Palantir is 'a bit unstoppable' after overwhelming Q2 commercial growth
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if you like this quarter from Palanteer
and should you ride this momentum?
>> You know, I think you should. Um, even
my 14-year-old son was was buying this
stock ahead of earnings, right? Um, what
I love about this quarter is that it was
the cash flow that proved this is a
profitable company. When you look at
free cash flow, this is very different
from the Palunteer that we saw a few
years ago. Um, this just goes right
after Microsoft last week showing
there's a great return on invested uh,
you know, all the AI centers, all the
chips, everything. And now we're seeing
that software, I mean, if you just look
at the government stuff, it's through
the roof, but we knew government
contracts were going to be enormous.
What I love to see is I like to see that
US commercial sector just going higher
and higher. So outside of hedge funds
blowing up, outside of momentum just
dropping, I think you can be long with
Palunteer. Just remember it's a high
multiple stock and it's all about this
beat and raise beat and raise, but right
now it's a bit unstoppable. Omar, how do
you even value a company like uh like a
Palunteer? I mean, it's trading at 85
times forward earnings. I mean, it's
it's a discount to its historical
average of around 195 times. Like these
are big multiples. What do you do with a
company like this?
Yeah. Well, you know, normally what we
do with Evaloid, you know, precisely the
growth trajectory and it's not
necessarily just about one quarter. It's
really more about, you know, their
outlook. It's about their earnings
projection. And and in many cases,
particularly for these kind of AIdriven
companies, we basically look at where
their profitability is going and and and
I think in in this particular case, the
return on investments and return on
equity seems to be going in the right
direction. I think a lot of what happens
is you have to separate growth companies
from the rest because at the end when
you're looking at investing in growth
it's really more about you know how you
see that EPS growth going relative to
what you expect for your ROIs and I
think in this particular case what has
transpired especially with all AI
related stocks is that a lot of the
adoption that we all fear was not going
to happen seems to be proven incorrect.
In other words, you know, a lot of the
AI adoption that everybody was was
talking about, you know, at the end of
last year, it seems to be happening. And
I think these companies, these software
companies, these developers continue to
profit from it.
>> Omar, that's a really great point. And
Brooke, I'll put that one to you because
as we've gone through this earning
season, of course, the hyperscaler
earnings last week, big cloud numbers
out of Amazon. Microsoft crushed it. Uh,
Palanteer crushed it. Raised outlook.
We're going to have AMD earnings today.
They're going to crush it, too. This
narrative coming into earnings season
that AI wasn't being monetized, that it
was peaking in terms of demand, none of
that has proven true.
>> Yeah. The AI jitters, the fear that the
return wouldn't be worth how much all
these companies are investing within AI
was the major worry among so many
analysts heading into that. And now
we're been hearing some relief so to say
from so many on the street saying that
right now what we saw was that there is
this parabolic US demand for AI
solutions. That was what one DA Davidson
analyst had wrote in a note this
morning. And and I think really the
proof is in the pudding here. We're
seeing this demand really come to
fruition here. We're seeing the proof
points that Palunteer's CEO, Alex Karp,
had pointed out. And I was mentioning to
you, Brian, this morning that this
really was somewhat of a a rally cry on
the earnings call last night, saying,
"Don't stay on the sidelines. Get in.
Get in on this momentum." And it seems
like the proof right there, especially
as Lee pointed out, we got that US
government uh revenue jumping 90% to 809
million for the three months uh through
June 30th. And so really the proof
points are coming to fruition here, sort
of pushing away that fear that Wall
Street had that we won't necessarily see
the return. But I think the big question
will be will SpaceX really, you know,
step up to the podium here and and prove
this ongoing proof points that many are
putting out this quarter. Lee on on
Palunteer. This is a stock that
historically people have ignored the
valuations on. They ride the momentum.
But if you're looking at this Palunteer
quarter, is this now your justification
to get back into other Momo names, those
other momentum stocks like a Micron,
like a SanDisk that have been absolutely
hammered the past month?
>> You know, I think that's a great
question. You want to go back into the
degenerate gambler trade. And I think
that right now, if I was just a day
trader and I was just screwing around
for the next month or so, I'd probably
think the coast is clear. Let me tell
you what bothers me about momentum.
Nothing about earnings. Earning season
is great. You're going to have to have
an external shock. You're going to have
to have oil matter not to ride this
momentum. Oil doesn't matter. You're
going to have to have the Fed not raise
rates or make some suggestion that
inflation's going to come and get you.
And we're not going to see that until
September. And so I think all the things
that we're concerned about killing
momentum outside of more hedge fund
leverage going, you know, and blowing
up, you're going to have a, I think, a
decent August because it's September
where rates may start to matter. It's
September where oil may start to matter.
Between now and then, what do you have?
If you have bluebirds and lemonade and
everybody telling the tale of guidance
couldn't go higher, earnings couldn't be
better. And if there's any companies out
there that don't just in the slightest
bit dazzle us, they're going to go down.
>> Omar, have you been dazzled by this
earning season?
It's been amazing just to see especially
because the first quarter was very
strong and I think having these you know
beginning of the second quarter earnings
being so strong you know continues to be
supportive of you know just the idea of
the capital spending cycle that we all
talk about at the beginning of the year
seems to be proving you know that in the
earnings numbers. So this uh big
question that everybody had of the
amounts of capital expenditure and how
much that was going into different parts
of the market you know seems to be you
know driving a lot of these earnings
field. Uh on the other hand you we also
see that the consumer spending continues
to support you know continuous growth
for these earnings. You know it's kind
of interesting when you look at you know
GDP nominal GDP growth that is very
correlated to earnings growth and that
seems to be proving correct again
despite all the noise and all the
volatility that has gone into that. So a
lot of that resilience of the US economy
is actually now you know going into
earnings growth and that has been I
would probably say surprising for most
of us but you know very very good uh as
we go into the second part of the year.
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The discussion focuses on the recent positive earnings of Palantir and the broader market implications for AI-driven growth. Experts analyze how strong free cash flow and revenue growth, particularly in the US commercial and government sectors, have challenged fears that AI investments would not lead to tangible returns. Despite high valuations, the consensus is that the current earnings season demonstrates resilience in the US economy and validates the ongoing capital expenditure cycle in AI technology.
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