, right? And then over that

4:20

time period that you're paying back, you

4:21

obviously have a relationship with, you

4:23

know, the brand that you're doing

4:25

business with. So, anyway, subscribe if

4:26

you want more updates on SoFi. Let's

4:28

keep it moving. Let's go into the next

4:30

stock, which is Robinhood. Now,

4:32

Robinhood is trading for $9 per share

4:33

and again, this is a very kind of

4:35

similar situation to what I have going

4:37

on with SoFi. I don't mind Robinhood

4:38

being pretty range-bound because I'm

4:41

selling options. I'm an option seller.

4:42

My primary goal in what I do in my

4:44

coaching is I sell options and I'm

4:46

looking to collect the monthly premiums.

4:49

If I can collect monthly premiums and I

4:51

make that as stable as possible, even if

4:53

a stock goes sideways, you know, the

4:54

income in my portfolio is still giving

4:56

me enough freedom and still building my

4:58

overall net worth, which is, you know,

5:00

the most important thing. It's cash flow

5:02

and building net worth. So, Robinhood

5:04

has been very conducive for that in my

5:05

community. Over the last 1 month, the

5:07

stock is down, you know, a lot, but over

5:09

the last 6 months, stock hasn't really

5:12

done anything. So, if you imagine, you

5:14

know, me, my community, what we've been

5:16

doing is just selling monthly options.

5:17

That's what I talk about in all my

5:18

videos. If you've been subscribed, you

5:20

know that. So, for the past 6 months,

5:22

I've been selling premium and because

5:23

the implied volatility on Robinhood is

5:25

high, it's done really well. Now,

5:27

Robinhood also had earnings and they had

5:29

record 4.8 million users on Robinhood

5:33

Gold. That was their subscribers for

5:35

Robinhood Gold. That gets me really mega

5:38

excited because Robinhood as a business,

5:40

the way that they can lock in a

5:41

customer, similar to what SoFi does and

5:43

locks in their customers, is by getting

5:46

them to subscribe to something, even if

5:47

it's a cheap monthly thing like a gold

5:49

subscription. That's still more

5:51

predictable income for Robinhood as a

5:53

business. Now, option trading revenue

5:55

was up 29% year over year to $342

5:58

million,

5:59

which is great. Okay, they're making a

6:00

lot of money from options. Whenever, you

6:02

know, you're trading options and there's

6:03

a, you know, not that much liquidity and

6:05

there's a big bid-ask spread and that's

6:07

really wide, they're making money on

6:09

you. They're making money whether you

6:10

think it's free or not. I'm telling you,

6:11

Robinhood makes money, a lot of it. So,

6:13

you guys are overtrading, big mistake.

6:16

You should be learning from me and

6:17

trading less, being a little bit more

6:19

boring, but, you know, really being

6:21

balanced. So, it's about balance, right?

6:22

You don't want to give all your money

6:23

away in fees to Robinhood, even though

6:25

you think it's free, it's not. Okay.

6:27

Anyways, equity trading revenue was up

6:29

95%, so that was amazing. That was a

6:31

whole different ballpark there at $129

6:34

million, which is less money than option

6:37

trading, but growing, you know, growing

6:39

like what, three times, over three times

6:41

more than option trading. So, equity

6:42

trading did really well for Robinhood.

6:44

Now, gold subscribers pay every month,

6:46

so that makes the revenue much more

6:48

predictable than trading commissions

6:50

that they're making on, you know,

6:51

equities or the options. So, that's what

6:52

I like about the gold subscription. And

6:54

that's why I care so much about the gold

6:56

subscription, as well, because if you

6:57

look at Robinhood at $90 per share, and

7:00

I look at the one-year return here, you

7:01

know, it was as high as $144 per share,

7:04

$150 per share. I really do see a path

7:07

going back to $150 per share for

7:09

Robinhood. I don't think that's out of

7:11

the question. I think it's a great

7:12

business that's growing very fast. The

7:14

P/E ratio is right around 40, which

7:16

isn't cheap, but also given the growth

7:19

that they're experiencing. Look, the

7:21

reason why Palantir is up so much is

7:22

because of growth, right? A lot of you

7:24

guys have commented on my channel. I'm

7:25

going to skip to Palantir. We'll get to

7:27

the whole detailed list on Palantir in a

7:29

second. But, you guys have commented on

7:31

my videos saying, "Hey, the P/E ratio is

7:33

super high." And I was recommending

7:34

Palantir at $110 per share. I went super

7:37

heavy into even more aggressive,

7:38

dangerous strategies like buying call

7:40

options on Palantir. I ran a whole

7:42

challenge, which I'm going to run, by

7:44

the way, again soon, because we were

7:45

extremely successful at it. People were

7:47

calling me crazy. They were saying,

7:48

"Henry, the PE ratio is really high.

7:50

Like, do you not know what you're

7:51

doing?" They were calling me dumb. And I

7:52

asked myself, like, I can either get let

7:54

these comments get under my skin, or I

7:57

can just be honest with what I think.

7:59

That PE ratio, although sort of matters,

8:02

doesn't really matter at the end of the

8:03

day when it's a fast-growing business.

8:04

And I tried to explain that many times.

8:06

You guys see the proof is in the

8:07

pudding. The PE ratio is only a piece of

8:10

the pie. It's a piece of the story. It's

8:12

It's only one detail, okay? In and of

8:14

itself, it's not an indication that

8:16

something is overvalued or undervalued,

8:18

okay? Palantir clearly doing amazing um

8:21

with the higher PE ratio. And when I

8:23

look at a 40 PE ratio on Robinhood, I'm

8:25

in the same camp. I don't think this is

8:26

an issue. 40 PE ratio, which is almost

8:29

double of the S&P 500 in terms of the

8:31

valuation being expensive. Well, that's

8:34

fine, because the growth that Robinhood

8:36

is likely to experience in 2027 is going

8:39

to be huge from international expansion.

8:41

And the market cap at $81 billion,

8:43

I honestly think that this company

8:45

deserves to be a $100 billion

8:48

uh company. And that's not even asking

8:50

for anything crazy, cuz it's already

8:51

been there. I think the path there is

8:53

really through the gold subscriptions.

8:54

And then all obviously, them expanding

8:56

overseas. Now, whenever they get a gold

8:58

subscription, it's really just a higher

9:00

value customer overall. Nearly every

9:02

major new product launches to gold

9:04

first, and then the gold, you know, from

9:06

there it's gold credit card, banking,

9:08

and higher cash yield as other products

9:10

that, you know, someone may, you know,

9:12

subscribe into. So, management is

9:13

essentially building an Amazon Prime

9:15

style, kind of an Amazon Prime

9:17

membership in a way. So, once someone

9:19

subscribes, they're much more likely to

9:21

stay in the ecosystem for years. And to

9:23

me, this is like the same playbook every

9:24

single MBA seems to be teaching this

9:27

type of thing, or every business

9:28

graduate that ends up working for these

9:30

big companies ends up having the same

9:32

playbook. And guys, it's because it

9:34

works, okay? Getting someone into an

9:36

ecosystem, building a relationship,

9:37

building trust, that's that's the way to

9:39

do it. I mean, that's what I personally

9:40

do within my own coaching program. I

9:42

build a relationship, help students

9:44

scale, I help them get consistent, and

9:46

then we build together. That's my goal.

9:48

My goal is to give good experience,

9:50

okay? That's the same thing with

9:52

basically every single business. If

9:53

you're not building a relationship that

9:55

is prospering for both, you're doing

9:57

something wrong, all right? Now, in

10:00

terms of their other businesses, they

10:01

actually have 13 businesses generating

10:03

over $100 million annually.

10:05

So, that's that's amazing for Robinhood,

10:07

and over $3 billion in deposits. So,

10:09

this is kind of becoming like a bank,

10:12

and Robinhood wants to own the entire

10:13

wallet of their, you know, other

10:15

customers. So, they have about $17

10:17

billion in annualized purchase volumes

10:19

as well on their Robinhood credit card.

10:22

And I like that. That is amazing,

10:24

because now that they're doing banking,

10:25

they have credit cards, and I just think

10:27

that the stock where it was trading at

10:29

for $75 per share, a lot of people were

10:32

unsubscribing to my channel, saying that

10:33

I'm wrong. But guys, you know, if you if

10:36

you don't give up, you don't fail,

10:37

right? A lot of people they give up, and

10:39

they start getting upset, and I hate to

10:41

see it, because I'm trying to get to

10:42

500,000 subscribers. And man,

10:45

it's tough right now, guys. I want some

10:47

support if possible, but either way, I

10:49

see a lot of people just having that

10:50

negative mindset. The market's down, I'm

10:53

giving up. Guys, what happened to having

10:55

a long-term perspective? Aren't we

10:57

trying to get to a certain goal of

10:59

monthly cash flow, which is what I teach

11:01

on this channel? Or aren't you trying to

11:02

get to an end kind of retirement figure?

11:05

We don't have to do it today, right? I

11:07

mean, volatility is expected. If you

11:09

expect the market to only go up, I mean,

11:11

that's like delusional thinking. That's

11:13

not how the world works. So, when I see,

11:16

you know, where Robinhood was, where it

11:18

is right now, and I think again, $119

11:20

per share, we kind of have a really nice

11:22

opportunity here. Really really kind of

11:24

beautiful opportunity, if you ask me. A

11:26

lot of investors stepped in here, and a

11:28

lot of analysts also raised price

11:29

target. You can see here from 95 to 124,

11:33

um from 82 to 122. I mean, analysts have

11:36

raised their price targets. The stock

11:38

momentum has increased. Now, we're kind

11:40

of back down here despite really good

11:42

earnings. So, I see a really kind of

11:44

huge mismatch here with Robinhood. And,

11:47

you know, to some of my um students I've

11:49

been saying a hundred covered call, or

11:51

even actually a poor man's covered call,

11:53

which I'll talk about a little bit on on

11:55

Palantir as well, has been one of the

11:56

most attractive strategies that I have

11:58

personally kind of um done myself for

12:01

for Robinhood and for Palantir, which

12:03

coming up right now. Let's go into

12:04

Palantir stock. Um Palantir, beautiful.

12:06

I've been in the stock since IPO. Been

12:08

talking about Palantir uh since

12:10

September 2020, actually. You can go

12:12

back to some of my videos. But, look,

12:13

they um they reported good earnings, as

12:15

we can see clearly, 17%. Management's

12:18

vision is is working out. Uh Alex Karp

12:21

doing good things. Revenue was 1.94

12:23

billion dollars, up 93% year-over-year.

12:26

That is insane. And, the street had

12:28

expected 1. 81 billion dollars. EPS came

12:33

at 41 cents versus 34 cents. And, US

12:35

commercial revenue was up 149%. That is

12:39

That is bonkers, guys. That's

12:42

That's crazy. Now, also US government

12:45

revenue was up 90% year-over-year. And,

12:47

the CEO, Alex Karp, he called the

12:48

quarter otherworldly. That was his word

12:51

for it, okay? He argued that companies

12:53

increasingly want AI sovereignty,

12:54

keeping control of their own data and AI

12:56

models instead of relying entirely on

12:59

large AI labs. He also criticized

13:01

business focus on simply buying AI

13:03

tokens or APIs rather than building

13:05

durable AI capabilities. Now, Palantir

13:08

didn't just beat expectations, they also

13:09

raised full year guidance by nearly I

13:12

can't even believe it, 500 million

13:14

dollars, from roughly 7.66 billion to as

13:16

much as 8.16 billion. That's an

13:19

unusually large increase for a company

13:21

of this size and suggests that

13:22

management is seeing demand accelerate.

13:24

The most most metric wasn't really total

13:27

revenue, It was US commercial revenue,

13:29

which again, as I said, 149%

13:32

year-over-year to $764

13:35

million. This shows that AI adoption is

13:37

spreading rapidly across enterprise

13:39

customers, not just government agencies.

13:41

And that's what I've been saying every

13:42

video I have made that has included

13:44

Palantir. An organization's data is its

13:47

treasure. Okay, that's what the CEO

13:49

said. And its richness is the alpha. He

13:53

argued that a company's operational data

13:55

is its competitive advantage and it

13:57

should be protected rather than handed

13:58

over to AI model providers. So, I have a

14:01

finance, economics, and business

14:03

analytics degree. And I was mainly

14:05

focused on statistics back in university

14:07

because I saw exploding data and my

14:10

professors were saying that data was

14:11

going to have to be analyzed by someone

14:13

and, you know, this is going to be

14:15

making a major impact for businesses

14:17

making decisions. Okay, and again,

14:19

there's a confirmation from Alex Karp.

14:21

And I'm glad that I actually studied

14:22

this because it's helping me become a

14:23

better investor today. I've been

14:25

extremely spot-on on Palantir since

14:27

September 2020 when Palantir went

14:28

public. Now, the CEO, he went to Central

14:30

High School in Philadelphia where I

14:32

personally graduated as well. And that's

14:33

how I knew about this company pre-IPO.

14:35

And I am happy to be a shareholder in

14:37

Palantir right now. And what I think is

14:39

going to happen is I've said this is a

14:41

$170 to $180 stock. I think that's going

14:44

to happen in the first half of 2027.

14:46

Now, whether you have a big portfolio or

14:48

a small portfolio or you're a beginner,

14:50

I think Palantir is a great opportunity

14:52

for someone to do a poor man's covered

14:54

call strategy. This is a video that I

14:56

recently made on my channel. I'll give

14:57

you the quick summary of what a poor

14:58

man's covered call is. Similar to a

15:00

covered call, but you're using a LEAP

15:01

option instead of shares to act as a

15:04

replacement for your shares. So, I'll

15:06

have the video at the end of this video

15:08

in just a moment. But for Palantir, I am

15:10

still bullish and I think that we got

15:12

20, maybe $30 more to go in the next,

15:16

you know, 6 to 9 months here. Now, I

15:17

want to wrap up quickly with Nvidia.

15:19

Nvidia is trading for, you know, $208

15:22

per share. I like the stock and I'm

15:24

trading it weekly in my Discord

15:25

community. I believe currently it's a

15:26

great value and I have a large position

15:28

in it personally. So, I'm going to

15:30

continue to update you guys on Nvidia.

15:31

There's not a whole lot going on with

15:33

Nvidia. It's going sideways, but it has

15:35

earnings later on this month. So, if

15:36

you're subscribed, I'll give you an

15:38

update on Nvidia going into earnings

15:40

before they end up reporting. And if you

15:42

want the poor man's covered call

15:43

strategy that I just mentioned on

15:44

Palantir that I'm currently running

15:46

right now that I also have in my

15:48

community. If you want to check out the

15:50

poor man's covered call strategy, you

15:51

want to learn more about it, the one

15:52

that I just mentioned about Palantir,

15:54

then you can check out this video on the

15:55

screen right now. Thanks so much for

15:57

watching and I'll see you there.

Interactive Summary

This video provides a comprehensive update on the recent earnings and long-term outlook for major stocks including SoFi, Robinhood, and Palantir. The speaker shares his bullish perspective on these companies while highlighting the effectiveness of his option-selling strategy, specifically the 'poor man's covered call.' He emphasizes the importance of business fundamentals, trust, and long-term growth potential over short-term market volatility.

Suggested questions

3 ready-made prompts