The UNTHINKABLE is About to Happen to Stocks #SOFI #HOOD #PLTR #NVDA
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Guys, Palantir stock reported earnings
$146 per share in the aftermarket and
boy oh boy do I have a huge update for
you on SoFi, on Robinhood. Palantir at
146, man, this is going to be an awesome
video. Let's start off with SoFi. SoFi
reported earnings and I consider it very
good. EPS came around 12 cents versus 11
cents that was expected and adjusted net
revenue was 1.2 billion dollars up 40%
year-over-year. Net income
million. That was a whole record and
adjusted EBITDA was up 44%
year-over-year. Now, they raised their
2026 revenue outlook to $4.75 billion to
potentially $4.85 billion. They did not,
however, raise EPS guidance, which
really disappointed investors. Investors
want to see higher profit forecast, not
just higher revenue. So, I totally agree
with that. I understand investors, but
if you look at the stock price, we're
trading for $18 per share right now. The
stock has had a significant bump from
the low $15 level that we saw at the end
of July. And honestly, we have made
money hand over fist on SoFi despite it
going sideways and not really having the
craziest performance or being a high
momentum stock, we have done extremely
well by just selling options. Selling
options has been an extremely good
strategy on SoFi because it's been going
sideways and I don't mind some slow
growth in the short term if the end of
the tunnel is still really good. CEO
Anthony Noto said that SoFi is not
seeing meaningful deterioration in
credit quality or member behavior.
Delinquencies and underwriting trends
remained within expectations. So, the
consumer remains healthy. Personal loans
are still in high demand. Management
emphasized that they continue to see
strong borrowing demand while
maintaining their underwriting
standards, which drove to record $14.8
billion Now,
Now, consider their loan business
statistically exceptional, guys. Average
loan balance was about 25 to 26,000
dollars, and the average annual income
of someone borrowing or taking on a loan
was around 160,000 dollars. So, when
Anthony Noto said that they're
maintaining underwriting standards
despite strong demand, he meant they are
not lowering their credit standards to
generate more loans. They continue to
lend primarily to high-income borrowers,
high-FICO borrowers, and borrowers with
low expected default rates. I'm more
concerned with protecting money in my
community than hitting home runs and
looking like a Leopold Ashburner who
later pisses his pants and loses over 30
billion dollars. I'm proud to say that
I'm the best coach who's been on YouTube
for going on 7 years now, who puts my
students' portfolios' volatility first.
It's a very important metric that I
track. So, I'm glad to see SoFi in a
stable place within their business. Now,
the stock going sideways does not
concern me. I'm still bullish on SoFi
long-term, and I think this is going to
be a 25-dollar plus stock in the first
half of 2027. Now, looking over into
their record deposits, they had reached
45.5 billion dollars, up significantly
year-over-year. Deposits now fund about
93% of SoFi's funding needs, reducing
reliance on more expensive warehouse
financing, and supporting strong net
interest margins. So, if you think about
it, that says a lot about their brand.
Customers trust them. And I don't care
about the short-term stock performance
when the business is trusted and
growing. Student loans are accelerating.
Now, student loan origination reached a
record 2.7 billion dollars, up 170%
year-over-year, and that is showing that
there is a restart of the student loan
market continuing to benefit SoFi. Now,
guys, that's pretty crazy to me, but
really good for SoFi. I mean, option
trading with me, in my opinion, is
better than a whole entire university
degree, which doesn't even get you a job
nowadays. But young people are taking on
huge debt. It's still really surprising
that this is a growing business for
SoFi. But hey, that's a good thing for
the business and I actually think that
that trend may continue to happen. So,
that's one of the other reasons why I
think that SoFi is going to make a lot
more money is because all of the loans
that they're originating is a very high
profit margin business. It's a very
long-term thing because by the nature of
a loan, you're paying it back over many
many years, right? And then over that
time period that you're paying back, you
obviously have a relationship with, you
know, the brand that you're doing
business with. So, anyway, subscribe if
you want more updates on SoFi. Let's
keep it moving. Let's go into the next
stock, which is Robinhood. Now,
Robinhood is trading for $9 per share
and again, this is a very kind of
similar situation to what I have going
on with SoFi. I don't mind Robinhood
being pretty range-bound because I'm
selling options. I'm an option seller.
My primary goal in what I do in my
coaching is I sell options and I'm
looking to collect the monthly premiums.
If I can collect monthly premiums and I
make that as stable as possible, even if
a stock goes sideways, you know, the
income in my portfolio is still giving
me enough freedom and still building my
overall net worth, which is, you know,
the most important thing. It's cash flow
and building net worth. So, Robinhood
has been very conducive for that in my
community. Over the last 1 month, the
stock is down, you know, a lot, but over
the last 6 months, stock hasn't really
done anything. So, if you imagine, you
know, me, my community, what we've been
doing is just selling monthly options.
That's what I talk about in all my
videos. If you've been subscribed, you
know that. So, for the past 6 months,
I've been selling premium and because
the implied volatility on Robinhood is
high, it's done really well. Now,
Robinhood also had earnings and they had
record 4.8 million users on Robinhood
Gold. That was their subscribers for
Robinhood Gold. That gets me really mega
excited because Robinhood as a business,
the way that they can lock in a
customer, similar to what SoFi does and
locks in their customers, is by getting
them to subscribe to something, even if
it's a cheap monthly thing like a gold
subscription. That's still more
predictable income for Robinhood as a
business. Now, option trading revenue
was up 29% year over year to $342
million,
which is great. Okay, they're making a
lot of money from options. Whenever, you
know, you're trading options and there's
a, you know, not that much liquidity and
there's a big bid-ask spread and that's
really wide, they're making money on
you. They're making money whether you
think it's free or not. I'm telling you,
Robinhood makes money, a lot of it. So,
you guys are overtrading, big mistake.
You should be learning from me and
trading less, being a little bit more
boring, but, you know, really being
balanced. So, it's about balance, right?
You don't want to give all your money
away in fees to Robinhood, even though
you think it's free, it's not. Okay.
Anyways, equity trading revenue was up
95%, so that was amazing. That was a
whole different ballpark there at $129
million, which is less money than option
trading, but growing, you know, growing
like what, three times, over three times
more than option trading. So, equity
trading did really well for Robinhood.
Now, gold subscribers pay every month,
so that makes the revenue much more
predictable than trading commissions
that they're making on, you know,
equities or the options. So, that's what
I like about the gold subscription. And
that's why I care so much about the gold
subscription, as well, because if you
look at Robinhood at $90 per share, and
I look at the one-year return here, you
know, it was as high as $144 per share,
$150 per share. I really do see a path
going back to $150 per share for
Robinhood. I don't think that's out of
the question. I think it's a great
business that's growing very fast. The
P/E ratio is right around 40, which
isn't cheap, but also given the growth
that they're experiencing. Look, the
reason why Palantir is up so much is
because of growth, right? A lot of you
guys have commented on my channel. I'm
going to skip to Palantir. We'll get to
the whole detailed list on Palantir in a
second. But, you guys have commented on
my videos saying, "Hey, the P/E ratio is
super high." And I was recommending
Palantir at $110 per share. I went super
heavy into even more aggressive,
dangerous strategies like buying call
options on Palantir. I ran a whole
challenge, which I'm going to run, by
the way, again soon, because we were
extremely successful at it. People were
calling me crazy. They were saying,
"Henry, the PE ratio is really high.
Like, do you not know what you're
doing?" They were calling me dumb. And I
asked myself, like, I can either get let
these comments get under my skin, or I
can just be honest with what I think.
That PE ratio, although sort of matters,
doesn't really matter at the end of the
day when it's a fast-growing business.
And I tried to explain that many times.
You guys see the proof is in the
pudding. The PE ratio is only a piece of
the pie. It's a piece of the story. It's
It's only one detail, okay? In and of
itself, it's not an indication that
something is overvalued or undervalued,
okay? Palantir clearly doing amazing um
with the higher PE ratio. And when I
look at a 40 PE ratio on Robinhood, I'm
in the same camp. I don't think this is
an issue. 40 PE ratio, which is almost
double of the S&P 500 in terms of the
valuation being expensive. Well, that's
fine, because the growth that Robinhood
is likely to experience in 2027 is going
to be huge from international expansion.
And the market cap at $81 billion,
I honestly think that this company
deserves to be a $100 billion
uh company. And that's not even asking
for anything crazy, cuz it's already
been there. I think the path there is
really through the gold subscriptions.
And then all obviously, them expanding
overseas. Now, whenever they get a gold
subscription, it's really just a higher
value customer overall. Nearly every
major new product launches to gold
first, and then the gold, you know, from
there it's gold credit card, banking,
and higher cash yield as other products
that, you know, someone may, you know,
subscribe into. So, management is
essentially building an Amazon Prime
style, kind of an Amazon Prime
membership in a way. So, once someone
subscribes, they're much more likely to
stay in the ecosystem for years. And to
me, this is like the same playbook every
single MBA seems to be teaching this
type of thing, or every business
graduate that ends up working for these
big companies ends up having the same
playbook. And guys, it's because it
works, okay? Getting someone into an
ecosystem, building a relationship,
building trust, that's that's the way to
do it. I mean, that's what I personally
do within my own coaching program. I
build a relationship, help students
scale, I help them get consistent, and
then we build together. That's my goal.
My goal is to give good experience,
okay? That's the same thing with
basically every single business. If
you're not building a relationship that
is prospering for both, you're doing
something wrong, all right? Now, in
terms of their other businesses, they
actually have 13 businesses generating
over $100 million annually.
So, that's that's amazing for Robinhood,
and over $3 billion in deposits. So,
this is kind of becoming like a bank,
and Robinhood wants to own the entire
wallet of their, you know, other
customers. So, they have about $17
billion in annualized purchase volumes
as well on their Robinhood credit card.
And I like that. That is amazing,
because now that they're doing banking,
they have credit cards, and I just think
that the stock where it was trading at
for $75 per share, a lot of people were
unsubscribing to my channel, saying that
I'm wrong. But guys, you know, if you if
you don't give up, you don't fail,
right? A lot of people they give up, and
they start getting upset, and I hate to
see it, because I'm trying to get to
500,000 subscribers. And man,
it's tough right now, guys. I want some
support if possible, but either way, I
see a lot of people just having that
negative mindset. The market's down, I'm
giving up. Guys, what happened to having
a long-term perspective? Aren't we
trying to get to a certain goal of
monthly cash flow, which is what I teach
on this channel? Or aren't you trying to
get to an end kind of retirement figure?
We don't have to do it today, right? I
mean, volatility is expected. If you
expect the market to only go up, I mean,
that's like delusional thinking. That's
not how the world works. So, when I see,
you know, where Robinhood was, where it
is right now, and I think again, $119
per share, we kind of have a really nice
opportunity here. Really really kind of
beautiful opportunity, if you ask me. A
lot of investors stepped in here, and a
lot of analysts also raised price
target. You can see here from 95 to 124,
um from 82 to 122. I mean, analysts have
raised their price targets. The stock
momentum has increased. Now, we're kind
of back down here despite really good
earnings. So, I see a really kind of
huge mismatch here with Robinhood. And,
you know, to some of my um students I've
been saying a hundred covered call, or
even actually a poor man's covered call,
which I'll talk about a little bit on on
Palantir as well, has been one of the
most attractive strategies that I have
personally kind of um done myself for
for Robinhood and for Palantir, which
coming up right now. Let's go into
Palantir stock. Um Palantir, beautiful.
I've been in the stock since IPO. Been
talking about Palantir uh since
September 2020, actually. You can go
back to some of my videos. But, look,
they um they reported good earnings, as
we can see clearly, 17%. Management's
vision is is working out. Uh Alex Karp
doing good things. Revenue was 1.94
billion dollars, up 93% year-over-year.
That is insane. And, the street had
expected 1. 81 billion dollars. EPS came
at 41 cents versus 34 cents. And, US
commercial revenue was up 149%. That is
That is bonkers, guys. That's
That's crazy. Now, also US government
revenue was up 90% year-over-year. And,
the CEO, Alex Karp, he called the
quarter otherworldly. That was his word
for it, okay? He argued that companies
increasingly want AI sovereignty,
keeping control of their own data and AI
models instead of relying entirely on
large AI labs. He also criticized
business focus on simply buying AI
tokens or APIs rather than building
durable AI capabilities. Now, Palantir
didn't just beat expectations, they also
raised full year guidance by nearly I
can't even believe it, 500 million
dollars, from roughly 7.66 billion to as
much as 8.16 billion. That's an
unusually large increase for a company
of this size and suggests that
management is seeing demand accelerate.
The most most metric wasn't really total
revenue, It was US commercial revenue,
which again, as I said, 149%
year-over-year to $764
million. This shows that AI adoption is
spreading rapidly across enterprise
customers, not just government agencies.
And that's what I've been saying every
video I have made that has included
Palantir. An organization's data is its
treasure. Okay, that's what the CEO
said. And its richness is the alpha. He
argued that a company's operational data
is its competitive advantage and it
should be protected rather than handed
over to AI model providers. So, I have a
finance, economics, and business
analytics degree. And I was mainly
focused on statistics back in university
because I saw exploding data and my
professors were saying that data was
going to have to be analyzed by someone
and, you know, this is going to be
making a major impact for businesses
making decisions. Okay, and again,
there's a confirmation from Alex Karp.
And I'm glad that I actually studied
this because it's helping me become a
better investor today. I've been
extremely spot-on on Palantir since
September 2020 when Palantir went
public. Now, the CEO, he went to Central
High School in Philadelphia where I
personally graduated as well. And that's
how I knew about this company pre-IPO.
And I am happy to be a shareholder in
Palantir right now. And what I think is
going to happen is I've said this is a
$170 to $180 stock. I think that's going
to happen in the first half of 2027.
Now, whether you have a big portfolio or
a small portfolio or you're a beginner,
I think Palantir is a great opportunity
for someone to do a poor man's covered
call strategy. This is a video that I
recently made on my channel. I'll give
you the quick summary of what a poor
man's covered call is. Similar to a
covered call, but you're using a LEAP
option instead of shares to act as a
replacement for your shares. So, I'll
have the video at the end of this video
in just a moment. But for Palantir, I am
still bullish and I think that we got
20, maybe $30 more to go in the next,
you know, 6 to 9 months here. Now, I
want to wrap up quickly with Nvidia.
Nvidia is trading for, you know, $208
per share. I like the stock and I'm
trading it weekly in my Discord
community. I believe currently it's a
great value and I have a large position
in it personally. So, I'm going to
continue to update you guys on Nvidia.
There's not a whole lot going on with
Nvidia. It's going sideways, but it has
earnings later on this month. So, if
you're subscribed, I'll give you an
update on Nvidia going into earnings
before they end up reporting. And if you
want the poor man's covered call
strategy that I just mentioned on
Palantir that I'm currently running
right now that I also have in my
community. If you want to check out the
poor man's covered call strategy, you
want to learn more about it, the one
that I just mentioned about Palantir,
then you can check out this video on the
screen right now. Thanks so much for
watching and I'll see you there.
Ask follow-up questions or revisit key timestamps.
This video provides a comprehensive update on the recent earnings and long-term outlook for major stocks including SoFi, Robinhood, and Palantir. The speaker shares his bullish perspective on these companies while highlighting the effectiveness of his option-selling strategy, specifically the 'poor man's covered call.' He emphasizes the importance of business fundamentals, trust, and long-term growth potential over short-term market volatility.
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